Philip Hopwood
Global Leader―Mining & Metals
Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited
Tracking the trends 2019
02
02
Solving the
value conundrum
We all know that what goes world order, miners will not In Tracking the trends 2019,
up must come down, but attract talent, investment, or our eleventh annual edition,
the reverse isn’t always true. community support if they only Deloitte’s global mining
This explains why the recent focus on communicating the professionals once again
resurgence of the mining value that they currently bring draw on their knowledge and
sector comes as a great relief. to communities – miners will experience to provide mining
With a cyclical recovery in the need to go a step further and companies with insights they
commodity markets, there has articulate what they stand for can leverage in their ongoing
been an uptick in corporate by developing differentiated pursuit of productivity,
earnings, cash flows, and credit business models designed capital discipline, strategy
ratings, and a corresponding to drive long-term value. development, and sustainable
drop in debt levels. As a result, growth. In addition to sharing
spending is again on the Solving this value conundrum real-world case studies and
table, with mining companies mandates them to best practice examples,
considering investing in capital re-envision their corporate our professionals identify
projects and engaging in strategy, strengthen their potential industry disruptors
mergers and acquisitions. risk management, and find that may be coming “from left
better ways to engage with field”. As ever, we welcome
Mining companies now need stakeholders, push the your input and feedback
to determine how to operate boundaries on their digital and remain deeply grateful
in a market characterized by transformation, attract truly for your years of support.
constant disruption, volatility, diverse workforces, and avoid
rising stakeholder demands, a the capital project mistakes of
widening talent gap, dwindling the past. It also requires them
access to key inputs such to make technology a strategic
as energy and water, and a priority by acknowledging its
Chinese economy growing at role as an enabler across every
under seven percent, rather facet of their business.
than 12 percent. In this new
“To thrive into the future, mining companies will need to challenge
the status quo—and the only way to do this is by soliciting a
diversity of opinions and taking the risk to do things differently.
The fourth industrial revolution represents a new era of business
that can only be harnessed by leaders who have the courage of
their conviction.”
Glenn Ives
Americas Mining & Metals Leader
Deloitte Canada
03
Tracking the trends 2019
Rethinking trend 1
mining strategy
Embedding the discipline to deliver
measurable value across the cycle
In the not-so-distant past, mines in pursuit of superior Hearing voices
mining companies, large and returns, underpinned by the Yet the industry is in fact
small, typically anchored expectation of constantly-rising shifting, in ways that many
their strategic planning commodity prices. This led to executives never anticipated.
around producing the large amounts of debt being
highest volumes of ore at incurred to fund these projects Consider, for instance,
the lowest possible cost. In with significant write-offs. the rising voices from a
the process, the concept of consumer contingent that has
“low cost operations” was Although that bubble has historically been silent. Unlike
recalibrated—becoming long since burst, many mining retailers, telecommunications
a function of prevailing companies are still grappling companies, or other consumer-
commodity prices rather than with its strategic legacy. In facing businesses, mining
a relentless focus on radically essence, they have not yet companies have never truly
shifting the cost base. By sufficiently broadened their answered to the broader
now, everyone is familiar with strategic outlook to take a “public”. That’s now changing
the result of this approach: range of critical industry shifts as users of smart phones
the drive to build ever-larger into account. (which contain more than 62
04
Trend 1: Rethinking mining strategy
different metals1) and drivers of May the best asset win by 23.5 percent, to
electric vehicles (EVs)—which A similar strategic struggle is US$1.64 billion by 2019.4
rely on increasingly in-demand taking place at the portfolio level Hindered by fluctuating
commodities such as lithium, as mining companies attempt energy prices and the difficulty
graphite, cobalt, copper, to select the “best” assets. The of placing a true value on
titanium, aluminum, nickel, and trouble is that, while certain water, mining companies
manganese2—start questioning assets look good on paper, their must continually readjust
whether the metals and return profile is compromised the relative value of their
minerals in their end-products in practice. A case in point are individual assets—especially
have been ethically sourced. world class ore bodies located where their carbon and water
in politically risky geographic footprints vary from mine to
Consumers are not the only regions, where government mine and region to region.
stakeholders irrevocably demands are taking the form The strategic implications of
altering industry dynamics. of higher royalties, resource this cannot be underplayed.
