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Informasi Operasi Moda Jalan Raya dan Jalan Baja dan Persentase Pemilihan Moda

Kota Kota Jalan Raya (Bus) Jalan Baja (Kereta Api) (%) dengan Moda
Asal Tujuan X1 X2 X3 X4 X1 X2 X3 Jalan Raya
A U 0 3 30 10 20 10 19 82%
B U 21 3 25 10 18 8 18 80%
C U 19 3 21 10 15 10 8 84%
D U 16 3 18 10 15 15 7 95%
A V 25 5 0 20 25 10 27 75%
B V 20 5 25 20 20 8 20 80%
C V 15 5 15 20 10 8 10 55%
D V 13 5 15 20 15 12 10 89%
A W 29 4 42 15 25 10 30 75%
B W 19 4 23 15 15 9 25 80%
C W 16 4 20 15 12 10 10 70%
D W 11 4 15 15 10 10 5 85%

82
80
84
95
75
80
55
89
75
80
70
85
tase Pemilihan Moda Perhitungan Metode Analisa Regres

(%) dengan Moda CJB - CJR Log e{(1-P)/P}


CJR CJB CJR CJB
Jalan Baja Xi Yi
18% 52 99 52 99 47 -1.51635
20% 89 86 89 86 -3 -1.38629
16% 81 78 81 78 -3 -1.65823
5% 72 97 72 97 25 -2.94444
25% 90 117 90 117 27 -1.09861
20% 105 92 105 92 -13 -1.38629
45% 85 62 85 62 -23 -0.20067
11% 81 88 81 88 7 -2.09074
25% 131 120 131 120 -11 -1.09861
20% 92 91 92 91 -1 -1.38629
30% 83 74 83 74 -9 -0.84730
15% 68 65 68 65 -3 -1.73460
JUMLAH 40 -17.348432914
B = (N.∑XiYi-(∑Xi.∑Yi))/((N.∑Xi^2)-∑Xi^2) >>>
A = (Average of Y) - (B . Average of X) >>>

Analisa Regresi Nilai xi dan yi Model Logit Biner Nisbah

0.00000
-30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60

-0.50000

-1.00000
f(x) = - 0.0166288009x - 1.3902734064
R² = 0.2458856789
-1.50000

-2.00000

-2.50000

-3.00000

-3.50000
gan Metode Analisa Regresi untuk Model Logit Biner Selisih Simulasi Nilai xi untuk Mode

CJB - CJR
XiYi Xi^2 exp (A +Bxi) P=1/{1+exp(A+Bxi)}
Xi
-71.26833 2209 0.08324 0.92315 -100
4.15888 9 0.29054 0.77487 -90
4.97468 9 0.29054 0.77487 -80
-73.61097 625 0.14428 0.87391 -70
-29.66253 729 0.13724 0.87932 -60
18.02183 169 0.37307 0.72830 -50
4.61543 529 0.47903 0.67612 -40
-14.63519 49 0.22628 0.81548 -30
12.08474 121 0.35487 0.73808 -20
1.38629 1 0.27637 0.78347 -10
7.62568 81 0.33756 0.74763 0
5.20380 9 0.29054 0.77487 10
-131.1056925 4540 20
)/((N.∑Xi^2)-∑Xi^2) >>> β=B -0.0166288009 30
. Average of X) >>> α=A -1.3902734064 40
50
git Biner Nisbah 60
70
80
40 50 60 90
100

4
Column R
Linear (Column
R)
Simulasi Nilai xi untuk Model Logit Biner Nisbah Grafik Model Logit Biner Nis

exp (A +Bxi) P=1/{1+exp(A+Bxi)}


1.00000
0.0472098133 0.95492
0.0557506901 0.94719 0.90000
0.065836724 0.93823
0.80000
0.0777474542 0.92786
0.0918129923 0.91591 0.70000
0.1084231715 0.90218
0.1280383509 0.88649 0.60000
0.1512021744 0.86866 0.50000
0.1785566386 0.84850
0.2108598855 0.82586 0.40000
0.2490072152 0.80064
0.30000
0.294055899 0.77276
0.3472544829 0.74225 0.20000
0.4100773911 0.70918
0.4842657906 0.67373 0.10000

0.5718758483 0.63618 0.00000


0.675335719 0.59690 -100 -90 -80 -70 -60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10
0.7975128426 0.55632
0.9417934165 0.51499
1.1121762459 0.47345
1.3133835726 0.43227
k Model Logit Biner Nisbah

