October 1976 13
results presented today, however, the focus will tality rates are a composite of both incidence
be on epidemiologic investigations. and case-fatality rates and there is no neces-
In these epidemiologic investigations, we sary relationship between environmental expo-
have measured the occurrence and sequelae of sures at time of onset of the disease and either
chronic disease among rubber workers, as man- the progression of the disease or its final ter-
ifested along a spectrum extending from ex- mination. In addition to these general limita-
pressed symptoms and discomfort, through ab- tions in the use of mortality rates, there is the
senteeism and work disability, to premature specific limitation in this instance of presenting
death. Two types of objectives underlie each of pooled, company-wide data across multiple
our investigations. One is to contrast the mag- plants, departments, processes and environmen-
nitude of these disorders in the contract-cov- tal exposures. Information of this type can be
ered rubber workers with otherwise compara- regarded at best as first level screening. Mor-
ble workers in other industries. The second tality excesses, if found, may reflect personal
objective is to identify the existence, if any, of rather than occupational characteristics. They
high risk subgroups within our studied popula- are, however, important in pointing to a dis-
tions, characterized by their patterns of work ease excess in the aggregate of rubber workers
history and personal attributes. and providing priorities for more specific re-
We first present an overview of general stud- search; failure to detect aggregated mortality
ies of mortality for causes of death attributed excesses provides no assurance that high risks
to the major categories of chronic diseases, are not present within subgroups of workers
more specifically malignant neoplasms, cardio- with different exposures.
vascular diseases, diabetes, and chronic respira- Table 1 presents a composite of data previ-
tory disease. ously published separately by Andjelkovic et al.
(4) and McMichael et al. (5) and represents
Mortality Studies the experience of two large cohorts using the
same criteria of eligibility; namely subjects
The derivation and analysis of company or achieving age 40, with 10 or more years of
industry-wide mortality rates offers a surro- prior service and vested pension rights with
gate measure, as an approximation to the inci- the company; the same period of observation
dence of chronic diseases in rubber workers. and follow-up (1964-1972) with the same high
The limitations of information of this type are rate of completeness of ascertainment of
many and well known, but for the purposes at deaths; and with cause of death commonly
hand, are of two major types. Firstly, mortality coded by the same nosologist using the Eighth
rates reflect but the attributed underlying cause Revision of the International Classification of
of death and for many of the chronic diseases Diseases. A modified life table analysis was em-
are not representative of the prevalence of the ployed for the period of follow-up, and stand-
disorders at time of death. Additionally, mor- ardized mortality ratios (SMRs) were com-
Table 1. Mortality ratios in two cohorts of male rubber workers, Akron 1964-1972:
age-sex standardized mortality ratios for major causes of death.
October 1976 15
tories and possible exposures for the malignan- The results of a case control study of the
cies which appear in excess. work history of leukemia decedents are pre-
We have approached this problem by devel- sented in Figure 2; there is a marked contrast
oping a computerized system to group each of in work history with potential for solvent ex-
the hundreds of job titles by groupings related posure in cases of leukemia in comparison with
to production processes (8). One grouping to controls. Cases were more likely than controls
test the association of leukemia deaths with to have work histories of jobs with solvent ex-
solvent exposure is presented in Figure 1. posure potential. The estimated relative risk of
leukemia deaths for workers with a history of
exposure was 3.25.
6 13
"Cement- Warehouse
3 Mixing ; | 12
Repair
II
Compounding Finishing, 100 r
Mixing I nspect ion
2 1 4 7 8 10
C e Plystock T CD ,
z W
caz
Be
MillingTretsarao
_
Bl Ing rMaintenanl
P
Service
CPoerhouser
Freight yards|
C)
0 Wo
|Building 16 17
a 50 zI-
o
Janitors Other 0
o L
(0o
0-
x
zsEW
crc
FIGURE 1. Diagrammatic representation of rubber tire oK
0-
25
ZI
production stages. LLW
S.'
titles were suggested by potential for solvent
exposure. Equally important as the study of work his-
tories for leukemia and lymphomas, which are
causes of death appearing in excess, analysis of
occupation titles and potential exposures has
demonstrated an increased frequency of expo-
sure to certain work areas among decedents (in
three selected plants) with cancer of the respi-
ZZ
Ox 4 ratory system, despite the previous findings of a
ww
so U. general total company deficit in the mortality
a-
32 rate for this same attributed cause of death.
