Anda di halaman 1dari 394

PDRB Atas Dasar Harga Konstan 2010 Menurut Lapangan Usaha (Juta Rupiah)

Kategori PDRB
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Pertanian, Kehutanan, dan Perikanan 87242.9 91 439.50 97 255.60 101 653 106 331.40 109 482.20

Pertambangan dan Penggalian 322739.4 333 301.90 344 173.10 372 344.70 42 010.10 1 147.80

Industri Pengolahan 712872.2 730 586.40 762 913.30 795 766.90 845 296.90 890 658.10

Pengadaan Listrik dan Gas 31266.5 34 276 36 513.60 24 193 26 314.40 27 859.40
Pengadaan Air, pengelolaan
6093.5 6 534.90 7 255.90 7 888.40 8 454.80 8 715.40
Sampah,Limbah Konstruksi
Konstruksi 3041532.5 3289734.8 3580366.2 3903061.6 4203463.4 4404142.3
Perdagangan Besar dan Eceran; Reparasi
1823484.4 1953493.9 2099478.1 2288861.5 2579407.8 2771105.2
Mobil dan Sepeda
Transportasi dan Pergudangan 521016.6 558987.1 606558 651834.5 707656 772999.8

Penyediaan Akomodasi dan Makan Minum 110001 116 808.70 125 215.80 134 046.60 145 812.50 156 022.40

Informasi dan Komunikasi 294637.5 323 606.60 351 881 386 809.10 421 496.30 442 739.90

Jasa Keuangan dan Asuransi 292511.7 338 294.10 357 613.50 377 758.10 401 635.40 416 936.10

Real Estate 298806.1 325 536.70 344 794.50 368 266.50 393 336.40 419 400.80

Jasa Perusahaan 1277.7 1 422.50 1 548.90 1 683.20 1 780 1 880.50


Administrasi Pemerintahan, Pertahanan dan
870047.8 917 000.80 958 514.30 1 025 003.80 1 096 105.50 1 176 181.50
Jaminan Sosial
Jasa Pendidikan 355600.8 379 722.80 402 302.60 430 916.80 462 566.20 492 388.60

Jasa Kesehatan dan Kegiatan Sosial 247619.7 259 488.10 273 848.50 290 613.80 309 405.50 328 344.20

Jasa lainnya 124909 124 133.50 129 578.80 134 125 140 183.30 147 982.90

PRODUK DOMESTIK REGIONAL BRUTO 9141659.1 9784368.2 10479811.9 11294826.3 11891255.8 12567987

PRODUK DOMESTIK REGIONAL BRUTO


9,141,659 9,784,368 10,479,812 11,294,826 11,891,256 12,567,987
TANPA MIGAS
7.03 7.11 7.78 5.28 5.69

50,000,000
45,000,000
40,000,000
35,000,000
30,000,000
25,000,000
20,000,000
15,000,000
10,000,000
5,000,000
-
10 012 014 16 018 20 022 24 026 028 030 032 034 036
20 2 2 20 2 20 2 20 2 2 2 2 2 2 20

Eks i sting Proyeks i


LPE
Usaha (Juta Rupiah)

Tahun TOTAL
2016

114548 2011 7.03


1203.3 2012 7.11
912540.5 2013 7.78
33854.6 2014 5.28
9037.2 2015 5.69
4531322.6 2016 5.08
3000907.8 Juta Rupiah
815748.4

Tahun PDRB Kota Tanjunginang


168928.5

473115 2010 9,141,659


430049.4 2011 9,784,368
440802.1 2012 10,479,812
2048.9 2013 11,294,826
1253004.2 2014 11,891,256
520024.2 2015 12,567,987
343365.4 2016 13,206,451
155950.6 2017 13,551,167
13206450.6 2018 14,336,691
13,206,451 2019 15,167,750
5.08 6.33 2020 16,046,983
2021 16,977,183
2022 17,961,304
2023 19,002,472
2024 20,103,993
2025 21,269,367
2026 22,502,294
2027 23,806,690
2028 25,186,699
2029 26,646,704
2030 28,191,340
2031 29,825,516
2032 31,554,419
8 0 2 4 6 38 2033 33,383,543
02 203 203 203 203 20
2034 35,318,696
si 2035 37,366,024
2036 39,532,031
2037 41,823,595
2038 44,247,995
2039 46,812,930
PDRB ADHK

SEKTOR SEKTOR SEKTOR


TRANSPORTASI PERDAGANGAN JASA KONSTRUKSI
7.29 7.13 8.16
8.51 7.47 8.83
7.46 9.02 9.01
8.56 12.69 7.70
9.23 7.43 4.77
5.53 8.29 2.89

PDRB ADHK

1,000,000 SEKTOR SEKTOR SEKTOR


TRANSPORTASI PERDAGANGAN JASA KONSTRUKSI
9,141,659,100,000 521,017 1,823,484 3,041,533
9,784,368,200,000 558,987 1,953,494 3,289,735 7.03
10,479,811,900,000 606,558 2,099,478 3,580,366 7.11
11,294,826,300,000 651,835 2,288,862 3,903,062 7.78
11,891,255,800,000 707,656 2,579,408 4,203,463 5.28
12,567,987,000,000 773,000 2,771,105 4,404,142 5.69
13,206,450,600,000 815,748 3,000,908 4,531,323 5.08
13,551,166,800,000 857,951 3,179,995 4,482,491 2.61
14,336,690,982,450 5.80
15,167,749,859,463
16,046,982,953,100
16,977,182,791,318
17,961,303,777,302
19,002,471,572,934
20,103,993,026,190
21,269,366,674,006
22,502,293,853,961
23,806,690,460,080
25,186,699,380,086
26,646,703,653,604
28,191,340,393,112
29,825,515,511,852
31,554,419,305,479
33,383,542,936,930
35,318,695,876,883
37,366,024,355,186
39,532,030,881,872
41,823,594,899,744
44,247,994,634,144
46,812,930,209,288
[Seri 2010] PDRB Triwulanan A
2010 2011

[Seri 2010] Lapangan Usaha


Total Total

Pertanian, Kehutanan, dan Perikanan 4,506,561 4683473.58

Pertambangan dan Penggalian 19,854,861 20380232.25

Industri Pengolahan 42,191,387 45483541.95

Pengadaan Listrik dan Gas 953,341 1051832.38

Pengadaan Air, Pengelolaan Sampah, Limbah 155,608 168308.71


dan Daur Ulang

Konstruksi 17,950,711 19443483.41

Perdagangan Besar dan Eceran; Reparasi 7,917,721 8481717.53


Mobil dan Sepeda Motor

Transportasi dan Pergudangan 2,953,542 3226832.63

Penyediaan Akomodasi dan Makan Minum 2,092,638 2277419.04

Informasi dan Komunikasi 2,297,390 2523272.43

Jasa Keuangan dan Asuransi 2,886,953 3318538.67

Real Estate 1,773,638 1903100.37

Jasa Perusahaan 5,672 6337.35

Administrasi Pemerintahan, Pertahanan dan 2,486,177 2724322.55


Jaminan Sosial Wajib

Jasa Pendidikan 1,551,225 1577435.09

Jasa Kesehatan dan Kegiatan Sosial 1064838.60 1138742.88

Jasa lainnya 581,409 572832.46

PDRB 111,223,672 118,961,423

PDRB TANPA MIGAS 92773824.24 100281576.28


900,000,000

800,000,000

700,000,000

600,000,000

500,000,000

400,000,000

300,000,000

200,000,000

100,000,000

-
10 012 014 016 018 020 02
20 2 2 2 2 2 2

EKSISTING
[Seri 2010] PDRB Triwulanan Atas Dasar Harga Konstan Menurut Lapangan Usaha (Juta Rupiah)
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Total Total Total Total Total Total

4794169.87 5000008.60 5378146.89 5689215.64 5,899,680 5,899,680

21413423.15 22111055.66 23270776.91 25417326.60 25,718,197 25,718,197

49155550.98 53173702.65 56338040.86 59498187.44 62,458,862 62,458,862

1127554.32 1209173.76 1326220.54 1400515.50 1,621,700 1,621,700

176915.78 184030.56 187764.95 193107.88 223,774 223,774

21642830.81 23802363.82 25954827.37 26871948.06 29,042,763 29,042,763

9067591.19 9955713.98 10803002.51 11738601.21 13,665,031 13,665,031

3456038.74 3717755.53 3939817.08 4161122.80 4,681,698 4,681,698

2474831.23 2665832.22 2842911.70 3002926.03 3536015.50 3,536,015

2700316.60 2874475.31 3076753.95 3230700.81 3,736,382 3,736,382

3,536,126 3750613.07 3967868.85 4105521.54 4474483.80 4,474,484

1997111.08 2110288.55 2245189.36 2340429.48 2536585.10 2,536,585

6927.12 7436.81 7587.15 7797.54 8879.10 8,879

2892262.74 3,028,831 3150357.93 3386486.65 3,788,411 3,788,411

1772834.20 1827200.96 1905304.82 2022476.68 2428194.20 2,428,194

1230373.16 1250994.39 1311567.52 1405320.33 1618900.30 1,618,900

590111.04 594374.36 619096.20 659666.81 758861.60 758,862

128,034,968 137,263,851 146,325,235 155,131,351 166,198,418 166,198,418

108298977.82 116879790.48 124834574.97 131532652.25 142242818.30 142242818.27


Tahun PDRB Rata-rata
2010 111,223,672
2011 118,961,423 6.96
2012 128,034,968 7.63
2013 137,263,851 7.21
2014 146,325,235 6.60
2015 155,131,351 6.02
2016 166,198,418 7.13
2017 177,706,533 6.92
2018 190,011,507
2019 203,168,517
2020 217,236,561
2021 232,278,722
2022 248,362,451
000 2023 265,559,868
000 2024 283,948,091
000
2025 303,609,574
2026 324,632,481
000
2027 347,111,082
000 2028 371,146,174
000 2029 396,845,533
000
2030 424,324,399
2031 453,705,990
000
2032 485,122,058
000 2033 518,713,476
- 2034 554,630,871
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 4
2 203526 028 030 032 34 036 038
20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 2 2 2 20 2 2 593,035,304
2036 634,098,983
EKSISTING PROYEKSI
2037 678,006,043
2038 724,953,371
2039 775,151,483
LPE Juta Rupiah
PDRB ADHK

Tahun TOTAL SEKTOR Tahun


SEKTOR PERDAGA SEKTOR
TRANSPO NGAN KONSTRU
RTASI JASA KSI

2011 7.03 7.29 7.13 8.16 2010

2012 7.11 8.51 7.47 8.83 2011

2013 7.78 7.46 9.02 9.01 2012

2014 5.28 8.56 12.69 7.70 2013

2015 5.69 9.23 7.43 4.77 2014

2016 5.08 5.53 8.29 2.89 2015

2016

2017
Juta Rupiah
PDRB ADHK

TOTAL SEKTOR
SEKTOR TRANSPORTASI INDUSTRI PENGOLAHAN KONSTRUKSI

111,223,672 2,953,542.32 42,191,387 17,950,711

118,961,423 3,226,832.63 45,483,542 19,443,483

128,034,968 3,456,038.74 49,155,551 21,642,831

137,263,851 3,717,755.53 53,173,703 23,802,364

146,325,235 3,939,817.08 56,338,041 25,954,827

155,131,351 4,161,122.80 59,498,187 26,871,948

166,198,418 4,681,698.10 62,458,862 29,042,763

166,198,418 4,681,698.08 62,458,862 29,042,763


Jumlah Pen
Wilayah
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Kepulauan Riau 1273011 1334845 1392918 1531191 1607257
Karimun 200645 208703 216221 205125 209042
Bintan 116876 120271 122677 136221 139407
Natuna 88503 91309 93424 65624 67389
Lingga 82941 85429 86894 84397 85867
Kepulauan Anambas - - - 35983 36734
Batam 616088 655926 695739 824964 885503
Tanjungpinang 167,958 173,207 177,963 178,877 183,315

Tahun Tahun Jumlah Penduduk


2010 188,309
1.58 2011 191,287
1.47 2012 194,099
1.48 2013 196,980
1.39 2014 199,723
1.25 2015 202,215
1.25 2016 204,735
1.13 2017 207,057
2018 209,405
2019 211,780
2020 214,182
2021 216,611
2022 219,068
2023 221,553
2024 224,065
2025 226,607
2026 229,177
2027 231,776
2028 234,405
2029 237,063
2030 239,752
2031 242,471
2032 245,221
2033 248,002
2034 250,815
2035 253,659
2036 256,536
2037 259,446
2038 262,388
2039 265,364
Jumlah Penduduk (Jiwa)
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
1692816 1748810 1805089 1861373 1917415 1973043 2028169 2082694
213479 216146 218475 220882 223117 225298 227277 229194
143020 145057 147212 149120 151123 153020 154584 156313
69416 70423 71454 72527 73470 74520 75282 76192
86513 87026 87482 87867 88274 88591 88971 89330
37629 38210 38833 39374 39892 40414 40921 41412
954450 1000661 1047534 1094623 1141816 1188985 1236399 1283196
188,309 191,287 194,099 196,980 199,723 202,215 204,735 207,057

Tahun Jumlah Penduduk


300,000
2019 211,780
2024 224,065
250,000
2029 237,063
2034 250,815
2039 265,364 200,000
188,309
150,000

100,000

50,000

EKSISTING PROYEKSI
265,364

PROYEKSI
Tahun PDRB
2010 111,223,671,600,000
2017 166,198,417,700,000

JUMLAH PENDUDUK PDRB


Kabupaten/Kota
2010 2017 2010
Kepulauan Riau 1,692,816 2,082,694 8,234,491,231,667
Karimun 213,479 229,194 5,486,362,180,000
Bintan 143,020 156,313 8,891,006,500,000
Natuna 69,416 76,192 11,243,935,600,000
Lingga 86,513 89,330 1,857,722,710,000
Kepulauan Anambas 37,629 41,412 12,786,261,300,000
Tanjungpinang 188,309 207,057 9,141,659,100,000
Penduduk Pendapatan Perkapita
1,692,816 65,703,344
2,082,694 79,799,729

PDRB Pendapatan Perkapita


Rasio
2017 2010 2017
11,001,869,180,000 38.88
8,594,060,000,000 25,699,775 37,496,880 56.64
13,364,821,800,000 62,166,176 85,500,386 50.32
14,665,420,000,000 161,979,019 192,479,788 30.43
2,691,275,130,000 21,473,336 30,127,338 44.87
13,144,471,350,000 339,798,063 317,407,306 2.80
13,551,166,800,000 48,546,055 65,446,552 48.24
Januari Februari
JENIS KOMODITI Satuan
Bongkar Muat Bongkar Muat
I A. BAHAN POKOK :
- Beras Ton 759 - 615 -
- Gula Pasir Ton 177 - 147 -
- Tepung Terigu Ton 81 - 27 -
- Asam Jawa Ton - - - -
- Minyak Goreng Ton - - - -
2 B. BAHAN STRATEGIS : - - - -
- Pupuk Ton - - 6 -
- Semen Ton 7,933 - 4,024 -
- Baja/Besi Beton Ton 237 - 333 -
- Aspal Ton - - - -
- Gencar Ton 222 - 354 -
M3 6,049 171 5,756 46
- Container 40 ft Unit
- Container 20 ft Unit
- Kabel Ton
- Tiang PLN Ton
- Kayu Gergajian/log M3 45 - 27 -
- Tangki Air M3
- Batu Granit Ton - - - -
3 C. MIGAS : - - - -
- BBM Ton - - 100 -
- Crude Oil Ton 48 - 78 -
- Gas/LNG Ton - - - -
4 D. NON MIGAS : Ton - - - -
- Roda 2 M3
- Roda 4 M3
- Kayu Lapis M3 90 - 39 -
- Garam Industri Ton 36 - - -
5 E. BARANG LAINNYA : - - - -
- Tekstil/Garment M3 - - - -
- Fiber Ton
- Kabel M3
- Meuble M3 - - - -
- Perahu M3
- Gipsum 0 0 0 0 0
- Triplek M3
- Tawas Ton
- Keramik Ton
- Makanan Ternak Ton 330 - 291 -
- Asbes M3 219 0 151 0
- Tiang Lisrik/Tiang Pancang Ton 9 0 0 0
- Alat-Alat Berat/Mesin ton 715 0 0 0
- Chasis Ton
- Plat GRC Ton
- Kawat Ton
- Batu Bata Ton
- Kaporit M3
- The Ton 110 - 357 -

55
48
Maret April Mei Juni Juli
Bongkar Muat Bongkar Muat Bongkar Muat Bongkar Muat Bongkar Muat
-
1,516 - 1,008 - 2,104 - 1,067 - 605
144 - 30 - 51 - 24 - 24 -
51 - 135 - 192 - 73 - 53 -
- - - - 18 - 18 - 18 -
- - - - - - 12 - 12 -
-
653 - 30 - 1,572 - 18 - 6 -
3,672 - 5,554 - 5,218 - 8,708 - 7,535 -
387 - 504 - 156 - 324 - 730 -
- - - - - - - - -
795 - 25 248 25 - 4,187 203 4,989 597
7,181 - 3,629 - 2,840 248 2,840 248 2,840 248
77

15
525 215 215
- - - - - - - - 45 -
24 24
- - - - - - 24 -
- - - - - - - -
- - 15 - 120 - 120 - 140 -
- - - - 15 - 38 - 74 -
- - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - -

126 - 270 - 222 - 154 - 395


78 - 9 - 151 - 55 - 69
- - - - - - -
- - 45 45 - 45 - 45
12 12 12 12
240 6 95 95
15 - 55 - 55 - 40 - 40

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

45
505 371 315 596
- - 447 - 255 - 379 - 432
126 0 135 0 85 0 130 0 89
0 0 0 6 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

81
6 6 6 6
25 25
20 20
165 - 68 - 102 - 235 - 123
Agustus September Oktober November Desember
Bongkar Muat Bongkar Muat Bongkar Muat Bongkar Muat Bongkar Muat

1,892 - 1264 1123 1,786 300 1364 300


3 - 198 384 361 478 0
126 - 52 71 192 52 0
30 - 18 0 27 0 18 0 18 0
15 - 15 15 -
- - -
2,203 - 3 0 3 0
5,195 - 8369 0 9145 8187 20 8579 20
1,012 - 1164 0 706 739 515
- - 0 0 300 0 322
6,085 217 5354 703 4382 718 5326 718 5708 768
2,840 248 351 9 250 12 724 285 316 285
5 - 5 5
90 - 90 90
15 - 15 15
215 - 215 270
45 - 45 45
24 - 24 24
- -
- - -
140 - 140 140
109 - 116 90 92 26
- - 0 0 0
- - - 0
536 532 52 585 78
727 1274 221 936 169
395 - 395 - 0
67 - 172 168 196 33
- - -
45 - 45 45 45 45
12 - 12 12
95 - 95 95
20 - 22 22
40 - 40 40
50 - 50 50 0 0 0 0 0
283 - 371 253 5
45 - 45 45
690 - 732 461
676 - 548 523 482 596
149 0 374 0 220 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
75 - 75 75
81 - 81 81
6 - 6 6
41 - 41 41
9 - 9 9
86 - 129 310 215 85
TOTAL
Bongkar Muat

