This
assignment
has
a
50%
weighting
in
your
overall
mark
for
this
unit
and
focuses
on
content
from
Week
3,4,5
and
6.
It
will
be
marked
out
of
80.
Marks
will
be
allocated
as
indicated
in
the
rubric
below.
Your
total
assignment
submission
should
not
exceed
3,500
words,
excluding
cover
sheet
and
reference
list.
Overall,
the
assignment
requires
you
to
conduct
a
risk
and
return
analysis
using
historical
market
data.
Prepare
your
data
prior
to
performing
the
risk
and
return
calculations:
• Choose
one
company
from
Table
1
below.
This
company
will
be
your
case
company
for
this
assessment
and
Task
2.
Month
Boral
(BLD)
CSL
(CSL)
Cochlear
(COH)
JB
HiFi
(JBH)
Bega
Cheese
(BGA)
Monthly
returns
Monthly
returns
Monthly
returns
Monthly
returns
Monthly
returns
Oct-‐18
Nov-‐18
-‐9.09%
-‐5.64%
-‐4.67%
0.74%
-‐0.67%
Dec-‐18
-‐3.14%
4.37%
2.53%
-‐4.45%
-‐16.86%
Jan-‐19
0.20%
5.16%
11.44%
1.04%
2.84%
Feb-‐19
0.61%
-‐0.49%
-‐11.85%
1.07%
-‐6.11%
Mar-‐19
-‐5.22%
1.23%
2.54%
14.98%
-‐2.84%
Source:
Returns
calculated
from
historical
share
prices
and
dividends
from
Morningstar
DatAnalysis
Premium.
• For
completion
of
the
assessment
tasks,
you
will
also
need
the
following
data
(see
Table
2
below):
Table 2: Monthly Data for Reference Company and Market Index
Source:
Hypothetical
reference
company
data.
All
Ordinaries
Accumulated
Index
data
from
S&P
https://au.spindices.com/indices/equity/all-‐ordinaries.
• Note: You will NOT submit a spreadsheet, but a written analysis (as Word file) for this assessment.
(1)
the
historical
monthly
rates
of
return
for
the
market
index
only
(monthly
rates
of
return
for
the
companies
are
given);
and
(2)
the
historical
average
rate
of
return
and
standard
deviation
of
returns
for:
i)
your
case
company;
ii)
the
reference
company;
iii)
the
market
index;
and
iv) an equally weighted portfolio of your case company and the reference company.
(7.5 marks)
(1)
Use
CAPM
to
estimate
the
expected
return
for
the
shares
of:
1)
your
case
company;
and
2)
the
reference
company
as
at
17
May
2019.
To
do
this,
use
the
yield
to
maturity
on
that
date
of
a
10-‐year
Australian
Government
bond
as
a
proxy
for
the
risk-‐free
rate,
assume
the
market
risk
premium
is
6.5%
and
use
your
chosen
case
company’s
current
beta
(see
the
unit
learning
resources
and
web
links
for
example
data
sources).
Assume
that
the
reference
company
has
a
negative
beta
of
-‐0.30.
(2)
Using
the
data
from
part
b(1),
calculate
the
portfolio
expected
return
and
beta,
again
assuming
equal
weights
for
your
case
company
and
the
reference
company.
(5.5 marks)
3. c)
Drawing
on
expectations
from
theory
and
incorporating
the
overall
context
of
your
chosen
company,
discuss
the
risk
and
return
measures
you
have
calculated.
(12
marks)
Note:
The
remaining
five
(5)
marks
are
allocated
to
presentation
and
written
expression
of
the
analysis
(see
the
rubric
below).
Task
2:
Capital
Structure
and
Payout
Policy
Analysis
(700
words)
For
this
task,
you
are
required
to
describe
and
evaluate
the
capital
structure
and
payout
policies
of
your
case
study
company
(chosen
for
Task
1).
1. Describe
the
policy
(which
may
or
may
not
be
explicit)
based
on
current
and
historical
data.
2. Evaluate
the
policy,
drawing
on
theory
and
practical
considerations
covered
in
the
unit
and
Your
analysis
will
be
mostly
qualitative
but
some
basic
quantitative
measures
should
be
used
in
describing
the
company’s
policies.
Marks for this task will be awarded as per the Task 1 rubric (see below).
Task 3 appendix showing cash flow details and an assignment reference list
This
task
is
based
on
the
case
information
below.
The
company
and
financial
data
are
fictional
but
the
background
context
is
not.
