38 Cover Story
DSIJ
26
Regulars
Recommendations 06 Editor’s Keyboard
10
Choice Scrip
12
Low Priced Scrip
14
Hot Chips
07
08
16
Company Index
Market View
Technicals
48 Super 50
20 Analysis
73
98
104
Elite 100
Query Board
Reviews
Ramco Cements
Cementing Future Growth 105 Kerbside
With High Capex Subscribers can access
the complete databank
32
consisting of more than
3500 companies on our
Special Report website www.DSIJ.in
Coming back to the markets, we have been saying loud and clear that there is no major worry for the
markets and that the broader bullish undertone of the market is intact. I am delighted to share the
excitement of the revival in the market mood we are seeing in past couple of weeks. The stocks are
jumping anywhere between 10 to 20 per cent, and that too in no time!
I think it is nothing but a nice well-timed pre-market rally that we are all witnessing. The FIIs have
turned positive on the Indian markets and are participating via the ETFs and the block deals. Also, the
markets appear to be factoring in a NDA victory. The popularity of our Prime Minister Narendra Modi
is on the rise and there is no leader among the opposition ranks that matches his stature. In my view,
investors who are waiting for the election results may be at a loss as the market is in no mood to wait till
the election results to unleash itself.
The cover story in this issue talks about the top wealth
creators in the past few years and discusses the market
outlook for the remainder of the year. The outlook
remains positive and the broader market participation
can be expected to improve noticeably. Do not miss the
list of top 150 wealth creators. The list will help you in
your investment decisions.
What has gone unnoticed all these days is the way gold has been performing. In our special report, we
have reiterated the importance of gold in an individual’s portfolio. Gold is a precious asset and should be
a part of the overall portfolio of any investor. Do read our special story to understand the gold price
outlook for 2019. Looks like 2019 is going to be a year where we have both gold prices and equity prices
(Sensex) moving up.
The way to win in this market is by going long on quality stocks. We have said this before and we repeat
it today – the year 2019 is going to be a year for wealth creation. The financial assets should do well not
only in 2019, but in the coming three to five years. Remain invested, don’t attempt to time the market
and continue building a portfolio for the next five years. The broader market rally may be sustainable
this time around.
V B PADODE
Editor-in-Chief
www.dsij.in/apps.aspx
enquiry@dsij.in linkedin.com/in/DalalStreetInvestmentJournal
Recommendations
DSIJ Private Limited Company/Scheme Reco. Price (`) Column Page No
CONCOCT A BREW OF REFRESHING RETURNS WITH CCL years. It is at a proximity of 160 km from
the Chennai port, ensuring low logistical
costs. he strong order backlog is expected
to ensure nearly 50 per cent capacity
HERE IS WHY utilisation going forward. An upcoming
Steady and resilient margins capacity of 3,500 MT in Vietnam is
expected to lead to volume growth in
Robust business model FY21.
C
Sustainable growth prospects
Over the last 15 years, the company has
CL Products (India) Ltd is scaled up its coffee processing capacity by
one of the largest instant approximately seven times. Its EBITDA
coffee manufacturers in the margins are resilient and stable because it
world. Over the years, CCL procures raw materials only upon
has effectively developed receiving orders. Despite green coffee
more than 1,000 blends of coffee and is prices being at historical lows, CCL’s
capable of preparing blends specific to margins are unlikely to take a hit in the
customer requirements. The company event of a recovery in green coffee prices.
imports 85 per cent of its raw materials Furthermore, over the last 10 years, the
Best of LAST ONE Year
for its India operations and exports 90 company has relied modestly on leverage
Name of Reco Exit/CMP Absolute Annual
per cent of finished products. As a result, Company Price Price (`) Gains Returns to achieve growth, has refrained from
fluctuations in exchange rate do not have (`) (%) (%) diluting equity and has maintained
a material impact on its financials. Balkrishna Ind. 1079.8 1317.85 22.05 417.79 healthy return ratios.
Tata Metaliks 667.8 826.2 37.93 89.89
On the consolidated financial front, total Colgate-Palmolive (I) 1051.65 1231 17.5 77.78 The company has spent an additional
income from operations stood at PFC 122.6 147.6 20.39 64.96 `700 million towards infrastructure
`234.08 crore in Q3FY19 as against Symphony 1429.8 1672 16.94 64.19 development for future expansions. At its
`273.99 crore in Q3FY18, thereby falling Indian operations, the company aspires
14.57 per cent. EBITDA plummeted to FY14-18. Over the last 10 years, CCL’s to increase its products in favour of small
`54.31 crore in Q3FY19 from `64.47 sales, EBITDA and net profit grew at a packets vis-à-vis bulk. As such, it is
crore in Q3FY18, posting a drop of 15.76 CAGR of 10 per cent, 18 per cent and 26 setting up a packaging capacity of 3K-5K
per cent. Net profit spiralled down to per cent, respectively, due to improving tonnes. The realisations awarded by small
`32.61 crore in Q3FY19 from `40.42 capacity utilization. packets are 5-10 per cent higher as
crore in Q3FY18, thereby sinking 19.32 compared to bulk. It is also setting up
per cent. EPS dropped to `2.45 in The company boasts a pass-through 5,000 tonnes of agglomeration capacity
Q3FY19 from `3.04 in Q3FY18, posting mechanism which safeguards it against to improve the quality of coffee; thereby
a fall of 19.41 per cent. the volatility in the prices of raw coffee, fetching realisations which would be
thereby ensuring margin protection. It higher by 5-10 per cent. Thus, we
Its ROE surged from 10 per cent in FY09 operates a business model which is recommend our reader-investors to BUY
to an average of 22 per cent during difficult for its competitors to replicate. this stock. DS
Note: The stocks recommended under this section are fundamentally strong stocks. However investors are advised to wait for the correct opportunity
to enter these stocks considering the market sentiment right now.
Monthly Stock Market Returns Shareholding Pattern Last Five Quarters (`/Cr)
15.00
BSE Code: 519600
CMP: `299.45 FV: `2 as of Dec. 2018 Dec-18 Sep-18 Jun-18 Mar-18 Dec-17
10.00
BSE Volume: 5,453 Total Income 234.08 290.76 294.45 320.88 273.99
5.00
Date: 12/03/2019 Promoters 45.28
Other Income 0.91 1.35 0.33 1.63 0.41
0.00
Public 54.72 Operating Profit 55.22 77.62 64.02 72.81 64.87
Apr-18
Feb-19
Sep-18
Nov-18
Jun-18
Dec-18
Jul-18
Mar-18
Mar-19
Oct-18
Aug-18
Jan-19
May-18
-5.00
Interest 3.03 3.29 2.40 2.11 1.85
Others --
-10.00 Net Profit 32.61 47.18 39.46 47.25 40.42
-15.00 Total 100 Equity 26.61 26.61 26.61 26.61 26.61
M
stations. The company is focused on
geographical expansion over multi-
usic Broadcast Ltd. frequency expansion. It boasts a healthy
(MBL) owns and balance sheet with `2 billion in net cash,
operates FM radio in addition to robust return ratios and
stations under the steady cash flows.
Radio City brand name PRICED SCRIP
in 39 cities in India. It also operates Recently, the company partnered with
51 web radio stations in 10 languages. In Best of LAST ONE Year
Noida Metro Rail Corporation to
addition, it operates a ‘Planet Radio City’ Name of Reco Exit/CMP Absolute Annual
provide passengers with a distinctive
mobile app that plays various stations, Company Price Price (`) Gains Returns in-transit entertainment experience.
such as Radio City Freedom. It is a (`) (%) (%) Through this initiative, the company is
subsidiary of Jagran Prakashan Limited. National Fert. 61.30 78.00 27.24 350.22 exploring new avenues of entertainment
Gufic BioSci. 78.70 95.10 20.84 288.55 in emerging fields such as the next
Despite making investments in new Jamna Auto Ind. 77.15 96.75 25.41 254.10 generation mobility of hyperlocal
stations, the company has been delivering Virinchi 88.00 110.00 25.00 225.00 experiences. Previously, the company
double digit growth in terms of revenue, Amines & Plasti. 68.00 81.00 19.12 167.88 had successfully partnered with
EBITDA and PBT since FY16. Its PBT is Lucknow Metro Rail Corporation to
growing 3x faster than the revenue. The increase of 45 per cent. PBT margin was offer specialised content across eight
company reported revenue of `87 crore reported at 28.7 per cent in Q3FY19 as Lucknow Metro stations. The
in Q3FY19 as against `76 crore in against 22.6 per cent in Q3FY18, thereby management commentary states that it
Q3FY18, posting a growth of 14 per cent. posting a growth of 607 bps. expects MBL’s revenues to grow at 11 per
EBITDA stood at `29 crore in Q3FY19 in cent CAGR over FY18-23 on the back of
comparison to `23 crore in Q3FY18, Thus, it is clear that the company has 50:50 blend of price increase and
thereby rising 23 per cent. As a result, showcased sustainable operating utilisation. Also, its FCF generation is
EBITDA margin stood at 32.9 per cent in performance despite facing forecasted to triple from `0.4-0.5 billion
Q3FY19 versus 30.6 per cent in Q3FY18, macroeconomic headwinds. Q3FY19 was p.a. in FY18 to `1.2-1.3 billion in FY23E.
thereby increasing by 220 bps. The the highest-ever performing quarter for EBITDA margins are likely to improve
margin was slightly pressured on account the company. The recovery in growth was on the back of enhanced utilisation and
of higher A&P spends. Consequently, driven by 11 per cent rate hike in the improved pricing. By virtue of these
PBT rose to `25 crore in Q3FY19 from legacy markets, festive advertising and factors, we recommend our reader-
`17 crore in Q3FY18, registering an contribution from the government as well investors to BUY this stock.
Note: The stocks recommended under this section are fundamentally strong stocks. However investors are advised to wait for the correct DS
opportunity to enter these stocks considering the market sentiment right now.
Monthly Stock Market Returns Shareholding Pattern Last Five Quarters (`/Cr)
0 as of Dec. 2018 Particulars Dec'18 Sep'18 Jun'18 Mar'18 Dec'17
Oct-18
Aug-18
Apr-18
Feb-19
Apr-19
Sep-18
Jan-19
Nov-18
May-18
May-19
Jun-18
Dec-18
Jun-19
Jul-18
Jul-19
Mar-18
Mar-19
-20
Total Income 87.02 80.14 75.68 75.93 76.18
Promoters 73.65
Other Income 4.46 3.6 2.42 5.4 4.33
-40
Public 26.35 Operating Profit 33.06 30.16 28.48 32.76 27.65
-60
BSE Code: 540366
CMP: `60.50 FV: `2 Interest 1.37 1.38 1.38 3.37 3.92
BSE Volume: 2458 Others --
-80
Date: 12/03/2019 Net Profit 16.38 13.38 13.5 16.26 11.88
-100 Total 100 Equity 55.31 56.33 57.05 57.05 57.05
K
arnataka Bank provides personal Scrip’s Movement
and business banking products
130.00
T
investors are advised to Scrip’s Movement he company produces sponge iron by
direct reduction method of iron ore
take into account their risk
780
N
ifty broke out the four-month Roadmap for the next 15 trading sessions
consolidation with relatively Ideas Nifty Levels Action to be Initiated Probable Targets
low volumes. Finally, it closed Resistance for the medium term 11200-11267
Trading above 11110 on the on monthly closing basis
11300 - 11400
would give further momentum to the bulls.
above the October 2018 highs.
After four months of sideways action, it Close below 10850 on the weekly chart would change
Support for the medium term 10985 - 10850 10600 and lower
the trend and trigger a retreat.
retraced more than 61.8 per cent of the
Sept-Oct 2018 fall. The fall occurred in broader market trends are improving the -DI, but it is still turning down on
just 38 days and to retrace just 62 per cent with selective buying. the weekly chart. The Commodity
of the fall, it took 88 days. While the Channel Index, which indicates tops
Sensex and Nifty are moving in a flat Technically speaking, Nifty broke out of and bottoms much earlier than any
range, the Mid-cap and Small-cap indices the four-month long sideways action. other indicator, reached the highs of
completed their 13-month correction and Now the question is whether or not this January 2018 on the weekly chart. The
are moving upwards. The overall market breakout will sustain. As we mentioned price-earnings (PE) ratio, which is a
breadth is positive for the last few weeks. earlier, any such long consolidation fundamental factor and determines
The advance-decline ratio improved to breakout must have a faster follow-up the valuation of the market, is almost
4:1. Last week, stocks from the mid-cap retracement action with supporting at life-time highs. The derivative data
universe gained 5-30 per cent and from volumes. Let us wait and see whether this like Put-Call ratio (PCR) is at 1.46, which
the small-cap universe, almost 50 per happen or not. The Nifty closed above indicates the overbought condition.
cent of the stocks rose between 5-40 per the upper Bollinger band, which shows
cent. The small-caps and mid-caps have the overbought condition. Generally, With these technical pieces of evidence,
outperformed the large-caps. One whenever the price moves above the let us not bother about the major index
expects this rally to extend to the upper Bollinger band, it should then structure and better focus on
large-caps with higher gains. Still, the move within the band. On the other opportunities available in the broader
participation among large-caps is limited. side, the stochastic oscillator is extremely market. At the same time, wait for the
At least nine stocks in Nifty touched in overbought condition since last two major indices to close previous day's
52-week high or reached near to that days. There is no divergence visible in the lows for a bearish view. As long as Nifty
level. 11 Nifty stocks rose by more than RSI. It is still in the bullish zone. With trades above 11,100, be positive on the
10 per cent. These statistics show that the today’s breakout, ADX just moved above overall market.
*LEGEND: n EMA - Exponential Moving Average. n MACD - Moving Average Convergence Divergence n RMI - Relative Momentum Index
n ROC - Rate of Change n RSI - Relative Strength Index
Disclaimer : Above recommendations are based on various technical parameters and any fundamental input has not been considered for the recommendations. Follow strict stop loss for the recommendation.
Ramco Cements
R
Ramco Cements is the Ramco Cements enjoys a strong
flagship company of the presence is southern and eastern India.