15,103 600 7.06


2,021 - 0.94
1,105 - 0.52
165 - 0.08
69 - 0.03
- - 0.00
4,494 - 2.10
82,119 40 38.40
6,807 - 3.18
300 322 0.14
37,452 4,172 17.51
35,616 1,800 16.65
92 - 0.04
270 - 0.13
60 - 0.03
1,655 - 0.77
252 - 0.12
120 - 0.06
24 - 0.01
- 0.00
915 - 0.43
752 - 0.35
74 - 0.03
- - 0.00
1,653 130 0.77
2,937 390 1.37
2,086 - 0.98
1,034 - 0.48
- 0.00
405 - 0.19
84 - 0.04
721 - 0.34
269 - 0.13
120 - 0.06
150 - 0.07
907 5 0.42
180 - 0.08
3,670 - 1.72
4,959 - 2.32
1,678 - 0.78
15 - 0.01
715 - 0.33
225 - 0.11
324 - 0.15
42 - 0.02
173 - 0.08
67 - 0.03
1,985 - 0.93
213,864 100.00
Januari Spesifikasi Kapal
No Nama Kapal GRT LOA
1 Km. Intan Samudra 23 1141 63
2 Km. Bintang Sejahtera 8 1474 68
3 Km. Intan Samudra 6 1000 63
4 Km. Wiras Permata 947 58
5 Km. Cengkeh 8 791 47
6 Km. Cengkeh 6 701 47
7 Km. Michael Putra 1140 57
8 Km. Madani 99 34
9 Km. Mandiri Jaya 8 1477 65
10 Klm. Amanat Bahari 206 31
11 Tk. Bakau 2304 62
12 Tk. Cipta Nusantara 305 36
13 Tk. ZA -09 977 54
Jumlah 12497 651
Februari
No Nama Kapal GRT LOA
1 Km. Intan Samudra 23 1141 63
2 Km. Wiras Permata 947 58
3 Km. Intan Samudra 6 1000 63
4 Km. Grand Sindoro 395 44
5 Km. Cengkeh 8 791 47
6 Km. Cengkeh 6 701 47
7 Km.Bintang Sejahtera 8 1174 68
8 Km. Asta Chaisun 296 30
9 Km. Michael Putra 1140 57
10 Klm. Super Indah Utama 245 30
Jumlah 7830 507
Maret
No Nama Kapal GRT LOA
1 Km Kawarane 140 32
2 Km Wiras Permata 02 947 58
3 Km. Intan Samudera 6 1000 64
4 Km. Sejahtera 20 715 50
5 Km. Mandiri Jaya 8 1477 70
6 Km. DBS 02 353 45
7 Km. Great Sindoro 490 35
8 Km Cengkeh 8 791 56
9 Km Cengkeh 6 701 47
10 Km Sejahtera 27 641 46
11 Km Bintang Sejahtera 8 1474 74
12 Km Great Sindoro 490 35
13 Km Michael Putra 1140 58
14 MT Asta Chaisun 296 25
Jumlah 10655 695
April
No Nama Kapal GRT LOA
1 Km Kawarane 140 32
2 Km Wiras Permata 02 947 58
3 Km. Intan Samudera 6 1000 64
4 Km. Sejahtera 20 715 50
5 Km. Mandiri Jaya 8 1477 70
6 Km. DBS 02 353 45
7 Km. Great Sindoro 490 35
8 Km Cengkeh 8 791 56
9 Km Cengkeh 6 701 47
10 Km Sejahtera 27 641 46
11 Km Bintang Sejahtera 8 1474 74
12 Km Great Sindoro 490 35
13 Km Michael Putra 1140 58
14 MT Asta Chaisun 296 25
15 Km. Batam Baru 124 30
16 Km. Batam Baru 124 30
17 Km Lestari 298 36
Jumlah 11201 791
Mei
No Nama Kapal GRT LOA
1 KM Koyo 941 65
2 KM Intan Samudra 23 1141 64
3 Km. Intan Samudera 6 1000 64
4 KM Dewi Bahagia 409 41
5 KM Sejahtera 20 715 51
6 KM Era 2008 1320 69
7 KM Cengkeh 8 791 56
8 KM Sejahtera 33 739 52
9 TB Dewi Sejahtera 8/ TK Trias Mitra Beta 276 50
10 KLM Mitra Abadi 173 24
11 KM Cengkeh 6 791 56
12 KM Mandiri Jaya 8 1477 74
13 KM Wiras Permata 1 947 58
14 MT Asta Chaisun 296 25
15 TB Multi Sahabat/TK Indah V 1393 79
16 KM Michael Putra 1140 58
17 KM Kawarane 173 31
18 KM Bayu Permata 494 45
19 KLM Zaqiah 279 33
20 KM Great Sindoro 490 46
21 KM Sejahtera 36 1046 56
21 KM. Batam Baru 124 30
21 KM Lestari 298 36
21 KM. Batam Baru 124 30
21 KM. Batam Baru 124 30
21 KM. Batam Baroe 173 25
21 KM Lestari 298 36
21 KM Batam Baroe 173 25
Jumlah 17345 1309
Juni
No Nama Kapal GRT LOA
1 KM Intan Samudra 23 1141 64
2 KM Kawarane 173 31
3 Km. Intan Samudera 6 1000 64
4 KM Taisei 1261 71
5 KM Dewi Bahagia 499 40
6 TB Dewi Sejahtera 8/ TK Trias Mitra Beta 276 47
7 KM Cengkeh 8 791 56
8 KM Bintang Sejahtera 8 1474 68
9 KM Cengkeh 6 791 56
10 MT Asta Chaisun 296 25
11 KM Sejahtera 1118 66
12 KM Madani 34 27
13 Tb Sumber Rezeki / Tk Cipta Niaga 26 259
14 KM Bahari 24 1428 74
Jumlah 10308 948
Juli
No Nama Kapal GRT LOA
1 KM Michael Putra 1140 58
2 KM Intan Samudra 23 1141 64
3 KM Sejahtera 36 1046 56
4 KM Kawarane 2 358 50
5 KM Cengkeh 8 791 56
6 KM Sejahtera 20 715 51
7 MT Asta Chaisun 296 35
8 KM Dewi Bahagia 499 40
9 KM Intan Samudra 6 1000 64
10 KM Sekar Purnama 673 51
11 KM Mandiri Jaya 8 1477 74
12 KM Cengkeh 6 701 48
13 KM Tenang Jaya 599 50
14 KM Michael Putra 1140 58
15 KLM Super Indah Utama 245 29
16 KM Kawarane 174 50
17 KM Intan Samudra 23 1141 64
18 KM Sejahtera 36 1046 56
19 KM Lestari 298 36
20 KM. Batam Baroe 173 25
21 KM Lestari 298 36
22 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
23 KM Lestari 298 36
24 KM Lestari 298 36
Jumlah 15671 1147
Agustus
No Nama Kapal GRT LOA
1 TB Sumber Jasa / TK Cipta Mandiri 524 79
2 KM Bintang Sejahtera 8 1474 74
3 KM Victory 173 32
4 KM Intan Samudra 6 1000 64
5 KM Mandiri Jaya 8 1477 74
6 KM Cengkeh 6 701 48
7 TB Sumber Rejeki / TK Cipta Niaga 26 259
8 KM Sejahtera 27 641 46
9 TB Sumber Jasa / TK Cipta Mandiri 524 79
10 KM Sekar Purnama 673 51
11 KM Michael Putra 1140 58
12 KM Chuo 1 1393 77
13 KM Batam Mas Indo Raya 487 45
14 KM Intan Samudra 23 1141 64
15 KM DBS 535 50
16 KM Sabar 799 46
17 KM Intan Samudra 6 1000 64
18 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
19 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
20 KM Lestari 298 36
21 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
22 KM Lestari 298 36
23 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
Jumlah 14800 1378
September
No Nama Kapal GRT LOA
1 KM Cengkeh 6 701 48
2 LCT AGUNG SEJATI 614 57
3 KM Kawarane 2 358 35
4 KM Sejahtera 27 641 46
5 KM Wiras Permata 2 947 58
6 KM Michael Putra 1140 58
7 KM Bahari 24 1428 74
8 KM Kawarane 174 31
9 KM Cengkeh 8 791 56
10 KM Intan Samudra 23 1141 64
11 KM Sejahtera 36 1046 56
12 KM Bintang Sejahtera 8 1474 74
13 KM Intan Samudra 6 1000 64
14 KM Bayu Permata 494 45
15 KLM Pulau Abadi 245 30
16 KM Mandiri Jaya 8 1477 74
17 KM Cengkeh 6 701 48
18 KM Kawarane 2 358 35
19 KM Lestari 298 36
20 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
21 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
22 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
23 KM Lestari 298 36
24 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
25 KM Lestari 298 36
Jumlah 16120 1157
Oktober
No Nama Kapal GRT LOA
1 KM Sekar Purnama 673 51
2 KM Michael Putra 1140 58
3 KM Intan Samudra 23 1141 64
4 TB Bojoma 03 / TK Fly Power 2503 146 2027
5 KM Mandiri Jaya 8 1477 74
6 TB Puma 5 / TK Puma 7 3071 150
7 KM Kawaranae 174 31
8 KLM Anugerah Selatan 148 24
9 KM Bahari 1 1323 67
10 KM Sejahtera 33 739 52
11 KM Intan Samudra 6 1000 64
12 KM Sinako 499 54
13 KM Cengkeh 6 701 48
14 KM Sejahtera 30 1118 66
15 KM Kawarane 2 358 35
16 KM Michael Putra 1140 58
17 KM Sejahtera 36 1046 56
18 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
19 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
20 KM Lestari 298 36
21 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
22 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
23 KM. Dian Monalisa 8 271 35
24 KM Lestari 298 36
25 KM. Dian Monalisa 8 271 35
26 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
Jumlah 17652 3241
November
No Nama Kapal GRT LOA
1 KM Intan Samudra 23 1141 64
2 KM Jabal Nur 50 17
3 KM Mandiri Jaya 8 1477 74
4 KM Sejahtera 33 739 52
5 KM Cengkeh 8 791 56
6 KM Intan Samudra 6 1000 64
7 KM Bintang Sejahtera 8 1474 74
8 KM Cengkeh 6 701 48
9 KLM Indah Kita 293 21
10 TB Sumber Rejeki / TK Cipta Niaga 26 250
11 KM Kawaranae 358 31
12 KM Wiras Permata 02 947 59
13 KM Michael Putra 1140 58
14 KM Kawarane 2 358 35
15 KM Mandiri Jaya 8 1477 74
16 KLM Baitus Salam 145 24
17 KM Intan Samudra 23 1141 64
18 KM. Dian Monalisa 8 271 35
19 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
20 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
21 KM. Dian Monalisa 8 271 35
22 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
23 KM Lestari 298 36
24 KM. Dian Monalisa 8 271 35
25 KM Lestari 298 36
26 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
Jumlah 15163 1338
Desember
No Nama Kapal GRT LOA
1 KM DBS 02 353 43
2 KM Cengkeh 8 791 56
3 KM Sejahtera 33 641 47
4 KM Cengkeh 6 701 48
5 KM Sejahtera 21 776 58
6 KM Intan Samudra 23 1141 64
7 KM Mandiri Jaya 8 1477 74
8 TB Abdillah / TK ZA - 9 101 979
9 KM Sejahtera 36 1046 56
10 KM Michael Putra 1140 58
11 KLM Pulau Abadi 245 30
12 KM Bayu Permata 494 45
13 KM Sejahtera 20 715 50
14 KM Intan Samudra 23 1141 64
15 KM Kawaranae 2 358 31
16 KM Cengkeh 8 791 56
17 KM Intan Samudra 23 1141 64
18 KM Lestari 298 36
19 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
20 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
21 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
22 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
23 KM Lestari 298 36
24 KM. Dian Monalisa 8 271 35
25 KM Lestari 298 36
26 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
Jumlah 14837 2086
Tahun 2017 Tahun 2018
Bulan LOA Bulan LOA BOR LOA
Januari 651 Januari 1475 LOA 1009
Februari 507 Februari 804 Clearence 5
Maret 695 Maret 1254 Berth Time 5
April 791 April 1019 Lengt of Berth 230
Mei 1309 Mei 1408 Day in Hour 24
Juni 948 Juni 799 Effective Time 0.3
Juli 1147 Juli 952 BOR 306
Agustus 1378 Agustus 1458
September 1157 September 1098
Oktober 3241 Oktober 1835
November 1338 November 0
Desember 2086 Desember 0
Average 1271 Average 1009
BOR NON LOA BOR SS
VS 363 Average berth 500 150
St 0.3 Wt 2
WE 120 Lengt of Berth 230
n 2 Day in Hour 24
BOR 45 Effective Time 0.5
BOR 36

2
200
700,000
1,400,000
350,000,000,000
BONGKAR

PDRB
BONGKAR/MUAT
BONGKAR
Tahun
Variabel Dependen
2014 250,985
2015 241,976
2016 211,998
2017 216,651
2018 220,214

MUAT

PDRB
BONGKAR/MUAT
MUAT
Tahun
Variabel Dependen
2014 15,073
2015 22,465
2016 12,726
2017 9,511
2018 22,288
Optimis Moderat
3.61 7.02
54.69 5.75
Variabel Independen
SEKTOR TRANSPORTASI PERDAGANGAN JASA
651,835 2,288,862
707,656 2,579,408
773,000 2,771,105
815,748 3,000,908
857,951 3,179,995

Optimis Moderat
3.61 1.30
(22.06) 3.61
Variabel Independen
SEKTOR TRANSPORTASI PERDAGANGAN JASA
651,835 2,288,862
707,656 2,579,408
773,000 2,771,105
815,748 3,000,908
857,951 3,179,995
Pesimis
0.08
0.92
ndependen
KONSTRUKSI Nilai Ekspor Nilai Impor
3,903,062 149,236,698 30,242,078
4,203,463 13,205,546 16,020,418
4,404,142 7,436,639 6,708,127
4,531,323 7,330,969 14,431,394
4,482,491 5,836,545 11,217,624

Pesimis
0.48
7.02
ndependen
Nilai Impor KONSTRUKSI Nilai Ekspor
30,242,078 3,903,062 149,236,698
16,020,418 4,203,463 13,205,546
6,708,127 4,404,142 7,436,639
14,431,394 4,531,323 7,330,969
11,217,624 4,482,491 5,836,545
BONGKAR
Tahun R optimis R moderat
2005 247394 247394
2006 306594 306594
2007 334344 334344
2008 244197 244197
2009 223043 223043
2010 205167 205167
2011 235500 235500
2012 252363 252363
2013 265124 265124
2014 250,985 250,985
2015 241,976 241,976
2016 211,998 211,998
2017 216,651 216,651
2018 220,214 220,214
2019 228,157 235,663
2020 352,925 249,204
2021 545,923 263,522
2022 844,462 278,663
2023 1,306,257 294,674
2024 2,020,585 311,605
2025 3,125,545 329,509
2026 4,834,754 348,442
2027 7,478,645 368,462
2028 11,568,353 389,633
2029 17,894,524 412,020
2030 27,680,169 435,693
2031 42,817,109 460,726
2032 66,231,706 487,198
2033 102,450,607 515,191
2034 158,475,867 544,792
2035 245,138,620 576,094
2036 379,193,021 609,194
2037 586,555,261 644,196
2038 907,313,835 681,210
2039 1,403,479,690 720,350
2040 2,170,974,546 761,738
2041 3,358,175,049 805,505
2042 5,194,597,828 851,787
2043 8,035,271,004 900,728
2044 12,429,370,327 952,480
2045 19,226,389,084 1,007,207
2046 29,740,367,171 1,065,077
2047 46,003,929,056 1,126,273
2048 71,161,242,781 1,190,985
2049 110,075,869,127 1,259,415
2050 170,271,013,976 1,331,777

MUAT
Tahun R optimis R moderat
2005 14,905 14,905
2006 11,476 11,476
2007 12,855 12,855
2008 10,781 10,781
2009 10,895 10,895
2010 14,977 14,977
2011 10,612 10,612
2012 17,064 17,064
2013 18,124 18,124
2014 15,073 15,073
2015 22,465 22,465
2016 12,726 12,726
2017 9,511 9,511
2018 22,288 22,288
2019 23,092 22,577
2020 23,925 22,870
2021 24,788 23,166
2022 25,682 23,466
2023 26,608 23,770
2024 27,568 24,079
2025 28,562 24,391
2026 29,593 24,707
2027 30,660 25,027
2028 31,766 25,351
2029 32,912 25,680
2030 34,099 26,013
2031 35,329 26,350
2032 36,603 26,692
2033 37,924 27,038
2034 39,292 27,388
2035 40,709 27,743
2036 42,177 28,103
2037 43,698 28,467
2038 45,275 28,836
2039 46,908 29,210
2040 48,600 29,588
2041 50,353 29,972
2042 52,169 30,360
2043 54,051 30,754
2044 56,000 31,152
2045 58,020 31,556
2046 60,113 31,965
2047 62,281 32,380
2048 64,528 32,799
2049 66,855 33,224
R Pesimis Regresion Model
247394 OPTIMIS
120000000000
306594
334344
100000000000
244197
223043 80000000000
205167
235500 60000000000
252363
265124 40000000000
250,985
241,976 20000000000
211,998
216,651 0
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35
220,214
220,383
220,553 MODERATE
220,722 120000000000
220,892
221,062 100000000000
221,232
80000000000
221,402
221,572
60000000000
221,743
221,913
40000000000
222,084
222,255 20000000000
222,426
222,597 0
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35
222,768
222,939
223,111 PESIMIS
223,282 400000

350000

300000

250000
PESIMIS
400000
223,454
350000
223,626
223,798 300000
223,970
250000
224,142
224,315 200000
224,487 150000
224,660
100000
224,832
225,005 50000
225,178
0
225,352 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 3
225,525
225,698

R Pesimis
14,905 OPTIMIS
11,476 80,000

12,855 70,000
10,781
60,000
10,895
14,977 50,000
10,612 40,000
17,064
18,124 30,000

15,073 20,000
22,465
10,000
12,726
9,511 -
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35
22,288
22,394
22,501
MODERATE
22,608 35,000
22,716
22,824 30,000
22,933
25,000
23,042
23,152 20,000
23,263
23,374 15,000

23,485 10,000
23,597
23,709 5,000

-
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35
15,000

10,000

5,000
23,822
-
23,936 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35
24,050
24,165
24,280 PESIMIS
24,396 30,000

24,512
25,000
24,629
24,746
20,000
24,864
24,983 15,000
25,102
25,221 10,000
25,342
25,463 5,000
25,584
25,706 -
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35
25,828
Tahun Bongkar Muat Total
OPTIMIS 2005 247,394 14,905 262,299
2006 306,594 11,476 318,070
2007 334,344 12,855 347,199
2008 244,197 10,781 254,978
2009 223,043 10,895 233,938
2010 205,167 14,977 220,144
2011 235,500 10,612 246,112
2012 252,363 17,064 269,427
2013 265,124 18,124 283,248
2014 250,985 15,073 266,058
2015 241,976 22,465 264,441
2016 211,998 12,726 224,724
2017 216,651 9,511 226,162
19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45
2018 220,214 22,288 242,502

ODERATE 400,000

350,000

300,000

250,000

200,000

150,000

100,000

50,000
19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45
-
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

PESIMIS
PESIMIS

21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45

OPTIMIS

9 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45

ODERATE

9 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45
9 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45

