Anda di halaman 1dari 20

Accounting, Organizations and Society 26 (2001) 597–616

www.elsevier.com/locate/aos

Social disclosure, financial disclosure


and the cost of equity capital
Alan J. Richardson*, Michael Welker
School of Business, Queen’s University, Kingston, Canada K7L 3N6

Abstract
We test the relation between financial and social disclosure and the cost of equity capital for a sample of
Canadian firms with year-ends in 1990, 1991 and 1992. We find that, consistent with prior research, the quantity
and quality of financial disclosure is negatively related to the cost of equity capital for firms with low analyst
following. Contrary to expectations, there is a significant positive relation between social disclosures and the cost
of equity capital. This positive relationship is mitigated among firms with better financial performance. We consider
some biases in social disclosures that may explain this result. We also note that social disclosures may benefit the
firm through its effect on organizational stakeholders other than equity investors. # 2001 Published by Elsevier
Science Ltd.

Regulators have argued that equity markets In spite of the regulatory and theoretical sup-
require comprehensive and transparent disclosures port for increased disclosure by firms, direct evi-
of value-relevant information by firms in order to dence of a negative empirical relation between
function efficiently (e.g. Levitt, 1999). Theoreti- disclosure levels and the cost of capital is limited
cally, adopting such a ‘‘disclosure position’’ (Gib- (e.g. Botosan, 1997; Botosan & Plumlee, 2000, on
bins, Richardson, & Waterhouse, 1990) should the cost of equity capital, and Sengupta, 1998 on
benefit firms through lower cost of capital for at the cost of debt). In part, the lack of strong
least two reasons. First, increased disclosure by empirical findings on the relationship between
firms reduces transaction costs for investors disclosure and cost of capital may be an artifact of
resulting in greater liquidity of the market and the markets and information set that are used in
greater demand for the firm’s securities (e.g. Dia- empirical tests. If there is little variation in the
mond & Verrecchia, 1991). Second, increased dis- information disclosed due to effective regulatory
closure reduces the estimation risk or uncertainty interventions, or if analysts routinely generate
regarding the distribution of returns (Clarkson, information independently of the firms’ own dis-
Guedes, & Thompson, 1996). closures, then the power of empirical tests will be
significantly reduced. For example, Botosan
(1997) documents a statistically significant nega-
tive relation between the level of financial dis-
* Corresponding author. closure and cost of equity capital for her sample of
USA manufacturing firms, but this relation holds
0361-3682/01/$ - see front matter # 2001 Published by Elsevier Science Ltd.
PII: S0361-3682(01)00025-3
598 A.J. Richardson, M. Welker / Accounting, Organizations and Society 26 (2001) 597–616

only for the subset of her sample characterized by well. Past empirical examinations of the relation
limited analyst following. between social performance, or social disclosure,
A stronger test of the relationship between cor- and equity market measures such as realized
porate information disclosures and the cost of equity returns have generally been poorly speci-
equity capital is possible by choosing markets and fied, leading to results that are difficult to inter-
information sets where, ex ante, corporate dis- pret. RWH provide an extensive review of this
closures play a larger role in market valuations. In literature and present a comprehensive model
this paper we test this relationship in Canadian outlining the ways that social performance and
markets and with both financial and social dis- disclosure about that performance might influence
closures. Both of these extensions to the literature equity market measures. Their analysis focuses on
should improve the power of statistical tests as three distinct ways in which social performance
explained later. and disclosure could affect the cost of capital.
First, we examine a set of Canadian firms, pro- Social disclosure could play a role similar to
viding an assessment of the benefits of expanded financial disclosure and reduce the cost of equity
disclosure in an environment other than the Uni- capital by reducing transaction costs and/or
ted States of America (US). Since the US equity reducing estimation error. In addition to these
markets are claimed to be among the most two effects, social disclosure could influence the
sophisticated in the world (e.g. Levitt, 1999), cost of equity capital directly through investor
including some of the most stringent disclosure preference effects if investors are willing to
standards in the world, this extension is poten- accept a lower expected return on investments
tially important. The generally less comprehensive that also fulfill social objectives. The relationship
required disclosures in Canada create an environ- between the cost of capital and social disclosures/
ment where variation in voluntary disclosure performance is one of the issues identified by
could be very important.1 Epstein (2000) for future research in his review of
Second, we examine the relation between both the field.
social and financial disclosures and cost of equity Consistent with the past literature, we find a
capital estimates. The past literature has only significant negative relationship between the cost
examined the relation between financial disclosure of equity capital and financial disclosure for those
and cost of capital. As summarized in Botosan, firms with a small financial analyst following.
past literature suggests that financial disclosures Contrary to expectations, we find a significant
could influence the cost of capital because the dis- positive relationship between social disclosure
closures reduce information asymmetry and/or and the cost of equity capital. The cost of
estimation error. As Richardson, Welker, and equity penalty for firms with extensive social
Hutchinson (RWH, 1999) discuss, there are a disclosure is mitigated by higher financial
number of reasons to suspect a relation between performance.
the cost of equity capital and social disclosure as

1. Hypothesis development
1
The view that US disclosure practices provide more infor- The relation between financial disclosure and
mation than Canadian practices is apparently widely held.
Nearly 90% of the Canadian analysts surveyed between
the cost of equity capital has been extensively
November 1994 and January 1995 on behalf of the Toronto developed in the past literature (Clarkson et al.,
Stock Exchange’s Committee on Corporate Disclosure respon- 1996; Diamond & Verrecchia, 1991). Botosan
ded that disclosure was better in the USA. None of the analysts (1997), for example, argues that financial dis-
felt that disclosure was better in Canada. Reasons provided for closure could result in decreased cost of capital
the belief that disclosure is better in the USA included: more
stringent regulation, greater volume of information and more
because expanded disclosure reduces estimation
detailed segmentation of information (Committee on Corpo- risk, decreasing the total risk in owning the
rate Disclosure, 1995). equity security, or reduces risk by decreasing
A.J. Richardson, M. Welker / Accounting, Organizations and Society 26 (2001) 597–616 599

information asymmetries and, hence, adverse ‘‘vote’’ with their dollars and may (rationally)
selection risk. In either case, an inverse relation choose to pay more to both acquire a product or
between financial disclosure and cost of equity service and support a social cause for which they
capital is predicted. have an affinity. The extension of this literature to
Richardson et al. (1999) argue that there are at the capital market is straightforward if investment
least three reasons to expect a similar relation decisions are recognized as decisions to forego
between social disclosure and the cost of equity current consumption in favor of future consump-
capital.2 They conclude that there may be a direct tion. There is also considerable anecdotal evidence
influence of social disclosure on the cost of equity suggesting a link between investor preferences and
capital either through investor preference effects, social reporting. For example, Downing (1997)
or through reduced information asymmetry or reports that managers of the Canadian Pension
estimation risk. The effects stemming from Plan’s $100 billion fund, among other investors,
reduced information asymmetry and/or estimation might be attracted by the information provided by
risk follow directly from the literature on financial social reporting.
disclosure. If information about social activities is Our empirical examination does not attempt
relevant to assessing the firm’s prospects, then to discriminate between these potential effects,
enhanced disclosure of social activities has the but does stand in marked contrast to the past
same effect as enhanced disclosure of other finan- literature examining the equity market con-
cial activities. sequences of social disclosure that has tended to
Investor preference effects arise if investors are focus on the relation between social performance,
willing to accept a lower rate of return on invest- social disclosure and ex-post measures of financial
ments by an organization that supports a social performance. Ours is the first empirical examina-
cause for which some investors have an affinity.3 tion of social disclosure practices to explicitly
This suggestion is consistent with the emergence of examine the cost of equity capital and the first to
Green Funds and Ethical Investing (e.g. Reyes & jointly examine the effects of both financial and
Grieb, 1998). It also has a direct relationship to social disclosure. The specific hypotheses we
the literature in organizational behavior, manage- examine are outlined later, each stated in alter-
ment, and marketing that suggests that advertising native form.
with a social dimension can be employed to legit- The past literature has suggested that increased
imate the firm in the eyes of consumers and con- financial disclosure reduces information asym-
tribute to the firms’ product/service market metry and/or estimation risk. This literature also
success (e.g. Garrett, 1987; Menon & Menon, suggests that enhanced financial disclosures reduce
1997). This literature suggests that consumers the cost of equity capital.