Ramco Group, a well The company has a high presence in the
-respected business group retail segment and enjoys premium
in South India. The position in the southern market. The
company is the country’s company enjoys strong brand
fifth-largest cement recognition among IHB customers
producer. Ramco Supergrade is because of its deep rural penetration in
one of the most popular cement brands Tamil Nadu and Kerala compared to its
Ramco Cements enjoys a strong in South India. The company also competitors. The company’s brand is
produces ready mix concrete (RMC) and considered a Tier-1 brand in Tamil Nadu
presence is southern and eastern dry mortar products and also operates and Kerala, whereas it is considered a
India. The company has a high one of the largest wind farms in the Tier-2 brand in Andhra Pradesh. The
presence in the retail segment and country. company has a new capacity coming up
in Kurnool district of Andhra Pradesh
enjoys premium position in the The company’s main product is Portland which will take its grinding capacity to
southern market. The company cement and is manufactured in the 18.65MT in South India.
enjoys strong brand recognition company’s eight production facilities
that includes integrated cement plants Industry
among IHB customers because of and grinding units with a current total India is the second-largest cement
its deep rural penetration in Tamil production capacity of 16.45MTPA (out producer in the world behind China.
Nadu and Kerala compared to its if which satellite grinding units capacity India’s cement industry is a vital part of
competitors. is 4MTPA.) the company’s economy and provides
employment to over a million people,
The housing and real estate sector is the biggest demand driver
for the cement industry and accounts for about 65 per cent of
the total consumption in India. Public infrastructure is also a
key demand driver accounting for 20 per cent of total
consumption, followed by industrial development at 15 per
cent.
Peer Comparison-Valuation
Company Name Latest Market Cap TTM PE(x) ROA (%) ROCE (%) EV/EBITDA (x) Total Debt/Equity(x)
The India Cements Ltd. 2863.45 43.10 0.64 5.42 10.27 0.61
The Ramco Cements Ltd. 16233.60 36.09 7.87 16.26 15.97 0.28
Ultratech Cement Ltd. 106405.55 57.56 4.48 11.52 18.97 0.74
Data as of Mar 1, 2019
Conclusion
Ramco Cements has strong presence in the southern region
and has a healthy balance sheet and a track record of good
operational efficiency. The government's initiatives like
'Housing for All' and increased infrastructure spending augur
well for the cement industry. The prices of cement are expected
to improve in South India by `35-50 per bag, which should
lead to margin improvement for the company.
CHOICE SCRIP
RECOMMENDATIONS UPDATE FOR THE LAST ONE YEAR
Recom. Recom. Exit Exit Return
Company Name
Date Price Date Price (%)
12-Oct-17 Time Technoplast 198.40 12-Oct-18 127.05 -35.96
26-Oct-17 Esab India 865.30 07-Sep-18 947.20 9.46
09-Nov-17 CCL Products India 319.65 09-Nov-18 290.00 -9.28
23-Nov-17 Bajaj Finance 1763.85 09-Apr-18 1933.60 9.62
07-Dec-17 Minda Industries 1103.85 23-May-18 1292.00 17.04
21-Dec-17 J B Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals 325.00 07-Sep-18 345.40 6.28
04-Jan-18 Kalpataru Power Transmissions 481.35 04-Jan-19 381.50 -20.74
18-Jan-18 IFB Industries 1460.10 18-Jan-19 889.00 -39.11
01-Feb-18 Eveready Industries India 415.10 01-Feb-19 216.70 -47.80
15-Feb-18 Essel Propack 139.66 15-Feb-19 105.55 -24.43
01-Mar-18 Colgate-Palmolive (India) 1051.65 21-May-18 1231.00 17.05
15-Mar-18 Escorts 854.20 29-May-18 940.45 10.10
28-Mar-18 Balkrishna Industries 1079.80 16-Apr-18 1317.85 22.05
12-Apr-18 Va Tech Wabag 508.20 Open -35.91
26-Apr-18 Blue Star 785.40 Open -15.65
10-May-18 Natco Pharma 797.75 Open -26.46
24-May-18 Tata Chemicals 717.20 06-Feb-19 595.00 -17.04
07-Jun-18 Tata Sponge Iron 1088.65 Open -29.98
21-Jun-18 Bajaj Auto 2833.80 03-Dec-18 2733.15 -3.55
05-Jul-18 KEI Industries 406.35 Open 3.61
18-Jul-18 Ashoka Buildcon 147.85 Open -5.48
02-Aug-18 Take Solutions 204.05 Open -33.10
16-Aug-18 Trent 363.00 Open -0.83
30-Aug-18 Finolex Industries 602.65 Open -9.81
12-Sep-18 Chambal Fertilisers & Chemicals 158.65 Open 6.02
27-Sep-18 ITD Cementation India 125.00 Open 6.28
11-Oct-18 V Mart Retail 2032.20 31-Oct-18 2400.60 18.13
25-Oct-18 Escorts 572.65 02-Nov-18 685.90 19.78
05-Nov-18 Crisil 1495.00 03-Jan-19 1645.00 10.03
22-Nov-18 Indian Hotels Company 134.30 12-Dec-18 148.00 10.20
06-Dec-18 Tech Mahindra 725.25 08-Feb-19 817.00 12.65
20-Dec-18 Bandhan Bank 556.00 Open -6.79
03-Jan-19 Godrej Consumer Products 807.65 Open -9.99
17-Jan-19 ITC 296.00 Open -0.27
31-Jan-19 Biocon 649.40 Open -3.59
14-Feb-19 Shoppers Stop 500.20 Open -4.72
28-Feb-19 Titan Company 1037.70 Open 3.59
India is in a
sweet spot
to take advantage
of demographics
and technology
Ashishkumar Chauhan
MD & CEO, BSE
Stock exchanges and the indices are perceived to be the economic barometers of any country. There is no better
person than the man with many talents, who is heading the Asia’s oldest stock exchange and one of the world’s
biggest stock exchanges, to talk about the prospects for the Indian economy. The champion administrator that he is,
Mr. Ashish Chauhan is a regulator at heart, whose only aim is to facilitate wealth creation for the masses in India.
In this exclusive interview with Dalal Street Investment Journal, Ashish Chauhan talks at length on various topics
including the growth strategy that has worked for the BSE and the right approach that investors should adopt while
participating in the markets. With an open mind, Mr. Chauhan talks candidly about the hits and misses of the BSE and
the direction in which the oldest and the fastest stock exchange is headed in coming years.
With so many things happening at a scorching pace in the financial world, it is indeed remarkable to stay on top of all
the issues that can impact the financial well-being of so many investors. Indeed, the alacrity with which the
regulatory job is done at BSE is what allows millions of investors in India to repose their trust in the financial system.
With BSE comes the reputation and the legacy, with Ashish Chauhan comes the competence, vision, strategy and
execution. Investors can definitely listen to his advice and feel safe investing and trading on the BSE.
What steps were taken in seminars and almost 4,000 investor this to the company. So, we provide
FY19 by the BSE management seminars through television and education to investors, but we also keep
to strengthen its position as an magazine like Dalal Street Investment track of the company related news that is
exchange of choice in India Journal, we inform investors the "do's not reported on the exchange but which
and expand across borders. and dont's" of investments. Specifically, the company is supposed to report. We
the 'dont's' like don’t believe in tips, don’t have also created a website for the
There were some attempts and
believe in whatsapp messages, don’t companies to report their material
also some strategic alliances believe in SMSes, study yourself, it is information and periodic information,
that BSE has done your hard earned money, and ultimately due to which the difference between the
internationally? you are responsible for that. time they report and the time it is
BSE will continue to provide support on displayed has come down to less than a
technology and operations to any We also ensure that the information second. It is available 24/7 so that
exchange worldwide that wants to take related to companies is tracked on a anytime a company wants to report any
help from BSE or expertise that BSE has real-time basis across the world. We use good or bad information, it is available
developed. But our main focus is social media platforms, information to the market instantaneously. These are
basically to run incident-free, scandal- coming out of them, websites of various the kind of steps we have taken as we
free stock market and help India do entities, including news, television think ultimately information is very, very
capital formation, create wealth and raise channels and many other areas to see important for the investors to take
funds for the companies and that will how the information about the correct decisions and timely information
continue to remain our focus. companies that is not reported on the on the exchange platform is what that
exchange is available. Through the use makes us much more robust. We have a
What tools, i.e. data artificial intelligence, questions are asked mobile application of BSE beta, which
analytics-based solutions, automatically to the companies about has been downloaded more than a
are being used at BSE to whether they are aware of any such million times and we have almost a
information and whether it is true or million visitors on the BSE website, so it
detect and mitigate potential not. So those companies have to then is 100 million page views. It is basically
risks of market manipulation clarify and whenever we ask a company, like most other countries where we
and rumours? usually we also put it on the website so provide these data for free. These are all
First, we do a lot of investor awareness that everyone knows that we have asked easy to see and even in the order book,
Gold In
2019!
Gold is inching higher and
investors wonder if it will
outperform other asset classes.
Advait Dharmadhikari explains
why the outlook for gold in 2019
remains positive!
W
hile most of the investors were focused on equity Time and again the importance of asset allocation is discussed
markets and the political events in India that in financial literature. It is a known fact that the amount of
may impact equity returns, one asset class that is wealth that any investor would generate is a byproduct of asset
widely held by Indians managed to show an allocation in the long term. The outperformance of gold in 2018
impressive performance without making a lot of noise. shows the importance of being invested in the asset class.
Indeed, for any investor, getting the asset allocation right is not
Gold is up by 7.3 per cent in CY18 and is up by 1.82 per cent on only essential, but also the key to minimizing risks in
YTD basis in 2019. Gold outperformed equity yet again in 2018 investments. Smart investors have been taking exposure in the
as it did in 2008, 2010, 2011 and 2016. precious metal not expecting superior returns alone. The
intention is to create a portfolio that delivers on a risk-adjusted
basis. Gold can be an essential component of any portfolio that
Gold Outperformance Years needs to deliver returns on a risk-adjusted basis.
Year Gold Equity Says Sachin Surse, a seasoned investor, “ I always believed in
2019* 1.82 0.7 asset allocation strategy and have focused on getting it right
2018 7.3 5.9 from the beginning. At any given point of time, I am invested in
2016 12 3 gold, equity, real estate and debt. After equity, if there is any
2011 31.9 -24.6 other asset class that I am happy with, it is gold, as it has not
2010 24.1 17.9 disappointed me in terms of returns. And yes, it gives me the
2008 30.1 -51.8 much-needed diversification in the overall portfolio and the
*2019 performance is on YTD basis as on March 5, 2019 best part about gold is its liquidity.”
lead to smoother returns driven by central banks buying 651.5t, a multi-decade high. The
net purchases by the central banks jumped to their highest
levels since 1971, as several central banks turned to gold for
The gold ETF inflows registered a 67 per cent decline YoY, with
Europe being the only region to register net growth in 2018.
The annual jewellery demand remained largely flat, down by
Domestic vs international gold prices and exchange rates just 1t from 2017. The Indian demand for jewellery remained
The exchange rates and gold price relation is always a stable at 598t. The gains in the US, China and Russia were
discussion point for investors. What matters for the investors is broadly offset by losses in Middle East. Retail investments in
to know what happens with gold prices when the Indian rupee gold bars and gold coins registered a 4 per cent growth. The
(INR) weakens and US dollar (USD) strengthens. demand for coins surged to reach a 5-year high of 236.4t. The
The below chart compares the domestic and international demand for gold bars remained steady at 781.6t, remaining in
prices of gold and also traces their movement along with the the range of 700t-800t for the fifth successive year.
Wealth-Creators
E
believe valuations are compelling at these
levels for a revival in the performance of
quity markets in 2018 have been extremely
tough on investors. Investors were frustrated mid-caps, particularly the quality
not only because the broader markets did not mid-caps which have also taken a
perform, but also because among the
large-caps, only a handful of stocks delivered substantial beating.
satisfactory results. There was hardly any
place to seek refuge in the markets in 2018 Elara Capital
and that has dampened the spirits of
investors a little bit.
delivered 25 per cent and more returns in one year is 1049. As
So far, the market story has been akin to that of CY2018. The many as 744 stocks have on an average generated returns in
large-caps are faring better than the mid-caps and small-caps, excess of 50 per cent, while the number of stocks that have
even though the latest trading sessions in the market are delivered more than 100 per cent returns on an average in one
showing signs of narrowing the performance gap between the calendar year is 392.
large-caps and mid/small-caps.
In the past ten years, the difficult years for investors have been
Index YTD Performance (%) 2011-12, 2013-14 and 2018-19. These are the years where the
BSE Midcap -4.1 number of stocks that gave positive returns were low. What is
BSE SmallCap -2.37 interesting to note is that in the immediate years following
BSE LargeCap 0.32 those difficult years, the number of stocks that gave positive
returns has drastically increased. This data makes us believe
Indeed, it is only a small number of stocks that are pushing the that 2019 may be a year where the broader markets perform
markets higher in 2019 so far. Will the narrative change in much better than they did in 2018. The broader market
2019? What are the chances of the broader markets starting to participation in 2019 will remain a key not only to individual
contribute and cheering the investors? To find answer to these investors' performance and their confidence, but also for the
questions, it would be useful to look at the market data for the improvement in the performance of mutual funds. With
last 10 years. improvement in the mutual fund performance, one can expect
more money to flow into equity MF schemes.