Governments and communities taxes, growing requirements
have also become more for local beneficiation, and Making complex choices
vocal over the years. Both even reclassification of key In fact, looking at these factors
governments and communities commodities as “strategic”. alone—consumer awareness,
have the power to delay or social license to operate,
even shut down projects if An equivalent challenge exists in geographic risk, and access to
their needs are not adequately regions where key inputs, such input commodities—it becomes
addressed. As a result, as energy and water, are scarce. clear that mining companies
corporate social responsibility Energy alone can account for must take an ever-expanding
(CSR) initiatives, which were up to 30 percent of a mine’s range of issues into account
once approached as mere total cash operating costs, when when setting corporate
compliance exercises, are now the consumption of grid power, strategy if they hope to create
morphing into stakeholder diesel, liquid natural gas (LNG), competitive portfolios robust
engagement programs, and and compressed natural gas enough to generate value
social license to operate (CNG) are taken into account.3 across multiple scenarios.
is becoming a pivotal At the same time, global capital This is especially critical as the
strategic issue that will either expenditure on water and industry shifts into a new stage
differentiate mining companies wastewater by the mining of growth.
or derail them. industry is expected to rise
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Tracking the trends 2019
It’s time for management teams and boards to put their portfolios to the test by asking some
hard questions:
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Trend 1: Rethinking mining strategy
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Tracking the trends 2019
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Trend 1: Rethinking mining strategy
Mining as a service
The past few years have been characterized by
traditionally asset-intensive businesses transitioning
towards more service-like models (e.g., taxis). Is there a
version for mining where companies sell their technical
know-how and data as a service rather than owning the
underlying assets and infrastructure?
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Tracking the trends 2019
The frontier
of analytics and
artificial intelligence
Moving up the maturity curve
Industry 4.0 and the increased adding insight, and raising As mining organizations seek to
connectivity between the analytical challenges many enhance their analytics and AI
physical and digital worlds, organizations are unprepared maturity, they are asking three
represent opportunities to for, both from a technology and key questions:
explore massive amounts talent perspective.
of information, do it quickly, • What are the global trends
and distribute knowledge Mining organizations have in other industries, and how
wherever it needs to go. Yet, started tackling this challenge. are they relevant for us?
as information floods into They are exploring and investing
businesses, data volumes in analytics and AI in a bid to • What are the specific use
are going through the roof. leverage the data they generate cases in mining, and what
Every day, the world creates and use it to sharpen planning value do they deliver?
2.5 quintillion bytes of data,11 and decision-making across the
ranging from structured data mining value chain—to improve • Where should we focus our
to more truculent forms of safety, increase productivity, investment, and how do we
unstructured data from sources reduce cost, or enhance the approach the work?
such as video, photographs, employee experience.
and text. These shifts are
not only driving operational Yet, despite these
improvements, they are also improvements, there is still
changing expectations for a long way to go.
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Trend 2: The frontier of analytics and artificial intelligence
Horizon
3
Horizon
2
Horizon
1
Autonomous intelligence:
Augmented intelligence: AI decides and executes
Assisted intelligence: Machine learning augments autonomously
Required human assistance human decisions (e.g., Fully autonomous vehicles)
and interpretation (e.g., Intelligent automation,
cognitive insights)
(e.g., Robotic process automation)
. Machine learning—an approach to building AI that involves “training” algorithms with large
volumes of data which evolve the algorithm without it needing to be explicitly programmed.
Examples: clustering and segmentation.
. Deep learning—a machine learning technique where “learning” algorithms use deep
neural networks that mimic the brain’s ability to respond to varied stimuli. Examples: image
recognition and voice recognition.
. Natural language processing—machines that extract or generate meaning and intent from
text in a readable, stylistically natural, and grammatically correct form. Examples: translation
software and virtual digital assistants.
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Tracking the trends 2019
To move up the analytics assess why production fell off Only with this foundation in
maturity curve into Horizons 2 during a particular shift, day, place can organizations answer
and 3, organizations must or week; why safety incidents the third question: “what will
gain the ability to answer spiked; or why environmental happen?” This is the key that
progressively more complex performance slipped (was it empowers organizations to
questions. The first is “what operator inefficiency? time of predict variability, mitigate
happened?” and, because it relies day? weather-related? something emerging risks, and manage
on retrospective data analysis, else?). To answer the “why” stakeholder expectations.
it tends to be the easiest question, mining companies It is also the springboard
to answer. must be able to integrate organizations can use to move
multiple and typically, disparate from predictive analytics
The second is “why did those data sets to identify the internal to prescriptive analytics,
things happen?” and allows and external levers that positioning them to answer the
organizations to identify root influence these outcomes. “how” question (see figure 2).
causes—for example, to
Data
Descriptive
Descriptive analytics
Encompasses statistical methods
to understand the trends and
Information patterns in the data.