H1a: There is an inverse relation between the


level of financial disclosure and the cost of
2
RWH also argue that disclosure about social activities equity capital.
undertaken by the firms could provide investors with informa-
tion about future cash flows, or in terms consistent with the The arguments presented earlier suggest that
model presented later, future abnormal earnings. This link
similar relations exist between the level of social
might exist, for example, if social activities decrease expected
future regulatory costs, influence consumers to acquire the disclosure and information asymmetry, estimation
firm’s products/services thereby increasing the firm’s contribu- risk and the cost of equity capital. Also, if, as has
tion margins or market share, or reduce the costs of implicit or often been assumed in the past literature, there is a
explicit contracting. In short, if social activities have net present perceived positive relation between the level of
value consequences, then information about social performance
social disclosure of the firm and the firm’s social
should influence investors’ assessments of the abnormal earn-
ings the firm can earn in the future (see Scaltegger & Figge, performance, increased social disclosure may
1998). reduce the cost of capital through investor pref-
3
This linkage is more thoroughly discussed in RWH (1999). erence effects.
600 A.J. Richardson, M. Welker / Accounting, Organizations and Society 26 (2001) 597–616

H2a: There is an inverse relation between the greater for larger firms (Watts & Zimmerman,
level of social disclosure and the cost of equity 1986). The number of analysts following a firm
capital. tends to be correlated with firm size (e.g. see
Table 1), thus the importance of social disclosure
Finally, we consider the interaction between and the independent information available from
firms’ own disclosures about their activities and analysts will increase in parallel. We, therefore,
the information available from third parties. We predict no interaction effect between social dis-
hypothesize that the relationship will differ for closure and the number of analysts following the
financial disclosure and social disclosure. The firm.
literature on financial disclosure suggests that the
benefits of financial disclosure may be greater H3a(ii): The relation between social disclosure
for firms with little analyst following (Botosan, levels and the cost of equity capital is not
1997). This assumes that stakeholders are mediated by the level of analyst following.
concerned with a firm’s financial performance but
that the richness of the information set available
to them varies depending on the number of 2. Empirical measures of disclosure levels and
analysts preparing independent reports on the cost of equity capital
firm. In the absence of information about the
firm from analysts, the firm’s own disclosures are 2.1. Disclosure proxy
the key source of information. The benefits of
better financial disclosure are primarily realized Our empirical measures of financial and social
when other information sources are absent. performance are drawn from the joint Society of
Therefore we predict a negative relationship Management Accountants of Canada (SMAC)/
between the cost of capital financial disclosure University of Quebec at Montreal (UQAM)
where there is a small number of analysts follow- sponsored assessments of the annual reports of
ing a firm. a broad cross-section of Canadian companies.
These assessments were conducted and publicly
H3a(i): The relation between financial dis- reported based on 1990, 1991 and 1992 annual
closure levels and the cost of equity capital is reports, thus providing a limited time-series of
mediated by the level of analyst following. disclosure scores. To our knowledge, these data
are unique in North America because the
The effect of social disclosure is expected to scores contain a ranking of firms on both the
follow the same pattern to the extent that social quality and level of financial disclosure and
disclosures inform stakeholders’ expectations of social disclosure contained in annual reports.
the firm’s financial performance. The importance This provides a significant advantage over
of social performance to stakeholders, however, other North American rankings such as the
has been theorized to increase with the size of the Association for Investment Management and
organization. Stinchcombe (1965), for example, Research (AIMR) rankings of US companies.4
has argued that as a firm grows it develops a However, the AIMR rankings are prepared
structural position (i.e. ties within a network of by professional analysts and represent the
resource providers) that contributes to its success. rankings of several analysts, while the Canadian
This structural position changes the demands of
the environment from a demand for short-run
economic efficiency to a demand for long-run
4
The AIMR rankings are compiled annually by the Asso-
economic and social efficiency/legitimacy (see
ciation for Investment Management and Research. These dis-
Hannan, 1998; Oliver, 1991). This prediction is closure rankings have been used in empirical studies by
consistent with the positive accounting theory Botosan and Plumlee (2000), Healy, Hutton, and Palepu
literature that suggests that political costs are (1999), Lang and Lundholm (1993, 1996), and Welker (1995).
A.J. Richardson, M. Welker / Accounting, Organizations and Society 26 (2001) 597–616 601

rankings available to us are based on the judg- sections devoted to general background informa-
ments of less experienced raters and do not reflect tion that help users to interpret the financial
the same level of averaging across raters as the statements. All three lists contain sections devoted
AIMR ratings. Nevertheless, the SMAC/UQAM to assessing the usefulness of the disclosure of
ratings are the best available source of disclosure summarized historical results, and all three check-
ratings for a broad cross-section of Canadian lists assess the inclusion of forecasted information
firms. The only alternative measure of disclosure within the annual report. In addition to assessing the
for Canadian companies would be researcher- types of disclosure made in the annual report, the
generated measures, as utilized by Botosan (1997). UQAM researchers also attempted to make an
We choose not to generate our own disclosure assessment of the quality of the disclosure by
ratings because of the potential for researcher awarding more points for disclosures that contained
biases to influence the ratings and to avoid the quantitative data or reported more information.
severe limitations on sample size imposed by this The extensive nature of the checklists utilized in the
approach. SMAC/UQAM disclosure ratings, combined with
For each year from 1990 to 1992, researchers at the attempt to discriminate between more and less
UQAM analyzed the annual reports of around informative disclosures, gives us confidence in the
700 Canadian companies coming from nine face validity of these ratings. While they are
industry sectors. The industry sectors reported on undoubtedly noisy measures, they provide us
in their publication include: Manufacturing- with some ability to discriminate between firms
Industrial Products, Manufacturing-Consumer providing high levels of disclosure and those
Products; Oil, Gas and Chemicals; Mines, Metals providing minimal disclosure. Empirical analysis
and Forestry Products; Technology and Com- reported later in the manuscript also provides evi-
munications; Financial Institutions; Retail and dence corroborating the validity of our disclosure
Wholesale Trade; Management and Other; and measures.
Utilities. An extensive checklist of information
related to socially responsible activities was
developed that contained 170 subcategories of 3. Empirical measure of cost of equity capital
information. Similarly, an extensive checklist
related to financial information was developed We follow Botosan (1997), Botosan and Plumlee
which allocated points across 261 individual (2000) and Gebhardt, Lee, and Swaminathan
disclosure elements. (2000), and obtain estimates of the cost of
Appendix A contains a summary of the 10 equity capital using an accounting based valu-
categories of social information considered and ation model developed in Edwards and Bell
the maximum number of points allocated to each (1961), Feltham and Ohlson (1995) and Ohlson
category, as well as the sub-categories of infor- (1995). Our empirical implementation of the
mation considered within each category. The model is very similar to the method employed
Appendix also contains similar information for by Gebhardt et al. and interested readers are
the financial disclosure checklist. referred to their paper for further details on the
Two points should be noted about these check- estimation procedure and for extensive empirical
lists. First, the social information captured in the analyses of the properties of the estimates. We
checklist includes a much broader set of dis- provide a brief sketch of the estimation procedure
closures than just environmental disclosures that later.
have been the subject of much of the past social The valuation model specifies a relation between
disclosure literature. equity values and current book values and future
Second, the checklist used to assess financial dis- abnormal earnings. We briefly sketch a derivation
closure is similar in many respects to the checklists of the empirical equation we use to estimate equity
utilized by the AIMR and developed by Botosan cost of capital beginning with the familiar divi-
(1997). For example, all of the checklists contain dend discount model:
602 A.J. Richardson, M. Welker / Accounting, Organizations and Society 26 (2001) 597–616
 
X1
Et ditþ For our estimates that utilize I/B/E/S earnings
Pit ¼ ð1Þ forecasts, Eq. (3) is replaced with a version that
¼1
ð 1 þ ri Þ 
utilizes the earnings forecasts for the next three
fiscal years from I/B/E/S.6 The terminal value
where d=dividends, r=cost of equity capital, and involves forecasting return on equity for 12 future
i and t are firm and time identifiers, respectively. years (i.e. 9 years beyond the latest available
Feltham and Ohlson (1995) and Ohlson (1995) explicit earnings forecast from I/B/E/S). Fore-
demonstrate that, for clean-surplus accounting casted return-on-equity beyond year 3 is generated
systems, this dividend discount model is algebrai- using a linear fade-rate to the industry average
cally equivalent to a valuation formula based on return-on-equity (ROE). Our industry average
current book value and future abnormal earnings:5 ROEs are compiled from data provided by Statis-
   tics Canada (Statscan). We acquire industry aver-
X1
Et xitþ  ri BVitþ1 age ROE data beginning with 1980 for all
Pit ¼ BVit þ ð2Þ
¼1
ð 1 þ ri Þ  industries as defined and tracked by StatsCan. Our
industry average ROE figures for year t are com-
puted as the average industry ROE through time
where BV=book value of equity, x=earnings, starting in 1980 and ending in year t1. For
and all other variables are as previously defined. example, for our 1990 industry average ROE
The finite horizon version of Eq. (2) is: measure, we average the industry ROEs over
the 10 year period from 1980 to 1989, and
XT
Et ðfFROEitþ  ri gBVitþ1 Þ the 1991 industry ROEs are the average of
Pit ¼ BVit þ
¼1
ð 1 þ ri Þ  the industry ROEs over the 11 year period
from 1980 to 1990. These industry averages have
þ TVit ð3Þ a mean of 10.75% and range from 4.3%, (the
1992 average for the iron, steel and related
where FROE=forecasted return on equity, and products industry) to 22.7%, (the 1990 average
TV=terminal value, or the present value at time t for the building materials and construction
of the abnormal earnings expected to be earned industry).
after time t+T, and all other variables are as Accordingly, the model we utilize to estimate
previously defined. cost of capital has the following form:

X3
Et ðfFROEitþ  ri gBVitþ1 Þ
Pit ¼ BVit þ
¼1
ð 1 þ ri Þ 
P
11
EfFROEitþ3 þ ð  3Þ½fIROEit  FROEitþ3 g=9
 ri gBVitþ1  
IROEit  ri
þ ¼4 þ BVitþ11 ð4Þ
ð1 þ ri Þ ri ð1 þ ri Þ11

6
About 10% of our firm year observations have two-year
ahead EPS forecasts but do not have a 3-year ahead forecast.
When the third year ahead forecast is missing, we forecast fiscal
year 3 (FY3) EPS by assuming that the earnings growth rate
5
A clean surplus accounting system is one in which book implicit in the fiscal year 2 (FY2) compared with fiscal year 1
value at time t is equal to book value at time t1 plus earnings (FY1) forecasts applies to fiscal year 3 as well. Specifically, we
minus dividends net of capital contributions. ‘‘Dirty surplus’’ forecast FY3 EPS as FY2 EPS (FY2 EPS/FY1 EPS). If FY2
arises when gains and losses affecting book value bypass the EPS/FY1 EPS< 0, we do not forecast FY3 EPS and omit the
income statement. observation.
A.J. Richardson, M. Welker / Accounting, Organizations and Society 26 (2001) 597–616 603

where IROE is the historical industry average sample size to 225 firm year observations from 87
ROE and all other variables are as previously different firms.
defined. For these observations, we obtain the average
The exact details of the estimation procedure, stock price from the 6th month after year-end
including variable measurement, are described in from Datastream. We choose a period 6 months
the following section. The sensitivity of our results after year-end to ensure that all information con-
to variations in the assumptions required to esti- tained in the annual financial statements has been
mate cost of capital are discussed in the section of disclosed and is reflected in market prices.7 This
the paper entitled ‘‘sensitivity of results to cost of choice is also consistent with the empirical analysis
capital estimation assumptions’’. in Botosan (1997). From Compustat, we obtain
the debt-to-equity ratio, return-on-equity, divi-
dend payout ratio, market to book value ratio,
4. Empirical analysis and market value of equity. I/B/E/S provides the
earnings forecasts and the number of analysts fol-
4.1. Disclosure proxy and additional data lowing the firm, which we measure as the number
of analysts providing 1-year-ahead earnings fore-
Our initial sample consists of all firms that cast for the firm.
received a disclosure rating based on any or all of Calculation of forecasted book values requires
its 1990, 1991 or 1992 annual reports. In each of an estimated future dividend payout ratio (k). We
these three years, the annual reports of over 700 estimate this ratio using the following procedure.
Canadian companies were collected and analyzed First, we obtain the historical 10-year average
by a group of research assistants at UQAM. The payout ratio for each year t from Compustat and
results of the ratings are summarized by industry use this to proxy for future payouts if it is avail-
group and published each year by CMA Canada. able and positive. If the 10-year average is either
The survey only provides 3 years of data. Since unavailable or negative, we use the 5-year histor-
disclosure policies are probably relatively stable ical average payout ratio. If the 5-year payout
firm attributes, this limited time-series should not ratio is either unavailable or negative, we estimate
severely impact the generality of our results. In future payout ratios based on the dividend payout
order to perform the initial empirical analysis, we ratio for year t. Finally, if the year t payout ratio is
require financial statement data provided by negative, we follow a procedure similar to Geb-
Compustat, earnings forecasts and analyst follow- hardt et al. (2000) and approximate ‘‘permanent’’
ing provided by I/B/E/S, and market price and earnings for year t as (BVt1 IROE), the book
returns data acquired through Datastream. These value of equity at the beginning of the year times
additional data requirements leave us with a the industry average ROE. We then calculate the
sample of 324 firm year observations from 124 dividend payout ratio as DVSt /(BVt1 IROE),
different companies with all necessary price data, where DVS is the dividends per common share for
financial and social disclosure scores, all necessary year t. Our implementation of Eq. (4) then uses
Compustat data and at least 1-year ahead EPS the firm’s estimated dividend payout ratio (k) to
forecast available from I/B/E/S. For this initial update book values as follows:
sample, we only require that 1-year ahead ana-  
lysts’ forecasts be available, and therefore the BVit ¼ BVit1 þ FROEit ð1  kÞit BVit1 ð4aÞ
number of analysts making a 1-year ahead fore-
cast, be available from I/B/E/S. In order to
7
calculate cost of capital estimates, we require Our results are qualitatively similar using average stock
prices from the 4th month after fiscal year-end. We use the
that at least 2-year-ahead earnings forecasts be
average stock price for the month rather than monthly closing
obtained from I/B/E/S. We also require that prices to avoid extreme observations that may result from
unambiguous identification with a StatsCan temporary share price fluctuations reflected in a single price
industry group be possible, further reducing our observation such as a closing price.
604 A.J. Richardson, M. Welker / Accounting, Organizations and Society 26 (2001) 597–616

Table 1 Tables 1 and 2 provides distributional char-


Descriptive statisticsa acteristics and a correlation matrix for the vari-
Variable name N Mean Median Minimum Maximum ables used in the study. Financial disclosure scores
average 32.5 (out of a possible 120), and range
FDISC 324 32.53 31.48 4.75 63.0
between 4.75 and 63. Social disclosure scores tend
SDISC 324 11.04 8.25 0.25 50.0
MV ($000,000) 324 3833 1605 20.2 38,729 to be lower, averaging 11 (out of 100) and ranging
ANALFOL 324 9.32 9.0 1 37 between 0.25 and 50. The average firm size in the
LEV (%) 324 75.8 53.5 0 1095 sample is $3.8 billion and the median size is sub-
ROE (%) 324 0.19 5.98 194.0 33.1 stantially lower at around $1.6 billion. Nine ana-
IND 324 0.38 0 0 1
COST (%) 225 8.9 8.5 1.8 22.5 lysts follow the average firm, and this ranges
between 1 and 37. The average debt to equity ratio
a
Variable definitions: FDISC=Financial disclosure score is 75%. The mean ROE for our sample firms is
for firm i, year t; SDISC=social disclosure score for firm i, year
t; MV=beginning of year market value of common equity for
close to zero, reflecting the poor economic climate
firm i, year t; NANAL=number of analysts making a 1 year in Canada in the early 1990s.8 The median ROE is
ahead EPS forecast for firm i, year t; LEV=debt to equity ratio around 6%. Around one third of our sample firms
for firm i, year t; ROE=return on equity for firm i, year t; come from the oil, gas and chemical industry or
IND=a dummy variable equal to one if firm i is a member of
the Oil, Gas and Chemicals or Mine, Metals and Forestry
the mines, metals and forestry products industry,
Products industry sectors in year t, zero otherwise; COST= industries that have been depicted as environmen-
estimated cost of equity capital for firm i, year t. tally/socially sensitive industries in the past litera-

Table 2
Correlation matrix (Pearson above diagonal, Spearman below)a
FDISC SDISC MV NANAL LEV ROE IND COST
FDISC 1 0.662* 0.499* 0.542* 0.067 0.009 0.229* 0.046
SDISC 0.704* 1 0.294* 0.391* 0.080 0.023 0.298* 0.011
MV 0.555* 0.474* 1 0.413* 0.054 0.132* 0.143* 0.091
NANAL 0.603* 0.509* 0.617* 1 0.023 0.029 0.321* 0.208*
LEV 0.177* 0.243* 0.024 0.042 1 0.542* 0.011 0.054
ROE 0.067 0.096 0.136* 0.009 0.251* 1 0.121* 0.074
IND 0.281* 0.278* 0.065 0.346* 0.013 0.255* 1 0.362*
COST 0.053 0.012 0.066 0.156* 0.131* 0.102 0.351* 1
a
Variable definitions: FDISC=Financial disclosure score for firm i, year t; SDISC=social disclosure score for firm i, year t;
MV=beginning of year market value of common equity for firm i, year t; NANAL=number of analysts making a 1 year ahead EPS
forecast for firm i, year t; LEV=debt to equity ratio for firm i, year t; ROE=return on equity for firm i, year t; IND=a dummy variable
equal to one if firm i is a member of the Oil, Gas and Chemicals or Mine, Metals and Forestry Products industry sectors in year t, zero
otherwise; COST= estimated cost of equity capital for firm i, year t.
*=significant at the 5% level, two-tailed test.