All Caps Multi-Year Market Performance
10-year market performance statistics (all stocks) Sensex Is The Most Expensive Market Globally
Year Positive closing 15% + 25% + 50% + 100% + Global indices P/E
2009-10 2364 2218 2097 1765 1057 S&P 500 ............................................................................................................................. 18.26
2010-11 1638 1306 1086 703 312
Nasdaq .............................................................................................................................. 22.46
2011-12 358 240 185 102 45
2012-13 1798 1405 1177 707 286 DJIA ................................................................................................................................ 16.35
2013-14 796 530 422 263 124 SENSEX ................................................................................................................................. 26.98
2014-15 2111 1872 1726 1376 831
DAX ............................................................................................................................... 14.43
2015-16 1739 1350 1142 782 407
2016-17 1311 965 785 451 201 CAC .............................................................................................................................. 17.79
2017-18 2116 1827 1614 1164 601 FTSE .............................................................................................................................. 17.07
2018-19 486 344 260 129 64
Hang Seng ............................................................................................................................. 11.1
Nikkei ............................................................................................................................ 15.93
If we look at the above table, we find that on an average, at least
Brazil .......................................................................................................................... 18.55
1471 shares have given positive returns every year. The average
number of stocks that have delivered 15 per cent and more in Russia ................ .......................................................................................................... 5.84
one year is 1205, while the average number of stocks that China ............................................................................................................................ 14.64
Fastest Wealth Creators (1 Year) Fastest Wealth Creators (3 Year) Fastest Wealth Creators (5 Year)
1 Year Returns 3 Year CAGR 5 Years CAGR
Company Company Company
(Absolute) (%) (%) (%)
Coastal Corporation 1241.79 Sadhana Nitro Chem 236.76 Sadhana Nitro Chem 138.33
Vikas Proppant & Granite 566.13 Dolat Investments 209.82 Dolat Investments 113.65
Dolat Investments 542.86 Niyogin Fintech 203.79 Uniply Industries 109.58
Grandeur Products 226.21 Mangalam Organics 190.22 Medicamen Biotech 106.23
Sadhana Nitro Chem 209.03 Indiabulls Integrated Services 182.53 Nath Pulp & Paper Mills 104.53
Shriram Asset Management Co. 173.46 Kanchi Karpooram 168.38 Tasty Bite Eatables 102.15
Birla Cable 169.51 HEG 155.62 Olectra Greentech 99.81
GSS Infotech 167.4 Generic Engg. Const.& Projects 151.95 Mangalam Organics 97.48
KIC Metaliks 161.54 Indiabulls Ventures 146.92 Associated Alcohols & Breweries 96.53
IOL Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals 145.29 Olectra Greentech 138.57 KEI Industries 96.33
Ratnabhumi Developers 139.92 Vikas Proppant & Granite 133.17 Stylam Industries 95.68
Punjab Alkalies & Chemicals 129.32 Axtel Industries 118.97 Minda Industries 93.86
Mangalam Organics 125.52 NR Agarwal Industries 116.52 Tanfac Industries 93.57
Shree Global Tradefin 118.79 Phillips Carbon Black 113.72 Shivalik Bimetal Controls 92.35
Urgo Capital 118.06 Prime Securities 113.32 Ducon Infratechnologies 90.91
Scan Steels 115.6 Shivalik Bimetal Controls 112.76 Permanent Magnets 88.08
Merck 110.6 Apollo Tricoat Tubes 109.99 V2 Retail 84.94
Responsive Industries 99.79 SVP Global Ventures 109.19 Vidhi Specialty Food Ingredients 83.37
Astrazeneca Pharma India 95.45 Medicamen Biotech 108.15 NR Agarwal Industries 82.70
Arnold Holdings 94.53 Confidence Petroleum India 105.05 Arman Financial Services 81.84
NBFCs IT
Company Name Returns (%) Company Name Returns (%)
Ugro Capital Ltd. 118.06 GSS Infotech 167.40
1 Arnold Holdings Ltd. 94.53 1 NIIT Technologies 51.99
Year Indianivesh Ltd. 90.76 Year Info Edge (India) 38.67
Muthoot Capital Services Ltd. 547.00 GSS Infotech 418.90
3 Bajaj Finance Ltd. 329.03 3 Mastek 229.56
Years CSL Finance Ltd. 302.78 Years Aptech 212.40
Arman Financial Services Ltd. 1894.74 Virinchi 888.44
5 Bajaj Finance Ltd. 1597.89 5 Zen Technologies 866.06
Years Capital Trust Ltd. 1186.46 Years Moschip Semiconductor Technology 846.12
All-embracing extensive research has led to of the top 150 corporates of India Inc. a five-year period or long-term study
and is a result of a meticulously laid out makes more sense is that many
the selection of India’s top 150 companies process. What follows is a detailed infrastructure companies such as power
which have created wealth for their description of the various steps that have and road construction, and even the
promoters, shareholders and the society at been followed in order to arrive at this strategies of the service sector and
large. We have applied a professional most coveted list of toppers. For the manufacturing companies, get executed
approach and method in this selection purpose of this study, we began with all over a longer period before they begin to
the listed companies of India. Since our reflect on the financials of the company.
process as explained below- objective was to focus on companies
which have been super-achievers, a ‘short THE EXCLUSIONS
This year’s list marks Dalal Street period’ study would not have been We have deliberately left out certain
Investment Journal’s seventh year of justified. Therefore, we spread our period categories and companies from our study
ranking of India Inc. and presenting the of study over the past five years; we then of Elite 100. These include- Banking and
DSIJ 150. Ranking provides a universally narrowed down the list to include only Non-Banking Finance Companies: The
accepted benchmark of performance those companies which have been listed reason for excluding banking and NBFCs
with an objective analysis. What is also for more than five years. from our study is due to the difference in
important is that with time, experience the nature of their business and the way
and changing conditions, the way one THE RATIONALE they should be evaluated. Moreover, we
ranks should also undergo modification. A long-term study of five years tends to will come out with a special issue on
These years have made us a little wiser even out any aberration in the results of banking in the coming month wherein
and we have tweaked the methodology to any particular year and helps in these companies will be comprehensively
make it more robust, as will be explained providing a fair idea of the long-term ranked.
in the following paragraphs. performance. A long-term study weeds
out ups and downs which are a natural THE PARAMETERS
The study has culminated in the selection part of any business. Another reason why Broadly speaking we have sought to
Non-institutional Non-institutional
and others : 11.3 and others : 34.4 22.2
14.9
TOTAL : 100 TOTAL : 100
As on 31-Dec-18 As on 31-Dec-17
Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%) Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%)
Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 ) Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 )
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%) Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%)
Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 ) Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 )
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
25.6 8.9
Non-institutional Non-institutional 8.4
and others : 10.6 and others : 13.1
Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%) Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%)
Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 ) Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 )
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
Non-institutional Non-institutional
8.2
and others : 10.8 and others : 13.6
5.5
TOTAL : 100 TOTAL : 100
As on 31-Dec-18 As on 31-Dec-17
Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%) Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%)
Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 ) Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 )
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%) Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%)
Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 ) Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 )
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%) Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%)
Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 ) Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 )
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%) Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%)
Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 ) Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 )
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%) Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%)
Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 ) Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 )
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%) Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%)
Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 ) Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 )
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%) Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%)
Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 ) Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 )
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%) Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%)
Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 ) Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 )
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
27.7
Non-institutional 20.4 Non-institutional
and others : 19.9 and others : 18.9
6.2
TOTAL : 100 TOTAL : 100 2.0
As on 31-Dec-18 As on 31-Dec-17
Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%) Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%)
Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 ) Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 )
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%) Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%)
Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 ) Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 )
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
5.6
Non-institutional Non-institutional
and others : 13.0 3.2 and others : 27.3
Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%) Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%)
Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 ) Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 )
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%) Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%)
Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 ) Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 )
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
Non-institutional Non-institutional
8.9
and others : 9.8 and others : 8.6 7.4
Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%) Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%)
Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 ) Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 )
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
Non-institutional Non-institutional
and others : 27.1 and others : 18.3
24.9
23.8
TOTAL : 100 18.6 TOTAL : 100 21.6
As on 31-Dec-18 As on 31-Dec-17
Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%) Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%)
Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 ) Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 )
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
Non-institutional Non-institutional
and others : 12.6
6.7 and others : 7.0
5.4 2.1
TOTAL : 100 TOTAL : 100
As on 31-Dec-18 As on 31-Dec-17
Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%) Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%)
Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 ) Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 )
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%) Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%)
Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 ) Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 )
.
. Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%) Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%)
Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 ) Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 )
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%) Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%)
Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 ) Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 )
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%) Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%)
Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 ) Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 )
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%) Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%)
Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 ) Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 )
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%) Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%)
Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 ) Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 )
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%) Gross Sales (` Cr) ROCE (%)
Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 ) Share Price Performance ( Rebase to 100 )
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
311.2 147.5 95.8 16.7 10.9 625.3 200.2 123.7 26.1 17.2
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
25.2 104.6
24.5 Promoters : 70.8 96.2 Promoters : 60
1383.7 3249.4 2545.1 162.8 136 1056.9 262.2 171.8 37.8 25.3
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
107.8 111.1
Promoters : 50.6 Promoters : 56.9
Non-institutional Non-institutional
and others : 41 and others : 18
17.3
4.9 TOTAL : 100 TOTAL : 100
As on 31-Dec-18 As on 31-Dec-18
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
321.9 243.5 178.7 26.2 19.3 1988.1 366.5 263.5 34.7 28.2
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
144.2
Promoters : 68.2 Promoters : 70.4
21.9
Institutions : 7.9 109.5 Institutions : 18.5
20.1
18.6 Non-institutional Non-institutional
and others : 23.9 and others : 11.1
70.6
3041.7 487.3 400.1 42.3 34.8 3624.1 75.3 73.7 18.4 18.4
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
60.8
Promoters : 74.8 Promoters : 40.8
42.8 42.7
51.1
Institutions : 9.4 Institutions : 50
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
173.4
Promoters : 0 Promoters : 68.8
49
Institutions : 10 Institutions : 16.3
92.9
Non-institutional Non-institutional
41.6
and others : 90 and others : 14.9
-12.2 39.2