PESIMIS

19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45
Tahun R optimis R moderat R Pesimis
2005 262,299 262,299 262,299
2006 318,070 318,070 318,070
2007 347,199 347,199 347,199
73.43858 2008 254,978 254,978 254,978
2009 233,938 233,938 233,938
2010 220,144 220,144 220,144
2011 246,112 246,112 246,112
2012 269,427 269,427 269,427
2013 283,248 283,248 283,248
2014 266,058 266,058 266,058
2015 264,441 264,441 264,441
2016 224,724 224,724 224,724
2017 226,162 226,162 226,162
2018 242,502 242,502 242,502
2019 251,249 258,240 242,778
2020 376,850 272,073 243,054
2021 570,711 286,688 243,331
2022 870,144 302,130 243,608
2023 1,332,865 318,445 243,886
2024 2,048,153 335,684 244,165
2025 3,154,107 353,900 244,445
2026 4,864,346 373,148 244,725
2027 7,509,306 393,489 245,006
2028 11,600,119 414,984 245,287
2029 17,927,436 437,700 245,569
2030 27,714,268 461,706 245,852
2031 42,852,438 487,076 246,135
2032 66,268,309 513,890 246,419
2033 102,488,531 542,228 246,704
2015 2016 2017 2018 2034 158,515,159 572,180 246,989
2035 245,179,328 603,837 247,276
2036 379,235,198 637,297 247,562
2037 586,598,959 672,663 247,850
2038 907,359,110 710,046 248,138
2039 1,403,526,598 749,559 248,427
BONGKAR

PDRB
BONGKAR/MUAT
BONGKAR
Tahun
Variabel Dependen
2014 250,985
2015 241,976
2016 211,998
2017 216,651
2018 220,214

MUAT

PDRB
BONGKAR/MUAT
MUAT
Tahun
Variabel Dependen
2014 15,073
2015 22,465
2016 12,726
2017 9,511
2018 22,288
Optimis Moderat
3.61 7.02
54.69 5.75
Variabel Independen
SEKTOR TRANSPORTASI PERDAGANGAN JASA
651,835 2,288,862
707,656 2,579,408
773,000 2,771,105
815,748 3,000,908
857,951 3,179,995

Optimis Moderat
3.61 1.30
(22.06) 3.61
Variabel Independen
SEKTOR TRANSPORTASI PERDAGANGAN JASA
651,835 2,288,862
707,656 2,579,408
773,000 2,771,105
815,748 3,000,908
857,951 3,179,995
Pesimis
0.08
0.92
ndependen
KONSTRUKSI Nilai Ekspor Nilai Impor
3,903,062 149,236,698 30,242,078
4,203,463 13,205,546 16,020,418
4,404,142 7,436,639 6,708,127
4,531,323 7,330,969 14,431,394
4,482,491 5,836,545 11,217,624

Pesimis
0.48
7.02
ndependen
Nilai Impor KONSTRUKSI Nilai Ekspor
30,242,078 3,903,062 149,236,698
16,020,418 4,203,463 13,205,546
6,708,127 4,404,142 7,436,639
14,431,394 4,531,323 7,330,969
11,217,624 4,482,491 5,836,545
BONGKAR
Tahun R optimis R moderat
2005 247394 247394
2006 306594 306594
2007 334344 334344
2008 244197 244197
2009 223043 223043
2010 205167 205167
2011 235500 235500
2012 252363 252363
2013 265124 265124
2014 250,985 250,985
2015 241,976 241,976
2016 211,998 211,998
2017 216,651 216,651
2018 220,214 220,214
2019 228,157 235,663
2020 352,925 249,204
2021 545,923 263,522
2022 844,462 278,663
2023 1,306,257 294,674
2024 2,020,585 311,605
2025 3,125,545 329,509
2026 4,834,754 348,442
2027 7,478,645 368,462
2028 11,568,353 389,633
2029 17,894,524 412,020
2030 27,680,169 435,693
2031 42,817,109 460,726
2032 66,231,706 487,198
2033 102,450,607 515,191
2034 158,475,867 544,792
2035 245,138,620 576,094
2036 379,193,021 609,194
2037 586,555,261 644,196
2038 907,313,835 681,210
2039 1,403,479,690 720,350
2040 2,170,974,546 761,738
2041 3,358,175,049 805,505
2042 5,194,597,828 851,787
2043 8,035,271,004 900,728
2044 12,429,370,327 952,480
2045 19,226,389,084 1,007,207
2046 29,740,367,171 1,065,077
2047 46,003,929,056 1,126,273
2048 71,161,242,781 1,190,985
2049 110,075,869,127 1,259,415
2050 170,271,013,976 1,331,777

MUAT
Tahun R optimis R moderat
2005 14,905 14,905
2006 11,476 11,476
2007 12,855 12,855
2008 10,781 10,781
2009 10,895 10,895
2010 14,977 14,977
2011 10,612 10,612
2012 17,064 17,064
2013 18,124 18,124
2014 15,073 15,073
2015 22,465 22,465
2016 12,726 12,726
2017 9,511 9,511
2018 22,288 22,288
2019 23,092 22,577
2020 23,925 22,870
2021 24,788 23,166
2022 25,682 23,466
2023 26,608 23,770
2024 27,568 24,079
2025 28,562 24,391
2026 29,593 24,707
2027 30,660 25,027
2028 31,766 25,351
2029 32,912 25,680
2030 34,099 26,013
2031 35,329 26,350
2032 36,603 26,692
2033 37,924 27,038
2034 39,292 27,388
2035 40,709 27,743
2036 42,177 28,103
2037 43,698 28,467
2038 45,275 28,836
2039 46,908 29,210
2040 48,600 29,588
2041 50,353 29,972
2042 52,169 30,360
2043 54,051 30,754
2044 56,000 31,152
2045 58,020 31,556
2046 60,113 31,965
2047 62,281 32,380
2048 64,528 32,799
2049 66,855 33,224
R Pesimis
247394 OPTIMIS
120000000000
306594
334344
100000000000
244197
223043 80000000000
205167
235500 60000000000
252363
265124 40000000000
250,985
241,976 20000000000
211,998
216,651 0
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45
220,214
220,383
220,553 MODERATE
220,722 120000000000
220,892
221,062 100000000000
221,232
80000000000
221,402
221,572
60000000000
221,743
221,913
40000000000
222,084
222,255 20000000000
222,426
222,597 0
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45
222,768
222,939
223,111 PESIMIS
223,282 400000

350000

300000

250000
PESIMIS
400000
223,454
350000
223,626
223,798 300000
223,970
250000
224,142
224,315 200000
224,487 150000
224,660
100000
224,832
225,005 50000
225,178
0
225,352 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45
225,525
225,698

R Pesimis
14,905 OPTIMIS
11,476 80,000

12,855 70,000
10,781
60,000
10,895
14,977 50,000
10,612 40,000
17,064
18,124 30,000

15,073 20,000
22,465
10,000
12,726
9,511 -
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45
22,288
22,394
22,501
MODERATE
22,608 35,000
22,716
22,824 30,000
22,933
25,000
23,042
23,152 20,000
23,263
23,374 15,000

23,485 10,000
23,597
23,709 5,000

-
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45
15,000

10,000

5,000
23,822
-
23,936 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45
24,050
24,165
24,280 PESIMIS
24,396 30,000

24,512
25,000
24,629
24,746
20,000
24,864
24,983 15,000
25,102
25,221 10,000
25,342
25,463 5,000
25,584
25,706 -
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45
25,828
Tahun Bongkar Muat Total Tahun
2005 247,394 14,905 262,299 2005
2006 306,594 11,476 318,070 2006
2007 334,344 12,855 347,199 2007
2008 244,197 10,781 254,978 73.43858 2008
2009 223,043 10,895 233,938 2009
2010 205,167 14,977 220,144 2010
2011 235,500 10,612 246,112 2011
2012 252,363 17,064 269,427 2012
2013 265,124 18,124 283,248 2013
2014 250,985 15,073 266,058 2014
2015 241,976 22,465 264,441 2015
2016 211,998 12,726 224,724 2016
2017 216,651 9,511 226,162 2017
1 33 35 37 39 41 43 45
2018 220,214 22,288 242,502 2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
33 35 37 39 41 43 45 2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039

33 35 37 39 41 43 45

33 35 37 39 41 43 45

33 35 37 39 41 43 45
33 35 37 39 41 43 45

33 35 37 39 41 43 45
R optimis R moderat R Pesimis
262,299 262,299 262,299
318,070 318,070 318,070
347,199 347,199 347,199
254,978 254,978 254,978
233,938 233,938 233,938
220,144 220,144 220,144
246,112 246,112 246,112
269,427 269,427 269,427
283,248 283,248 283,248
266,058 266,058 266,058
264,441 264,441 264,441
224,724 224,724 224,724
226,162 226,162 226,162
242,502 242,502 242,502
251,249 258,240 242,778
376,850 272,073 243,054
570,711 286,688 243,331
870,144 302,130 243,608
1,332,865 318,445 243,886
2,048,153 335,684 244,165
3,154,107 353,900 244,445
4,864,346 373,148 244,725
7,509,306 393,489 245,006
11,600,119 414,984 245,287
17,927,436 437,700 245,569
27,714,268 461,706 245,852
42,852,438 487,076 246,135
66,268,309 513,890 246,419
102,488,531 542,228 246,704
158,515,159 572,180 246,989
245,179,328 603,837 247,276
379,235,198 637,297 247,562
586,598,959 672,663 247,850
907,359,110 710,046 248,138
1,403,526,598 749,559 248,427
Bongkar

Tahun
R Variabel Dependen SEKTOR TRANSPORTASI OPTIMIS

2.28 2014 250,985 651,835


2015 241,976 707,656
2016 211,998 773,000
2.19 2017 216,651 815,748
1.64 2018 220,214 857,951
352.77 2019 997,056 1,327,122
109.17 2020 2,085,565 2,052,861
80.73 2021 3,769,325 3,175,471
69.10 2022 6,373,852 4,911,982
63.21 2023 10,402,668 7,598,106
59.91 2024 16,634,648 11,753,140
57.95 2025 26,274,595 18,180,362
56.75 2026 41,186,161 28,122,319
56.00 2027 64,252,138 43,501,048
55.53 2028 99,931,777 67,289,658
55.23 2029 155,122,878 104,087,103
55.04 2030 240,495,310 161,007,283
54.91 2031 372,553,776 249,054,344
54.83 2032 576,828,603 385,250,064
54.78 2033 892,811,407 595,924,608
54.75 2034 1,381,589,855 921,806,823
54.72 2035 2,137,657,489 1,425,898,189
54.71 2036 3,307,181,780 2,205,652,632
54.70 2037 5,116,262,083 3,411,816,895
54.70 2038 7,914,640,512 5,277,573,794
54.69 2039 12,243,316,146 8,163,622,494
68.17 2040 18,939,134,178 12,627,911,010
2041 29,296,569,779 19,533,502,022
2042 45,317,983,699 30,215,425,252
2043 70,100,730,501 46,738,773,323
2044 108,435,957,472 72,297,937,675
2045 167,734,857,577 111,834,167,232
2046 259,461,445,143 172,990,839,888
2047 401,348,846,963 267,591,125,556
2048 620,827,575,315 413,923,711,351
2049 960,328,556,945 640,278,478,826
2050 1,485,486,130,956 990,415,671,309

Bongkar
Tahun R optimis R moderat
2014 250,985 250,985
2015 241,976 241,976
2016 211,998 211,998
2017 216,651 216,651
2018 220,214 220,214
2019 997,056 367,299
2020 2,085,565 445,483
2021 3,769,325 528,159
2022 6,373,852 615,585
2023 10,402,668 708,034
2024 16,634,648 805,796
2025 26,274,595 909,174
2026 41,186,161 1,018,492
2027 64,252,138 1,134,091
2028 99,931,777 1,256,332
2029 155,122,878 1,385,596
2030 240,495,310 1,522,288
2031 372,553,776 1,666,833
2032 576,828,603 1,819,684
2033 892,811,407 1,981,316
2034 1,381,589,855 2,152,236
2035 2,137,657,489 2,332,976
2036 3,307,181,780 2,524,101
2037 5,116,262,083 2,726,207
2038 7,914,640,512 2,939,926
2039 12,243,316,146 3,165,924

MUAT
Tahun
Variabel Dependen SEKTOR TRANSPORTASI OPTIMIS

2005 14,905 -
2006 11,476 -
2007 12,855 -
2008 10,781 -
2009 10,895 -
2010 14,977 -
2011 10,612 -
2012 17,064 -
2013 18,124 -
2014 15,073 651,835
2015 22,465 707,656
2016 12,726 773,000
2017 9,511 815,748
2018 22,288 857,951
2019 25,282 888,897
2020 25,572 920,960
2021 25,874 954,179
2022 26,186 988,597
2023 26,509 1,024,256
2024 26,844 1,061,201
2025 27,191 1,099,479
2026 27,550 1,139,137
2027 27,923 1,180,226
2028 28,309 1,222,798
2029 28,708 1,266,904
2030 29,123 1,312,602
2031 29,552 1,359,948
2032 29,997 1,409,002
2033 30,457 1,459,825
2034 30,935 1,512,481
2035 31,429 1,567,037
2036 31,942 1,623,560
2037 32,473 1,682,122
2038 33,023 1,742,797
2039 33,592 1,805,660

MUAT
Tahun R optimis R moderat
2014 15,073 15,073
2015 22,465 22,465
2016 12,726 12,726
2017 9,511 9,511
2018 22,288 22,288
2019 25,282 25,102
2020 25,572 25,204
2021 25,874 25,308
2022 26,186 25,412
2023 26,509 25,518
2024 26,844 25,626
2025 27,191 25,735
2026 27,550 25,845
2027 27,923 25,957
2028 28,309 26,070
2029 28,708 26,185
2030 29,123 26,301
2031 29,552 26,419
2032 29,997 26,538
2033 30,457 26,659
2034 30,935 26,781
2035 31,429 26,905
2036 31,942 27,030
2037 32,473 27,157
2038 33,023 27,286
2039 33,592 27,417
Variabel Independen
SEKTOR PERDAGANGAN JASA
SEKTOR TRANSPORTASI MODERAT SEKTOR TRANSPORTASI PESIMIS (Kab)
651,835 651,835 2,288,862
707,656 707,656 2,579,408
773,000 773,000 2,771,105
815,748 815,748 3,000,908
857,951 857,951 3,179,995
907,246 865,826 3,252,499
959,373 873,774 3,326,656
1,014,495 881,795 3,402,504
1,072,785 889,890 3,480,081
1,134,423 898,059 3,559,427
1,199,603 906,303 3,640,581
1,268,528 914,623 3,723,587
1,341,414 923,019 3,808,484
1,418,487 931,492 3,895,318
1,499,988 940,042 3,984,131
1,586,172 948,672 4,074,969
1,677,309 957,380 4,167,879
1,773,681 966,169 4,262,906
1,875,591 975,038 4,360,101
1,983,356 983,988 4,459,511
2,097,313 993,021 4,561,188
2,217,817 1,002,137 4,665,183
2,345,245 1,011,336 4,771,549
2,479,995 1,020,620 4,880,340
2,622,487 1,029,989 4,991,612
2,773,166 1,039,444 5,105,421
2,932,503 1,048,986 5,221,824
3,100,995 1,058,615 5,340,882
3,279,167 1,068,333 5,462,654
3,467,577 1,078,140 5,587,203
3,666,812 1,088,037 5,714,591
3,877,495 1,098,025 5,844,884
4,100,283 1,108,104 5,978,147
4,335,871 1,118,276 6,114,449
4,584,995 1,128,542 6,253,858
4,848,434 1,138,901 6,396,446
5,127,008 1,149,356 6,542,285

R pesimis
250,985
241,976
211,998
216,651
220,214
305,176
317,097
329,128
341,268
353,521
365,885
378,364
390,956
403,665
416,490
429,433
442,494
455,676
468,978
482,403
495,951
509,623
523,421
537,345
551,397
565,578

Variabel Independen
SEKTOR PERDAGANGAN JASA
SEKTOR TRANSPORTASI MODERAT SEKTOR TRANSPORTASI PESIMIS (Kab)
- -
- -
- -
- -
- -
- -
- -
- -
- -
651,835 651,835
707,656 707,656
773,000 773,000
815,748 815,748
857,951 857,951
869,071 862,041
880,336 866,150
891,747 870,279
903,306 874,427
915,014 878,596
926,875 882,784
938,889 886,992
951,059 891,221
963,386 895,469
975,874 899,738
988,523 904,027
1,001,336 908,336
1,014,315 912,666
1,027,463 917,017
1,040,780 921,389
1,054,271 925,781
1,067,936 930,194
1,081,779 934,628
1,095,801 939,084
1,110,004 943,560
1,124,392 948,058

R optimis
15,073
22,465
12,726
9,511
22,288
25,038
25,076
25,113
25,151
25,188
25,226
25,264
25,303
25,341
25,380
25,419
25,458
25,497
25,537
25,576
25,616
25,656
25,696
25,737
25,777
25,818
SEKTOR KONSTRUKSI SEKTOR TRANSPORTASI INDUSTRI PENGOLAHAN SEKTOR KONSTRUKSI
(Kab) (Prov) (Prov) (Prov)
3,903,062 3,717,755.53 53,173,703 23,802,364
4,203,463 3,939,817.08 56,338,041 25,954,827
4,404,142 4,161,122.80 59,498,187 26,871,948
4,531,323 4,681,698.10 62,458,862 29,042,763
4,482,491 4,681,698.08 62,458,862 29,042,763
4,584,692
4,689,223
4,796,137
4,905,489
5,017,334
5,131,729
5,248,733
5,368,404
5,490,803
5,615,994
5,744,038
5,875,003
6,008,953
6,145,957
6,286,085
6,429,407
6,575,998
6,725,930
6,879,282
7,036,129
7,196,553
7,360,634
7,528,457
7,700,106
7,875,668
8,055,233
8,238,893
8,426,739
8,618,869
8,815,379
9,016,370
9,221,943
SEKTOR KONSTRUKSI
(Kab)
Optimis Moderat Pesimis

PDRB 3.61 7.02 0.08


BONGKAR 54.69 5.75 0.92

Optimis Moderat Pesimis


PDRB 3.61 1.30 0.48
MUAT -22.06 3.61 7.02

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.997227
R Square 0.994462
Adjusted R Square 0.97785
Standard Error 20167.95
Observations 5

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 3 7.3E+10 2.43E+10 59.86139 0.094661
Residual 1 4.07E+08 4.07E+08
Total 4 7.35E+10

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%
Intercept -2103571 301332.2 -6.980904 0.090578 -5932360
SEKTOR TRANSPORTASI (Kab) 8.1107 1.414724 5.733063 0.109938 -9.865069
SEKTOR PERDAGANGAN JASA (Kab) -1.688544 0.326303 -5.174778 0.121526 -5.834612
SEKTOR KONSTRUKSI (Kab) 0.173044 0.117403 1.473929 0.379503 -1.318704

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.991177
R Square 0.982432
Adjusted R Square 0.964864
Standard Error 25400.67
Observations 5
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 2 7.22E+10 3.61E+10 55.92234 0.017568
Residual 2 1.29E+09 6.45E+08
Total 4 7.35E+10

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%
Intercept -1739515 217392.3 -8.001733 0.015262 -2674878
SEKTOR TRANSPORTASI (Kab) 8.566267 1.73874 4.926709 0.038816 1.085072
SEKTOR PERDAGANGAN JASA (Kab) -1.676213 0.410829 -4.080072 0.055149 -3.443868

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.914443
R Square 0.836207
Adjusted R Square 0.781609
Standard Error 63326.99
Observations 5

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 6.14E+10 6.14E+10 15.31578 0.029652
Residual 3 1.2E+10 4.01E+09
Total 4 7.35E+10

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%
Intercept -993444 293115.6 -3.389257 0.042798 -1926269
SEKTOR TRANSPORTASI (Kab) 1.499862 0.38325 3.913538 0.029652 0.280191

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.015197
R Square 0.000231
Adjusted R Square -0.333025
Standard Error 6686.766
Observations 5

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 30987.31 30987.31 0.000693 0.980651
Residual 3 1.34E+08 44712838
Total 4 1.34E+08

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%
Intercept 17223.57 30950.39 0.55649 0.616692 -81274.4
X Variable 1 0.009065 0.040468 -0.026325 0.980651 -0.129852
Tahun

