2. ETHICS
1
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2
2017 Study Session # 1, Reading # 1
Characteristics of a Profession
A profession is based on
• specialized knowledge & skill.
• service to others
• & is practiced by members who share
& adhere to common code of ethics.
• are principle-based.
• apply to all candidates & members.
• apply to all professional activities.
Overconfidence Situational
Bias Influences
2
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3
2017 Study Session # 1, Reading # 1
• Laws typically follow mkt. practices & it may • Ethical conduct goes beyond legal
take significant time to eradicate a requirements & encompass
problematic practice. different jurisdictions.
• A new law may reduce/eliminate existing • To act ethically, indvs. are required
dubious practice but may create an to consider facts & situation & make
opportunity for a different problem. ethical choices even in the absence
• A new law may be vague. of clear laws & rules.
• Laws vary across countries & jurisdictions, • Ethics require judgment.
allowing questionable practices in areas that • Good ethical judgment considers
lack laws relevant to those practices. the benefits of multiple
• Mkt. participants may choose to interpret & stakeholders (clients, family,
comply laws in the most advantageous way colleagues, employers, mkt.
possible or may delay until a later date. participants)
3
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4
2017 Study Session # 1, Reading # 1
8. CONCLUSION
4
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Page 1
2017, Study Session # 1, Reading # 2 & 3
LOS2.b
Act with integrity, competence, diligence, respect, and in an ethical manner with the public, clients, prospective clients,
employers, employees, colleagues in the investment profession, and other participants in the global capital markets.
Place the integrity of the investment profession and the interests of clients above their own personal interests.
Use reasonable care and exercise independent professional judgment when conducting investment analysis, making investment
recommendations, taking investment actions, and engaging in other professional activities.
Practice and encourage others to practice in a professional and ethical manner that will reflect credit on themselves and the
profession.
Promote the integrity of, and uphold the rules governing, capital markets.
Maintain and improve their professional competence and strive to maintain and improve the competence of other investment
professionals.
1. Professionalism 2. Integrity of Capital Markets 3. Duties to Clients 4. Duties to Employers 5. Investment Analysis,
Recommendation & Actions
Los2.c 1. Professionalism
3. Duties to Clients
4. Duties to Employers
6. Conflict of Interest
1. Professionalism
1 A. Knowledge of Law
M&C must understand & comply with all applicable laws, rules & regulations (including COE
& SOPC).
These rules & regulations pertain to any govt, regulatory organization, licensing agency or
professional association governing their professional activities.
Must comply with more strict law, rule or regulation in case of conflict.
M&C must not knowingly participate or assist & must dissociate from any violation of laws,
rules or regulations.
Members must know laws & regulations related to their professional activity in all countries
where they work (conduct business).
Adhere to most strict rules ⇒ if have to decide b/w local laws & codes & standards of CFAI.
Must comply with local laws related to professional activity.
Never violate code & standards even if activity is otherwise legal.
Members must dissociate or separate themselves from any ongoing client or employee
activity which is illegal or unethical.
In extreme case they may have to leave the employer.
May confront the individual involved first.
Approach the supervisor or compliance department if confrontation and discussion
fails.
Inaction with continued association may be construed as knowing participation.
Members should establish procedures which ensure employees are updated with applicable
laws, rules & regulations.
Compliance laws must be reviewed on an ongoing basis in order to ensure that they address
prevailing laws, CFAI standards & regulations.
Members should maintain current reference material for employees in order to keep up-to-
date on laws, rules & regulations.
In doubt members should seek advice of counsel or their compliance department.
Members should document any violation when they disassociate from prohibited activity.
Members should encourage their employers to persuade the perpetrator(s) to end such
activity.
Under some circumstances it may be advisable or otherwise required by the law to report
violations to governmental authorities.
Standards (CFAI) do not require members to report violations to governmental authorities.
Members are strongly encouraged to report other members’ violations of the code &
standards.
M&C must use reasonable care & judgment to achieve & maintain independence &
objectivity in professional activities.
Not accept any gift, or any type of consideration that compromise their own or another’s
independence & objectivity.
Guidance
Do not get pressurized from sell-side analyst to issue favorable research on current or
prospective investment-banking client.
Disclose conflicts and manage these appropriately while working with investment bankers
in “road shows”.
Make sure of effective “firewalls” b/w research/investment management & investment
banking activities.
Guidance-Public Companies
Responsibility of portfolio managers to respect and foster intellectual honesty of sell side
research.
Portfolio managers must not pressure sell side analysts.
They may have large positions in particular securities; rating downgrade may
adversely affect portfolio performance.
Members responsible for selecting outside managers should not accept gifts, entertainment
or travel that might be perceived as impairing independence and/or objectivity.
Members employed by credit rating agencies should make sure they prevent undue
influence by security issuing firms.
Members using credit ratings must be aware of potential conflict of interest.
Consider whether independent analysis is warranted.
Guidance-Travel
Best practice ⇒ analysts pay their own commercial travel while attending
informative events or tours sponsored by the firm being analyzed.
Protect the integrity of opinions (unbiased opinion of the analyst) & design proper compensation systems.
Create a restricted list (remove the controversial company from research universe).
Restrict special cost arrangements (limit the use of corporate aircraft to situations in which commercial
transportation is not available).
M&C should pay for commercial transportations & hotel charges.
Limit the acceptance of gratuities and/or gifts to token items.
Develop formal policies related to employee purchases of equity or equity related IPOs (strict limits on private
placements).
Effective supervisory & review procedures.
Ensure that research analysts are not supervised or controlled by any department that could compromise the
independence of analyst.
Appoint a senior officer with oversight responsibilities for compliance with firm’s COE & all regulations
concerning its business.
1 C. Misrepresentation
Guidance
Firms should provide employees, who deal with clients, a written list of firm’s
available services and description of its employees’ qualifications.
Employees’ qualification should be accurately presented as well.
To avoid plagiarism firm must keep record of all sources and cite them.
Generally understood and factual information need not to be cited.
Members should encourage firms to establish procedures for verifying
marketing claims of third parties whose information the firm provides to
clients.
1 D. Misconduct
M&C must not involve in any professional misconduct dishonesty, fraud, deceit or commit any
act that reflects adversely on their professional reputations, integrity or competence.
Guidance
Guidance
Guidance-Mosaic Theory
2 B. MARKET MANIPULATIONS
Guidance
3. DUTIES TO CLIENTS
M&C:
Have a duty of loyalty to clients & must act with reasonable care & exercise prudent judgment.
Must act for the benefits of clients & place their client’s interests before their employer’s & their own
interests.
Guidance
M&C must exercise same level of prudence, judgment & care as in management & disposition of their own interests in similar
circumstances.
M&C must manage pool of assets in accordance with the terms of governing documents (e.g. trust documents).
Determine the identity of “client’” to whom duty of loyalty is owed. (May be individual or beneficiaries in case of pension plan
or trust).
M&C must follow any guidelines set by their clients for the management of their assets.
Investment decisions are judged in context of total portfolio rather individual investments.
Conflict arises when “soft dollars” are not used for benefits of clients.
Cost-benefit analysis may show that voting all proxies may not be a beneficial strategy for clients.
M&C with control of client assets should submit to each client at least quarterly, a statement showing funds & securities.
In doubt, M&C should disclose the questionable matter in writing to client & obtain client approval.
M&C should address & encourage their firms to address the following regarding duties to client;
Follow all applicable rules & laws.
Establish the investment objectives of the clients, vote proxies & place client interests first.
Consider all the information when taking actions.
Diversify investments to reduce risk of loss.
Carry out regular reviews.
Deal fairly with all clients with respect to investment actions.
Disclose conflict of interest & compensation arrangements.
Maintain confidentiality & seek best execution.
3 B. Fair Dealing
M&C must deal fairly & objectively with clients (when providing investment analysis,
making recommendations, taking action or engaging in other professional activities).
Guidance
Guidance-Investment Recommendation
All clients must be given fair opportunity to act upon every recommendation.
Clients unaware of change in recommendation should be advised before the order is accepted.
Guidance-Investment Actions
Clients must be treated fairly in the light of their investment objectives and circumstances.
Both institutional and individual clients must be treated in a fair & impartial manner.
M&C should not take advantage of their position to disadvantage clients (e.g., in IPOs).
Firms are encouraged to establish compliance procedures to treat customers & clients fairly.
Communicate recommendations simultaneously within the firm & to customers.
M&C should consider the following:
Limit the no. of people who are aware that a recommendation is going to be disseminated.
Shorten the time frame b/w decision & dissemination.
Publish guidelines for pre-dissemination behavior.
Simultaneous dissemination (treat all clients fairly).
Maintain a list of clients & their holdings.
Develop & document trade allocation procedures.
Disclose trade allocation procedures (must be fair & equitable).
Establish systematic account review (no preferential treatment to any client or customer).
Disclose level of services (different levels of services are possible for same or different fees).
3 C. SUITABILITY
2. M&C are in advisory relationship 1. When M&C are responsible for managing a portfolio
to a specific mandate, strategy or style
Guidance
Develop written IPS of each client & take the following into consideration:
Client identification.
Investor objectives.
Investor constraints.
Performance measurement benchmark
Objectives & constraints should be maintained & reviewed periodically to reflect any changes in
clients’ circumstances.
Suitability test policies.
3 D. Performance Presentations
M&C must communicate fair, accurate & complete investment performance information.
Guidance
Members must avoid misstating performance or misleading clients about investment performance of
themselves or their firms.
Members should not misrepresent past performance or reasonably expected performance.
Members should not state or imply the ability to achieve a rate of return similar to that achieved in
the past.
Provide reference to limited information provided on brief presentations.
For brief presentations members must make detailed information available on request.
3 E. Preservation of Confidentiality
Guidance
4. Duties to Employers
A. Loyalty
M&C:
Must act for the benefit of their employer.
Not deprive employer of the advantage of their skills & abilities, divulge confidential
information or otherwise cause harm to their employer.
Guidance
Do not indulge in the activities to injure the firm deprive it from profit and
advantage of employee’s abilities & skills.
Although client’s interests are at priority than firms, M&C should consider the
effects of actions on firm’s integrity and sustainability.
A careful balance b/w managing interests of employer & family manage such
obligations with work obligations.
Guidance-Employer Responsibility
Guidance-Independent Practice
Guidance-Leaving an Employer
Guidance-Whistleblowing
In exceptional cases, the duty to employer may be violated to protect any client
or for the integrity of markets.
Whistleblowing cannot be done for personal gains.
Guidance-Nature of Employment
If M&C are independent contractors, they still have a duty to abide by the terms
of the agreement.
M&C must not accept gifts, benefits, compensation, or consideration that compete
with or might reasonably be expected to create a conflict of interest with their
employer’s interest unless they obtain written consent from all parties involved.
Guidance
4 C. Responsibility of Supervisors
Guidance
Guidance-Compliance Procedures
M&C are encouraged to adopt recommendation that their employers adopt a COE.
Separate the COE from compliance procedures.
Adequate compliance procedures:
Clearly written & accessible manual.
Designate a compliance officer to implement compliance procedures.
Implement system of checks & balances.
Describe the hierarchy of supervision.
Outline scope of procedures & permissible conduct.
Once a compliance program is in place, a supervisor should:
Disseminate program contents to appropriate personnel & educate them regarding
compliance procedures.
Incorporate professional conduct evaluation as part of employee’s performance review.
Review employees’ actions & identify violations.
Respond promptly once a violation is discovered, conduct thorough investigation & increase
supervision.
2. M&C must exercise diligence, 1. M&C must have a reasonable & adequate
independence & thoroughness in basis for investment analysis,
investment analysis, recommendation or action (supported by
recommendations & actions. research & investigation).
Guidance-Reasonable Basis
Guidance-Quantitative Research
Guidance-External Advisers
Policy requiring that research reports, credit ratings & investment recommendations have a reasonable
& adequate basis.
Develop written guidance for analysts, supervisory analysts & review committees.
Develop measureable criteria for research report quality assessment.
Written guidance for computer-based models used in developing, rating & evaluating financial
instruments.
Develop measurable criteria for assessing outside providers.
Standardized set of criteria for evaluating the adequacy of external advisers.
M&C must:
Disclose to clients & prospective clients the basic format & general principals of
investment processes & disclose any change that materially affect those
processes.
Identify important factors (related to investment analyses, recommendation or
actions) & include them in communications with clients & prospective clients.
Distinguish b/w fact & opinion (in investment analysis & recommendations).
Guidance
5 C. Record Retention
M&C must develop & maintain appropriate records relating to investment analyses,
recommendations, actions & other investment related communications with clients &
prospective clients.
Guidance
6. Conflict of Interest
6 A. Disclosure of Conflict
M&C must:
Make full & fair disclosure of all matters that impair independence & objectivity or interfere
with respective duties to clients, prospective clients & employers.
Disclosures must be prominent, are delivered in plain language & the information must be
communicated effectively.
Guidance-Disclosure to Clients
Disclose all potential & actual conflicts of interest to existing and prospective clients to let
them judge any potential bias.
If servicing as a board member disclose.
Disclosure of broker/dealer market making activities.
Disclosure of holdings in companies that member recommends or clients hold.
Disclosure of fee arrangements including those in which the firm benefits from investment
recommendations.
6 B. Priority of Transaction
Guidance
Prioritize client’s transactions over personal transactions & transactions made on behalf of the
member’s firm.
Personal transactions may be undertaken after clients and employer have given adequate opportunity
and time to act upon an investment recommendation.
Personal transaction – member is a “beneficial owner”.
Regular fee-paying family member accounts should not be disadvantaged to client accounts.
Information about pending trades should not be acted on for personal gains.
6 C. Referral Fees
M&C must disclose to employer, clients & prospective clients, as appropriate, any
compensation, consideration or benefit received from or paid to others for
recommendation of products & services.
Guidance
Must inform employers, clients and prospects of benefits received for referrals of
customers and clients.
All types of consideration must be disclosed.
Guidance
Must not engage in any activity that undermines the integrity of CFA charter.
Standard applies to:
Cheating in CFA or any CFAI exam.
Revealing anything about the contents & topics of exam.
Not following the rules & polices for CFA program.
Disclosing confidential information on CFA program to candidates or to public.
Improperly using the designation.
Misrepresenting information on PCS or CFAI PDP.
Members can express their opinion on CFA institute or program.
Members volunteering CFA program must not solicit or reveal information about:
Exam questions
Deliberation related to exam process
Scoring of question
7 B. References to CFA Institute, the CFA Designation, and the CFA Program
Guidance
LOS2.b
Act with integrity, competence, diligence, respect, and in an ethical manner with the public, clients, prospective clients,
employers, employees, colleagues in the investment profession, and other participants in the global capital markets.
Place the integrity of the investment profession and the interests of clients above their own personal interests.
Use reasonable care and exercise independent professional judgment when conducting investment analysis, making investment
recommendations, taking investment actions, and engaging in other professional activities.
Practice and encourage others to practice in a professional and ethical manner that will reflect credit on themselves and the
profession.
Promote the integrity of, and uphold the rules governing, capital markets.
Maintain and improve their professional competence and strive to maintain and improve the competence of other investment
professionals.
1. Professionalism 2. Integrity of Capital Markets 3. Duties to Clients 4. Duties to Employers 5. Investment Analysis,
Recommendation & Actions
Los2.c 1. Professionalism
3. Duties to Clients
4. Duties to Employers
6. Conflict of Interest
1. Professionalism
1 A. Knowledge of Law
M&C must understand & comply with all applicable laws, rules & regulations (including COE
& SOPC).
These rules & regulations pertain to any govt, regulatory organization, licensing agency or
professional association governing their professional activities.
Must comply with more strict law, rule or regulation in case of conflict.
M&C must not knowingly participate or assist & must dissociate from any violation of laws,
rules or regulations.
Members must know laws & regulations related to their professional activity in all countries
where they work (conduct business).
Adhere to most strict rules ⇒ if have to decide b/w local laws & codes & standards of CFAI.
Must comply with local laws related to professional activity.
Never violate code & standards even if activity is otherwise legal.
Members must dissociate or separate themselves from any ongoing client or employee
activity which is illegal or unethical.
In extreme case they may have to leave the employer.
May confront the individual involved first.
Approach the supervisor or compliance department if confrontation and discussion
fails.
Inaction with continued association may be construed as knowing participation.
Members should establish procedures which ensure employees are updated with applicable
laws, rules & regulations.
Compliance laws must be reviewed on an ongoing basis in order to ensure that they address
prevailing laws, CFAI standards & regulations.
Members should maintain current reference material for employees in order to keep up-to-
date on laws, rules & regulations.
In doubt members should seek advice of counsel or their compliance department.
Members should document any violation when they disassociate from prohibited activity.
Members should encourage their employers to persuade the perpetrator(s) to end such
activity.
Under some circumstances it may be advisable or otherwise required by the law to report
violations to governmental authorities.
Standards (CFAI) do not require members to report violations to governmental authorities.
Members are strongly encouraged to report other members’ violations of the code &
standards.
M&C must use reasonable care & judgment to achieve & maintain independence &
objectivity in professional activities.
Not accept any gift, or any type of consideration that compromise their own or another’s
independence & objectivity.
Guidance
Do not get pressurized from sell-side analyst to issue favorable research on current or
prospective investment-banking client.
Disclose conflicts and manage these appropriately while working with investment bankers
in “road shows”.
Make sure of effective “firewalls” b/w research/investment management & investment
banking activities.
Guidance-Public Companies
Responsibility of portfolio managers to respect and foster intellectual honesty of sell side
research.
Portfolio managers must not pressure sell side analysts.
They may have large positions in particular securities; rating downgrade may
adversely affect portfolio performance.
Members responsible for selecting outside managers should not accept gifts, entertainment
or travel that might be perceived as impairing independence and/or objectivity.
Members employed by credit rating agencies should make sure they prevent undue
influence by security issuing firms.
Members using credit ratings must be aware of potential conflict of interest.
Consider whether independent analysis is warranted.
Guidance-Travel
Best practice ⇒ analysts pay their own commercial travel while attending
informative events or tours sponsored by the firm being analyzed.
Protect the integrity of opinions (unbiased opinion of the analyst) & design proper compensation systems.
Create a restricted list (remove the controversial company from research universe).
Restrict special cost arrangements (limit the use of corporate aircraft to situations in which commercial
transportation is not available).
M&C should pay for commercial transportations & hotel charges.
Limit the acceptance of gratuities and/or gifts to token items.
Develop formal policies related to employee purchases of equity or equity related IPOs (strict limits on private
placements).
Effective supervisory & review procedures.
Ensure that research analysts are not supervised or controlled by any department that could compromise the
independence of analyst.
Appoint a senior officer with oversight responsibilities for compliance with firm’s COE & all regulations
concerning its business.
1 C. Misrepresentation
Guidance
Firms should provide employees, who deal with clients, a written list of firm’s
available services and description of its employees’ qualifications.
Employees’ qualification should be accurately presented as well.
To avoid plagiarism firm must keep record of all sources and cite them.
Generally understood and factual information need not to be cited.
Members should encourage firms to establish procedures for verifying
marketing claims of third parties whose information the firm provides to
clients.
1 D. Misconduct
M&C must not involve in any professional misconduct dishonesty, fraud, deceit or commit any
act that reflects adversely on their professional reputations, integrity or competence.
Guidance
Guidance
Guidance-Mosaic Theory
2 B. MARKET MANIPULATIONS
Guidance
3. DUTIES TO CLIENTS
M&C:
Have a duty of loyalty to clients & must act with reasonable care & exercise prudent judgment.
Must act for the benefits of clients & place their client’s interests before their employer’s & their own
interests.
Guidance
M&C must exercise same level of prudence, judgment & care as in management & disposition of their own interests in similar
circumstances.
M&C must manage pool of assets in accordance with the terms of governing documents (e.g. trust documents).
Determine the identity of “client’” to whom duty of loyalty is owed. (May be individual or beneficiaries in case of pension plan
or trust).
M&C must follow any guidelines set by their clients for the management of their assets.
Investment decisions are judged in context of total portfolio rather individual investments.
Conflict arises when “soft dollars” are not used for benefits of clients.
Cost-benefit analysis may show that voting all proxies may not be a beneficial strategy for clients.
M&C with control of client assets should submit to each client at least quarterly, a statement showing funds & securities.
In doubt, M&C should disclose the questionable matter in writing to client & obtain client approval.
M&C should address & encourage their firms to address the following regarding duties to client;
Follow all applicable rules & laws.
Establish the investment objectives of the clients, vote proxies & place client interests first.
Consider all the information when taking actions.
Diversify investments to reduce risk of loss.
Carry out regular reviews.
Deal fairly with all clients with respect to investment actions.
Disclose conflict of interest & compensation arrangements.
Maintain confidentiality & seek best execution.
3 B. Fair Dealing
M&C must deal fairly & objectively with clients (when providing investment analysis,
making recommendations, taking action or engaging in other professional activities).
Guidance
Guidance-Investment Recommendation
All clients must be given fair opportunity to act upon every recommendation.
Clients unaware of change in recommendation should be advised before the order is accepted.
Guidance-Investment Actions
Clients must be treated fairly in the light of their investment objectives and circumstances.
Both institutional and individual clients must be treated in a fair & impartial manner.
M&C should not take advantage of their position to disadvantage clients (e.g., in IPOs).
Firms are encouraged to establish compliance procedures to treat customers & clients fairly.
Communicate recommendations simultaneously within the firm & to customers.
M&C should consider the following:
Limit the no. of people who are aware that a recommendation is going to be disseminated.
Shorten the time frame b/w decision & dissemination.
Publish guidelines for pre-dissemination behavior.
Simultaneous dissemination (treat all clients fairly).
Maintain a list of clients & their holdings.
Develop & document trade allocation procedures.
Disclose trade allocation procedures (must be fair & equitable).
Establish systematic account review (no preferential treatment to any client or customer).
Disclose level of services (different levels of services are possible for same or different fees).
3 C. SUITABILITY
2. M&C are in advisory relationship 1. When M&C are responsible for managing a portfolio
to a specific mandate, strategy or style
Guidance
Develop written IPS of each client & take the following into consideration:
Client identification.
Investor objectives.
Investor constraints.
Performance measurement benchmark
Objectives & constraints should be maintained & reviewed periodically to reflect any changes in
clients’ circumstances.
Suitability test policies.
3 D. Performance Presentations
M&C must communicate fair, accurate & complete investment performance information.
Guidance
Members must avoid misstating performance or misleading clients about investment performance of
themselves or their firms.
Members should not misrepresent past performance or reasonably expected performance.
Members should not state or imply the ability to achieve a rate of return similar to that achieved in
the past.
Provide reference to limited information provided on brief presentations.
For brief presentations members must make detailed information available on request.
3 E. Preservation of Confidentiality
Guidance
4. Duties to Employers
A. Loyalty
M&C:
Must act for the benefit of their employer.
Not deprive employer of the advantage of their skills & abilities, divulge confidential
information or otherwise cause harm to their employer.
Guidance
Do not indulge in the activities to injure the firm deprive it from profit and
advantage of employee’s abilities & skills.
Although client’s interests are at priority than firms, M&C should consider the
effects of actions on firm’s integrity and sustainability.
A careful balance b/w managing interests of employer & family manage such
obligations with work obligations.
