a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t
Article history: The purpose of this research was to develop a new approach in determination of overhaul and mainte-
Received 2 September 2012 nance cost of loading equipment in surface mining. Two statistical models including univariate exponen-
Received in revised form 21 October 2012 tial regression (UER) and multivariate linear regression (MLR) were used in this study. Loading
Accepted 25 December 2012
equipment parameters such as bucket capacity, machine weight, engine power, boom length, digging
Available online 30 May 2013
depth, and dumping height were considered as variables. The results obtained by models and mean abso-
lute error rate indicate that these models can be applied as the useful tool in determination of overhaul
Keywords:
and maintenance cost of loading equipment. The results of this study can be used by the decision-makers
Overhaul and maintenance cost
Loading equipment
for the specific surface mining operations.
Surface mining Ó 2013 Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of China University of Mining & Technology.
Univariate exponential regression
Multivariate linear regression
Principal component analysis
2095-2686/$ - see front matter Ó 2013 Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of China University of Mining & Technology.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijmst.2013.05.002
442 A. Lashgari, A.R. Sayadi / International Journal of Mining Science and Technology 23 (2013) 441–446
2. Methods where yij is the value of the standardized matrix; xij the value of the
jth column and ith row in the matrix Xnm; and xj the mean value of
Technical and cost data of loading equipment are collected from the jth column.
the InfoMine [1]. Fig. 1 shows the technical parameters (variables) The correlation coefficients matrix R of data samples can be set
for loading equipment. Each of the parameters listed in Fig. 1 is up for each of independent variables according to yij, using the fol-
used as a predictor variable in the UER model while all parameters lowing equation:
related to each type of equipment are simultaneously used as the
R ¼ ½1=ðn 1Þ Y 0 Y ð2Þ
predictor variables in MLR model.
0
A quick estimate of overall overhaul and maintenance cost can where Y is the standardized data matrix; and Y the transpose of
be conducted by the UER model. This model can be applied in an standardized data matrix.
initial phase of the project evaluation in which a sufficient equip- In the subsequent step, the matrix of eigenvalue kj and eigen-
ment data are available and if the mine decision-makers prefer vector cj of the matrix R can be derived. Eigenvectors were used
to have a quick tool to evaluate different alternatives. However, to obtain unrotated factor loadings. Rotated loading values in prin-
this model does not provide a high accuracy in cost determination. cipal components indicate the contribution of each variable to the
The overall overhaul and maintenance cost (Y) can be expressed in PC. The loading value l is given by following equation:
the following form: Y = aXm, where Y is in $/h, X represents the spe- X
m pffiffiffiffi
cific equipment parameter, while a and m are constants deter- lj ¼ kj cj ð3Þ
mined by regression analysis. j¼1
Loading equipment
... ...
Table 1
Statistical data of loading equipment.
Bucket capacity (m3) Weight (kg) Power (HP) Dump height (m) Digging depth (m) Boom length (m) Overhaul and maintenance cost ($/h)
Wheel loader
Min 1.00 6950.8 73.0 2.50 3.15
Max 40.50 262,176.4 2300.0 7.30 156.23
Average 9.89 75,282.4 650.7 4.17 40.13
St. Dev 11.13 80,289.4 671.5 1.59 47.70
Backhoe shovel
Min 0.28 8035.0 54.0 5.10 4.10 6.65
Max 12.00 192,000.0 1086.0 12.20 14.50 102.13
Average 3.69 67,771.8 407.2 7.98 8.06 35.86
St. Dev 4.08 62,621.4 320.9 2.04 2.76 33.47
Hyd. front shovel
Min 2.30 43,499.5 250.0 5.00 46.87
Max 42.80 789,250.7 3350.0 13.90 607.90
Average 15.61 272,134.3 1342.4 9.86 208.42
St. Dev 12.05 220,954.2 970.5 2.49 152.25
Electric shovel
Min 5.40 252,197.0 685.0 10.70 67.50
Max 61.20 2,041,166.0 7000.0 19.50 269.48
Average 23.92 686,701.4 2926.7 15.41 150.40
St. Dev 16.27 492,703.4 1988.2 2.75 64.57
parameter such as bucket capacity. It can be noticed from Table 2 If the overhaul and maintenance cost of the loading equipment,
and Fig. 3 that 94.29% of variation in overall overhaul and mainte- with a specific parameter (variable), is known as (A), the following
nance cost for electric shovel can be explained by bucket capacity, equation may be used for determination of the overhaul and main-
96.34% for hydraulic front shovel, 96.83% for backhoe shovel, and tenance cost with a different variable (B):
97.53% for wheel loader.