As Gebhardt et al. point out; the calculation of ture (Deegan & Gordon, 1996; RWH, 1999).
an implied cost of capital is the same as determin- Finally, our cost of capital estimates average close
ing the internal rate of return that equates the to 9%, and range between 1.8 and 22.5%.
stock price to the expected future benefits of share These estimates of cost of capital appear rea-
ownership. Gebhardt et al. also provide two sonable in relation to Canadian T-bill rates during
example calculations to which we refer interested our sample period. Our rates, measured with
readers. We perform this estimation using Micro-
soft Excel, and our estimate of the cost of capital 8
During the 1990–1992 periods, quarterly growth in gross
is simply the discount rate that equates the book domestic product in Canada was 0.3%, far below the average
value and future forecasted earnings to the current of 1.1% experienced during the remainder of the 1990s (Cal-
market price. culated based on Datastream data).
A.J. Richardson, M. Welker / Accounting, Organizations and Society 26 (2001) 597–616 605

forecasted data as of June 1991 (for 1990 annual estimates, financial performance and the number
reports), June 1992 and June 1993 average 9.85, of analysts following the firm tend to decline
9.5 and 8.0%, respectively. The 1-year T-bill rate over time for both groups, though the financial
in Canada shows similar declines throughout our performance for the sensitive firms rebounded in
sample period. For example, the one-year T-bill 1992.
rate in June 1991, 1992 and 1993 was 9.11, 6.63
and 5.79%, respectively. In addition, the risk- 4.2. Validation of the disclosure proxies
premium inherent in our cost of capital estimates
varies between approximately 0.7 and 2.5%, with Since the SMAC/UQAM ratings of disclosure
a median of 2.2%. Gebhardt et al. find that have not been previously used in academic
risk premiums implied for their sample (including research, we perform a series of tests that examine
over 10,000 observations from 1979 to 1995 the relationship between these disclosure ratings
and the same method for estimating the cost and several variables that are related to disclosure
of equity capital) vary between 0.7 and 4.9% levels in the past literature. Specifically, we follow
with a median of 2.0%. Our cost of capital esti- Botosan (1997) and Lang and Lundhom (1993)
mates display a similar relationship to the risk-free and examine the relation between financial dis-
rate. closure and firm size, financial performance,
The univariate correlations reveal no unex- leverage and analyst following. Past results sug-
pected patterns, and show that there is a strong gest that a positive relationship should exist
positive relation between social and financial dis- between each of these variables and financial dis-
closure, as might be expected if both types of dis- closure. We also examine the relationship between
closure are part of an overall disclosure policy. social disclosure ratings and firm size, industry
Cost of capital does not have a significant relation membership, financial performance, leverage,
to either disclosure score. The correlation between analyst following and the interaction of industry
the disclosure variables and other potential deter- and firm size. Industry membership is coded to
minants of cost of capital (e.g. market value of reflect membership in a socially/environmentally
equity, analyst following and industry) makes sensitive industry, namely the oil, gas and chemi-
interpretation of these univariate correlations cals industry or the mines, metals and forestry
problematic. However, these univariate correla- products industry. Since larger firms and firms in
tions do indicate that our main results are sensitive these industries have their social and environ-
to the inclusion of control variables. mental performance closely scrutinized, past
Table 3 provides selected descriptive informa- research suggests a positive relation between
tion for firms in the sensitive, (oil, gas and chemi- industry membership and the interaction of firm
cal or mines, metals and forestry products), versus size and industry membership with social dis-
non-sensitive industries, and across time for both closure (e.g. Deegan & Gordon, 1996).
groups. Several empirical regularities are revealed The relationship between social disclosure and
in this descriptive information. First, firms in the financial performance has been mixed in the past
sensitive industries have better financial and social literature (Pava & Kraus, 1996) while the rela-
disclosure scores, are followed by more analysts, tionship between leverage and analyst following
have inferior financial performance (except 1992), and social disclosures have not been examined in
and have lower cost of capital estimates than do the past literature. Since social disclosure may
their counterparts in the non-sensitive industries. accomplish many of the same objectives as financial
The two groups appear roughly similar in terms of disclosure, we expect to observe positive relation-
firm size, though the mean firm size is typically ships between these variables and social disclosure.
larger for the non-sensitive firms and the median These tests provide evidence on the validity of our
firm size is larger for the sensitive firms. The firm disclosure ratings as measures of the cross-sec-
size distribution is much more skewed for the tional variation in the level of disclosure provided
non-sensitive sample. Additionally, cost of capital in Canadian companies’ annual reports.
606 A.J. Richardson, M. Welker / Accounting, Organizations and Society 26 (2001) 597–616

Table 3
Descriptive information — across sensitive and non-sensitive industries and time

Variable name N Mean Median Minimum Maximum

Sensitive industry—1990
FDISC 37 36.14 34.75 15.5 56
SDISC 37 13.82 11.25 1.25 45.5
MV ($000,000) 37 2478 1982 69.3 12,543
NANAL 37 13.49 12 3 34
ROE (%) 37 1.58 6.00 142.07 26.46
COST (%) 29 8.43 8.12 1.83 15.26

Sensitive industry—1991
FDISC 42 37.15 35.25 16.75 58
SDISC 42 15.31 14.38 2 40.5
MV ($000,000) 42 2840 1994 85.3 11,821
NANAL 42 12.12 10.5 2 36
ROE (%) 42 8.67 1.95 158.9 17.54
COST (%) 31 7.56 7.47 3.52 14.15

Sensitive industry—1992
FDISC 43 34.7 34.35 14.25 52.5
SDISC 43 13.95 13.5 2 50
MV ($000,000) 43 2511 2002 88.4 10,554
NANAL 43 10.37 10.0 1 30
ROE (%) 43 0.81 2.66 38.38 22.84
COST (%) 34 6.72 6.23 3.89 13.73

Non-sensitive industry—1990
FDISC 63 31.9 29 11.25 63
SDISC 63 10.2 7 0.75 38
MV ($000,000) 63 4675 1364 20.2 32,179
NANAL 63 8.76 8 1 37
ROE (%) 63 5.09 9.98 97.06 23.68
COST (%) 40 10.84 10.53 6.55 20.34

Non-sensitive industry—1991
FDISC 71 29.7 46.75 8.7 59.5
SDISC 71 8.62 7 0.25 33.5
MV ($000,000) 71 4447 1245 27.5 37,839
NANAL 71 7.82 7 1 34
ROE (%) 71 4.32 7.63 77.71 33.09
COST (%) 47 10.06 9.62 4.04 19.74

Non-sensitive industry—1992
FDISC 68 29.81 29.28 4.75 63
SDISC 68 8.35 6.38 1 43.25
MV ($000,000) 68 4452 1393 66.1 38,729
NANAL 68 6.77 6.0 1 26
ROE (%) 68 1.59 6.42 194.0 31.15
COST (%) 44 8.98 9.1 3.11 22.48

Variable definitions: FDISC=financial disclosure score for firm i, year t; SDISC=social disclosure score for firm i, year t; MV=be-
ginning of year market value of common equity for firm i, year t; NANAL=number of analysts making a 1 year ahead EPS forecast
for firm i, year t; ROE=return on equity for firm i, year t; COST=estimated cost of equity capital for firm i, year t.
A.J. Richardson, M. Welker / Accounting, Organizations and Society 26 (2001) 597–616 607

Table 4
Results of estimating Eq. (5) explaining variation in financial disclosure

FDISCit ¼  þ 1 DSIZEit þ 2 ROEit þ 3 LEVit þ 4 DANALit þ "

Variable (pred. sign) Coefficient estimate t-Statistic P-value (two-tailed)

Intercept (?) 34.113 26.323 0.0001


DSIZE (+) 6.895 5.481 0.0001
ROE (+) 0.032 1.277 0.2026
LEV (+) 0.014 2.535 0.0117
DANAL (+) 8.505 6.776 0.0001

No. of observations=324; adjusted R2=32.7%. Variable definitions: FDISC=financial disclosure score for firm i, year t; DSIZE=a
dummy variable equal to one if the beginning of year market value of equity for firm i, year t is above the sample median, zero
otherwise; ROE=return on equity for firm i, year t; LEV=debt to equity ratio, firm i, year t; DANAL=a dummy variable equal to 1
if the number of analysts providing a 1-year ahead earnings forecast for firm i, year t is above the sample median, zero otherwise.