Guidance-Employer Responsibility
Guidance-Independent Practice
Guidance-Leaving an Employer
Guidance-Whistleblowing
In exceptional cases, the duty to employer may be violated to protect any client
or for the integrity of markets.
Whistleblowing cannot be done for personal gains.
Guidance-Nature of Employment
If M&C are independent contractors, they still have a duty to abide by the terms
of the agreement.
M&C must not accept gifts, benefits, compensation, or consideration that compete
with or might reasonably be expected to create a conflict of interest with their
employer’s interest unless they obtain written consent from all parties involved.
Guidance
4 C. Responsibility of Supervisors
Guidance
Guidance-Compliance Procedures
M&C are encouraged to adopt recommendation that their employers adopt a COE.
Separate the COE from compliance procedures.
Adequate compliance procedures:
Clearly written & accessible manual.
Designate a compliance officer to implement compliance procedures.
Implement system of checks & balances.
Describe the hierarchy of supervision.
Outline scope of procedures & permissible conduct.
Once a compliance program is in place, a supervisor should:
Disseminate program contents to appropriate personnel & educate them regarding
compliance procedures.
Incorporate professional conduct evaluation as part of employee’s performance review.
Review employees’ actions & identify violations.
Respond promptly once a violation is discovered, conduct thorough investigation & increase
supervision.
2. M&C must exercise diligence, 1. M&C must have a reasonable & adequate
independence & thoroughness in basis for investment analysis,
investment analysis, recommendation or action (supported by
recommendations & actions. research & investigation).
Guidance-Reasonable Basis
Guidance-Quantitative Research
Guidance-External Advisers
Policy requiring that research reports, credit ratings & investment recommendations have a reasonable
& adequate basis.
Develop written guidance for analysts, supervisory analysts & review committees.
Develop measureable criteria for research report quality assessment.
Written guidance for computer-based models used in developing, rating & evaluating financial
instruments.
Develop measurable criteria for assessing outside providers.
Standardized set of criteria for evaluating the adequacy of external advisers.
M&C must:
Disclose to clients & prospective clients the basic format & general principals of
investment processes & disclose any change that materially affect those
processes.
Identify important factors (related to investment analyses, recommendation or
actions) & include them in communications with clients & prospective clients.
Distinguish b/w fact & opinion (in investment analysis & recommendations).
Guidance
5 C. Record Retention
M&C must develop & maintain appropriate records relating to investment analyses,
recommendations, actions & other investment related communications with clients &
prospective clients.
Guidance
6. Conflict of Interest
6 A. Disclosure of Conflict
M&C must:
Make full & fair disclosure of all matters that impair independence & objectivity or interfere
with respective duties to clients, prospective clients & employers.
Disclosures must be prominent, are delivered in plain language & the information must be
communicated effectively.
Guidance-Disclosure to Clients
Disclose all potential & actual conflicts of interest to existing and prospective clients to let
them judge any potential bias.
If servicing as a board member disclose.
Disclosure of broker/dealer market making activities.
Disclosure of holdings in companies that member recommends or clients hold.
Disclosure of fee arrangements including those in which the firm benefits from investment
recommendations.
6 B. Priority of Transaction
Guidance
Prioritize client’s transactions over personal transactions & transactions made on behalf of the
member’s firm.
Personal transactions may be undertaken after clients and employer have given adequate opportunity
and time to act upon an investment recommendation.
Personal transaction – member is a “beneficial owner”.
Regular fee-paying family member accounts should not be disadvantaged to client accounts.
Information about pending trades should not be acted on for personal gains.
6 C. Referral Fees
M&C must disclose to employer, clients & prospective clients, as appropriate, any
compensation, consideration or benefit received from or paid to others for
recommendation of products & services.
Guidance
Must inform employers, clients and prospects of benefits received for referrals of
customers and clients.
All types of consideration must be disclosed.
Guidance
Must not engage in any activity that undermines the integrity of CFA charter.
Standard applies to:
Cheating in CFA or any CFAI exam.
Revealing anything about the contents & topics of exam.
Not following the rules & polices for CFA program.
Disclosing confidential information on CFA program to candidates or to public.
Improperly using the designation.
Misrepresenting information on PCS or CFAI PDP.
Members can express their opinion on CFA institute or program.
Members volunteering CFA program must not solicit or reveal information about:
Exam questions
Deliberation related to exam process
Scoring of question
7 B. References to CFA Institute, the CFA Designation, and the CFA Program
Guidance
3. b
3. c Verification
Requirements Recommendations
Fundamental of Compliance
Requirements Recommendations
Total firm assets include total MV of Include broadest definition of the firm (all
discretionary & non-discretionary assets (fee geographical offices).
paying & non-fee paying).
If firm has discretion over sub-advisor
selection (include sub-advisor’s
performance).
Historical composite results will not change
(if firm changes its organization).
4.b
4.c
Firms may claim GIPS compliance for any CVG-compliant results prior
to Jan1, 2006.
Include CVG-compliant data to GIPS compliant until a minimum of ten
years of compliant performance is presented.
Fundamental issues include: Should be consistent for full, fair Certain methodologies for portfolio
Firm definition & documentation & comparable presentations. return calculation & certain other for
of policies & procedures. composite return calculations.
Complying with GIPS updates. Uniformity is required for
Appropriate compliance claim & comparability.
verification statement.
Assets-weighted composite for fair Disclosure about performance & Incorporate necessary return &
presentation. policies. disclosure information according
Composite returns are asset-weighted There are some disclosures that all to requirements of GIPS
avg of returns on the portfolios firms must make while there are standards.
included in each composite. others which are not applicable to all
circumstances for all firms.
6. Real Estate 7. Private Equity 8. Warp Fee/Separately Managed Account (SMA) Portfolios
Certain provisions in Sections 0-5 do Must be valued according to GIPS Some provisions in section 0-5 are supplemented or replaced
not apply to all real estate investments Private Equity Valuation Principles. by the provisions specified in this section.
or are superseded by provisions in this Open-end or evergreen fund follow
section. regular GIPS.
Interpretations of
Interest Rate
Required rate of return.
Discount rate.
Opportunity cost.
NPV: IRR
For Independent Project:
PV of expected – PV of expected The D.R. at which NPV = 0. IRR / NPV rules lead to
cash inflows. cash outflows. The rate of return at which; exactly the same accept
PV inflows = PV outflows. /reject decision
NPV = It assumes reinvestment at
IRR.
Decision rule For Mutually Exclusive
D.R used is the market based opportunity Projects:
cost of capital. IRR > r ⇒ Accept Select the project with the
NPV assumes reinvestment at D.R. greatest NPV.
IRR < r ⇒ Reject
Descriptive Statistics
Inferential Statistics
Parameter Sample Statistic Used to summarize &
Two Categories Forecasting, estimating or making
Measures a characteristic Measures a consolidate large data sets into
judgment about a large set based
of population. characteristic of a useful information.
on a smaller set.
sample.
All-inclusive.
Non-overlapping. Cumulative Relative Frequency
Mutually Exclusive. Sum of relative frequencies starting with the
3. Count the observations Count actual lowest interval & progressing toward the
number of observations in each highest.
Importance of Number of Intervals interval i.e., absolute frequency
of interval.
Modal Interval
Too few Too many
Interval with the highest
intervals. intervals. frequency.
Histogram
Bar chart of continuous data that has been
grouped into a frequency distribution. Frequency Polygon
Helps in quickly identifying the modal X-axis: Mid points of each interval.
interval. Y-axis: Absolute frequencies.
X-axis: Class intervals.
Y-axis: Absolute frequencies.
= + 1
Quantiles:
For values that are not all equal
Σ −
Sample Variance
=
Mean Absolute
Deviation (MAD) −1
Arithmetic average of
absolute deviations
Using ‘n-1’ observations
Sample Standard Using entire number of observations ‘n’ will
Σ| − |
from mean:
=
Deviation systematically underestimate the population
⇒ parameter & cause the sample variance & S.D
=
Σ(x − x) to be referred to as biased estimator.
n−1
s
=
k>1, regardless of the shape of the
distribution. n s
Hint
Median is always in the center.
Mean is the direction of skew.
“PROBABILITY CONCEPTS”
Random Variable Outcome Event Mutually Exclusive Events Exhaustive Events
Quantity. with An observed value A single outcome Both cannot happen at the same time. Include all possible
uncertain possible of a random or a set of P(A|B) = 0 & outcomes.
value(s). variable. outcomes. P(AB) = P(A|B) × P(B) = 0
Probability in Objective
Probability
terms of
= ()
= +
Updated probability prior
Probability = of new info. × probability of the
unconditional event.
probability of
⇒ Where wi = market value of investment in asset ‘i’ new info.
market value of the portfolio
Counting Methods
Labeling Formula Factorial [!] Permutation [nPr] Combination [nCr] Multiplication Rule
݊! Arranging a given Number of ways of Choosing ‘r’ items The number of ways k
݊ଵ ! … ݊ ! set of ‘n’ items. choosing r objects from from a set of ‘n’ tasks can be done is
The number of ways ‘n’ No subgroups. a total of n objects items when order (n1)(n2)(n3)…(ni).
objects can be labeled There are n! ways when order matters. does not matter.
with k different labels. of arranging ‘n’
items.
Discrete Continuous
Random Variable Finite (measurable) # of possible Infinite (immeasurable) # of possible
outcomes. outcomes.
P(x) cannot be 0 if ‘x’ can occur. P(x) can be zero even if ‘x’ can occur.
Distribution We can find the probability of a We cannot find the probability of a
specific point in time. specific point in time.
Discrete uniform random variable All outcomes have the same probability.
Discrete Continuous
Has a finite number of specified outcomes. Defined over a range with parameters ‘b’
P(x)×k. K is the probability for ‘k’ number of (upper limit) & ‘a’ (lower limit).
possible outcomes in a range. cdf: It is linear over the variable’s range.
cdf: F(xn) = n.p(x). Properties:
P ( x ≤ a) = 0 & P (x ≥ b) = 1
ି
P( a < x < b) =
௫మ ି௫భ
Normal Distribution
Discrete:
Daily, annually, weekly, monthly compounding
Compounds Rate
of Return
Continuous
ln(S1/S0) = ln(1+HPR)
These are additive for multiple periods.
Effective annual rate based on continuous
compounding is given as:
EAR = e Rcc-1
Use of a computer to generate a large number of random samples from a probability distribution
Uses
It is used to: Simulation Procedure for Stock Option Valuation
Plan and manage financial risk.
Value complex securities
Estimate VAR Step 1: Specify underlying variable
Examine model's sensitivity to changes in
the assumptions.
Step 2: Specify beginning value of underlying variable
Limitations
Complex procedure. Step 3: Specify a time period
Highly dependent on assumed distributions.
Based on a statistical rather than an
analytical method. Step 4: Specify regression model for changes in stock price
Random Number Generator Step 5: K random variables are drawn for each risk factor using
An algorithm that generates uniformly computer program/ spreadsheet
distributed random numbers between 0 and 1.
Step 7: Calculate value of call option at maturity and then discount back that
value at time period 0
Step 8: This process is repeated until a specified number of trials ‘I’ is completed.
Step 9: Finally, mean value and S.D. for the simulation are calculated
Student’s T-Distribution
Bell shaped.
Shape is defined by df
df is based on ‘sample size’.
Symmetrical about it’s mean.
Less peaked than normal distribution.
Has fatter tails.
More probability in tails i.e., more observations are
away from the center of the distribution & more
outliers.
Central Limit Theorem (CLT) Point Estimate (PE) Confidence Interval (CI)
For a random sample of size ‘n’ with; Single (sample) value Estimates
population mean µ, used to estimate Results in a range of values within
finite variance (population population parameter. which actual parameter value will
variance divided by sample size) Σܺ fall.
ഥ=
ܺ
σ , the sampling distribution of
2
݊ PE ±(reliability factor × SE).
sample mean x approaches a α= level of significance.
normal probability distribution Estimator: Formula used 1- α= degree of confidence.
with mean ‘µ’ & variance as ‘n’ to compute PE.
becomes large.
Desirable properties of
Properties of CLT an estimator
For n ≥ 30 ⇒ sampling distribution
of mean is approx. normal. Unbiased Efficient Consistent
Mean of distribution of all possible Expected value of If var (ݔଵ ) < var (ݔଶ ) As n , value of
samples = population mean ‘µ’. estimator equals of the same estimator
parameter e.g., parameter then ݔ1 is approaches
E( = )ݔµ i.e, efficient parameter &
sampling error is than ݔ2 sample error
zero. approaches ‘0’
e.g., As n ∝
ݔµ &
CLT applies only when
SE 0
sample is random.
Biases
Data Mining Bias Sample Selection Bias Look –ahead Bias Time-period Bias
Statistical significance of Systematically excluding Using sample data that Time period over
the pattern is some data from analysis. was not available on the which the data is
overestimated because It makes the sample test date. gathered is either
the results were found non-random. too short or too long.
through data mining.
=
;
>
the population.
̅ = .
1 Decision Rule Non-Parametric Test
Decision Rule Do not consider a particular
Reject H0 if TS > TS
Reject H0 if TS > TV population parameter.
S Chi-Square Or
√n
S = F- Distribution Have few assumptions
Distribution
Asymmetrical. Right skewed. regarding population.
Bounded from below Bounded by zero.
∑ ( − ̅ )
=
by zero.
−1
Chi-Square values
can never be –ve.
Decision Rule
H0: µd ≤ µd0 vs Ha: µd > µd0
Reject H0 if TS > TV.
H0: µd ≥ µd0 vs Ha:µd < µd0
Reject H0 if TS <-TV
H0: µd = µd0 vs Ha: µd ≠ µd0
Reject H0 if TS > TV.
“TECHNICAL ANALYSIS”
12. b
Charts of price & volume.
Exponential price change ⇒ charts on a log scale.
Time interval reflects horizon of interest.
Line charts Bar charts Candlestick charts Point & figure charts
Show closing prices as Opening & closing & Same data as bar ∆ in the direction of
data points on a high & low prices. charts. price.
continuous line. Use cross-hatches & Use boxes shaped as Horizontal axis reflects
vertical lines as candle’s body for no. of ∆ in price not
symbols. opening & closing time.
price. Price change
Price moves are much represents the height
more visible. which is “box size”.
Uptrend Downtrend
Reaching higher highs & retracing higher lows. Lower lows & retracing lower highs.
Show, demand is. Show, supply is .
Trend line connects increasing lows. Trend line connects decreasing highs.
Breakdown below uptrend line (significant price change). Breakdown above downtrend line (significant price change).
Price range in which buying activity is Breached resistance levels become Price range in which selling activity
sufficient to stop decline in price. support levels & vice versa. is sufficient to stop rise in price.
Indicate weakening buying pressure. (Similar to H&S). Used to predict the resumption
Selling pressure appears after resistance level. of a market trend.
Double bottom & triple bottom for downtrends.
Triangles Rectangles
Form when the range between high and low prices narrows. Form when trading temporarily range b/w support & resistance level.
Can be symmetrical, ascending or descending. Is a form of continuation pattern with one formed by connecting the high
Suggest buying & selling pressure roughly equal. prices and the other by connecting the lows.
Measuring implication: height of triangle at formation. Flags & pennants ⇒ Form over a short period of time, on a daily price chart.
12. e
Price based Indicators
Bollinger bands
Oscillators
Examples of oscillators
100 × Diff. b/w last closing price & Ratio of = Total price Use exponentially smoothed Calculated from latest closing
closing price x days ago. Total price M.V price & highest & lowest
Buy when oscillator into crosses Oscillate b/w 0-100 . Oscillate around 0 but not prices.
positive territory & vice versa. Value> 70 ⇒ overbought. bounded. Use two lines bounded 0 &
Can be around 0 or around 100. Value < 30 oversold. MACD and signal lines used in 100.
technical analysis in three %k = diff. b/w latest price &
ways: Crossover between recent low as % of diff. b/w
signal line and the MACD; recent high & lows.
trends lines on the MACD Average of the last three %K
itself; and the MACD in or values calculated daily.
outside range.
2. Margin debt
3. Margin Debt
Margin debt ⇒ investor wants to buy more stocks & vice versa.
in M.D, buying, when reach their limit, buying ,
prices , investor sell securities to meet margin calls. 3. Mutual fund cash position
M.D coincides with prices & M.D with prices.
12. f
Cycle theory is study of processes that occur in cycles.
Cycle Periods
Tied to U.S. Presidential Broken down on the basis of 54-year 18-year Cycle
elections cycle with the the last digit in the year; years
third year being prior to ending with a 0(5) have had
election year. the worst (best) performance.
Gen. = Generally
MR. = marginal
revenue
“TOPICS IN DEMAND &
MC. = marginal cost
Prof. max. = profit SUPPLY ANALYSIS”
maximization
Q.D = Quantity
Demanded
Pmt. = payments 1. INTRODUCTION This reading explores how buyers & sellers interact
LR= long-run to determine transaction prices & quantities.
SR=short-run
SMC=short-run
marginal cost 2. DEMAND ANALYSIS
LMC = long-run
marginal cost
MP = marginal
productivity
1
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2017 Study Session # 4, Reading # 14
Total cost of production: Total Product is sum of the • SR avg. total cost Economies of scale:
TC = (w)(L) + (R)(K) output from all inputs. Q x L curve (SATC): Avg. • ↓ in per unit cost by ↑ in
• TC can be ↓ by ↑ Average Product: is total total cost curve when production.
productivity or by ↓ product divided by quantity of some costs are fixed. • LRAC curve with a –ve
• LR avg. total cost curve
ொ
input price & vice versa. a given input. . slope.
Benefits of increased Marginal Product: additional (LATC): Avg. total cost Diseconomies of scale:
productivity output resulting from one curve when no cost is • ↑ in per unit cost by ↑ in
• ↓ business cost ∆ொ fixed. production.
additional unit of input. .
• ↑ in mkt value of equity ∆ • LRAC curve with a +ve
• Compared to total product,
• ↑ in worker rewards slope.
average product & marginal
• ↑ in firm’s competitive
product better gauge firm’s
On next page
2
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2017 Study Session # 4, Reading # 14
Accounting cost:
Monetary value of
economic resources • TC curve lies parallel to & Under perfect Firm B.E.P →TR =
used in business above TVC by the amount competition: maximizes TC, a point
activity i.e. explicit of TFC. • Demand curve is profit by where a
out-of-pocket current • MC curve intersects both horizontal. producing Q firm earns
pmts or allocation of AVC & ATC at their min. • TR curve is linear where P = normal
historical pmts for points. with slope equal to SMC & SMC economic
resources. • If MC is ↓(↑) than AC, AC price per unit. is rising. profit.
Economic Cost: The must ↓ (↑). Under imperfect
sum of total • The rate of ∆ in TC mirrors competition:
accounting costs & the rate of ∆ in TVC. • Demand curve is –
implicit opportunity • Quasi-fixed cost: Cost that vely sloped.
costs. stays same over a range • TR curve rises in the
Accounting Profit: of production & then ∆ range where MR is
Income before tax on when production moves +ve & demand is
income statement. outside of that range. elastic & then falls in
Economic Profit: • AFC ↓ throughout the the range where MR
Accounting profit – production span. is –ve & demand is
implicit opportunity inelastic.
cost.
MR =
∆்ோ
• Sunk costs must be ignored to continue to operate in the SR.
∆ொ
For a firm operating under: • A firm, covering its variable cost, should operate in the SR.
• Shutdown point→ min. AVC.
• Perfect competition→MR = P
• Breakeven point:→min.ATC.
• Imperfect competition→MR < P
∆்
MC =
∆ொ Rev. cost relation SR Decision LR Decision
SMC: additional incurred cost of variable TR = TC Stay in mkt. Stay in mkt.
input to ↑ 1 unit of output. TR = TVC but < TC Stay in mkt. Exit mkt.
LMC: additional incurred cost of all TR < TVC Shutdown production Exit mkt.
inputs to ↑ the level of output. Reference: Exhibit 22: CFA Institute’s curriculum Reading 14
Law of diminishing returns: additional
output must fall as more and more labor
is added to fixed capital.
For profit. maximization: firms should
produce the level of output such that:
i) MR = MC & ii) MC is not falling.
3
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Page 1
2017, Study Session # 4, Reading # 15
In a highly competitive market, long-run profits are decreased by the forces of competition.
In less competitive markets, large profits can persist in the long-run.
In the short-run, any outcome is possible
2.1 Economist’s Four Types of Structures 2.2 Factors that determine Market Structure
Perfect Monopolistic Oligopoly Monopoly Number & Degree of Barriers to Power of Degree of
Competition Competition relative size product entry & exit sellers over non-price
of firms differentiation pricing competition
decisions
Allocative/
Market Number of Degree of Product Barriers to Pricing Power Non-Price Firm’s Non-price Long-run
productive
Structure Sellers Differentiation Entry of Firm Competition Demand competition profits
efficiency
Perfect Homogeneous/Stand Perfectly
Many Very Low None None None Highly efficient 0
Competition ardized elastic
Elastic over
Advertising and some price Less efficient than
Monopolistic
Many Differentiated Low Some Product ranges and Considerable perfect 0
Competition
Differentiation inelastic over competition.
others
Considerable
Advertising and Less efficient than
Homogeneous/Stand Some or Kinked for a
Oligopoly Few High Product perfect Positive
ardized Considerable demand differentiated
Differentiation competition.
oligopoly.
Monopoly One Unique Product Very High Considerable Advertising Inelastic Somewhat Inefficient High
3.1 Demand Analysis in a perfectly competitive Market Impact of Elasticity on Total Revenue
Elastic Demand Unit Elastic Inelastic Effect of steepness/flatness of demand & supply curve on the price elasticity
|ED|>1 |ED| = 1 Demand o Steeper the curve at a given point, less elastic supply or demand will be
|ED|<1 o When curves are flat, demand & supply is referred as perfectly elastic i.e., Demand is
affected by P. (EP = infinity)
o When curves are vertical, supply & demand curves are referred as perfectly inelastic.
(EP = 0). Demand is not affected by P.
Determinants of Elasticity
CS = Value Consumer places on units consumed – Price paid to buy those units
↑P→↑QS
4. MONOPOLISTIC COMPETITION
SR-Economic Profit encourages new firm to enter the market resulting SR-Economics losses encourage firms to exit the market:
in: i) Decrease in number of products offered
↑ number of products offered. ii) Increase in demand faced by remaining products.
Reduction in demand faced by firms already in the market iii) Shift the remaining firms’ demand curve to the right
Incumbent firm’s demand curve shift to the left. iv) Increase the remaining firms’ profit
Demand for incumbent firm’s products fall, & the price declines
In perfect competition, there is no excess capacity in For competitive firm P = MC Unlike perfect competition, in
the long-run, firms produce at their efficient scale. For monopolistically competitive monopolistic competition explicit
In monopolistic competition, output is at less than firm P > MC cost include advertising or
efficient scale of perfect competition marketing cost
Duopoly: It is an oligopoly with only two Price Collusion: An agreement among firms Cartel: A collusive agreement that are made
producers in the market. on the quantity produced and price to openly & formally
charge.
Profit increases.