2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
Significance F 2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0% 2037
1725217 -5932360 1725217 2038
26.08647 -9.865069 26.08647 2039
2.457525 -5.834612 2.457525
1.664791 -1.318704 1.664791
Significance F

Upper 95%Lower 95.0%


Upper 95.0%
-804151 -2674878 -804151
16.04746 1.085072 16.04746
0.091443 -3.443868 0.091443

Significance F

Upper 95%Lower 95.0%


Upper 95.0%
-60619.56 -1926269 -60619.56
2.719534 0.280191 2.719534

Significance F
Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
115721.5 -81274.4 115721.5
0.127721 -0.129852 0.127721
R optimis R moderat R optimis

266,058 266,058 266,058


264,441 264,441 264,441
224,724 224,724 224,724
226,162 226,162 226,162
242,502 242,502 242,502
1,022,338 392,401 330,214
2,111,137 470,687 342,173
3,795,198 553,466 354,241
6,400,037 640,997 366,419
10,429,177 733,553 378,709
16,661,492 831,422 391,112
26,301,786 934,909 403,628
41,213,712 1,044,337 416,259
64,280,061 1,160,048 429,006
99,960,086 1,282,402 441,870
155,151,586 1,411,781 454,852
240,524,432 1,548,589 467,952
372,583,328 1,693,252 481,173
576,858,599 1,846,221 494,515
892,841,864 2,007,975 507,979
1,381,620,790 2,179,017 521,567
2,137,688,919 2,359,881 535,279
3,307,213,721 2,551,131 549,117
5,116,294,556 2,753,364 563,082
7,914,673,535 2,967,212 577,175
12,243,349,739 3,193,340 591,397
TAHAP 1

Tahun
Variabel Dependen

2014 250,985
8.56 2015 241,976
9.23 2016 211,998
5.53 2017 216,651
5.17 2018 220,214
0.07

TAHAP 2
Tahun Tahun ke (X)
2014 1
2015 2
2016 3
2017 4
2018 5
Jumlah 15
Rata-rata

Rlinear R Linear Hasil


a 605,140
b 857,951

Polynomial
Sektor Sektor Pertahun T
Pertanian, Kehutanan,& Perikanan / Agriculture,Forestry,
Fishing 27,305 1
Pertambangan & Penggalian/ Mining and Quarrying (321,536) 1
Industri Pengolahan/ Manufacturing Industries 199,668 1
Pengadaan Listrik, & Gas/ Electricity, & Gas 2,588 1
Pengadaan Air, Pengelolaan Sampah, limbah & Daur ulang/
Water Supply , Waste Management , Waste & Recycling
2,944 1
Bangunan/Construction 1,489,790 1
Perdagangan Besar dan Eceran; Reparasi Mobil dan Sepeda
Motor / Wholesale and Retail Trade ; Repair Cars and
Motorcycles 1,177,423 1
Transportasi & Pergudangan/ Transport & Warehousing 294,732 1
Penyediaan Akomodasi & Makan Minum/ Provision of
accommodation and Eat Drink 58,928 1
Informasi & Komunikasi/ Information and Communication
178,478 1
Jasa Keuangan & Asuransi/ Financial Services and Insurance
137,538 1
Real Estate/ Real estate 141,996 1
Jasa Perusahaan/ Company services 771 1
Administrasi Pemerintahan, Pertahanan dan Jaminan Sosial
Wajib/ Administration , Defence and Compulsory Social Security
382,956 1
Jasa Pendidikan/Educational services 164,423 1
Jasa Kesehatan dan Kegiatan Sosial/ Health Services and Social
Activities 95,746 1
Jasa lainnya/ other services 31,042 1
Jumlah 4,064.79

Bunga Berganda Ntahun> <Ntahun


5 1
4 2
3 3
2 4
1 5

Alternatif Proyeksi Ntahun> <Ntahun


35 1
34 2
33 3
32 4
31 5
30 6
29 7
28 8
27 9
26 10
25 11
24 12
23 13
22 14
21 15
20 16
19 17
18 18
17 19
16 20
15 21
14 22
13 23
12 24
11 25
10 26
9 27
8 28
7 29
6 30
5 31
4 32
3 33
2 34
1 36
AVERAGE

LAJU PERTUMBUHAN
5,000,000
4,500,000
4,000,000
3,500,000
3,000,000
2,500,000
2,000,000
1,500,000
1,000,000
500,000
-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112131415161718192021222324252627282
L Pol ynomi al Bunga Berganda Ari tmatik
Variabel Independen

SEKTOR SEKTOR
SEKTOR TRANSPORTAS (Y) PERDAGANGAN JASA KONSTRUKSI

651,835 2,288,862 3,903,062


707,656 2,579,408 4,203,463
773,000 2,771,105 4,404,142
815,748 3,000,908 4,531,323
857,951 3,179,995 4,482,491

SEKTOR TRANSPORTAS (Y) X.Y X2


651,835 651,835 1
707,656 1,415,312 4
773,000 2,318,999 9
815,748 3,262,994 16
857,951 4,289,754 25
3,806,189 11,938,893 55
761,238

2017 - 2011

27,305
(321,536)
199,668
2,588

2,944
1,489,790

1,177,423
294,732

58,928

178,478

137,538
141,996
771

382,956
164,423

95,746
31,042
4,064,791

Bunga Berganda
608,138
651,469
697,888
747,615
800,885

Tahun Regresi Linear L Polynomial Bunga Berganda Aritmatika


2014 1,463,091 837,627 608,138 919,082
2015 2,926,182 841,692 651,469 980,214
2016 4,389,273 845,756 697,888 1,041,346
2017 5,852,365 849,821 747,615 1,102,477
2018 7,315,456 853,886 800,885 1,163,609
2019 8,778,547 736,007 112,707 1,224,741
2020 10,241,638 740,072 120,596 1,285,872
2021 11,704,729 744,137 129,038 1,347,004
2022 13,167,820 748,201 138,070 1,408,136
2023 14,630,911 752,266 147,735 1,469,268
2024 16,094,003 756,331 158,077 1,530,399
2025 17,557,094 760,396 169,142 1,591,531
2026 19,020,185 764,460 180,982 1,652,663
2027 20,483,276 768,525 193,651 1,713,794
2028 21,946,367 772,590 207,206 1,774,926
2029 23,409,458 776,655 221,711 1,836,058
2030 24,872,549 780,720 237,231 1,897,189
2031 26,335,641 784,784 253,837 1,958,321
2032 27,798,732 788,849 271,605 2,019,453
2033 29,261,823 792,914 290,618 2,080,584
2034 30,724,914 796,979 310,961 2,141,716
2035 32,188,005 801,044 332,728 2,202,848
2036 33,651,096 805,108 356,019 2,263,979
2037 35,114,187 809,173 380,940 2,325,111
2038 36,577,279 813,238 407,606 2,386,243
2039 38,040,370 817,303 436,139 2,447,374
2040 39,503,461 821,368 466,668 2,508,506
2041 40,966,552 825,432 499,335 2,569,638
2042 42,429,643 829,497 534,289 2,630,770
2043 43,892,734 833,562 571,689 2,691,901
2044 45,355,825 837,627 611,707 2,753,033
2045 46,818,916 841,692 654,526 2,814,165
2046 48,282,008 845,756 700,343 2,875,296
2047 49,745,099 849,821 749,367 2,936,428
2048 52,671,281 853,886 801,823 3,058,691
AVERAGE 26,377,443 802,205 404,353 1,960,068

LAJU PERTUMBUHAN

7 8 9 1011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132333435
l ynomi al Bunga Berganda Ari tmatika
R%
Regresi Linear L Polynomial Bunga Berganda Aritmatika

100.00 0.49 7.13 6.65


50.00 0.48 7.13 6.24
33.33 0.48 7.13 5.87
25.00 7.13 5.54
20.00 (13.81) 5.25
16.67 0.55 7.00 4.99
14.29 0.55 7.00 4.75
12.50 0.55 7.00 4.54
11.11 0.54 7.00 4.34
10.00 0.54 7.00 4.16
9.09 0.54 7.00 3.99
8.33 0.53 7.00 3.84
7.69 0.53 7.00 3.70
7.14 0.53 7.00 3.57
6.67 0.53 7.00 3.44
6.25 0.52 7.00 3.33
5.88 0.52 7.00 3.22
5.56 0.52 7.00 3.12
5.26 0.52 7.00 3.03
5.00 0.51 7.00 2.94
4.76 0.51 7.00 2.85
4.55 0.51 7.00 2.78
4.35 0.50 7.00 2.70
4.17 0.50 7.00 2.63
4.00 0.50 7.00 2.56
3.85 0.50 7.00 2.50
3.70 0.49 7.00 2.44
3.57 0.49 7.00 2.38
3.45 0.49 7.00 2.32
3.33 0.49 7.00 2.27
3.23 0.49 7.00 2.22
3.13 0.48 7.00 2.17
3.03 0.48 2.13
5.88 0.48 7.00 4.16
12.20 0.08 7.02 3.61
TAHAP 1

Tahun
Variabel Dependen

2014 15,073
8.56 2015 22,465
9.23 2016 12,726
5.53 2017 9,511
5.17 2018 22,288
0.07

TAHAP 2
Tahun Tahun ke (X)
2014 1
2015 2
2016 3
2017 4
2018 5
Jumlah 15
Rata-rata

Rlinear R Linear Hasil


a 605,140
b 857,951

Polynomial
Sektor Sektor Pertahun T
Pertanian, Kehutanan,& Perikanan / Agriculture,Forestry, Fishing 27,305 1
Pertambangan & Penggalian/ Mining and Quarrying (321,536) 1
Industri Pengolahan/ Manufacturing Industries 199,668 1
Pengadaan Listrik, & Gas/ Electricity, & Gas 2,588 1
Pengadaan Air, Pengelolaan Sampah, limbah & Daur ulang/ Water Supply , Waste
Management , Waste & Recycling 2,944 1
Bangunan/Construction 1,489,790 1
Perdagangan Besar dan Eceran; Reparasi Mobil dan Sepeda Motor / Wholesale
and Retail Trade ; Repair Cars and Motorcycles 1,177,423 1
Transportasi & Pergudangan/ Transport & Warehousing 294,732 1
Penyediaan Akomodasi & Makan Minum/ Provision of accommodation and Eat
Drink 58,928 1
Informasi & Komunikasi/ Information and Communication 178,478 1
Jasa Keuangan & Asuransi/ Financial Services and Insurance 137,538 1
Real Estate/ Real estate 141,996 1
Jasa Perusahaan/ Company services 771 1
Administrasi Pemerintahan, Pertahanan dan Jaminan Sosial Wajib/
Administration , Defence and Compulsory Social Security 382,956 1
Jasa Pendidikan/Educational services 164,423 1
Jasa Kesehatan dan Kegiatan Sosial/ Health Services and Social Activities 95,746 1
Jasa lainnya/ other services 31,042 1
Jumlah 4,064.79

Bunga Berganda Ntahun> <Ntahun


5 1
4 2
3 3
2 4
1 5

Alternatif Proyeksi Ntahun> <Ntahun


35 1
34 2
33 3
32 4
31 5
30 6
29 7
28 8
27 9
26 10
25 11
24 12
23 13
22 14
21 15
20 16
19 17
18 18
17 19
16 20
15 21
14 22
13 23
12 24
11 25
10 26
9 27
8 28
7 29
6 30
5 31
4 32
3 33
2 34
1 36
AVERAGE
Variabel Independen

SEKTOR SEKTOR
SEKTOR TRANSPORTAS (Y) PERDAGANGAN JASA KONSTRUKSI

651,835 2,288,862 3,903,062


707,656 2,579,408 4,203,463
773,000 2,771,105 4,404,142
815,748 3,000,908 4,531,323
857,951 3,179,995 4,482,491

SEKTOR TRANSPORTAS (Y) X.Y X2


651,835 651,835 1
707,656 1,415,312 4
773,000 2,318,999 9
815,748 3,262,994 16
857,951 4,289,754 25
3,806,189 11,938,893 55
761,238

2017 - 2011
27,305
(321,536)
199,668
2,588

2,944
1,489,790

1,177,423
294,732

58,928
178,478
137,538
141,996
771

382,956
164,423
95,746
31,042
4,064,791

Bunga Berganda
608,138
651,469
697,888
747,615
800,885

Tahun Regresi Linear L Polynomial Bunga Berganda Aritmatika


2014 1,463,091 837,627 608,138 919,082
2015 2,321,042 841,692 651,469 980,214
2016 3,178,993 845,756 697,888 1,041,346
2017 4,036,943 849,821 747,615 1,102,477
2018 4,894,894 744,137 800,885 1,163,609
2019 5,752,845 748,201 492,785 1,224,741
2020 6,610,795 752,266 502,641 1,285,872
2021 7,468,746 756,331 512,694 1,347,004
2022 8,326,697 760,396 522,947 1,408,136
2023 9,184,647 764,460 533,406 1,469,268
2024 10,042,598 768,525 544,075 1,530,399
2025 10,900,549 772,590 554,956 1,591,531
2026 11,758,500 776,655 566,055 1,652,663
2027 12,616,450 780,720 577,376 1,713,794
2028 13,474,401 784,784 588,924 1,774,926
2029 14,332,352 788,849 600,702 1,836,058
2030 15,190,302 792,914 612,716 1,897,189
2031 16,048,253 796,979 624,971 1,958,321
2032 16,906,204 801,044 637,470 2,019,453
2033 17,764,154 805,108 650,219 2,080,584
2034 18,622,105 809,173 663,224 2,141,716
2035 19,480,056 813,238 676,488 2,202,848
2036 20,338,007 817,303 690,018 2,263,979
2037 21,195,957 821,368 703,818 2,325,111
2038 22,053,908 825,432 717,895 2,386,243
2039 22,911,859 829,497 732,253 2,447,374
2040 23,769,809 833,562 746,898 2,508,506
2041 24,627,760 837,627 761,836 2,569,638
2042 25,485,711 841,692 777,072 2,630,770
2043 26,343,661 845,756 792,614 2,691,901
2044 27,201,612 849,821 808,466 2,753,033
2045 28,059,563 841,692 824,635 2,814,165
2046 28,917,514 845,756 841,128 2,875,296
2047 29,775,464 857,951 824,635 2,936,428
2048 31,491,366 857,951 841,128 3,058,691
AVERAGE 16,072,766 808,476 669,430 1,960,068
R%
Regresi Linear L Polynomial Bunga Berganda Aritmatika

58.64 0.49 7.13 6.65


36.96 0.48 7.13 6.24
26.99 0.48 7.13 5.87
21.25 7.13 5.54
17.53 0.55 (38.47) 5.25
14.91 0.54 2.00 4.99
12.98 0.54 2.00 4.75
11.49 0.54 2.00 4.54
10.30 0.53 2.00 4.34
9.34 0.53 2.00 4.16
8.54 0.53 2.00 3.99
7.87 0.53 2.00 3.84
7.30 0.52 2.00 3.70
6.80 0.52 2.00 3.57
6.37 0.52 2.00 3.44
5.99 0.52 2.00 3.33
5.65 0.51 2.00 3.22
5.35 0.51 2.00 3.12
5.07 0.51 2.00 3.03
4.83 0.50 2.00 2.94
4.61 0.50 2.00 2.85
4.40 0.50 2.00 2.78
4.22 0.50 2.00 2.70
4.05 0.49 2.00 2.63
3.89 0.49 2.00 2.56
3.74 0.49 2.00 2.50
3.61 0.49 2.00 2.44
3.48 0.49 2.00 2.38
3.37 0.48 2.00 2.32
3.26 0.48 2.00 2.27
3.15 (0.96) 2.00 2.22
3.06 0.48 2.00 2.17
2.97 1.44 (1.96) 2.13
5.76 - 2.00 4.16
9.93 0.48 1.30 3.61
TAHAP 1

Tahun
Variabel Dependen

2014 15,073
8.56 2015 22,465
9.23 2016 12,726
5.53 2017 9,511
5.17 2018 22,288
0.07

TAHAP 2
Tahun Tahun ke (X)
2014 1
2015 2
2016 3
2017 4
2018 5
Jumlah 15
Rata-rata

Rlinear R Linear Hasil


a 15,970
b 22,288

Polynomial
Sektor Sektor Pertahun T
Pertanian, Kehutanan,& Perikanan / Agriculture,Forestry, Fishing 27,305 1
Pertambangan & Penggalian/ Mining and Quarrying (321,536) 1
Industri Pengolahan/ Manufacturing Industries 199,668 1
Pengadaan Listrik, & Gas/ Electricity, & Gas 2,588 1
Pengadaan Air, Pengelolaan Sampah, limbah & Daur ulang/ Water Supply , Waste
Management , Waste & Recycling 2,944 1
Bangunan/Construction 1,489,790 1
Perdagangan Besar dan Eceran; Reparasi Mobil dan Sepeda Motor / Wholesale
and Retail Trade ; Repair Cars and Motorcycles 1,177,423 1
Transportasi & Pergudangan/ Transport & Warehousing 294,732 1
Penyediaan Akomodasi & Makan Minum/ Provision of accommodation and Eat
Drink 58,928 1
Informasi & Komunikasi/ Information and Communication 178,478 1
Jasa Keuangan & Asuransi/ Financial Services and Insurance 137,538 1
Real Estate/ Real estate 141,996 1
Jasa Perusahaan/ Company services 771 1
Administrasi Pemerintahan, Pertahanan dan Jaminan Sosial Wajib/
Administration , Defence and Compulsory Social Security 382,956 1
Jasa Pendidikan/Educational services 164,423 1
Jasa Kesehatan dan Kegiatan Sosial/ Health Services and Social Activities 95,746 1
Jasa lainnya/ other services 31,042 1
Jumlah 4,064.79

Bunga Berganda Ntahun> <Ntahun


5 1
4 2
3 3
2 4
1 5

Alternatif Proyeksi Ntahun> <Ntahun


35 1
34 2
33 3
32 4
31 5
30 6
29 7
28 8
27 9
26 10
25 11
24 12
23 13
22 14
21 15
20 16
19 17
18 18
17 19
16 20
15 21
14 22
13 23
12 24
11 25
10 26
9 27
8 28
7 29
6 30
5 31
4 32
3 33
2 34
1 36
AVERAGE
Variabel Independen

SEKTOR SEKTOR
SEKTOR TRANSPORTAS (Y) PERDAGANGAN JASA KONSTRUKSI

651,835 2,288,862 3,903,062


707,656 2,579,408 4,203,463
773,000 2,771,105 4,404,142
815,748 3,000,908 4,531,323
857,951 3,179,995 4,482,491

SEKTOR TRANSPORTAS (Y) X.Y X2


15,073 15,073 1
22,465 44,930 4
12,726 38,178 9
9,511 38,044 16
22,288 111,440 25
82,063 247,665 55
16,413