Additionally, we note that our ratings are based where FDISC=financial disclosure score for firm
only on the disclosures contained in annual i, year t, DSIZE=a dummy variable equal to one
reports and do not necessarily reflect the level of if the beginning of year market value of equity for
disclosures made through other media (c.f. Zeghal firm i, year t is above the sample median, zero
& Ahmed, 1990). While this is an acknowledged otherwise, ROE=return on equity for firm i, year
limitation of our proxy for disclosure, Botosan t, LEV=debt to equity ratio, firm i, year t,
(1997) shares this limitation. We also note that DANAL=a dummy variable equal to 1 if the
Lang and Lundholm (1993) and Welker (1995) number of analysts providing a 1-year ahead
examine the AIMR ratings for US companies and earnings forecast for firm i, year t is above the
report a high degree of correlation between dis- sample median, zero otherwise.
closure ratings based on the annual report and The results of estimating Eq. (5) are reported in
ratings based on other disclosure media. This Table 4.9 Consistent with the past literature, each
finding provides evidence of convergent validity of of the variables in the equation except ROE exhi-
annual report disclosure measures and disclosures bits a significant and positive relation with finan-
occurring in other media as well. cial disclosure. The adjusted R2 of the regression is
over 30%, indicating that the explanatory vari-
4.3. Relation of financial disclosure scores with size, ables are able to explain a reasonable portion of
financial performance, leverage and analyst following the cross-sectional variation in financial disclosure
scores. The fact that our financial disclosure scores
Past research has demonstrated that financial are strongly related to variables which the past
disclosure increases with firm size, financial per- literature suggests explain financial disclosure
formance, leverage, and the number of analysts fol- increases our confidence that variation in our dis-
lowing the firm. One way to validate our empirical closure measure captures the underlying phenom-
proxy for financial disclosure is to examine these enon of interest, variation in financial disclosure.
relationships based on our proxy. Accordingly, we
estimate the following empirical equation:
9
Our tabulated results provide two-tailed P-values. By
FDISCit ¼  þ 1 DSIZEit þ 2 ROEit convention, we describe an estimated coefficient as statistically
significant if the coefficient is significant at the 0.05 level in a
one-tailed test if we predict the sign of the coefficient and a two-
þ 3 LEVit þ 4 DANALit þ " ð5Þ tailed test if we do not predict the sign of the coefficient.
608 A.J. Richardson, M. Welker / Accounting, Organizations and Society 26 (2001) 597–616

Table 5
Results of estimating Eq. (6) explaining variation in social disclosure
SDISCit ¼  þ ’1 DSIZEit þ ’2 ROEit þ ’3 INDit þ ’4 ðINDit SIZEit Þ þ ’5 DANALit þ ’6 LEVIT þ it ð6Þ

Variable (pred. sign) Coefficient estimate t-Statistic P-value (two-tailed)

Intercept (?) 5.097 6.315 0.0001


DSIZE (+) 3.507 3.021 0.0027
ROE (?) 0.021 1.092 0.2757
IND (+) 2.465 1.957 0.0513
IND SIZE (+) 2.958 1.713 0.0876
DANAL (+) 3.931 3.918 0.0001
LEV (+) 0.011 2.596 0.0099

No. of observations=324; adjusted R2=26.8%. Variable definitions: SDISC=social disclosure score for firm i, year t; DSIZE=a
dummy variable equal to one if the beginning of year market value of equity for firm i, year t is above the sample median, zero
otherwise; ROE=return on equity for firm i, year t; LEV=debt to equity ratio, firm i, year t; DANAL=a dummy variable equal to 1
if the number of analysts providing a 1-year ahead earnings forecast for firm i, year t is above the sample median, zero otherwise;
IND=a dummy variable equal to one if firm i is a member of the Oil, Gas and Chemicals or Mine, Metals and Forestry Products
industry sectors in year t, zero otherwise.

4.4. The relationship of social disclosure scores or Mine, Metals and Forestry Products industry
with firm size, industry membership, financial sectors in year t, zero otherwise
performance, leverage and analyst following All other variables are as previously defined.
The results of estimating Eq. (6) are presented in
Patten (1991) documents that social disclosure is Table 5. Again, the results are encouraging as our
increasing in firm size and is greater in highly measure of social disclosure appears to be related to
visible and politically sensitive industries. Deegan variables that the past literature suggests it should
and Gordon (1996) find an interaction effect be. Size, industry, and the interaction of industry and
between firm size and industry, such that the size size are all significantly related to social disclosure,
effect is particularly pronounced in sensitive as suggested by the past literature. Analyst following
industries. As Richardson et al. (1999) discuss, is also statistically positively related to social dis-
results of tests of the relation between social per- closure, consistent with our conjectures that similar
formance/disclosure and financial performance factors may influence financial and social dis-
have been mixed. Leverage and number of ana- closure. ROE is not statistically related to social
lysts following the firm have not been included in disclosure, in keeping with the insignificant or mixed
past studies of social disclosure. We include these relation documented in the past literature. Lever-
variables in our regression since they are related to age is also positively related to social disclosure,
financial disclosure. Social disclosure accomplishes again consistent with our conjectures that social and
similar objectives and may have similar deter- financial disclosures have similar determinants.
minants. We examine the relation between the We conclude, based on the evidence discussed
SMAC/UQAM social disclosure ratings and these earlier, that the financial and social disclosure
variables by estimating the following equation: scores are valid measures of those disclosures by
the firms in our sample. We now turn to the sub-
SDISCit ¼  þ ’1 DSIZEit þ ’2 ROEit þ ’3 INDit stantive issue of the relationship between dis-
þ ’4 ðINDit SIZEit Þ þ ’5 DANALit þ closure and the cost of capital.
’6 LEVit þ it ð6Þ
Empirical tests of the relation between disclosure
and the cost of equity capital
where SDISC=social disclosure score for firm i,
year t, IND=a dummy variable equal to one if Our tests of the relations between financial and
firm i is a member of the Oil, Gas and Chemicals social disclosure and the cost of equity capital are
A.J. Richardson, M. Welker / Accounting, Organizations and Society 26 (2001) 597–616 609

based on the work of Botosan (1997) and Geb- COSTit ¼  þ 1 NANALit þ 2 LEVit
hardt et al. (2000). Similar to Botosan, we attempt þ 3 FDISCit þ 4 SDISCit
to document a negative relation between financial
þ 5 ðLANALit FDISCit Þþ
and social disclosure and the cost of equity capital
that is incremental to the effects of other variables 6 ðLANAL it SDISCit Þ þ it ð8Þ
known to influence cost of capital. Gebhardt et al.
find that the risk premia is negatively related to where COST is the cost of equity capital estimated
the number of analysts following the firm and by Eq. (4); NANAL is the number of analysts
positively related to leverage. Accordingly, our making 1-year ahead earnings forecast; LANAL is
empirical tests include these variables as control a dummy variable set equal to one if the number
variables.10 In addition, Botosan documents that of analysts following firm i in year t is below i’s
disclosure and analyst following has an interactive industry sector median for year t, zero otherwise.
effect on cost of capital. She finds that disclosure All other variables are as previously defined and all
reduces cost of capital only for those firms with variables are adjusted for industry sector medians.
low analyst following. We also estimate an equa- Gebhardt et al. (2000) document considerable
tion that allows for this potential interactive effect variation in their risk premia estimates across
and an interaction between analyst following and industries. Our results (documented in Tables 3
social disclosure as well. Specifically, our primary and 5) and the results of previous research
empirical tests come from the estimation of the demonstrate that disclosure practices also vary
following two equations: across industries as well. Accordingly, all variables
utilized in estimating Eqs. (7) and (8) are adjusted
COSTit ¼  þ 1 NANALit þ 2 LEVit
for industry sector (as defined in the SMAC/
UQAM disclosure ratings) year medians. This
þ 3 FDISCit þ 4 SDISC it þ it ð7Þ
removes both industry and time effects from the
data, avoiding potentially spurious associations.
Since all variables in this specification are industry
adjusted, firm size and analyst following directly
enter the regressions without the conversion to
dummy variables performed in earlier tests. We
10
Other potential risk proxies such as market beta, market
exclude observations in the top and bottom 1% of
value of equity and book to market ratios could also be con-
trolled for in the empirical analysis. We omit beta from the
the empirical distribution of cost of capital (i.e.
analysis because Gebhardt et al. document that they are statis- two observations from each tail of the distribu-
tically unrelated to our measure of the cost of equity capital tion) to ensure our results are not unduly affected
except in certain multivariate tests. We include size and book to by extreme observations.11
market ratios in all our equations explaining the cost of capital In accordance with our hypotheses outlined
and find that these variables have the correct sign but are sta-
tistically unrelated to our industry adjusted cost of capital esti- earlier, we expect C1, C3, C4 and C5 to be nega-
mates. Gebhardt et al. also find that the dispersion in analysts’ tive and C2 to be positive. As discussed in H3a(ii),
earnings forecasts is significantly related to the cost of capital. we expect C6 to be statistically insignificant.
We choose not to include this variable in our analysis for three For comparative purposes, the results of esti-
reasons. First, the dispersion in analysts’ forecasts would pre- mating Eqs. (5) and (6), explaining financial and
sumably be a function of the disclosure variables we include in
our analysis, so the inclusion of this variable would amount to social disclosure, respectively, using the industry-
the inclusion of an alternative disclosure measure and could adjusted data, are reported in Tables 6 and 7.
hamper our ability to observe a relation between more direct Of course, the industry membership variables
disclosure measures and the cost of capital. Second, including a
measure of analysts’ forecast dispersion would reduce our
11
sample size because a measure of dispersion requires that the Our conclusions are not affected by excluding these obser-
firm be followed by multiple analysts Third, the dispersion in vations. In general, there is a slight increase in statistical sig-
analysts’ forecasts is related to the number of analysts follow- nificance when the observations are dropped, suggesting these
ing the firm, which we include for consistency with Botosan. observations contain measurement error.
610 A.J. Richardson, M. Welker / Accounting, Organizations and Society 26 (2001) 597–616