Factors necessary for a collusion to be successful
Uncertainty of cash flows reduces.
i) Small number of firms in the industry
Provide opportunities to create barriers to
ii)Products produced by firms are identical/same
entry
iii)
Similar cost structure
iv)Orders received by firms are small in size & are
frequent
v) Severe threat of retaliation by other firms in the
market
Pricing Strategies
Nash Equilibrium:
Game theory: Study of how people behave in strategic situations
Nash equilibrium occurs in a non-game situation when a participant is unwilling to deviate from its
strategy having considered their opponent’s strategies.
5.2 Supply Analysis in Oligopoly Market 5.3 Optimal Price & Output in Oligopoly market
No well defined supply schedule There is no single optimum price & output
Output level is determined at point where analysis that is appropriate for all oligopoly
MR = MC market situations.
In the long run, firms either generate
Dominant firm: A firm is referred to as positive profits or breakeven
dominant when firm’s market share ≥ 40%. Reducing prices lead to decline in total
revenue for all the firms
6. MONOPOLY
Characteristics:
i) Single seller & product is highly differentiated
ii) Product offered by a firm has no close substitutes
iii) High barrier to entry
iv) Significant control over pricing (or output/supply)
v) Product is differentiated by the seller by using non-price strategies
6.1 Demand Analysis in Monopoly Markets 6.2 Supply Analysis in Monopoly Markets 6.4 Price Discrimination and Consumer Surplus
Monopolist has downward sloping i) Price is determined by the demand curve It refers to charging consumer different
demand curve ii) Optimal level of quantity is determined prices for the same good
Average Revenue Curve = Market by the intersection of MC and MR i.e. at
Demand Curve QM
Monopolist profit is maximized at iii) Profit maximizing price & output exist at First-degree Price Second-degree Third degree Price
quantity of output where MR = MC the elastic portion of demand curve Discrimination: Price Discrimination:
P = MC → Perfectly competitive firm’s Each consumer is Discrimination: Consumers are
profit-maximizing quantity of output. charged the Monopolist offers segregated by
P > MR = MC at the monopolist profit – Relationship between MR & Price
highest price that a menu of demographics or
maximizing quantity of output. elasticity in Monopoly:
he/she is willing quantity-based other traits.
MR = P × [1 - ] =
ು to pay. pricing options
Relative to competitive industry, a and consumers
monopolist: can select based
i) Produces a smaller quantity (QM < QC) on how highly
ii) Charges a higher price (PM > PC) they value the
iii) Earns economic profit. product.
a) Market power can be measured by estimating the elasticity of demand i) Concentration Ratio
& supply in a market CR = Sum of sales value of the largest x firms/ Total market sales.
Highly elastic → close to perfect competition 0 ≤ CR < 100%
Inelastic → Firms have market power CR = 100% for monopoly
b) Using cross-sectional regression analysis instead of time series analysis CR = 0% for perfectly competitive industry
Complex method ii) Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI):
Different specifications of explanatory variables HHI = Σ squared market share of the ith firm
HHI = 1 → Perfectly competitive industry
For M firms in the market with equal market share:
HHI = (1/M)
Not direct measure of market power
Less appropriate as a profitability measure as it ignores elasticity of
demand
Approach to GDP
Consumption (C) Investment (I) Government spending (G) Net Exports (X-M)
Income
Los 16.e
Los 16.f
IS curve:
(S-I) = (G-T) + (X-M)
It shows the –ve relationship at each level of real interest rate b/w
real interest rate and levels of aggregate income.
LM Curve:
According to quantity theory of money:
MV = PY
where,
M = Nominal money supply
V = Velocity of money
P = Price level
Y = Real income/expenditure
⇒ M/P = Y × (1/V)
It shows the +ve relationship between real interest rate & level of
real income, for a given level of real Ms, at which real MD= real Ms.
Los 16.g
Recessionary Gap: Real GDP < Inflationary Gap: Real GDP > potential
potential GDP ⇒ input prices. GDP ⇒ input prices.
Stagflation:
High unemployment and increasing inflation. (Or) weak economic growth +
high inflation (may be caused by sudden in short-run AS).
Fixed income investments.
Investment in equities.
Investment in commodities.
Los 16.j
Los 16.k
Production function:
It shows the relationship between:
Output & labor,
Capital stock.
Productivity
Total factor productivity ⇒ advances in
technology.
Los 16.L
Expansion: Real GDP Peak: Real GDP Begins Decreasing Contraction: Real GDP Early expansion (recovery): Real
GDP Begins Increasing
Output Output
Employment Employment
Consumption & Investment Consumptions & Investment
Inflation Inflation
17. b
Neoclassical Economists
Keynesian Economists
Monetarists
Austrian School
Results from time lag between which Results from long-term economic changes.
employees & employers find each other.
Cyclical Unemployment
=
An individual, who is actively seeking for work, is available for work
but not working is considered as “unemployed”.
Labor force includes all individuals who are working or are available for
work.
=
17. e
17. f
17. g
Unemployment rate below which upward pressure wages is likely to develop is represented by
NAIRU (Non-Accelerating Inflation on Rate of Unemployment).
Lagging indication:
They have turning points that occur after that of
business cycle.
Limitation:
Relationship b/w various indicators & business cycle
is not exact.
Relationship varies over time.
17. j
Monetary Policy:
It refers to central bank activities to stimulate economic activity
through quantity of money (MS) & credit in an economy.
Expansionary ↑ Contractionary ↓
Quantity of Quantity of
Money & Credit Money & Credit
LOS 18.d
Fisher Effect:
Nominal interest rate = RReal interest rate + Expected inflation
RNOM = Real + E (I)
LOS 18.e
Roles of Central Bank
Sole supplier of Banker to Regulator and Lender of last resort Manage country’s Conductor of
currency Government and supervisor of gold & foreign Monetary Policy
bankers’ bank payment system exchange reserves
Controlling inflation Currency stability Full employment Positive sustainable Moderate interest
economic growth rates
↓ Policy rate
↓ Reserve requirements ↑ MS → Expansionary Policy
Los 18.i
Neutral interest rate = Real trend rate of economic growth + inflation target
Real trend rate ≈ Long-term sustainable real growth rate of an economy
Policy rate > Neutral rate → Contractionary Monetary Policy
Policy rate < Neutral rate → Expansionary Monetary Policy
Fiscal Policy
Advantage: Disadvantage:
i) Quickly implement social policies i) Implementation time lag regarding in direct taxes
Indirect Taxes
ii) Quickly raise revenue at low cost ii) Delayed impact of changes in capital spending
LOS 18.o
LOS 18.p
Policy Particulars
Monetary Fiscal Interest Rates Output
Contractionary Expansionary ↑ ↑
Expansionary Contractionary ↓ Variable
Contractionary Contractionary ↑ ↓
Expansionary Expansionary ↓ ↑
Particulars
Private Sector Spending Public Sector Spending
↓ ↑
↑ ↓
↓ ↓
↑ ↑
Cost of free trade (losses) is borne by domestic industries that lose business to foreign
competition as less efficient producers will leave industry eventually.
⇒ ↑ unemployment
Some argue that,
Benefit of free trade > cost of free trade
PD↑ → Q I ↓ ↑ PD
→ QD↑ → Gain Domesc Producers
→ Loss Domesc Consumer
Export subsidies → ↓ PE → Benefit exporng country at the expense of imporng country government.
Free trade area: Customs union: Monetary union: Common Market: Economic union:
No barriers at all b/w Common set of Adoption of single Allowing free Common institutions &
member countries restrictions against currency movement of factors of coordination of
non-members production among economic policies
members among members
Any surplus (Deficit) in current Account must be offset by deficit (Surplus) in capital & financial account
LOS 19.g
At equilibrium,
Exports – Imports = Private Savings + Government Savings – Domestic Investments
(Or)
X – M = Private Saving + Government Savings – Domestic Investments
Provides forum for Promotes employment, Exchange rate stability Supports open system of Making resources
cooperating on economic growth and international payments. available to members
international monetary poverty reduction and experiencing BOP
problems. facilitates growth of difficulties
international trade.
World Bank Provides
Exchange rate: The price or cost of one currency (DC or FC) in terms of another (FC or DC)
e.g.
DC/FC = Domestic currency per unit of foreign currency
$ 2.510/£ = 2.510 Dollars per one unit of pound.
Nominal Exchange Rate: $2.510/£ means one pound unit can purchase 2.510 units of U.S. dollars.
Real Exchange: It shows the dollar cost of purchasing same unit of goods/services based on
relative price levels among two countries & the current dollar/pound exchange rate.
ಷ
Real exchange rate (d/f) = nominal exchange rate (d/f) ×
ವ
All else constant:
(↓) ↑ CPIFC → (↓) ↑ real exchange rate (DC/FC)
(↓) ↑ CPIDC → (↑) ↓ real exchange rate
(↓) ↑ nominal exchange rate → (↓) ↑ real exchange rate
Spot exchange rate: The exchange rate for immediate delivery
Forward exchange rate: The exchange rate for delivery sometime in future.
LOS 20.b
Foreign Exchange Market
LOS 20.c
i) Direct Quote:
Base Currency: The currency which is represented by
one unit
Price currency: The currency represented by more or
ii) Indirect Quote: less than one unit is called price currency.
Indirect Quote =
!"
LOS 20.d
LOS 20.e
Cross rate:
It’s the exchange rate between two
currencies derived from a third
common currency.
£ &'( £
= ×
$% $% &'(
LOS 20.h
Countries That Do not Have Their Own Currency: Countries That Have Their Own Currency:
i. Use currency of another country as its own (formal i. Currency board arrangement
dollarization). ii. Conventional fixed peg arrangement
ii. Use of a common currency (Participating in a iii. Crawling peg (active and passive)
monetary union) iv. Management of fixed exchange rate with crawling
bands
v. Managed floating exchange rates.
vi. Independently floating rates
LOS 20.j
LOS 20.j
Elasticities Approach:
=
+
' =
+
Marshall – Lerner condition where depreciation of DC → ↓ Trade deficit (X –
M)
WX EX + WI (EI – 1) >0
The J-Curve:
Short-term ↑ in deficit followed by ↓ when Marshall-Lerner condition is met is
referred to as the J-Curve
Absorption Approach:
Focuses on capital account & can be represented by:
BT = Y – E
Where,
BT: Balance of Trade
Y: National Income
E: Domestic expenditure
Amounts Relate to in Cash effects of Resulting from Resulting Reports the amount
charged outflows, equity or transactions acquisition or sale of from issuance & sources of ∆ in
for depletion of net assets that involve PPE, subsidiary or & retirement equity investor’s
delivery of assets and from normal business segment, securities of debt & investment
goods and incurrences peripheral of firm & investments in equity
services in of liabilities or other firms
the which incidental
ordinary decrease transactions
course of equity.
Assets Liabilities Owner’s Equity
business.
F.S notes ⇒ disclosures that provide further details about information in F.S.
Are audited & provide information about accounting methods, assumptions & estimates used by management.
Provide additional information on certain items (e.g. business acquisition or disposal, legal action etc.).
Supplementary Schedules
Provide assessment of financial performance & condition of a company from its management’s perspective and may include
discussions regarding:
results from operations, effects of trends, capital resources, liquidity & general business overview.
accounting policies, discontinued operations, extra ordinary items, unusual & infrequent events, disclosures in interim F.S &
segments need for CF.
21.d
Audit is an independent review of F.S with an objective to provide an opinion on fairness & reliability of F.S.
Board of directors appoint audit firms and a standard auditor’s report contain three paragraphs:
Introductory ⇒ F.S are prepared by management & auditor has performed an independent review.
Scope ⇒ Describes the nature of the audit process and provides reasonable assurance about fairness of F.S.
Opinion ⇒ Expresses the auditor’s opinion on the fairness of the audited F.S. There are three types of audit
opinions:
i. Unqualified opinion ⇒ statements are free from material omissions or errors.
ii. Qualified opinion ⇒ statements make any exception to accounting principles
iii. Adverse opinion ⇒ statements are not presented fairly or are materially nonconforming with standards.
Going concern assumption ⇒ firm will continue to operate for the foreseeable future.
Internal controls ⇒ company’s internal system to ensure that company presents accurate F.S. (auditor must state opinion on
it).
21.e
22.a F.S elements ⇒ major classification of assets, liabilities, owner’s equity, revenues & expenses.
Accounts ⇒ specific records within each element. Chart of accounts is a detailed list of accounts.
Contra accounts ⇒ entries that offset some part of value of another account.
Firm’s economic Creditors’ claim on Owner’s residual Inflows of economic Outflows of economic
resources company’s resources claim on firm’s resources resources
resources
Examples are cash & Examples are AP It includes, capital, It includes sales, gains COGS, SG&A,
equivalent, AR, financial liabilities, additional paid in & investment income depreciation, tax,
inventory, financial unearned revenue capital, retained interest paid & losses.
assets, prepaid exp income tax payable earnings & OCI.
etc. etc.
22.b
22.c
22.d Accruals
Receiving cash before Providing goods or Paying cash ahead of Owing cash for expenses
providing goods/services. services before receiving time for anticipated it has incurred.
Cash , unearned cash. Revenue, AR. expense. Cash, prepaid Expenses, accrued exp.
revenue(liability). exp. (asset). (liability) .
When unearned revenue or prepaid expense arise Cash changes hands first & revenue or expense is recorded later.
When accrued revenue or accrued expense arise Revenue or expense is recorded first & cash changes hands later.
Valuation adjustments ⇒ B.S value of certain assets to reflect their current MV.
To keep equation in balance changes in assets also change equity through I.S or OCI.
22.e
B/S summarizes the company’s financial position at the end of the current accounting
period.
I.S, CF statement & statement of owner’s equity show changes that occurred during the
most recent accounting period.
Listing of all general Sorting the entries in Initial T.B ⇒ shows • Final product
entries. general journal by balance in each account • F.S are prepared based
account. adjusted T.B⇒ after on the account totals
adjusting entries. from an adjusted trial
balance.
22.g
23.b
Form S-1 Form 10-K Form 10-Q Form DEF-14A Form 8-K Form 144 Form 3, 4, & 5
Registration Companies are Quarterly Related to To disclose Companies are Filing about
statement required to file unaudited proxy material required to file beneficial
prior to the this form filings. statement for events this form when ownership.
sale of new annually. Includes info shareholders. including issuing Form 3 is initial
securities Includes info such as MD&A, corporate securities to statement,
such as business accounting , governance, qualified form
& mgmt., legal disposals etc. buyers without
audited F.S etc. disclosures registering the
Not a substitute etc. securities to
for annual SEC.
report.
23.c
One barrier to convergence is different standard setting bodies & regulatory authorities.
Political pressure that regulatory bodies face from business groups is another barrier.
Users with basic knowledge of F.S presentation should be Similar conclusions could be Information is available to users
business should be able to readily consistent among firms & drawn from independent prior to making a decision.
understand the information in F.S. across time periods observers using same method.
An item should be recognized in F.S if future benefit is probable & can be measured reliably.
Measurement Bases
Historical cost Current cost Realizable value Present value Fair value
Amount originally paid Amount to be paid Amount for which firm Discounted value of Exchange asset or settle
for the asset today for the same could sell the asset asset’s expected FCF liability in an arm’s -length
asset transaction.
23.e IAS # 1
Required financial statements Principles for preparing F.S Principles for presenting F.S
FASB IASB
Full disclosure & fair Should include all types of Similar transactions should
presentation. transactions having financial be accounted for in similar
implications. ways.
23.h
24.a
Presentation Formats
24.b Accrual method ⇒ revenue is recognized when earned & expenses are recognized when incurred.
According to FASB revenue is recognized when realized & earned. Four additional guidance are:
There is evidence of arrangement b/w buyer & seller.
The product has been delivered or service has been rendered.
The price is determined or determinable.
The seller is reasonably sure of collecting money.
In some cases revenue may be recognized before delivery or even after delivery.
Appropriate when cost & revenue can reliably estimated. Suitable when uncertain outcomes or short term project.
R.E & profit recognized as work is performed. R.E & profit at project completion.
Measured as total cost to date divided by total project cost. Expected loss recognized immediately (either method).
24.b IFRS ⇒ unreliable outcome, revenue is recognized to the extent of cost, cost is expensed & profit is
recognized at completion.
% of completion method is more aggressive & subjective due to cost estimates, provide smoother
earnings & better matching. C.F are same under both methods.
Installment Sales Firm finances the sale & payments are expected over extended period.
Seller has completed a significant Collectability is uncertain. Profit is recognized when cash
part of earnings process. Profit recognized is based on percentage of sales collected exceeds cost.
Collection is certain or is possible price received as cash.
to estimate the amount that
= ℎ
×
cannot be collected.
Core Principle: Depict promised Contract exists if Companies are required to disclose:
goods/services in an amount to which the →collectability is contract info at year end, disaggregated into different
entity expects to be entitled. probable. categories.
5-Steps to achieve core principle: IFRS: probable means contract-related assets & liab. balances, significant ∆
Identify the contract with a customer. more likely than not. to the balances, remaining obligations with their
Identify the obligation in the contract. U.S GAAP: probable transition prices, any judgments and ∆ in judgments
Determine the transaction price. means likely to occur. related to revenue recognition.
Allocate the price to the obligation. Converged standards
Recognize revenue when entity provide guidance for
satisfies the obligation. contract modifications.
Matching principle ⇒ accrual based ⇒ expense to generate revenue in the same period as
24.c
revenue recognized.
Period costs ⇒ expenditure not directly tied to revenue generation. Expense in period of
incurrence.
Cost of long lived assets (depreciation) also matched with revenue.
Credit sale ⇒ estimate bad debt expense.
24.d Depreciation
Inventory
Specific Identification First-in, first-out Last-in, first-out Weighted Avg. cost method
Can be used if firm can identify Item purchased first is Last item purchased is Easy to use.
which items are sold and assumed to be sold first. assumed to be sold first.
Per unit cost =
which remain in inventory. COGS is charged with early Recent purchases to COGS &
cost of available goods
purchases & inventory with earlier purchases to inventory.
recent purchases. Suitable for durable inventory. Total units
This per unit cost is used to
determine COGS & inventory
Intangible Assets
Discontinued operations Unusual or infrequent items Extraordinary items Changes in accounting standards
Change in accounting principle Change in accounting estimate Correction of a prior period error
∆ From one (U.S. GAAP or Result of a change in management’s judgment. Correction of a prior period error requires
IFRS) policy to another. Applied prospectively. retrospective restatement of financial statements.
Retrospective application. Do not affect C.F.
24.f
24. g & h
Earnings per Share
Corporate profitability performance measure.
Company may have simple (no potentially dilutive securities) or complex (potentially dilutive securities) capital structure.
Reported only for shares of common stock.
Dilutive securities ⇒ options: warrants, convertible debt or convertible
=
.
preferred stock that decrease EPS i.e. basic EPS > diluted EPS.
Weighted Avg. number of shares ⇒ no. of shares outstanding during In case of diluted EPS numerator must be adjusted as follows:
the year, weighted by portion of the year. If convertible preferred stock is dilutive net income would be
Stock dividend ⇒ additional shares to each shareholder. increased by preferred dividends.
Stock split ⇒division of each “old” share into “specific” number of If convertible bonds are dilutive interest exp. multiplied by (1-tax
“new” shares. rate) must be added back to earnings.
Each shareholder’s proportional ownership is unchanged. If dilutive securities, denominator is adjusted for equivalent number of
Stock split or stock dividend is applied to all shares outstanding prior common shares created by conversion of all dilutive securities.
to split or dividend & to the beginning-of-period weighted avg. Dilutive stock options or warrants (EP< AMP), number of shares but no
shares. numerator adjustment.
Treasury stock method
Hypothetical funds received from options used to purchase common
shares at AMP.
Net increase in shares (shares created by option- repurchased
shares).
Net income − Preferred dividend +
convertible preferred dividends +
convertible debt interest1 − T
Diluted EPS =
weighted Avg. shares +
shares from conversion of conv. pfd. shares +
shares from conversion of conv. debt +
shares issuable from stock options
24. k & l
Comprehensive income ⇒ all changes to equity other than owner contributions & distributions.
C.I = net income + OCI (foreign currency G/L, minimum pension liability adjustments, unrealized
G/L on derivative contracts accounted for as hedges & AFS securities).
Transactions included in OCI affect equity but not net income.
AFS securities are reported on B/S at FV and their unrealized G/L as component of OCI.
25.a
Assets are a company’s economic resources from which future economic benefits are
expected to flow & can be created by operating, investing & financing activities.
Liabilities are obligations owed by an entity & created by operating & financing activities.
Stockholder’s equity is residual interest in assets after subtracting a firm’s liabilities & can be
created by operating & financing activities.
Assets on left hand side and liabilities Assets, liabilities & equity are
& equity on right hand side. presented in one column.
Classified balance sheet ⇒separately classifies current and non-current assets and liabilities.
Assets Liabilities
Current assets ⇒ assets likely be converted into cash or used Current liabilities ⇒ obligations that will be satisfied within
up within one year or one operating cycle, whichever is greater. one year or one operating cycle whichever is greater.
Operating cycle ⇒ time from inventory acquisition to cash CA –CL = working capital.
collection. Noncurrent liabilities ⇒ life of more than one year & provide
Noncurrent assets ⇒ not to be converted into cash or used up information about financing activities.
within one year or one operating cycle. (Provide info about
investing activities).
IFRS requires current/ noncurrent format unless liquidity-based
presentation is more relevant and reliable.
Minority interest ⇒ pro-rata share of subsidiary’s net assets,
not owned by parent company.
25.e
Historical cost ⇒ value that was exchanged at the acquisition date. Verifiable & objective but may be less relevant.
Fair value ⇒ amount at which knowledgeable, willing parties exchange asset or settle liability in an arm’s-length transaction.
Standard costing ⇒ assigning predetermined costs to goods produced.
Retail method ⇒ measure inventory at retail price & then subtract G.P in order to reflect cost.
Long term assets with physical substance are tangible assets.
B/S value of tangible assets = HC – Accumulated Depreciation.
H.C = original costs + costs necessary to get the asset ready for use.
Intangible assets ⇒ long term assets that lack physical substance. Financial securities are not intangible assets.
Unidentifiable intangible assets cannot be purchased separately & may have infinite life (tested for impairment at least annually).
U.S.GAAP IFRS
Expensed as incurred.
Research Stage Development Stage
Expensed Capitalized
Goodwill ⇒ excess of purchase price over acquirer’s share in the F.V of identifiable A&L acquired in acquisition.
Net income can be manipulated by allocating more of the acquisition price to goodwill & less to other assets.
Analyst should eliminate G/W impact for comparability.
Financial Assets ⇒ Investment securities (stock & bonds), derivatives, loans & receivables.
Financial Liabilities ⇒ Derivatives, notes payable & bonds payable.
Financial A&L are reported on B.S at FV (marking to market) or amortized cost.
Realized G/L for all categories are reported in IS.
Most financial liabilities are at amortized cost.
Derivatives that are liability to the company, non-derivative instruments & held-for-trading liabilities are reported at FV.
Debt securities (held till maturity). Debt & equity securities (short Neither held till maturity nor traded in the
B/S at amortized cost. term). near term.
Amortized cost = par value ± disc/ premium. B/S at FV. FV at B/S.
Subsequent ∆ in MV is ignored. Unrealized G/L (income statements). Unrealized G/L in OCI
25.f
Contributed capital ⇒ total amount paid in by the common & preferred shareholders.
Authorized shares ⇒ # of shares that may be sold under firm’s articles of incorporation.
Issued shares ⇒ shares actually sold to shareholders.