Companies
increasingly
face
challenges
and
opportunities
to
run
more
environmentally
and
socially
responsible
whilst
growing
value
for
shareholders.
Case
Background
OnePack
Limited
operates
in
the
packaged
food
industry,
selling
mainly
stocks,
sauces,
snacks,
drink
powers
and
salad
dressing.
All
its
products
are
sold
in
plastic
packaging
and
a
significant
proportion
in
small
multi-‐layer
sachets
(or
pouches)
in
Asian
countries.
Managers
at
OnePack
are
acutely
aware
of
the
increase
in
world
plastic
production
and
the
environmental
impact
of
plastic
waste
ending
up
in
landfills,
rivers
and
oceans.
For
example,
Researchers
estimate
that
8
milillon
metric
tons
of
plastic
entered
the
ocean
in
2010
and
this
annual
amount
is
predicted
to
more
than
double
by
2025
with
major
increases
in
South
Asia.
To
help
develop
a
closed-‐loop
system
related
to
the
company’s
products,
OnePack
has
invested
$25
million
in
soft
plastic
recycling
research,
development
and
pilot
testing.
The
outcome
is
a
new
and
efficient
method
for
recycling
sachet
waste.
In
fact,
their
recycling
method
is
more
energy
efficient
than
producing
virgin
sachet
plastic,
reducing
energy
usage
by
83%.
The
output
plastic
is
of
such
high
quality
it
can
be
used
in
food
grade
packaging
applications.
Currently,
no
other
recycling
method
in
the
market
can
achieve
this.
The
company
now
faces
a
decision:
should
it
build
a
commercial
scale
plant
and
produce
recycled
sachet
plastic
for
use
in
packaging
its
own
products?
The
CEO
has
asked
you
to
undertake
a
financial
analysis
of
the
options
and
present
your
recommendations
in
a
memo.
The
plan
is
to
replace
use
of
virgin
plastic
in
packaging
with
the
new
recycling
plant’s
output.
The
upcoming
year
forecast
of
total
variable
plastic
packaging
costs
based
on
virgin
plastic
is
$27
million
and
this
is
expected
to
grow
by
2%
per
year
after
that.
Replacing
externally-‐sourced
virgin
plastic
with
internally-‐produced
recycled
plastic
is
expected
to
result
in
some
reduced
variable
packaging
costs.
First,
the
energy
efficiency
of
the
recycling
method
will
reduce
costs
compared
to
virgin
plastic
production
and
this
is
estimated
to
decrease
the
company’s
annual
forecast
packaging
costs
by
10%.
Second,
a
virgin
plastic
supplier
margin
equivalent
to
8%
of
annual
forecast
packaging
costs
will
be
avoided
but
this
benefit
is
expected
to
be
offset
by
a
new
cost
associated
with
paying
a
partner
to
supply
plastic
waste
raw
material
for
recycling.
In
addition
to
benefits
related
to
cost
savings,
the
company’s
sales
and
marketing
executives
have
argued
that
sales
revenue
of
the
company’s
products
will
increase
due
to
consumer
demand
for
environmentally
responsible
products.
Excluding
this
potential
benefit,
the
company’s
forecast
sales
revenue
for
the
coming
year
is
$440
million
and
this
is
expected
to
grow
by
2%
each
year
after
that.
The
executives
have
estimated
that
with
an
additional
$13
million
in
marketing
costs
in
the
first
year
of
the
project
to
inform
the
public
of
the
company’s
recycled
packaging,
annual
sales
revenue
will
be
2.5%
higher
than
existing
forecasts
for
the
life
of
the
project.
An
additional
$4
million
annually
in
administrative
and
general
expenses
directly
related
to
the
project
(excluding
depreciation)
will
be
incurred.
Furthermore,
an
upfront
additional
investment
will
be
required
in
net
working
capital.
This
will
be
equal
to
1%
of
the
total
first
year
sales
revenue
forecast
under
the
project
assumptions
and
will
be
fully
recovered
in
the
last
year
of
the
project.
Apart
from
these
changes,
the
general
consensus
of
the
champions
of
the
project
is
that
all
other
costs
will
be
equivalent
to
existing
forecasts.
OnePack has a 9% weighted average cost of capital and is subject to a 30% tax rate on its income.
Required:
Prepare
a
financial
analysis
of
the
proposed
project
and
present
it
to
OnePack’s
CEO
in
the
form
of
a
memo.
In
the
memo,
briefly
explain
and
justify
your
chosen
methods,
inputs
and
any
assumptions
made,
summarise
your
findings
and
present
recommendations
on
the
proposed
project.