2017 - 2011
27,305
(321,536)
199,668
2,588

2,944
1,489,790

1,177,423
294,732

58,928
178,478
137,538
141,996
771

382,956
164,423
95,746
31,042
4,064,791

Bunga Berganda
15,798
16,924
18,130
19,422
20,806

Tahun Regresi Linear L Polynomial Bunga Berganda Aritmatika


2014 38,258 1,964 15,798 23,876
2015 76,516 6,029 16,924 25,464
2016 114,773 10,094 18,130 27,052
2017 153,031 14,158 19,422 28,640
2018 191,289 18,223 20,806 30,228
2019 229,547 (99,656) 2,928 31,817
2020 267,805 (95,591) 3,133 33,405
2021 306,062 (91,526) 3,352 34,993
2022 344,320 (87,461) 3,587 36,581
2023 382,578 (83,397) 3,838 38,169
2024 420,836 (79,332) 4,107 39,757
2025 459,094 (75,267) 4,394 41,345
2026 497,351 (71,202) 4,702 42,933
2027 535,609 (67,137) 5,031 44,521
2028 573,867 (63,073) 5,383 46,109
2029 612,125 (59,008) 5,760 47,697
2030 650,383 (54,943) 6,163 49,286
2031 688,640 (50,878) 6,594 50,874
2032 726,898 (46,813) 7,056 52,462
2033 765,156 (42,749) 7,550 54,050
2034 803,414 (38,684) 8,078 55,638
2035 841,672 (34,619) 8,644 57,226
2036 879,929 (30,554) 9,249 58,814
2037 918,187 (26,489) 9,896 60,402
2038 956,445 (22,425) 10,589 61,990
2039 994,703 (18,360) 11,330 63,578
2040 1,032,961 (14,295) 12,123 65,166
2041 1,071,218 (10,230) 12,972 66,755
2042 1,109,476 (6,166) 13,880 68,343
2043 1,147,734 (2,101) 14,851 69,931
2044 1,185,992 1,964 15,891 71,519
2045 1,224,250 6,029 17,003 73,107
2046 1,262,507 10,094 18,194 74,695
2047 1,300,765 14,158 19,467 76,283
2048 1,377,281 18,223 20,830 79,459
AVERAGE 689,733 (33,458) 10,504 50,919
R%
Regresi Linear L Polynomial Bunga Berganda Aritmatika

100.00 206.96 7.13 6.65


50.00 67.42 7.13 6.24
33.33 40.27 7.13 5.87
25.00 7.13 5.54
20.00 (646.86) 5.25
16.67 (4.08) 7.00 4.99
14.29 (4.25) 7.00 4.75
12.50 (4.44) 7.00 4.54
11.11 (4.65) 7.00 4.34
10.00 (4.87) 7.00 4.16
9.09 (5.12) 7.00 3.99
8.33 (5.40) 7.00 3.84
7.69 (5.71) 7.00 3.70
7.14 (6.05) 7.00 3.57
6.67 (6.44) 7.00 3.44
6.25 (6.89) 7.00 3.33
5.88 (7.40) 7.00 3.22
5.56 (7.99) 7.00 3.12
5.26 (8.68) 7.00 3.03
5.00 (9.51) 7.00 2.94
4.76 (10.51) 7.00 2.85
4.55 (11.74) 7.00 2.78
4.35 (13.30) 7.00 2.70
4.17 (15.34) 7.00 2.63
4.00 (18.13) 7.00 2.56
3.85 (22.14) 7.00 2.50
3.70 (28.43) 7.00 2.44
3.57 (39.73) 7.00 2.38
3.45 (65.93) 7.00 2.32
3.33 (193.49) 7.00 2.27
3.23 7.00 2.22
3.13 67.42 7.00 2.17
3.03 40.27 2.13
5.88 28.71 7.00 4.16
12.20 (22.06) 7.02 3.61
TAHAP 1

Tahun
Variabel Dependen

2014 250,985
(3.59) 2015 241,976
(12.39) 2016 211,998
2.19 2017 216,651
1.64 2018 220,214
(0.03)

TAHAP 2
Tahun Tahun ke (X)
2014 1
2015 2
2016 3
2017 4
2018 5
Jumlah 15
Rata-rata

Rlinear R Linear Hasil


a 254,425
b 220,214

Polynomial
Sektor Sektor Pertahun T
Pertanian, Kehutanan,& Perikanan / Agriculture,Forestry,
Fishing 27,305 1
Pertambangan & Penggalian/ Mining and Quarrying (321,536) 1
Industri Pengolahan/ Manufacturing Industries 199,668 1
Pengadaan Listrik, & Gas/ Electricity, & Gas 2,588 1
Pengadaan Air, Pengelolaan Sampah, limbah & Daur ulang/
Water Supply , Waste Management , Waste & Recycling
2,944 1
Bangunan/Construction 1,489,790 1
Perdagangan Besar dan Eceran; Reparasi Mobil dan Sepeda
Motor / Wholesale and Retail Trade ; Repair Cars and
Motorcycles 1,177,423 1
Transportasi & Pergudangan/ Transport & Warehousing 294,732 1
Penyediaan Akomodasi & Makan Minum/ Provision of
accommodation and Eat Drink 58,928 1
Informasi & Komunikasi/ Information and Communication
178,478 1
Jasa Keuangan & Asuransi/ Financial Services and Insurance
137,538 1
Real Estate/ Real estate 141,996 1
Jasa Perusahaan/ Company services 771 1
Administrasi Pemerintahan, Pertahanan dan Jaminan Sosial
Wajib/ Administration , Defence and Compulsory Social Security
382,956 1
Jasa Pendidikan/Educational services 164,423 1
Jasa Kesehatan dan Kegiatan Sosial/ Health Services and Social
Activities 95,746 1
Jasa lainnya/ other services 31,042 1
Jumlah 4,064.79

Bunga Berganda Ntahun> <Ntahun


5 1
4 2
3 3
2 4
1 5

Alternatif Proyeksi Ntahun> <Ntahun


35 1
34 2
33 3
32 4
31 5
30 6
29 7
28 8
27 9
26 10
25 11
24 12
23 13
22 14
21 15
20 16
19 17
18 18
17 19
16 20
15 21
14 22
13 23
12 24
11 25
10 26
9 27
8 28
7 29
6 30
5 31
4 32
3 33
2 34
1 36
AVERAGE

LAJU PERTUMBUHAN
800,000

700,000

600,000

500,000

400,000

300,000

200,000

100,000

-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112131415161718192021222324252627
L Pol ynomi a l Bunga Berganda Ari tma
Variabel Independen

SEKTOR SEKTOR
SEKTOR TRANSPORTAS (Y) PERDAGANGAN JASA KONSTRUKSI

651,835 2,288,862 3,903,062


707,656 2,579,408 4,203,463
773,000 2,771,105 4,404,142
815,748 3,000,908 4,531,323
857,951 3,179,995 4,482,491

SEKTOR TRANSPORTAS (Y) X.Y X2


250,985 250,985 1
241,976 483,952 4
211,998 635,994 9
216,651 866,604 16
220,214 1,101,070 25
1,141,824 3,338,605 55
228,365

2017 - 2011

27,305
(321,536)
199,668
2,588

2,944
1,489,790

1,177,423
294,732

58,928

178,478

137,538
141,996
771

382,956
164,423

95,746
31,042
4,064,791

Bunga Berganda
256,900
249,104
241,544
234,214
227,106

Tahun Regresi Linear L Polynomial Bunga Berganda Aritmatika


2014 474,639 199,890 256,900 213,531
2015 949,278 203,955 249,104 206,848
2016 1,423,917 208,020 241,544 200,165
2017 1,898,556 212,084 234,214 193,482
2018 2,373,195 216,149 227,106 186,800
2019 2,847,833 98,270 28,929 180,117
2020 3,322,472 102,335 30,954 173,434
2021 3,797,111 106,400 33,121 166,751
2022 4,271,750 110,465 35,439 160,068
2023 4,746,389 114,529 37,920 153,385
2024 5,221,028 118,594 40,574 146,702
2025 5,695,667 122,659 43,414 140,019
2026 6,170,306 126,724 46,453 133,337
2027 6,644,945 130,789 49,705 126,654
2028 7,119,584 134,853 53,185 119,971
2029 7,594,222 138,918 56,907 113,288
2030 8,068,861 142,983 60,891 106,605
2031 8,543,500 147,048 65,153 99,922
2032 9,018,139 151,113 69,714 93,239
2033 9,492,778 155,177 74,594 86,556
2034 9,967,417 159,242 79,816 79,874
2035 10,442,056 163,307 85,403 73,191
2036 10,916,695 167,372 91,381 66,508
2037 11,391,334 171,437 97,778 59,825
2038 11,865,973 175,501 104,622 53,142
2039 12,340,611 179,566 111,946 46,459
2040 12,815,250 183,631 119,782 39,776
2041 13,289,889 187,696 128,167 33,093
2042 13,764,528 191,760 137,138 26,411
2043 14,239,167 195,825 146,738 19,728
2044 14,713,806 199,890 157,010 13,045
2045 15,188,445 203,955 168,000 6,362
2046 15,663,084 208,020 179,760 (321)
2047 16,137,723 212,084 192,343 (7,004)
2048 17,087,000 216,149 205,807 (20,370)
AVERAGE 8,557,061 164,468 112,615 99,731

LAJU PERTUMBUHAN

8 9 1011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132333435
l ynomi a l Bunga Berganda Ari tmatika
R%
Regresi Linear L Polynomial Bunga Berganda Aritmatika

100.00 2.03 (3.03) (3.13)


50.00 1.99 (3.03) (3.23)
33.33 1.95 (3.03) (3.34)
25.00 (3.03) (3.45)
20.00 (54.54) (3.58)
16.67 4.14 7.00 (3.71)
14.29 3.97 7.00 (3.85)
12.50 3.82 7.00 (4.01)
11.11 3.68 7.00 (4.18)
10.00 3.55 7.00 (4.36)
9.09 3.43 7.00 (4.56)
8.33 3.31 7.00 (4.77)
7.69 3.21 7.00 (5.01)
7.14 3.11 7.00 (5.28)
6.67 3.01 7.00 (5.57)
6.25 2.93 7.00 (5.90)
5.88 2.84 7.00 (6.27)
5.56 2.76 7.00 (6.69)
5.26 2.69 7.00 (7.17)
5.00 2.62 7.00 (7.72)
4.76 2.55 7.00 (8.37)
4.55 2.49 7.00 (9.13)
4.35 2.43 7.00 (10.05)
4.17 2.37 7.00 (11.17)
4.00 2.32 7.00 (12.58)
3.85 2.26 7.00 (14.38)
3.70 2.21 7.00 (16.80)
3.57 2.17 7.00 (20.19)
3.45 2.12 7.00 (25.30)
3.33 2.08 7.00 (33.88)
3.23 7.00 (51.23)
3.13 1.99 7.00 (105.04)
3.03 1.95 2,082.35
5.88 1.92 7.00 190.84
12.20 0.92 5.75 54.69
Manual Model (B/M)
Dasar Perhitungan Tahun R optimis R moderat R Pesimis
R Pake B/M 2014 266,058 266,058 266,058
2015 264,441 264,441 264,441
2016 224,724 224,724 224,724
2017 226,162 226,162 226,162
2018 242,502 242,502 242,502
2019 251,249 258,240 242,778
2020 376,850 272,073 243,054
2021 570,711 286,688 243,331
2022 870,144 302,130 243,608
2023 1,332,865 318,445 243,886
2024 2,048,153 335,684 244,165
2025 3,154,107 353,900 244,445
2026 4,864,346 373,148 244,725
2027 7,509,306 393,489 245,006
2028 11,600,119 414,984 245,287
2029 17,927,436 437,700 245,569
2030 27,714,268 461,706 245,852
2031 42,852,438 487,076 246,135
2032 66,268,309 513,890 246,419
2033 102,488,531 542,228 246,704
2034 158,515,159 572,180 246,989
2035 245,179,328 603,837 247,276
2036 379,235,198 637,297 247,562
2037 586,598,959 672,663 247,850
2038 907,359,110 710,046 248,138
2039 ### 749,559 248,427
Regresion Model (B/M)
Dasar Perhitungan Tahun R optimis R moderat R Pesimis
R Pake B/M 2014 266,058 266,058 266,058
2015 264,441 264,441 264,441
2016 224,724 224,724 224,724
2017 226,162 226,162 226,162
2018 242,502 242,502 242,502
2019 1,022,338 392,401 330,214
2020 2,111,137 470,687 342,173
2021 3,795,198 553,466 354,241
2022 6,400,037 640,997 366,419
2023 10,429,177 733,553 378,709
2024 16,661,492 831,422 391,112
2025 26,301,786 934,909 403,628
2026 41,213,712 1,044,337 416,259
2027 64,280,061 1,160,048 429,006
2028 99,960,086 1,282,402 441,870
2029 155,151,586 1,411,781 454,852
2030 240,524,432 1,548,589 467,952
2031 372,583,328 1,693,252 481,173
2032 576,858,599 1,846,221 494,515
2033 892,841,864 2,007,975 507,979
2034 1,381,620,790 2,179,017 521,567
2035 2,137,688,919 2,359,881 535,279
2036 3,307,213,721 2,551,131 549,117
2037 5,116,294,556 2,753,364 563,082
2038 7,914,673,535 2,967,212 577,175
2039 ### 3,193,340 591,397

3,500,000

3,000,000

2,500,000

2,000,000

1,500,000

1,000,000

500,000

-
2014 2015 2016 201
1,500,000

1,000,000

500,000

-
2014 2015 2016 201
Tahun Bongkar Muat Total
2014 250,985 15,073 266,058
2015 241,976 22,465 264,441
2016 211,998 12,726 224,724
2017 216,651 9,511 226,162
2018 220,214 22,288 242,502
2019 367,299 25,102 392,401
2020 445,483 25,204 470,687
2021 528,159 25,308 553,466
2022 615,585 25,412 640,997
2023 708,034 25,518 733,553
2024 805,796 25,626 831,422
2025 909,174 25,735 934,909
2026 1,018,492 25,845 1,044,337
2027 1,134,091 25,957 1,160,048
2028 1,256,332 26,070 1,282,402
2029 1,385,596 26,185 1,411,781
2030 1,522,288 26,301 1,548,589
2031 1,666,833 26,419 1,693,252
2032 1,819,684 26,538 1,846,221
2033 1,981,316 26,659 2,007,975
2034 2,152,236 26,781 2,179,017
2035 2,332,976 26,905 2,359,881
2036 2,524,101 27,030 2,551,131
2037 2,726,207 27,157 2,753,364
2038 2,939,926 27,286 2,967,212
2039 3,165,924 27,417 3,193,340

3,500,000

3,000,000

2,500,000

2,000,000

1,500,000

1,000,000

500,000

-
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 20
EKSISTING PROYEKSI
1,500,000

1,000,000

500,000

-
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 20
EKSISTING PROYEKSI
Asumsi Perhari
B/M Barang Ton 470,687 ton 5000
Produktivitas Crane (54/1) Ton/Jam 54 crane ton/jam 54
Waktu Operasional Pelabuhan jam 10 oprasional 8
Waktu Tambat Kapal hari 5 Waktu tambat 7

87,164

8 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039
8 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039
Manual Model (B/M)
Dasar Perhitungan Tahun R optimis R moderat R Pesimis
R Pake B/M 2014 266,058 266,058 266,058
2015 264,441 264,441 264,441
2016 224,724 224,724 224,724
2017 226,162 226,162 226,162
2018 242,502 242,502 242,502
2019 251,249 258,240 242,778
2020 376,850 272,073 243,054
2021 570,711 286,688 243,331
2022 870,144 302,130 243,608
2023 1,332,865 318,445 243,886
2024 2,048,153 335,684 244,165
2025 3,154,107 353,900 244,445
2026 4,864,346 373,148 244,725
2027 7,509,306 393,489 245,006
2028 11,600,119 414,984 245,287
2029 17,927,436 437,700 245,569
2030 27,714,268 461,706 245,852
2031 42,852,438 487,076 246,135
2032 66,268,309 513,890 246,419
2033 102,488,531 542,228 246,704
2034 158,515,159 572,180 246,989
2035 245,179,328 603,837 247,276
2036 379,235,198 637,297 247,562
2037 586,598,959 672,663 247,850
2038 907,359,110 710,046 248,138
2039 ### 749,559 248,427
Regresion Model (B/M)
Dasar Perhitungan Tahun R optimis R moderat R Pesimis
R Pake B/M 2014 266,058 266,058 266,058
2015 264,441 264,441 264,441
2016 224,724 224,724 224,724
2017 226,162 226,162 226,162
2018 242,502 242,502 242,502
2019 1,022,338 392,401 330,214
2020 2,111,137 470,687 342,173
2021 3,795,198 553,466 354,241
2022 6,400,037 640,997 366,419
2023 10,429,177 733,553 378,709
2024 16,661,492 831,422 391,112
2025 26,301,786 934,909 403,628
2026 41,213,712 1,044,337 416,259
2027 64,280,061 1,160,048 429,006
2028 99,960,086 1,282,402 441,870
2029 155,151,586 1,411,781 454,852
2030 240,524,432 1,548,589 467,952
2031 372,583,328 1,693,252 481,173
2032 576,858,599 1,846,221 494,515
2033 892,841,864 2,007,975 507,979
2034 1,381,620,790 2,179,017 521,567
2035 2,137,688,919 2,359,881 535,279
2036 3,307,213,721 2,551,131 549,117
2037 5,116,294,556 2,753,364 563,082
2038 7,914,673,535 2,967,212 577,175
2039 ### 3,193,340 591,397
TANPA SPLIT SPLIT MOCOH
Tahun Bongkar Muat Total Tahun Bongkar Muat
2007 342,964 15,532 358,496 EKSISTING 2007 342,964 15,532
2008 271,592 38,176 309,768 2008 271,592 38,176
2009 253,532 22,238 275,770 2009 253,532 22,238
2010 211,037 23,878 234,915 2010 211,037 23,878
2011 242,183 21,656 263,839 2011 242,183 21,656
2012 260,107 16,620 276,726 2012 260,107 16,620
2013 225,109 19,641 244,750 2013 225,109 19,641
2014 250,985 15,073 266,058 2014 250,985 15,073
2015 241,976 22,465 264,441 2015 241,976 22,465
2016 211,998 12,726 224,724 2016 211,998 12,726
2017 216,651 9,511 226,162 2017 216,651 9,511
2018 220,214 22,288 242,502 2018 220,214 22,288
2019 228,157 23,092 251,249 2019 228,157 23,092
2020 352,925 23,925 376,850 2020 335,279 22,729
2021 545,923 24,788 570,711 2021 518,627 23,548
2022 844,462 25,682 870,144 2022 802,239 24,398
2023 1,306,257 26,608 1,332,865 2023 1,240,944 25,278
2024 2,020,585 27,568 2,048,153 2024 1,919,556 26,190
2025 3,125,545 28,562 3,154,107 2025 2,969,268 27,134
2026 4,834,754 29,593 4,864,346 2026 4,593,016 28,113
2027 7,478,645 30,660 7,509,306 2027 7,104,713 29,127
2028 11,568,353 31,766 11,600,119 2028 10,989,936 30,178
2029 17,894,524 32,912 17,927,436 2029 16,999,797 31,266
2030 27,680,169 34,099 27,714,268 2030 26,296,161 32,394
2031 42,817,109 35,329 42,852,438 2031 40,676,253 33,563
2032 66,231,706 36,603 66,268,309 2032 62,920,120 34,773
2033 ### 37,924 ### 2033 97,328,077 36,027
2034 ### 39,292 ### 2034 ### 37,327
2035 ### 40,709 ### 2035 ### 38,673
2036 ### 42,177 ### 2036 ### 40,068
2037 ### 43,698 ### 2037 ### 41,514
2038 ### 45,275 ### 2038 ### 43,011
2039 ### 46,908 ### 2039 ### 44,562
Total B/M Barang Ton 376,850
358,496 EKSISTING Produktivitas Crane (54/1) Ton/Jam 54
309,768 Waktu Operasional Pelabuhan jam 10
275,770 Waktu Tambat Kapal hari 5
234,915
263,839
276,726
244,750
266,058 69,787
264,441
224,724
226,162
242,502
251,249
358,008
542,175
826,636
1,266,222
1,945,746
2,996,402
4,621,129
7,133,840
11,020,113
17,031,064
26,328,555
40,709,816
62,954,893
97,364,105
150,589,401
232,920,362
360,273,438
557,269,011
861,991,154
1,333,350,268
Asumsi Perhari
ton ###
crane ton/jam 25
oprasional 24
Waktu tambat 1
DERMAGA
Keterangan