Outstanding shares ⇒ issued shares – reacquired shares.
Treasury stock ⇒ stock that has been reacquired rather than being cancelled.
U.S.GAAP ⇒ firms can report CI in I.S or in ∆ in equity or separate statement.
IFRS ⇒ firms can report either of the two: 1) a separate I.S and a second statement
including OCI or 2) a single statement of OCI.
25.g
Inflows & outflows of cash resulting from Inflows & outflows resulting from Inflows & outflows of cash resulting
transactions related to a company’s acquisition or disposal of long-term from transactions that affect a firm’s
operating activities that generate revenue. assets & certain investments. capital structure.
Investing activities include: Acquisition of debt & equity investments (other than trading securities) & loans to others.
26.b
Noncash investing & financing activities are not reported in CFS, however,
these activities must be disclosed in either footnotes or supplemental
schedules.
26.c
Key difference in CFS
U.S.GAAP IFRS
26.d
Direct Method
Direct Method Indirect methodIndirect Method
Converts an accrual basis I.S into cash basis I.S Net income is converted to CFO by making adjustment for
Both methods (direct & indirect) are permittedtransactions
under IFRS that affect N.Ihowever,
& U.S.GAAP, but non cash items, non-
the use
operating
of direct method is encouraged. Difference is due items, andoffor
to presentation net changes in operating accruals.
CFO.
U.S.GAAP IFRS
Direct method presentation must also disclose Payments for interest & taxes must be
adjustments to reconcile N.I to CFO. disclosed.
Payment for interest & taxes can be reported in
cash flow statement or in footnotes.
26.f CFO
Calculated by examining change in gross asset accounts that result from investing
activities.
Cash paid for new asset = ending gross asset + gross cost of old assets sold –
beginning gross assets.
Cash from asset sold = B.V of asset ± G/L on sale.
CFF
26.g Adjust I.S item for its corresponding B.S. account & eliminate noncash as well as non operating transactions.
Illustrative conversion process of frequently used accounts is:
Cash payment = COGS + [End. Inventory – Beg. Inventory] – [End. AP – Beg. AP]
to suppliers where COGS + [End. Inventory – Beg. Inventory] = Purchases
Sources & uses of cash change as firm moves through its life cycle.
Over the long term, successful firms must be able to generate CFO that exceed capital
expenditure & provide a return to debt & equity holders.
+ CFO can be generated by earning related activities or by non cash working capital
(not sustainable).
CFO also provides a check of the quality of a firm’s earnings
Variability of N.I & CFO should also be considered.
Common-size CFS
26.i
Free CF ⇒ measure of cash that is available for discretionary purposes (after covering capex).
Under IFRS when dividends paid are classified as operating activity, they should be added back to
CFO to calculate FCFF.
FCFF FCFE
Cash available to all investors. Cash flow available to common equity holders.
FCFF = N.I + NCC + [int(1-tax rate)] – FCInv – WCInv FCFE = CFO – FCInv + Net borrowings.
FCFF = CFO + [int × (1- tax rate )] – FCInv
Firms that follow IFRS must consider dividend &
interest classification.
Firm’s ability to satisfy short term obligations. Measure financial risk & leverage as well as solvency.
the leverage the ratio.
Current Ratio =
if <, 1
Debt to capital ratio = total debt/(total debt + total
Quick Ratio = shareholders’ equity)
Cash + short term marketable securities + receivables Debt-to-equity ratio = total debt/ total equity.
Current liabilities Total debt ratio = total debt / total assets.
Cash Ratio = Financial leverage = total assets / total equity.
Cash + short term marketable securities
Current liabilities
Profitability Ratios
Activity Ratios Liquidity Ratios Solvency Ratios Profitability Ratios Valuation Ratios
How well a firm utilizes Ability to meet Financial leverage How well a Sales per share.
various assets. short-term & ability to meet company EPS.
obligations. longer term generates profits Price to cash
obligations. on its investment. flow.
These categories are not mutually exclusive.
Activity Ratios
Receivable turnover = annual sales / average receivables, (desirable, close to industry norm).
Days of sales outstanding= 365 / receivable turnover.
Collection period too long, too much capital tied in assets, (too low, may hamper sale).
Inventory turnover = cost of goods sold / avg. inventory.
Days of inventory on hand = 365 / inventory turnover, (desirable close to industry norm).
Process period too high, too much capital tied up in inventory (obsolete inventory), if too low, inadequate stock.
Payable turnover = purchases / avg. trade payables.
Number of days of payables = 365 / payable turnover ratio
Total asset turnover = revenue / avg. total assets.
Fixed asset turnover = revenue / avg. net fixed assets.
Net refers to net of Acc. Depreciation.
Working capital turnover = revenue / avg. working capital.
Liquidity Ratios
Solvency Ratios
Profitability Ratios
Net profit margin should be based on net income from continuing operations.
See G.P & N.P margin.
Operating profit margin = EBIT / sales (EBIT = GP – SG&A (analyst should be consistent in calculation method).
Pretax margin = EBT / revenue.
Return on assets = N.I / avg. total assets
misleading, because interest excluded from N.I but total assets include debt as well as equity. Alternative calculation is:
Return on assets = [net income + interest expense (1-tax rate)] / avg. total assets.
Operating return on assets = EBIT / avg. total assets.
Return on total capital = EBIT / avg. total capital
alternative way is to include PV of operating leases as asset & liability.
Return on equity = net income / avg. total equity.
Return on common equity = (N.I – preferred dividends) / avg. common equity.
Analyst should be concerned if these ratios are low.
27.d
DuPont system of analysis ⇒ can be used to analyze ROE (analyst can use impact of leverage, profit margins & turnover
on shareholders’ returns).
DuPont System
ROE = [net income / sales] [sales / assets] [assets / equity]. ROE = [N.I / EBT] [EBT / EBIT] [EBIT / sales] [sales / T.A] [T.A
DuPont is a way to decompose ROE, to better understand / T.E].
the changes that are driving the ROE. in tax or interest burden will ROE.
More leverage does not always lead to higher ROE (as
leverage rises, so does the interest burden).
27.e
27.f Ratio analysis can be used in preparing pro forma financial statements.
“What if” questions. Based on scenarios & yield Probability distributions for key
a range of values or variables are selected & computer
outcomes. is used for outcome.
Unit sold is matched with 1st item purchased is the 1st Recent purchases sold 1st. Avg. cost of goods available =
unit’s actual cost. item sold. COGS measured using recent total cost / quantity.
Suitable for items not Ending inv. includes most prices. COGS = avg. cost × units sold.
interchangeable, expensive recent purchases, COGS Prices LIFO COGS > FIFO End. Inv. = avg. cost × units
unique. earliest purchases. COGS. remaining.
earnings taxes, CF.
End. Inv. at earliest cost.
Inv. values & COGS are Inv. values & COGS are Periodic Perpetual
determined at end of updated continuously.
accounting period. Inv. purchases & sold directly
Beg.inv + purchase = cost of recorded in inv., no purchase FIFO WAC. FIFO WAC.
goods available for sale. account.
COGS = cost of goods No difference No difference
(allocation is same) (allocation is same)
available – ending inv.
Purchases are recorded in a
Significantly Different
purchase account. Allocation
Beg. Inventory + Purchase = Cost of goods available for sale Quite Different Similar
Allocation Allocation
Cost of goods available for sale = Ending inventory + cost of sale
Under US GAAP:
28. h • Conditions are similar to IFRS but also requires co. to explain thoroughly.
• ∆ from LIFO to another method requires retrospective restatements.
• ∆ to LIFO is on prospective basis and retrospective restatement is not
required.
Inventory Adjustments
28 g
IFRS US GAAP
28.i j k l
Presentation & Disclosure
Other Ratios
↑ ITO, ↓ DIH → Effective inv. Mgmt. Co. from highly competitive
(indirectly impacted)
↓ ITO, ↑ DIH could reflect→ slow moving, obsolete, ind. → ↓ GPM
Inadequate Inv.or inv. write down Co. with fewer competitors • Current Ratio
Slow g. + ↑ITO → Inadequate Inv. levels → ↑ GPM • ROA
Inv. write down could reflect → poor inv. mgmt. • D/E
Companies selling staple products → ↑ ITO
Companies selling luxury products → ↓ ITO
IFRS and US GAAP require companies to disclose either on B.S or in notes, the carrying amounts of inv. in
classifications (e.g. raw material, W.I.P, finished goods).
Analysts should compare g rate of sales to g rate of finished goods inv.
Analysts should consider MD&A and similar sections for related info.
Analysts should consider differences in choice of inv. valuation method when conducting comparisons.
“LONG-LIVED ASSETS”
G/W =Goodwill NRV = Net Realizable Value
SL =Straight Line 29.a, c FV = Fair Value
RV =Residual Value CF = Cash Flows
BV =Book Value Expenditure can either be capitalized as an asset (investing outflow) or expensed in I.S. BC = Business
B.S =Balance Sheet Nonmonetary exchange, cost is based on F.V. Combination
PP&E =Property, Plant & If expensed then operating outflow, total CF is unaffected by expensing vs. capitalizing DDB = Double Declining
Equipment decision. Balance
SV = Salvage Value CV = Carrying Value
F.S = Financial Capitalized Interest HC = Historical Cost
statements G/L = Gain & Loss
Pmt = payment Interest cost is capitalized when an asset is constructed for own use or for resale under i-exp = interest expense
both standards.
Interest rate is based either on debt acquired to specifically finance the asset’s
construction or the firm’s existing borrowings.
Interest cost is charged to I.S through depreciation or COGS.
In CF statement, cap. Interest is an outflow from investing activities.
Income earned by temporarily investing borrowed funds reduces borrowing costs
available for capitalization (IFRS). No reduction under U.S. GAAP.
29.b
Intangible assets ⇒ long term assets that lack physical substance (e.g. brand
name, copyrights etc.).
Finite-life intangible asset ⇒ amortized; Indefinite-life ⇒ impairment test.
Intangible Assets
Capable of being separated from firms, controlled by firms Cannot purchase separately & may have indefinite life (e.g.
& expected to provide future eco. benefit (IFRS). G/W).
Future eco. benefit must be probable & asset cost can be G/W is excess of purchase price over FV of identifiable net
measured reliably. assets.
Expensed as incurred except the following exceptions. Initially at FV. Acquisition method is
If part of a group, then used for B.C.
R&D Costs
purchase price allocated Purchase price is allocated
to each asset based on its to assets & liabilities of
FV. acquired firm on the basis
IFRS U.S. GAAP
Analyst is more interested of their FV, any remaining
in type of asset rather amount is G/W.
Research cost ⇒expensed Expensed
value.
Development cost⇒ capitalized. Capitalizing intangible
assets have similar effects
Software development cost as capitalizing other
expenditures.
IFRS U.S.GAAP
Depreciation Methods
Same amount each year. More dep. in early years & less in later years. Based on asset production activity rather time.
Dep. expense = (original cost – SV) Less N.I in early years.
Dep. = × output units in period
/ useful life. DDB dep. in year X = × BV
Once CV reaches SV, no additional dep. expense.
Longer useful life & higher salvage value ⇒ dep. N.I & vice versa.
∆ in estimate (useful life or SV ) affects financial statements prospectively.
Estimate involved when allocating dep. Exp. between COGS & SG&A by a manufacturing firm
(affect GP margin).
29.f & g
Amortization is identical to the depreciation of tangible assets (same methods & estimates are used).
Indefinite life intangibles are tested for impairment at least annually.
Examples include acquired license, acquired trademark etc.
Most long-lived assets ⇒ carried at depreciated cost & no FV alternative under U.S.GAAP.
IFRS provide alternative ⇒ revaluation model (long-lived assets at FV).
FV < carrying amount ⇒ loss in I.S, income & and thus equity.
Subsequent increase ⇒ gain in I.S up to previous loss and any excess in equity.
in asset value above carrying amount ⇒ component of shareholders’ equity (revaluation surplus).
Subsequent decline ⇒ reduce surplus and remainder is recorded as loss in I.S.
Upward revaluation results in total assets & equity, dep. Exp. & profitability in periods after revaluation.
29. i Impairment
IFRS U.S.GAAP
If CV > recoverable amount then impaired. Impaired if firms are unable to recover CV through
Recoverable amount = greater of, FV – selling cost or future use.
value in use.
Value in use = PV of future CF stream.
Impairment Steps
If impaired, B.S value is recoverable amount & loss (CV
– recoverable amount) is recorded in I.S.
Loss reversal is allowed (limited to original loss).
Recoverability Loss measurement
Long lived assets held for sale Impaired if CV > Value written down
future undiscounted to FV on B.S & loss
CF. (CV –FV) in I.S.
If firm reclassify from held for use to held for sale,
Loss recovery is not
impairment test, impaired if CV > NRV, NRV at B.S &
permitted.
loss in I.S.
Loss reversal allowed under IFRS & U.S.GAAP (limited
to original impairment loss).
29.j
Derecognition
Diff. b/w sale proceeds & CV ⇒ G/L No proceeds. G/L is computed by comparing CV of
in I.S. CV removed from B.S & loss in I.S. old asset with FV of old asset (or FV
G/L as part of other G/L or reported of new asset if more evident).
separately if material. CV of old asset removed & new
G/L removed from N.I when asset recorded at FV.
calculating CFO from indirect
method.
Basis for measurement, useful life Similar as PP&E Dep. Exp. & balance of major classes Provide an estimate of
& dep. method. except, must of assets by nature & function. amortization expense for
Gross CV, Acc. Dep. & reconciliation disclose whether Description of dep. methods for next five years.
of carrying amount from beg. to useful lives are finite major asset classes. Gross carrying amount and
ending period. or indefinite. Accumulated Dep. By major classes accumulated amortization
Agreement to acquire PP&E in or total. expense in total and by
future & assets pledge as collateral. Description of impaired asset & major asset classes.
Revaluation date, CV using H.C impairment circumstances. The aggregate amortization
model & how FV is determined. How FV is determined. expense.
Carrying amount under cost model Amount & location of loss in
and revaluation surplus financial statements.
Amount & reversals of impairment
losses recognized in the period.
Circumstances & main events
leading to loss recognition in I.S.
29. n Investment Property: Property to earn rental income or capital gains or both.
If chosen model:
Investment property Cost Model No ∆ in CV
reclassified as
Owner occupied property or
part of inventory
If chosen model: FV Property’s cost at FV for subsequent accounting
Owner occupied property Property will be carried at FV & ∆ from depreciated cost
If chosen model: FV to FV will be treated as revaluation surplus/loss
reclassified as
Investment property
Leases:
an
Under U.S. GAAP, two types of non operating leases (from lessor’s perspective):
Direct Finance lease: Sales-type lease:
• when PV of leased pmts = CA of leased assets • when PV of leased pmts > CA of leased assets
“INCOME TAXES”
I.T = Income Tax VA = Valuation Allowance
30. a Tax Loss Terminology
DTA = Deferred Tax Asset A&L = Assets & Liabilities
DTL = Deferred Tax Liabilities NI = Net Income
C/F = Carry Forwards FS = Financial Statement
Amount of I.T expense may differ from actual taxes owed to taxing
authorities.
Taxable income ⇒ income subject to tax based on tax return.
Taxes payables (current tax expense) ⇒ tax liability on B.S caused by taxable
income.
Income tax paid ⇒ actual CF for I.T including from prior periods payments or
refunds from received in the current period.
Tax loss carry forward ⇒ current loss to reduce future taxable income (can
result in DTA).
Tax base ⇒ amount at which the asset or liability is valued for tax purposes.
30. b
DTL is created when I.T expense is > than taxes payable due to temporary
differences.
DTL occurs when
Revenues in I.S before on tax return due to temporary differences.
Expenses are tax deductibles before recognizing in I.S.
DTA is created when taxes payable are > income tax exp due to temporary
differences.
Post-employment benefits, warranty expenses & tax loss C/F are causes of
DTA.
DTA occurs when
Revenues are taxable before recognizing in I.S.
Expenses are recognized in I.S before they are tax deductible.
Tax loss C/F is available to reduce future taxable income.
30. c
Tax base of assets ⇒ amount that will be deducted on tax return in future as
eco benefit of asset are realized.
Carrying value ⇒ value of asset reported on F.S, net of depreciation &
amortization.
Tax base of liabilities ⇒ CV of liability – any amount deductible on tax return
in future.
Tax base of revenue received in advance = CV – amount of revenue that will
not be taxed in future.
30.d
Example
30. e
30. f
30. g
30. h
30. i
Disclosure is about:
DTA, DTL & VA, net ∆in VA.
Any unrecognized DTL for undistributed earnings of subsidiaries & joint
ventures.
Current year tax effect of each difference.
Components of I.T expenses & tax loss C/F & credits.
Reconciliation of reported I.T provision and the I.T provision computed
using the statutory tax rate.
30. j
Undistributed profit from an No deferred taxes for foreign corporate Deferred taxes are recognized unless the
investment in a joint JVs that meet the indefinite reversal venture is able to control the sharing of
venture (JV). criterion. profit and it is probable that the temporary
difference will not reverse in the foreseeable
future.
Undistributed profit from an Deferred taxes are recognized on Deferred taxes are recognized unless the
investment in an associate temporary differences. investor is able to control the sharing of
firm. profit and it is probable that the temporary
difference will not reverse in the foreseeable
future.
Deferred tax asset Recognized in full and then reduced if Recognized if “probable” that sufficient
recognition “more likely than not” that some or the taxable profit will be available to recover the
entire tax asset will not be realized. tax asset.
Tax rate used to measure Enacted tax rate only. Enacted or substantially enacted tax rate.
deferred taxes
Presentation of deferred Classified as current or noncurrent based Netted and classified as noncurrent.
taxes on the balance sheet on the classification of the underlying
asset or liability.
MRI (return required by bondholders) = CR. CR < MRI = discount. CR > MRI= Premium.
PV of coupon + PV of face amount = par value. Investors pay less than Investor will pay more for
A&L by face value on B.S. face value because of attractive coupon rate.
Interest expense = coupon paid (I.S). low coupon.
Issuance proceeds as CFF inflow, coupon payment in
CFO & repayment of face value, outflow from CFF.
Under U.S. GAAP or as CFO or CFF under IFRS. B/S Impact
31. b I.E includes amortization of discount or premium at issuance if not issued at par.
I.E (effective I.R method) = BV of bond liability t–1 × MRI at issuance.
Premium bonds ⇒ I.E < coupon payment, difference is amortization of premium.
I.E as bond liability & reduces periodic premium amortization & vice versa in
case of a discount bond.
Issuance Cost
Bond issuance costs usually netted against bond proceeds & reported as CFF.
IFRS U.S.GAAP
Initial bond liability on B/S is reduced by Capitalize as an asset & allocate over term of
amount of issuance cost, effective I.R. bond.
FV Reporting Option
If technical default (covenant violated), bondholder can demand immediate repayment of principal.
31. e
Firms provide disclosure about long term debt in footnotes & MD&A.
Disclosure usually includes maturity dates, stated & effective I.R, restrictions by creditors & the
amount of scheduled debt repayments for the next five years.
Discussion in MD&A can be both quantitative & qualitative.
31. f
Lease ⇒ contractual arrangement whereby the owner (lessor) grants lessee the right to use the asset for a particular period &
payment.
Leasing can have less costly financing, reduce obsolescence risk, less restrictive provisions, off B.S financing & tax reporting advantages.
Lease Classification
IFRS U.S.GAAP
If all rights & risks of ownership are transferred to Capital lease if any of following occur:
lessee, finance lease. Title transferred at lease end.
Circumstances for a finance lease include: Bargain purchase option.
Title transferred at end of lease. Lease period is 75% or more of asset’s life.
Lessee can purchase assets at significant PV of lease payment is 90% or more of FV
lower price in future. leased asset
Lease term covers major portion of asset’s
economic life.
The PV of lease payments is substantially
equal to FV of leased asset.
Specialized asset, that only lessee can use
without modifications.
Lease not meeting any of above criteria is operating lease & preferred by lessee (no Liability).
Lessor’s perspective
If all rights & risks of ownership are transferred, If any one of lease criteria is met, & reasonably
finance lease, otherwise operating. assured cash collectability, & lessor has
substantially performed under the lease, capital
lease, otherwise operating.
Turnover ratios will be lower under EBIT for capital lease. CFO & CFF under finance lease &
finance lease. Total expense over life of lease is same. vice versa in case of O.L.
ROA, leverage ratios, current N.I in early years will be lower under Total CFs are unaffected.
ratio & working capital under capital finance lease (sum of dep. & interest is >
lease. lease payment) & higher in later years.
U.S.GAAP IFRS
Sales-type lease
Lessor (normally manufacturer or dealer) sells asset for PV of lease payment &
provides loan of same amount to buyer.
Sale = PV of lease payment, cost = CV of asset & difference is GP.
Principal portion reduces lease receivable & interest portion is recognized as
interest income.
In CFS, interest is inflow from CFO & Principal as inflow from CFI.
Operating Lease
31. i
Both lessee & lessor are required to disclose useful information about leases, including ;
General description of leasing arrangement.
Timing, nature & amount to be paid or received in each of next five years & payments
after 5 years are aggregated.
Lease revenue & expense in I.S & amount receivable & unearned revenues.
Restrictions imposed by lease agreements.
I.R used in lease calculations is not always disclosed.
Company contributes a defined amount into the plan More complicated than DCP.
(treated as pension expense). Company promises future benefits to be paid to
Cash flows contributed to the plan are treated as an employees during retirement.
operating cash outflows. Assumptions are made to determine future obligation.
Impact on assets & liabilities ⇒ in cash & a liability is The pension obligation is allocated over the employee’s
recognized if some portion of agreed upon amount has employment as part of pension expense.
not yet been paid.
Recognition of DBP
IFRS U.S.GAAP
∆ in net pension asset or liability have three components. ∆ in net pension asset or liability each period is viewed as having
five components.
′
Three components are recognized in P&L in the period
/
&
incurred.
& Service costs.
Interest exp.
Employees’ service costs ⇒ PV of in the pension benefit Expected return on assets ( amount of expense
earned by the employee by providing one more year of service. recognized).
Past service costs & actuarial G/L are recognized in OCI &
Net interest expense or income ⇒ net pension asset or liability × subsequently amortized over time (smooth pension
discount rate (reflective of high quality corporate bond yield). expenses).
Remeasurements:
Actuarial G/L resulting from ∆ made to assumptions.
Actual return on plan asset – any return included in net
interest exp or income
31. l In evaluating solvency (ability to satisfy long-term obligations), analysts look at leverage &
coverage ratios
Ratios
Measure amount of debt (interest bearing obligation) in capital Sufficiency of earnings to repay interest & other fixed charges.
structure. Interest coverage = EBIT / interest payment.
Debt-to-assets ratio = total debt / total assets (% of total assets Fixed charges coverage = EBIT + lease payment / interest + lease
financed with debt). payments.
Debt-to-capital ratio = total debt / (total debt + total equity) Lower the ratios, the greater difficulty to make payments.
(total capital excludes non-interest bearing liabilities).
Debt-to-equity ratio = total debt / total equity (amount of debt
financing relative to equity base).
Financial leverage ratio = Avg. total assets / Avg total equity
(leverage used in DuPont)
Higher these ratios, higher the leverage.