CostðBÞ ¼ CostðAÞ ½X B =X A m ð5Þ
Table 2
where m is the scaling exponent determined by the regression; X
UER models and coefficients of determination.
the cost for a specific variable; and A and B the values of two vari-
Equation R2 ables (specific equipment parameters).
Electric shovel This exponential rule is generally satisfactory, not only for
Y = 20.902(BC)0.6358 94.29 bucket capacity, but also for other variables. Table 3 shows the m
Y = 1.2845(HP)0.6025 92.86
values for all variables used in the model.
Y = 0.0159(W)0.684 84.67
Y = 0.2723(BL)2.2876 87.69 Statistical analysis of predictor variables shows intense correla-
tions among them (Table 4). With respect to existing correlations,
Hyd. front shovel
Y = 17.071(BC)0.9131 96.34 it is essential to take this problem away from the data and then ap-
Y = 0.2364(HP)0.9408 95.32 ply MLR to uncorrelated independent variables [12]. Values given
Y = 0.004(W)0.8697 94.22 in Table 4 are often close to 1, which indicates a significant corre-
Y = 0.8166(DH)2.3433 78.52 lation between independent variables. Applying PCA on loading
Backhoe shovel equipment parameters to describe their interrelation pattern, the
Y = 14.173(BC)0.7534 96.83 number of PCs will equal the number of original independent vari-
Y = 0.1056(HP)0.9603 93.88
Y = 0.0019(W)0.8874 98.20
ables. These new variables are independent linear combinations of
Y = 0.0295(DH)3.2827 81.41 original variables and they retain the maximum possible variance
Y = 0.2134(DD)2.3313 72.16 of the initial set. Table 5 shows the eigenvectors of correlation ma-
Wheel loader trix that represents the matrix of the weights for the PCs, which
Y = 2.9702(BC)1.0714 97.53 shows the relative importance of each standardized parameter in
Y = 0.0223(HP)1.1396 97.27 the PC calculations.
Y = 0.0005(W)1.0048 97.54
As an example, the following equation indicates the relation be-
Y = 0.1726(DH)3.4589 93.75
tween PC3 and specific parameter of wheel loaders:
444 A. Lashgari, A.R. Sayadi / International Journal of Mining Science and Technology 23 (2013) 441–446
Table 3 Table 5
Scaling exponent for independent variables (m). Eigenvectors of correlation matrix.
eigenvalue indicates the importance of the respective factors in Backhoe BC 0.442 0.490 0.576 0.197 0.441
explaining the variation of the data. It can be seen that the eigen- DD 0.432 0.606 0.147 0.612 0.225
DH 0.447 0.459 0.137 0.727 0.206
values are arranged in decreasing order. W 0.455 0.401 0.034 0.198 0.769
In order to determine the overall overhaul and maintenance HP 0.460 0.148 0.792 0.139 0.348
cost, the analyses of the PC scores were performed by the stepwise
Table 4
Correlation matrices of independent variables.
A. Lashgari, A.R. Sayadi / International Journal of Mining Science and Technology 23 (2013) 441–446 445
Table 6 variable selection procedure. For example, the result of MLR model
Eigen values of correlation matrix. for cable shovels is shown in Table 7.