2952.6 1661.4 1081.3 86.5 75.6 1839.7 296 202.2 31.3 21.4
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
13.2 13.1
88 Promoters : 51.7
Promoters : 61
76.9
Institutions : 18.6 Institutions : 28.8
Non-institutional Non-institutional
and others : 20.4 and others : 19.5
14.9 -1.2
TOTAL : 100 TOTAL : 100
As on 31-Dec-18 As on 31-Dec-18
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
1270.1 477.4 430.8 40.7 54.2 539.8 189 144.6 64.1 49.4
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
136.7
Promoters : 57.4 53.7 Promoters : 69.1
51
Institutions : 13.5 Institutions : 7.1
Non-institutional Non-institutional
and others : 29.1 and others : 23.8
27.8
32.9
1 TOTAL : 100 TOTAL : 100
As on 31-Dec-18 As on 31-Dec-18
JB Chemicals &
Thomas Cook (India) Pharmaceuticals
BSE CODE : 500413 BSE CODE : 506943
RANK RANK
15 16
FACE VALUE (`) : 1 FACE VALUE (`) : 2
MARKET CAP(`/Cr.) : 7942.4 MARKET CAP(`/Cr.) : 2673.1
CMP (`) : 206.8 CMP (`) : 323.3
Financial Snapshot Financial Snapshot
Sales Operating Net profit ROCE ROE Sales Operating Net profit ROCE ROE
(` Cr) profit (` Cr) (` Cr) (%) (%) (` Cr) profit (` Cr) (` Cr) (%) (%)
11248.3 6223.1 6114.7 99.7 120.8 1414.3 197.4 138.7 13.7 9.9
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
22.6
207.1 Promoters : 67 20.6 Promoters : 56.1
Non-institutional Non-institutional
71.9 and others : 12.9 8.1 and others : 22.7
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
9
Promoters : 62.3 Promoters : 0
6.6
44.4 Institutions : 9.1 5.8 Institutions : 67.5
798.3 267 192.5 47.6 35.8 3033.7 429.3 323.1 21.3 16.2
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
18.3 16.1
Promoters : 75 Promoters : 30.5
16
Institutions : 15.2 Institutions : 43.1
10.6
Non-institutional Non-institutional
6.7
and others : 9.9 5.8 and others : 26.5
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
1713.4 302.4 190.8 26.7 18.2 781.8 193.9 143.2 20.6 15.9
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
14.1
Promoters : 74.8 Promoters : 33.8
21.3
Institutions : 21.6 Institutions : 49.4
Navin Fluorine
Shoppers Stop International
BSE CODE : 532638 BSE CODE : 532504
RANK RANK
23 24
FACE VALUE (`) : 5 FACE VALUE (`) : 2
MARKET CAP(`/Cr.) : 4230.1 MARKET CAP(`/Cr.) : 2968.9
CMP (`) : 481 CMP (`) : 585.8
Financial Snapshot Financial Snapshot
Sales Operating Net profit ROCE ROE Sales Operating Net profit ROCE ROE
(` Cr) profit (` Cr) (` Cr) (%) (%) (` Cr) profit (` Cr) (` Cr) (%) (%)
4122.1 356.3 273.9 29.8 39.7 925.3 267.7 182.5 28.9 20.1
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
77.5 37.5
Promoters : 63.7 35.2 Promoters : 31
Non-institutional Non-institutional
and others : 11.7 and others : 35.4
15.5
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
1348.1 127.1 114.7 13.9 17.8 308.9 156.9 101.2 26.1 16.9
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
78.9 12.3
Promoters : 51.9 Promoters : 51.9
10.1
Institutions : 33 Institutions : 37.9
49.6
Non-institutional Non-institutional
and others : 14.8 and others : 9.9
20.2 2.2
TOTAL : 100 TOTAL : 100
As on 31-Dec-18 As on 31-Dec-18
Federal-Mogul Goetze
(India) Finolex Cables
BSE CODE : 505744 BSE CODE : 500144
RANK RANK
27 28
FACE VALUE (`) : 10 FACE VALUE (`) : 2
MARKET CAP(`/Cr.) : 2670.6 MARKET CAP(`/Cr.) : 6382.9
CMP (`) : 482.5 CMP (`) : 393.3
Financial Snapshot Financial Snapshot
Sales Operating Net profit ROCE ROE Sales Operating Net profit ROCE ROE
(` Cr) profit (` Cr) (` Cr) (%) (%) (` Cr) profit (` Cr) (` Cr) (%) (%)
1359.8 162.1 96.2 22.8 14.6 2884.2 478.2 257.7 20.9 11.3
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
27.7
Promoters : 75 Promoters : 37.3
85.6
Institutions : 13.8 79.7 Institutions : 27
19
Non-institutional Non-institutional
and others : 11.2 and others : 35.7
45.5
1.7 TOTAL : 100 TOTAL : 100
As on 31-Dec-18 As on 31-Dec-18
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
3392.9 708.2 465.4 83.7 55.8 6941.6 644.2 371.6 35.2 20.3
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
Promoters : 43.8 Promoters : 70.6
59.4 60.7
Institutions : 34.1 14.7 Institutions : 15.5
14.3
Non-institutional Non-institutional
and others : 22.1 9.6 and others : 13.9
31.6
TOTAL : 100 TOTAL : 100
As on 31-Dec-18 As on 31-Dec-18
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
94
Promoters : 51.6 4.8 Promoters : 74.7
Non-institutional Non-institutional
32.9 1.7
and others : 42.5 1.5 and others : 18.4
20.6
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
269.1
Promoters : 57.6 9.1 Promoters : 73
Advanced Enzyme
NIIT Technologies Technologies
BSE CODE : 532541 BSE CODE : 540025
RANK RANK
35 36
FACE VALUE (`) : 10 FACE VALUE (`) : 2
MARKET CAP(`/Cr.) : 8188.8 MARKET CAP(`/Cr.) : 1682
CMP (`) : 1317.9 CMP (`) : 149.2
Financial Snapshot Financial Snapshot
Sales Operating Net profit ROCE ROE Sales Operating Net profit ROCE ROE
(` Cr) profit (` Cr) (` Cr) (%) (%) (` Cr) profit (` Cr) (` Cr) (%) (%)
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
45.3
Promoters : 30.6 Promoters : 67.3
37.2
6.7 6.7 Institutions : 56.1 Institutions : 11.7
6.4
Non-institutional Non-institutional
and others : 13.3 12.4 and others : 21
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
1453.8 229 150.9 24.3 16.1 1449.4 191.9 126.8 42.8 28.3
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
23.1
16.4 Promoters : 58.3 21.8 Promoters : 53.5
15.6
Institutions : 19.6 Institutions : 18.6
720.9 187.1 118.9 29.3 19.1 2782.6 379.4 228.6 26.1 18.2
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
14.9
Promoters : 57.4 Promoters : 47.6
17.9
18
12.1
16.6 Institutions : 26.4 Institutions : 35.4
Non-institutional Non-institutional
8.3
and others : 16.2 and others : 17.1
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
Promoters : 67.7 Promoters : 54.1
10.2 26
Institutions : 27.2 Institutions : 2.4
9.8
Non-institutional Non-institutional
9 19.3
and others : 5.1 and others : 43.5
17.9
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
126.4 451.4
Promoters : 41 Promoters : 49.3
423.5
Institutions : 22.5 Institutions : 0
Non-institutional Non-institutional
and others : 36.5 and others : 50.7
30
12.4 218.1
TOTAL : 100 TOTAL : 100
As on 31-Dec-18 As on 31-Dec-18
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
1135.2 148.5 126.7 10.6 11.2 6167.3 337.6 309.4 12.2 18.8
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
Promoters : 44.6 Promoters : 71.4
122.2 100.7
106.4 Institutions : 20.4 Institutions : 19.7
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
28.9
Promoters : 66.5 24.2 Promoters : 32.8
22.6
Institutions : 12.1 Institutions : 26.6
Non-institutional Non-institutional
12.2
and others : 21.4 and others : 40.6
6.5
2.1 TOTAL : 100 TOTAL : 100
As on 31-Dec-18 As on 31-Dec-18
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
6270.4 255.9 123.5 14.2 11.2 989.3 255.9 169.9 25.9 17.4
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
63.4
65.8 Promoters : 40.4 Promoters : 33.8
48.6
Institutions : 28.7 Institutions : 11
Non-institutional Non-institutional
35.5
and others : 30.9 and others : 55.2
28.7
11.3
TOTAL : 100 TOTAL : 100
As on 31-Dec-18 As on 31-Dec-18
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
Promoters : 22.1 Promoters : 70.5
15.4 19
Institutions : 67 Institutions : 19.7
16.5
13.7
Non-institutional 15.1 Non-institutional
12.9
and others : 10.9 and others : 9.8
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
1891 383.8 291.8 48.6 40.2 2328.5 495.2 324 27.1 18.5
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
125.4
Promoters : 75 5.8 Promoters : 71.6
Non-institutional Non-institutional
1.9
and others : 22 and others : 7.8
1.4
17
TOTAL : 100 TOTAL : 100
As on 31-Dec-18 As on 31-Dec-18
828.5 271 211.1 53.4 42.8 839.3 121.6 88.8 6.7 5.3
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
Promoters : 66.9 251 Promoters : 38.2
9.1 218
8.8 Institutions : 29 Institutions : 4.8
Non-institutional Non-institutional
5.4 and others : 4.1 and others : 57
41.8
TOTAL : 100 TOTAL : 100
As on 31-Dec-18 As on 31-Dec-18
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
48 6.5
5.9
Promoters : 85.7 Promoters : 69.1
38.3
Institutions : 11.7 Institutions : 14.1
Non-institutional Non-institutional
2.3
and others : 2.6 and others : 16.9
9.5
TOTAL : 100 TOTAL : 100
As on 31-Dec-18 As on 31-Dec-18
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
56.3
Promoters : 42.7 21.2 Promoters : 42.4
6.1 1.7
TOTAL : 100 TOTAL : 100
As on 31-Dec-18 As on 31-Dec-18
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
23.1
Promoters : 45.3 Promoters : 50.5
23.8
15.8 Institutions : 29.8 Institutions : 18.5
21.2
12.1
Non-institutional Non-institutional
17.4
and others : 25 and others : 31.1
Mahindra CIE
Ashiana Housing Automotive
BSE CODE : 523716 BSE CODE : 532756
RANK RANK
63 64
FACE VALUE (`) : 2 FACE VALUE (`) : 10
MARKET CAP(`/Cr.) : 1166.3 MARKET CAP(`/Cr.) : 8912.8
CMP (`) : 112 CMP (`) : 232.4
Financial Snapshot Financial Snapshot
Sales Operating Net profit ROCE ROE Sales Operating Net profit ROCE ROE
(` Cr) profit (` Cr) (` Cr) (%) (%) (` Cr) profit (` Cr) (` Cr) (%) (%)
321.3 62.6 38.2 7.3 5.1 6663 561.2 358.4 11.7 10.3
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
30.5
Promoters : 61 Promoters : 67.7
198.8
22.6 Institutions : 8.8 Institutions : 17
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
55.1
40.8 Promoters : 50.7 Promoters : 74.2
47.4
33 Institutions : 8.5 Institutions : 2.9
Non-institutional Non-institutional
and others : 40.8 and others : 22.8
6.5 19.6
TOTAL : 100 TOTAL : 100
As on 31-Dec-18 As on 31-Dec-18
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
9.4 91.7
9.2 Promoters : 72.3 Promoters : 62.2
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
259.8 147.2 108.4 10.7 7.9 557.6 93.2 63.8 27.4 19.5
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
Promoters : 0 20.4 Promoters : 69
Non-institutional Non-institutional
and others : 30.7 and others : 31
-6.5 4.8
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
162.7 Promoters : 64.9 Promoters : 41.7
40.4
Institutions : 12.6 Institutions : 20.1
35.1
Non-institutional Non-institutional
and others : 22.5 30.2 and others : 38.2
33.9
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
Promoters : 28.2 42.1
24.7 25.4 Promoters : 72.9
Non-institutional Non-institutional
18
11.9 and others : 48.8 and others : 24.6
6.6
TOTAL : 100 TOTAL : 100
As on 31-Dec-18 As on 31-Dec-18
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
12.9
67.9 Promoters : 65.2 Promoters : 50.6
58.2
Institutions : 16.7 Institutions : 41.2
Non-institutional Non-institutional
and others : 18.1 and others : 8.3
3.4 3.2
12.1
TOTAL : 100 TOTAL : 100
As on 31-Dec-18 As on 31-Dec-18
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
4791 240 213.8 18.2 20.9 2180.9 299.8 166.2 10.2 7.3
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
32.8 26.6
Promoters : 60.6 Promoters : 61.8
25
Institutions : 14.6 Institutions : 10.8
13.6 14.5
Non-institutional Non-institutional
and others : 24.9 and others : 27.5
-1.2
TOTAL : 100 TOTAL : 100
As on 31-Dec-18 As on 31-Dec-18
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
22.6
Promoters : 58.8 36.7 Promoters : 55.4
36.1
Non-institutional Non-institutional
16.3
and others : 17.2 and others : 12.9
23.3
TOTAL : 100 TOTAL : 100
As on 31-Dec-18 As on 31-Dec-18
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
503.2 151.4 136.5 23.3 21.9 1646.6 199.9 115.4 32.1 20.5
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
51.8
9.9 Promoters : 72.5 Promoters : 58
8.6
Institutions : 13.3 34.9 Institutions : 37.5
Non-institutional Non-institutional
4
and others : 14.2 14.4 and others : 4.6
Lakshmi Machine
Dhampur Sugar Mills Works
BSE CODE : 500119 BSE CODE : 500252
RANK RANK
83 84
FACE VALUE (`) : 10 FACE VALUE (`) : 10
MARKET CAP(`/Cr.) : 1611.9 MARKET CAP(`/Cr.) : 6283
CMP (`) : 230.3 CMP (`) : 5707.7
Financial Snapshot Financial Snapshot
Sales Operating Net profit ROCE ROE Sales Operating Net profit ROCE ROE
(` Cr) profit (` Cr) (` Cr) (%) (%) (` Cr) profit (` Cr) (` Cr) (%) (%)
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
141.8 3.2
Promoters : 49.1 2.9 Promoters : 30.8
Non-institutional Non-institutional
54 1.2
and others : 48.2 and others : 48.7
15.7
TOTAL : 100 TOTAL : 100
As on 31-Dec-18 As on 31-Dec-18
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
888.3 434.8 229.7 14.6 10.4 611.1 113.9 73.9 22.3 15.7
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
10.7
Promoters : 67 42.4 Promoters : 52.4
35.9
Institutions : 27.7 Institutions : 8.5
5.9
Non-institutional Non-institutional
and others : 5.4 and others : 39.1
-1 7.6
TOTAL : 100 TOTAL : 100
As on 31-Dec-18 As on 31-Dec-18
Jamna Auto
Force Motors Industries
BSE CODE : 500033 BSE CODE : 520051
RANK RANK
87 88
FACE VALUE (`) : 10 FACE VALUE (`) : 1
MARKET CAP(`/Cr.) : 2107.7 MARKET CAP(`/Cr.) : 2339
CMP (`) : 1376.1 CMP (`) : 52.4
Financial Snapshot Financial Snapshot
Sales Operating Net profit ROCE ROE Sales Operating Net profit ROCE ROE
(` Cr) profit (` Cr) (` Cr) (%) (%) (` Cr) profit (` Cr) (` Cr) (%) (%)
3531.4 207.3 147.2 11.3 8.5 1757.3 206.5 125.3 46.3 33.1
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
30.2 73.5
Promoters : 61.9 Promoters : 47.9
17.2
Non-institutional Non-institutional
11.3 and others : 30.3 and others : 39.3
18.4
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
811.7 49.1 31.6 14.8 10.3 3588 353.3 284.1 10.8 11.7
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
54
Promoters : 51.8 Promoters : 50
1.5 Institutions : 11.5 Institutions : 7.1
36.6
Non-institutional Non-institutional
and others : 36.7 and others : 42.9
-4.6
970.5 54.2 39.5 7.5 5.5 503 99.7 82.4 16.9 13.9
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
0.2 12.5
Promoters : 33.1 Promoters : 42.4
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
5916.6 1261.6 789.5 23.7 18.9 10315.8 1485.8 891.7 30.7 23.4
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
Promoters : 41.2 24.3 Promoters : 65.9
24.7 22
Institutions : 26.3 Institutions : 6.7
23.7
Non-institutional Non-institutional
22.4 and others : 32.5 8.7 and others : 27.4
Eveready Industries
(India) Deepak Nitrite
BSE CODE : 531508 BSE CODE : 506401
RANK RANK
95 96
FACE VALUE (`) : 5 FACE VALUE (`) : 2
MARKET CAP(`/Cr.) : 1427.2 MARKET CAP(`/Cr.) : 3184.8
CMP (`) : 197.6 CMP (`) : 226.6
Financial Snapshot Financial Snapshot
Sales Operating Net profit ROCE ROE Sales Operating Net profit ROCE ROE
(` Cr) profit (` Cr) (` Cr) (%) (%) (` Cr) profit (` Cr) (` Cr) (%) (%)
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
Promoters : 44.4 67.5 Promoters : 44.6
40.6
Institutions : 33.9 Institutions : 25.3
Non-institutional Non-institutional
16.2 and others : 21.8 55.9 and others : 30.1
54.6
5
TOTAL : 100 TOTAL : 100
As on 31-Dec-18 As on 31-Dec-18
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
816.6 213.5 140.9 23.1 15.2 3246.5 724.3 434.4 22.2 20.7
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
8.6 15.8
Promoters : 54.5 Promoters : 58.8
14.2
7
Institutions : 7.2 Institutions : 10.3
Non-institutional Non-institutional
and others : 38.3 and others : 30.9
-1.2 2.8
TOTAL : 100 TOTAL : 100
As on 31-Dec-18 As on 31-Dec-18
521.7 107.1 69.4 25.4 22.7 8390.6 685.2 145.4 11.3 3.9
5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern 5 Year CAGR (%) Shareholding Pattern
93.6
Promoters : 48.8 Promoters : 18.1
Data Souce : ACE Equity Market Cap and CMP as on February 27, 2019.