1. INTRODUCTION
2. CONCEPTUAL OVERVIEW
Low High
High quality reporting does not guarantee that earnings are also of high
quality.
Financial reporting that departs from GAAP can generally be considered poor
quality.
Under this situation, assessment of earnings quality is difficult or impossible.
Companies use the accounting provisions to estimate big losses in the current
period so the performance in future periods will appear good.
Both U.S.GAAP & IFRS require accruals of estimates of future non-payments of
loans.
3.1 Motivations
National regulators & regulations that establish & enforce rules can play a
significant role in financial reporting quality.
Features of regulatory regime that affect financial reporting quality includes:
Registrations requirements.
Disclosure requirements.
Auditing requirements.
Management commentaries.
Responsibility statements
Regulatory review of filings
Enforcement mechanisms.
3.3.2. Auditors
4.2.1 How Accounting Choices and Estimates Affect Earnings and Balance Sheets
Exhibit 22. Areas Where Choices and Estimates Affect Financial Reporting
Exhibit 22. Areas Where Choices and Estimates Affect Financial Reporting
Long-lived assets: Depreciation policies Do the estimated life spans of the associated assets make sense, or are
they unusually low compared with others in the same industry?
Have there been changes in depreciable lives that have a positive effect on
current earnings?
Do recent asset write-downs indicate that company policy on asset lives
might need to be reconsidered?
Intangibles: Capitalization policies Does the company capitalize expenditures related to intangibles, such as
software? Does its balance sheet show any R&D capitalized as a result of
acquisitions? Or, if the company is an IFRS filer, has it capitalized any
internally generated development costs?
How do the company’s capitalization policies compare with the
competition?
Are amortization policies reasonable?
Allowance for doubtful accounts/loan loss Are additions to such allowances lower or higher than in the past?
reserves Does the collection experience justify any difference from historical
provisioning?
Is there a possibility that any lowering of the allowance may be the result
of industry difficulties along with the difficulty of meeting earnings
expectations?
Inventory cost methods Does the company use a costing method that produces fair reporting
results in view of its environment? How do its inventory methods compare
with others in its industry? Are there differences that will make
comparisons uneven if there are unusual changes in inflation?
Does the company use reserves for obsolescence in its inventory
valuation? If so, are they subject to unusual fluctuations that might
indicate adjusting them to arrive at a specified earnings result?
If a company reports under US GAAP and uses last-in-first-out (LIFO)
inventory accounting, does LIFO liquidation (the assumed sale of old,
lower-cost layers of inventory) occur through inventory reduction
programs? This inventory reduction may generate earnings without
supporting cash flow, and management may intentionally reduce the
layers to produce specific earnings benefits.
Tax asset valuation accounts Tax assets, if present, must be stated at the value at which management
expects to realize them, and an allowance must be set up to restate tax
assets to the level expected to eventually be converted into cash.
Determining the allowance involves an estimate of future operations and
tax payments. Does the amount of the valuation allowance seem
reasonable, overly optimistic, or overly pessimistic?
Are there contradictions between the management commentary and the
allowance level, or the tax note and the allowance level? There cannot be
an optimistic management commentary and a fully reserved tax asset, or
vice versa. One of them has to be wrong.
Look for changes in the tax asset valuation account. It may be 100%
reserved at first, and then “optimism” increases whenever an earnings
boost is needed. Lowering the reserve decreases tax expense and
increases net income.
Goodwill Companies must annually assess goodwill balances for impairment on a
qualitative basis. If further testing appears necessary, it is based on
estimates of the fair value of reporting units (US GAAP issuers) or cash-
generating units (IFRS issuers), which are associated with goodwill
balances. The tests are based on subjective estimates, including future
cash flows and the employment of discount rates.
Do the disclosures relating to the goodwill testing suggest that the testing
was skewed to avoid goodwill impairment charges?
Exhibit 22. Areas Where Choices and Estimates Affect Financial Reporting
Warranty reserves Have additions to the reserves been reduced, perhaps to make earnings
targets? Examine the trend in the charges of actual costs against the
reserves: Do they support or contradict the warranty provisioning activity?
Do the actual costs charged against the reserve give the analyst any
indication about the quality of the products sold?
Related-party transactions Is the company engaged in transactions that disproportionately benefit
members of management? Does one company have control over another’s
destiny through supply contracts or other dealings?
Do extensive dealings take place with non-public companies that are under
management control? If so, non-public companies could absorb losses
through supply arrangements that are unfavorable to the private
company, for example) in order to make the public company’s
performance look good. This scenario may provide opportunities for an
owner to cash out.
33.a
Trends in ratios & difference b/w firm & competitors or industry avg. indicate firm’s business strategy.
Ratio of GP/OP will higher for a firm that spends largely on R&D.
If firm going to improve EPS by cost cutting, examine operating & gross margins.
Non-U.S companies that use any accounting standards other than IFRS or U.S. GAAP & file with the U.S SEC
were previously required to reconcile their net income & equity accounts to U.S. GAAP.
33.b
Forecast of future N.I & CF begins with forecast of future sales (top down approach).
Analyst estimates company sales by multiplying projected industry sales with projected
market share.
Simple forecasting model ⇒ historical avg. or trend adjusted measure of profitability.
Complex forecasting model ⇒ each I.S & B.S item estimated based on separate assumptions
about its growth to revenue growth.
To estimate CF ⇒ make assumptions about future sources & uses of cash.
33.d
Portfolio stocks from large universe of equity investments are selected based on accounting items & ratios.
Multiple criteria are used instead of single factor in order to avoid other undesirable characteristics.
Back testing ⇒ using a specific set of criteria to screen historical data to determine how portfolios will perform.
33.e
F.S must be adjusted for different accounting methods to make them comparable.
Important differences b/w IFRS & U.S. GAAP are: effect of exchange rate changes,
treatment of internally generated intangible assets etc.
3. COMPANY
STAKEHOLDERS
3.1 3.2
Stakeholders Principal-Agent & Other
Groups Relationships in
Corporate Governance
1
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2
2017 Study Session # 10, Reading # 34
4. STAKEHOLDER MANAGEMENT
4.1 4.2
Overview of Stakeholder Management Mechanism of Stakeholder Management
4.2.2 4.2.8
Board of 4.2.4 4.2.6 Contractual 4.2.10
Directors Reporting & Remuneration Agreement Contractual Agreement with
Mechanisms Transparency Policies with Creditors Customers & Suppliers
2
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3
2017 Study Session # 10, Reading # 34
• oversees audit & • ensures co. • specializes in • identifies & • assists the Reviews material
control systems & adopts good remuneration recommends board in invst.
financial corp. gov. matters. qualified determining opportunities (e.g.
reporting practices. • handles the members for risky policies. large projects,
processes. • reviews contracts & board • oversees acquisitions,
• recommends the policies on performances nomination. enterprise risk expansion,
appointment of regular basis. of managers • establishes mgmt. divestitures etc.)
independent • monitors co.’s & directors. board’s implementation proposed by
external auditors. compliance nomination mgmt.
• proposes with the procedures &
auditor’s applicable policies.
remuneration. laws & •
• External & regulations.
internal auditors
report to the
audit committee.
3
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4
2017 Study Session # 10, Reading # 34
6.1 6.2
Market Factors Non-market Factors
6.2.3
6.1.1 6.1.2 6.1.3 6.2.1 6.2.2 The Corporate
Shareholder Shareholder Competition Legal The Media Governance
Engagement Activism & Takeovers Environment Industry
Engagement Shareholders’ Corporate Takeovers: Two legal systems: • Media has The demand
of companies strategies to • Proxy contest • Common Law ability to spread for external
with compel co. to • Tender offer • Civil Law info. quickly & corp. gov. has
shareholders. act in a desired • Hostile takeover Common law shape public grown
manner. Anti-takeover offers superior opinion. considerably in
measures include protection of • Media can recent years
staggered board, interests of motivate amid ↑ in imp.
poison pills etc. shareholders & politicians & of corp. gov.
creditors. regulators to monitoring and
introduce corp. proxy voting.
gov. reforms.
7.1 7.2
Risks of Poor Governance & Benefits of Effective Governance
Stakeholder Management & Stakeholder Management
4
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5
2017 Study Session # 10, Reading # 34
5
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6
2017 Study Session # 10, Reading # 34
6
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Page 1
2017, Study Session # 10, Reading # 35
“CAPITAL BUDGETING”
CB = Capital Budgeting
DR = Discount Rate
NPV = Net Present Value
IRR = Internal Rate of Return
CF = After Tax Cash flows at
DCF = Discounted Cash Flows
Time t
AAR = Average Accounting Rate of Return
r = Required Rate of Return
PI = Profitability Index
1. INTRODUCTION
Step I Generating Ideas ⇒ Step II Analyzing Individual ⇒ Step III Planning the Capital ⇒ Step IV Monitoring & Post
Proposals Budget Auditing
Ideas can come from anywhere To forecast CF of each project & Consider profitable proposals within Post audit ⇒ actual result is
(from top or bottom of organization evaluate profitability. company’s overall strategies. compared with predicted results,
or outside the company) any difference must be explained.
Classification of CB Projects
Replacement Projects Expansion Projects New Products & Regulatory, Safety & Other Projects
Services Environmental
Projects
DR that makes PV of future after-tax CF equal to that of investment outlay (one investment outlay).
౪
IRR = ∑ = outlay.
(
)౪
Decision rule for IRR = invest if IRR > r.
No. of years required to recover the original investment in a project (based on CF).
It ignores time value of money, risk of project & CF after payback period is reached.
Measure of payback & liquidity & not profitability.
Simple and very easy to explain.
No decision rule like NPV or IRR.
No. of years it takes for cumulative DCF from a project to equal the original investment.
If project has negative NPV, usually no discounted payback period.
It considers time value of money & risk within discounted payback period.
Ignores CF after discounted payback period is reached.
Not a good measure of profitability & possibility of negative CF after discounted payback period.
=
Advantage ⇒ easy to understand & calculate.
Disadvantages ⇒ based on accounting numbers, not CF, does not account for time value of
money & no sound cutoff that distinguishes b/w profitable & unprofitable investments.
= = 1 +
PI is ratio of PV of future CF & initial investment while NPV is difference b/w these two.
Investment decision rule = invest if PI ≥ 1.0
Also called “benefit-cost ratio” in govt & not-for- profit organizations.
Single & independent conventional projects ⇒ no conflict b/w decision rule for NPV & IRR.
Mutually exclusive projects ⇒ criteria sometimes disagree (choose project based on NPV).
NPV assumes more realistic reinvestment rate assumption.
NPV shows amount of gain as currency amount while IRR gives a rate of return.
Several other methods instead of NPV & IRR are heavily used (e.g. in European countries, payback period).
U.S. companies are larger and companies prefer NPV & IRR over payback period.
Private companies use payback period more frequently.
Companies managed by an MBA ⇒ preference for DCF techniques.
NPV criterion most directly related to stock prices.
Value of company = value of existing investment + PV of future investments.
Impact of investment on stock price depends on whether profitability is more or less than expected.
CB process demonstrates two things about quality of management.
Degree to which management purses goal of shareholder’s wealth maximization.
Effectiveness in pursuing that goal.
“COST OF CAPITAL”
WACC =
Weighted Avg. Cost of Capital SYS = Sovereign Yield Spread
MCC =
Marginal Cost of Capital FC = Flotation Cost
TCS =
Target Capital Structure IB = Investment Banker
IOS =
Investment Opportunity
1. INTRODUCTION CF = Cash Flows
Schedule MP = Market Price
YTM = Yield-to-Maturity Cost of capital is important in investment decisions for PS = Preferred Stock
ERP = Equity Risk Premium management & investors. DDM = Dividend Discount Model
DDM = Dividend discount model If return is > cost of capital, company has created value.
Cost of capital estimation requires assumptions &
estimates.
Company must estimate project-specific costs of capital.
2. COST OF CAPITAL
WACC = wୢ rୢ 1 − t + w୮ r୮ + wୣ rୣ
Cost of capital for entire company is WACC, which is also referred as MCC.
where
wୢ = proportion of debt
rୢ = before tax cost of debt
, =
&
.
2.3 Applying the Cost of Capital to Capital Budgeting & Security Valuation
Company’s MCC may as additional capital is raised, & returns as company makes additional
investments represented by IOS.
Optimal capital budget ⇒ amount of capital raised and invested at which marginal cost of capital
is equal to marginal return from investing.
Upward or downward adjustment to company’s WACC if systematic risk of project is above or
below the company’s risk.
NPV = PV of inflows (discounted at project’s cost of capital) – PV of outflows.
If we are using the company’s WACC to calculate project NPV, we assume:
Project has same risk as avg. risk project of company.
Constant TCS throughout useful life.
If free cash flow to firm, use weighted avg. cost of capital for company valuation.
If free CF to equity, use cost of equity to find PV of these CF.
3.1.1 Yield-to-Maturity Approach 3.1.2 Debt-Rating Approach 3.1.3 Issues in Estimating the Cost of Debt
Yield that equates PV of Used when MP of debt is not 3.1.3.1 Fixed-Rate Debt versus Floating-Rate Debt
bond’s promised payments to available.
MP. Before-tax cost of debt = yield on Estimating cost of floating rate debt is difficult
YTM assumes reinvestment at comparably rated bonds for (depends on current & future yield).
YTM. maturities closely matching
those of company’s debt. 3.1.3.2 Debt with Option like Features
Important consideration ⇒ debt
ratings are ratings of debt issue
Cost of debt is difficult to determine if debt has
itself.
option like features (call, put etc.).
Analysts can make market value adjustments to
3.2 Cost of Preferred Stock
YTM for options.
=
Where If company does not have rated bonds,
=
“synthetic” debt rating based on financial ratios is
=
used, it ignores information on bond issue &
issuer.
Dividend on Ps is not tax-deductible.
Certain number of features (e.g. call option, cumulative dividends etc.) affect cost of PS & hence
3.1.3.4 Leases
require adjustment.
Company may increase common equity through earnings reinvestments or issuance of new shares.
= + −
= + ଵ (factor risk premium), +ଶ (factor risk premium)2 +---------- (factor risk premium)j.
Multifactor model (factors that may be other sources of priced risk).
= +
భ
Realized ERP is a good indicator of Ask panel of finance experts for their
బ
expected ERP. estimates & take mean response.
ଵ= next year dividend
Where
Use historical data for avg. return of Adjust ERP for particular project or
= current market value
market portfolio & avg. RFR. company by adjusting its systematic risk.
Limitations
g = growth rate.
Stock index risk level may change over భ
= dividend yield.
is dividend yield plus growth in
time. బ
ଵ
= +
= 1 −
∗ !
Where ROE = return on equity.
Assume constant capital structure.
= ௗ + Risk premium
Using comparable publicly traded company’s β & adjusting it for financial leverage differences.
Comparable company ⇒ company with similar business risk.
Asset (unlevered) β ⇒ β after removing effects of financial leverage.
Β adjustment for capital structure of company or project (lever the asset β to arrive equity β)
Select the comparable Estimate comparable’s beta Unlever the comparable’s beta Lever β for project’s financial risk
Diff. b/w govt. bond yield in that If country has credit ratings but no
*
+
= ( ) .
country (denominated in developed equity markets, the expected rate of
*
,
-
market currency) & Treasury bond return is found by estimating reward
-
yield of similar maturity bond in to credit risk for a large sample of
developed market country. countries (which have both credit
ratings and equity markets) & apply
this ratio to countries without equity
markets.
Cost of different sources of capital ∆ as more capital raised (result in MCC schedule).
Debt incurrence test ⇒ may restrict a company’s ability to incur additional debt of
same seniority.
Company can deviate from target capital structure, MCC may increase.
=
Floatation cost ⇒ fee charged by I.B based on size & type of offering.
Debt & preferred stock ⇒ ignore flotation cost (quite small amount).
Flotation cost may be substantial in equity issuance.
Incorporate into cost of capital Incorporated into valuation analysis as an additional project cost
FC in Monetary terms FC as % applied against price per share Adjustment to CF in valuation computation (e.g. consider initial
outflow in NPV calculation).
ଵ ଵ
= / 1+ = / 1+
Preferred over cost of capital adjustment method.
− 0 1 −
f = % flotation cost as a% of issue price
“MEASURE OF LEVERAGE”
Q = Units Sold C = Fixed Financial Cost
V = Variable Cost per Unit F = Fixed Operating Cost
DFL = Degree of Financial P = Price per Unit
1. INTRODUCTION DOL = Degree of Operating
Leverage
Leverage
DTL = Degree of Total Leverage
Leverage ⇒ use of fixed cost in company’s cost structure.
Fixed cost
Analysts use fixed costs as leverage, leverage magnifies earnings both and .
Three reasons why analyst must understand a company’s use of leverage:
o Degree of Leverage is important in assessing company’s risk and return.
o Exact information about company’s business and future prospects about
operating and financial leverage.
o Understanding leverage helps in assessing company’s cash flows & selecting
appropriate discount rate.
Total leverage is the sensitivity to a given % change in units sold.
2. LEVERAGE
COST STRUCTURE
Business risk
Operating earnings risk due to risky revenues Associated with cost structure
Uncertainty about prices of goods & services offered Uses fixed cost of operation
Economic condition
Industry dynamics
Government regulation
Demographics
Associated with operating earnings. Combination of variable cost & fixed cost
Companies having same cost structure with Fixed cost, difficulties for business to adjust operating cost to ∆ in
differing sales risk will affect variability of sales.
company’s profitability. % ∆
=
% ∆
Relatively similar concept as elasticity in economics
DOL is dependent on level of units sold being considered
Operating Income = Q (P-V)-F
Per unit contribution margin = amount of each unit sold covering fixed cost
=P–V
Contribution Margin = Q ( P – V)
= Units sold × per unit contribution margin
= Revenue – Total Variable Cost
()
=
Management has more opportunity to manage & control operating risk than
sales risk.
Sales risk is usually same irrespective of what equipment is used to produce
the product.
Analysts consider how operating cost structure affects company’s risks.
Industries having operating leverage ⇒ focus on investing up front to
produce the product.
Retailers having operating leverage ⇒ more variable cost in cost of sales.
Creditors/lenders Shareholders
% ∆
=
% ∆ !"#$% &'!
ሾொሺିሻିிሿሺଵି௧ሻ ሾொሺିሻିிሿ
= ሾொሺିሻିிିሿሺଵି௧ሻ = ሾொሺିሻିிିሿ
2. DIVIDENDS: FORMS
2.1 Regular Cash Dividends 2.2 Extra or Special 2.3 Liquidating Dividends 2.4 Stock Dividends 2.5 Stock Splits
(Irregular) Dividends
2.1.1 Dividends
Reinvestment Plans (DRPs) 2.1 Regular Cash Dividends
Extra, special, irregular ⇒ dividend paid by a company that does not pay dividends regularly.
It can be an additional (one time) payment with regular dividend.
Companies in cyclical industries may use this in strong cycles.
Companies could have stated polices for extra dividends.
Suspension ⇒Company stops paying any cash dividends.
2.3 Liquidating
3.1 Declaration Date 3.2 Ex-Dividend Date 3.3 Holder-of-Record Date 3.4 Payment Date
Corporation issue First date when share Also called owner-of record Also known as payable
statement declaring trades without (ex) date, date of book closure, date.
specific dividend dividend. shareholder of record date, Date when actually
Dividend could be of any Time b/w ex-date & holder record date, and date of payment is transferred.
type. -of- record date is linked to record. It can occur on weekend
On declaration date trade settlement cycle of Typically two days after ex- and holiday
companies also announce the exchange on which dividend date.
holder-of-record and shares are listed. Determined by corporation
payment date. Investors owing share Owner of stock in company’s
till/on ex-date receive records will be deemed to
dividend. have ownership of shares for
Determined by securities receiving upcoming dividend.
exchange.
4. SHARE REPURCHASES
4.1 Share Repurchase Methods 4.2 Financial Statement Effects of Repurchases 4.3 Valuation Equivalence of Cash Dividends
& Share Repurchases: The Baseline
B. Buy back a fixed number 4.2.2 Changes in Book Value per Share
of shares at a fixed price
C. Dutch Auction
D. Repurchase by direct
negotiation 4. SHARE REPURCHASES
Share repurchases (buyback) ⇒ a transaction in which company buys back its own shares.
Uses corporate cash.
An alternative to cash dividends
Repurchases shares are classified as treasury shares or stock.
Not considered for voting, dividends or calculating EPS.
In many markets it is becoming increasingly common.
After amount of repurchase is authorized, companies may or may not follow.
Unlike cash dividends, buybacks are not done proportionally to ownership percentage.
Common method outside US & Canada is open market repurchase.
Not all methods are permissible according to laws.
C. Dutch Auction
1. INTRODUCTION
In effective WCM
Adequate cash levels are maintained.
Converting short-term assets into cash.
Controlling outgoing payments to vendors, employees and others.
It is done by investing in:
Short term funds.
Highly liquid securities.
Maintaining credit reserves in bank lines of credit.
Issuing money market instruments like commercial paper.
It requires reliable cash flow forecasts.
SCOPE OF WCM
Payment for trade, To ensure smooth transactions. To formulate appropriate Global view
financing and strategies. point.
investment. Strong emphasis
on liquidity
2.1 Defining Liquidity Management Liquidity ⇒ Company’s ability to meet its short term 2.2 Measuring Liquidity
obligations.
2.1.1 Primary Sources of Liquidity An asset is liquid if it can be converted into cash, either
by sale or financing, quickly.
Companies with liquidity ⇒ focus is on putting
2.1.2 Secondary Sources of Liquidity
abundant liquidity into most effective use.
In tight financial situation ⇒ effective liquidity
2.1.3 Drags & Pulls on Liquidity management required ⇒ ensures solvency.
If liquidity management is not done ⇒ bankruptcy or
possible liquidation.
May affect company’s normal operations and in some cases alter financial
and operating position.
Sources include:
Negotiating debt contracts: pressure of interest or principal
repayments.
Liquidating assets.
Filing for bankruptcy protection and re-organization.
Use of such sources may signal deteriorating financial health.
Bankruptcy protection may be considered a liquidity tool.
Under such protection, a company generating operating cash is liquid and
able to continue business operations until restructuring is approved.
Alternate name
No. of days payable Days payable outstanding Avg. days payable
No. of days inventory Avg. inventory period Inventory holding period
No. of days receivables Days sales outstanding Days in receivables
Turnover ratios tell how company is managing its liquid assets.
Ratio analysis must be done against some benchmark not in isolation.
Benchmark could be industry avg. or company’s own track record (past performance) or with peer group.
= .
+
Measure of time needed to convert raw material into cash from a sale.
Does not account for increased cash flow by deferring payment to suppliers.
= .
+ .
– .
Also called cash conversion cycle.
Cycles cash generating ability.
For many companies cash conversion cycle is a period that requires financing.
3.1 Forecasting Short-Term Cash Flows Ensuring net cash positions not negative. 3.2 Monitoring cash uses and levels
Negative balance is avoided as cost of borrowing is
3.1.1 Minimum Cash Balance and unacceptable.
Balance = inflows-outflows.
Managing short term portfolio ⇒ opportunity cost is
3.1.2 Identify Typical Cash Flows
considered acceptable.
To manage cash decisions are done on latest
3.1.3 Cash Forecasting System
information.
Company’s treasury function uses optimum services
and techniques associated with company’s payment
configuration to manage cash.