Ensure
you
not
only
address
base
case
cash
flows
but
also
analyse
potential
uncertainty.
Recommendations
should
address
the
decision
to
be
made,
along
with
any
further
follow
up
or
other
matters
the
company
should
consider
prior
to
making
a
final
decision.
Include
an
appendix
to
the
memo
that
includes
details
of
your
base
case
figures.
Within
the
memo
body,
you
may
provide
tables
and
figures
that
assist
decision
makers
understand
your
methods,
findings
and
their
implications
for
decision
making
but
ensure
the
tables
and
figures
are
discussed
and/or
explained.
Marking
Rubrics
Marking
criteria
for
calculations
TOTAL:
13
marks
MARKING
CRITERIA
–
Excellent
Very
Good
Good
Satisfactory
Poor
Task
1
Correct
input
Accurate
calculation
data
used.
Mostly
correct
Correct
input
Mostly
correct
of
historical
returns
Mostly
Technique
and
input
data.
data.
Mostly
input
data.
Mostly
and
standard
incorrect
data
all
final
Correct
correct
correct
deviation
for
two
and
calculated
techniques
and
techniques
and
techniques
and
companies,
index
techniques.
(0
figures
are
calculations.
(6
calculations.
(5
calculations.
(4
and
portfolio
(7.5
to
3
marks)
correct
(7.5
marks)
marks).
marks).
marks)
marks)
Correct
input
Accurate
calculation
data
used.
Mostly
correct
Correct
input
Mostly
correct
of
expected
returns
Mostly
Technique
and
input
data.
data.
Mostly
input
data.
Mostly
for
two
companies
incorrect
data
all
final
Correct
correct
correct
and
portfolio
and
and
calculated
techniques
and
techniques
and
techniques
and
accurate
calculation
techniques.
(0
figures
are
calculations.
(4.5
calculations.
(3.5
calculations.
(3
of
portfolio
beta
(5.5
to
2
marks)
correct
(5.5
marks)
marks).
marks).
marks)
marks)
Marking
criteria
for
discussion
&
structural
component
TOTAL:
17
marks
MARKING
CRITERIA
–
Excellent
Very
Good
Good
Satisfactory
Poor
Task
1
Accurately
and
Accurately
Accurately
Accurately
comprehensively
interprets
nearly
interprets
most
interprets
most
interprets
all
all
calculated
risk
calculated
risk
calculated
risk
calculated
risk
and
and
return
and
return
While
an
and
return
return
measures.
measures.
measures.
explanation
of
measures.
Correctly
compares
Correctly
Correctly
technical
terms
Correctly
appropriate
compares
compares
may
have
been
compares
some
Insightful
and
measures
and
appropriate
appropriate
attempted,
there
appropriate
relevant
explains
differences,
measures
and
measures
and
is
little
or
no
measures
and
discussion
of
drawing
on
relevant
explains
explains
some
accurate
explains
some
risk
and
return
theory.
Accurately
differences,
differences,
interpretation
or
differences.
demonstrated
weaves
relevant
drawing
on
drawing
on
comparison
of
Tables
or
graphs,
in
the
context
(e.g.
relevant
theory.
relevant
theory.
risk
and
return
if
used,
may
not
quantitative
company
industry,
Weaves
relevant
Incorporates
measures.
be
effective
or
analysis
(12
market
conditions)
context
into
some
relevant
Context,
theory
explained.
Uses
marks)
into
explanations.
explanations.
context.
Uses
and
explanations
and
explains
Uses
tables
or
Uses
tables
or
tables
or
graphs
are
limited,
some
technical
graphs
effectively
to
graphs
effectively
but
may
not
be
incorrect
or
terms.
Context
enhance
the
to
enhance
the
effective
or
absent.
(0
to
5
and
theory
are
discussion.
Uses
and
discussion.
Uses
explained.
Uses
marks)
limited
or
explains
relevant
and
explains
most
and
explains
incorrect
(6
technical
terms.
(12
relevant
technical
some
technical
marks)
marks)
terms.
(10
marks)
terms.
(8
marks)
Overall
presentation
Overall
Overall
Overall
Overall
is
well
organised
presentation
is
presentation
is
presentation
is
presentation
is
Presentation
and
looks
mostly
well-‐ mostly
well-‐ fairly
neat
and
generally
and
written
professional.
All
organised
and
organised
and
organised.
Not
all
unprofessional.
expression
data
sources
and
professional.
All
neat.