HOLD HOLD
BSE/NSE Code 532783 / DAAWAT BSE Code 539332 / NAVKARCORP
Face Value `1 Face Value `10
CMP `37.25 CMP `46.45
52-Week High `99.75 / Low `31.50 52-Week High `185.00 / Low `37.05
Your Current (46.78 per cent) Your Current (21.83 per cent)
Profit/(Loss) Profit/(Loss)
L N
T Foods is a specialty food company engaged in milling, avkar Corporation is engaged in the business of container
processing and marketing of branded Basmati rice and freight station (CFS). The company enjoys a major
manufacturing of rice food products. The company presence in the logistics space in western India. The
operations include contract farming, storage, procurement, company’s principal product and service include cargo handling,
processing, packaging and distribution. The company has a large cargo storage, maintenance and repairs of containers. The
rice product portfolio including brown rice, white rice, steamed company has 3 CFSs with an aggregate installed capacity of
rice, pot boiled rice, among others. The company owns some 310,000 twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs) per annum. The
famous brands, namely, Daawat, Gold Seal Indus Valley, Rozana company provides cold storage facilities at its CFS and custom
and 817 Elephant. LT Foods reported consolidated sales of clearance services, handling and temporary storage of import/
`1113.93 crore in Q3FY19, up by 20.06 per cent as against export laden and empty containers. The company reported net
`927.78 crore in the corresponding quarter last year. The net sales of `123.37 crore in Q3FY19, up by 42.69 per cent, as against
profit for the company came in at `38.47 crore, up 2.39 per cent `86.46 crore in the corresponding quarter last year. The company
as against `37.57 crore in the corresponding quarter last year. The reported a net profit of `9.19 crore in Q3FY19, down 63.26 per
company’s PBT stood at `65.82 crore, up 16 per cent as against cent as against `25.02 crore in the corresponding quarter last year.
`56.74 crore in the corresponding quarter last year. On the The PBT for the company came in at `15.68 crore in Q3FY19 as
annual front, the company reported sales of `3613.70 crore in against `31.54 crore in the corresponding quarter last year. On the
FY18 on a consolidated basis, up by 11.36 per cent as against annual front, the company’s net sales came in at `428.27 crore for
`3244.78 crore in FY17. The net profit for the company came in at FY18 as against `370.91 crore in FY17, registering a growth of
`136.42 crore in FY18 as against `117.52 crore in FY17, register- 15.43 per cent. The net profit for the company jumped 13.66 per
ing a growth of 16.08 per cent. The PBT for the company stood at cent to `100.92 crore as against `88.79 crore in FY17. We believe
`216.24 crore in FY18 as against `194.46 crore in FY17, register- that the company would witness improvement its performance in
ing a growth of 11.2 per cent. We recommend a HOLD as the the coming quarter which in turn would improve investors’
company’s financials in the latest quarter showed recovery. sentiments. Thus we recommend a HOLD.
Readers are requested to send only one query at a time so that more readers get a chance. For complaints regarding non-receipt of
dividend, bonus, rights and other matters, investors may write to www.investor.sebi.gov.in
HOLD HOLD
BSE/NSE Code 541179 / ISEC BSE/NSE Code 500570 / TATAMOTORS
Face Value `5 Face Value `2
CMP `230.50 CMP `189.20
52-Week High `462.70 / Low `188.00 52-Week High `372.40 / Low `141.90
Your Current (55.67 per cent) Your Current --
Profit/(Loss) Profit/(Loss)
I T
CICI Securities Limited offers a range of financial services ata Motors is an automobile company engaged mostly in
including brokerage, financial product distribution and the business of automobile products consisting of all
investment banking and focuses on both retail and types of commercial as well as passenger vehicles,
institutional clients. The company’s segments include broking and including financing of the vehicles sold by the company. The
commission, which consists of equity, currency and derivative company’s segments include automotive operations and all
brokerage services, distribution of third-party products, research, other operations. The company’s automotive segments include
and fees from financial planning. Another segment is the activities pertaining to the development, design, manufacture,
advisory services, which consist of equity capital markets assembly and sale of vehicles, including vehicle financing, as
services and financial advisory services that cater to corporate well as sale of related parts and accessories. In the automotive
clients, the government and financial sponsors. The investment segment, the company manufactures and sells passenger cars,
and trading segment consists of treasury and proprietary trading utility vehicles, light commercial vehicles, and medium and
activities. heavy commercial vehicles.
On the financial front on a consolidated basis, the net sales stood On the financial front, on a consolidated basis, the net sales stood
at `404.75, posting a drop of 18.04 per cent in Q3FY19 as against at `76,264.69 crore in Q3FY19 as compared to `72,083.91 crore
`493.85 crore in the same quarter of the previous year. The profit in the same quarter of the previous year, witnessing a growth of
before interest depreciation and tax (PBIDT) came in at `170.43 5.80 per cent. The PBIDT of the company in the third quarter of
crore in the quarter ending December 2018, showing a fall of 32.19 FY19 came in at `6,040.64 crore as against `7,753.38 crore,
per cent from `251.34 crore in the same period of the previous portraying a 22 per cent drop YoY. Also, the company posted a
year. The profit after tax (PAT) for Q3FY19 was reported at net loss of `26,823.22 crore for the latest quarter ending
`101.17 crore, reflecting a drop of 34 per cent from `153.94 crore December 2018 as against a net profit of `961.42 crore in the
in the corresponding period of the previous fiscal. corresponding quarter of the previous year.
On the annual front, the company posted net sales of `1,859.33 On the annual front, the company posted net sales of
crore in FY18, an increase of 32 per cent from `1,404.23 crore in `2,94,619.18 crore in FY18 as against `2,69,692.51 crore in
FY17. The PBIDT was reported at `919.66 crore, reflecting an FY17, a rise of 9 per cent. The PBIDT came in at `35,415.27
expansion of 62 per cent in FY18 from `566.46 crore reported in crore as against `30,343.23 crore in FY17, thereby expanding by
FY17. The PAT stood at `557.73 crore in FY18, showing a rise of 17 per cent. The PAT in FY18 was reported at `6,813.10, an
65 per cent as compared to `338.59 crore in FY17. increase of 12 per cent from `6,063.56 crore in FY17. On the
valuation front, the company is trading at a P/E of 56.75x as
On the valuation front, the company is trading at a P/E of 14.06 as against the industry PE of 15.68x. The return on capital
against the industry PE of 23.42x. The return on capital employed employed (RoCE) for the company stood at 9.87 per cent and
(RoCE) for the company stood at 75.63 per cent and the return on the return on equity (ROE) stood at 8.88 per cent.
equity (ROE) stood at 84.26 per cent.
We recommend a HOLD only if the investor-reader has a
Looking at the above mentioned reasons, we would recommend holding capacity for a longer period of approximately 2-3 years,
our reader-investors to HOLD and can exit at the level of `270. as partial recovery is possible although full recovery is unlikely.
HOLD EXIT
BSE/NSE Code 532321 / CADILAHC BSE/NSE Code 500008 / AMARAJABAT
Face Value `1 Face Value `1
CMP `327.10 CMP `744.05
52-Week High `432.40 / Low `306.35 52-Week High `907.75 / Low `670.65
Your Current -- Your Current 2.76 per cent
Profit/(Loss) Profit/(Loss)
C A
adila Healthcare operates in areas of active mara Raja Batteries Limited is engaged in the
pharmaceutical ingredients (API) to formulations and manufacture of lead acid storage batteries for industrial
animal health products to cosmeceuticals. The company and automotive purposes in India. The company’s
has in-licensing alliances with global multinationals such as products are supplied to various user segments, such as telecom,
Schering AG, Boehringer Ingelheim, Viatris, etc. Its product railways, power control, solar and uninterruptible power supply
range includes formulations that cater to various therapeutic (UPS) under industrial battery business and to automobile
areas such as cardiovascular, gastrointestinal, respiratory, pain original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), replacement
management, CNS, anti-infectives, oncology, neurosciences, market and private label customers under automotive battery
dermatology and nephrology segments and consumer product business. The company also provides installation,
division-brands like Sugar Free, Nutralite and Everyuth. commissioning and maintenance services. The company’s
automotive and industrial battery brands include Amaron,
On the consolidated financial front, the net sales have gone up PowerZone, etc.
by 10.58 per cent to `3,516 crore in the quarter ending
December 2018 from `3,179 crore reported in the same quarter On the financial front, on a consolidated basis, the company
of the previous fiscal. The profit before interest depreciation and reported net sales of `1,694.66 crore in Q3FY19, an increase of
tax (PBIDT) came in at `839 crore in Q3FY19 as against 9.09 per cent from `1553.46 crore in the same quarter of the
`858.6 crore in Q3FY18, displaying a fall of 2 per cent. In terms previous year. The profit before interest depreciation and tax
of profit after tax (PAT), the company witnessed a drop of (PBIDT) stood at `252.77 crore in the third quarter of fiscal year
almost 6 per cent as it stood at `513 crore in Q3FY19 as against 2019 as against `134.45 crore reported in the same quarter of the
`545.4 crore in Q3FY18. The PAT margin has fallen to 14.34 per previous year, reflectiong a 4.63 per cent growth. The profit after
cent in Q3FY19 from 16.73 per cent in Q3FY18. tax (PAT) in Q3FY19 stood at `130.89 crore as compared to
`134.45 crore in the corresponding quarter of the previous year
On the annual front, the net sales shot up 27 per cent to showing a marginal fall of 2 per cent. The PAT margin stood at
`11,904 crore in FY18 as against `9,376.5 crore in FY18. In 7.72 per cent in Q3FY19 as against 8.65 per cent in Q3FY18.
FY18, the PBIDT has gone up 45 per cent to `2,961.60 crore as
against `2,048.66 crore in FY17. The PAT jumped 18 per cent to On the annual front, the net sales expanded by 14 per cent at
`1,747.60 crore in FY18 as compared to `1,483 crore reported `6,059.15 crore in FY18 versus `5,317.15 crore in FY17. The
in FY 17. On the valuation front, the company is currently PBIDT stood at `949.60 in FY18, a growth of 6 per cent as
trading at a PE multiple of 17.07x while the industry PE stood compared to `899.15 crore in FY17. The PAT however
at 22.10x. The ROCE stood at 18.41 per cent and the ROE was marginally fell by 1 per cent to `471.32 crore in FY18 as against
at 22.26 per cent. `478.49 crore in FY17.
The company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record Currently, the 4-wheeler and 2-wheeler segments are
in three years at 27.16 per cent. It also has a healthy dividend experiencing lacklustre demand due to rising cost of insurance
payout of 19.72 per cent. After reviewing the company we and increasing cost of new safety measures. Therefore, it would
would recommend a HOLD keeping in mind the growth be a good call to EXIT and book the profits now.
trajectory of the company’s financials. (Closing price as of Mar 07, 2019)
T
he board of directors of Mahindra CIE Automotive has approved the acquisition
of 100 per cent of the issued and outstanding share capital of Aurangabad
Electricals and authorized the signing of a share purchase agreement. The
acquired firm’s revenues and PAT for FY18 were `651 crore and `34.4 crore,
respectively, while its long-term borrowings was at `88 crore.
For this acquisition, the company would pay `830 crore in cash. The said acquisition is
expected to be completed before April 10, 2019. The company’s management believes
that this acquisition would lead to the company’s entry into the automotive aluminium
die-casting segment and increase strength in the two-wheeler segment.
NBCC Secures Four Orders
From Raipur SMART City
S
Adani Enterprises Subsidiary Secures Two Road Projects tate-owned infrastructure
A
company, NBCC (India) secured
dani Transport, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Adani Enterprises, has received four orders from Raipur SMART
Letter of Awards for 2 hybrid annuity road projects (HAM) from National City Limited (RSCL). The company will
Highways Authority of India (NHAI) in the state of Telangana. charge project management consultancy
fees at the rate of 8 per cent on the actual
These projects include four laning of NH-363 from Mancherial to Repallewada under cost of work as per the terms of the
NHDP Phase-IV on HAM and also four laning of Suryapet to Khammam of NH365BB agreement.
under Bharatmala Pariyojana on HAM in the state of Telangana. These projects are
worth `1,356.9 crore and `1,566.3 crore, respectively. Three of the four orders are for the
commercial redevelopment of Ganj
Adani Enterprises consolidated net profit declined by 72 per cent to `80.09 crore in the Mandi, Shastri Mandi and Naveen
quarter ended December 2018 as against `286.97 crore YoY. This decline in profitability markets in Raipur. These projects have a
was on account of higher expenses. The company’s total income stood at `10,548.14 total estimated cost of `700 crore. The
crore in the quarter ended December 2018 as against `9,241.61 YoY, registering a other order is for the development of
growth of 11.43 per cent. Adani Enterprises has forayed into new sectors like two vacant lands in Raipur.
petrochemicals and technology earlier this year.
The company has a presence across
three main segments namely, Project
Management Consultancy (PMC), Real
PSP Projects Bags Orders Worth `601.21 Crore Estate Development and EPC
Contracting. The PMC segment
P
SP Projects has received work orders worth `601.21 from multiple clients. contributes 88 per cent to the company’s
The company will carry out the order for industrial, institutional, government revenues and has an order book of
and residential projects from various clients. A major chunk of order is received almost `85,000 crore. The company has
from Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad for Construction and won projects worth `8,311.68 crore for
Implementation Work of its Faculty Houses, Student Dormitories and Staff Houses the April-December 2018 period. The
New Academic Block, JSW School of Public Policy and Sports Complex for a contract company also made an entry into
value of `328 crore. The remaining orders have come in from other major clients like large-scale residential projects with the
Cadila Healthcare, MRF, Gujarat Cancer Society, Torrent Pharmaceuticals, CEPT Supreme Court handing over
University etc. incomplete projects of the private
builder, Amrapali Group to the
PSP Projects is an Ahmedabad-based multi-disciplinary construction firm which company.
provides its services ranging from planning and design for construction as well as
post-construction activities.
S
tandard Life will sell 4.93 per cent stake in HDFC Life Insurance for `3,570 crore
in order to comply with the public shareholding norm. Standard Life is the joint
venture partner in HDFC Life Insurance. Standard life holds 29.2 per cent whereas
HDFC holds 51.5 per cent.
Standard Life sold 7 crore shares which is 3.47 per cent of the total equity of HDFC Life
Insurance company on March 12 through an offer for sale. There is an option to offload
an additional 2.95 crore shares or 1.46 per cent of equity in case of oversubscription.
The floor price of `357.5 per share is at an 8.2 per cent discount to Monday’s closing
price of `389.8 per share.
As per SEBI’s minimum public shareholding norms, promoters of HDFC Life Insurance
Company need to reduce 5.71 per cent stake before November 2020. At present, the
combined shareholding of the joint venture partners stands at 80.71 per cent. Standard
Life’s stake in HDFC Life will drop to 24.27 per cent.