Necessary task.
Precision in forecasting effectiveness.
Forecast ⇒ precise may not be accurate.
External uncertainty encourages companies to
maintain minimum level of cash as a buffer.
Cash mangers using cash flow history or organizational financial history must identify cash flow elements and collect data about them
regularly.
Real cash flows should be reflected.
Elements include ;
Inflows Outflows
Receipts from operations, broken down by Payables & payroll disbursements, broken down by
operating unit, departments, etc. operating unit, departments, etc.
Funds transfers from subsidiaries, joint ventures, Funds transfer to subsidiaries.
third parties.
Maturing investments Investments made
Debt proceeds (short and long term) Debt repayments.
Other income items (interest, etc.) Interest and dividend payments
Tax refunds. Tax payments.
Financial manager in charge of managing cash position must know cash balance at real
time basis.
Monitoring cash flow ⇒ key aspects of cash forecasting system.
It involves knowing of the transactions information in time to tackle with them.
Information should be gathered from principal users and providers of cash along with
cash projections.
Minimum cash level is estimated in advance and steps are taken to determine the target
balance for each bank.
Target balance is applied to one main account (the bank where company’s transactions
are concentrated).
Large companies have more concentration banks making cash management more
complex.
Short term investments and borrowing assist in cash management.
Cyclical companies need to focus more on sources of cash in times when they produce
and stock inventory for peak seasons.
Company’s cash needs are also influenced by long term investment and financial
activities.
Predicting cyclical and non-operating activity needs is critical in managing cash.
Setting aside too much cash can be costly while setting aside too little can cause penalty
to raise funds quickly ⇒ either case would be costly; a reliable forecast is necessary.
4.1 Short-Term Investment Instruments 4.2 Strategies 4.3 Evaluating Short Term Funds Management
=
–
ℎ
.
Investor pays less than face value but receives face value at maturity e.g. T-bill, banker’s
acceptance.
Interest bearing securities ⇒ investor pays face amount, receives back face amount +
interest.
Nominal rate ⇒ rate based on securities face value.
Yield ⇒ actual return if investment held till maturity.
# $% % &
= ×
% % .' ' (
⇒ Annualized using 360 days.
# )$% % !
!
= ×
" " .' ' (
⇒Annualized using 365 days
⇒ also referred to as the investment yield basis.
U.S. T-bill may be quoted on discount basis or BEY.
# )$% % &
= ×
# ) *. ' (
⇒ Though BEY is relevant for investment decisions but discount basis is often quoted.
4.2 Strategies
Passive Active
Top priority is safety & liquidity. More daily involvement & choice of
Less aggressive than active strategies. investments.
Roll over is required Active involvement with more flexible
Must be monitored against some benchmark investment policy and better forecasts.
Conservative & similar to passive strategies. Requires reliable cash forecast. In b/w passive & matching
Matching is of timing of cash outflows with Riskier, requires liquid securities (T-bill) to Schedules maturities so that investments are
investment maturities. meet liquidity needs. distributed equally over the ladder’s term.
May also be accompanied by derivatives Helpful in managing long-term portfolios
posing additional risks.
For portfolios that are not large or diversified ⇒ use spread sheet models.
For diversified portfolios ⇒ more expensive treasury workstations.
Investment returns must be expressed on BEY to allow comparability.
Overall portfolio return must be weighted according to the size of the
investment.
5.1 Key Elements of Trade Credit 5.2 Managing Customer’s Receipts 5.3 Evaluating Accounts Receivable
Granting Process Management
Cash collection systems are function of types of customers and the methods
they use.
Nature of business ⇒ nature of customers ⇒ methods of payment.
Common electronic methods:
Direct debit
Electronic funds transfer
POS terminals
If payments do not transfer electronically, lock box system is used.
⇒ Lockbox: customer payments are mailed to a post office box and the banking
institution retrieves and deposits these payments several times a day.
Float factor measures time it takes for checks to clear ⇒ does not measure time
it takes to receive, deposit and clear checks
. '
=
. "
total amount of check deposited
Avg. daily deposit =
no. of days.
Cash collection system must accelerate payments & information content
associated with those payments.
Cash concentration involves:
1) Consolidating deposits.
2) Moving funds (b/w company accounts or to outside points).
⇒ Best treatments for consolidating deposits & moving funds for cash
concentration may differ for.
⇒ For moving funds electronic methods are cost effective.
6. MANAGING INVENTORY
6.1 Approaches to Managing Levels of Inventory 6.2 Inventory Costs 6.3 Evaluating Inventory Management
6. Managing Inventory
7.1 The Economics of Taking a Trade Discount 7.2 Managing Cash Disbursements 7.3 Evaluating Account Payables Management
Trade credit ⇒ spontaneous form of credit in which purchaser finances its purchases by delaying payments.
⇒ Discount may be given by the supplier for early payment.
⇒ Usually a specific time is given in which discount can be earned.
Inefficient payable management could be costly in terms of real and opportunity cost.
Company must ensure payable practice is organized, consistent and cost-effective.
Factors need to be taken care off while devising guidelines for managing accounts payable include;
⇒ Organization’s centralization / decentralization.
⇒ Number, size & location of vendors
⇒ Trade credit, cost of borrowing.
⇒ Controls of disbursement float (time for clearing a check).
⇒ Inventory management.
⇒ E-commerce and electronic data interchange (electronic supply chain management)
Stretching payables ⇒ extending time to pay dues during grace period provided by suppliers.
Careful balance is required if paying too early is costly and delaying may deteriorate company’s perceived
credit-worthiness.
discount .
Cost of trade credit = 1 + − 1
1 − discount
2/10 net 30 ⇒ 2% discount in 10 days & net amount due on 30th day.
Cost of funds during discount period = 0% ⇒ beneficial to pay near to discount period’s end.
Customer’s short term investment rate < calculated rate ⇒ discount offers a better return over company’s short-term borrowing rate.
Company’s ability to delay funding bank accounts until the day checks clear.
Pay electronically when it is cost effective.
"
. =
.’ " .
Comparison of no. of day’s payable with credit terms is necessary.
Paying early ⇒ costly.
Paying later ⇒ deteriorating relations with suppliers.
In some industries no. of days inventory & no. of days payable are
similar to one another.
8.1 Source of Short-Term Financing 8.2 Short-Term Borrowing Approaches 8.3 Asset-Based Loans 8.4 Computing the Costs of Borrowing
Regular line All sizes Prime (U.S.) or base rate Commitment fee Common everywhere
(other countries), money
market, LIBOR+
Revolving credit Larger corporations Commitment fee +extra Strongest form (primarily
agreement fees in U.S.)
Discounted receivables Large companies Varies Extra fees More overseas, but some
in U.S.
Banker’s acceptances International companies Spread over commercial None Small volume
paper
Nonbank finance Small, weak borrowers Prime + + Service fees Weak credits
companies
Commercial paper Largest corporations Money market sets rate Backup line of credit, Lowest rates for short-
commissions + term funds
Institutional Investors
Fund that provides Fund for charitable purpose Objective is to earn Obligation to provide
ongoing financial or research related to a more on investments benefits to retirees.
support for a specific particular disease. than pays to depositors. Long time horizon &
purpose. A common objective is to Investments need to be select investments that
Long horizon with high maintain real portfolio of low risk and should be match pension liabilities.
risk tolerance little value while generating relatively liquid.
liquidity needs. income to meet funding
needs
Long horizon, low liquidity
needs & high risk tolerance.
Analysis of objectives & constraints & Analysis of risk & return of various Monitor changes & rebalance
IPS development. asset classes. portfolios periodically.
Benchmark is selected for Top-down analysis ⇒ examines Measure portfolio performance &
performance measurement. current economic conditions & compare it with benchmark
IPS should be updated regularly or constructs a well diversified portfolio.
when circumstances dictate Bottom up analysis ⇒identify most
otherwise. attractive securities.
Open-End-Fund Closed-End-Fund
Buy & redeem share at NAV. Each investor owns a portion of overall Do not take new investments into
Fund charge ongoing management portfolio. fund or redeem investor shares
fee.
(shares trade like equity)
NAV =
.
No load funds ⇒ no additional fee. Charge on-going management fees.
Load funds ⇒ charge upfront,
redemption or both fees.
Types of Mutual Funds
Purchase and sale of investments Portfolio owned by a single Not regulated to the extent that
between investors (similar to closed- investor. mutual funds are.
end funds). Qualified investors (normally rich
Most try to match a particular index individuals).
(passively managed).
In-kind creation and redemption
provision process keeps ETF price
Buyout Funds Venture Capital Funds
close to NAV.
Can be shorted or margined.
Less capital gain liability as compared Typically buy public companies & Invest in companies in start up
to open end fund (in kind take them private. phase with intention to sell in IPO
redemption). Use of significant leverage. or to an established firm after
Sell restructured firm in public growing the company.
offering or to another company Expertise in industries in which
after a period of time (3 to 5 years). they focus.
Buy ⇒ undervalued securities. Value of long positions will exactly Invest in response to corporate events
Sell ⇒ overvalued Securities. offset the value of short positions. (e.g. mergers & acquisitions).
Profitable as long as longs
outperform shorts.
Long (short) bias ⇒ larger long
(short) position relative to short
(long) positions.
F.I Arbitrage Funds Convertible Bond Arbitrage Funds Global Macro Funds
Take positions in debt securities to Take positions in convertible bonds Speculate on exchange rates &
exploit mispricing while minimizing and related equity to profit from interest rates globally & use
interest rate risk. relative mispricing. derivatives & leverage.
1. INTRODUCTION
Risk ⇒ all of the uncertain environmental variables that lead to variation in &
unpredictability of outcomes (exposure to uncertainty).
Risk exposure ⇒ extent to which underlying risks result in actual risk borne by a
business or investor who has assets or liabilities that are sensitive to those risk.
Risk management ⇒ process by which an organization or individual defines the
level of risk to be taken measures the level of risk being taken and adjust the
latter towards the former, with the goals of maximizing the company’s or
portfolio value or the individual’s overall satisfaction or utility.
Risk management is not about minimizing risk not about predicting risk (impact
of an event would not be a surprise).
Risk management is a continuous process that is always being revaluated &
revised.
Risk governance ⇒ top-down process & guidance that directs risk management
activities to align with and support the overall organization.
See Exhibit 1 Curriculum Level 1 2017
Goods risk management
To understand which risk drive better outcomes.
Less frequent surprises
More decision discipline
More awareness & active monitoring.
Fewer operational errors.
Better relations
Better image or reputation.
3. RISK GOVERNANCE
Risk tolerance identifies the extent to which the entity is willing to experience
losses or opportunity costs & to fail in meeting its objectives.
Two different analyses for risk tolerance:
Inside/before a crises
Outside/after a crises.
Determination of risk tolerance certainly contains no formula & it depends on
strategies of the company.
Once risk tolerance is determined, the overall risk framework should be geared
toward measuring, managing & communicating compliance with this risk
tolerance.
Risk budgeting ⇒ it quantifies & allocates the tolerable risk by specific metrics;
it extends & guides the implementation of the risk tolerance decision.
Risk budgeting applies to both business management & portfolio management.
Risk budget can be simple, one dimension or can be complex & multi-
dimensional.
Benefit of the risk budgeting ⇒ it forces risk trade-offs & supports a culture in
which risk is considered as part of all key decisions.
4. IDENTIFICATION OF RISKS
Risk that arises from movement in interest rates, stock prices, exchange Risk of loss if one party fails to pay an amount owed on an obligation.
rates & commodity prices. Route source of the risk can arise from fundamental conditions in the
Market risks are among the most obvious & visible risks faced by most economy, industry or company.
organization. Highly visible risk.
Liquidity Risk
Non-financial risks arise from relationship b/w the entity & counterparties,
regulators, governments, the environment, suppliers, customers and
employees.
Settlement risk ⇒ risk that arise from settlement of payments that occur just
before a default.
Legal risk ⇒ risk of being sued over a transaction or for that matter, anything an
entity does or fails to do.
Compliance risks ⇒ these include regulatory risk, accounting risk & tax risk.
Model risk ⇒ risk of a valuation error from improperly using a model.
Tail risk ⇒ risk of more events in the tail of the distribution than would be
expected by probability models.
Ignoring tail risk is a form of model risk. (Tail risk seems more of a financial
risk).
Operational risk ⇒ risk that arises from the people & processes that combine to
produce the output of an organization (external factors’ influence).
Solvency risk ⇒ risk that the entity does not survive or succeed because it runs
out of cash even though it might otherwise be solvent.
Individuals face other type of non-financial risks also and these include life
changing disaster, cheated by a financial advisor etc.
5.1 Drivers
5.2 Metrics
42.a
Average Returns
Simple avg. of a series of periodic return. Compound annual rate. IRR based on portfolio’s cash inflows &
Unbiased estimator of true mean. GM < AM when periodic return vary from outflows.
ℎ
= period to period. Consider beg value & additional deposits as
భ మ య ⋯
GM return = inflows & withdrawal of cash, interest &
1 + R × 1 + R × … × 1 + − 1
dividends & ending value as outflows.
Gross & Net Return Pretax & After-tax Nominal Return Real Return
Total return before management & Returns prior to paying tax are pre- Nominal return adjusted for inflation.
administrative fee (& net returns are tax & after paying tax are after-tax. It measures in investor’s purchasing
returns net of these fees). power.
Cost necessary to generate investment
return (commission & other) are deducted. Leveraged Return
From both gross & net return.
Calculated as G/L on investment as a % of
investor’s cash investment.
Use of derivative produce leveraged return.
42.b
Empirical research (1926-2008) shows small cap had the greatest avg. risk & return.
Real returns are more stable than nominal (inflation rate fluctuate greatly).
Return may not always follow normal distribution (negatively skewed, excess kurtosis).
Liquidity affects expected return, so it must be considered when choosing investments.
Variance & SD are common measures of risk (both measure variability of return around
the mean).
Given return (Rt) for period t, total no. of periods (T) & mean (µ) mean of T returns is;
మ
∑
సభ µ
ߜ =
sample variance
∑ −
=
−1
Covariance & correlation of returns for two securities.
Covariance ⇒ extent to which two variables move together.
Positive (negative) covariance ⇒ variables move together (opposite direction).
Zero covariance ⇒ no linear relationship b/w variables.
Covariance is absolute measure & measured in return units squared.
Correlation , =
భ,మ
భ మ
Correlation Coefficient
+1 -1 0
Assets move together in the same Assets move in opposite direction Movement of one asset does not
direction 100% of the time. 100% of the time. provide any prediction regarding
movement of another asset.
42.d Risk
Investors who prefer less risk to Risk lover investors take more risk No risk preference.
more risk given equal expected given equal expected return.
return.
42.e
Where
W1 = weight of asset 1
1-W1 = weight of asset 2
#, = & !", = #,
భ,మ
భ మ
42.f
42.g
Minimum-variance portfolio ⇒ for a given level of E(R), portfolios with lowest SD.
Minimum – variance frontier ⇒graph of minimum-variance portfolios.
Global minimum-variance portfolio ⇒farthest left portfolio (least risky on MVF).
EF ⇒ top portion of minimum-variance frontier.
All portfolios on EF provide highest level of E(R) for a given level of risk.
42. h
Utility function ⇒ investor’s degree of risk aversion in term of risk & return.
I.C ⇒ combination of risk & return among which investor is indifferent.
More risk averse investors ⇒steeper I.C.
Two fund separation theorem ⇒ investor’s optimal portfolios are made up of risky
& risk free asset’s combination.
Line representing these combinations is called CAL.
If A represents risky assets & B represent risk free then;
$ = $ +
= % =
43.b
For an individual investor best CAL should represent best risk / return combination
(greatest utility).
MPT assumes homogenous expectations (same EF, risky portfolio (market portfolio) &
CAL).
Optimal CAL (CML) ⇒ tangent to EF.
−
= = +
where
intercept is Rf & slope is
ಾ
Diff. b/w E (RM) & Rf is market risk premium.
If investors can borrow at RF, they can invest to the right of the market portfolio.
Investment Strategies
Passive Active
Types of Risk
43.d
43.e
=
మ
! "ℎ # $
Using correlation
= %
Slope of least squares regression line (best fit) is the estimate of β.
43.f
SML ⇒ line that represent relationship b/w S.R (β) & return.
SML equation (CAPM)
= + −
CML SML
Low β stock is not necessarily low risk stock (when total risk is a consideration).
43.g
CAPM = equilibrium model that predicts E(R) on a stock given E (Rm), β & RF.
43.h
& &
% return in excess of those from a
ು
portfolio with same β but lies on SML.
' = − + ( − )
Excess return per unit of systematic risk.
Does not work for –ve β assets.
If portfolio is not fully diversified, total risk is more relevant and, Sharpe ratio or M2 is
appropriate measure.
If portfolio is well-diversified and diversifiable risk is negligible Treynor & Jensen’s alpha
are appropriate.
These measures are used to compare actively managed fund’s performance with passively
managed funds.
44.b
For example not to in Relative to specific Can be stated in real (e.g. Relative to benchmark.
portfolio value by more benchmark. 3% > than annual inflation Bank ⇒ relative to cost
than 2% at any point rate) or nominal (e.g. of funds.
over any 12-month overall return of at least May be relative to
period. 6%) terms. return on peer groups’
Also stated in terms of portfolios.
probability of specific
portfolio results (either
% losses or $ losses).
44.d Risk
Based on financial circumstances other objective factors. Based on investor’s attitude & beliefs.
Investment horizon, greater assets v/s liabilities, higher Willingness is quite subjective & can be assessed
expected income, greater ability to bear investment risk. through a short questionnaire.
Ability to turn investments into cash Overall tax rate as well as tax Generally longer the horizon, more risk
without significant price concessions. treatment of various accounts is a & less liquidity the investor can accept.
Property & casualty insurance ⇒ consideration.
significant liquidity required Expected after tax return in relation to
(unpredictable claims). Hedge funds & risk should be focused.
private equity funds are not suitable
investments.
Legal & Regulatory Unique Circumstances
44.f
44.g
45. b
45. c Securities
Investors can purchase Trade like closed-end Claim to a portion of Organized as limited
shares either from fund funds. the pool of financial partnerships (investors
itself (open-end funds) or MP close to NAV. assets (e.g. mortgages, are limited partners,
in primary & secondary car loans etc.). fund manager as
markets (closed-end Different classes of general partner).
funds). claims (tranches) with Often use leverage.
different risk & return.
Currencies
Contracts
Forward, futures, swap & option contracts are discussed in derivative portion.
Insurance contracts ⇒ pay a cash amount if a future event occurs.
Credit default swaps ⇒ form of insurance (a payment if an issuer defaults on its bond).
Commodities
Real Assets
45. d FI = facilitate exchange of assets, capital & risk (stand b/w buyers & sellers).
Allow greater efficiency & well functioning economy.
Financial Intermediaries
Brokers ⇒ help clients in buying & selling securities by finding counterparties. Pool large amount of securities or
Block brokers ⇒ assist in large placements. other assets & then sell interests in
Investment banks ⇒ help corporations in selling securities. the pool to other investors.
Exchanges ⇒ venue where traders can meet (sometimes act as brokers by providing electronic order Create liquidity & economies of scale.
matching). CF from securitized assets can be
Alternative trading systems (ATS) ⇒ same trading function as exchanges but no regulatory function. segregated by risk (tranches).
Dark pools ⇒ ATS that do not reveal current client orders.
Dealers ⇒ buying for or selling from their own inventory (provide liquidity & earn spread b/w
bid/ask).
Broker-dealer ⇒ dealer also act as broker (inherent conflict of interest).
Primary dealers ⇒ trade with central bank which influences money supply.
Include commercial banks, credit unions, savings & banks Collect insurance premium in return for providing risk
loans. reduction to the insured.
Expertise in evaluating credit quality & risk management. Moral hazard ⇒ insured may take more risk when
Payday advance corporations and factors ⇒ provide credit protected against losses.
secured by future paychecks, accounts receivables etc. Adverse selection ⇒ those with probability of losses are
the insurance buyers.
Fraud ⇒ fictitious loss claims.
Try to exploit mispricing for similar instruments. Clearinghouse ⇒ limit counterparty risk (risk that other
Replication ⇒ similar positions using different assets. party will default).
Custodians ⇒ hold client securities (improve market
integrity) & prevent their loss due to fraud.
Long, Short & Hedger Short Sale & Positions Leveraged Positions
Long ⇒investor who owns an asset or Short seller; Use of borrowed fund.
right to purchase an asset. Simultaneously borrow & sell Margin loan ⇒ borrowing from broker.
Short ⇒borrowing an asset & selling with securities through broker. Call money rate ⇒ interest rate on
the obligation to replace it in the future Must return securities to lender. margin loan.
or party who must sell an asset. Portion of short sale proceeds as Initial margin requirement ⇒ minimum
Hedgers ⇒ use short positions to hedge collateral. fraction of purchase price that must be
existing long positions (inversely Payment-in-lieu ⇒ dividends or interest trader’s equity.
correlated assets). on short sale securities (borrower pay to Financial leverage ⇒additional risk from
the lender). the use of borrowed funds.
Short rebate rate ⇒interest earned on
collateral (paid to short seller).
45. f
45. g,h
Market order ⇒ executes trade Specify when an order should be How to clear & settle a trade.
immediately at the best possible price executed. Investors can use prime brokers for
⇒ appropriate when trader wants to Day orders ⇒ expire if unfilled by the prime brokerage services & custodial
execute quickly & believes that the end of the trading day. services & other brokers for specialized
information is not reflected in market Good-till-cancelled orders ⇒ orders last execution.
prices. until they are filled.
Disadvantage ⇒ may execute at Fill or kill orders ⇒ cancelled unless filled
unfavorable price. in part or whole immediately.
Limit order ⇒ minimum execution price Good-on-close orders ⇒ only filled at the
on sell orders & maximum on buy orders. end of trading day.
Advantage ⇒ reduces price Stop orders ⇒ not executed unless stop
uncertainties. price condition has been met.
Disadvantage ⇒ order might not be Stop sell orders ⇒ triggers when price
filled. falls from specified price.
Marketable ⇒ above the best ask Stop buy orders ⇒ trigger when
or below the best bid. price is above the specified stop
Behind the market ⇒ placing a: buy price.
order below the best bid price OR Used to limit losses on a short
sell order above the best ask price. position (when price).
Standing limit orders ⇒ limit orders Stop orders reinforce market
waiting to execute. momentum.
All-or-nothing orders ⇒ execute only if Execution prices are often
the whole order can be filled. unfavorable.
Hidden orders ⇒ only the broker or
exchange knows the trade size.
Display size ⇒ some of trade is visible to
the market (also known as iceberg
orders).
Markets
45. i
Initial public offerings ⇒ first time issues (not currently publicly traded). Securities trade after their initial issuance.
Seasoned offerings ⇒ new shares issued by firms whose shares are already Provide liquidity & price/value information.
trading in the market. Better secondary markets allow firms to raise external
Primary market: public offerings capital at lower cost (due to liquidity).
Stock or bond issues are almost sold with the assistance of an investment
banking firm.
Book building ⇒process of gathering indication of interest.
Underwritten offering ⇒ IB agrees to buy the entire issue at a price that
is negotiated b/w issuer & bank.
Best effort basis ⇒ bank is not obligated to buy unsold portion.
