Name: Sanju Priya V

Roll No: 1811142

Section: B

Exercise 2 - Assignment
Part 2A
Data and Analysis:
Summary Statistics for the given data is tabulated below.
Roll No 1811142
n 142
k 7840
Confidence Coefficient for
91%
µ
Confidence Coefficient for
97.50%
π
Confidence Coefficient for
89%
ø
Parameter Chosen Annual Family Income
Proportion Definition % of people whose family income greater than 2
Population Statistics
µ= 2.81
σ= 4.67
π= 100.00%
σ2= 21.82
p 0.535
No of success 3238

Confidence coefficients

Coeff.
Estimator Probability
Value Z or χ value
X-bar 91 0.955 Z= 1.695398
p 97.5 0.9875 Z= 2.241403
χ2α/2 = 169.9218
S 89 0.945 χ21-α/2
= 116.149
 X-bar SE(X-bar) p SE(p) S.D
2.835373 0.237939 0.542254 0.041809 4.620566
3.035754 0.254755 0.56338 0.041621 5.088713 Table for estimators X-bar, S, and pi
2.404803 0.201807 0.492958 0.041955 3.611172
2.555254 0.214432 0.507042 0.041955 3.640362
Roll No 1811142 (even) so we
estimate the expected value of the
2.447563 0.205395 0.43662 0.041621 4.936556
standard deviation (first ten and Last
2.442303 0.204953 0.56338 0.041621 3.065447 ten values are taken)
2.240176 0.187991 0.514085 0.041942 3.136674
2.77107 0.232543 0.535211 0.041855 5.170197
3.577972 0.300257 0.633803 0.040429 6.035988
3.342606 0.280505 0.556338 0.041692 5.597776
3.046613 0.255666 0.549296 0.041755 5.501008
3.212824 0.269614 0.598592 0.041135 5.385541
3.227261 0.270826 0.570423 0.041541 5.971404
2.493993 0.209291 0.528169 0.041892 3.682939
2.460021 0.20644 0.471831 0.041892 5.011198
2.403887 0.20173 0.443662 0.041692 3.924131
3.061669 0.25693 0.549296 0.041755 6.082693
2.840915 0.238404 0.542254 0.041809 4.171057
3.148352 0.264204 0.577465 0.041452 5.212921
3.293148 0.276355 0.598592 0.041135 5.236656

Mean
no of success 5410
Probability 0.690051
Proportion
no of success 7620
Probability 0.971939
Variance
no of success 2197
Probability 0.28023
S.D
no of success 4156
Probability 0.530102
 Frequency Frequency

50

0
100
150
200
250
300
50
0
100
150
200
300
350

250
STEP-4(A)

1.714615173 1.64306338
2.151554288 1.820579786
2.588493403 1.998096191
3.025432518 2.175612596
3.462371632 2.353129001
3.899310747 2.530645407
4.336249862 2.708161812
4.773188977 2.885678217
5.210128092 3.063194622

Bin

Bin
5.647067206 3.240711028
6.084006321 3.418227433
6.520945436 3.595743838
6.957884551 3.773260243
Following are the distributions plotted for each parameter:

7.394823665 3.950776649
7.83176278 4.128293054
8.268701895 4.305809459
8.70564101 4.483325864
Distribution of Sample Mean

9.142580125 4.66084227

Distribution of Standard Deviation

Frequency

Frequency
 Frequency Frequency

50
0
0

100
150
200
250
300
350
400
100
200
300
400
500
600
2.939905193 0.387323944
7.798387969 0.404529449
12.65687075 0.421734955
17.51535352 0.438940461
22.3738363 0.456145967
27.23231907 0.473351472
32.09080185 0.490556978
36.94928463 0.507762484
41.8077674 0.52496799

Bin
Bin
46.66625018 0.542173496
51.52473296 0.559379001
56.38321573 0.576584507

Distribution, thus we can apply central limit theorem.

61.24169851 0.593790013
66.10018129 0.610995519
70.95866406 0.628201024
75.81714684 0.64540653
80.67562962 0.662612036
85.53411239
Distribution of Sample Variance
0.679817542
Distribution of Sample Proportion

Frequency
Frequency

From the histograms, we can very well infer that the histograms of the variables follow the Normal
 Sample
Summary Statistics Population Value Error %Error
4(B) Value
Mean 2.805511163 2.79691911 0.01 0%
Standard Deviation 4.671305059 4.514063811 0.16 3%
Variance 21.82109095 21.62798163 0.19 1%
Proportion 0.535472135 0.536427494 0.00 0%

*Since the roll no. is even, therefore S.D is used

From the above table, the difference percentage is not too much, therefore we infer that sample
mean, variance, S.D and proportion are the unbiased estimator of the population parameters i.e.
population mean, variance, S.D and proportion.

