Anda di halaman 1dari 4

Year Quarter Amount Deseason t 411.25 s1 0.

99696
1 300 300.9146 1 s2 0.753799
2 200 265.3226 2 s3 0.753799
1
3 220 291.8548 3 s4 1.495441
4 530 354.4106 4
1 520 521.5854 5 SUMMARY OUTPUT
2 420 557.1774 6
2
3 400 530.6452 7 Regression Statistics
4 700 468.0894 8 Multiple R 0.836204
1 594.7926 596.606 9 R Square 0.699236
2 480.7704 637.7962 10 Adjusted R 0.649109
3
3 511.8196 678.9865 11 Standard E 71.47331
4 1076.982 720.1767 12 Observatio 8

ANOVA
df SS MS
Regression 1 71258.66 71258.66
Residual 6 30650.6 5108.433
Total 7 101909.3

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
Intercept 225.894 55.69155 4.056162
t 41.19023 11.02857 3.734865
F Significance F
13.94922 0.009681

P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%


Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
0.006679 89.62166 362.1663 89.62166 362.1663
0.009681 14.20429 68.17617 14.20429 68.17617
Periods Sales Prediction MAD MSE Periods Sales lambda
1 600 1 600 600 MAD
2 1550 2 1550 600 950
3 1500 3 1500 743.3097 756.6903
4 750 1216.667 466.6667 217777.8 4 750 857.4582 107.4582
5 950 1266.667 316.6667 100277.8 5 950 841.2478 108.7522
6 150 1066.667 916.6667 840277.8 6 150 857.6534 707.6534
7 800 616.6667 183.3333 33611.11 7 800 750.9022 49.09778
8 1200 633.3333 566.6667 321111.1 8 1200 758.3087 441.6913
770 490 378263.9 445.9061
63.63636
0.150852

Anda mungkin juga menyukai