45. i Markets
45. j
Market Structure
Traders transact with dealers who post bid-ask prices. Order-driven markets ⇒ orders executed using trading rules.
Also called dealer, price-driven or over-the-counter markets. Traders are usually anonymous.
Electronic trading.
Brokered Markets
Order matching rules Trade pricing rules
Broker finds the counterparty in order to execute a trade.
Valuable for unique or illiquid securities Establish an order Used to determine the
precedence hierarchy. trade price.
Price priority ⇒ highest Uniform pricing rules &
priced buy and lowest discriminatory pricing
priced sell orders are rules.
given the highest priority.
Secondary precedence
rule⇒ Priority to non-
hidden & earliest arriving
orders (same prices).
Market Information
45. k
45. l
Market regulations are used to prevent fraud & theft, insider trading, defaults
& costly information.
Regulations can be provided by govt. as well as self-regulatory organizations.
When regulations fail to address problems, liquidity , new ideas go unfunded
& growth slows.
Uses only the prices of the CS in Uses price & income in return
return calculations. calculation (total return).
If interim CF then total return >
price return.
46.c
Advantage Disadvantage
Equal-Weighted index
Arithmetic avg. return of the index stocks & matched by the return of a
portfolio with equal $ invested in each index stock.
Advantage ⇒ simplicity.
Disadvantages ⇒ frequent portfolio rebalancing ( transaction cost) &
small firm bias.
Advantage Disadvantage
Index security weights represent proportion Overvalued stocks are given higher weight
of total market value. & vice versa (large market cap bias)
Fundamental Weighting
47.e
Examples
47.f
Rebalancing Reconstitution
Adjusting portfolio’s securities weight to their Adding & deleting securities that make up an
target weights. index.
Rebalancing is done on periodic basis (usually When security is added (deleted) to an index its
quarterly) & an issue for equal-weighted indexes. price ().
Addition & deletion requires other index
components’ weight adjustment.
47.g
Market cap for securities with each country ⇒ Track different economic sectors on a global,
then weight the country index return in global regional. Or country-specific basis.
index by a fundamental factor (e.g. GDP). Used in cyclical analysis
Prevent a country with high stock return from Can be for a particular country or global.
being over weighted in multi-market index.
Style Indices
47.i
Represent futures contracts on commodities (e.g. grains, Can be based on property appraisal, repeat
livestock etc.). property sales or performance of REITS.
Issues in commodity indexes; REITS offer good liquidity while constituent
Variety of weighting schemes (equal, combination of properties are quite illiquid.
liquidity measures and world production values etc.)
results in different exposures & risk & return
Hedge Fund Indices
characteristics.
Based on prices of commodity futures contracts risk-
free rate and roll yield and not spot prices of Equally weight the return of hedge funds included in index.
commodities (return on index differs from return of Performance of different indices can vary substantially (hedge
commodity itself). funds are unregulated).
Upward bias in index return (only successful funds report the
data).
47.k
Number of
Index Reflects Constituent Weighting Method Notes
Securities
Barclays Capital Global Global investment-grade Formerly known as the Lehman Brothers Global Aggregate Bond
Variable Market capitalization
Aggregate Bond Index bonds Index
HFRX Equal Weighted Contains same strategy funds as HFRX Global Hedge Fund Index
Global hedge funds Variable Equal weighted
Strategies EUR Index and is denominated in euros
“MARKET EFFICIENCY”
E(R) = Expected Return CM = Capital Market
47.a
TA = Technical Analysis TC = Transaction Cost
EM = Emerging Markets MV = Market Value
ME = Market Efficiency Informationally efficient CM ⇒current security price reflect fully, quickly & IV = Intrinsic Value
rationally all available information (you can’t beat the market).
Perfectly efficient market ⇒ passive investment strategy (indexing), because
active investment will underperform (transaction cost & management fees).
If time lag b/w information dissemination & information reflection in securities
prices ⇒ positive risk adjusted return is possible.
Only unexpected new information should move prices.
47.b
MV ⇒ current price.
IV = value placed on an asset based on rational investors’ understanding of its
characteristics.
If MV < IV ⇒ buy the asset & vice versa (inefficient markets).
More complex an asset’s future cash flows ⇒ more difficult is to determine its
IV.
47.c
No. of asset market followers (e.g. investors, analyst etc), More information is available to investors ⇒ higher the
the market efficiency market efficiency.
Emerging markets ⇒ information availability ⇒ efficient
markets.
Access to information should not favor one party over another
(insider trading should be prohibited).
Arbitrage ⇒ buying an asset in one market & simultaneously If investors can earn superior returns, after deducting
selling it at a higher price in another market. information acquisition costs, the market is viewed as inefficient.
Impediments to arbitrage (e.g. TC), allow some price
inefficiencies.
Short selling improves ME.
47.d Forms of ME
Current security prices fully reflect all Security prices reflect publicly known and Security prices fully reflect all public &
past security market data. available information. private information.
Price changes will be independent from Fundamental analysis will not work for No group of investor has monopolistic
one period to the next (past price & positive risk adjusted return. access to information (no one can
volume has no predictive power). achieve positive abnormal return).
Positive risk adjusted returns are not Evidence support that markets are not
possible by using technical analysis. strong-form efficient.
47.e
Abnormal Profit
>
If returns equilibrium E(R) ⇒ reject the
<
hypothesis of efficient prices.
Technical Analysis
Fundamental Analysis
47.f
Small-cap stocks outperform large-cap stocks Value stock (low P/E, low P/B & dividend yield)
(a random result for the time period outperform the growth stocks (vice versa multiples).
examined). Violates semi-strong form market efficiency.
Overestimate their ability to value Information Cascades Investors react slowly to changes.
securities.
Less diversified portfolio holding. Uninformed traders watch the actions
of informed traders when faced with Disposition Effect
unclear information.
Representativeness Herding behavior (similar to
Investors are willing to realize gains
information cascades) ⇒ trading
but unwilling to realize losses.
Investors assessing probabilities of occurs in clusters (not necessarily
outcomes depending on how similar they driven by information)
are to the current state. Narrow Framing
Represent ownership interest. Firm has right to repurchase stock at pre specified price.
Residual claim on assets in case of liquidation. When MP > CP ⇒ firm usually call.
Voting rights (board selection, mergers etc.). Allows the firm to reduce dividend payment (similar to share
repurchase).
Right of shareholder to sell the shares back to firm at specific price. Features of both common stock & debt.
Put option places a floor on security value. Shares usually do not mature & shares can have put or call features.
Investors normally put the shares when MP < PP. Fixed periodic payments & usually have no voting rights.
Types
Cumulative dividends Dividends do not Receive extra dividend Claim equal to par
paid before common accumulate when not if firm’s profit exceed a value at liquidation.
shareholder’s dividend. paid. predetermined level. Do not share in firm’s
Dividends must be paid May receive value > par profit.
before being paid value at liquidation.
common shareholders.
48.a Types
48.b
48.c
Capital provided to fund Buy a public firm’s common stock Public firm sells PE to investors.
development & growth of firm’s outstanding using debt financing. Investors may buy the stock at a
life cycle stages. If buyer is firm’s current sizeable discount to MP.
VC investments are illiquid management ⇒the LBO is
(usually three to ten years). management buyout.
VC financing include seed or start Candidate firm usually generate
up capital, early stage & high levels of cash flows, used to
mezzanine financing. make interest and principal
payments on issued debt.
48.d
Direct Investing
Deposit shares of foreign firm into bank & then issues Issued outside U.S & issuer’s home
receipts representing ownership of specific no. of foreign country.
shares. Usually $ denominated & can be sold to
Depository bank (custodian) ⇒ manages dividend U.S institutional investors.
payments, stock splits & other taxable events. Not subject to capital flow restrictions.
Value of DR is affected by exchange rate ∆ , firm
fundamentals, market conditions & any other factors. American Depository Receipts
Traded in different currencies around the world. An ETF that is a portfolio of DRs.
Returns Risks
48.f
BV of Equity MV of Equity
BV of equity = balance sheet assets – liabilities. Total of firm’s outstanding equity shares based
Positive NI & retained earnings BV. on market price.
MV & BV of equity are seldom equal.
MV reflects investor expectations about firm’s
future cash flows.
48.h = = (
షభ)
Alternatively
=
షభ
⇒ First method is more appropriate when it is an industry convention to use average book values or BV is volatile.
⇒ Latter method is appropriate when examining ROE for a no. of years or when BV is stable.
ROE is generally viewed as positive for firm (reason for an should be examined e.g BV is rapidly than NI, ROE will
but not favorable).
=
Cost of equity ⇒ firm’s expected equilibrium total return on its shares in the market.
⇒ Estimated through dividend discount model or CAPM
If investor’s expected return > minimum required rate of return ⇒ shares are attractive
investment.
49.b
Products & services (principal business activity is one way to group companies into an
industry).
Sector ⇒ group of related industries.
Classifications by sensitivity to business cycle include cyclical & non-cyclical firms.
Statistical Methods
Several indexes provide classification of firms (three or four levels). Organize statistical data according to type of
Use fundamentals to classify firms. industrial or economic activity & to make
A description of representative sectors is as follows: comparison of data across time and among
countries.
Classifications Methodologies of govt providers differ from
commercial providers as:
Govts. Do not identify individual firms in a
Basic material & processing Consumer Discretionary group.
Govt systems are updated less frequently.
Building materials. Automotive. Govt. classification systems do not distinguish
Chemicals. Apparel. b/w small & large firms, private & public etc.
Paper and forest products. Hotels and restaurants.
Containers and packaging.
Metal, mineral and mining
companies.
49.b Classifications
49.c
“growth” defensive & “cyclical” descriptors must be used with caution e.g;
Cyclical industries may include growth firms that are less business cycle
dependent.
Non-cyclical may be affected by severe recessions.
Defensive industries may not always be safe investments.
49.d
49.e
Age distribution, population size & Can affect business through taxes & Relates to how peoples live in society
composition. regulation. (work, play, spend money etc.).
Population aging means healthcare Examples ⇒ setting terms to industry Example ⇒ women entering into
industry’s demand increases & population entry, heavy taxes to some industries. workforce promotes day care industries.
in twenties means residential furniture &
related industries demand increases.
49.g
Growth has slowed (demand saturates). Slow growth (demand is for replacement Negative growth (societal changes,
Intense competition & in overcapacity. only). substitute products etc.).
Profitability & price cuts. Consolidation (oligopoly). Price (increased competition & price
Failures (weaker firms liquidate or Barriers to entry (brand loyalty & low cost wars).
merge with others). structures). Weaker companies exit, merge or
Stable pricing (avoid price wars). redeploy capital into different products
Firms with superior products gain market and services.
share.
Growth firms focus on reinvesting CF (growth focus) while mature firms distribute CF
to shareholder (cost efficiency focus).
Analyst should be concerned if firms do not act according to their stage (mature firm
want to size).
Stage may be longer or shorter than anticipated or it may be skipped altogether.
Some firms in industry may have competitive advantage / disadvantage.
49.h IndustryIndustry
Concentration
Ease of Entry
Capacity
Limit profit potential. Few suppliers with scarce products ⇒ Buyers power, prices & profitability.
Commodity-like products ⇒ suppliers’ power & industry’s profitability.
competition prices & vice versa in
differentiated products.
49.j
Competitive Strategies
Firm seeks to be lowest cost producer. Firm’s products & services should be
Strategy can be used defensively (protect distinctive in terms of type, quality or
market share) or offensively (to gain delivery.
market share). For success, cost of differentiation < price
Predatory pricing ⇒ firm hopes to derive premium.
out competitors & prices later. Usually outstanding research team &
Operational efficiency is required. creative personnel.
50.c DDM
1. Sum of the PV of estimated dividends over
= +
(1 + ) (1 + ) holding period & estimated TV.
FCFE
3. It reflects firm’s capacity to pay dividends & also useful for firms not currently
paying dividends.
4. = + −
−
+
.
5. FCFE = CFO – FCinv + net borrowings (represent cash to equity holders after
meeting all obligations).
1. = ∑
( )
Where is obtained from CAPM or adding risk premium to publically traded
dRatio of EV to EBITDA or sales.
2. EV = MV of all outstanding securities – cash & short term investment.
3. ebt or govt bond yield.
50.d
50.e
Use historical dividend growth rate. Median industry dividend growth rate. Sustainable growth rate
If g > r this relationship can’t hold indefinitely (higher growth will attract competition).
Sustainable growth rate is more realistic assumption.
To determine MDDM;
Duration & size of high growth period should be projected.
Estimates of high growth period dividends & constant growth rate.
భ
మ
= + + ⋯ + +
( ) ( )మ ( ) ( )
where
=
50.f
50.g
#
ℎ
Widely used by analysts.
#
$ % &
ℎ
CF is CFO or free cash flow.
Multiples
P భ!
భ Compare multiple with benchmarks (historical avg, stocks & industry avg.) &
Justified leading 'E = (it is justified because we assume that inputs
"# determine its valuation.
are correct & leading because it is based on next period expected earnings). Law of one price⇒ two identical assets should sell at same price.
P
This 'E serves as a benchmark at which stock should trade. Not applicable if firms are of different size, in different industries etc.
Very sensitive to inputs, (several sets of inputs for a range of justified P/E). P/S ratio is favored over P/E for cyclical firms (sales are less volatile).
D
Dividend payout 'E , g, k cause P/E.
Dividend displacement of earnings ⇒ dividend, growth so firm’s value
impact is ambiguous.
50.i
Advantages Disadvantages
Advantages Disadvantages
Useful for predicting stock returns. Not comparable across firms with different size, products &
Readily available & widely used by analysts. growth.
Can be used in time series & cross sectional. Lagging price multiples reflect the past.
EV/EBITDA is useful when comparing a firm’s value Cyclical firms greatly affected by eco conditions.
independent of capital structure, or when earnings are Stock may appear overvalued by comparables but undervalued
negative. by fundamental method & vice versa.
Different accounting methods distort comparability.
Negative denominator results in meaningless ratio.
Advantages Disadvantage
Asset-Based Models
Advantages Disadvantages
Provide floor values. MVs are difficult to obtain & usually different than BV.
Reliable when short-term tangible assets, readily Inaccurate when higher proportion of intangible assets.
measurable MV assets & in liquidation. Assets can be difficult to value during hyperinflation.
Increasingly useful to value public firms that are reported
at FV.
Major types of bond issuer include: Maturity date ⇒ date when the issuer is
Supranational organizations e.g. World Bank. obligated to redeem the bond by paying
Sovereign governments e.g. UK, USA. the outstanding principal.
Non-sovereign governments. Tenor ⇒ time remaining until maturity
Quasi-govt. entities. date.
Corporate issuers. Money market securities ⇒ maturities at
Credit risk ⇒ risk of loss resulting from the issuer issuance of one year or less.
failing to make full & timely payment of Capital market securities ⇒ FI securities
interest/principal. with maturity > 1 year.
Principal or par value amount that the issuer Coupon/nominal rate ⇒ interest rate that
agrees to repay the bondholder on maturity date the issuer agrees to pay every year until
maturity.
Plain vanilla bond ⇒ fixed rate bond.
Floaters ⇒ bonds with floating rate
2.1.5 Currency Denomination coupon.
Zero coupon bonds ⇒ issued at discount
Dual currency bonds ⇒ pay interest in one to par & redeemed at par.
currency & principal in another currency.
Currency option bonds ⇒ single currency
bond+ foreign currency option.
ᇲ
=
ᇲ
Yield to maturity (YTM) ⇒ internal rate of return on a
bond’s expected cash flows.
Lower IR scenario anticipation, lower YTM demand.
Trust deed (indenture) ⇒ legal contract that describe: FI securities are subject to legal & regulatory
Bond form requirements.
Issuer’s obligations. National bond market ⇒ bonds that are issued &
Bondholder’s rights. traded in a specific county.
Collateral ⇒ assets or financial guarantees above & Euro bonds ⇒ bond issued & traded on euro bond
beyond the issuer’s promise to pay. market.
Credit enhancements ⇒ provisions to reduce the Bearer bonds ⇒ trustee does not keep
credit risk of the bond issue. records of bond’s ownership.
Covenants ⇒ clauses that define bond-holder’s rights Registered bonds ⇒ ownership is recorded by
and an issuer’s actions. either name or serial number.
3.1.1 Legal Identity of the Bond Issuer and its Legal Form
3.1.3 Asset or Collateral Backing
3.1.5 Covenants
Credit enhancement ⇒ variety of provisions that
can be used to the credit risk of a bond issue.
3.1.4.1 Internal credit enhancement ⇒ Bond covenants ⇒ legally enforceable rules that
subordination ⇒ ordering of claim priorities for borrowers & lenders agree on at the time of a
ownership or interest in an asset. new bond issue.
Junior tranche ⇒ function as credit protection Affirmative covenants ⇒ what issuers are
for senior tranche. required to do (admin nature).
Excess spread ⇒ difference b/w CF received Negative covenants ⇒ what issuers are
from the assets used to secured issue & the prohibited from doing (costly & do materially
interest paid to investors. constrain the issuer’s potential business decision).
3.1.4.2 External credit enhancement. Examples ⇒ restrictions on debt, negative
Surety bond ⇒ issued by a rated & regulated pledges. Restriction on prior claims
insurance company. restrictions on investments etc.
Letter of credit ⇒ provided by a financial
institution.
Less common form.
4.1.1 Bullet, Fully Amortized, and Partially Amortized Bonds 4.1.2 Sinking Fund Arrangements
Bullet bond ⇒ entire principal payment occurs at maturity. Sinking fund ⇒ an issuer’s plan to set aside funds
Amortizing bond ⇒ periodic payments of interest & over time to retire the bond.
repayment of principal. Benefit:
Partially amortized bond ⇒ fixed periodic payments until Formal plan to retire the debt.
maturity & a portion of the principal at maturity date. Disadvantage:
Balloon payment ⇒ payment to retire the bond’s Reinvestment risk
outstanding principal at maturity. Issuer may have option to repurchase bonds
at below market prices.
Coupon rate is linked to an external reference Fixed or floating coupon which by specified
rate e.g. LIBOR. margins at specified dates.
Quarterly coupons. Provides some protection against rising interest
Typical coupon rate = 3M LIBOR+---BPS (spread). rates.
Variable rate note ⇒ spread is not fixed.
Little interest rate risk.
Additional features may include a floor or cap.
Inverse floater ⇒ inverse relationship to the
reference rate.
Coupon rate change when bond’s credit rating Coupon is paid in the form of additional amounts
change. of the bonds issue rather than as a cash payment.
Attractive to investors who are concerned about Favored when issuer’s future cash flows will be
the future credit worthiness of the issuer. questionable.
Callable bond ⇒ gives the issuer the right to redeem all or part of the bond before maturity date.
Provide protection to issuer in declining interest rate environment.
The yield & price compensate the bondholders for the value of the call option to the issuer.
Bermuda-style call ⇒ issuer has the right to call bonds on specified dates following the call protection period.
Put provisions ⇒ provide right to the bondholder to sell the bond back to the issuer at a pre-
determined price on specified dates.
Pre-specified selling price of put able bond provide benefit to bond holder.
Lower yield on these bonds compensate the issuer for the value of the put option to the
investor.
Convertible bond ⇒ hybrid security with both debt & equity features (bond holder has a right to
exchange the bond for specified number of shares in issuing company).
Convertible bond may further include call provision.
Advantages for investor:
Investor can participate in equity upside.
Investor receives downside protection.
Price of convertible bond cannot fall below the price of the straight bond.
Price of a convertible bond is than the price of the bond without this provision.
Conversion price ⇒ price per share at which the convertible bond can be converted into shares.
Conversion ratio ⇒ number of common shares that each bond can be converted into.
Conversion value ⇒ current share price × conversion ratio.
This classification include: Credit risk ⇒ risk of loss resulting from the issuer
Govt & govt related sectors failing to make full & timely payments of interest
Corporate sector &/or principal.
Structured finance sector Investment grade bonds ⇒ bonds with credit
rating of “BBB” or above by S&P & Fitch.
Junk bonds ⇒ bonds with ratings below “BBB”.
Bonds can also be classified by the original maturity of Currency denomination of the bonds’ cash flows
the bonds when they are issued. influences which country’s interest rate affect
Money market securities ⇒ maturity range form bond price.
overnight to 1 year.
Capital market securities ⇒ maturity > 1 year
These include:
Inflation-linked bonds.
Municipal bonds etc.
Under this arrangement, investment bank guarantees the It allows certain authorized issuers to offer additional
sale of bond issue at an offering price that is negotiated bonds to public without having to prepare a new &
with the issuer. separate offering circular for each bond issue.
Phases of underwriting process. Lower level of scrutiny compared with standard public
Determination of underwriting needs. offering.
Underwriter selection.
Defining transaction structure.
3.1.1.3 Auctions
Assessing market conditions & bond pricing.
To determine demand of the issue.
Issuing phase. Auction involves bidding.
Helpful in providing price discovery.
Primary dealer’s ⇒ financial institutions that are
authorize to deal in new issue.
Place where buyers & sellers can Buy & sell order initiated from
meet to arrange their trades. various locations are matched
through a communication network.
4. SOVEREIGN BONDS
Most common type of sovereign bonds. Bonds whose interest payments are linked with
These include: some reference rate.
Zero coupon bonds. Lower interest rate risk than a simple fixed
Coupon paying bonds. coupon bond.
6. CORPORATE DEBT
These funds include central bank funds, interbank funds & certificates of
deposit.
Central bank funds market ⇒ allows banks that have a surplus of funds to loan
money to banks that need funds (maturity up to one year).
Central bank funds rates ⇒ interest rates at which central bank funds are
bought or sold.
2.2 Yield-to-Maturity
YTM ⇒ internal rate of return that makes present value of future cash
flow equal to market price.
Assumptions regarding YTM.
Investor holds the bond to maturity.
Issuer does not default on any of the payments.
Reinvestment of coupon payments on same rate.
Effective annual rate ⇒ rate with just one compounding period in the year.
Semiannual bond basis yield ⇒ annual rate having a periodicity (no. of
periods) of two or yield per semiannual period times two.
Street convention ⇒ yield measures that neglect weekends & holidays.
Current yield ⇒ sum of the coupon payments received over the year divided
by the flat price.
Bonds with embedded option:
Yield-to-worst (YTW) ⇒ the lowest of the sequence of yield-to-call &
YTM is called YTW.
Option-adjusted-yield ⇒ required market rate whereby price is adjusted
for the value of the embedded option.
= ×
Pricing formula for MMI quoted on an add-on-rate.
=
ವೌೞ
ೊೌೝ ×
=
×
Analysis of Term structure ⇒ involves the analysis of yield curve (relationship b/w YTM & time-
to-maturity).
Maturity structure should be analyzed for bonds that have the same properties except time-
to-maturity.
Spot curve is ideal data set for a series of zero coupon govt. bonds.
Par curve ⇒ sequence of YTM such that each bond is priced at par value.
Forward market ⇒ market for future delivery.
Forward rate ⇒ interest rate on a bond or MMI traded in a forward market.
Implied forward rate (forward yields) ⇒ breakeven reinvestment rate calculated from spot rates.
Forward curve ⇒series of forward rates each having the same time frame.
Forward curve implication:
Forward rates are used to make maturity choice decisions.
They are used to identify arbitrage opportunities.
