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Market Advisory Services Witten Advisors

Market-Smart Investment Decisions

U.S. Apartment Markets:


Trends and Outlook

1
Market insights for apartment owners, Camden Investor Meeting Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC
developers, investors and lenders
October 4, 2010 Dallas, Texas
Market
Market
Advisory
Update
Services Witten Advisors
Market-Smart Investment Decisions

Like Q1, leasing in 2Q10 was best in 15+ years


150,000
Net Absorption in 2nd Quarter of Each Year
116,430
103,646
100,000

50,000

-50,000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
-100,000
Source: Witten Advisors

2
Market insights for apartment owners, Camden Investor Meeting Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC
developers, investors and lenders
October 4, 2010 Dallas, Texas
Market
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Disconnect between apartment demand and jobs?


4%
3%
Job Growth Rate
2% Apartment
June
Absorption
1%
Year-Year % Change

Rate*
Aug
0%
2001
2000

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010
-1%

-2%
-3%

-4%
-5%

-6%

*net change in occupied apartments Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Witten Advisors
3
Market insights for apartment owners, Camden Investor Meeting Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC
developers, investors and lenders
October 4, 2010 Dallas, Texas
Market
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Why then? 1) Ownership still losing market share


70% 2Q04
Share of U.S. Households Who Own Home

69.4%

69%
Homeownership
Rate, SA
68%

67%
2Q10
66.9%
66%

65% Predicted

64%

63%
1Q90

1Q92
1Q93
1Q94
1Q95
1Q96
1Q97
1Q98
1Q99
1Q00

1Q02
1Q03
1Q04
1Q05
1Q06
1Q07
1Q08
1Q09
1Q10

1Q12
1Q13
1Q91

1Q01

1Q11
Source: U.S. Department of Commerce
4
Market insights for apartment owners, Camden Investor Meeting Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC
developers, investors and lenders
October 4, 2010 Dallas, Texas
Market
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2) Pent-up demand: Young adults out of market


46 17
In recession, young adults double up...
Households <30

# Households < 30 (millions)


Population 20-29 (millions)

(right scale)
44 16

…but underlying
42 population still expanding 15

40 14
Population 20-29
(left scale)

38 13
2000

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2012

2013

2014

2015
2011
2001

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Witten Advisors

5
Market insights for apartment owners, Camden Investor Meeting Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC
developers, investors and lenders
October 4, 2010 Dallas, Texas
Market
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Update
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Market-Smart Investment Decisions

2009: 1.1 million more young adults at home than normal


60% 15%

Share of U.S. Young Adults 25-34 Living at


Share of U.S. Young Adults 18-24 Living at

12.8%
% 25-34 at Home
(right scale)

55% 10%
52.8%
Home

Home
% 18-24 at Home
(left scale)
50% 5%

45% 0%
1990

1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000

2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2001
1991

Source: U.S. Department of Commerce


6
Market insights for apartment owners, Camden Investor Meeting Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC
developers, investors and lenders
October 4, 2010 Dallas, Texas
Market
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Update
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Young adult hiring in 2010 the best since 1984


3,000
000 Jobs Gained/Lost by Year (Dec-Dec)

2,500
2,000
1,500
973
1,000
500
0

2010* YTD Aug


1960
1962
1964
1966
1968
1970
1972
1974
1976
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
-500
-1,000
-1,500
-2,000
-2,500

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics


7
Market insights for apartment owners, Camden Investor Meeting Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC
developers, investors and lenders
October 4, 2010 Dallas, Texas
Market Economy
Advisory Services Witten Advisors
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Hiring is uneven in recoveries; 2010 better than most


0.4%
Early 1980s
Month-Month % Employment Change

Early 1990s
0.2%
Early
2000s

0.0%
Deepest Loss

2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

22
23
24
Month 1

11

21
-0.2%

Late 2000s
(excl Census temps)
-0.4%

-0.6%

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics


8
Market insights for apartment owners, Camden Investor Meeting Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC
developers, investors and lenders
October 4, 2010 Dallas, Texas
Market Economy
Advisory Services Witten Advisors
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Job Growth Forecast: 2010 gradual; 2011-2013 solid


4,000 YE12
3.1m
3,000 YE13
Year-Year Change in Employment (000)

Actual 2.9m
2,000 YE11
YE10 2.5m
1.2m
1,000
0
1990

1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999

2010

2012
2013
2000

2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2001
1991

2011
-1,000
-2,000
-3,000
-4,000
-5,000
-6,000
-7,000

Sources: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; Consensus forecast


9
Market insights for apartment owners, Camden Investor Meeting Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC
developers, investors and lenders
October 4, 2010 Dallas, Texas
Market
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Cap rates fall faster than NOIs = 1) higher values…


180
Apartment Value Index (2000=100)

160
based on In-Place NOI / Cap Rate

140
120
100

80
60
40

20
0
1Q01
1Q00

1Q02

1Q03

1Q04

1Q05

1Q06

1Q07

1Q08

1Q09

1Q10
Source: Witten Advisors
10
Market insights for apartment owners, Camden Investor Meeting Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC
developers, investors and lenders
October 4, 2010 Dallas, Texas
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…and 2) improved development margins –


spread should widen gradually, starts follow
300,000 2.0%
Actual Starts

250,000

Development Return Spread


Predicted
1.0%
Units, trailing 12 months

Spread

over Current Cap Rate


200,000 Development Return

0.26%
181k
Spread over Cap Rate
(right scale)
150,000 0.0%

100,000
-1.0%
Predicted
50,000
Starts

0 -2.0%
1Q01

1Q11
1Q94
1Q95
1Q96
1Q97
1Q98
1Q99
1Q00

1Q02
1Q03
1Q04
1Q05
1Q06
1Q07
1Q08
1Q09
1Q10

1Q12
1Q13
Source: Witten Advisors
11
Market insights for apartment owners, Camden Investor Meeting Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC
developers, investors and lenders
October 4, 2010 Dallas, Texas
Market
Market
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Outlook
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Demand surge continues, while stock shrinks