Type Variable Eigen value Total variance (%) Beta column in Table 7 indicates the standardized coefficients of
Loader PC1 3.915 97.878 regression. These coefficients are useless for estimation, but their
PC2 0.059 1.472 advantage (compared to the ones that are not standardized) is that
PC3 0.018 0.456 their magnitudes allow comparing the relative contribution of each
PC4 0.008 0.194 independent variable in the estimation. For example, with regard
C. shovel PC1 3.695 92.365 to this column, PC1 is the most important explanatory parameter
PC2 0.279 6.984 of overall overhaul and maintenance cost of cable shovels. The B
PC3 0.020 0.509
PC4 0.006 0.142
column in Table 7 indicates regression coefficient of PCs for each
function. For evaluation of significance of regression coefficients,
H. shovel PC1 2.449 61.223
PC2 1.465 36.617
the t-test was applied and the results indicate statistically signifi-
PC3 0.070 1.754 cance of explanatory parameters. It can be noticed that PC1 is sta-
PC4 0.016 0.406 tistically significant in this relationship.
Backhoe PC1 4.503 90.066 Table 8 shows the coefficient of determination for each model.
PC2 0.416 8.315 It can be seen that, in average, 96.98% of variation in overall cost
PC3 0.062 1.249 can be explained by this approach. Since the increase in number
PC4 0.018 0.367
of independent variables can result in an increase of the R2, using
PC5 0.000 0.003
the adjusted coefficient of determination (adjR2) can be more sui-
ted for comparing these models. The adjusted R2 is interpreted as
that of the R2 value except it takes into account the number of
Table 7 degrees of freedom. It is adjusted by dividing the error sum and to-
Results of MLR analysis for cable shovels. tal sums of squares through their respective degrees of freedom.
Beta B Std. Err. of B t p-Level The following equation indicates relations between R2 and adjR2:
Intercept 150.4007 4.59608 32.7237 adjR2 ¼ 1 ½ðresidual SS=dfÞ=ðtotal SS=dfÞ ð7Þ
PC1 0.963960 0.073863 32.3840 2.48140 13.0507
PC2 0.096001 0.073863 11.7289 9.02409 1.2997 where residual SS is the error sums of squares; the total SS the total
PC3 0.064401 0.073863 29.1345 33.41512 0.8719
sums of squares; and df their respective degree of freedom.
PC4 0.091198 0.073863 78.1788 63.31820 1.2347
In order to establish the relationships among independent
variables of loading equipment and overall cost, the B coefficients
in Table 7 are multiplied to eigenvectors of correlation matrix
given in Table 6. Using the Eq. (4), the variables are returned again
Table 8
to their initial positions (un-standardized) and the relationships
Coefficients of determination of each function.
between overhaul and maintenance cost and equipment
Item R2 adjR2 parameters are established. For example, relationship between
Hydraulic shovel 95.94 95.04 independent variables of cable shovels and overall overhaul and
Cable shovel 95.09 92.91 maintenance cost (OOMC) is obtained as follows:
Wheel loader 99.35 99.09
Backhoe 97.54 96.82 OOMCð$=hÞ ¼ 1:029BC þ 5:511BL þ 0:00003W þ 0:008HP
Average 96.98 95.96
6:194 ð8Þ
The results for all of loading equipment can be expressed as follows: 4. Conclusions
Cable Shovel OOMC ¼ 6:194 þ 1:029BC þ 5:511BL Determination of the overhaul and maintenance cost of loading
þ 0:00003W þ 0:008HP ð9Þ equipment is a very important task in surface mining operations. A
statistical approach to determination of overhaul and maintenance
cost of loading equipment (electric and front and backhoe hydrau-
Hydraulic Shovel OOMC ¼ 9:018 þ 12:33BC
lic shovels, and wheel loaders) in surface mining has been pre-
þ 0:00026DH 0:00026W sented in this paper. Two series of cost estimation equations
þ 0:08HP ð10Þ including univariate exponential regression (UER) and multivariate
linear regression (MLR) are presented and mean absolute error rate
is used for the evaluation of the models. Results indicate that these
Wheel Loader OOMC ¼ 22:806 þ 0:738BC 10:193DH models can be applied as a useful tool in determination of overhaul
þ 0:0005W þ 0:026HP ð11Þ and maintenance cost of loading equipment.
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