Spek Kapal (DWT)


Jumlah Bongkar Muat (ton)
Volume Muatan Kapal (ton)
Jumlah Kunjungan Kapal (kapal/tahun)
Jumlah Kunjungan Kapal (kapal/minggu)
Handling Rate (Ton/Jam)
Service Time (Jam/Kapal)
Hari Kerja (Hari/Minggu)
Waktu Efektif (Jam/Hari)
Berth Occupancy Ratio (%)
Jumlah Tambatan
Pembulatan
Panjang Kapal (meter)
Panjang Dermaga (meter)
Tahun
(2019-2024) (2019-2029) (2019-2039)
1,000 1,000 1,000
2,048,153 158,515,159 1,403,526,598
800 800 800
324 387 552
7 8 11
25 25 25
32
7
11
80
3.51
4
59
331
KIJANG
GENERAL CARGO PETIKEMAS
TAHUN BONGKAR MUAT JUMLAH BONGKAR MUAT JUMLAH
2012 260,442 137,042 397,484 3,890 3,450 7,340
2013 253,548 149,852 403,400 3,968 3,519 7,487
2014 238,500 119,517 358,017 3,295 3,267 6,562
2015 232,142 74,328 306,470 5,317 6,060 11,377
2016 165,315 46,021 211,336 7,272 5,871 13,143
2017 65,556 22,505 88,061 8,076 7,579 15,655

SPBA KIJANG
GENERAL CARGO PETIKEMAS
TAHUN BONGKAR MUAT JUMLAH BONGKAR MUAT JUMLAH
2012 260,107 16,620 276,726 3,890 3,450 7,340
2013 225,109 19,641 244,750 3,968 3,519 7,487
2014 250,985 15,073 266,058 3,295 3,267 6,562
2015 241,976 22,465 264,441 5,317 6,060 11,377
2016 211,998 12,726 224,724 7,272 5,871 13,143
2017 216,651 9,511 226,162 8,076 7,579 15,655

450,000

400,000

350,000

300,000

250,000

200,000

150,000

100,000

50,000

-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
PELABUHAN KIJANG PELABUHAN SPBA
KORELASI CARGO X PETIKEMAS
Column 1 Column 2
Column 1 1
1.49 Column 2 -0.95295 1
(11.25)
(14.40)
(31.04)
(58.33)
(22.71)

KORELASI CARGO SPBA X PETIKEMAS KJ


Column 1 Column 2
Column 1 1
Column 2 -0.75763 1
KORELASI CARGO SPBA X CARGO KJ
Column 1 Column 2
Column 1 1
Column 2 0.766757 1
KORELASI CARGO SPBA X CARGO KJ X PETIKEMAS KJ
Column 1 Column 2 Column 3
Column 1 1
Column 2 0.766757 1
Column 3 -0.95295 -0.7576252538 1

KORELASI CARGO KJ X PETIKEMAS KJ


df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 62256682.7574742 62256682.757 39.5289901 0.0032689454
Residual 4 6299850.57585913 1574962.644
Total 5 68556533.3333333

KORELASI CARGO SPBA X CARGO KJ


df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 44784564139.0345 44784564139 5.706762657 0.0752590221
Residual 4 31390521618.9655 7847630405
Total 5 76175085758

KORELASI CARGO SPBA X PETIKEMAS KJ


df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 1385645483.49901 1385645483 5.389583751 0.0809990615
Residual 4 1028387755.0701 257096938.77
Total 5 2414033238.5691
KIJANGCRG SPBA KIJANGCNTNR
JUMLAH JUMLAH JUMLAH
397,484 276,726 7,340
403,400 244,750 7,487
358,017 266,058 6,562
306,470 264,441 11,377
211,336 224,724 13,143
88,061 226,162 15,655
KIJANG
GENERAL CARGO PETIKEMAS
TAHUN BONGKAR MUAT JUMLAH BONGKAR MUAT JUMLAH
2012 260,442 137,042 397,484 3,890 3,450 7,340
2013 253,548 149,852 403,400 3,968 3,519 7,487
2014 238,500 119,517 358,017 3,295 3,267 6,562
2015 232,142 74,328 306,470 5,317 6,060 11,377
2016 165,315 46,021 211,336 7,272 5,871 13,143
2017 65,556 22,505 88,061 8,076 7,579 15,655

SPBA KIJANG
GENERAL CARGO PETIKEMAS
TAHUN BONGKAR MUAT JUMLAH BONGKAR MUAT JUMLAH
2012 260,107 16,620 276,726 3,890 3,450 7,340
2013 225,109 19,641 244,750 3,968 3,519 7,487
2014 250,985 15,073 266,058 3,295 3,267 6,562
2015 241,976 22,465 264,441 5,317 6,060 11,377
2016 211,998 12,726 224,724 7,272 5,871 13,143
2017 216,651 9,511 226,162 8,076 7,579 15,655

450,000

400,000

350,000

300,000

250,000

200,000

150,000

100,000

50,000

-
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
PELABUHAN KIJANG PELABUHAN SPBA
Asumsi 1 BOX Cargo Total KORELASI CARGO X PETIKEMAS
(Ton x
18 Petikemas) Column 1
132,120 529,604 Column 1 1
134,766 538,166 1.49 Column 2 -0.95295
118,116 476,133 (11.25)
204,786 511,256 (14.40)
236,574 447,910 (31.04)
281,790 369,851 (58.33)
(22.71)

KORELASI CARGO SPBA X PETIKEMA


SPBA KIJANG Column 1
276,726 529,604 Column 1 1
244,750 538,166 Column 2 -0.75763
266,058 476,133 KORELASI CARGO SPBA X CARGO
264,441 511,256 Column 1
224,724 447,910 Column 1 1
226,162 369,851 Column 2 0.766757
KORELASI CARGO SPBA X CARGO
Column 1
Column 1 1
Column 2 0.766757
Column 3 -0.95295

KORELA
df
Regression 1
Residual 4
Total 5

KORELA
df
Regression 1
Residual 4
Total 5

KORELASI
df
Regression 1
Residual 4
Total 5
SUMMARY OUTPUT

KORELA
df
Regression 1
Residual 4
Total 5
ASI CARGO X PETIKEMAS
Column 2

ARGO SPBA X PETIKEMAS KJ


Column 2

1
I CARGO SPBA X CARGO KJ
Column 2

1
CARGO SPBA X CARGO KJ X PETIKEMAS KJ
Column 2 Column 3

1
-0.7576252538 1

KORELASI CARGO KJ X PETIKEMAS KJ


SS MS F Significance F
62256682.7574742 62256682.757 39.5289901 0.0032689454
6299850.57585913 1574962.644
68556533.3333333

KORELASI CARGO SPBA X CARGO KJ


SS MS F Significance F
44784564139.0345 44784564139 5.706762657 0.0752590221
31390521618.9655 7847630405
76175085758

KORELASI CARGO SPBA X PETIKEMAS KJ


SS MS F Significance F
1385645483.49901 1385645483 5.389583751 0.0809990615
1028387755.0701 257096938.77
2414033238.5691
KORELASI CARGO SPBA X CARGO KJ
SS MS F Significance F
1176637055.19795 1176637055 3.803590381 0.1229177336
1237396183.37116 309349045.84
2414033238.5691
KIJANGCRG SPBA KIJANGCNTNR
JUMLAH JUMLAH JUMLAH
397,484 276,726 7,340
403,400 244,750 7,487
358,017 266,058 6,562
306,470 264,441 11,377
211,336 224,724 13,143
88,061 226,162 15,655
2,000,000

1,883,360
1,800,000

1,600,000

1,400,000

1,200,000

1,000,000

800,000

600,000
492,606

400,000

200,000

-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26

PROYEKSI RIP 2018 GAP DEMAND PROYEKSI DEMAND 2014 PROYEKSI RIP 2018
PERBANDINGAN DEMAND RIP 2014 DAN 2018 (MIDLE DEMAND)
1403526598.15819

2,000,000

BONGKAR/MUAT 2005 - 2018 EKSISTING


PROYEKSI BONGKAR/MUAT RIP 2018
BONGKAR/MUAT 2005 - 2014 (EKSISTING) DAN 2014 - 2018 PROYEKSI (RIP 2018)
1,500,000 PROYEKSI BONGKAR/MUAT RIP 2014

1,000,000

500,000

-
KEKURANGAN = M3 TIDAK DIHITUNG DAN LOAD FACTOR HANYA SATU TAHUN

Dimensi Kapal (m)


No Jenis Kapal Bobot
Panjang Draught
1 KAPAL CARGO 500 GT 60 2.9
2 KAPAL CARGO 1500 GT 70 4.5

Tahun Bongkar Muat Total


2014 250,985 15,073 266,058
2015 241,976 22,465 264,441
2016 211,998 12,726 224,724
2017 216,651 9,511 226,162
2018 220,214 22,288 242,502
2019 367,299 25,102 392,401
Pindah Tanjung Mocoh 2020 193,839 10,967 204,806
2021 229,813 11,012 240,825
2022 267,854 11,057 278,912
2023 308,081 11,104 319,185
2024 350,619 11,150 361,770
2025 395,601 11,198 406,799
2026 443,168 11,246 454,414
2027 493,468 11,294 504,762
2028 546,657 11,344 558,001
2029 602,903 11,394 614,297
2030 662,381 11,444 673,825
2031 725,275 11,495 736,771
2032 791,784 11,547 803,331
2033 862,114 11,600 873,714
2034 936,485 11,653 948,138
2035 1,015,129 11,707 1,026,836
2036 1,098,291 11,761 1,110,053
2037 1,186,232 11,817 1,198,049
2038 1,279,226 11,873 1,291,099
2039 1,377,562 11,930 1,389,492
FACTOR HANYA SATU TAHUN

Total Muatan Kapal


Rencana Tahun 2017
Rencana Muat
Muat Bulan < 500 GT > 500 GT CALL
85 1516 Januari 76 244
123 1969 Februari 168 148
Maret 98 123
Ship Call #1 April 108 138
Mei 128 133
Juni 149 189
Juli 178 154
Agustus 124 136
September 92 175
295 Kenaikan Oktober 105 203
129 0.44 November 90 178
130 0.41 Desember 201 146
130 0.41 Average 126 164 290
131 0.42 sum 1516 1969 3485
131 0.42 % Average 43.51 56.49
132 0.43 % Sum 43.51 56.49
132 0.43
133 0.43
133 0.44
Ship Call
142
134 0.44
140
135 0.44
138
135 0.45
136 0.45 136

136 0.45 134

137 0.46 132


138 0.46 130
138 0.47 128
139 0.47 126
140 0.47 124
140 0.48 122
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39
20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
126
124
122
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39
20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
Kunjungan Kapal
Persentase Keterangan Load Faktor Keterangan
52.4 Kunjungan Kapal >500 GT 85 Kunjungan Kapal >500 GT
47.6 Kunjungan Kapal <500 GT 123 Kunjungan Kapal <500 GT

Persentase Keterangan
56.49 Ton Kapal >500 GT
43.51 Ton Kapal <500 GT

33 034 035 036 037 038 039


2 2 2 2 2 2
33 034 035 036 037 038 039
2 2 2 2 2 2
KEKURANGAN = M3 TIDAK DIHITUNG DAN LOAD FACTOR HANYA SATU TAHUN

Dimensi Kapal (m)


No Jenis Kapal Bobot
Panjang Draught
1 KAPAL CARGO 500 GT 60 2.9
2 KAPAL CARGO 1500 GT 70 4.5

Tahun Bongkar Muat Total


2014 250,985 15,073 266,058
2015 241,976 22,465 264,441
2016 211,998 12,726 224,724
2017 216,651 9,511 226,162
2018 220,214 22,288 242,502
2019 228,157 23,092 251,249
2020 352,925 23,925 376,850
2021 545,923 24,788 570,711
2022 844,462 25,682 870,144
2023 1,306,257 26,608 1,332,865
2024 2,020,585 27,568 2,048,153
2025 3,125,545 28,562 3,154,107
2026 4,834,754 29,593 4,864,346
2027 7,478,645 30,660 7,509,306
2028 11,568,353 31,766 11,600,119
2029 17,894,524 32,912 17,927,436
2030 27,680,169 34,099 27,714,268
2031 42,817,109 35,329 42,852,438
2032 66,231,706 36,603 66,268,309
2033 ### 37,924 ###
2034 ### 39,292 ###
2035 ### 40,709 ###
2036 ### 42,177 ###
2037 ### 43,698 ###
2038 ### 45,275 ###
2039 ### 46,908 ###
FACTOR HANYA SATU TAHUN

Total Muatan Kapal


Rencana Tahun 2017
Rencana Muat
Muat Bulan < 500 GT > 500 GT CALL
85 1516 Januari 76 244
123 1969 Februari 168 148
Maret 98 123
Ship Call #1 April 108 138
Mei 128 133
Juni 149 189
Juli 178 154
Agustus 124 136
September 92 175
272 Kenaikan Oktober 105 203
281 3.61 November 90 178
292 3.61 Desember 201 146
302 3.61 Average 126 164 290
313 3.61 sum 1516 1969 3485
324 3.61 % Average 43.51 56.49
336 3.61 % Sum 43.51 56.49
348 3.61
361 3.61
374 3.61
Ship Call
600
387 3.61
401 3.61 500
416 3.61
431 3.61 400
446 3.61
462 3.61 300
479 3.61
200
496 3.61
514 3.61 100
533 3.61
552 3.61 0
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39
20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
100

0
0 20 021 022 023 024 025 026 027 028 029 030 031 032 033 034 035 036 037 038 039
2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
Kunjungan Kapal
Persentase Keterangan Load Faktor Keterangan
52.4 Kunjungan Kapal >500 GT 85 Kunjungan Kapal >500 GT
47.6 Kunjungan Kapal <500 GT 123 Kunjungan Kapal <500 GT

Persentase Keterangan
56.49 Ton Kapal >500 GT
43.51 Ton Kapal <500 GT

33 034 035 036 037 038 039


2 2 2 2 2 2
33 034 035 036 037 038 039
2 2 2 2 2 2
BOR ALTERNATIVE 2
BOR LOA 2017 BOR LOA 2018
Average berth 941 Average berth 918
Wt 5 Wt 2
Lengt of Berth 230 Lengt of Berth 230
Day in Hour 24 Day in Hour 24
Effective Time 0.5 Effective Time 0.5
BOR 170 BOR 67

TAHUN BOR LOA 2017 Average berth Wt Lengt of Berth


2017 941 5 230 24
2018 918 5 230 24
2019 965 5 230 24
2020 989 5 230 24
2021 1014 5 230 24
2022 1039 5 230 24
2023 1065 5 230 24
2024 1092 5 230 24
2025 1119 5 230 24
2026 1147 5 230 24
2027 1176 5 230 24
2028 1205 5 230 24
2029 1235 5 230 24
2030 1266 5 230 24
2031 1298 5 230 24
2032 1331 5 230 24
2033 1364 5 230 24
2034 1398 5 230 24
2035 1433 5 230 24
2036 1469 5 230 24
2037 1506 5 230 24
2038 1544 5 230 24
2039 1582 5 230 24
Day in Hour BOR
0.33 256
0.33 249
0.33 262
0.33 141
0.33 144
0.33 148
0.33 152
0.33 155
0.33 159
0.33 163
0.33 167
0.33 172
0.33 176
0.33 180
0.33 185
0.33 189
0.33 194
0.33 199
0.33 204
0.33 209
0.33 214
0.33 220
0.33 225
Keterangan
To 75% angkutan Langsung
T1 25% angkutan tertahan dipelabuhan
T2 20% angkutan disimpan digudang
T3 80% angkutan disimpan digudang

Throughput (ton)
Tahun Total Kargo (ton)
T0 T1
2014 266,058 199,544 66,515
2015 264,441 198,331 66,110
2016 224,724 168,543 56,181
2017 226,162 169,622 56,541
2018 242,502 181,877 60,626
2019 392,401 294,301 98,100
2020 204,806 153,605 51,202
2021 240,825 180,619 60,206
2022 278,912 209,184 69,728
2023 319,185 239,389 79,796
2024 361,770 271,327 90,442
2025 406,799 305,099 101,700
2026 454,414 340,810 113,603
2027 504,762 378,572 126,191
2028 558,001 418,501 139,500
2029 614,297 460,723 153,574
2030 673,825 505,369 168,456
2031 736,771 552,578 184,193
2032 803,331 602,498 200,833
2033 873,714 655,285 218,428
2034 948,138 711,103 237,034
2035 1,026,836 770,127 256,709
2036 1,110,053 832,540 277,513
2037 1,198,049 898,537 299,512
2038 1,291,099 968,324 322,775
2039 1,389,492 1,042,119 347,373
Throughput (ton) A Lapangan A Gudang Sor %
T2 T3 (m2) (m2) 850
13,303 53,212 972 648 19
13,222 52,888 966 644 19
11,236 44,945 821 547 16
11,308 45,232 826 551 16
12,125 48,500 886 591 18
19,620 78,480 1,434 956 29
10,240 40,961 748 499 15
12,041 48,165 880 587 18
13,946 55,782 1,019 679 20
15,959 63,837 1,166 777 23
18,088 72,354 1,322 881 26
20,340 81,360 1,486 991 30
22,721 90,883 1,660 1,107 33
25,238 100,952 1,844 1,229 37
27,900 111,600 2,038 1,359 41
30,715 122,859 2,244 1,496 45
33,691 134,765 2,462 1,641 49
36,839 147,354 2,692 1,794 54
40,167 160,666 2,935 1,956 58
43,686 174,743 3,192 2,128 64
47,407 189,628 3,464 2,309 69
51,342 205,367 3,751 2,501 75
55,503 222,011 4,055 2,703 81
59,902 239,610 4,377 2,918 87
64,555 258,220 4,717 3,144 94
69,475 277,898 5,076 3,384 101
Keterangan
To 75% angkutan Langsung
T1 25% angkutan tertahan dipelabuhan
T2 20% angkutan disimpan digudang
T3 80% angkutan disimpan digudang

Throughput (ton)
Tahun Total Kargo (ton)
T0 T1
2014 - - -
2015 - - -
2016 - - -
2017 - - -
2018 242,502 181,877 60,626
2019 251,249 188,437 62,812
2020 376,850 282,638 94,213
2021 570,711 428,033 142,678
2022 870,144 652,608 217,536
2023 1,332,865 999,649 333,216
2024 2,048,153 1,536,115 512,038
2025 3,154,107 2,365,581 788,527
2026 4,864,346 3,648,260 1,216,087
2027 7,509,306 5,631,979 1,877,326
2028 11,600,119 8,700,089 2,900,030
2029 17,927,436 13,445,577 4,481,859
2030 27,714,268 20,785,701 6,928,567
2031 42,852,438 32,139,328 10,713,109
2032 66,268,309 49,701,232 16,567,077
2033 102,488,531 76,866,398 25,622,133
2034 158,515,159 ### 39,628,790
2035 245,179,328 ### 61,294,832
2036 379,235,198 ### 94,808,799
2037 586,598,959 ### ###
2038 907,359,110 ### ###
2039 1,403,526,598 ### ###
Throughput (ton) A Lapangan A Gudang Sor % Sor % Sor %
T2 T3 (m2) (m2) 850 3419046 4050
- - - - - - -
- - - - - - -
- - - - - - -
- - - - - - -
12,125 48,500 886 591 69 0 15
12,562 50,250 918 612 72 0 15
18,843 75,370 1,377 918 108 0 23
28,536 114,142 2,085 1,390 164 0 34
43,507 174,029 3,179 2,119 249 0 52
66,643 266,573 4,869 3,246 382 0 80
102,408 409,631 7,482 4,988 587 0 123
157,705 630,821 11,522 7,682 904 0 190
243,217 972,869 17,770 11,847 1,394 0 293
375,465 1,501,861 27,433 18,288 2,152 1 452
580,006 2,320,024 42,377 28,251 3,324 1 698
896,372 3,585,487 65,492 43,661 5,137 1 1,078
1,385,713 5,542,854 101,244 67,496 7,941 2 1,667
2,142,622 8,570,488 156,546 104,364 12,278 3 2,577
3,313,415 13,253,662 242,088 161,392 18,987 5 3,985
5,124,427 20,497,706 374,406 249,604 29,365 7 6,163
7,925,758 31,703,032 579,080 386,053 45,418 11 9,532
### 49,035,866 895,677 597,118 70,249 17 14,744
### 75,847,040 1,385,403 923,602 108,659 27 22,805
### ### 2,142,934 1,428,623 168,073 42 35,275
### ### 3,314,720 2,209,813 259,978 65 54,563
### ### 5,127,294 3,418,196 402,141 100 84,400
Volume Barang