400,000
Absorption New Completions

300,000
Units, trailing 12 months

200,000

100,000

Jan-10

Jan-12
Jan-13
Jan-96
Jan-97
Jan-98
Jan-99
Jan-00

Jan-02
Jan-03
Jan-04
Jan-05
Jan-06
Jan-07
Jan-08
Jan-09
Jan-01

Jan-11
-100,000

-200,000
Net Completions
-300,000
Source: Witten Advisors

12
Market insights for apartment owners, Camden Investor Meeting Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC
developers, investors and lenders
October 4, 2010 Dallas, Texas
Market
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Recovery began in 2010; 2011-2013 above trend


100% 10%

Annual Effective Rent Growth


95% 5%
Occupancy

90% 0%

85% -5%
1Q 2001

1Q 2011
1Q 1995
1Q 1996
1Q 1997
1Q 1998
1Q 1999
1Q 2000

1Q 2002
1Q 2003
1Q 2004
1Q 2005
1Q 2006
1Q 2007
1Q 2008
1Q 2009
1Q 2010

1Q 2012
1Q 2013
Occupancy Occupancy Forecast Rent Growth Rent Growth Forecast
Source: Witten Advisors

13
Market insights for apartment owners, Camden Investor Meeting Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC
developers, investors and lenders
October 4, 2010 Dallas, Texas
Market
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2010 NOI erodes slightly; strong rebound 2011-2013


15%

4Q12
Year-Year Change in Average Net

10.2%
10%
4Q13
9.5%
Operating Income

4Q11
5% 5.1%

0%
1Q01

1Q11
1Q96
1Q97
1Q98
1Q99
1Q00

1Q02

1Q03
1Q04
1Q05
1Q06
1Q07
1Q08
1Q09
1Q10

1Q12
1Q13
4Q10
-5% -2.8%

-10%

Source: Witten Advisors

14
Market insights for apartment owners, Camden Investor Meeting Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC
developers, investors and lenders
October 4, 2010 Dallas, Texas
Market
Forecast
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Market-Smart Investment Decisions

Employment growth scenarios


5,000
Best Case*
4,000
Base Case
Year-Year Change in Employment (000)

3,000
Actual
2,000
1,000
0
1990

1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999

2010

2012
2013
2000

2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2001
1991

2011
-1,000
-2,000 Double-Dip**

-3,000
-4,000
-5,000
-6,000
-7,000 Sources for Base Case: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; Consensus includes Economy.com, National Association for
Business Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Standard & Poor’s
*Best Case reflects highest forecast from above sources **Double-Dip replicates early 1990s downturn and recovery
15
Market insights for apartment owners, Camden Investor Meeting Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC
developers, investors and lenders
October 4, 2010 Dallas, Texas
Market
Forecast
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Scenarios
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Market-Smart Investment Decisions

Demand surge continues due to


demographics, flight from ownership
400,000
Absorption Best Case

Base Case
300,000
Units, trailing 12 months

200,000
Double-Dip

100,000

0
Jan-96
Jan-97
Jan-98
Jan-99
Jan-00

Jan-02
Jan-03
Jan-04
Jan-05
Jan-06
Jan-07
Jan-08
Jan-09
Jan-10

Jan-12
Jan-13
Jan-11
Jan-01

-100,000

-200,000

-300,000
Source: Witten Advisors
16
Market insights for apartment owners, Camden Investor Meeting Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC
developers, investors and lenders
October 4, 2010 Dallas, Texas
Market
Forecast
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Scenarios
Services Witten Advisors
Market-Smart Investment Decisions

MF rental starts bottom in 2010, rebound modestly


300,000
Actual Starts
250,000
Units, trailing 12 months

Best Case
200,000

150,000 Base Case

100,000
Double-Dip

50,000

0
1Q91

1Q01

1Q11
1Q92
1Q93
1Q94
1Q95
1Q96
1Q97
1Q98
1Q99
1Q00

1Q02
1Q03
1Q04
1Q05
1Q06
1Q07
1Q08
1Q09
1Q10

1Q12
1Q13
Predicted starts based on return on new development relative to U.S.
Treasuries and inflation, availability of debt and equity financing
Source: Witten Advisors
17
Market insights for apartment owners, Camden Investor Meeting Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC
developers, investors and lenders
October 4, 2010 Dallas, Texas
Market
Forecast
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Scenarios
Services Witten Advisors
Market-Smart Investment Decisions

Starts slump in 2008-2010 = few completions ahead


400,000
Units, trailing 12 months

New Completions
300,000

200,000
Best Case
Base Case

100,000

Double-Dip

0
Jan-96
Jan-97
Jan-98
Jan-99
Jan-00

Jan-02
Jan-03
Jan-04
Jan-05
Jan-06
Jan-07
Jan-08
Jan-09
Jan-10

Jan-12
Jan-13
Jan-01

Jan-11
Source: Witten Advisors
18
Market insights for apartment owners, Camden Investor Meeting Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC
developers, investors and lenders
October 4, 2010 Dallas, Texas
Market
Forecast
Advisory
Scenarios
Services Witten Advisors
Market-Smart Investment Decisions