Future Retail To Focus On
Capacite Infra Secures Orders Worth `486 Crore Big Bazaar Expansion
C F
uture Retail plans to spend around
apacit’e Infraprojects has received an order from Municipal Corporation of `150-200 crore per year to expand
Greater Mumbai to redevelop Harilal Bhagwati Municipal General Hospital at Big Bazaar outlets in the Eastern
Borivali. The said order amounts to `486.81 crore. region. The region contributes nearly 25
per cent to the company’s total revenue,
Capacite’s order book (excluding MHADA) as on December 31, 2018, stood at `7,519 said a media report quoting top official.
crore. This strong order book gives revenue visibility for the next 4-5 years. The
residential segment contributes nearly 77 per cent to the order book, while the As on December 31, 2018, the
commercial & institutional segment contributes around 23 per cent. company’s Big Bazaar store count stood
at 286 across 144 cities covering 12.5mn
During the recent quarter Q3FY19, the company’s revenue grew by 22 per cent on YoY sq.ft. During the recent quarter, the
basis, whereas net profit increased marginally by 5.3 per cent on YoY basis. company has added 2 new stores of the
same with area addition of 0.14mn sq.ft.
Capacit’e Infraprojects Limited is a leading building construction company with
presence in MMR, NCR, Bengaluru, Hyderabad, Chennai, Kochi and Pune, with Big Bazaar operates large formats stores
specialisation in the construction of super high rise buildings. which contributed around 85 per cent
to the company’s total revenue with SSG
(Same Sales Growth) at 10.1 per cent in
DLF Plans To Reduce Debt Via QIP Of `3,000 Crore Q3FY19 vs 13.1 per cent in Q3FY18.
The revenue increased by 13 per cent on
D
LF plans to raise `3,000 crore by June by selling equity shares to qualified YoY basis, whereas PAT increased by 10
institutional investors (QIP). DLF is aiming to become a debt-free company. per cent YoY.
The company had announced plans to issue up to 17.3 crore shares via QIP to
raise funds and pre-pay debt. The proceeds from the QIP combined with an additional Future retail promoted by Kishor Biyani
infusion of `2,500 crore from promoters against the issue of warrants would aid in the operates in the various division through
reduction of debt which stood at `7,200 crore in December 2018. The company also its brands like Big Bazaar, a
intends to sell ready to move housing inventories worth `12,500 crore in the next 3-5 hypermarket format; Food Bazaar, a
years. DLF promoters K P Singh and family will pump in `2,250 crore into the company supermarket; fbb, a fashion destination;
in addition to the `9,000 crore already infused by them. The company made a Foodhall, a supermarket, and Easyday
preferential allotment of compulsorily convertible debentures (CCDs) and warrants convenient stores. In terms of home
against the infusion of funds. This infusion, however, would cause the promoter business, the company functions Home
shareholding to exceed the permissible limit of 75 per cent. The QIP will also allow the Town, a one-stop destination for home
company to maintain minimum public shareholding of 25 per cent in the public improvement, and eZone, a consumer
company. The promoters had sold their entire 40 per cent stake in rental arm DLF durables and electronics chain.
Cyber City Developers Ltd (DCCDL) for `11,900 crore and committed to invest this
amount in the company to cut net debt.
W
400
33, issue No. 12, dated May 14–27, 2018, On the financial front, the net sales of the 100
under the ‘Special Report’ section. The company has grown by 22.21 per cent to 0
shares of the company were then trading `2,222 crore in Q3FY19 versus `1818 May- Jun-
18 18
Jul-
18
Aug-
18
Sep- Oct-
18 18
Nov-
18
Dec- Jan-
18 19
Feb-
19
at `504.35. We had recommended the crore in the same quarter of the previous
stock looking at the attractive auto year. The PBDT of the company stood at
finance market and a rise in demand for `1,529 crore in Q3FY19 and witnessed a FY18 was `4352.37, showing a growth
vehicles. rise of 13.02 per cent YoY from of 24 per cent from `3523.52 crore in
`1,353.48 crore. The net profit has FY17. The company has witnessed a
Mahindra & Mahindra Financial however dropped by 19 per cent YoY to substantial 123 per cent increase in PAT
Services Limited is an NBFC. The `318 crore in Q3FY19 versus `396.22 to `891 crore in FY18 as against
company serves the financing needs of crore. `400.23 crore in the previous fiscal.
population residing in rural and Since our recommendation, the share
semi-urban areas of India. The company In annual terms, the net sales have price has fallen by 12 per cent approxi-
provides several retail products and increased by 16 per cent to `7,147 crore mately. The stock is likely to recover as
services, such as financing vehicles for in FY18 as against `6173.91 crore in is evident from the financials. Hence, a
commercial and personal use, tractors, FY17. The PBDT of the company in HOLD is recommended.
W
900
e had recommended Tata from its power plants is approximately
Sponge Iron in volume 33, 160 million kilowatt-hours. 800
issue no 14 dated June 11 - 24,
700
2018, in the ‘Cover Story‘ when the scrip On the financial front, the net sales of the
was trading at `1,088.65. Our company surged 21 per cent on a YoY 600
recommendation was based on high basis and stood at `260 crore in Q3FY19 Jun Jul- Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan- Feb Ma
capacity utilisation, improving financials as against `214.47 crore. The profit before -18 18 -18 -18 -18 -18 -18 19 -19 r-19
of the company and favourable outlook interest, depreciation and tax stood at
for the steel sector. `30.35 crore in Q3FY19, posting a 36 per crore in FY17. Also, the PAT went up
cent dip from `48.11 crore in Q3FY18. by 140 per cent to `140.88 crore in
Tata Sponge Iron Limited is engaged in The profit after tax (PAT) has fallen by 25 FY18.
the production of sponge iron by direct per cent and came in at `26.81 crore in
reduction method of iron ore and Q3FY19 as against `36 crore in the same Since our recommendation, the stock of
generation of power from waste heat. The quarter of the previous year. the company has fallen by over 32 per
company operates mainly through two cent. However, the company we believe
segments, namely, manufacture of On the annual front, the net sales grew would deliver substantial growth in the
sponge iron and generation of power. 44 per cent in FY18 to `800 crore as upcoming quarters. Therefore, we would
The company manufactures sponge iron compared to `557.31 crore in FY17. The like our investor-readers to HOLD the
by Tisco Direct Reduction technology. PBIDT exceeded 129 per cent to stock. DS
The company’s total generation of power `225.76 crore in FY18 versus `98.71 (Closing price as of Mar 11, 2019)
GOOD QUARTER
PVR owns and operates multiplexes across
PVR 19 states and UTs with a total of 748
BSE Code: 532689 screens. The company generates income
CMP: `1634.70 from the following segments: box office
(ticket revenue), food & beverages and
advertisements. The company’s revenues for Q3FY19 jumped 53 per
cent YoY to `857.3 crore, which is mainly attributed to higher
footfalls and improvement in occupancy rates on a YoY basis. The
advertisement revenue grew by 16 per cent YoY. Ad growth of 15 per
cent is achievable and management expects advertising to remain
strong in Q4. Our sources expect the Q4FY19 to be a good quarter.
Hence, one can accumulate this stock for some blockbuster gains in
the short-medium term.
Balkrishna Industries
facebook.com/DSIJin twitter.com/DSIJ
Exit Strategy
Equity MF—The Best Wealth It has always been a tough task for me as to when should I am
supposed to exit MFs. In the previous issue, your cover story
“When should you exit from your mutual fund” helped me in
Creating Asset Class that respect. Now looking forward for the next issue. Keep up
with the good work.
T
- Swati Gupta
he Indian equity markets might have got their
mojo back. This is reflected in the rise of the key Editor Responds: Thank you for writing to us. We understand
equity indices. They are up by 3 per cent to 10 exiting from a fund is as tough decision as entering the fund
per cent in a month till date. The overall market therefore we wanted to deal with this in most comprehensive
cap of the listed companies has increased by almost 5 per manner. Stay tuned for other insightful stories.
cent during this period. It has added `6.4 lakh crore of
market cap in the last seven trading sessions ending March
12, 2019. It is almost equivalent to total assets under
management (AUMs) of equity schemes at the end of
February 2019. Content
Such a rise in the equity markets has lifted the net asset
values of almost all the funds. This, we believe, will help in
Cover Story
halting the fall in the inflows in equity mutual funds that
we are witnessing currently. The month of February saw 15 Mutual Fund
MF Page
2
mutual fund inflows falling to `5,122 crore, hitting a
25-month low. Historically, equities remain one of the best Wealth-Creators
wealth creating asset classes in the long run. However, in
the short run, you may see some uncertainty or volatility
in returns. This should not make you shy away from
investing in equity funds. Our cover story this time shows Financial Planning MF Page
14
how equity MFs have created wealth for their investors.
But it demands discipline.
Mutual Fund
Wealth-Creators
H
ow many times you have experienced that, while having their investors in the long run. For example, SBI Small Cap
your lunch or dinner in a restaurant, even if the starters Fund in the last five years ending December 2018 has generated
and main course were not so impressive, if the dessert annualised return of almost 30%. What this means that if you
was awesome, you are more likely to assign a better rating to the had invested `1 lakh at the start of 2014, it would have become
restaurant. This happens with most of us because the `3.69 lakh at the end of 2018, almost 3.7 times your original
conditioning of our brain is such that it is the last experience that investment. This despite the year 2018 being one of the worst
matters the most in your future decision making. years for small-cap companies and mutual funds since 2008.
This fund alone had witnessed a fall of 16 per cent in 2018.
The same thing happens to your investment decision also. The Therefore, we can see that mutual fund investments in the long
latest returns or performance of an asset class determines how term generate wealth for their investors.
you view its future returns and whether you should invest or
avoid investing in it. The equity market and its corollary the In the following pages, we are listing down the top 5 funds in
equity mutual funds have generated—most of them, if not all— terms of returns from each major equity fund category, namely,
negative returns in the last one year. This has led many of you to large-cap, mid-cap and small-cap. To arrive at this list, we have
tighten your purse strings and moderate your investments in considered the change in NAV in the last five years ending
mutual funds. Currently, the inflows into the equity funds are at December 2018. Our analysis of historical returns shows that
two-year low, which stands testimony to the slowdown. small-cap funds have generated the best returns in the last five
However, if you overcome this bias, you can see the clear years, followed by the mid-cap and large-cap funds. This was
picture and can make a rational investment decision. even after 2018 being a good year for the large-cap funds as, on
The mutual funds have generated one of the best returns for an average, these funds created positive returns.
These are not our recommended list of schemes and the usual disclaimer of 'past returns may not be repeated in future' applies to these funds also.
TOP 3 Sectors The fund has consciously avoided momentum investing and
SECTOR % TO NET ASSETS overpaying for companies for short term gains. The emphasis on
Financial 35.48 right businesses along with right valuations with a medium term investment
Healthcare 11.26 horizon has been critical to fund's wealth creation journey.
Engineering 9.66
Sailesh Raj Bhan, Deputy CIO - Equity Investments, Reliance Mutual Fund
Comparative Performance Between
Fund & Benchmark 2014-01-02 / 2018-12-31 Average Rolling Returns (%)
2.2
18.00
Reliance Large Cap
S&P BSE 100 - TRI 16.87
2.0
17.00
15.85
1.8
16.00
1.6 15.00
1.4 14.00
13.02
1.2 13.00
1.0 12.00
1-Year Average Rolling 3-Year Average Rolling 5-Year Rolling Return
Return Return
Jan 02 2014 Jan 01 2015 Jan 01 2016 Jan 02 2017 Jan 01 2018 Dec 31 2018
* Expected one year return is based on the assumption that current holdings remain constant.
1.8
Average Rolling Returns (%)
16.00
1.6 15.67
15.50 15.17
1.4 15.00
14.50
1.2 14.00
13.57
13.50
1.0 13.00
12.50
1-Year Average Rolling 3-Year Average Rolling 5-Year Rolling Return
Jan 02 2014 Jan 01 2015 Jan 01 2016 Jan 02 2017 Jan 01 2018 Dec 31 2018 Return Return
TOP 3 Sectors
Bottom-up approach in stock picking coupled with
SECTOR % TO NET ASSETS
aggressive position in high conviction stocks have aided
Financial 29.47
the fund in terms of its performance.
Energy 15.73
Technology 9.41 Anish Tawakley, Head of Research, ICICI Prudential AMC
Comparative Performance Between
Fund & Benchmark 2014-01-02 / 2018-12-31 Average Rolling Returns (%)
2.0 ICICI Prudential Bluechip Fund
NIFTY 100 - TRI
15.00 14.64
1.8
14.50
13.88
14.00
1.6 13.50
13.00
1.4 12.51
12.50
1.2
12.00
11.50
1.0 11.00
1-Year Average Rolling 3-Year Average Rolling 5-Year Rolling Return
Return Return
Jan 02 2014 Jan 01 2015 Jan 01 2016 Jan 02 2017 Jan 01 2018 Dec 31 2018
13.50
1.2 13.00
12.50 12.35
12.00
1.0
11.50
11.00
1-Year Average Rolling 3-Year Average Rolling 5-Year Rolling Return
Jan 02 2014 Jan 01 2015 Jan 01 2016 Jan 02 2017 Jan 01 2018 Dec 31 2018 Return Return
1.6 14.00
13.50
1.4 12.93
13.00
12.50
1.2
12.00
1.0 11.50
1-Year Average Rolling 3-Year Average Rolling 5-Year Rolling Return
Return Return
Jan 02 2014 Jan 01 2015 Jan 01 2016 Jan 02 2017 Jan 01 2018 Dec 31 2018
TOP 3 Sectors
Comparative Performance Between
Fund & Benchmark 2014-01-02 / 2018-12-31 SECTOR % TO NET ASSETS
Financial 18.46
L&T Mid Cap Fund
Construction 13.89
3.0 Nifty Midcap 100 - TRI
Healthcare 10.54
TOP 3 Sectors We believe that the key factor which has helped the fund generate
SECTOR % TO NET ASSETS superior performance has been our philosophy to invest in good
Financial 19.79
businesses run by competent and honest promoters, generating strong cash flows
and return on capital over longer periods of time.