5(B) Particulars Mean Proportion Variance

Confidence
91% 97.50% 89%
Interval
Total Values 7840 7840 7840
% Outside 31% 3% 72%
% Inside 69% 97.19% 28.02%

STEP-5(B)
We infer the following things:

 At 91% of C.I, 69% of the samples contain the population mean within the confidence interval
limits
 At 97.5% of C.I, 97.19% of the samples contain the population mean within the confidence
interval limits
 At 89% of C.I, 28.02% of the samples contain the population mean within the confidence interval
limits

From the above, we can conclude that the sanctity of confidence co-efficient is maintained.
 Part 2B- 1
For working this part, we are taking one row as the sample data set.

HYPOTHESIS OF MEAN

Ho μ=2
Ha μ≠2
Two tailed test
x bar 2.835373239
μ 2.805511163
s 4.620566469
n 142
Standard Deviation 4.620566469
Standard error 0.387749325
α 10%
α/2 5%
Test Statistics 0.077013872
p - value 93.86%
Z< -1.644853627
Z> 1.644853627
x bar< 2.16772028
x bar> 3.443302045

Power Test
True Mean P(type II error) - beta Power = ( 1- beta)
2.85 0.102232517 0.897767483
3.14 0.223124600 0.7768754

Since p-value is greater than alpha we fail to reject the Null Hypothesis at 5% significance level
 HYPOTHESIS OF PROPORTION

Ho π >= 0.40
Ha π < 0.40
Left tail test
π 0.542253521
π0 0.4
1-p0 0.6
n 142
α 10%
Test Statistics 3.460202985
p - value 99.97%
Z value -1.281551566

Since p-value is greater than alpha we fail to reject the Null Hypothesis at 5% significance level

HYPOTHESIS OF VARIANCE

Ho σ02 <= 28
Ha σ02 > 28
Right tail test
n-1 141
2
S 21.34963449
σ0 2
28
α 10%
Chi Squared Distribution
Test Statistics 107.5106594
p - value 1.63%

Since p-value is greater than alpha we fail to reject the Null Hypothesis at 5% significance level
 Part 2B- 2
Two samples are taken from the population based on the family income.

Sample 1 is taken for those where the family income is greater than 2.

Sample 2 is taken for those where the family income is not greater than 2.

HYPOTHESIS OF MEAN OF TWO

SAMPLES
Ho μ1 - μ2 = 0
Ha μ1 - μ2 ≠ 0
Two tailed test
x1 bar 83.07
x2 bar 83.11
x1 bar -x2 bar -0.043615678
S1 7.41886399
S2 7.360918693
n1 3238
n2 682
α 5%
α/2 2.5%
S12/n1+S22/n2 0.096445402
test statistics -0.140443572
p value 111.17%
Z value 1.96

Since p-value is greater than alpha we fail to reject the Null Hypothesis at 5% significance level.
 Part 2B- 3

Case – AMBULANCE AND FIRE DEPARTMENT RESPONSE INTERNAL STUDY

Ambulance Fire
Total time 10484.39 9131.95
Count 936.00 936.00
Avearge time 11.20127137 9.756356838
SD 3.577255601 2.78536801
p 0.172008547 0.241452991

Mean Hypothesis Test

In order to check whether the fire truck arrives at the scene on average more than 1 min faster than
the ambulance
The null hypothesis is rejected if fire truck does arrive more than 1 min later than the ambulance

Ho µ1-µ2 <= 1
Ha µ1-µ2 > 1

Ho Null hypothesis mu1-mu2<=1

Ha Alternate hypothesis mu1-mu2>1

S1 (Ambulance) 2.07
S2 (Fire) 1.32
Mean1 - Mean 2 1.44
Reject the null
Pooled std dev 1.74
hypothesis
Sigma p 0.08
Taking confidence interval of 95%
z-value 1.96
z X sigma p 0.16
LL 1.29
UL 1.6

The confidence interval falls between 1.29 and 1.6 which is greater than 1

Reject the Null Hypothesis

Proportion Hypothesis Test

To check the frequency of arrival within 8 minutes is greater for the fire department

If the frequency of fire department is more, we will reject Null Hypothesis

Ho π1 - π2 <=0
Ha π1 - π2 >0

Ho Null hypothesis p1-p2>=0

Ha Alternate hypothesis p1-p2<0

Data
p1 (within 8 mins) 0.19
p2 0.27
Diff in p 0.08 Reject the null hypothesis
Std error 0.02
Taking confidence interval of 95%
z-value 1.96
z * Std error 0.04
LL 0.04
UL 0.12

Since CI falls between 0.04 and 0.12 which is greater than 0

Reject the null hypothesis

Since both conditions are satisfied, Training of fire personnel should be done.