Apartment stock shrinks after obsolescence


400,000
Net Completions

300,000
Units, trailing 12 months

200,000

Base Case
100,000
Best Case
0

Jan-10

Jan-12
Jan-13
Jan-96
Jan-97
Jan-98
Jan-99
Jan-00

Jan-02
Jan-03
Jan-04
Jan-05
Jan-06
Jan-07
Jan-08
Jan-09
Jan-01

Jan-11
-100,000

Double-Dip
-200,000

-300,000
Source: Witten Advisors
19
Market insights for apartment owners, Camden Investor Meeting Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC
developers, investors and lenders
October 4, 2010 Dallas, Texas
Market
Forecast
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Scenarios
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Market-Smart Investment Decisions

Solid demand + shrinking supply = high occupancy


100%
Base Case
Best Case
Double-Dip
95%
Occupancy

90%

85%
1Q 2001

1Q 2011
1Q 1995
1Q 1996
1Q 1997
1Q 1998
1Q 1999
1Q 2000

1Q 2002
1Q 2003
1Q 2004
1Q 2005
1Q 2006
1Q 2007
1Q 2008
1Q 2009
1Q 2010

1Q 2012
1Q 2013
Occupancy Base Case Best Case Double-Dip
Source: Witten Advisors
20
Market insights for apartment owners, Camden Investor Meeting Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC
developers, investors and lenders
October 4, 2010 Dallas, Texas
Market
Forecast
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Scenarios
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Market-Smart Investment Decisions

High occupancy brings rent growth


10%

8%
Effective Rent Growth, year-year

Best Case
6% Base Case

Double-Dip
4%

2%

0%
1Q 2001

1Q 2011
1Q 1995
1Q 1996
1Q 1997
1Q 1998
1Q 1999
1Q 2000

1Q 2002
1Q 2003
1Q 2004
1Q 2005
1Q 2006
1Q 2007
1Q 2008
1Q 2009
1Q 2010

1Q 2012
1Q 2013
-2%

-4%

-6%

Rent Growth Base Case Best Case Double-Dip


Source: Witten Advisors
21
Market insights for apartment owners, Camden Investor Meeting Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC
developers, investors and lenders
October 4, 2010 Dallas, Texas
Market
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Rent growth drives strong NOI growth


15%
Base Case
Year-Year Change in Average Net

10%
Best Case
Operating Income

Double-
Dip
5%

0%
1Q01

1Q11
1Q96
1Q97
1Q98
1Q99
1Q00

1Q02

1Q03
1Q04
1Q05
1Q06
1Q07
1Q08
1Q09
1Q10

1Q12
1Q13
-5%

-10%

Source: Witten Advisors

22
Market insights for apartment owners, Camden Investor Meeting Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC
developers, investors and lenders
October 4, 2010 Dallas, Texas
Market
Forecast
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Forecast Summary
Base Case Best Case Double-Dip
Rent Rent Rent
Occupancy Growth Occupancy Growth Occupancy Growth
2011 95.3% 4.8% 95.6% 5.3% 95.3% 4.3%
2012 96.6% 6.4% 96.8% 6.7% 96.2% 5.0%
2013 96.6% 5.5% 96.8% 6.1% 95.9% 4.9%
2011-2013 96.2% 5.5% 96.4% 6.0% 95.8% 4.8%

23
Market insights for apartment owners, Camden Investor Meeting Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC
developers, investors and lenders
October 4, 2010 Dallas, Texas
Market
MetroAdvisory
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Metro Market Focus

24
Market insights for apartment owners, Camden Investor Meeting Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC
developers, investors and lenders
October 4, 2010 Dallas, Texas
Market
MetroAdvisory
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Strong demand recovery in many CPT markets…


Aus Charl Den Miami Orl Ral Riv Tam
6%
Ral
Year-Year % Change in Occupied Apartments

Aus
5%
Orl

4% Charl
Den
3% Miami
Riv
Tam
2%

1%

0%

1Q10
1Q08

2Q08

3Q08

4Q08

1Q09

2Q09

3Q09

4Q09

2Q10
-1%

-2%
Source: Witten Advisors

25
Market insights for apartment owners, Camden Investor Meeting Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC
developers, investors and lenders
October 4, 2010 Dallas, Texas
Market
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…solidly positive demand in all others


Atl Dal FtL FW Hou LV LA OC Phx SD DC

4%
Year-Year % Change in Occupied Apartments

3%
Atl
Phx FtL
Dal
2% FW
LASD
LV DC
1% Hou
OC

0%
1Q08

2Q08

3Q08

4Q08

1Q09

2Q09

3Q09

4Q09

1Q10

2Q10
-1%

-2%

-3%

Source: Witten Advisors


26
Market insights for apartment owners, Camden Investor Meeting Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC
developers, investors and lenders
October 4, 2010 Dallas, Texas
Market
Metro
Metro
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Stories
Focus
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2Q 2010 Actuals: Apartment Demand Highlights