Engineering 14.83
Pankaj Tibrewal
Chemicals 14.33 Sr. VP & Fund Manager (Equity), Kotak Mahindra AMC
2.5
23.00
22.35
22.50
22.00
2.0 21.50
21.00 20.57
20.50
1.5
20.00
19.50
1.0 19.00
1-Year Average Rolling 3-Year Average Rolling 5-Year Rolling Return
Return Return
Jan 02 2014 Jan 01 2015 Jan 01 2016 Jan 02 2017 Jan 01 2018 Dec 31 2018
15.00
2.0
10.00
1.5
5.00
1.0 0.00
1-Year Average Rolling 3-Year Average Rolling 5-Year Rolling Return
Return Return
Jan 02 2014 Jan 01 2015 Jan 01 2016 Jan 02 2017 Jan 01 2018 Dec 31 2018
TOP 3 Sectors
Comparative Performance Between
Fund & Benchmark 2014-01-02 / 2018-12-31 SECTOR % TO NET ASSETS
Financial 22.65
HDFC MidCap Opportunities Fund
Engineering 10.72
Nifty Midcap 100 - TRI
Chemicals 9.63
2.5
20.00
1.5
19.50
18.92
19.00
1.0 18.50
18.00
1-Year Average Rolling 3-Year Average Rolling 5-Year Rolling Return
Jan 02 2014 Jan 01 2015 Jan 01 2016 Jan 02 2017 Jan 01 2018 Dec 31 2018 Return Return
30.00 29.36
2 29.00
28.00
27.00 26.73
26.00
1 25.00
24.00
1-Year Average Rolling 3-Year Average Rolling 5-Year Rolling Return
Jan 02 2014 Jan 01 2015 Jan 01 2016 Jan 02 2017 Jan 01 2018 Dec 31 2018 Return Return
25.50
25.00
2.0
24.50
24.00
23.62
1.5 23.50 23.27
23.00
1.0 22.50
22.00
1-Year Average Rolling 3-Year Average Rolling 5-Year Rolling Return
Jan 02 2014 Jan 01 2015 Jan 01 2016 Jan 02 2017 Jan 01 2018 Dec 31 2018 Return Return
2.5
Average Rolling Returns (%)
23.00
22.44
2.0 22.50
22.00
21.45
21.50
21.00
1.5
20.50
20.06
20.00
19.50
1.0 19.00
18.50
1-Year Average Rolling 3-Year Average Rolling 5-Year Rolling Return
Jan 02 2014 Jan 01 2015 Jan 01 2016 Jan 02 2017 Jan 01 2018 Dec 31 2018 Return Return
18.00
2.0 16.68
16.00
1.5 14.00
12.00
1.0 10.00
1-Year Average Rolling 3-Year Average Rolling 5-Year Rolling Return
Return Return
Jan 02 2014 Jan 01 2015 Jan 01 2016 Jan 02 2017 Jan 01 2018 Dec 31 2018
7
Expert Speak
MF page - 12
Focus On Tax
Efficiency Of Returns
Hemant Rustagi
Chief Executive Officer, Wiseinvest Advisors
H
aving an investment plan in place helps in term capital gains are taxed at one’s applicable tax rate, long-
keeping investments on track during one’s term capital gains, that is, gains on investments redeemed after
defined time horizon. Unfortunately, not many 36 months are taxed at 20 per cent after indexation. The
investors follow this disciplined approach. In applicable DDT for dividend option is 25 per cent (29.12 per
fact, investors establish their investment styles cent, including surcharge and cess).
and strategies in different ways. On the one hand, there are
investors who begin investing with a clear strategy and It is important to consider these tax rules while selecting
objectives, on the other hand, there are those who don’t really option, that is, dividend, growth or dividend re-investment. For
plan and hence learn the ropes the hard way. However, an investment in equity and equity-oriented funds to achieve
important aspect of investment process that is often overlooked long-term goals like children’s education, their marriage and
by many investors in both the categories is the tax efficiency one’s own retirement planning, the obvious choice would be
of returns. “growth option”. It allows investors to benefit from the power of
compounding as well as tax efficiency of returns.
No wonder, traditional instruments like bank deposits, bonds,
debentures and small saving schemes remain the most favoured Similarly, in case of debt funds too, the choice of option will
options for millions of investors in our country, despite offering depend upon the time horizon. For a time horizon of less than
lower returns as compared to market-linked products offered 36 months, it would be prudent to opt for dividend payout or
by mutual funds. Tax inefficiency of returns, that is, interest is dividend reinvestment, if the applicable tax rate is 30 per cent.
taxed at one’s applicable tax rate, for most of these options However, growth option will be a better bet for investors in tax
further makes a dent in what investors get to keep. bracket of up to 20 per cent. Similarly, for an investment with a
time horizon of 36 months or more, growth option would be
In reality, tax efficiency of returns has to be an essential element ideal as one derives indexation benefit.
of one’s investment strategy. In fact, tax efficiency becomes even
more important when one invests for the medium to long-term As is evident, investing with a clearly defined time horizon goes
investment goals such as children’s education, buying a house a long way in letting one make the right choices. It is equally
and retirement planning. important to minimize portfolio turnover to improve tax
efficiency of returns. This can be done by avoiding ad hoc
One of the ways to improve pre-tax and post-tax returns is to decisions based on the market moods. In other words, by
look beyond traditional investment options and invest in assessing the tax consequences before making abrupt changes
tax-efficient options like mutual funds. On the capital gains in the portfolio and resisting the temptation to sell investments
front, short term capital gains in equity and equity-oriented for reasons other than poor performance and changes in one’s
hybrid funds, i.e. gains on an investment redeemed within 12 personal circumstances, the tax burden can be reduced. It also
months are taxed at a flat rate of 15 per cent. However, long pays to make the right selection of funds and options therein to
term capital gain, i.e., gain on investments redeemed after 12 minimize the need to make changes in the portfolio in the short
months are taxed @ 10 per cent. Similarly, the applicable DDT term. Last, but not the least, by honoring one’s time
for these funds is 10 per cent. As regards debt funds, while short commitment, haphazard decisions can be avoided. DS
I
f I ask you to recall the names of 10 people you met this This behaviour is universal and the reason behind it is the
month, whom would you recall? Chances are you will recency effect. When markets go up and the returns of equity
recall the names of people whom you met most recently. mutual funds are very good in the recent past, investors look at
This is called the recency effect. Similarly, if I ask you for the recent past and start investing. Here, the subconscious
an opinion about the behaviour or performance of your mind starts believing that this behaviour of the markets will
colleagues or employees, most of the time, their recent continue and they will make good returns, so investment at
behaviour will influence your opinion. If one of your these levels increase. Similarly, when the markets fall and the
colleagues was very polite and humble since the beginning of recent past is not so good, people start believing that markets
your relationship but has not behaved well off late, your will fall further and therefore avoid investing more money in
opinion might turn negative. So your recent experience affects equity.
your opinion the most and forms the recency bias. Events
which occur recently have maximum impact on your mind. How the recency effect creates an illusion of
safety and an illusion of risk?
Recency bias is one of the most common biases affecting our
investment and other decisions in life. Here, events which have Actually, the recency effect creates an illusion of safety and also
happened recently or information which we have received an illusion of risk in the minds of investors.
recently impacts our decisions to a greater extent.
Let me illustrate with a historical example.
When it comes to investing, people invest in an instrument
which has recently done well. Particularly, you will see that in
the stock market, maximum investment comes in when the
markets are peaking.
In January 2008, when the Sensex touched the 21,000 level for
the first time, it was an all-time high. In the preceding year
(from Jan 2007 to Jan 2008), Sensex had moved up from the
14,000 level to 21,000 level, so it was a rise of around 50%. In
this month (Jan 2008), equity mutual funds had the highest net
The chart above gives data from October 1999 to March 2017. inflow of `13,678 crore from the investors. Here, at this point,
The red line shows Sensex levels, whereas the black line the Sensex had gone up by around 50% in one year, but the
indicates gross mutual fund investments. The chart clearly economy (corporate profitability) had not grown by even 20%
shows that whenever markets are doing very well and going and no economy can grow by 50% in one year, so at this point,
high, investments in equity funds sharply rise and vice versa. markets were extremely overvalued and the risk-reward ratio
So, most of the times, people invest when the equity market is was unfavourable. But due to the recency effect, investors
very high and stay away when the markets have fallen sharply. started feeling very comfortable and forgot to consider the risk
of the overvalued market. On the contrary, they started have sold their properties and booked profit, but they behaved
believing that this will continue, so here there is an illusion of exactly the opposite and bought more properties in 2011 and
safety. There was no safety when Sensex was at 21,000 level, but 2012. So, this increased their average purchase price, which
there was an illusion of safety. This behaviour of investing more caused the prices to go up to the level of the prices in 2011-12.
money at higher market levels created a bubble in the stock Thereby, they lost the golden opportunity to book profits.
market and we all know what happened next.
After demonetization, markets have gone up by around 15% to
On the other side, when the markets started falling 20% in just 5 months and, as a result, in the recent past when the
immediately after this and saw the bottom, Sensex level in market is very positive once again investors are investing in
March 2008 (when the Satyam fraud was exposed) of around equity. So be careful while taking your investment decisions and
8,344, the net investment in equity mutual funds was around try to avoid impulsive investing.
`544 crore only, which was not even 10% of what was recorded
in January 2008. Here, the markets had fallen by around 61%, To conclude, the recency bias is the most common and frequent
so ideally there was hardly any risk because economic activity bias affecting our investment decisions. So, to make rational
in the country or corporate profitability had not fallen by even decisions, we have to learn how to keep our decisions free from the
5%, which shows that markets were undervalued and the recency effect. Following are a few suggestions which I recommend
risk-reward ratio was favourable. But unfortunately, those you adapt to keep yourself away from the recency bias.
investors who were ready to buy equity at 21,000 Sensex level
found equity markets costly at 8,300 Sensex level and were not Read History: It is said that history repeats itself. So keep
ready to buy or hold. Isn't this a strange behaviour? Yes, but the tracking the history of the stock markets and investments. Every
reason is that at the Sensex level of 8,300, there was no risk few years, market cycles are repeated and investors make the same
actually, as whatever worst could have happened had already type of mistakes. Every time when the market is high, the hopes
happened. But as the recent past was negative, there was an are at peak and due to the recency effect, investors believe it will
illusion of risk. There was no actual risk, but there was only the keep going high because this time it is different and markets will do
illusion of risk. very good. Sir John Templeton had said that "The four most
dangerous words in investing are: 'this time it's different.'" My
Both of these behaviours were irrational. Those who invested advice to you is whenever someone says 'this time it is different',
more money at 21,000 level in January 2008 had increased their please run away from there. Don't listen to him. Reading history
average purchase price, as a result of which they could not will help you to think from another perspective and get away from
make money for the next few years and saw negative returns in the current market rises or falls and you will do things rationally.
the next one year. Similarly, those who were not investing or
redeeming their money from equity funds at 8,300 level in Delay your decisions by 2 to 3 days: Whenever recency
March 2009 could not gain out of the rising market in 2009-10 effect is at peak, you will feel tempted to take your investment
because the fall was an opportunity to reduce their average decisions either buying at the peak of the market or selling at the
purchase price in equity, but they lost the opportunity. Ideally, bottom of the market after it falls sharply. Try to postpone your
they should have behaved exactly opposite to their actual decision for three days. Let 72 hours pass and your emotions
behaviour. But the recency effect did not allow this. will calm down and you will be able to act rationally.
Recency effect in real estate: The recency effect is not only Adopt right portfolio management strategies: Your
seen in equity investing but also in the real estate market. From investment decisions (whether buying or selling) should not be
2005 onwards, real estate prices in India, and in particular, based on the current market events or news. It should be based on
Gujarat, started moving up. As a result, we saw that those who long-term strategies like asset allocation and portfolio rebalancing.
invested in properties between 2005 to 2007 got good returns by Those who don't adopt strategies are actually following tactical
2009. At this time, the equity market had fallen sharply, so at this money managers.
point of time, real estate investment had given very good returns
and equity investment had not given good returns in the recent Is this rational?: Whenever you find a situation where any
past. As a result, investors started putting more and more money asset class—whether it is equity or real estate—is performing on
into the real estate market and this behaviour was again extreme sides (extremely good or extremely bad), before taking
repeated, just as it happened in the stock market in 2007. By any buying or selling decisions, just ask yourself "Is this rational?"
2012, property prices went up sharply. Maximum investment "Is the continuous rise in equity rational?" Meaning, is it supported
happened in 2012, and since then, property prices in most of the by the rise in profitability? Or, when the market falls sharply, try to
regions have fallen or have remained stagnant for the last five find if the profitability of the companies has also fallen to the same
years. Those who bought properties in 2005 had multiplied their extent. This is the essence of logical thinking and one mantra that
money by four to five times by 2012. So, ideally, they should will lead you to rational and correct decisions.
You may think that by investing in various MFs you are adequately
diversified, is it so? DSIJ explains what are the different asset classes and
how can you diversify your portfolio in the true sense.
M
ore and more investors have become increasingly mutual fund investments are one of the safest options as
aware of investments in mutual funds in the last compared to other asset classes. Here lies the gap between the
few years and have increased their MF perception and the reality. First of all, investors should
investments. However, the recent decline in the understand that mutual funds are in no way a safe investment,
equity markets and paper downgrades in the debt markets have at least not as safe as your savings bank account or bank FDs
led many retail investors to redeem their mutual fund (fixed deposits). Any MF investment does carry some amount
investments. The situation becomes scarier in the case of of risk with it. If you are expecting great inflation-adjusted
investors who have invested in direct plans, where the rate of returns from mutual funds, then you should be ready to inherit
redemption is higher than the regular plans. This is the first a great amount of risk by default.
serious decline in MF investments witnessed by many investors
who started investing after 2013, which shows the level of Many investors believe that since mutual fund schemes invest
confidence investors have in mutual funds. in various companies, they are adequately diversified. But the
But the problem starts with the MFDs (Mutual Fund reality is altogether different. To understand this, let us first
Distributors) or, for that matter, anyone who is selling mutual take a look at the broad asset classes, apart from mutual funds.
funds to the investors. They try to convince their clients that These are real estate, alternative investments (including private
equity and angel investing) and commodities, including gold. Let's get practical
So, if we look at the broader asset categories, then you may not For most of us, if we invest in a few mutual fund schemes,
be adequately diversified even if you have invested in various we feel we have a well-diversified portfolio. The reason
equity mutual funds. This is because the MFs may have invested behind the same is that mutual funds not just invest in
only in equities. But why do we need to invest in different asset stocks, but they also invest in corporate debt securities and
classes? To understand this, let us check these broad asset government securities. Some schemes also invest in gold.
classes in brief and look at their performance. As per the recent media reports, SEBI may allow mutual
funds to invest in commodity derivatives. This would increase
the spectrum of sub-asset classes in which mutual funds
Real Estate can invest.