Important in derivative valuation.
Forward & spot rates are interconnected (used to value a fixed income security in the same
manner).
5. YIELD SPREADS
Components of YTM.
Benchmark yield (often a govt. bond yield).
Spread (difference b/w YTM & benchmark).
Benchmark captures macroeconomics factor (e.g. inflation business cycle etc.) while spread capture
microeconomic factors (credit quality & liquidity etc.).
Liquidity
Credit Risk
Z-spread ⇒ constant spread that is added to each spot rate such that
the present value of cash flows matches the price of the bond.
Option adjusted spread (callable bond) ⇒ z spread – call option value.
1. Introduction
Securitization ⇒ process that involves moving assets from the owner of the
assets into a special legal entity.
Asset-backed securities ⇒ that are backed by a pool of assets (loans &
receivables).
Securitized assets ⇒ assets that are used to create asset backed bonds.
Mortgage-backed security ⇒ securities backed by high quality real estate
mortgage.
Prepayment risk ⇒ uncertainty that the cash flows will be different from the
scheduled cash flows as set forth in the loan agreement due to borrower’s ability to
alter payments (interest rate movement).
Time tranching ⇒ creation of bond classes.
Subordination ⇒ structure with more than one bond classes & they differ in loss
sharing resulting from borrowers default.
Credit tranching ⇒ set of bond classes to allow investors to choose the amount of
credit risk that they prefer to bear.
Mortgage loan ⇒ loan secured by the collateral of some specified real estate
property.
Foreclosure ⇒ it allows the lender to take possession of the mortgaged
property & then sells in order to recover funds.
Loan-to-value ratio (LTV) =
↑ The LTV, ↓ the borrower’s equity & vice versa.
↑ The equity, ↓ the changes of borrower’s default.
4.1 Maturity
Fixed rate ⇒ mortgage rate remains the same during the life of the mortgage.
Variable or adjustable rate ⇒ mortgage rate is reset periodically based on some
reference rate or index.
Initial period fixed rate ⇒ mortgage rate is fixed for some initial period & is then
adjusted.
Convertible ⇒ initially, the rate is fixed or adjustable & at some point the
borrower has the option to convert the mortgage into a fixed or adjustable rate.
Recourse loan ⇒ the lender has a claim against the borrower for the shortfall
b/w outstanding loan balance & cash received from the sale of property.
Non-recourse loan ⇒ lender does not have such claim.
This feature has implications for projecting the likelihood of defaults by
borrower.
Cash flows (CFs) of MPS depend on the CFs of the underlying pool of mortgages.
CFs represents interest, principal & prepayments.
Monthly CFs of MPS is less than the monthly CFs of the underlying pool of
mortgages (due to servicing & other fees).
Servicing fee is typically a portion of mortgage rate.
Weighted avg. coupon rate & weighted average rate are determined for each
MPS.
Example
Support tranche reduces the extension risk of the PAC tranches by not
receiving the principal until the PAC tranche receive their scheduled
principal repayment.
Support tranches absorb any principal repayment in excess of scheduled
principal repayments to reduce contraction risk of PAC tranches.
Floating rate tranche can be created even though collateral pays a fixed
rate.
Floating rate tranche can be constructed through a floater & inverse
floater combination.
RMBS issued by any entity other than Ginnie Mae, Fannie Mae &
Freddie Mae.
Credit risk – important consideration.
Prime (subprime) loans ⇒ high (low) credit quality of the borrower.
Two important components when forecasting the future CFs.
Assumed default rate.
Recovery rate.
Subordinated bond class provides credit A situation in which the value of the collateral
support to senior class. exceeds the amount of the par of the
Credit protection level is set at the time of outstanding bond classes issued by SPV.
issuance.
Shifting interest mechanism ⇒ no payment to
subordinated bonds for a period of time if
credit enhancement for senior tranche
deteriorates.
Overcollateralization
Two forms
Cash reserve fund.
Excess spread amount
Cash reserve fund ⇒ a deposit of cash provided to the SPV from the proceeds of the sale of the loans pool by
the entity seeking to raise funds.
Excess spread account ⇒ it involves the allocation into an account of any amounts resulting from monthly
funds remaining after paying out the interest to the bond classes as well as servicing & other fees.
Many commercial loans are balloon loans that require substantial principal repayment
at maturity of the loan.
Balloon risk ⇒ risk that the borrower will not be able to make the balloon payment (a
type of extension risk).
Credit card receivables are used as collateral for the issuance of credit receivable
backed securities.
CF consist ⇒ financial charges, fees & principal repayment.
Interest rate may be fixed or floating & is paid periodically to security holders.
Credit card receivable-backed securities are non-amortizing loans & have lockout
periods.
Rapid amortization ⇒ early amortization provisions.
Funds to purchase the collateral assets for CDO are obtained from the issuance
of debt obligations.
Debt obligations comprises, senior, mezzanine & subordinated bond classes.
Yield on senior & mezzanine classes is typically higher than comparable
corporate bond.
Equity class investors have the potential to earn equity-like returns.
Basic economics ⇒ fund raising through sale of bond classes ⇒ investment of
the funds ⇒ effort to generate higher return than cost of the bond classes ⇒
excess return is paid not to equity holders & CDO manager.
Classes of CDO bonds are structured to provide a specific level of risk of
investors.
Bond duration ⇒ measures the sensitivity of the bond’s full price to changes in the bond’s YTM (other
variables remain constant).
Main types of bond duration:
Yield duration.
Curve duration.
Yield duration ⇒ sensitivity of bond’s price to bond’s own YTM. (Include Macaulay, modified, money & price
value of basis point duration).
Curve duration ⇒ sensitivity of the bond price with respect to benchmark yield curve (usually govt. yield
curve).
Curve duration static often used is effective duration.
Macaulay duration ⇒ weighted average of the time to receipt of the bond’s promised payments.
Weights are the share of the full price that corresponds to each of the bond’s promised future payments.
Modified duration = where r = yield per period.
It provides an estimate of the % price ∆ for a bond given a change in its YTM.
% ∆ ≈ −
× ∆
.
MD provides a linear estimate of the % price∆.
- -శ
Approx Mod Dur =
× ∆ × బ
Effective duration (ED) ⇒ sensitivity of the bond’s price to a change in benchmark yield curve.
−
=
2 × ∆ ×
ED is an appropriate duration measure for bonds with embedded options & mortgage backed
securities.
Measure of a bond sensitivity to the change in a benchmark yield curve at a specific maturity
segment.
It helps shaping risk for a bond.
Macaulay & MD depends on the day-count basis used to obtain the YTM.
Longer time-to-maturity ⇒ higher Macaulay duration.
YTM & coupon rate are inversely related to Macaulay duration.
If a bond is priced at a discount, a longer time to maturity might lead to a lower duration.
Embedded option (call or put) the ED of the bond.
Term structure of yield volatility ⇒ relationship b/w the volatility of bond’s YTM & time-to-
maturity.
The importance of yield volatility in measuring interest rate risk is that bond price changes
are product of two factors:
Impact of per basis point ∆ in YTM.
Number of basis points in YTM change.
Investor faces coupon reinvestment risk as well as market price risk if the bond needs to be
sold prior to maturity.
If:
Investment horizon > Macaulay duration ⇒ reinvestment risk > market price risk.
Investment Horizon = Macaulay duration ⇒ reinvestment risk offsets market price
risk.
Investment horizon < Macaulay duration ⇒ price risk dominates reinvestment risk.
Credit risk ⇒ it involves the probability of default & degree of recovery if default occurs.
Liquidity risk ⇒ transaction costs associated with selling a bond.
∆ In the spread of traditional fixed rate bond can result from ∆ in credit or liquidity risk.
2. CREDIT RISK
Credit risk ⇒ risk of loss resulting from the issuer of debt failing to make full &
timely payments of interest &/or principal.
Components of CR
Spread Risk
Risk that yield spread will widen & bond will underperform.
Risk that a bond issuer’s credit worthiness. Risk that transaction price may differ from
Default risk, yield spreads widen, bond market price.
price. A liquidity premium in addition to credit
premium to compensate the liquidity risk.
Size of the issue & credit quality of the issuer
are main factors that affect market liquidity
risk.
4. RATINGS AGENCIES, CREDIT RATINGS, AND THEIR ROLE IN THE DEBT MARKETS
Major credit agencies (Moody’s, S&P, Fitch) play a central role in the credit market.
Some factors that led to the universal use of credit ratings include:
Independent credit risk assessment.
Regulatory & statutory reliance & usage.
Huge growth of debt market & issuer payment for ratings.
Ease of comparison across bond issuers, issues & market segments.
Rating agencies provide both issuer (corporate family) & Issue (corporate credit) rating.
Cross default provisions ⇒ whereby events of default on one bond trigger default on all
outstanding debt.
Structural subordination ⇒ when a corporation with a holding company structure has
debt at both its parent & subsidiaries level.
Notching process ⇒ credit ratings on issues can be moved up or down from the issuer
rating.
The senior unsecured rating, the smaller the notching adjustment will be.
Goal of credit analysis ⇒ to assess an issuer’s ability to satisfy its debt obligations.
The main focus in credit analysis is to understand a company’s ability to generate
CF rather than its willingness to pay debts (corporate bond contracts are
enforceable by law).
Capacity Collateral
Ability of the borrower to make its debt Quality & value of the assets supporting the
payments on time issuer’s indebtness.
Covenants Character
5.2.1 Capacity
Industry Structure
Porter’s Framework
Level of Competition
Industry Fundamentals
Company Fundamentals
Operating history.
Competitive position.
Management strategy & execution.
Ratio analysis.
Ratios Analysis
Credit analysts focus on EBIT because it is useful Debt/capital ⇒ it shows the % of a company’s
to determine a company’s performance prior to capital base that is financed with debt.
cost arising from its capital structure. Capital = total debt + shareholder’s
Several measures of CF: equity.
EBITDA Debt/EBITDA ⇒ analysts use this ratio to
Funds from operation = N.I + Dep + look at trends over time.
amortization + deferred tax & other non- FFO/debt ⇒ often used by credit rating
cash items. agencies.
Free CF before dividends = N.I + Dep. &
amortization – capex - in non cash
working capital excludes nonrecurring
items.
Free CF after dividends = free CF before
dividends – dividend payments.
Coverage Ratios
The ratio, the better the credit quality is More conservative measure of interest coverage
(does not include dep. & amortization).
5.2.2 Collateral
Asset value analysis is typically emphasized more with weaker credit quality companies.
If default probability rises to a sufficient level, the analysts consider the collateral value in
the context of loss severity.
Value & quality of a company’s assets are difficult to observe directly.
A market-based signal to impute the quality of a public company is equity market
capitalization.
Key point of collateral analysis ⇒ to assess the value of the assets relative to the issuer’s
level & seniority ranking of debt.
5.2.3 Covenants
Covenants are integral to credit agreements & spell out what the issuer’s
management is obligated to do (affirmative covenants) & limited in doing
(negative covenants).
Covenants are described in bond prospectus for corporate bonds.
Strong covenants protect bond investors from the possibility of
management taking actions that would hurt an issuer’s credit worthiness.
5.2.4 Character
Both external & internal debts are easy to service if govt. runs a budget & current account
surplus.
Key issues for sovereign analysis:
Govt ability to pay.
Govt willingness to pay (more important).
Specific characteristics that the analysts should expect in a top-quality sovereign credit include:
Political & economic profile.
Institutional effectiveness & political risks.
Economic structure & growth prospects.
Flexibility & performance profile.
External liquidity & international investment position.
Fiscal performance, flexibility & debt burden.
Monetary flexibility.
Debt issued by provincial & local Govts. as well as the various agencies & authorities they create.
GO bonds ⇒ unsecured bonds issued with the full faith & credit of the issuing govt.
These bonds are supported by the taxing authority of the issuer.
Some similarities to sovereign debt analysis.
Economic analysis focuses on employment, per capita income, per capita debt,
demographics & net population growth.
Revenue bonds ⇒ for specific project financing.
Risk than GO bonds (depends on single source of revenue).
Analysis of these bonds include project analysis & financial analysis.
Key credit metric ⇒ debt service coverage ratio (DSCR).
The the DSCR, the stronger the creditworthiness.
4. TYPES OF DERIVATIVES
4.1.2 Futures
4.1.3 Swaps
4.2.1 Options
Option ⇒ a derivative contract in which buyer, pays a sum of money to the seller & receive the
right to either buy or sell an underlying asset at a fixed price.
Call option ⇒ provides the right to buy.
Put option ⇒ provides the right to sell.
American-style option ⇒ can be exercised before maturity.
European-style ⇒ can be exercised only at maturity.
Exercise price ⇒ fixed price at which underlying asset can be purchased.
Option premium ⇒ sum of money paid by the option buyer.
In-the-money option ⇒ when option value is positive for buyer & S > X where S = price at
maturity X = exercised price.
Out- of money = S < X
At the money = S = X
4.3 Hybrids
A derivative is a financial instrument that derives its performance from the value of
an underlying asset.
Forward Commitments
Contingent claim
Option derivative contract in which buyer pays a sum of money to the seller or
writer & receive a right to either buy or sell an underlying asset at a fixed price
either at specified expiry date or before that date.
Required rate of return (K) ⇒ rate at which to discount future cash flow.
Minimum rate is risk-free rate of interest.
Also known as opportunity cost.
Arbitrage ⇒ a type of transaction undertaken when two assets produce identical results but sell for different prices.
Arbitrage opportunities disappear very quickly.
Risk –neutral pricing ⇒ it uses the fact that arbitrage opportunities guarantee that a risk free portfolio consisting of the
underlying & the derivative must earn the risk free rate.
Arbitrage-free pricing ⇒ process of pricing derivatives by arbitrage & risk neutrality.
Principle of no arbitrage ⇒ combination of assets/ derivatives that produce the same result must sell for the same price.
் = ் −
where
⇒ Forward price at initiation date
் ⇒ Value at expiration
The value of forward contract at expiry is the spot pricing of the underlying minus the
forward price agreed to in the contract.
Value to the short party = Value to the long party X (-1)
= 1 + ்
Forward price is the spot price compounded at risk-free rate over the life of
the contract.
Forward price of an asset with benefits & costs:
= 1 + ் − − 1 + ்
If benefit > costs then forward transaction would return less than the spot
transaction & vice versa.
The holder of call option will exercise the option if the value of underlying exceeds
the exercise price (X).
Value of call option at expiration =
0, ் −
Value of put option =
0, − ்
The value of call option cannot exceed the value of underlying & is directly related to
the value or underlying.
No upper or lower boundary is provided by the underlying for puts.
The value of European put option is inversely related to the value of underlying.
In-the-money option ⇒ if the underlying > the exercise price for a call (put) option
then option is in (out) the money.
At-the-money option ⇒ when the underlying is precisely at the exercise price, the
option said to be at-the-money.
Out-of-the money ⇒ exactly opposite from in-the-money.
Lower exercise price has two benefits for a call option:
There are more outcomes in which the call expires in-the money.
The lower the X, the higher the payoffs.
The effect is just the opposite for put options.
Value of European call option ⇒ inversely related to exercise price.
Value of European put option ⇒ directly related to exercise price.
The value of a European call option is directly related to the time to expiration.
Value of a European put option ⇒ either directly or inversely related to the time to
expiration but direct effect is more common.
Value of European call (put) ⇒ directly (inversely) related to the risk free interest
rate.
Call option holder continues to earn interest on the money that could be expended
later in paying the exercise price upon option exercise.
Value of European call & European put is directly related to the volatility of the
underlying.
Time value of an option ⇒ reflects the value of the uncertainty that arises from the
volatility of the underlying.
At expiration option has time value of zero.
A European call (put) is worth less (more) the more benefits that are paid by the
underlying & worth more (less) the more costs that are incurred in holding the
underlying.
Lowest value of European call = greater of zero or S-PV of X Reference: Level I Reading 58
Lowest value of European put = greater of zero PV of X-S
Exhibit 17. Protective Put with Forward Contract vs. Protective Put with Asset
Outcome at T
Put Expires In-the-Money (ST < X) Put Expires Out-of-the-Money (ST ≥ X)
Protective put with asset
Asset ST ST
Long put X –ST 0
Total X ST
Protective put with forward contract
Risk-free bond F0 (T) F0 (T)
Forward contract ST – F0 (T) ST – F0 (T)
Long put X –ST 0
Total X ST
Exhibit 18. Protective Put with Forward Contract vs. Fiduciary Call
Outcome at T
Put Expires In-the-Money (ST < X) Call Expires In-the-Money (ST ≥ X)
Protective Put with Forward Contract
Risk-free bond F0 (T) F0 (T)
Forward contract ST – F0 (T) ST – F0 (T)
Long put X – ST 0
Total X ST
Fiduciary Call
Call 0 ST – X
Risk-free bond X X
Total X ST
Binomial model ⇒ model that allows only two possible movements in the underlying
– one going up & one going down from where it is now.
గభశ ାሺଵିగሻభష ଵାିௗ
= where =
ଵା ఓିௗ
Where
ଵା call price on up move
ଵି call price on down move
π & 1-π are synthetic probabilities & they produce a weighted avg. of the next two
possible call values.
Changing the C.S to P.S leads to the binomial put option pricing formula:
ଵା + 1 − ଵି
=
1+
American options possess an additional trail than European option in that they can
exercise before maturity.
If certain benefits are attached with American call option (e.g. dividends, interest)
early exercise is worth doing.
If certain costs (e.g. storage cost) are attached with the option, preference would be
given to owing the option rather to own the underlying.
The minimum value of an American put > minimum value of European put ⇒
stronger motivation for early exercise.
Protective Put
2. ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS
Others
Assume that markets are efficient & Assumption ⇒ inefficiencies exist &
focus on β drivers of return. alpha return after adjusting for β
Expected alpha return is zero for risk is possible.
passive managers. Alpha returns are results of
Efficiently take on market risk. managers’ special skills in capturing
non-systematic opportunities in the
market.
Concentrated Portfolios
Risks of AIs
Risks can be considered both on stand-alone basis & within the context of
portfolio.
Risks ⇒ low liquidity, transparency & limited redemption availability.
⇒ ℎ
=
Sharpe ratio & downside risk measures ignore low correlation of AIs with
traditional investments.
3. HEDGE FUNDS
Characteristics of HF:
Aggressively managed & highly leveraged portfolio of investments across asset
classes.
Fewer investment restrictions & goal of generating high returns.
Usually set up as a private investment partnership.
Often imposes restrictions on redemptions.
Funds of funds ⇒ funds that hold a portfolio of HFs.
Provide diversification.
Available for smaller investors.
Expertise in conducting due diligence on HFs.
Subdivisions
Examples
Zero β investment strategies that seek to Focus on relative value b/w a variety of
exploit a perceived mispricing b/w a ABS & MBS.
convertible bond & its component parts. Seek to take advantage of mispricing
Typically involves buying convertible across different ABS.
debt securities & selling the same
issuer’s common stock.
Focus on the relative value within the FI Use options to go long or short market
markets. volatility either in a specific asset class or
Currency dynamics & govt yield curve are across asset classes.
important considerations.
Multi-Strategy
Focus on top down approach to identify economic trends evolving across the world.
Trade in FI, equity, currency & commodity markets.
Use long &/or short positions to potentially profit from a view on overall market
direction.
They are focused on public equity markets & take long & short positions
in equity & equity derivative securities.
Use a “bottom-up” as opposed to “top down” approach.
Examples
Examples
Leverage has the effect of magnifying gains or losses because the HF can
take a large position relative to the capital committed.
HFs normally trade through prime brokers.
The the margin requirement, the leverage is available to the HF.
Redemptions can magnify losses for HF.
When drawdown occurs, investors may decide to exit the fund or
redeem at least a portion of their shares.
Redemption fees ⇒ discourage redemption & help to recover
transaction costs.
Lock up period gives the HF manager time to implement & potentially
realize the expected result of a strategy.
FOFs may offer more redemption flexibility than afforded by direct
investment in HFs.
4. PRIVATE EQUITY
Categories of PE
VC Fund Financing
VC Fund Financing
Ultimate goal for PE ⇒ improve underperforming businesses & exit them at high
valuations.
Exit strategies:
Trade sale ⇒ sale of a company to strategic buyer such a competitor.
IPO ⇒ selling of shares to public investors through an IPO (highest price).
Recapitalization ⇒ not a true exit strategy.
PE firm maintains control but allows the PE investor to extract money from
the company.
Popular strategy when IR is.
Secondary sale ⇒ sale to another PE firm or group of investors.
Liquidation ⇒ occurs when transaction has not gone well.
Approaches to PE Valuations
Asset-Based Approach
5. REAL ESTATE
Debt Equity
Private Mortgages Direct ownership of real estate.
Ownership can be through sole
ownership, joint ventures, real estate
limited partnership, or other
commingled funds.
Public Mortgage-backed securities (residential Shares in real estate corporations
and commercial) Shares of real estate investment trusts
Collateralized mortgage obligations
Appropriate direct investment (equity & debt) for institutional funds or high-net-
worth individuals with long time horizons & limited liquidity needs.
Direct investment requires active & experienced, professional management.
Lender conducts financial analyses to establish the creditworthiness of the borrower
before providing the debt financing.
Mortgage REITS ⇒ risk & return characteristics similar to fixed income investments.
Equity REITS ⇒ invest primarily in commercial or residential properties & employ
leverage.
Sources of return to equity REITS= rental income – debt servicing.
MBS structure ⇒ buying a pool of assets & assigning the income & principal returns
into individual security tranches for commercial MBS.
Investment-Grade Last
CMBS 60%-70% Loss
Debt
Real 70%-75% High-Yield BB Rated
Estate CMBS
Asset B Rated
5%-10%
Unrated
Property
Owners’ Equity
25%-30% Property Owners’
Equity 25-30%
Timberland ⇒ offers an income stream based on the sale of timber products as a component of total return
(low correlation with other asset classes).
Flexible investment ⇒ harvest more trees when timber prices are up & delaying harvests when prices
are down.
Farmland ⇒ perceived to provide an inflation hedge.
Returns ⇒ related to harvest quantities & agricultural commodity prices.
Two main property types:
Row crops⇒ planted & harvested annually.
Permanent crops ⇒ grows on trees or vines.
Little flexibility in harvesting as compared to timberland.
Typically similar to direct cap approach. This approach calculates a REIT’s NAV.
Funds from operation (FFO) & adjusted FFO REIT’s NAV = Estimated MV of REIT’s total
are used as measure of income. assets – value of its total liabilities.
FFO = NI + Dep ± gains (loss) from sale of RE REIT shares are often traded at value other
property. than NAV per share.
AFFO adjusts the FFO for recurring capex.
6. COMMODITIES
Collectibles:
Tangible assets such as antiques & fine art, fine wine, rare stamps & coins,
jewelry & watches etc.
Provide no current income but potential for higher capital gains.
Highly illiquid.
No. of indices that provide information about returns to these investments.
Sharpe ratio may not be the appropriate risk – return measure for
alternative investments because measure of return & SD may not be
relevant & reliable.
Returns are overstated & volatility is understated in alternative
investments.
Alternative investment returns tend to be leptokurtic &
negatively skewed.
Downside risk measure (e.g. ) focus on the left side of the return
distribution curve & Sortino ratio uses downside deviation as
opposed to standard deviation as a measure of risk.