Predictive analytics
Predictive
Prescriptive analytics
Embeds the predictive models into
Prescriptive
Source: Deloitte12
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Trend 2: The frontier of analytics and artificial intelligence
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Tracking the trends 2019
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Trend 2: The frontier of analytics and artificial intelligence
Paul Klein
Consulting Partner
Deloitte Australia
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Tracking the trends 2019
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Trend 2: The frontier of analytics and artificial intelligence
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Tracking the trends 2019
Managing risk
in the digital era
Exploring a new approach to
controls and risk management
Risk. It’s rare that four letters social media campaigns, and the Zambian government
can embody a spectrum of the geopolitical perils that of the past six years of
such unpredictable and sudden come with operating in less mining company financial
shifts. Yet these are precisely stable regions. statements, resulting in First
the conditions that prevail in Quantum Minerals receiving
today’s mining industry, where In just a rough sampling, recent a controversial US$7.9 billion
the current risk landscape is months have seen the U.S. tax bill.18
characterized by mounting impose tariffs on US$200 billion
tariffs and sanctions, potential of Chinese goods, including The velocity of risk further
trade wars, cyber threats bismuth, titanium, and complicates matters. An
arising from unexpected attack cobalt;15 increased royalties interconnected global
vectors such as equipment imposed on copper, gold, economy means risks are
sensors, uncertain tax and and cobalt, which has been rarely confined to national
royalty regimes, rising input declared a strategic metal by borders, mandating a rapid
costs, heightened scrutiny from the Democratic Republic of and coordinated response.
the investment community, Congo;16 the introduction of two
environmental disasters and new laws in Tanzania asserting Despite this, many mining
infrastructure breakdowns that the government’s “permanent companies continue to address
can result in mine shutdowns, sovereignty” over its natural risk as a tractable concern,
public protest spurred by viral resources;17 and audits by using risk registers to rank risks
18
Trend 3: Managing risk in the digital era
from high to medium to low, A new value proposition At the heart of this next
taking a compliance-based To stem this tide, it’s time for generation of internal audit and
approach to risk assessment, mining companies to take their risk, lies analytics and a range of
using cyclical three-year plans cue from organizations that AI and cognitive tools that are
to identify trouble spots, take a more holistic view of now available and accessible to
and relegating internal audit risk. Increasingly, these leaders mining companies.
to a mere policing function are moving towards the next
responsible for risk assurance generation of internal audit, Rather than use people to
rather than the anticipation of Internal Audit 3.0. perform audits on a rotational
emerging risks. basis, internal audit firms
As with any useful new release can now use digital assets,
The danger here is obvious. of an operating system or such as analytics, robotic
Risks unidentified are risks application, Internal Audit process automation (RPA),
unmanaged, leaving exposures 3.0 offers new features and and AI. Core assurance can
that could compromise functionality, and retains the additionally be automated
a company’s financial best of past versions. Internal and non-conformance
performance, health and safety Audit 1.0 was marked by the identified where controls
record, and social license to founding of the Institute of can be flagged in real time.
operate. It doesn’t help that Internal Auditors in 1941.
many risks were inconceivable Internal Audit 2.0 grew from the With unparalleled access to
just a few short years ago. For impact of Sarbanes Oxley on enterprise-wide information
example, a mining company the accounting profession. and growing capabilities to use
that decides to enhance external data, management
transparency by providing real- Internal Audit 3.0 is being and boards should use these
time results on its emissions shaped by a range of other tools to anticipate risks, moving
data might find itself at risk of drivers, including the speed firms from a backward-looking
having that data manipulated at which organizations are view that reports on what
by malicious parties. Similarly, now expected to evolve and went wrong to a forward-
the prospect that automated innovate as we enter the fourth looking function that prompts
equipment, from vehicles to air industrial revolution. This awareness of what could
vents, could be hacked raises greater pressure to create and go wrong, and what to do
risks that are all too real. deliver value compels internal about it, before it happens.
audit to adopt a new vision of its
role, one centered not only on
delivering assurance and advice,
but also on anticipating risks
and helping the business craft
preventative responses.
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Tracking the trends 2019
Sandeep Verma
Global Mining & Metals
Risk Advisory Leader
Deloitte US
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Trend 3: Managing risk in the digital era
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Tracking the trends 2019
Digitizing the
supply chain
Why innovation
requires integration
Conversations around the A haphazard approach as their trucks or trains—they
fourth industrial revolution, or Unlike industries such as have not extended these
Industry 4.0, revolve around manufacturing and automotive, efforts across the entire supply
the ways in which physical and the mining sector still lags chain, from pit to port. As a
digital technologies—such in its efforts to digitize the result, the data they generate
as analytics, AI, cognitive supply chain. Despite the from the technology they have
technologies, robotics, cloud challenges associated with installed exists in a vacuum—
computing, and the IoT—are accessing critical materials hampering their capacity to
combining to create digital and equipment, particularly generate true insights that
enterprises that are both in remote locations, mining could otherwise enable them to
interconnected and capable companies rarely approach reduce inventory costs through
of more informed decision- their mine site planning, asset just-in-time procurement,
making. To harness the maintenance, and materials enhance asset utilization rates,
power of this shift, however, processing and transport in an and improve their production
organizations must determine integrated fashion. outcomes by making their EPC
precisely where to invest to relationships more dynamic
maximize their returns. One Although many companies and responsive.