All
necessary
data
Not
all
necessary
(5
marks)
other
references
are
necessary
data
necessary
data
sources
are
data
sources
are
provided
where
sources
and
other
sources
and
provided
or
most
provided
or
most
needed
in
references
are
other
references
are
not
in
are
not
in
appropriate
format
provided,
mostly
are
provided,
appropriate
appropriate
and
detail.
Use
of
in
appropriate
mostly
in
positions,
format
positions,
format
language
makes
positions,
format
appropriate
and
detail.
Use
of
and
detail.
Use
of
meaning
and
detail.
Use
of
positions,
format
language
mostly
language
often
consistently
clear.
language
makes
and
detail.
Use
makes
meaning
makes
meaning
There
are
no
or
very
meaning
of
language
clear.
There
are
unclear.
There
few
grammar,
consistently
clear.
mostly
makes
several
grammar,
may
be
many
syntax
and
spelling
There
are
very
meaning
clear.
syntax
and
grammar,
syntax
errors.
(5
marks)
few
grammar,
There
may
be
spelling
errors.
and
spelling
syntax
and
several
grammar,
(2.5
marks)
errors.
(0
to
2
spelling
errors.
(4
syntax
and
marks)
marks)
spelling
errors.
(3.5
marks)
TASK
2
MARKING
Excellent
Very
Good
Good
Satisfactory
Poor
CRITERIA
The
company’s
The
company’s
The
company’s
capital
structure
capital
structure
capital
structure
and
The
company’s
and
payout
and
payout
payout
policies
are
capital
structure
policies
are
policies
are
well
succinctly
and
well
and
payout
described,
payout
described,
payout
described,
payout
policies
are
policy
in
terms
of
policy
in
terms
of
policy
in
terms
of
described,
one
of
level,
form
level,
form
and
level,
form
and
payout
policy
in
and
stability,
stability.
The
The
description
is
stability.
The
terms
of
at
least
supported
by
description
is
missing
or
description
is
two
of
level,
some
relevant
mostly
supported
extremely
limited
Description
of
directly
supported
form
and
qualitative
by
relevant
or
unsupported
capital
by
relevant
current
stability.
The
information
and
current
and
by
relevant
and
structure
and
and
historical
description
is
quantitative
historical
accurate
data
or
payout
policies
qualitative
supported
by
measures
that
are
qualitative
contains
mostly
(7
marks)
information
(e.g.
some
relevant
mostly
correctly
information
and
incorrect
quotes
from
qualitative
interpreted.
If
quantitative
interpretations.
(0
company
sources)
information
and
more
than
one
measures
that
are
to
3
marks)
and
quantitative
quantitative
aspect
of
payout
clearly
and
measures
that
are
measures
that
policy
is
concisely
clearly
and
concisely
are
mostly
described,
it
is
presented
(tables,
presented
(tables,
correctly
mostly
incorrectly
charts)
and
charts)
and
correctly
interpreted.
(5
interpreted
or
correctly
interpreted.
(7
marks)
without
adequate
interpreted.
(6
marks)
supporting
data
marks)
(4
marks)
Several
relevant
Several
relevant
At
least
two
One
relevant
factors
in
setting
a
factors
in
setting
relevant
factors
factor
in
setting
a
Some
relevant
target
capital
a
target
capital
in
setting
a
target
capital
factors
in
setting
structure
have
been
structure
have
target
capital
structure
has
a
target
capital
correctly
applied
to
been
correctly
structure
have
been
correctly
structure
may
Evaluation
of
the
company's
applied
to
the
been
correctly
applied
to
the
have
been
noted
capital
current
company's
applied
to
the
company's
but
application
to
structure
characteristics
and
current
company's
current
the
company's
policy
(6.5
situation
to
make
characteristics
current
characteristics
context
is
lacking,
marks)
appropriate
and
and
situation
to
characteristics
and
situation
to
not
clearly
well
explained
make
appropriate
and
situation
to
make
an
explained
or
judgements
on
its
and
well
make
appropriate
incorrect.
(0
to
capital
structure.
explained
appropriate
and
judgement
on
its
2.5
marks)
You
have
judgements
on
its
well
explained
capital
structure.
synthesised
all
your
capital
structure.
judgements
on
Some
other
judgements
to
make
You
have
its
capital
relevant
factors
an
overall
synthesised
all
structure
and
an
have
been
noted
evaluation
of
the
your
judgements
overall
but
not
correctly
policy.
It
is
clear
that
to
make
an
evaluation
is
applied
or
you
recognise
the
overall
evaluation
attempted.
(4.5
explained
in
the
complexities
and
of
the
policy.
