Fiscal policy is the government policy on spending and taxation to monitor and to stabilize
the nation’s economy. It is often known as a sister strategy to monetary policy. Changes in
the timing, consumption and the level of government expenditure and taxation can have a
substantial effect on the economic growth and economic development of the country.
Laissez-faire was the only government approach to the economy before Great Depression.
During World War II it was decided that the government have to play a vital role to control/
to regulate business cycle, unemployment, wages and inflation. By using various
combinations of these two policies government can create healthy economic growth.
Fiscal Policy aims to stimulate economic growth during recession, keep low rate of
inflation and stabilize economic growth within the economy. It is basically based on the
theory of Keynesian economics that government can play an important role in the
productivity level of the economy by increasing or receding public expenditure and taxes
which in turn, curb inflation, increase employment level and maintain money value.
The two main tools of fiscal policy are government spending and taxation.
Direct Taxes: A compulsory contribution levied on the income and wealth of individual
and profit of a business. These taxes are paid by the person or company.
Indirect Taxes: These taxes are on the spending on goods and services. Collected by custom
and excise department.
There are two types of fiscal policies i.e. Expansionary Fiscal Policy and Contractionary
Fiscal Policy.
Defined as, “An Increase in government spending and/or a decrease in taxes, as a result,
budget deficit increase and budget surplus decreases”.
ILLUSTRATION:
The above graph shows that with an increase in aggregate demand (AD) there is an increase
in real GDP (Y) from Y1 to Y2 and prices also increases from P1 to P2.
It is opposite to expansionary fiscal policy and its purpose is to slow down economic
growth by increase in inflation rate from expanding money supply or crowding out effect
in capital market. Due to tight fiscal policy GDP might falls down, but end results could be
substantial economic growth and smooth business cycle.
Fig 02: Impact of Contractionary Fiscal Policy
ILLUSTRATION:
The above graph shows that with a decrease in aggregate demand (AD) there is a decrease
in real GDP (Y) from Y1 to Y2 and prices level also decreases from P1 to P2.
Here we will look how expansionary and contractionary fiscal policy works under different
scenarios.
Income Tax: If there is a decrease in income tax, disposable income increases which enable
increase in spending. Due to higher consumption level aggregate demand increases and
shift to right as shown in above diagram from AD1 to AD2 and this leads to economic
growth.
Injecting Money: If a person gets a job he will further spend to create more employment.
This final increase in real GDP will be more than the initial investment.
However, this increase in aggregate demand can lead to inflation.
This policy starts its function when growth is at a rate which is not under control i.e. high
inflation and asset bubbles. It is used to rein it in to more sustainable level. If any nation’s
economy is growing at fast pace for example there is low unemployment and formed
inflationary gap than government may reduce government spending and increase taxes to
eliminate this gap.
Income Tax: If there is an increase in income tax, disposable income decreases which in
turn decrease spending. Due to lower consumption, aggregate demand for goods and
services decreases and shift to left as shown in above diagram from AD1 to AD2 and this
slowdowns economic growth.
Effects of fiscal policy are not the same for everyone in an economy. As tax cut only affects
the largest economic group (middle class). When taxes increases middle class have to pay
more taxes than wealthier class. At the time of adjustment of government spending, fiscal
policy affects only specific group. When government decided to start Metro Project in
Pakistan it benefits only its workers in the form of employment and income.
Fiscal policy effects economy by changing incentives. Lower income tax increase
incentives to work. Higher government spending on education increase long term labor
productivity and long term economic growth. During recession, private saving rate rise
rapidly. Fiscal policy helps to offset these rates and inject money to the circular flow and
does not cause crowding out.
Crowding out: When government spends more by borrowing from private sectors, as a
result private sector reduces investment. Therefore government spending “crowd out”
spending of private sector.