Absorption Rate*: Leaders Absorption Rate*: Laggards
12 Months ending 2Q 2010 12 Months ending 2Q 2010
1. Raleigh 5.5% 33. Washington DC 1.1%
2. Austin 5.2% 34. Houston 1.1%
3. Orlando 4.6% 35. San Francisco 1.0%
4. Charlotte 3.7% 36. Orange County 0.9%
5. Salt Lake City 3.6% 37. St. Louis 0.9%
6. Nashville 3.5% 38. Detroit 0.3%
7. Denver 3.5% 39. Kansas City 0.2%
8. West Palm Beach 3.1% 40. Columbus –0.2%
9. Jacksonville 2.9% 41. Cincinnati –0.4%
10. Miami 2.9% 42. Minneapolis –0.4%
*year-year % change in occupied apartments Source: Witten Advisors
27
Market insights for apartment owners, Camden Investor Meeting Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC
developers, investors and lenders
October 4, 2010 Dallas, Texas
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August 2010 Actuals: Year-Year Job Growth


Employment Growth Employment Growth Rate
12 Months ending Aug 2010 12 Months ending Aug 2010
1. Boston 36.6k 1. Austin 2.5%
2. Dallas 24.3k 2. Boston 1.5%
3. Washington DC 20.5k 3. Dallas 1.2%
4. Austin 18.7k 4. Orange County 0.9%
5. Orange County 12.0k 5. Norfolk 0.9%
6. West Palm Beach 0.8%
38. Oakland –23.7k 7. Charlotte 0.8%
39. Sacramento –24.5k 8. Washington DC 0.7%
40. Detroit –31.7k 9. Raleigh 0.6%
41. Los Angeles –39.4k 10. St. Louis 0.6%
42. Chicago –55.7k U.S. +0.2%
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics 28
Market insights for apartment owners, Camden Investor Meeting Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC
developers, investors and lenders
October 4, 2010 Dallas, Texas
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Early job growth leaders in recent recoveries…


1993-1994 Average 2004-2005 Average
1 Las Vegas 10.2% Las Vegas 7.3%
2 Austin 7.1% Phoenix 5.6%
3 Phoenix 7.0% Riverside 5.6%
4 Salt Lake City 6.3% Orlando 5.4%
5 Atlanta 5.4% Fort Lauderdale 4.7%
6 Orlando 5.2% Jacksonville 4.0%
7 Nashville 4.9% West Palm Beach 3.6%
8 Tampa 4.9% Tampa 3.6%
9 Denver 4.8% Austin 3.6%
10 Portland 4.8% Salt Lake City 3.6%

Source: Witten Advisors


29
Market insights for apartment owners, Camden Investor Meeting Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC
developers, investors and lenders
October 4, 2010 Dallas, Texas
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…similar names expected in this recovery…


2011 Employment Growth 2012 Employment Growth
1 Austin* 4.3% Austin* 4.7%
2 Riverside* 3.5% Las Vegas* 4.2%
3 Fort Worth 3.5% Fort Worth 4.0%
4 Phoenix * 3.5% Riverside* 3.9%
5 Dallas 3.0% Salt Lake City* 3.8%
6 Denver* 3.0% Phoenix* 3.8%
7 Charlotte 3.0% Jacksonville* 3.5%
8 Jacksonville* 2.9% Dallas 3.5%
9 Orlando* 2.9% Denver* 3.5%
10 Washington DC 2.8% Charlotte 3.4%

*among top 10 early job growth leaders in 1993-1994


or 2004-2005 recoveries, or both Source: Witten Advisors
30
Market insights for apartment owners, Camden Investor Meeting Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC
developers, investors and lenders
October 4, 2010 Dallas, Texas
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…supporting a sharp rebound in rental income


2011 Revenue Growth 2012 Revenue Growth
1 Orlando 6.4% Denver 8.3%
2 West Palm Beach 6.3% Boston 8.0%
3 Washington DC 5.9% Austin 7.8%
4 Denver 5.6% Orange County 7.8%
5 Fort Lauderdale 5.4% San Jose 7.6%
6 Austin 4.9% Phoenix 7.5%
7 Phoenix 4.7% Oakland 7.2%
8 San Antonio 4.6% Atlanta 7.2%
9 San Jose 4.5% Chicago 6.4%
10 Atlanta 4.2% Charlotte 6.3%

Source: Witten Advisors


31
Market insights for apartment owners, Camden Investor Meeting Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC
developers, investors and lenders
October 4, 2010 Dallas, Texas
Market
Market
Advisory
Outlook
Services Witten Advisors
Market-Smart Investment Decisions

Summary
• 2010: Early recovery well underway
• Job gains return (+1.2m); house payments stabilize (-1%)
• Effective rents up 1% year-year; NOI -3% as rents finish rolling down
• 2011-2012: Strong rebound
• Employment gains 2.5m in 2011, 3.1m in 2012; P&I +10%, +10%
• Negative net completions
• Rents up 4½% in 2011, 6½% in 2012; NOI +5%, +10%
• 2013: Recovery complete
• Hiring continues (+2.9m); lost jobs replaced
• House payments climb +5%
• Net completions only 30k; starts back to 180k
• Rents up 6%+; NOI +10%
• Values back to 2007 levels
32
Market insights for apartment owners, Camden Investor Meeting Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC
developers, investors and lenders
October 4, 2010 Dallas, Texas
Market Advisory Services Witten Advisors
Market-Smart Investment Decisions