(5.5
marks)
context
of
the
uncertainties
in
this
marks)
company.
(3.5
evaluation
task.
(6.5
marks)
marks)
You
have
evaluated
You
have
You
have
level,
form
and
evaluated
the
evaluated
the
You
have
stability
of
the
company's
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company's
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evaluated
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payout
policy
in
terms
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policy
in
terms
of
company's
policy.
Several
at
least
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of
at
least
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of
payout
policy
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relevant
factors
in
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form
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terms
of
at
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Several
stability.
One
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of
level,
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Some
relevant
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factors
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At
least
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current
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have
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two
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correctly
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factors
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make
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to
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noted
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Evaluation
of
payout
policy
appropriate
and
current
current
application
to
the
payout
policy
have
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well
explained
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characteristics
company's
(6.5
marks)
correctly
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judgements
on
its
and
situation
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and
situation
to
context
is
lacking,
to
the
company's
policy.
You
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and
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2.5
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evaluation
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is
clear
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synthesised
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judgements
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(4.5
uncertainties
in
this
overall
evaluation
the
context
of
the
marks)
evaluation
task.
(6.5
of
the
policy.
(5.5
company.
(3.5
marks)
marks)
marks)
TASK
3
MARKING
Excellent
Very
Good
Good
Satisfactory
Poor
CRITERIA
About
half
the
Less
than
half
the
All
relevant
base
Most
relevant
relevant
base
relevant
base
Nearly
all
relevant
case
cash
flows
base
case
cash
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cash
flows
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cash
flows
base
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cash
Accurate
have
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flows
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estimation
of
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base
incorporated
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incorporated
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into
case
cash
flows
the
analysis
and
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analysis
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into
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analysis
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analysis
and
and
decision
net
cash
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decision
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and
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decision
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decision
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criteria
(13
and
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net
cash
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(13
cash
flows.
(9
based
on
your
on
your
net
cash
flows
(11
marks)
marks)
marks)
net
cash
flows.
(7
flows.
(0
to
6
marks)
marks)
You
have
not
analysed
project
You
have
You
have
uncertainty
using
accurately
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have
You
have
accurately
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analysed
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techniques
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using
have
attempted
appropriate
appropriate
at
least
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appropriate
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use
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Accurate
and
techniques.
You
techniques
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technique.
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analysis
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insight
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input
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no
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(7
judicious
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are
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well-‐ justification,
are
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well-‐ demonstrated
marks)
choices
that
are
articulated
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unreasonable
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consideration
of
well-‐articulated
linked
to
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the
analysis
is
linked
to
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input
choices
in
a
and
linked
to
case
facts.
The
analysis
not
easy
to
facts.
The
analysis
hard
to
follow
facts.
The
analysis
is
easy
to
follow.
follow.
(3.5
is
easy
to
follow.
analysis
or
there
is
easy
to
follow.
(4.5
marks)
marks)
(5.5
marks)
are
major
(7
marks)
inaccuracies.
(0
to
3
marks)
You
have
accurately
interpreted
the
results
of
your
You
have
financial
analysis
accurately
and
made
interpreted
the
appropriate
and
results
of
your
You
have
insightful
financial
analysis
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have
not
accurately
recommendations
and
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correctly
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most
with
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basis
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appropriate
You
have
interpreted
most
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the
results
of
those
recommendations accurately
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from
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your
financial
recommendations
.
interpreted
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analysis
analysis
and
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clearly
and
Recommendation of
the
results
of
or
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appropriate
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s
go
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recommendation
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simply
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analysis
and
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.
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at
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and
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decision
simply
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s
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have
or
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subtleties
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.
Use
of
language
from
the
results
project
analysis
generally
not
project
by
project
decision
mostly
makes
or
interpretation.
(10
marks)
been
recognised.
recognising
the
making
and/or
meaning
clear;
Use
of
language
Use
of
language
subtleties
of
needed
additional
several
grammar,
mostly
makes
mostly
makes
project
decision
analysis
or
syntax
and
meaning
unclear;
meaning
clear;
making
and
considerations.
spelling
errors.
(5
many
grammar,
several
grammar,
needed
additional
Use
of
language
marks)
syntax
and
syntax
and
analysis
or
mostly
makes
spelling
errors.
(0
spelling
errors.
considerations.
meaning
clear;
no
to
4
marks)
(6.5
marks)
Use
of
language
or
very
few
makes
meaning
grammar,
syntax
consistently
clear;
and
spelling
no
or
very
few
errors.
(8
marks)
grammar,
syntax
and
spelling
errors.
(10
marks)