Department of Education

Bayugan City Division

BAYUGAN NATIONAL COMPREHENSIVE HIGH SCHOOL
BAYUGAN CITY
DETAILED LESSON PLAN IN TEACHING MATHEMATICS

Grade Level: 11 Grading: Third

Duration: 1 hour
Teaching Date: January 15, 2018 Time: 8:45-9:45 am

I. Objectives

A. Content Standards
The learner demonstrates understanding of the key concept of the confidence
interval estimates for the population mean.
B. Performance Standards
The learner is able to use the concept of confidence interval and confidence level
in formulating conclusions and making decision (in their research).
C. Learning Competencies
1. define confidence level;
2. define confidence interval;
3. apply the normal curve concepts in computing the interval estimate; and
4. compute confidence interval estimates.

II. Content
Confidence Interval Estimates for the Population Mean

III. Reference/s
Statistics and Probability by Rene R. Belecina, et. al, pp 153-166

IV. Procedures
Teacher’s Activity Student’s Activity
A. Reviewing the Previous Lesson
In the previous chapters, you have learned about the
estimation and its concepts.

Let us have an activity to check if you are ready for

the new lesson.

Activity 1
The teacher will call a student in every question to
answer after presenting it.
1. What do you call a continuous, symmetric, and bell- 1. Normal curve
shaped distribution of a variable? 2. z
2. What values are indicated at the base of a normal 3. 1
distribution? 4. 0,1
3. The area under the curve is:
5. Mean of the Sampling
4. In a standard normal distribution, the mean is ___
and the standard deviation is ___. Distribution
𝜎
5. The expression is referred to as:
6. 50%
√𝑛 7. 68%
 6. In a standard normal distribution, what percent of the 8. ±1.96
area falls below the mean? 9. Central Limit Theorem
7. About what percentage of the area under the normal 10. Sampling distribution of
distribution lies within 1 standard deviation below and sample mean
1 standard deviation above the mean?
8. Under the standard normal distribution, what is the z-
value that corresponds to an area of 0.4750?
9. The following statement is better known as _____.
“As the sample size n increase, the shape of the
distribution of the sample means taken with
replacement from a population with mean 𝜇 and
standard deviation 𝜎 will approach a normal
distribution.
10. This consists of means derived from all possible
random samples of specific size obtained from a
population.

B. Presenting the New Lesson

Activity 2

Suppose we want to know the “true” average

height of all the students in the population where
the students in this class belong. We can
increase the precision of our guess by getting as
many random samples as we can, from the
population where the students purportedly come
from.

The class will form three groups and name each

Group A, Group B, and Group C. Assume these
groups are random samples.

Group Tasks:
1. Using a meter stick, find the height of each
group member carefully.
2. Compute the mean height and standard
deviation of each group
3. Compute the mean of the group means.

Guide Questions:
1. How would you describe your group based on the
result of the computation?
2. What is your estimate of the mean of the population
where your group seems to belong?
3. Are you confident about it? To what extent are you
confident?

Another way of estimating a parameter is by using an interval

estimate.
 A Interval estimate, called a confidence interval, is
a range of values that is used to estimate a parameter. This
estimate may or may not contain the true parameter value.

Example:
The height of Grade 11 – Euler is any value between 150
cm and 165 cm.

The confidence level of an interval estimate of a

parameter is the probability that the interval estimate
contains the parameter. It describes what percentage of
intervals from many different samples contain the unknown
population parameter.

There are three commonly used confidence intervals:

90%, 95% and 99%.

C. Establishing the purpose of the new lesson and

presenting examples of the new lesson

When we describe population values, we want to be confident

about our estimates. Other than the point estimate, we can use
a range of values. This range of values is called interval
estimate.

In real life, confidence statements are important. They

influence decisions to be made. Cite a situation or instances
(e.g., statements about weather conditions) that require a high
degree of confidence statement from the people who make
official announcements.

D. Discussion

 The area between 1 standard deviation unit below

the mean and 1 standard deviation above the mean
is approximately 68%
REMEMBER:

The middle 90% is in between the z=-1.65 and z=+1.65.

The middle 95% is in between the z=-1.96 and z=+1.96.