Questions/Discussion

33
Market insights for apartment owners, Camden Investor Meeting Copyright 2010, Witten Advisors LLC
developers, investors and lenders
October 4, 2010 Dallas, Texas
Camden Property Trust
2010 Investor / Analyst Meeting
Houston, TX
October 4 - 5, 2010
1
Forward-Looking Statements
In addition to historical information, this presentation contains forward-
looking statements under the federal securities law. These statements
are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about the
industry and markets in which Camden operates, management's
beliefs, and assumptions made by management. Forward-looking
statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve
certain risks and uncertainties which are difficult to predict. Factors
which may cause the Company’s actual results or performance to differ
materially from those contemplated by forward-looking statements are
described under the heading “Risk Factors” in Camden’s Annual Report
on Form 10-K and in other filings with the Securities and Exchange
Commission (SEC). Forward-looking statements made in this
presentation represent management’s opinions as of the date of this
presentation, and the Company assumes no obligation to update or
supplement these statements because of subsequent events.
2
Significant Opportunities for Multifamily Industry
• Limited new supply of housing expected for next several
years
• Favorable demographics from growing “Echo Boom”
population and positive immigration inflows
• Homeownership rate declining steadily
• Negative sentiment toward home ownership
• Fewer apartment renters moving out to purchase homes

3
Housing Supply
• Multifamily supply remains well below long-term
average level
• The Harvard University Joint Center for Housing Studies
estimates that we already have a shortage of 3 million
units of affordable rental housing
• All markets are now “Barrier” due to limited availability
of construction financing

4
Rising Demand for Apartments
• Natural demand of 1.5 million to 2.0 million housing
units annually
• 78 million “Echo Boomers” now entering housing market
• “Baby Boomers” downsizing and many choosing to rent
• Less than 22% of current American households are
“Married Couples with Children”
• Between 2008-2015, nearly two-thirds of all new
households formed will be renters, creating 6 million
new renter households

5
Political Winds Impacting Industry
• Focus on more balanced housing policy
• Future of GSEs
• $5 trillion total portfolio
• Multifamily portfolio produced over $2 billion in
profits since GSEs placed in conservatorship
• January 30, 2011 deadline for Treasury to propose a
new plan for the GSEs

6
Camden’s Game Plan
• Maximize portfolio cash flow growth
• Complete Camden Multifamily Value Add Fund
through acquisitions and development
• Expand development pipeline
• Complete selective dispositions
• Continue to reduce leverage

7
Portfolio Trends

8
Camden’s Portfolio
• 187 operating communities containing 64,074
apartment homes in 15 major U.S. markets
• High-quality properties with average age of 11 years
– one of the youngest in sector
• 3Q10 average same property occupancy – 94.3%
• Turnover rates and moveouts for home purchases
near all-time lows

9
Geographic Diversity & Market Balance

Las Vegas
7.5% Washington, DC
Denver
4.0% 19.1%

Raleigh
LA/Orange County Phoenix 4.5%
6.3% 2.4%
Charlotte
Atlanta 5.9%
San Diego/Inland Empire Dallas 5.2%
3.4% 6.8%

Austin Orlando
2.7% Tampa 5.4%
Houston 7.6%
8.7% Southeast
Florida
6.9%

Percentage of NOI by Market – 2Q10 Actual


(Including pro-rata share of NOI from JV communities)
Note: “Other” markets represent 3.6% of NOI 10
Growth Drives Results
Top 25 Metro Areas For Estimated Gains: 2009 - 2014
Employment Growth Population Growth
Rank Metro area Gain Rank Metro area Gain
1 New York-Wayne NY-NJ 411.0 1 Houston-Baytown TX 626.2
2 Houston-Baytown TX 328.7 2 Atlanta-Sandy Springs GA 602.8
3 Atlanta-Sandy Springs GA 303.8 3 Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale AZ 591.9
4 Los Angeles-Long Beach CA 299.3 4 Los Angeles-Long Beach CA 510.5
5 Chicago-Naperville IL 295.3 5 Dallas-Plano TX 472.5
6 Dallas-Plano TX 280.5 6 Washington-Arlington DC-VA-MD-WV 270.4
7 Washington-Arlington DC-VA-MD-WV 190.9 7 Austin-Round Rock TX 250.9
8 Minneapolis-St. Paul MN-WI 155.8 8 Fort Worth-Arlington TX 238.9
9 Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale AZ 153.8 9 Chicago-Naperville IL 238.0
10 Seattle-Bellevue WA 135.5 10 San Antonio TX 227.0
11 Tampa-St. Petersburg FL 132.6 11 New York-Wayne NY-NJ 224.6
12 Philadelphia PA 132.1 12 San Diego-Carlsbad CA 220.5
13 Fort Worth-Arlington TX 124.2 13 Orlando FL 212.9
14 Orlando FL 123.6 14 Portland-Vancouver OR-WA 210.9
15 Austin-Round Rock TX 119.8 15 Riverside-San Bernardino CA 210.2
16 San Antonio TX 118.9 16 Las Vegas-Paradise NV 209.4
17 Santa Ana-Anaheim CA 117.1 17 Raleigh-Cary NC 197.1
18 Nassau-Suffolk NY 110.6 18 Charlotte-Gastonia NC-SC 190.9
19 St. Louis MO-IL 108.5 19 Minneapolis-St. Paul MN-WI 179.9
20 Miami-Miami Beach FL 100.4 20 Seattle-Bellevue WA 175.3
21 Charlotte-Gastonia NC-SC 98.1 21 Santa Ana-Anaheim CA 173.6
22 Denver-Aurora CO 95.8 22 Denver-Aurora CO 168.6
23 San Diego-Carlsbad CA 93.6 23 Sacramento-Arden CA 165.6
24 Las Vegas-Paradise NV 89.4 24 Tampa-St. Petersburg FL 142.9
25 Portland-Vancouver OR-WA 87.9 25 West Palm Beach-Boynton Beach FL 131.9

Over 97% of Camden’s NOI is derived from these markets 11


Source: Précis METRO© 2005 Economy.com, Inc. - September 2010. Highlighted entries represent Camden markets.
Alphabet Soup

WISO
FISL
WISL
FIST
WINO
12
When Will Then Be Now…?