Table 6
Results of estimating Eq. (5) explaining variation in financial disclosure—industry adjusted data

FDISCit ¼  þ 1 SIZEit þ 2 ROEit þ 3 LEVit þ 4 NANALit þ " ð5Þ

Variable (pred. sign) Coefficient estimate t-Statistic P-value (two-tailed)

Intercept (?) 0.276 0.524 0.6005


SIZE (+) 0.001 5.467 0.0001
ROE (+) 0.015 0.605 0.5458
LEV (+) 0.007 1.472 0.1420
NANAL (+) 0.508 5.291 0.0001

No. of observations=324; adjusted R2=23.8%. Variable definitions: FDISC=financial disclosure score for firm i, year t—the industry
sector median for year t; SIZE=beginning of year market value of equity for firm i, year t—the industry sector median for year t;
ROE=return on equity for firm i, year t—the industry sector median for year t; LEV=debt to equity ratio, firm i, year t—the industry
sector median for year t; NANAL=number of analysts providing a 1-year ahead earnings forecast for firm i, year t—the industry
sector median for year t.

Table 7
Results of estimating Eq. (6) explaining variation in social disclosure—industry adjusted data

SDISCit ¼  þ ’1 SIZEit þ ’2 ROEit þ ’5 NANALit þ ’6 LEVit þ it ð6Þ

Variable (pred. sign) Coefficient estimate t-Statistic P-value (two-tailed)

Intercept (?) 1.148 2.682 0.0077


SIZE (+) 0.002 3.472 0.0006
ROE (?) 0.033 1.687 0.0936
NANAL (+) 0.172 2.196 0.0461
LEV (+) 0.009 2.003 0.0288

No. of observations=324; adjusted R2=8.4%. Variable definitions: SDISC=social disclosure score for firm i, year t—the industry
sector median for year t; SIZE=beginning of year market value of equity for firm i, year t—the industry sector median for year t;
ROE=return on equity for firm i, year t—the industry sector median for year t; LEV=debt to equity ratio, firm i, year t—the industry
sector median for year t; NANAL=number of analysts providing a 1-year ahead earnings forecast for firm i, year t—the industry
sector median for year t.

Table 8
Results of estimating Eq. (7) explaining variation in cost of capital estimates—industry adjusted data

COSTit ¼  þ 1 NANALit þ 2 LEVit þ 3 FDISCit þ 4 SDISCit þ it ð7Þ

Variable (pred. sign) Coefficient estimate t-Statistic P-value (two-tailed)

Intercept (?) 0.00394 2.244 0.0258


NANAL () 0.00101 3.459 0.0007
LEV (+) 0.00002 1.584 0.1147
FDISC () 0.00040 1.961 0.0512
SDISC () 0.00064 2.354 0.0195

No. of observations=221; adjusted R2=9.9%. Variable definitions: COST=estimated cost of equity capital for firm i, year t—the
industry sector median for year t; NANAL=number of analysts providing a one-year ahead earnings forecast for firm i, year t—the
industry sector median for year t; LEV=debt to equity ratio, firm i, year t—the industry sector median for year t; FDISC=financial
disclosure score for firm i, year t—the industry sector median for year t; SDISC=social disclosure score for firm i, year t—the industry
sector median for year t.
A.J. Richardson, M. Welker / Accounting, Organizations and Society 26 (2001) 597–616 611

Table 9
Results of estimating Eq. (8) explaining variation in cost of capital estimates—industry adjusted data

COSTit ¼  þ 1 NANALit þ 2 LEVit þ 3 FDISCit þ 4 SDISCit þ

5 ðLANALit FDISCit Þ þ 6 ðLANALit SDISCit Þ þ it ð8Þ

Variable (pred. sign) Coefficient estimate t-Statistic P-value (two-tailed)

Intercept (?) 0.00094 0.474 0.6362


NANAL () 0.00095 3.258 0.0013
LEV (+) 0.00002 1.478 0.1408
FDISC () 0.00004 0.169 0.8663
SDISC () 0.00078 2.517 0.0126
LANAL*FDISC () 0.00098 2.289 0.0231
LANAL*SDISC (?) 0.00036 0.567 0.5715

No. of observations=221; adjusted R2=12.98%. Variable definitions: COST=estimated cost of equity capital for firm i, year t—the
industry sector median for year t; NANAL=number of analysts providing a 1-year ahead earnings forecast for firm i, year t—the
industry sector median for year t; LEV=debt to equity ratio, firm i, year t—the industry sector median for year t; FDISC=financial
disclosure score for firm i, year t—the industry sector median for year t; SDISC=social disclosure score for firm i, year t—the industry
sector median for year t; LANAL=a dummy variable set equal to one if the number of analysts following firm i in year t is below i’s
industry sector median for year t, zero otherwise.

originally included in Eq. (6) explaining social number of analysts following the firm has a sta-
disclosure are omitted from this specification tistically reliable effect on cost of capital, with
which already includes industry adjustment. As higher analyst coverage resulting in a lower cost of
the results in Table 6 show, the results of estimat- capital. Financial leverage is positively associated
ing Eq. (5), which explains financial disclosure with the cost of equity capital, but this effect is not
variation, using the industry adjusted data, are significant at conventional levels. Financial dis-
very similar to our earlier results. The only differ- closure is negatively related to cost of capital,
ence is that the significance of leverage is dimin- consistent with our predictions. This result is
ished such that it is no longer a significant stronger than the full sample result in Botosan,
explanatory variable at conventional levels. As perhaps suggesting that financial disclosure plays
Table 7 reveals, the R2 of the regression explaining a more important role for Canadian firms. Sur-
social disclosure falls dramatically (from 27 to prisingly, social disclosure exhibits a statistically
8%) when industry adjusted data are used and reliable positive association with the cost of equity
industry related variables are excluded from the capital. For our sample firms and our time period,
regression. However, the explanatory power of the enhanced social disclosure results in a higher cost
remaining variables is very similar to that reported of capital.
in our earlier results. Table 9 reports the results of estimating the
The results of estimating Eqs. (7) and (8) are expanded Eq. (8). This specification includes
reported in Tables 8 and 9, respectively.12 The interaction terms intended to determine if analyst
following modifies the relation between our dis-
closure variables and the cost of capital. Con-
sistent with Botosan’s (1997) results, we find that
12
Recall that the sample sizes reflected in Tables 8, 9, and 10 firms with low analyst following receive benefits
are 221, not the 324 reflected in earlier tables. This reflects the
from expanded financial disclosure in the form of
additional data requirements to estimate the cost of capital
(analysts’ forecasts and industry ROE) and the deletion of a reduction in the cost of equity capital. The
observations with cost of capital below the 1st percentile or interaction of analyst following and social dis-
above the 99th percentile of the empirical distribution. closure is not statistically significant.
612 A.J. Richardson, M. Welker / Accounting, Organizations and Society 26 (2001) 597–616