R
The middle 99% is in between the z=-2.58 and z=+2.58.
Approximately 95% of the sample means taken from
a population with mean 𝜇 will fall within ±1.96
standard errors of the population mean. This means
that the interval estimate is given by:
𝜎 𝜎
𝜇 − 1.95 ( ) 𝑡𝑜 𝜇 + 1.95 ( )
√𝑛 √𝑛
If a sample mean is specified, there is a 95%
probability that the interval:
𝜎 𝜎
𝜇 − 1.95 ( 𝑛) 𝑡𝑜 𝜇 + 1.95 ( 𝑛), contains 𝑥̅ .
√ √
And vice versa
 𝜎 𝜎
𝑥̅ − 1.95 ( 𝑛) 𝑡𝑜 𝑥̅ + 1.95 ( 𝑛), contains 𝜇.
√ √
This expression may also be stated like this.
𝜎 𝜎
𝑥̅ − 1.95 ( ) < 𝜇 < 𝑥̅ + 1.95 ( )
√𝑛 √𝑛

If the confidence is 95%, then 𝛼 is the remaining 5%. This is

the proportion of the area that is distributed in both tails of
the standard normal distribution curve. So, the area at each
𝛼 0.05
tail is 𝑜𝑟 which is equal to 0.025. This is indicated in
2 2
the symbol 𝑧𝛼 in the genera formula.
2
𝜎 𝜎
𝑥̅ − 𝑧𝛼 ( ) < 𝜇 < 𝑥̅ + 𝑧𝛼 ( )
2 √𝑛 2 √𝑛

Where
𝜎
𝑥̅ − 𝑧𝛼 ( 𝑛) is the lower confidence boundary or limit
2 √
𝜎
𝑥̅ + 𝑧𝛼 ( 𝑛) is the upper confidence boundary or limit
2 √
𝜎
𝑧𝛼 ( 𝑛) is the margin of error E
2 √
When 𝜎 is not known, the sample standard deviation s is
used to approximate. So, the formula for E is modified.

𝜎 𝑠
𝐸 = 𝑧𝛼 ( ) ≈ 𝑧𝛼 ( )
𝑛2 √ 𝑛 2 √

The ff. rule is observed in computing the confidence interval

for a population mean 𝜇.
Rounding Rule for a Confidence Interval for a Mean

 In computing a confidence interval for a population mean

by using raw data, round off to one more decimal place
than the number of decimal places in the original data.
 In computing a confidence interval for a population mean
by using a sample mean and standard deviation, round off
to the same number of decimal places as given for the
mean.

The interval estimate procedure is summarized in the ff.

four step process.
Four-step Process in Computing the Interval Estimate
Step 1: Describe the population parameter of interest.
Step 2: Specify the confidence interval criteria.
a. Check the assumptions.
b. Determine the test statistic to be used.
c. State the level of confidence.
Step 3: Collect and present sample evidence
a. Collect the sample information
b. Find the point estimate
Step 4: Determine the confidence interval
a. Determine the confidence coefficients
b. Find the maximum error E of the estimate
c. Find the lower and upper confidence limits.
d. Describe/interpret the results.
E. Developing Mastery

Activity 3
The class will be divided in four groups. Each group
will be given enough time do their task.

The first to finish will be given extra points and the

last will be the one to present their work in the class.

Group 1 & 2:
A researcher wants to estimate the number of hours
that 5 year old children spend watching television. A
sample of 50 five year old children was observed to
have a mean viewing of 3 hours. The population is
normally distributed with a population standard
deviation 𝜎 = 0.5 hours find:

a. The best point estimate of the population mean

b. The 95% confidence interval of the population
mean

Group 3 & 4:
A random selection of 40 entering Mathematics
majors has the ff. GPAs. Assume that 𝜎 = 0.46

Estimate the true mean GPA with 99% confidence.

F. Generalization
a. How can you define confidence level? How
about confidence interval?
b. How the normal curve concepts applied in
computing the interval estimate?
c. How did you compute confidence interval
estimate?
d. Do you have situations that you applied this
concepts unconsciously?

G. Evaluation
The students will answer the ff. individually in their
own papers. (1/2 cw)
1. Why is the interval estimate a preferred value for
the population mean?
2. Discuss the effect of the level of confidence
interval?
3. A sample of 60 Grade 9 student’s ages was
obtained to estimate the mean age of Grade 9
 students. 𝑥̅ = 15.3 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑠 and the population
variance is 16.
a. What is the point estimate for 𝜇?
b. Find the 95% confidence interval for 𝜇?
c. Find the 99% confidence interval for 𝜇?
d. What conclusion can you make based on
each estimate?

H. Remarks

I. Reflection
A. No. of Learners who earned 80% in the
evaluation
B. No. of Learners who require additional activities
for remediation who scored below 80%
C. Did the remedial lessons work? No. of Learners
who have caught up with the lessons
D. No. of learners who continue to require
remediation
E. Which of my teaching strategies worked well?
Why did these work?
F. What difficulties did I encountered which my
principal or supervisor can help me solve?
G. What innovation or localized materials did I
use/discover which I wish to share with other
teachers?

Prepared by:

LOREEN B. ROA
Student Teacher

Noted:

VENDY VON P. SALVAN

Cooperating Teacher