13
How About…?

Higher
Employment
Lifts
Performance
14
Peak to Trough Rents
Average change in rent per apartment home
Peak to Current
Trough Rent Amount
Market Decline vs. Peak Recovered
Phoenix (17.8%) (17.2%) 0.6%
Las Vegas (16.4%) (16.4%) 0.0%
Charlotte (14.8%) (13.5%) 1.3%
Orlando (12.7%) (12.1%) 0.6%
Atlanta (10.8%) (8.6%) 2.2%
Los Angeles/Orange County (10.5%) (10.3%) 0.1%
Tampa (9.9%) (8.7%) 1.2%
Southeast Florida (9.9%) (7.7%) 2.2%
Austin (8.4%) (6.3%) 2.1%
Raleigh (7.9%) (5.0%) 3.0%
San Diego/Inland Empire (7.6%) (5.5%) 2.1%
Dallas (7.5%) (6.8%) 0.7%
Denver (5.7%) (2.4%) 3.3%
Houston (4.2%) (4.0%) 0.2%
Washington, DC (3.1%) (0.1%) 3.1%
Total (8.5%) (7.3%) 1.3%

15
Pricing Power Beginning to Return
Average change in new lease and renewal rates vs. expiring lease rates when signed
8.0%

6.0%

4.0%

2.0%

0.0%

-2.0%

-4.0%

-6.0%

-8.0%
Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10

New Lease Renewal Overall 16


Renewal Increases by Market – Sept 2010
Average change in renewal rates vs. expiring lease rates when signed

12.0%

10.0%

8.0%

6.0%

4.0%

2.0%

0.0%
Atlanta

CPT Average
Austin

Denver
Southeast Florida

Southern California
Charlotte

Tampa

Dallas

Phoenix

Las Vegas
Raleigh

Orlando

Houston
Washington, DC

17
New Lease Increases by Market – Sept 2010
Average change in new lease rates vs. expiring lease rates when signed

10.0%

8.0%

6.0%

4.0%

2.0%

0.0%

-2.0%

-4.0%
CPT Average

Atlanta
Austin

Denver

Southeast Florida

Phoenix

Tampa

Dallas

Southern California
Charlotte

Las Vegas
Orlando

Raleigh

Houston
Washington, DC

18
Rental Rates Improving
$990

$980

$970

$960

$950

$940

$930

$920
Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10

Market Rents In-Place Rents 19


Occupancy Rising
96.0%

95.0%

94.3%
94.2%
93.9%
94.0%

93.4%
93.1%

93.0%

92.0%
3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10

Same Property Average Occupancy


20
91.0%
92.0%
93.0%
94.0%
95.0%
96.0%
97.0%
98.0%
Washigton, DC

Denver

Raleigh

Charlotte

Southeast Florida
3Q10 same property average occupancy

Austin

Dallas

CPT Average
Occupancy by Market

Atlanta

Orlando

Tampa

Houston

Southern California

Las Vegas

Phoenix
21
2010 Guidance Increased
Original Guidance (1) Revised Guidance (2)

Earnings
FFO per share $2.35 - $2.65 $2.58 - $2.70
EPS per share $(0.24) - $0.06 $0.06 - $0.18

Same Property Performance


Revenue growth (2.25)% - (4.25)% (1.5)% - (2.5)%
Expense growth 2.0% - 3.5% 0.75% - 1.25%
NOI growth (5.5)% - (8.5)% (3.0)% - (5.0)%

(1) Issued February 2010.


(2) Issued July 2010 and re-affirmed October 2010. 22
Thanks for the
Internet Al Gore!
2010 – 50K Visitors Each Week

Top Internet
Referring Sites
1. CraigsList.com
2. ApartmentGuide.com
3. Facebook
4. ForRent.com
5. Apartments.com
What are our customers saying about us?

August 2010 Focus Group Results


Seriously Mobile

Five Can’t-Miss Mobile Marketing Trends For 2010, Paul Rosenfeld, December 30, 2009 - smallbiztrends.com
Keep an Eye on Mobile Usage Trends, Erin Wilson, May 12, 2010 - blog.90octane.com
Mobile Access 2010, Aaron Smith, Jul 7, 2010 - Pew Research Center
“Nothing but Net” Campaign
Internet Marketing at its finest!