T0
Angkutan
75% Langsung

T2
Disimpan di
20% Lapangan
Penumpukan

Trt = 10
Sf = 0.67 47.6
Sth Gudang = 3 52.4
Sth Lapangan = 0.5
BS = 0.5

Throughput (ton)
Tahun Total Kargo (ton)
T0 T1
2014 266,058 199,544 66,515
2015 264,441 198,331 66,110
2016 224,724 168,543 56,181
2017 226,162 169,622 56,541
2018 242,502 181,877 60,626
Pendek 2019 392,401 294,301 98,100
2020 204,806 153,605 51,202
2021 240,825 180,619 60,206
2022 278,912 209,184 69,728
2023 319,185 239,389 79,796
2024 361,770 271,327 90,442
2025 406,799 305,099 101,700
2026 454,414 340,810 113,603
2027 504,762 378,572 126,191
Menengah 2028 558,001 418,501 139,500
2029 614,297 460,723 153,574
2030 673,825 505,369 168,456
2031 736,771 552,578 184,193
2032 803,331 602,498 200,833
2033 873,714 655,285 218,428
2034 948,138 711,103 237,034
2035 1,026,836 770,127 256,709
2036 1,110,053 832,540 277,513
2037 1,198,049 898,537 299,512
Panjang 2038 1,291,099 968,324 322,775
2039 1,389,492 1,042,119 347,373

Sebelum Dilakukan
Tahun Total Kargo (ton) Kebuthan Luasan Gudang
Penambahan kapasitas
2014 266,058 76 648
2015 264,441 76 644
2016 224,724 64 547
2017 226,162 65 551
2018 242,502 69 591
2019 392,401 101 956
2020 204,806 48 499
2021 240,825 53 587
2022 278,912 57 679
2023 319,185 62 777
2024 361,770 67 881
2025 406,799 72 991
2026 454,414 77 1107
2027 504,762 82 1229
2028 558,001 88 1359
2029 614,297 93 1496
2030 673,825 99 1641
2031 736,771 105 1794
2032 803,331 111 1956
2033 873,714 117 2128
2034 948,138 123 2309
2035 1,026,836 129 2501
2036 1,110,053 136 2703
2037 1,198,049 143 2918
2038 1,291,099 150 3144
2039 1,389,492 157 3384
T1
Tertahan di
25% Pelabuhan

T3

Disimpan di
80% Gudang

oughput (ton) A Lapangan A Gudang Sor %


T2 T3 (m2) (m2) 3351
13,303 53,212 972 648 19
13,222 52,888 966 644 19
11,236 44,945 821 547 16
11,308 45,232 826 551 16
12,125 48,500 886 591 18
19,620 78,480 1434 956 29
10,240 40,961 748 499 15
12,041 48,165 880 587 18
13,946 55,782 1019 679 20
15,959 63,837 1166 777 23
18,088 72,354 1322 881 26
20,340 81,360 1486 991 30
22,721 90,883 1660 1107 33
25,238 100,952 1844 1229 37
27,900 111,600 2038 1359 41
30,715 122,859 2244 1496 45
33,691 134,765 2462 1641 49
36,839 147,354 2692 1794 54
40,167 160,666 2935 1956 58
43,686 174,743 3192 2128 64
47,407 189,628 3464 2309 69
51,342 205,367 3751 2501 75 Penambahan
55,503 222,011 4055 2703 81
59,902 239,610 4377 2918 87
64,555 258,220 4717 3144 94
69,475 277,898 5076 3384 101

Setelah Dilakukan
Penambahan kapasitas
26
26
22
22
24
34
16
18
20
21
23
24
26
28
30
32
34
36
38
40
42
44
46
49
51
53
(𝑇2 𝑥 𝑇𝑟𝑇 𝑥 𝑆𝑓)/(365 𝑥 𝑆𝑡ℎ 𝑥 (1−𝐵𝑆))
Volume Barang

T0
Angkutan
75% Langsung

T2

20% Disimpan di Lapangan


Penumpukan

Trt = 10
Sf = 0.67 47.6
Sth Gudang = 3 52.4
Sth Lapangan = 0.5
BS = 0.5

Tahun Total Kargo (ton) Throughput (ton)


T0 T1

2018 242,502 181,877 60,626


Pendek 2019 251,249 188,437 62,812
2020 376,850 282,638 94,213
2021 570,711 428,033 142,678
2022 870,144 652,608 217,536
2023 1,332,865 999,649 333,216
2024 2,048,153 1,536,115 512,038
2025 3,154,107 2,365,581 788,527
2026 4,864,346 3,648,260 1,216,087
2027 7,509,306 5,631,979 1,877,326
Menengah 2028 11,600,119 8,700,089 2,900,030
2029 17,927,436 13,445,577 4,481,859
2030 27,714,268 20,785,701 6,928,567
2031 42,852,438 32,139,328 10,713,109
2032 66,268,309 49,701,232 16,567,077
2033 102,488,531 76,866,398 25,622,133
2034 158,515,159 118,886,369 39,628,790
2035 245,179,328 183,884,496 61,294,832
2036 379,235,198 284,426,398 94,808,799
2037 586,598,959 439,949,219 146,649,740
Panjang 2038 907,359,110 680,519,332 226,839,777
2039 1,403,526,598 1,052,644,949 350,881,650

Sebelum Dilakukan Kebuthan Luasan


Tahun Total Kargo (ton) Penambahan Gudang
kapasitas

2014 -
2015 -
2016 -
2017 -
2018 242,502 69 591
2019 251,249 72 612
2020 376,850 108 918
2021 570,711 164 1390
2022 870,144 249 2119
2023 1,332,865 382 3246
2024 2,048,153 587 4988
2025 3,154,107 904 7682
2026 4,864,346 1394 11847
2027 7,509,306 2152 18288
2028 11,600,119 3324 28251
2029 17,927,436 5137 43661
2030 27,714,268 7941 67496
2031 42,852,438 12278 104364
2032 66,268,309 18987 161392
2033 102,488,531 29365 249604
2034 158,515,159 45418 386053
2035 245,179,328 70249 597118
2036 379,235,198 108659 923602
2037 586,598,959 168073 1428623
2038 907,359,110 259978 2209813
2039 1,403,526,598 402141 3418196
T1
Tertahan di
25% Pelabuhan

T3

Disimpan di
80% Gudang

RENCANA RIPRENCANA PELINDO

A Lapangan A Gudang Sor % Sor % Sor %


Throughput (ton)
(m2) (m2)
T2 T3 850 3419046 4050

12,125 48,500 886 591 69 0.02 15


12,562 50,250 918 612 72 0.02 15
18,843 75,370 1377 918 108 0.03 23
28,536 114,142 2085 1390 164 0.04 34
43,507 174,029 3179 2119 249 0.06 52
66,643 266,573 4869 3246 382 0.09 80
102,408 409,631 7482 4988 587 0.15 123
157,705 630,821 11522 7682 904 0.22 190
243,217 972,869 17770 11847 1394 0.35 293
375,465 1,501,861 27433 18288 2152 0.53 452
580,006 2,320,024 42377 28251 3324 0.83 698
896,372 3,585,487 65492 43661 5137 1.28 1078
1,385,713 5,542,854 101244 67496 7941 1.97 1667
2,142,622 8,570,488 156546 104364 12278 3.05 2577
3,313,415 13,253,662 242088 161392 18987 4.72 3985
5,124,427 20,497,706 374406 249604 29365 7.30 6163
7,925,758 31,703,032 579080 386053 45418 11.29 9532
12,258,966 49,035,866 895677 597118 70249 17.46 14744
18,961,760 75,847,040 1385403 923602 108659 27.01 22805
29,329,948 117,319,792 2142934 1428623 168073 41.78 35275
45,367,955 181,471,822 3314720 2209813 259978 64.63 54563
70,176,330 280,705,320 5127294 3418196 402141 99.98 84400

Setelah Dilakukan Setelah Dilakukan


Penambahan Penambahan
kapasitas (2093 m3) kapasitas (4900 m3)

0 15
0 15
0 23
0 34
0 52
0 80
0 123
0 190
0 293
1 452
1 698
1 1078
2 1667
3 2577
5 3985
7 6163
11 9532
17 14744
27 22805
42 35275
65 54563
100 84400
KEBUTUHAN LAHAN KEBUTUHAN LAHAN
GUDANG (CAD) GUDANG PELINDO
4050 6000

(𝑇2 𝑥 𝑇𝑟𝑇 𝑥 𝑆𝑓)/(365 𝑥 𝑆𝑡ℎ 𝑥 (1−𝐵𝑆))


1−𝐵𝑆))
Volume Bongkar Muat Langsung Jumlah
Truk Trailer
No Tahun BOR Barang
Loosing
(%) (Ton) (%)
1 2 3 4 5 6
1 2 3 4 5 6
1 2019 100.00 392,401 20 3
2 2024 100.00 831,422 20 0
3 2028 100.00 1,282,402 25 14
4 2034 100.00 2,179,017 25 0
5 2039 100.00 3,193,340 30 0
Luas
Jumlah Parkir
Lahan
ForkLift Truk Truk Truk Parkir
Loosing Loosing loosing Truk
(m2)
7 8 9 11 12
7 8 9 11 12
12 33 109 2,453 2,485
3 69 231 5,196 5,266
3 134 445 10,019 10,152
0 227 757 17,024 17,251
0 399 1,331 29,938 30,337
Volume Bongkar Muat Langsung Jumlah
Truk Trailer
No Tahun BOR Barang
Loosing
(%) (Ton) (%)
1 2 3 4 5 6
1 2 3 4 5 6
1 2019 100.00 251,249 20 3
2 2024 100.00 1,945,746 20 0
3 2028 100.00 11,020,113 25 14
4 2034 100.00 150,589,401 25 0
5 2039 100.00 ### 30 0
Luas
Jumlah Parkir
Lahan
ForkLift Truk Truk Truk Parkir
Loosing Loosing loosing Truk
(m2)
7 8 9 11 12
7 8 9 11 12
12 21 70 1,570 1,591
3 162 540 12,161 12,323
3 1,148 3,826 86,095 87,243
0 15,686 52,288 1,176,480 1,192,166
0 166,669 555,563 12,500,159 12,666,828
No Uraian Satuan

1 Karakteristik Kapal Disain


a. Ukuran GRT
b. LOA (Panjang), L m
c. Beam (lebar), B m
d. Draft, D m
2 Jumlah Kapal Dilayani
a. Kedatangan unit
b. Sandar, N unit
c. Labuh unit
d. Alih Muat unit
e. Kapal Mati unit
1 Dimensi Alur
Panjang Alur (Lalur) eksisting m
Lebar Alur eksisting m
Lebar Alur ukuran kapal
a. 1-way m
2 Dimensi Kolam
a. Areal Alur Pelayaran dari dan ke Pelabuhan Ha
b. Areal Tempat Sandar
Lebar m
Panjang m
Luas untuk 1 kapal m2
Luas Total Ha
c. Areal Kolam Putar
Diameter ( dgn tunda) m
Luas Ha
Diameter (tanpa tunda) m
Luas Ha
d. Areal Tempat Labuh
Jari-jari m
Luas m2
Luas Total
Ha
e. Areal Pindah Labuh Kapal
Jari-jari m
Luas m2
Luas Total
Ha
f. Areal Alih Muat Kapal Ha
g. Areal Penempatan Kapal Mati Ha
h. Areal Keperluan Keadaan Darurat Ha
i .Areal Percobaan Berlayar Ha
Lebar (Minimum) m
Panjang (Minimum) m
j. luas kolam pelabuhan

Dengan tunda Ha
Rata-rata karakteristik kapal
Formula pengembangan jangka panjang

1,500
70
11.0
4.5

140.35
140.35
1.00
1.00
1.00

2,000.00
150.00

5B 55.00

Aalur = (9B + 30) x Lalur 25.80

1.5 L 105.00
1.8 L 126.00
1.8 L x 1.5 L 13,230
N * Luas 185.68

2L 140.00
A= N π R2 216.05
3L 210.00
A= N π R2 486.11

R=L + 6 D + 30 127.00
A=π R2 50,671

N*A 5.07

R=L + 6 D + 30 127.00
A=π R2 50,670.75

N*A 5.07
N*A 5.07
N*A 2.53
50 % Areal Labuh 2.53
A = Panjang x Lebar 8.29
Lebar Alur 74.00
16 L 1,120.00

area tempat sandar + 401.73


area kolam putar
Fasilitas Pelabuhan Satuan Eksisting

Fasilitas Pokok
Dermaga 1 (Type Warf) m 170 x 9
Dermaga 2 (Type Warf) m 50 x 9
Fasilitas General Cargo
Gudang Pelabuhan
Gudang 1 m2 1,160
Gudang 2 m2 850
Fasilitas Curah Cair
Areal Curah Cair m2
Areal Perkantoran
Kantor Pelindo m2 575
Kantor Adminsitrasi + kantin m2 110
Koperasi, UKK dan Kantin m2 240
Fasilita Penunjang
Karantina Pertanian m2 700
Pos Jaga + WC m2 450
Hanggar m2 50
MCK Umum m2 50
Ruang Zenset m2 20
Perkerasan Lapangan Parkir m2 2,132
Ruang Terbuka, Lahan Kosong & Jalan Akses m2 36
Studi Alur Pelayaran Pelabuhan Paket -
Lampu Penerangan Pelabuhan Unit -
Kontainer Penampungan Sampah (6m3) Unit -
Gapura Pelabuhan Unit -
Mobil Crane 20 Ton Unit -

Fasilitas Pelabuhan Eksisting

1. Area Perairan :
a. Dermaga 1 (Type Warf) 170 x 9
b. Dermaga 2 (Type Warf) 50 x 9

2. Area Darat :
a. Kantor Pelindo 575
b. Koperasi, UKK dan Kantin 240
c. Karantina Pertanian 700
d. Pos Jaga + WC 450
e. Gudang (1=1.160; Gudang 2=850) 2.01
f. Hanggar 50
g. MCK Umum 50
h. Ruang Zenset 20
i. K Administrasi + Kantin (tidak aktif) 110
j. Lapangan Parkir 2132

k. Ruang Terbuka, Lahan Kosong & Jalan Akses 36


73.8
Jangka Pendek Jangka Pendek Jangka Pendek
(2019-2024) (2019-2034) (2019-2039)

170 x 9 170 x 9 170 x 9


50 x 9 50 x 9 50 x 9

1,160 1,160 1,160


850 1,950 1,950 1,100

575 575 575


110 110 110 30
240 240 240

700 700 700


450 450 450
50 50 50
50 50 50
20 20 20
2,132 30,337 30,337
36 36 36
1 1 1
10 15 20
1 1 1
1 1 1
5 5 5

Program Pengembangan
Satuan Jangaka Pendek Jangka Menengah Jangka Panjang
(2015 – 2019) (2015 – 2024) (2015 – 2034)

M 170 x 9 170 x 9 170 x 9


M 50 x 9 50 x 9 50 x 9

M2 575 575 575


M 2
240 240 240
M2 700 700 700
M 2
450 450 450
M2 2.01 3431 3431
M 2
50 50 50
M2 50 50 50
M 2
20 20 20
M2 110 110 110
M 2
2132 20 20

M2 36 36 36
Bongkar Muat
1,292 1 831 0
867 2 603 0
941 3 180 0
330 4 45 0
5 150 0
6 150 0
7 336 0
8 343 0
9
10
11
12
Fasilitas Pelabuhan Satuan Eksisting

Fasilitas Pokok
Dermaga Beton I m 50 x 10
Dermaga Beton II m 50 x 10
Dermaga Beton III m 70 x 9
Dermaga Beton III Tahap III m 40 x 9
Talud Laut m 387
Talud Darat m 494
Tresel Dermaga Cargo 1 m 2x5
Tresel Dermaga Cargo 2 m 2x7
Tresel Dermaga Cargo 3 m 2x7
Tresel Dermaga Cargo 3 Tahap 3 m 7x6
Fasilitas General Cargo
Lapangan Penumpukan m2 2,000
Penataan Gudang 1 m2 1,200
Penataan Gudang 2 m2 850
Fasilitas Curah Cair
Areal Curah Cair m2 3629
Areal Perkantoran
Penataan Kantor Pelindo m2 73.8
Penataan Kantor Tenaga Kerja Bongkar Muat m2 126
Penataan Pos Bea Cukai m2 28
Kantor Karantina m2 700
Fasilita Penunjang
Pos Pintu Masuk m2 30
Lapangan Parkir m2 2000
Penataan kantin m2 54
Mushola m2 16
Rumah Pompa m2 9
Ruang Zenset m2 20
Ruang Terbuka, Lahan Kosong & Jalan Akses m2 36
Instalasi Pengolahan Air Limbah m2 -
Studi Alur Pelayaran Pelabuhan Paket -
Lampu Penerangan Pelabuhan Unit -
Kontainer Penampungan Sampah (6m3) Unit -
Gapura Pelabuhan Unit -
Mobil Crane 20 Ton Unit -
Fasilitas Pelabuhan Eksisting

1. Area Perairan :
a. Dermaga 1 (Type Warf) 170 x 9
b. Dermaga 2 (Type Warf) 50 x 9

2. Area Darat :
a. Kantor Pelindo 575
b. Koperasi, UKK dan Kantin 240
c. Karantina Pertanian 700
d. Pos Jaga + WC 450
e. Gudang (1=1.160; Gudang 2=850) 2.01
f. Hanggar 50
g. MCK Umum 50
h. Ruang Zenset 20
i. K Administrasi + Kantin (tidak aktif) 110
j. Lapangan Parkir 2132

k. Ruang Terbuka, Lahan Kosong & Jalan Akses 36


Jangka Pendek Jangka Menengah Jangka Panjang
(2019-2024) (2019-2034) (2019-2039)

50 x 10 50 x 10 50 x 10
50 x 10 50 x 10 50 x 10
70 x 9 70 x 9 70 x 9
40 x 9 40 x 9 40 x 9
387 387 387
494 494 494
2x5 2x5 2x5
2x7 2x7 2x7
2x7 2x7 2x7
7x6 7x6 7x6

2,000 2,000 2,000


1,200 1,200 1,200
4,050 4,050 4,050

- 7,600 7600

73.8 73.8 73.8


126 126 126
28 28 28
700 700 700

30 30 30
2000 2000 2000
54 54 54
16 16 16
9 9 9
20 20 20
36 36 36
- - 10 x 15
1 1 1
10 15 20
1 1 1
1 1 1
5 5 5
Program Pengembangan
Satuan Jangaka Pendek Jangka Menengah Jangka Panjang
(2015 – 2019) (2015 – 2024) (2015 – 2034)