area ripe for transformation is have begun digitizing discrete
the mining supply chain. pieces of equipment—such
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Trend 4: Digitizing the supply chain
In essence, a supply chain stop thinking in linear terms decisions about how to
paradox exists. Although most and imagine instead a circular streamline their supply chains
mining executives agree that system that we call the digital by investing in targeted physical
the supply chain is a top priority supply network (DSN). The technologies like robotics,
for digital transformation distinguishing characteristic drones, additive manufacturing,
investments, supply chain of a DSN is that it is capable and autonomous vehicles. It’s a
leaders are generally not of integrating information virtuous loop, one that employs
consulted when it comes to from a wide variety of sources real-time data to accelerate
making decisions about those (e.g., IT/OT sensors, GPS data, decision-making, enhance
investments. As a result, wearables, core operations transparency, and enable
supply chain improvements data, partnership data) to collaboration across the entire
remain incremental rather than predict specific outcomes— supply network.
delivering innovations designed such as equipment wear and
to optimize mining operations. tear, shifting demand signals,
operator behavior patterns, or
The digital supply network inventory levels.
To create a more interconnected
and responsive supply chain, Armed with this data, companies
mining companies need to can make more informed
Synchronized planning
Dynamic Connected
Cognitive planning fulfillment customer
Quality sensing
Digital
Develop Plan Source Make Deliver Support Core
3D printing
Sensor-driven replenishment
Digital Smart
development factory
Intelligent
supply
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Tracking the trends 2019
Kevin Xu
Mining & Metals Leader
Deloitte China
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Trend 4: Digitizing the supply chain
2
1 Digital
Physical 3
1. Establish a
digital record
Capture 3. Generate movement
information Apply algorithms and
from the physical automation to translate
world to create a decision and actions
digital record of the from the digital world
physical operation into movements in the
and supply network physical world
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Tracking the trends 2019
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Trend 4: Digitizing the supply chain
27
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Tracking the trends 2019
Driving sustainable
shared social
outcomes
Finding value beyond compliance
For several years, we have Mining companies have long economies, local communities
featured variants of this trend recognized the imperative remain vehemently opposed
in this publication. In the past, of earning a social license to mining activities, and
we have highlighted the need to operate. To gain the trust continue to demonstrate their
for companies to put their of local communities in opposition through refusals to
Corporate Social Responsibility regions around the world, negotiate, lockouts, protests,
(CSR) efforts at the heart of companies have invested and outright violence.
their strategy, we raised the billions of dollars building
need for different engagement local schools, hospitals, and Clearly, there is a disconnect
models and we have spoken infrastructure, and supporting here, which may stem from
about the holistic nature of communities through local miners’ historical approach to
the resources that need to be procurement and employment. corporate social responsibility.
optimized in relation to the The issue? Until recently,
community. This year we focus Yet recent years have amply mining company social spend
on the need for the creation demonstrated that these has been seen as a cost of
of shared value, a concept that investments frequently fail compliance, rather than a way
has been around for a while, to yield their desired results. to deliver measurable and
but one which has yet to be In many regions across both sustainable benefits to host
embraced by the wider industry. developed and developing countries and communities.
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Trend 5: Driving sustainable shared social outcomes
If mining companies hope to license to operate, but expose They will also need to take steps
drive different social outcomes, themselves to financial risks as to help sustain community value
that dynamic has to change. well. In fact, operating delays beyond a mine’s closure. The
caused by social conflicts can approaches adopted to make
The rise of the social cost mining companies more this happen will necessarily
enterprise than US$20 million per week.22 vary from region to region.
This profound shift is not Conversely, mining companies Some best practices include
confined to the mining sector. that enter community educating local communities on
Today, organizations across benefits agreements—in health-related issues so they
industries are being assessed which communities consent can reduce the incidence of
on metrics that extend far to new investments in return preventable illness and disease;
beyond financial performance. for tangible benefits, such as providing communities with
Rather, they are being judged on revenue sharing—can see their financial training to build viable
the basis of their relationships market value double under businesses; leveraging existing
with their workers, customers, certain conditions.23 infrastructure to create new
communities, and regulators— economic activity and reskilling
as well as their impact on society Common ground local workers in alternative
at large—transforming them Yet finding value beyond industries, such as agricultural
from business enterprises compliance is no easy task. It production, which can help
into social enterprises. requires miners to listen more them thrive once local mines
closely to their constituents to shut down.
A social enterprise is an determine what stakeholders
organization whose mission truly want, and then to shift
combines revenue growth and their operational processes in
profit-making with the need response. Rather than trying
to respect and support its to “buy” a social license to
environment and stakeholder operate through community
network. This may sound like investments, for instance,
altruism, but it’s not. Mining mining companies may need to
companies that fail to live up integrate local manufacturers
to these expectations not into their supply chains or alter
only stand to lose their social their water use policies.