Campaign “Netted” 5,603 leases (July 5 – Sept 19)


Guest Card Volume Change
For July and August

“Nothing but Net” Group - 14.35%

Non-“Nothing but Net” Group - 3.27%


Camden Contact Center

Steve Zissou
Official mascot
35
Acquisitions & Dispositions

37
Camden’s Investment Thesis
• Create value by maximizing return on invested capital
(ROIC)
• Ensure appropriate leverage
• Accomplish by making investments that are accretive to
weighted average cost of capital (WACC)

38
Acquisition Environment
• Transaction volumes beginning to increase
• Most financing still provided by Fannie Mae & Freddie
Mac, but life companies competitive
• Limited seller distress so far
• Well-capitalized buyers competing heavily for core
product
• Cap rates range from 4.5% to 5.25% for core assets in
infill locations

39
Camden Multifamily Value Add Fund
• $120M assets currently owned within Fund
• $375M total equity commitment – $300M institutional
capital, $75M Camden
• $1.0B total investment capacity (based on 60% leverage)
• Investment vehicle for select acquisitions and
development
• Camden fee income includes asset management,
property management, construction, development and
capital improvements
• 20% carried interest and fees enhance equity returns
40
Camden Yorktown

Location Houston, TX
Date acquired July 2010
Purchase price $25 million

Year built 2008


Number of units 306
CPT ownership 20%
% occupied 96% (10/1/10)

41
Camden Ivy Hall

Location Atlanta, GA
Date acquired July 2010
Purchase price $15 million
Cost to complete $2 million

Year built 2010


Number of units 110
CPT ownership 20%
% occupied 44% (10/1/10)

42
Dispositions
• Expect to complete $105M dispositions by year-end
• 25-year old asset in Dallas/Ft. Worth
• 5-year old asset in Suburban Virginia
• Midwest Joint Venture currently being marketed for sale
• 9 communities with 3,237 apartment homes located
in St. Louis, Kansas City and Louisville
• Camden ownership – 15%
• Expect sale to occur in late 2010 or early 2011

43
Development & Re-Development

44
Resuming Development Activity
• Core competency for Camden throughout 17-year
history as public company
• Completed over 50 communities with 20,000 apartment
homes for total cost of $2.3B
• Expected development starts
• $100M in 2010
• $250M-$400M annually thereafter

45
2010 Development Starts
($ in millions)

Total
Projected Estimated
Project Location Homes Cost
Camden Lake Nona Orlando, FL 420 $61
Camden Summerfield II Landover, MD 187 32
Camden Royal Oaks II Houston, TX 105 13
Total 712 $106

46
Camden Lake Nona

Location – Orlando, FL
Number of units – 420
Total budget – $61 million
Start date – 4Q10
Initial occupancy – 4Q11
Construction completion – 3Q12
Stabilized operations – 4Q14

47
Camden Summerfield II

Location – Landover, MD
Number of units – 187
Total budget – $32 million
Start date – 4Q10
Initial occupancy – 2Q12
Construction completion – 3Q12
Stabilized operations – 2Q13

48
Camden Royal Oaks II

Location – Houston, TX
Number of units – 105
Total budget – $13 million
Start date – 4Q10
Initial occupancy – 1Q12
Construction completion – 2Q12
Stabilized operations – 3Q13

49
Potential 2011 Development Starts
($ in millions)

Total
Projected Estimated
Project Location Homes Cost
Camden Noma Washington, DC 317 $117
Camden South Capital Washington, DC 276 83
Camden Celebration Orlando, FL 438 65
Camden Countryway Tampa, FL 348 51
Camden Montague Tampa, FL 192 23
Camden City Centre II Houston, TX 260 36
Camden Amber Oaks II Austin, TX 244 25
Total 2,075 $400

50
Additional Land Holdings
($ in millions)

Potential Projected Cost to


Location Projects Homes Date*
Washington, DC 1 400 $17.3
Houston, TX 3 750 9.9
Austin, TX 1 300 4.3
Denver, CO 2 675 11.6
Hollywood, CA 1 300 17.3
Dallas, TX 1 300 8.6
Southeast FL 1 200 4.6
Las Vegas, NV 1 425 4.2
Total 11 3,350 $77.8

* Cost as of 6/30/10 51
Re-Development Program
• Completed $45M during 2007-2010 for 10% return on
investment
• Interior and exterior improvements included upgraded
kitchens, baths and common areas
• Recently commenced “on-demand” kitchen and bath
redevelopment program
• 15 communities
• 3,800 apartment homes
• Total cost of $30M
• Expected returns of 10%-15%
52
Capital Structure & Liquidity

53
Strong Capital Structure
($ in millions – as of 9/30/10)

• 41.7% debt-to-total market


Senior Unsecured
capitalization
Notes
$1,508 Equity *
$3,547
• 5.1% weighted average
interest rate on all debt
Unsecured Line
of Credit • 90.9% fixed-rate debt
$0
• 59.3% unsecured debt
Mortgages • Manageable debt maturities
$1,034
over next several years

Total Market Capitalization = $6.1 Billion

* Based on closing share price of $47.97 on 9/30/10. 54


Liquidity
• Approximately $84M cash on hand at 9/30/10
• $0 drawn on credit facility
• Sufficient liquidity to meet capital needs
• Minimal debt maturities over next 24 months
• Large unencumbered asset pool
• Low payout ratio
• Dividend increase likely in 2011

55
Manageable Debt Maturities
Future scheduled maturities (as of 9/30/10)
($ in millions)
$1,380.8
$1,400

$1,200

$1,000
$762.7
$800

$600

$400 $228.0
$158.5
$200
$1.1 $11.0

$0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Thereafter 56
Details on 2011 & 2012 Maturities
Future scheduled maturities (as of 9/30/10)
($ in millions)
$690.3
$700