<SE
~cn0 Figure 3 demonstrates that lung cancer cases
si,SMX ERIC
were more likely to have had a history of work-
F [SOLVENT EXPOSURE' NO APPARENT SOLVENT EXPOSURE ing in curing, 25% (± 5.5%c) of cases con-
JOB CATEGORY: HIOH MEDIUM LOW COMPOUNTi MILL EXTRUDE CURING GENERAL INACTIVE OTHER trasted with 15% (±+ 4.5%c) of controls, and of
mix SERVICE those with a history of working in curing, cases
ESTI MATED
RELATIVE RISK: 5.0 2.0 2 5
had a longer duration than controls, 16 years
3.25
compared with 7.5. The overall deficit is due to
the small percentage working in exposed areas
and illustrates how aggregated data of a total
FIGURE 2. Mean differences in duration of exposure to plant, across many work areas, may mask im-
job categories between 17 lymphatic leukemia cases portant exposure risk, within specific working
and 51 individually matched controls, by level of sol- groups.
vent exposure. Note: The estimated relative risk of A detailed systematic investigation of the
lymphatic leukemia for solvent-exposed workers was
calculated by using the "discordant matched sets" work histories of decedents with many specific
formula. causes of death is underway. The data for one
Risk ratio
Point 99.9%O Confidence
Cause of death Occupational title group estimate interval
company (9) in Table 3 are presented for illus- have been testing the utility of questionnaires
trative, overview purposes only, not for the and secondary analysis of such sources of mor-
detailed study of its content. It is intended in bidity data as sickness absenteeism, hospitaliza-
this context to illustrate the results of the ap- tion and disability retirement records. The re-
proach taken, the numerous comparisons and sults which are to be presented are a small
the resulting methodologic problems. For exam- sample of a large number of surveys performed
ple, recognizing the potential for chance find- in different plants of different companies, in
ings, given multiple comparisons, we have set different parts of the country, and are neither
confidence intervals at 99.9%. Statistically sig- necessarily representative of the entire indus-
nificant differences in occupational title work try, nor necessarily directly comparable one set
histories are demonstrated for each listed cause of results to the other.
of death. However, before attributing any of One approach to determining the relation-
these causes of death to specific occupational ship of chronic respiratory disease to the work
exposures, we are replicating the studies to rule environment was undertaken in one plant, as-
out personal characteristics (such as smoking certaining pulmonary disability retirements
or ethnicity, for example) as possible confound- and carrying out a detailed case control study
ing factors responsible for the associations of the work history of these individuals. In this
found with work histories. This highlights an work of Lednar et al. (10), each pulmonary
important opportunity in our ability to repli- disability retiree was compared with two age/
cate our studies in plants making similar sex matched controls, who were non-disabled,
products. and another set of two age/sex matched con-
trols, who were disabled for causes other than
Morbidity Studies pulmonary disease (Table 4). The most fre-
quently attributed cause of pulmonary disabil-
Recognizing the limitations in mortality ity retirement was chronic obstructive pulmo-
analyses to identify some chronic diseases, more nary disease, accounting for 64%o of all the pul-
particularly to identify any occupational deter- monary disability retirements; and emphysema
minants of these chronic diseases, we have been alone with the attributed cause in 53%o of all
experimenting with alternate modes of screen- cases. A comparison of the work history char-
ing large populations of rubber workers and acteristics of cases and ccntrols showed that
October 1976 17
Table 4. Occupational determinants of chronic disabling pulmonary disease in rubber workers in selected work areas.
ap <0.01.
b p <0.05.
cases were older at employment, started their areas than disabled controls, but durations
careers in the rubber industry at a later point were similar to those of non-disabled controls.
in historical time, and as a consequence had Cases spent less time in areas specifically in-
shorter total service durations in the rubber volving exposure to talc and carbon black. This
industry. raises the possibility of selective occupational
Table 4 displays the durations of service for mobility out of irritating environments, by
cases and controls in selected occupational ex- symptomatic workers. In contrast, the cases
posure areas. Because of group differences in have spent significantly greater lengths of time
total employment duration, comparisons are in the areas involving curing preparation, cur-
expressed in terms of person years at risk. ing and finishing and inspection.
From this table, it is apparent that cases have In view of the overriding importance of ciga-
spent slightly more time in generally dusty rette smoking in association with chronic pul-
Table 5. Occupational determinants of chronic disabling pulmonary disease in rubber workers:
relative risk of pulmonary disability retirement associated with
occupational exposure and smoking among cases (N=48) and nondisabled controls (N=112).
Relative risk a
- Working + Working + Working
Occupational exposure + Smoking - Smoking + Smoking
October 1976 19
joint effects of exposures to multiple physico- mation, combined with standardized work his-
chemical agents, in some cases, in relation to tories and environmental measurements pro-
the personal and social characteristics of vides the potential for identification of previ-
workers. ously unknown occupational causes of chronic
It was clear when we initiated our efforts disease, and also the monitoring required to
that attention would have to be focused on the ascertain and remove known hazards.
risk of malignancies secondary to chemical car-
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