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Tracking the trends 2019
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Trend 5: Driving sustainable shared social outcomes
Andrew Lane
Mining & Metals Leader
Deloitte Africa
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Tracking the trends 2019
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Trend 5: Driving sustainable shared social outcomes
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Tracking the trends 2019
Exploring the
water-energy nexus
Making the case for a
systematic approach
As one of the world’s most While there is still room which it jointly owns with
energy and water intensive for improvement, progress Barrick, will begin operating
industries, the mining sector is being made. Between with 100 percent renewable
has long struggled to secure 2008 and 2017, Rio Tinto energy by 2020—a move
uninterrupted access to reduced its greenhouse gas that will enable the company
these critical inputs. In recent (GHG) emissions intensity to reduce its annual GHG
years, this has spurred by 27 percent. Today, emissions by 350,000 tons.32
companies to action. approximately 75 percent of
the company’s energy comes As these leading companies
For instance, to reduce their from hydroelectric, nuclear, and have learned, however,
energy costs, which can renewable power sources.30 true value from energy
account for up to 30 percent of Similarly, Antofagasta’s Los management can only be
a mine’s operating expenses,29 Pelambres mine in Chile relies derived by addressing the
many companies have begun on renewables to generate triple bottom line of social,
adding renewables to their roughly 45 percent of its environmental, and financial
energy mix, and electrifying energy.31 Most recently, the performance. This requires
equipment and processes that company announced that its companies to manage their
run on fossil fuels. Zadívar copper mine in Chile, energy related projects as
34
Trend 6: Exploring the water-energy nexus
Sustainability in action
Goldcorp continues to make strides in the execution of its Towards Zero Water (H2Zero)
strategy. The company has already created a model to calculate the true cost of water
usage in its mining operations, taking infrastructure, energy, and labor costs associated
with extracting, pumping, transporting, storing, treating, and discharging water into
account. Its EcoTails™ system blends filtered tailings with waste rock in transit to create a
geo-technically stable product called GeoWaste—a solution that may help the company
eliminate tailings dams entirely.35 Not content to rest on its laurels, Goldcorp is also
building the world’s first all-electric mine, a move it anticipates will help it reduce its GHG
emissions while saving roughly US$9 million per year on diesel, propane, and electricity.36
35
Tracking the trends 2019
36
Trend 6: Exploring the water-energy nexus
Sustainability in action
As part of its FutureSmart Mining™ Sustainability Strategy, Anglo American is gearing
towards the development of a waterless mine. At its Mogalakwena platinum mine in
South Africa, it is using a fibre optic solution to measure mine-wide water flows to gain
real-time insight into its water balance—empowering it to pursue the highest-impact
efficiencies. It has also deployed a fibre optic solution in Chile to monitor its tailings
dams, giving it the capacity to mitigate potential damages that could be caused by
structural movements, long-term deformation, or creeps into dam foundations.37
Patricia Muricy
Mining & Metals Leader
Deloitte Brazil
37
Tracking the trends 2019
38
Trend 6: Exploring the water-energy nexus
39
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Tracking the trends 2019
Decoding capital
projects
Learning from past mistakes
Although the recent commodity 2012 (see figure 5). Grassroots among mining executives,
price meltdown has spurred exploration spend is at historic boards, and investors alike.
many mining companies lows, while headcount and
to operate leaner, it also internal project capacity have The worry is understandable.
whittled segments of the seen cutbacks in response to After all, this is an area that
industry down. Among the cost-reduction strategies.38 has traditionally been value
investments that fell by the destructive to the industry. Yet,
wayside were major capital Reframing reserve despite their concerns about
projects. Burdened by years of replacement realizing sustainable returns,
sub-par returns, cost overruns, The consequence was miners cannot avoid putting
and impairment charges, inevitable: supply shortages for off capital project investments
many mining companies commodities such as copper, indefinitely. Instead, they
opted to concentrate on zinc, cobalt, lithium, and gold must learn from the mistakes
maximizing output from their now loom, and no amount of of the past by approaching
existing operations rather squeezing of current deposits capital projects with a new
than investing in new mine will cover the shortfall. frame—one that sees them
supply and exploration. honing stronger organizational
With the cycle turning, mining capabilities across their entire
As a result, industry capital companies will need to engage portfolio of projects rather
expenditures in new in a wave of new capital than reinventing the wheel
developments in 2017 fell by projects to offset production and assembling new teams on
almost two-thirds compared declines and meet demand, a a project-by-project basis.
to the US$80.8 billion peak of prospect that raises concerns
40
Trend 7: Decoding capital projects
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018e
2019e
2020e
2021e
Note: Mining capex has declined heavily since the US$80B+ peaks of 2012.
Our analysis, based on company capex guidance and market sentiment,
indicates that capex is increasing even with a modest growth rate,
investment could exceed US$40B in 2020.
