for HIV/AIDS
ERE LEE Q. SALANG
Epi 203: Communicable Disease Control
2015
Epidemiology of HIV
38
Global Data of adults and children 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015
Estimated people living w/ HIV 28.7 31.7 32.8 34 35.3 38.8
AIDS-related deaths 1.7 2.2 2.3 2 1.6 1.2
Newly infected w/HIV 3.5 3.1 2.8 2.6 2.3 2.5
• Declining new infections by 34% in 2012 and 29% in 2015 from 2000
• Expansion of ART coverage dramatically improved survival among people living with HIV
resulting in an increase in the number of PLHIV
• Increasing HIV prevalence in nearly every geographic region in the world, mostly
because of deaths averted from ART
Global Epidemiology of HIV
Infect Dis Clin N Am 28 (2014) 323–337
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.idc.2014.05.001
Epidemiology of HIV
HIV Incidence at peak in 1997: 3.3
million (CI 3.1M, 3.4M)
https://www.avert.org/global-hiv-and-aids-statistics
UNAIDS (2017) 'Ending AIDS: Progress towards the 90-90-90 targets'
33 per day:
Average number of
people newly diagnosed
w/ HIV in 2018
ART Coverage 32.57% per 100 people living w/
HIV in 2015 (Global Estimates WHO 2015)
Epidemiology of HIV
Transmission Acquisition
Heterosexual contact - main mode of HIV transmission in sub-
Saharan Africa
1st most
Injection drug use - major risk factor in Eastern Europe, Central
common Asia, North Africa, and the Middle East.
> 75% Homosexual contact (MSM) highest risk for infection in many
countries of North America, Western Europe, and Oceania.
2nd
2,450,920
38,802,500 new Risk of Transmission
people w/
infections blood transfusion – greatest risk, followed by vertical
HIV as exposure, sexual exposures, and other parenteral
2015 exposures (needle sharing drug use and percutaneous-
needle stick).
HIV/AIDS
deaths
Sexual exposure risks ranged from low for oral sex to 138
1,192,570 infections per 10 000 exposures for receptive anal
intercourse.
Wang, H., et al., 2016. Estimates of global, regional, and
Patel, P., Borkowf, C.B., Brooks, J.T., Lasry, A., Lansky, A. and Mermin, J., 2014.
national incidence, prevalence, and mortality of HIV, 1980–
Estimating per-act HIV transmission risk: a systematic review. Aids, 28(10),
2015: the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. The Lancet
pp.1509-1519.
HIV, 3(8), pp.e361-e387.
Risk Factors for HIV
• INDIVIDUAL (Behavioral and Biomedical)
directly affect individual and individual has
control in change
• SOCIOCULTURAL
norms that encourage high-risk sexual behavior
• INFRASTRUCTURAL
Directly/indirectly facilitate HIV, individual has
very little control
• STRUCTURAL
Developmental issues, both the individual and
the health system have very little control
WHO Case definitions of HIV for surveillance and revised clinical staging and immunological classification of HIV-related disease in adults and children,
WHO Publication 2007
• HIV wasting
Brief Overview of HIV syndrome
• Pneumocystis
pneumonia
• Recurrent severe
or radiological
bacterial
• Weight loss >10% of pneumonia
body weight • Chronic herpes
• Weight loss < 10% of • Unexplained chronic simplex infection
body weight diarrhoea > 1 month • Esophageal
• Minor • Unexplained candidiasis
mucocutaneous prologned fever 1 • Extrapulmonary
• Herpes zoster w/in 5 month TB
years • Oral candidiasis • Kaposi sarcoma
• Recurrent upper RTIs • Oral hairy leukoplakia • CNS
• Asymptomatic • Seborrhoeic • Pulmonary TB toxoplasmosis
• Asymptomatic • HIV
• Persistent generalized dermatitis • Sever bacterial
• Acute retroviral encephalopathy
lymphadenopathy (PGL) • Fungal nail infections infections
syndrome • Others
Primary HIV
Clinical Stage 1 Clinical Stage 2 Clinical Stage 3 Clinical Stage 4
Infection
Let Us Know About HIV and AIDS Achieving Triple Zeros Handbook on HIV AIDS for Public Healthcare workers; National STD/AIDS Control Programme,
Ministry of Health, Nutrition & Indigenous Medicine, in Partnership with the United Nations Population Fund; October 2016
Natural History of HIV
Lewthwaite, P. and Wilkins, E., 2009. Natural history of HIV/AIDS. Medicine, 37(7), pp.333-337. | Harries, A.D., Maher, D.
and Graham, S., 2004. TB/HIV: a clinical manual. World Health Organization. | HIV & AIDS - signs, symptoms,
transmission, causes & pathology (downloaded video from YouTube.com).
Natural History of HIV
HIV progression
Acute HIV Infection Persistent Advancing
(infection to HIV
Exposure Asymptomatic infection generalized immuno-
4-12 wks related disease)
lymphadenopathy suppression
AIDS
Harries, A.D., Maher, D. and Graham, S., 2004. TB/HIV: a clinical manual. World Health Organization.
Multiple programme components combined to reduce HIV incidence
Combination HIV Prevention: Tailoring and Coordinating Biomedical, Behavioural and Structural Strategies to Reduce New HIV Infections; A UNAIDS Discussion Paper, 2010
Prevention and Control: Program Components
Preventing and Mitigating AIDS in Sub-Saharan Africa: Research and Data Priorities for the Social and Behavioral Sciences (1996); Chapter: 5 PRIMARY HIV-PREVENTION STRATEGIES
Communicable Disease control in emergencies, A field Manual, WHO 2005
Health Promotive Disease Preventive strategies Screening and Counselling effectively identifies
strategies STI control PLWH and directs them to appropriate therapy
Sex education HIV testing of transfused blood
Universal Pre and Postexposure Prophylaxis Counseling on Risk Reduction, Disclosure of HIV
precautions Syringe-Sharing Risk Reduction Serostatus and Partner Notification
Health policies, MTC transmission Antiretroviral Therapy ~ reduces viral load and
media campaigns Harm reduction injection use partially enables immune restoration)
Voluntary male circumcision
Prevention and
Control
Strategies to
Stage in Natural
History of HIV
Bertozzi, S., Padian, N.S., Wegbreit, J., DeMaria, L.M., Feldman, B., Gayle, H., Gold, J., Grant, R. and Isbell, M.T., 2006. HIV/AIDS prevention and treatment. Disease control priorities
in developing countries, 2, pp.331-370. | Jeanne M. Marrazzo, MD, et al., HIV Prevention in Clinical Care Settings 2014 Recommendations of the International Antiviral Society–USA
Panel, JAMA. 2014;312(4):390-409. doi:10.1001/jama.2014.7999
General interventions relevant to all modes of transmission:
• Information, education, and communication
• School-based sex education
Interventions to prevent sexual transmission:
• Voluntary counseling and testing
• Condom promotion, distribution, and social
• Peer-based programs marketing
• STI screening and treatment
Bertozzi, S., Padian, N.S., Wegbreit, J., DeMaria, L.M., Feldman, B., Gayle, H., Gold, J., Grant, R. and Isbell, M.T., 2006. HIV/AIDS
prevention and treatment. Disease control priorities in developing countries, 2, pp.331-370.
Prevention and
Control
Strategies to Dx
Transmission
process
Bertozzi, S., Padian, N.S., Wegbreit, J., DeMaria, L.M., Feldman, B., Gayle, H., Gold, J., Grant, R. and Isbell, M.T., 2006. HIV/AIDS
prevention and treatment. Disease control priorities in developing countries, 2, pp.331-370.