4.5. Specification checks and further analysis where ROE is equal to the return on equity for
firm i, year t—the industry sector median for year
White’s test for heteroskedasticity/model speci- t, DROE is a dummy variable set equal to one if
fication fails to reject the null hypothesis of firm i, year t return on equity is above the industry
homoskedasticity for all regressions. In addition, sector median for year t, zero otherwise, and all
the highest condition index reported in any of our other variables are as previously defined.
regressions is 3.6, suggesting that multicollinearity In keeping with the above discussion, we expect
is not affecting our results. C6 to be negative and make no predictions about
One potential problem with our data is that C7.13 The results of estimating Eq. (9) are pro-
each firm contributes up to three observations to vided in Table 10. Consistent with our conjectures,
the estimation, and these observations may not be the coefficient on the social disclosure/financial
independent. Accordingly, we estimate Eqs. (7) performance interaction, is reliably negative. This
and (8) on a year-by-year basis rather than on the coefficient is almost exactly equal in absolute
pooled sample. The results (not reported) are very magnitude (0.00109) to the coefficient on social
similar to those reported for the full sample. All disclosure (0.00116). This indicates that there is
variables that are significant in our pooled regres- essentially no relation between social disclosure
sions have consistent signs for each of the 3 years, and the cost of capital for firms with above aver-
and are significant in at least one, often two, of the age return on equity, but a significant increase
yearly regressions. This suggests that our results in the cost of capital accompanying better social
are not due to our pooling of sample data. disclosure for below average return on equity
We explore further our finding that social dis- firms.14
closure increases the cost of capital. We conjecture
that this result may be related to the poor eco- 4.6. Sensitivity of results to cost of capital
nomic conditions that characterize our sample estimation assumptions
period. While we do not have data available from
another, more prosperous time period, we conduct We perform several alternative calculations of
an alternative test to assess this explanation for the cost of capital by varying the assumptions
our results. If the relationship between social dis- underlying that calculation. The primary results
closure and the cost of capital is mediated by eco-
nomic conditions, then we expect that, within our 13
Since this analysis is conducted in light of our earlier
sample, firms with above average financial perfor- empirical results, we conduct two-tailed tests of statistical sig-
mance would not experience an increase in the nificance for this estimation.
cost of capital as social disclosure increases, while 14
The distribution of ROE reveals the existence of some
those firms with below average financial perfor- extreme negative values. There are no negative book value
observations in our sample, so these observations are not
mance would. We test this conjecture by estimat-
caused by small negative denonimators. Since our ROE and
ing Eq. (9), which replaces the insignificant social social disclosure interaction is based on a dummy variable for
disclosure/analyst following interaction from Eq. ROE, this interaction term should not be impacted by these
(8) with a social disclosure/return on equity inter- observations. However, it is possible that the estimated coeffi-
action. For completeness, we also include return cient for the main effect of ROE is impacted by these observa-
tions, and that this affects the estimated coefficient on the
on equity in the equation to test for a direct
interaction term. We conducted two additional tests to ensure
impact of financial performance on the cost of that our results are not sensitive to extreme observations of
equity capital: ROE. We repeated the estimation of Eq. (9) after (1) eliminat-
ing all observations with ROE less than 25% (the 5th percn-
tile of the empirical distribution), and (2) retaining all
COSTit ¼  þ 1 NANALit þ 2 LEVit þ
observations but replacing the continuous version of ROE with
3 FDISCitþ 4 SDISCit þ the dummy variable (DROE) to test for the main effect of
ROE. Neither change in specification qualitatively alters our
5 ð LANAL it FDISCit Þþ
results. In particular, C6 remains significantly negative and C7
6 ðDROEit SDISCit Þ þ 7 ROEit þ it ð9Þ remains insignificantly different from zero in both tests.
A.J. Richardson, M. Welker / Accounting, Organizations and Society 26 (2001) 597–616 613

Table 10
Results of estimating Eq. (9) explaining variation in cost of capital estimates—industry adjusted data

COSTit ¼  þ 1 NANALit þ 2 LEVit þ 3 FDISCit þ 4 SDISCit þ

5 ðLANALit FDISCit Þ þ 6 ðDROEit SDISCit Þ þ 7 ROEit þ it ð9Þ

Variable (pred. Sign) Coefficient estimate t-Statistic P-value (two-tailed)

Intercept (?) 0.00130 0.667 0.5058


NANAL () 0.00091 3.221 0.0015
LEV (+) 0.00003 1.863 0.0639
FDISC () 0.00007 0.284 0.7771
SDISC () 0.00116 3.462 0.0006
LANAL FDISC () 0.00096 2.663 0.0083
DROE SDISC () 0.00109 2.469 0.0143
ROE (?) 0.00009 1.101 0.2719

No. of observations=221; adjusted R2=15.58%. Variable definitions: COST=estimated cost of equity capital for firm i, year t—the
industry sector median for year t; NANAL=number of analysts providing a 1-year ahead earnings forecast for firm i, year t—the
industry sector median for year t; LEV=debt to equity ratio, firm i, year t—the industry sector median for year t; FDISC=financial
disclosure score for firm i, year t—the industry sector median for year t; SDISC=social disclosure score for firm i, year t—the industry
sector median for year t; ROE=return on equity for firm i, year t—the industry sector median for year t; LANAL=a dummy variable
set equal to one if the number of analysts following firm i in year t is below i’s industry sector median for year t, zero otherwise;
DROE=a dummy variable set equal to one if return on equity for firm i, year t is above the industry sector median for year t, zero
otherwise.

reported above are based on the assumption that relationship between the level of financial dis-
the ROE of each firm fades to its historical indus- closure and the cost of capital (H1, see Table 8).
try average ROE in a linear fashion between We also confirm Botosan’s (1997) finding that
years +4 and +12. We check for the sensitivity higher levels of financial disclosure can reduce the
of our results to this assumption by performing cost of capital in cases where there is low financial
two new calculations, one in which the linear fade analyst following [H3a(i), see Table 9]. Our
occurs between periods +4 and +6, and one in results, however, suggest that this relation does
which the fade occurs between +4 and +18. Our not hold for social disclosures. There is a statisti-
primary empirical results are not sensitive to these cally significant, positive relation between the level
changes in specification. The statistical sig- of social disclosure and the cost of capital, that is,
nificance of most explanatory variables, including more social disclosure raises the cost of capital for
the disclosure variables of primary interest, the firm (H2, see Table 8). The number of analysts
increase with the length of the linear fade period, following the firm does not affect this result
perhaps suggesting that the cost of capital esti- [H3a(ii), see Table 9]. The positive relationship
mates contain less noise as the linear fade period is between cost of capital and social disclosure is
increased. moderated by the return-on-equity of the firm
with more successful firms being less penalized for
social disclosures.
5. Conclusions and suggestions for future research It is important to recognize that these results are
not based on the content of the disclosures. The
This study provides further evidence on the the- disclosure scores reflect the completeness and
oretical and regulatory premise that improved informativeness of financial and social disclosures
corporate disclosure results in a lower cost of but they do not indicate whether the information
capital. We find that there is a significant negative is good or bad news. There are several possible
614 A.J. Richardson, M. Welker / Accounting, Organizations and Society 26 (2001) 597–616