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Tracking the trends 2019
42
Trend 7: Decoding capital projects
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Tracking the trends 2019
The upside Some global leaders are already to business value; automating
After the challenges faced deploying new technologies operations and digitizing assets
during the last down cycle, into classic plants to test their from the outset; eliminating
there is a palpable sense of efficacy, mitigate risks, and data silos by establishing
optimism for mining companies strengthen their capacity an integrated digital mine
as commodity demand picks to standardize their global nerve center; implementing
up. Before launching into footprints. As the industry’s supporting platforms and
the next wave of investment, digital maturity grows, we may enablers; and equipping
however, the lessons of the ultimately see capital project their diverse and distributed
last cycle must be learned “superhighways” enabled by workforce with the skills to
and the industry needs to data-driven project planning operate in a connected fashion.
rebuild trust with stakeholders and execution, and an
in its ability to deliver longer- augmented workforce armed Most critically, the future is
term value. Although this with new capabilities. here. The technologies to make
won’t happen overnight, the digital mine a reality are
organizations that focus now The conceptual structure currently available, positioning
on putting the right capital already exists and would see leading miners to realize new
project capabilities into place mining companies approach frontiers of capital project
can strengthen their capacity capital project planning by efficiency and control.
to adjust supply in response developing an enterprise-wide
to shifting demand patterns. digital strategy directly linked
44
Trend 7: Decoding capital projects
45
Tracking the trends 2019
Reimagining work,
workers, and the workplace
A blueprint for the future
Mining executives are no of the current workforce, are companies under pressure
strangers to shifting workforce expected to retire in the next to more clearly articulate the
realities. The relentless drive ten years.42 With enrolment in leadership attributes they
towards digitization and mining-related disciplines down, anticipate will be most vital for
automation has altered not only filling those talent gaps will be the future.
where work takes place (e.g., no easy task. In Australia, for
remote operations/telework), instance, enrolment in mining The very nature of careers
but also the nature of corporate engineering courses fell from is also changing. Not only
talent needs. As highly 292 in 2014 43 to 171 in 2017, is job and career-hopping
repetitive transactional work and is projected to drop to an becoming the new norm,
is automated, the demand for alarming 47 by 2020.44 but a younger generation of
people with broad foundational workers now measures loyalty
skills, as well as deep technical This generational shift is to an employer in months
expertise, will only rise. by no means confined to instead of years. As a result,
frontline workers. Recent mining companies need
At the same time, the mining announcements of planned strategies for recruiting these
industry now faces a massive exits by C-suite executives so-called “gig workers”, the
generational shift. In Canada, have brought the imperative networks of people who will
50,000 mining workers, of succession planning to the increasingly form tomorrow’s
representing roughly 26 percent fore and are putting mining contingent workforce.
46
Trend 8: Reimagining work, workers, and the workplace
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Tracking the trends 2019
Inventing the future back office, all roles including a tool for properly defining
In the face of AI, mobile operational, have the potential the jobs of the future. Low
platforms, sensors, and social to be disrupted. As the mining level, manual, or transactional
collaboration systems that industry prepares for the future tasks are automated or
continue to revolutionize lives of work, jobs will need to be outsourced, and whatever is
and workplaces, employees disaggregated and broken down left over—including tasks that
and organizations are more into individual tasks so that contribute to the corporate
overwhelmed than ever. For companies can identify the best mission or relate to core
the mining industry, already resources to complete each strategy—can be reconstituted
burdened with a perception task—whether that’s traditional into new job functions.
problem among young people employees, outsourced talent,
considering career choices, the or digital technology. The ideal Once each task is charted in
need for new and robust ways end state is to automate the this way, mining companies
of redefining work, workers, tasks that don’t add value, while can begin to build a vision for
and the workplace is becoming giving the right people the their future workforce—road-
urgent. Yet, if fortune truly opportunity to complete the mapping the skills they believe
does favor the bold, mining tasks that interest or challenge will be in greatest demand.
executives who adopt new them most. This allows them to become
talent approaches are not just masters of their own future—
preparing for the future of work, When jobs are broken down in designing programs that enable
but are helping to invent it. this way, it becomes clear that them to fill their talent gaps
automation is not synonymous before competitors have even
This is not mere posturing and with job loss. Instead, task- identified which gaps exist.
neither is it contained to just the level analysis gives companies
“There are countless tactical steps mining companies can take in setting the
foundation for the future of work. But none of them will be effective unless
the C-suite comes together to define their vision of the future and allocate
resources against that vision.”