Real estate is often held as a part of a larger portfolio and is
generally considered to be less liquid. Although the introduction However, if you wish to invest in broader asset classes
of REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts), which are going to be individually and diversify your portfolio in the real sense, then
launched soon and will be traded in the secondary market, will you need a really big-ticket size as the other asset classes require
make them liquid, these are yet to be introduced in India. Real huge investments.
estate goes well as part of your portfolio because it has several
traits that help in enhancing the returns of an overall larger For example, if you wish to invest in real estate (and not in
portfolio and/or reduce the overall portfolio risk. companies engaged in the business of real estate), then you need
big money to purchase property, be it residential or commercial.
To make investment in real estate a bit affordable, SEBI has
Alternative Investment Fund
4
allowed retail participation in REITs. Still, the minimum
AIF (Alternative Investment Fund) can be viewed as any investment amount is `2 lakh.
investment that is not a traditional investment like equities,
fixed income or real estate. These include private equity, angel For some investors, REITs would be one of the ways to diversify
investing, venture capital investing, hedge funds, etc. However, their overall portfolio, but many investors may not be able to
these instruments usually involve big ticket investments. afford the desired minimum investment amount of `2 lakh. In
case of AIF, an individual investor needs to invest a minimum
qualifying amount of `1 crore.
Commodities
Commodity investment means investing in various types of In the case of commodities, though the investment is not too
physical goods or products. This can be used as investment, or big, it calls for an expert knowledge as the returns from
many a time, it can also be used for hedging purpose, especially investing in commodities can be very volatile and also each
by producers as well as end-users. The prices of these commodity has its own market dynamics and cycle. The
commodities depend on their demand and supply in the minimum amount with which you can start investing in a
market. As far as commodities are concerned, they are not commodity is `5000. However, you have to pay the margin
meant for investing, rather they are meant for trading or money, which is generally 5-10% of the commodity product
hedging, with the exception of gold and silver, which can be and varies from product to product.
used as investments.
Summing up
As SEBI has a taken a positive stance and is likely to allow mutual
funds to invest in commodity derivatives, you can see a lot more Diversification plays an important role in generating returns
mutual fund schemes using them to enhance their returns or on your investment. The rationale behind diversification is that
minimize the risk. But, at the moment, we need to wait and any economic activity has different implications on different
watch when SEBI allows it and how these would perform. asset classes. Hence, what's good for the equities may not be as
good for the commodities. To ensure your portfolio is
Understanding traits of various asset classes responsive no matter what the economy is doing, you may
Traits Mutual Real Alternative Commodities
want to include most of the broader asset classes as part of
Funds* Estate Investment Fund your holdings.
Returns High High Very High Medium
Liquidity High Very Low^ Low Low
If we look at it in a practical manner, we find that some of the
volatility High Medium High High
asset classes have a very high qualifying amount of investment
Ease of understanding Average Low Very Low Low
and hence these are beyond the reach of a retail investor, which
deprives him the benefits of diversification. Therefore, mutual
Low investment amount Yes No No No
fund investing in different asset classes such as equity, debt or
Periodical contribution availability Yes No No No
commodity is advisable. The actual investment should be made
* Traits with respect to equity mutual funds.
in consultation with your financial advisor and should be based
^ In case of REITs, liquidity is high as they are tradable in secondary markets. on your risk profile and your financial plan. DS
Knowledge Series
Understanding The
'Fact Sheet'
Of Mutual Fund
W
hen it comes to mutual funds, the 'fact sheet' is one of the respective fund house. It will give you an overall
of the reports required to be published by the fund picture as to where the markets are heading, the fund
houses every month. So, what does the fact sheet house's strategy and whether the strategy is in line with
mean for the investors? If we go by the bare definition of a fact your thinking.
sheet, it is a paper giving useful information about a particular
issue, especially the one debated on a television/radio The next thing you need to do is to look at the
programme. However, when it comes to mutual funds, fact investment portfolio of the fund. This will tell you the
sheet means a document which gives you valuable information companies in which the fund has invested and in what
about a particular mutual fund scheme. proportion. You will also get to know the sectors towards
which the fund is inclined. Also, if you are invested in a
If you have invested in a mutual fund, then you may have diversified equity fund which can invest across market-
definitely checked the fact sheet of the scheme on the AMC's caps with no restrictions, look at the extent to which it
(Asset Management Company's) website. It is a review has exposure to mid-cap and small-cap companies.
statement which is prepared and uploaded by fund houses
every month on their respective websites. As per SEBI's The fact sheet will also show you the most 'interesting'
(Securities and Exchange Board of India's) regulations, it is part, that is, the returns. Don't get obsessed with the
mandatory on the part of AMCs to do so. Fact sheet is one of monthly and quarterly returns and don't take decisions
the most important documents for an investor, as it gives on the same. Ideally, if you are investing in equity funds,
detailed information pertaining to a particular fund. In fact, then your focus must always be on the long-term with
you may also use the fact sheet to make investment decisions. minimum time horizon of 5 years.
As you might have understood what a fact sheet means, now let The fact sheet shows various statistical parameters such
us understand what all things to look for in a fact sheet. This as Sharpe ratio, standard deviation, beta, etc. of the fund,
will differ from category to category. which will help you understand the amount of risk the
fund manager is taking to generate returns.
What to look in a fact sheet of equity funds?
First, you should read the equity market outlook and the You will also find the expense ratio of the fund. Generally,
commentary given by the CIO (Chief Investment Officer) the larger the fund's AUM (Assets Under Management),
Look at the stint of the fund management team. It is an If you are invested in MIPs (Monthly Income Plans), they
important thing to look for. More the stability, more it promise you regular income, for which they must have
justifies the returns generated. For instance, if the fund better liquidity to fulfil the same. So, look at the
manager has changed and the new fund manager has just companies in which the equity portion is invested along
completed one year, then looking at the 3-year and 5-year with the debt securities. In the case of debt securities,
returns does not make sense. look at the things as explained in what to look for in the
debt funds section.
What to look for in a fact sheet of debt funds?
The factors like debt market outlook, CIO's commentary In case you are invested in an arbitrage funds, then
and the returns provided by the fund are important. compare the returns from arbitrage funds with that of
However, there are three things to look at in the fact sheet interest that you can earn on FD of bank. Also, have a
of debt mutual funds. You should look at the debt closer look at the turnover ratio as a higher turnover ratio
securities and instruments in the portfolio along with means higher costs and, in turn, lower returns.
their weightages and ensure that the fund is not too much
inclined towards low rated instruments or to a single So, you are now well-equipped with the concept of the fact
group of companies, which are inherently risky. sheet and you also understand what all things to look for in a
fact sheet. This will eventually help you while making decisions
Another factor to look for in the debt fund is its average pertaining to investing or exiting from a particular fund.
maturity. Average maturity of a debt fund is the weighted However, let it be understood that you should not just rely on
average maturity period of all the holdings in the the fact sheets for making decisions. The decisions to enter or
portfolio. Debt funds with higher average maturity are exit any mutual fund must be based on the risk profile, financial
more vulnerable to the rise in the interest rates as they plan and any change in the fundamental attribute of the fund.
4.00%
2.00%
0.00%
Apr-18
Feb-19
Sep-18
Nov-18
Jun-18
Dec-18
Jul-18
Mar-18
Oct-18
Aug-18
Jan-19
May-18
-2.00%
-4.00%
-6.00%
-8.00%
-10.00%
This might not be top ranked fund, however, looking at risk-reward opportunity we recommend this fund. * Expected one year return is based on the assumption that current holdings remain constant.
With Ranking
I
t is almost one year now that we pioneered a way of of a fund in absolute terms. For example, a sectoral fund is
analysing mutual funds that predicts future returns of the always termed as risky because of its concentrated portfolio.
funds based on its underlying portfolio holding. This However, in our analysis, we found that many of the FMCG
future prediction is based on DSIJ's view on each stock funds are more stable and carry lower risk than many of the
held by the mutual fund scheme and assumes that the large-cap funds. Therefore, if you are a risk-averse investor, you
portfolio of the fund is not altered during the tenure. We are can always select funds that have consistently shown low risk,
happy to inform you all that this revolutionary way has even if it is from the small-cap category.
predicted the future returns with a fair amount of accuracy and
has been very well accepted by the industry and readers. Over A fund that is assigned lower risk by us does not mean that it
the period, we have tweaked and refined this model to make it will give lower returns going ahead. If it is a pure equity fund
more accurate. In the short run, we have found that there is and continues to maintain a lower risk portfolio, it is likely to
high correlation between our expected returns assigned to the give better returns in the long term. This is because a fund that
fund and the actual returns generated by them. We leveraged falls less has to recover less to generate positive returns. For
our legacy of more than 30 years in understanding the equity to instance, if fund that has fallen by 50% from, say, `100 to `50,
come out with such innovation. The need for such future- has to recover 100% before generating positive return.
looking rankings became obvious, especially after market Nonetheless, in the case of a fund whose value has fallen by
regulator SEBI came out with the categorisation and 25% from `100 to `75, it will have to recover only by 33%
rationalisation of schemes that made the existing rating systems before giving positive returns.
almost redundant. This is because all the ratings done were
based on past returns; however, with the SEBI circular, huge We have bucketed risk in five categories in the following
churning in portfolio would have made these ratings irrelevant. manner. First, we used the underlying portfolio of the funds to
arrive at their composite risk factor. Once that was calculated,
We are glad to launch the version 2.0 of our MF ranking with we bucketed them in the following manner:
this Anniversary Issue, wherein we are also introducing a 'risk' n Top 10% volatility score will be 'Low'
parameter to guide the investor on the scheme's risk. Another n Next 22.5% volatility score will be 'Moderately Low'
parameter that we will be shortly adding is the turnover of n Next 35% volatility score will be 'Moderate'
stocks in the fund. This factor will give an idea of typically how n Next 22.5% volatility score will be 'Moderately high'
much the stock in a particular scheme changes during the n Next 10% volatility score will be 'High'
course of the year. Hence, version 2.0 ranking of our MF data
brings in three parameters, which together will provide the
much-needed insight into the expectation from a given fund.
First, the 'rank' will give you the potential return of the funds in
the next one year. Second, the 'risk' will give an idea of the
caution that the investor should take before investing in the
funds. Third, the 'turnover' will give you an idea of how much
the expected returns can change from its predicted value. The
larger the turnover, the larger the deviation one can expect.
With Ranking
T
he following table lists top-ranked equity funds based on Key To Databank
DSIJ's proprietary research methodology. We have Category Rank: Category wise ranking as on March 12th 2019
evaluated each funds underlying portfolio of stocks and Scheme Name: This is the name of the mutual fund scheme
NAV (`): Net asset value per unit of a mutual fund or an exchange-traded fund
ranked them based on their expected portfolio returns. This way
(ETF) on a specific date
we are also able to rank newly launched funds that are not rated by
AUM (`Crore): This is the total market value of financial assets held by the mutual
others due to their short duration of existence. fund scheme on a specific date.
We evaluate all the equity funds based on the changed ratings Weightage: Large-Cap: This is a percentage of total assets held by a fund in the
of their underlying stocks and the change in their prices. Therefore, large-cap stocks as defined by AMFI for the current period.
this list is quite dynamic and reflects the best possible return Mid-Cap: This is a percentage of total assets held by a fund in mid-cap stocks as
potential of the funds for the next one year. defined by AMFI for the current period.
You can use this ranking to create your own mutual fund Small-Cap: This is a percentage of total assets held by a fund in small-cap stocks as
portfolio. Depending on your risk profile, return expectations and defined by AMFI for the current period.
Total No of Companies: This is a total number of securities held by a mutual fund
overall asset allocation, you can add the best performing fund
scheme at the end of a specific month.
category to your portfolio. For clarity and to include more funds,
Expenses Ratio: This is the latest expense ratio disclosed by the mutual fund scheme
we have not included ‘Direct’ and ‘close-ended’ funds. You can visit Return_1Years: This is the past one-year return given by the scheme.
our website (www.dsij.in/mutual-fund) to know the latest ranking Expected 1-yr return: This is based on our analysis of the portfolio of mutual fund
of both ‘Direct’ and ‘Regular’ Funds along with equity-oriented scheme and their expected growth in the next one year, assuming the underlying
hybrid and close-ended funds. remains the same.
This ranking can also be used for reviewing different holdings Current Rank: Rank as on March 12th 2019
in your fund portfolio. Hence, a consistently laggard performer of a Previous Rank of February 22nd 2019 is shown under bracket ()
category can be looked at as 'Switch' or 'Exit' advice. Risk : Risk as on March 12, 2019
() There are some blanks in the previous ranking column. This is because these funds were not in our last ranking as they have come into
existence recently.
** These funds are yet to complete one year
Mutual Fund SIPs accounts stood at 2.59 crore at the end of February 2019
Total amount collected through SIP during February 2019 was `8,095 crore
Average Assets Under Management of Indian Mutual Fund Industry for the month of February 2019
stood at `24.24 lakh crore
All the NAV figures are for date March 12, 2019. Trailing returns are also calculated for the same date. AUM, weightage of a stocks, number
of companies and expense ratio are for the period ending Feb. 2019. All the raw data is provided by Dion Global Solutions Ltd