$600

$500

$400

$300

$200
$89.1 $70.4
$100 $36.1 $32.3
$1.0 $1.0 $1.0

$0
1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 57
Camden’s Leverage Relative to Peers
Company EBITDA/Interest Expense
MAA 3.22x
ESS 3.03x
AVB 2.91x
BRE 2.53x
CPT 2.51x
UDR 2.34x
EQR 2.30x
PPS 2.19x
HME 2.18x
CLP 1.87x
AIV 1.72x
AEC 1.67x
Average 2.37x

58
Source: KeyBanc Capital Markets – 9/24/10
New Revolving Credit Facility
Number of Banks 17

Joint Bookrunners: Banc of America Securities, LLC and JP Morgan Securities, Inc
Facility: $500 million Senior Unsecured Revolving Credit Facility
– $100 million letter of credit sublimit
– Accordion up to $600 million

Maturity: August 2012, with 1 year extension option

Pricing: Pricing grid based on credit rating


Current pricing:
– LIBOR margin 210 bps
– Annual facility fee 40 bps
– All-in drawn 250 bps

Financial Covenants: Maximum Leverage Ratio: <60%


Minimum Fixed Charge Coverage: 1.5x
Maximum Secured Debt: 35%
Minimum Net Worth: 75% of tangible net worth prior to closing
plus 50% of new equity proceeds
Minimum Unencumbered Interest Coverage: 2.0x
Minimum Unencumbered Debt Yield: 11.5% 59
Indicative Senior Unsecured Pricing
Pricing as of 9/27/10

Maturity (years) 5 7 10
Size ($ millions) $250 - $500 $250 - $500 $250 - $500
Benchmark Treasury UST 1.250% 8/15 UST 1.875% 8/17 UST 2.625% 8/20
Benchmark Treasury yield (%) 1.29% 1.91% 2.53%
Reoffer spread (bps) T+200 - 212.5 T+212.5 - 225 T+212.5 - 225
Reoffer yield 3.286% - 3.410% 4.031% - 4.160% 4.653% - 4.780%
Swap spread (bps) +23 +15 +3
Reoffer versus LIBOR (bps) +177 - 190 +198 - 120 +209 - 222
Fees upfront (%) 0.600% 0.625% 0.650%
All-in yield 3.42% - 3.54% 4.13% - 4.26% 4.73% - 4.86%
All-in spread versus LIBOR (bps) +190 - 203 +208 - 220 +218 - 230

60
Secured Financing Alternatives
Fannie Mae rates as of 9/27/10

80% LTV / 1.25 DSC


Investor
Spread
Term Investor YM Treasury plus G&S Total Rate
5 years 4.5 years 1.28% 1.99% 3.27%
7 years 6.5 years 1.89% 1.99% 3.88%
10 years 9.5 years 2.51% 1.99% 4.50%

65% LTV / 1.35 DSC


Investor
Spread
Term Investor YM Treasury plus G&S Total Rate
5 years 4.5 years 1.28% 1.79% 3.07%
7 years 6.5 years 1.89% 1.79% 3.68%
10 years 9.5 years 2.51% 1.79% 4.30%

55% LTV / 1.55 DSC


Investor
Spread
Term Investor YM Treasury plus G&S Total Rate
5 years 4.5 years 1.28% 1.55% 2.83%
7 years 6.5 years 1.89% 1.55% 3.44%
10 years 9.5 years 2.51% 1.55% 4.06%
61
Summary

62
Why Camden?
• Experienced management team with proven history of
performance and sound business plan
• Consistent long-term focus and commitment to high-
growth markets
• Strong balance sheet with ample liquidity
• Well-positioned to capitalize on future opportunities
• Ranked #10 by FORTUNE® Magazine on list of
“100 Best Companies to Work For” in America

63
Definitions & Disclosures
Funds from Operations (FFO) – The National Association of Real Estate Investment
Trusts (“NAREIT”) currently defines FFO as net income attributable to common
shareholders computed in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles
(“GAAP”), excluding gains or losses from depreciable operating property sales, plus real
estate depreciation and amortization, and after adjustments for unconsolidated
partnerships and joint ventures. Camden’s definition of diluted FFO also assumes
conversion of all dilutive convertible securities, including minority interests, which are
convertible into common equity. The Company considers FFO to be an appropriate
supplemental measure of operating performance because, by excluding gains or losses
on dispositions of operating properties and excluding depreciation, FFO can help one
compare the operating performance of a company's real estate between periods or as
compared to different companies.

Net Operating Income (NOI) – NOI is defined by the Company as total property
income less property operating and maintenance expenses less real estate taxes. The
Company considers NOI to be an appropriate supplemental measure of operating
performance to net income attributable to common shareholders because it reflects the
operating performance of our communities without allocation of corporate level property
management overhead or general and administrative costs.
65
Non-GAAP Reconciliations
Expected FFO – Expected FFO is calculated in a method consistent with historical FFO,
and is considered an appropriate supplemental measure of expected operating
performance when compared to expected net income attributable to common
shareholders (EPS). A reconciliation of the ranges provided for expected net income
attributable to common shareholders per diluted share to expected FFO per diluted
share is provided below:
2010 Range
Low High
Expected net income attributable to common shareholders per share - diluted $0.06 $0.18
Expected real estate depreciation 2.37 2.37
Expected adjustments for unconsolidated joint ventures 0.13 0.13
Expected income allocated to noncontrolling interests 0.02 0.02

Expected FFO per share - diluted $2.58 $2.70

66
67

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