Janine Nel
Global Human Capital Energy, Resources & Industrials Leader
Deloitte Africa
48
Trend 8: Reimagining work, workers, and the workplace
49
Tracking the trends 2019
Operationalizing
diversity and
inclusion programs
From theory to practice
Like many traditionally gender discrimination, and for a very different workforce.
male-dominated industries, sexual harassment and BHP has an aspirational goal to
mining has an inconsistent violence in the workplace, also achieve gender balance across
record when it comes to suggests that mining companies each of its global operations
workplace diversity and need to take a closer look at by 2025.49 Freeport-McMoRan
inclusion. In 2016, when their inclusion strategies. continues to work towards its
Chile’s Ministry of Mining target to increase women in
conducted a survey of 603 Positioning for change its global workforce, as well as
women in the industry, it found Many mining companies have women in managerial roles, to
that more than 40 percent arrived at a similar conclusion, a minimum of 15 percent.50 For
had been subjected to cruel and have begun setting its part, South32 aims to have
jokes and wolf-whistling, targets for gender equality women holding 40 percent of
20 percent had been groped, and greater cultural inclusivity. its senior leadership positions
and seven percent had been With advances in technology, by 30 June 2020, compared to
sexually propositioned.48 such as trucks equipped with 31 percent today.51
The recent establishment of power steering, and automation
a MeTooMining Association, that enables the remote Meeting these diversity targets
which is advocating for strong operation of equipment, new is not only the right thing to
programs against intimidation, opportunities are opening up do; it is also sound business
50
Trend 9: Operationalizing diversity and inclusion programs
51
Tracking the trends 2019
Getting tactical Attraction strategies should also These are the actions that are
As a first step, mining be geared to a more diverse required in the pursuit of talent
companies must adopt audience. Online platforms exist in today’s environment.
solid strategies to foster that help organizations create
organizational diversity advertisements targeted to Retention is another area that
and inclusion. It’s not that specific demographics—which needs reform. When companies
they haven’t looked at this can help them attract a more do attract women, they often
issue before. It’s that they diverse range of candidates. struggle to retain them, in part
often approach this issue because they fail to deliver
by adopting point initiatives, Gender diversity is not the only simple solutions—such as
rather than designing target that mining companies safety equipment designed
integrated programs to tackle are introducing. One mining to fit women’s bodies, higher
the challenge holistically. company is targeting to have quality accommodation, a
one percent Neurodiversity broader variety of healthy
For instance, while most in their technology team food options, and a wider
mining companies are working in a couple of years. In an range of social activities.
with educational institutions environment where data Other programs—such as pay
to interest students in the scientists, for example, are in equity, workplace flexibility,
industry, their approach is short supply, this may open parental leave, and support for
haphazard and uncoordinated. up a new stream of talent that employees who are acting as
As a result, each company is previously was overlooked. caregivers, must also become
telling a divergent story, diluting They have introduced new table stakes. To assess which
the core messages they could recruiting, coaching, teaming initiatives work, and which don’t,
otherwise convey if they came and performance strategies companies should track results
together as an industry to craft to facilitate an integrated and so they can analyze outcomes
a cohesive narrative. tailored new way of working for and adapt accordingly.
these highly talented individuals.
52
Trend 9: Operationalizing diversity and inclusion programs
53
Tracking the trends 2019
An image overhaul wearing hard hats, rather than As industry efforts show,
In tandem with shifting the women and men operating diversity and inclusion are
way they operate, mining remote equipment or engaging proving to be much more than
companies must take steps to in technological innovation. a flavor of the month. However,
amend their public image. This This representation links to the mining companies have a long
starts with the literal visual narrative mining companies road ahead before they can
image companies portray continue to tell themselves turn these programs from vision
on their reports and in their about what they stand for— into reality by permanently
advertisements. While many and until mining companies weaving new behaviors,
companies have begun to start telling different stories attitudes, and policies into the
include pictures of women on about themselves, cultural fabric of their organizations.
their marketing materials, they transformation cannot take
are still generally pictures of place (see sidebar).
women on high beams and
Karla Velásquez
Mining & Metals Leader
Deloitte Peru
54
Trend 9: Operationalizing diversity and inclusion programs
55
Tracking the trends 2019
10
Demanding
provenance
EVs and battery minerals provoke
the desire for provenance
While it may not be a full-scale introducing its all-electric EQ iNEXT technology flagship
revolution, the electric vehicle brand in 2016, Mercedes has expected to roll out by 2021.64
(EV) boom stands to reshape been investing billions of dollars
numerous industries and into the EV space and plans to Driving demand
global automakers have been bring more than ten different All this is music to the ears of
positioning themselves to all-EV vehicles to market by mining executives, who are
compete in this space for years. 2022.62 Volkswagen (VW) just now positioning to meet the
recently unveiled its modular spiraling demand for EV battery
The Nissan LEAF, now in its electric drive matrix (MEB) materials, such as lithium,
second generation, is the platform to support its vision cobalt, rare earths, graphite,
best-selling electric car in the of ‘Electric for all’, and plans nickel, and copper.
world.60 Due to higher than to roll out a minimum of
anticipated demand, General 100,000 electric cars per year The demand forecasts are
Motors announced plans to by 2020 in its first German considerable. By 2035, demand
increase production of the plant slated to go electric.63 For for copper is expected to reach
Bolt, and remains committed its part, BMW is entering the 11 million tons, and that’s
to introducing at least 20 new second phase of its for EVs alone.