1.00000

0.90000

0.80000

0.70000

0.60000

0.50000

0.40000

0.30000

0.20000

0.10000

0.00000
-20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Informasi Operasi Moda Jalan Raya dan Jalan Baja dan Persentase Pemilihan Moda

Kota Kota Jalan Raya (Bus) Jalan Baja (Kereta Api) (%) dengan Moda
Asal Tujuan X1 X2 X3 X4 X1 X2 X3 Jalan Raya
A U 1 1 31 11 21 11 8 18%
B U 22 1 26 11 19 9 7 17%
C U 18 1 22 11 16 11 8 21%
D U 17 1 19 11 16 16 7 22%
A V 26 2 1 21 26 11 7 8%
B V 21 2 26 21 21 9 6 9%
C V 16 2 16 21 11 9 5 6%
D V 14 2 16 21 16 13 9 10%
A W 28 4 44 16 26 11 3 16%
B W 18 4 24 16 16 10 5 11%
C W 17 4 21 16 13 11 7 31%
D W 12 4 16 16 11 11 5 26%

82
80
84
95
75
80
55
89
75
80
70
85
tase Pemilihan Moda

(%) dengan Moda CJR/CJB Log Wi


CJR CJB CJR CJB
Jalan Baja Wi Xi
82% 46 82 46 82 0.560976 -0.251056
83% 104 73 104 73 1.424658 0.15371
79% 88 67 88 67 1.313433 0.118408
78% 82 71 82 71 1.15493 0.062556
92% 102 96 102 96 1.0625 0.026329
91% 112 78 112 78 1.435897 0.157123
94% 87 47 87 47 1.851064 0.267421
90% 81 70 81 70 1.157143 0.063387
84% 148 92 148 92 1.608696 0.206474
89% 98 63 98 63 1.555556 0.191886
69% 92 57 92 57 1.614035 0.207913
74% 72 49 72 49 1.469388 0.167136
JUMLAH 16.20827 1.371287
B = (N.∑XiYi-(∑Xi.∑Yi))/((N.∑Xi^2)-∑Xi^2) >
LOG A = (Average of Y) - (B . Average of X) >

2.5

f(x) = 0.4406844093x + 1.6990050385


R² = 0.0096348575 1.5

0.5

0
-0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1
Log e{(1-P)/P} CJR/CJB
Xi.Yi Xi^2 Wi^B P = 1/(1+(Awi^B))
Yi Wi
1.5163474894 -0.380688 0.063029 0.002565 1.0042348592 0.560976
1.5856272637 0.243728 0.023627 38.57378 -0.0160217161 1.424658
1.3249254147 0.156882 0.01402 16.67129 -0.0378678848 1.313433
1.2656663733 0.079174 0.003913 4.421532 -0.1595150988 1.15493
2.4423470354 0.064304 0.000693 1.869453 -0.4823039275 1.0625
2.3136349292 0.363526 0.024688 41.83249 -0.0147552234 1.435897
2.751535313 0.735819 0.071514 575.1602 -0.0010586903 1.851064
2.1972245773 0.139275 0.004018 4.509762 -0.1559077651 1.157143
1.6582280766 0.342381 0.042631 135.1483 -0.0045211273 1.608696
2.0907410969 0.401183 0.03682 95.55615 -0.0064063836 1.555556
0.8001193001 0.166355 0.043228 139.8498 -0.0043684703 1.614035
1.0459685552 0.174819 0.027935 53.06984 -0.0115946297 1.469388
20.9923654249 2.486759 0.356117
Xi.∑Yi))/((N.∑Xi^2)-∑Xi^2) >>> β=B 0.4406844093
e of Y) - (B . Average of X) >>> α=A 1.6990050385

2.5

+ 1.6990050385
Column S
1.5 Linear
(Column S)

0.5

0
0 0.1 0.2 0.3
1.2
Wi^B P = 1/(1+(Awi^B))
1
0.002565086 1.0042348592 0.8
38.5737752 -0.0160217161
16.67129025 -0.0378678848 0.6
4.421532258 -0.1595150988 0.4 Col
1.869453416 -0.4823039275 Log
41.83248791 -0.0147552234 0.2 (Co
575.1601564 -0.0010586903 0
4.50976199 -0.1559077651 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2
135.1482805 -0.0045211273 -0.2
95.5561472 -0.0064063836 -0.4
139.8498058 -0.0043684703
-0.6
53.06984477 -0.0115946297
Column AA
Logarithmic
(Column AA)

1.4 1.6 1.8 2

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