explanations for the results on the relationship may be limited to periods of economic downturn.
between social disclosure and cost of capital. First, Future research that expands the data set over a
if there were a consistent bias in social disclosures complete business cycle to test for this effect is
where firms that experience higher than average clearly called for by our results.
social costs disclose more information, then, on The effect of social disclosure on the cost of
average, the results reported could hold. The equity capital documented in this study should not
descriptive literature on social disclosures has be taken to imply that social disclosure has an
reported that there are severe biases in reporting overall negative effect on the firm. Social and
(e.g. Guthrie & Parker, 1990; Wiseman, 1982). environmental issues have significant distribu-
The reported bias is that firms tend to use social tional effects. Although investors may require a
disclosures for self-promotion. This means that higher cost of capital for firms with a significant
that firms tend to report the positive social con- social agenda, other groups such as employees,
tributions that they make but under-report nega- customers, regulators and supply-chain partners
tive social effects. Unfortunately, the relationship may provide greater support to the firm because of
between this bias and the costs incurred and ben- these actions. Much of the work on developing a
efits received by the firm is unclear (Richardson et social accounting agenda has, in fact, been pre-
al., 1999). mised on the assumption that corporate social
Second, the results could hold if two things are disclosure will benefit a broader community of
true. It may be that social responsibility invest- stakeholders than the capital providers that are
ments by firms are consistently negative present the primary audience for financial disclosures (e.g.
value projects increasing the overall risk of the Gray, 2000). The effect of social disclosures on the
firm. While proponents of socially responsible expected cost of contributions to the firm from
corporate behavior point to the potential cost other stakeholders has still to be examined.
savings and long-term strategic advantage of such
behavior (e.g. Porter & van der Linde 1995; Scal-
tegger & Figge, 1998), the market may hold a dif- Acknowledgements
ferent view. If this is the case and there is a positive
correlation between social disclosures and social The authors gratefully acknowledge the finan-
responsibility actions, then the observed results cial support of the Certified General Accountants
could hold. of Canada Research Foundation and comments
It is also possible that the results are specific to on earlier drafts by Irene Gordon, Marc Epstein
the data used in this analysis. The time period for and an anonymous reviewer. The authors also
which data were available was an economic reces- gratefully acknowledge the contribution of I/B/E/
sion. The positive link between social disclosure S International Inc. for providing earnings per
and the cost of equity capital we document may be share forecast data, available through the Institu-
contingent on these macro economic conditions. tional Brokers Estimate System. These data have
This interpretation is supported by our result that been provided as part of a broad academic pro-
the effect of social disclosure on the cost of capital gram to encourage earnings expectations
is moderated by return on equity (see Table 10). research.
For firms with ROE above the industry median,
there is a negative interaction between social dis-
closure and return on equity that offsets the main Appendix A
effect between cost of capital and social disclosure.
In other words, for firms with above average finan- Panel 1: Social disclosure categories of informa-
cial performance, social disclosure may have no tion, maximum number of points allocated to the
effect on the cost of capital. If this is a reasonable category, and number of sub-categories allocated
proxy for economic conditions, then the relation- to each category—information provided in the
ship between social disclosure and cost of capital 1991 SMAC/UQAM Report:
(continued on next page)
A.J. Richardson, M. Welker / Accounting, Organizations and Society 26 (2001) 597–616 615

Other notes to 7 13
Category of Maximum No. of sub- financial statements
information points categories Pension plans 3 37
Human resources 18 29 and leases
Products, services, 10 23 Government aid 3 8
and consumers and income tax
Community 18 24 Exports and portion 3 8
Environment 18 22 of products
Energy resources 6 10 manufactured in Canada
Governments 10 14 Information on effects 3 8
Suppliers 6 16 of price fluctuations
Shareholders 6 9 Special notes on total 6 2
Competitors 4 9 quality, environment,
Miscellaneous 4 14 training, and technology
Totals 100 170 Miscellaneous 6 3

Totals 120 261


Panel 2: Financial disclosure categories of
information, maximum number of points allo-
cated to the category, and number of sub-cate-
gories allocated to each category—information
provided in the 1991 SMAC/UQAM Report. References

Botosan, C. (1997). Disclosure level and the cost of equity


capital. The Accounting Review, 72, 323–349.
Botosan, C., M. Plumlee. 2000. Disclosure level and expected
Category Maximum No. of sub- cost of equity capital: An examination of analysts’ rankings
points categories of corporate disclosure. Working paper, University of Utah,
January, 2000.
General information Clarkson, P., Guedes, J., & Thompson, R. (1996). On the
diversification, observability, and measurement of estimation
Financial retrospective 10 7
risk. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis (March),
Financial forecasts 10 11 69–84.
Graphs and tables 10 4 Committee on Corporate Disclosure, 1995. Toward Improved
Points of view on 5 23 Disclosure: A Search for Balance in Corporate Disclosure.
regulations, competition The Toronto Stock Exchange.
Deegan, C., & Gordon, B. (1996). A study of environmental
and economy
disclosure practices of Australian corporations. Accounting
Past performance 7 25 and Business Research, 26, 187–199.
and highlights Diamond, D., & Verrecchia, R. (1991). Disclosure, liquidity
Future prospects 5 12 and the cost of equity capital. Journal of Finance (Septem-
Investment and 5 22 ber), 1325–1360.
Downing, P. (1997). Upping the stakes. CA Magazine, (June
disinvestment
and July), 41–43.
Research, development 5 14 Edwards, E., & Bell, P. (1961). The Theory and measurement of
and environment business income. Berkeley, CA: University of California Press.
Risks and uncertainties 5 9 Epstein, M. 2000. The identification, measurement and report-
Chairman’s (sic) report 2 4 ing of corporate social impacts—revisited after twenty-five
years. Paper presented to the Accounting, Organizations and
Financial statements
Society 25th Anniversary Conference, Oxford, UK, July.
Sector Information 10 34 Feltham, G., & Ohlson, J. (1995). Valuation and clean surplus
Income Statement 10 10 accounting for operating and financial activities. Con-
Accounting policies 5 7 temporary Accounting Research, (Spring), 689–731.
616 A.J. Richardson, M. Welker / Accounting, Organizations and Society 26 (2001) 597–616

Garrett, D. E. (1987). The effectiveness of marketing policy Ohlson, J. (1995). Earnings, book value, and dividends in security
boycotts: environmental opposition to marketing. Journal of valuation. Contemporary Accounting Research, 661–687.
Marketing, 51(April), 46–57. Oliver, C. (1991). Strategic responses to institutional processes.
Gray, R. 2000. The social accounting project and Accounting, Academy of Management Review, 16(1), 145–172.
Organizations and Society: privileging engagement, imagin- Patten, D. (1991). Exposure, legitimacy and social disclosure.
ings, new accountings and pragmatism over critique? Paper Journal of Accounting and Public Policy, 10, 297–308.
presented to the Accounting, Organizations and Society 25th Pava, M., & Krausz, J. (1996). The association between cor-
Anniversary Conference, Oxford, UK, July. porate social responsibility and financial performance: the
Gebhardt, W., Lee, C. M. C., & Swaminathan, B. (2000). paradox of social cost. Journal of Business Ethics, 15, 321–
Toward an implied cost of capital. Working paper, Cornell 357.
University, October 27, 2000. Journal of Accounting Research Porter, M., & van der Linde, Claas (1995). Green and com-
(in press). petitive: ending the stalemate. Harvard Business Review,
Gibbins, M., Richardson, A. J., & Waterhouse, J. (1990). The September–October.
management of financial disclosure: opportunism, ritualism, Reyes, M. G., & Grieb, T. (1998). The external performance of
policies and processes. Journal of Accounting Research, 28(1), socially responsible mutual funds. American Business Review
121–143. (January), 1–7.
Guthrie, J., & Parker, L. D. (1990). Corporate social disclosure Richardson, A., Welker, M., & Hutchinson, I. (1999). Manag-
practice: a comparative international analysis. Advances in ing capital market reactions to corporate social responsibility.
Public Interest Accounting, 3, 159–175. International Journal of Management Reviews, 1, 17–43.
Hannan, M. (1998). Rethinking age-dependence in organiza- Scaltegger, S., & Figge, F. ‘‘Environmental shareholder value’’
tional mortality: logical formalizations. American Journal of Centre for economics and business administration, Uni-
Sociology, 104(1), 126–164. versity of Basle WWW-study no. 54, June 1998.
Healy, P., Hutton, A., & Palepu, K. (1999). Stock performance Sengupta, P. (1998). Corporate disclosure and the cost of debt.
and intermediation chanes surrounding sustained increase in The Accounting Review, 73(4), (October), 459–474.
disclosure. Contemporary Accounting Research, 11(2), 485– Stinchcombe, A. L. (1965). Social structure and organizations.
520. In J. G. March (Ed.), Handbook of organizations. Chicago:
Lang, M., & Lundholm, R. (1993). Cross-sectional determi- Rand-McNally.
nants of analyst ratings of corporate disclosures. Journal of Watts, R., & Zimmerman, J. (1996). Positive accounting theory.
Accounting Research, 246–271. Englewood Cliffs: Prentice-Hall.
Lang, M., & Lundholm, R. (1996). Corporate disclosure Welker, M. (1995). Disclosure policy, information asymmetry
policy and analyst behavior. The Accounting Review, 71, and liquidity in equity markets. Contemporary Accounting
467–492. Research (Spring), 801–827.
Levitt, A. 1999. Quality Information: The Lifeblood of Our Wiseman, J. (1982). An evaluation of environmental dis-
Markets. The Economic Club of New York, New York, N.Y., closures made in annual reports. Accounting, Organizations
October 18, 1999. http://www.sec.gov/news/spchindx.htm. and Society, 7(1), 53–63.
Menon, A., & Menon, A. (1997). ‘‘Enviropreneurial’’ market- Zeghal, D., & Ahmed, S. A. (1990). Comparison of social
ing strategy: the emergence of corporate environmentalism as responsibility information media used by Canadian firms.
market strategy. Journal of Marketing, 6, 51–67. Auditing, Accounting and Accountability Journal, 3(1), 38–53.

Anda mungkin juga menyukai