electric vehicles by 2023.61 Since electrification strategy, with its
56
Trend 10: Demanding provenance
An additional 1.2 million to invest US$100 million in two manufacturers and technology
tons may be needed to build venture capital funds that will giants—are demanding
charging stations and upgrade invest in companies developing ethically-sourced minerals, and
distribution lines.65 Between innovative uses for platinum.69 are willing to vote with their
EVs, global energy storage, and feet if miners can’t deliver.
nanotechnology, the global The price of poor provenance
demand for tech-grade graphite All that said, supply risks Apple stopped buying cobalt
is set to rise by 200 percent exist—and these go beyond from artisanal mines in the DRC
by 2020 and 300 percent by the challenges associated with due to their dangerous working
2025.66 Demand for cobalt ramping up production. One of conditions.71 Apple regularly
and lithium is also expected the prevailing concerns revolves maps its supply chain to remove
to double between 2022 and around an over-reliance on suppliers unable or unwilling
2025.67 cobalt originating from the to comply with the company’s
Democratic Republic of Congo ethical sourcing standards.
The good news story doesn’t (DRC), which controls roughly
stop there. The rapid adoption 70 percent of the world’s cobalt Outcomes like these are putting
of EVs may accelerate the supply and where human rights unprecedented pressure on
development of other violations, including child labor, mining companies to take the
competing technologies, such are common.70 needs of their end users into
as those fueled by hydrogen account and create a more
cells. In fact, China anticipates This presents more than a transparent interface with
having one million hydrogen risk of non-compliance with their customers. As strange
fuel cell vehicles on the roads international labor standards. as it may sound, commodities
by 2030. The country already It is also exposing mining are increasingly being viewed
has 12 hydrogen fueling stations companies to a new form as consumer products that
in operation, with 19 under of scrutiny. That’s because will only attract top dollar if
construction, and is aiming for socially-conscious millennials they possess certain quality
at least 100.68 This may heighten are now questioning the thresholds related not only
demand for commodities provenance of raw materials to their ore grade and energy
such as platinum, which is in products ranging from cell density, but also to the impact
used in hydrogen engines, a phones to electric vehicles. their extraction has on societies,
potential future scenario that As a result, downstream communities, individual
has spurred Anglo American customers—such as automotive workers, and the environment.
57
Tracking the trends 2019
Transparency in action
Produits Artistiques Métaux Précieux (PAMP), a global bullion brand and precious metal
refiner, recently entered a strategic alliance with Peer Ledger, a Canadian blockchain
company, to create responsible sourcing software for supply chains. The platform
allows customers to use an iPhone app to scan precious metal products to obtain both
provenance and authentication information. By tracing precious metals to their original
sources, this solution can help to prevent counterfeit and unethically sourced metals
from entering the supply chain.73
Ian Sanders
Mining & Metals Leader
Deloitte Australia
58
Trend 10: Demanding provenance
59
Tracking the trends 2019
60
Conclusion
Holistic, dynamic,
and integrated
Devising a grand strategy for the future
With commodity prices staging approach, one that considers to resolve conventional
a comeback, the mining not only the full range of challenges in non-traditional
industry is poised for a new industry shifts and risks, but ways, ultimately transforming
cycle of growth. Yet, unlike past that provides executives with their approaches to risk
recoveries, this one is unlikely an enterprise-wide view of their management, talent attraction,
to be characterized by rampant value drivers. Decisions can no community relations, supply
optimism, overspending, and longer be made in silos, without chain systems, capital projects,
unrealistic production goals. an understanding of their global portfolio structuring, and
Battle-scarred and wary, implications. Instead, data, stakeholder relationships.
today’s mining companies have processes, operations, systems, Only in this way can mining
left their adolescence behind and teams must be integrated companies position themselves
and are walking towards an to ensure that critical actions to not only enhance financial
uncertain future with greater align to corporate vision. performance, but to assume
maturity, humility, and courage. the mantle of responsibility for
This requires mining companies the social and environmental
To thrive amid the demands to be willing to do more than repercussions of their actions.
and exigencies that Industry learn from their past mistakes.
4.0 presents, mining companies It also requires them to be
will need a new strategic sufficiently open-minded
Rajeev Chopra
Global Leader―Energy, Resources & Industrials
Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited
61
Tracking the trends 2019
Global contacts
Region/Country contacts
62
Contacts
63
Tracking the trends 2019
Endnotes
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64
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65
Tracking the trends 2019
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October 29, 2018.
Blockchain For The First Time,” by Aaron Wood. Accessed at ___
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on October 29, 2018.
64. Electrek, September 15, 2018. “BMW unveils its iNEXT next-gen
electric crossover concept, describes it as ‘building block for
the future’,” by Fred Lambert. Accessed at https://electrek.
co/2018/09/15/bmw-inext-electric-crossover-concept/ on
October 29, 2018.
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