M 170 x 9 170 x 9 170 x 9


M 50 x 9 50 x 9 50 x 9

M2 575 575 575


M 2
240 240 240
M2 700 700 700
M 2
450 450 450
M2 2.01 3431 3431
M 2
50 50 50
M2 50 50 50
M 2
20 20 20
M2 110 110 110
M 2
2132 20 20

M2 36 36 36
TURUN
Optimis
PENDUDUK 2.87
PENUMPANG 1.91

Tahun TURUN TRANSPORTASI


2005 548,686
2006 471,282
2007 526,586
2008 589,980
2009 601,927
2010 629,769
2011 754,125
2012 687,638
2013 723,569
2014 622,208 651,835
2015 478,448 707,656
2016 515,471 773,000
2017 595,803 815,748
2018 599,738 857,951
2019 882,543
2020 907,840
2021 933,863
2022 960,631
2023 988,167
2024 1,016,492
2025 1,045,629
2026 1,075,601
2027 1,106,432
2028 1,138,147
2029 1,170,771
2030 1,204,330
2031 1,238,851
2032 1,274,361
2033 1,310,890
2034 1,348,465
2035 1,387,118
2036 1,426,878
2037 1,467,779
2038 1,509,851
2039 1,553,130
NAIK
Optimis
PDRB 2.87
BONGKAR/MUAT 1.91
NAIK

Tahun Variabel Dependen TRANSPORTASI

2005 597,565
2006 611,070
2007 590,052
2008 608,299
2009 617,756
2010 665,783
2011 863,686
2012 713,407
2013 726,286
2014 664,981 651,835
2015 638,587 707,656
2016 504,767 773,000
2017 485,817 815,748
2018 680,288 857,951
2019 882,543
2020 907,840
2021 933,863
2022 960,631
2023 988,167
2024 1,016,492
2025 1,045,629
2026 1,075,601
2027 1,106,432
2028 1,138,147
2029 1,170,771
2030 1,204,330
2031 1,238,851
2032 1,274,361
2033 1,310,890
2034 1,348,465
2035 1,387,118
2036 1,426,878
2037 1,467,779
2038 1,509,851
2039 1,553,130
Moderat Pesimis
1.91 1.07
1.07 0.77

Σ WISATAWAN Σ JUMLAH PENDUDUK Tahun TURUN


2005 548,686
2006 471,282
2007 526,586
2008 589,980
2009 601,927
2010 629,769
2011 754,125
2012 687,638
2013 723,569
99,593 196,980 2014 622,208
98,121 199,723 2015 478,448
91,179 202,215 2016 515,471
93,249 204,735 2017 595,803
117,882 207,057 2018 599,738
121,261 212,992 2019
124,737 219,097 2020
128,312 225,378 2021
131,990 231,838 2022
135,774 238,483 2023
139,665 245,319 2024
143,669 252,351 2025
147,787 259,584 2026
152,023 267,025 2027
156,381 274,679 2028
160,863 282,553 2029
165,474 290,652 2030
170,217 298,983 2031
175,097 307,553 2032
180,116 316,369 2033
185,278 325,437 2034
190,589 334,766 2035
196,052 344,361 2036
201,672 354,232 2037
207,453 364,386 2038
213,399 374,831 2039
Moderat Pesimis
1.91 1.07
1.07 0.77

Σ WISATAWAN Σ JUMLAH PENDUDUK Tahun Variabel Dependen

2005 597,565
2006 611,070
2007 590,052
2008 608,299
2009 617,756
2010 665,783
2011 863,686
2012 713,407
2013 726,286
99,593 196,980 2014 664,981
98,121 199,723 2015 638,587
91,179 202,215 2016 504,767
93,249 204,735 2017 485,817
117,882 207,057 2018 680,288
121,261 212,992 2019
124,737 219,097 2020
128,312 225,378 2021
131,990 231,838 2022
135,774 238,483 2023
139,665 245,319 2024
143,669 252,351 2025
147,787 259,584 2026
152,023 267,025 2027
156,381 274,679 2028
160,863 282,553 2029
165,474 290,652 2030
170,217 298,983 2031
175,097 307,553 2032
180,116 316,369 2033
185,278 325,437 2034
190,589 334,766 2035
196,052 344,361 2036
201,672 354,232 2037
207,453 364,386 2038
213,399 374,831 2039
TRANSPORTASI Σ WISATAWAN Σ JUMLAH PENDUDUK

651,835 99,593 196,980


707,656 98,121 199,723
773,000 91,179 202,215
815,748 93,249 204,735
857,951 117,882 207,057
874,311 120,130 211,005
890,983 122,421 215,029
907,973 124,755 219,129
925,287 127,134 223,308
942,932 129,558 227,566
960,912 132,029 231,906
979,236 134,547 236,328
997,909 137,112 240,834
1,016,938 139,727 245,427
1,036,330 142,391 250,107
1,056,091 145,106 254,876
1,076,230 147,873 259,736
1,096,753 150,693 264,689
1,117,666 153,567 269,737
1,138,979 156,495 274,880
1,160,698 159,479 280,122
1,182,832 162,520 285,463
1,205,387 165,620 290,907
1,228,372 168,778 296,454
1,251,796 171,996 302,107
1,275,667 175,276 307,868
TRANSPORTASI Σ WISATAWAN Σ JUMLAH PENDUDUK

651,835 99,593 196,980


707,656 98,121 199,723
773,000 91,179 202,215
815,748 93,249 204,735
857,951 117,882 207,057
874,311 120,130 211,005
890,983 122,421 215,029
907,973 124,755 219,129
925,287 127,134 223,308
942,932 129,558 227,566
960,912 132,029 231,906
979,236 134,547 236,328
997,909 137,112 240,834
1,016,938 139,727 245,427
1,036,330 142,391 250,107
1,056,091 145,106 254,876
1,076,230 147,873 259,736
1,096,753 150,693 264,689
1,117,666 153,567 269,737
1,138,979 156,495 274,880
1,160,698 159,479 280,122
1,182,832 162,520 285,463
1,205,387 165,620 290,907
1,228,372 168,778 296,454
1,251,796 171,996 302,107
1,275,667 175,276 307,868
Tahun TURUN TRANSPORTASI Σ WISATAWAN
2005 548,686
2006 471,282
2007 526,586
2008 589,980
2009 601,927
2010 629,769
2011 754,125
2012 687,638
2013 723,569
2014 622,208 651,835 99,593
2015 478,448 707,656 98,121
2016 515,471 773,000 91,179
2017 595,803 815,748 93,249
2018 599,738 857,951 117,882
2019 867,094 119,138
2020 876,334 120,408
2021 885,673 121,691
2022 895,111 122,988
2023 904,650 124,298
2024 914,291 125,623
2025 924,034 126,962
2026 933,881 128,315
2027 943,833 129,682
2028 953,891 131,064
2029 964,056 132,461
2030 974,330 133,872
2031 984,713 135,299
2032 995,207 136,741
2033 1,005,813 138,198
2034 1,016,531 139,671
2035 1,027,364 141,159
2036 1,038,312 142,664
2037 1,049,377 144,184
2038 1,060,560 145,720
2039 1,071,862 147,273
Tahun Variabel Dependen TRANSPORTASI Σ WISATAWAN

2005 597,565
2006 611,070
2007 590,052
2008 608,299
2009 617,756
2010 665,783
2011 863,686
2012 713,407
2013 726,286
2014 664,981 651,835 99,593
2015 638,587 707,656 98,121
2016 504,767 773,000 91,179
2017 485,817 815,748 93,249
2018 680,288 857,951 117,882
2019 867,094 119,138
2020 876,334 120,408
2021 885,673 121,691
2022 895,111 122,988
2023 904,650 124,298
2024 914,291 125,623
2025 924,034 126,962
2026 933,881 128,315
2027 943,833 129,682
2028 953,891 131,064
2029 964,056 132,461
2030 974,330 133,872
2031 984,713 135,299
2032 995,207 136,741
2033 1,005,813 138,198
2034 1,016,531 139,671
2035 1,027,364 141,159
2036 1,038,312 142,664
2037 1,049,377 144,184
2038 1,060,560 145,720
2039 1,071,862 147,273
TURUN PDDK
Σ JUMLAH PENDUDUK Tahun R optimis R moderat
2005 548,686 548,686
2006 471,282 471,282
2007 526,586 526,586
2008 589,980 589,980
2009 601,927 601,927
2010 629,769 629,769
2011 754,125 754,125
2012 687,638 687,638
2013 723,569 723,569
196,980 2014 622,208 622,208
199,723 2015 478,448 478,448
202,215 2016 515,471 515,471
204,735 2017 595,803 595,803
207,057 2018 599,738 599,738
209,264 2019 770,808 713,633
211,494 2020 946,506 829,426
213,747 2021 1,127,239 947,428
216,025 2022 1,313,154 1,067,679
218,327 2023 1,504,398 1,190,224
220,654 2024 1,701,123 1,315,106
223,005 2025 1,903,487 1,442,369
225,382 2026 2,111,652 1,572,058
227,784 2027 2,325,784 1,704,221
230,211 2028 2,546,054 1,838,904
232,664 2029 2,772,637 1,976,155
235,144 2030 3,005,716 2,116,023
237,650 2031 3,245,475 2,258,559
240,182 2032 3,492,107 2,403,813
242,742 2033 3,745,808 2,551,836
245,329 2034 4,006,782 2,702,682
247,943 2035 4,275,236 2,856,404
250,585 2036 4,551,385 3,013,058
253,256 2037 4,835,449 3,172,699
255,955 2038 5,127,656 3,335,385
258,682 2039 5,428,239 3,501,172
NAIK PDRB

Σ JUMLAH PENDUDUK Tahun R optimis R moderat

2005 597,565 597,565


2006 611,070 611,070
2007 590,052 590,052
2008 608,299 608,299
2009 617,756 617,756
2010 665,783 665,783
2011 863,686 863,686
2012 713,407 713,407
2013 726,286 726,286
196,980 2014 664,981 664,981
199,723 2015 638,587 638,587
202,215 2016 504,767 504,767
204,735 2017 485,817 485,817
207,057 2018 680,288 680,288
209,264 2019 766,893 737,885
211,494 2020 856,035 796,634
213,747 2021 947,731 856,503
216,025 2022 1,042,056 917,513
218,327 2023 1,139,085 979,687
220,654 2024 1,238,895 1,043,046
223,005 2025 1,341,566 1,107,614
225,382 2026 1,447,180 1,173,413
227,784 2027 1,555,821 1,240,467
230,211 2028 1,667,576 1,308,799
232,664 2029 1,782,535 1,378,434
235,144 2030 1,900,789 1,449,397
237,650 2031 2,022,432 1,521,714
240,182 2032 2,147,562 1,595,409
242,742 2033 2,276,279 1,670,510
245,329 2034 2,408,686 1,747,042
247,943 2035 2,544,888 1,825,035
250,585 2036 2,684,994 1,904,514
253,256 2037 2,829,116 1,985,509
255,955 2038 2,977,369 2,068,048
258,682 2039 3,129,872 2,152,162
TURUN PNP
R Pesimis Tahun R optimis R moderat
548,686 2005 548,686 548,686
471,282 2006 471,282 471,282
526,586 2007 526,586 526,586
589,980 2008 589,980 589,980
601,927 2009 601,927 601,927
629,769 2010 629,769 629,769
754,125 2011 754,125 754,125
687,638 2012 687,638 687,638
723,569 2013 723,569 723,569
622,208 2014 622,208 622,208
478,448 2015 478,448 478,448
515,471 2016 515,471 515,471
595,803 2017 595,803 595,803
599,738 2018 599,738 599,738
663,506 2019 713,633 663,506
727,683 2020 829,426 727,683
792,544 2021 947,428 792,544
858,096 2022 1,067,679 858,096
924,347 2023 1,190,224 924,347
991,303 2024 1,315,106 991,303
1,058,974 2025 1,442,369 1,058,974
1,127,365 2026 1,572,058 1,127,365
1,196,485 2027 1,704,221 1,196,485
1,266,342 2028 1,838,904 1,266,342
1,336,943 2029 1,976,155 1,336,943
1,408,297 2030 2,116,023 1,408,297
1,480,411 2031 2,258,559 1,480,411
1,553,293 2032 2,403,813 1,553,293
1,626,952 2033 2,551,836 1,626,952
1,701,396 2034 2,702,682 1,701,396
1,776,634 2035 2,856,404 1,776,634
1,852,673 2036 3,013,058 1,852,673
1,929,522 2037 3,172,699 1,929,522
2,007,191 2038 3,335,385 2,007,191
2,085,687 2039 3,501,172 2,085,687
NAIK PNP

R Pesimis Tahun R optimis R moderat

597,565 2005 597,565 597,565


611,070 2006 611,070 611,070
590,052 2007 590,052 590,052
608,299 2008 608,299 608,299
617,756 2009 617,756 617,756
665,783 2010 665,783 665,783
863,686 2011 863,686 863,686
713,407 2012 713,407 713,407
726,286 2013 726,286 726,286
664,981 2014 664,981 664,981
638,587 2015 638,587 638,587
504,767 2016 504,767 504,767
485,817 2017 485,817 485,817
680,288 2018 680,288 680,288
712,453 2019 737,885 712,453
745,014 2020 796,634 745,014
777,921 2021 856,503 777,921
811,180 2022 917,513 811,180
844,792 2023 979,687 844,792
878,763 2024 1,043,046 878,763
913,096 2025 1,107,614 913,096
947,795 2026 1,173,413 947,795
982,864 2027 1,240,467 982,864
1,018,306 2028 1,308,799 1,018,306
1,054,126 2029 1,378,434 1,054,126
1,090,328 2030 1,449,397 1,090,328
1,126,915 2031 1,521,714 1,126,915
1,163,892 2032 1,595,409 1,163,892
1,201,264 2033 1,670,510 1,201,264
1,239,034 2034 1,747,042 1,239,034
1,277,206 2035 1,825,035 1,277,206
1,315,785 2036 1,904,514 1,315,785
1,354,775 2037 1,985,509 1,354,775
1,394,180 2038 2,068,048 1,394,180
1,434,006 2039 2,152,162 1,434,006
R Pesimis SUMMARY OUTPUT
548,686
471,282 Regression Statistics
526,586 Multiple R 0.3918513509
589,980 R Square 0.1535474812
601,927 Adjusted R Square -2.3858100752
629,769 Standard Error 113939.251408
754,125 Observations 5
687,638
723,569 ANOVA
622,208 df SS MS
478,448 Regression 3 2354977805.77 784992601.923
515,471 Residual 1 12982153011.4 12982153011.4
595,803 Total 4 15337130817.2
599,738
645,844 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat
692,035 Intercept -5358726.84373 51323465.8672 -0.1044108529
738,581 X Variable 1 -1.6394300136 14.6604222368 -0.1118269302
785,485 X Variable 2 1.4187618469 9.5282554698 0.1489004836
832,750 X Variable 3 34.7635507562 312.721721226 0.1111644903
880,379
928,374
976,738
1,025,475
1,074,586
1,124,075
1,173,944
1,224,198
1,274,838
1,325,867
1,377,289
1,429,107
1,481,323
1,533,941
1,586,963
1,640,394
R Pesimis SUMMARY OUTPUT

597,565
611,070 Regression Statistics
590,052 Multiple R 0.9928243936
608,299 R Square 0.9857002766
617,756 Adjusted R Square 0.9428011063
665,783 Standard Error 22093.1606033
863,686 Observations 5
713,407
726,286 ANOVA
664,981 df SS MS
638,587 Regression 3 33645961186.6 11215320395.5
504,767 Residual 1 488107745.442 488107745.442
485,817 Total 4 34134068932
680,288
703,492 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat
726,928 Intercept -2342966.04259 9951773.073 -0.2354320205
750,543 X Variable 1 -1.5368282481 2.8426995876 -0.5406228132
774,340 X Variable 2 8.682126208 1.8475571479 4.6992463632
798,320 X Variable 3 16.0258215764 60.6376742501 0.2642881966
822,485
846,836
871,374
896,100
921,017
946,126
971,427
996,924
1,022,616
1,048,506
1,074,596
1,100,886
1,127,378
1,154,074
1,180,975
1,208,083
F Significance F
0.0604670582 0.9731801125

P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%


0.9337699626 -657485191.922 646767738.235 -657485191.922 646767738.235
0.9291033133 -187.917756473 184.638896446 -187.917756473 184.638896446
0.9058983967 -119.649202932 122.486726625 -119.649202932 122.486726625
0.9295198574 -3938.74266459 4008.2697661 -3938.74266459 4008.2697661
F Significance F
22.977140806 0.1518921806

P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%


0.8527999284 -128792232.196 124106300.111 -128792232.196 124106300.111
0.6844814746 -37.6567512117 34.5830947155 -37.6567512117 34.5830947155
0.1334816528 -14.7933131749 32.1575655909 -14.7933131749 32.1575655909
0.8355098545 -754.448882171 786.500525323 -754.448882171 786.500525323
TURUN
Optimis
PENDUDUK 11.56
PENUMPANG 6.06
BONGKAR Variabel Independen
Tahun
Variabel Dependen TRANSPORTASI
2014 249,238 651,835
2015 216,786 707,656
2016 266,740 773,000
2017 234,087 815,748
2018 194,059 857,951

NAIK
Optimis
PDRB 11.56
BONGKAR/MUAT 6.06
NAIK
Tahun
Variabel Dependen TRANSPORTASI
2014 680,288 651,835
2015 485,817 707,656
2016 504,767 773,000
2017 638,587 815,748
2018 664,981 857,951

*CATATAN : RATA - RATA YANG DIAMBIL HANYA DARI TURUN SAJA


Moderat Pesimis
2.94 2.38
3.17 1.15
Variabel Independen
Σ WISATAWAN Σ JUMLAH PENDUDUK
99,593 196,980
98,121 199,723
91,179 202,215
93,249 204,735
117,882 207,057

Moderat Pesimis
2.94 2.38
3.17 1.15

Σ WISATAWAN Σ JUMLAH PENDUDUK


99,593 196,980
98,121 199,723
91,179 202,215
93,249 204,735
117,882 207,057

HANYA DARI TURUN SAJA


PENUMPANG LUAR NEGERI

TURUN PDDK TURUN PNP


Tahun R optimis R moderat R Pesimis Tahun
2005 435,141 435,141 435,141 2005
2006 294,432 294,432 294,432 2006
2007 289,890 289,890 289,890 2007
2008 247,729 247,729 247,729 2008
2009 192,771 192,771 192,771 2009
2010 203,345 203,345 203,345 2010
2011 214,139 214,139 214,139 2011
2012 207,626 207,626 207,626 2012
2013 230,256 230,256 230,256 2013
2014 249,238 249,238 249,238 2014
2015 216,786 216,786 216,786 2015
2016 266,740 266,740 266,740 2016
2017 234,087 234,087 234,087 2017
2018 194,059 194,059 194,059 2018
2019 216,496 199,768 198,676 2019
2020 241,526 205,646 203,403 2020
2021 269,451 211,696 208,242 2021
2022 300,604 217,924 213,197 2022
2023 335,359 224,336 218,269 2023
2024 374,133 230,936 223,462 2024
2025 417,389 237,730 228,779 2025
2026 465,646 244,725 234,222 2026
2027 519,483 251,925 239,794 2027
2028 579,544 259,337 245,499 2028
2029 646,550 266,967 251,340 2029
2030 721,302 274,821 257,320 2030
2031 804,697 282,906 263,442 2031
2032 897,734 291,230 269,710 2032
2033 1,001,528 299,798 276,127 2033
2034 1,117,322 308,618 282,696 2034
2035 1,246,504 317,698 289,422 2035
2036 1,390,621 327,045 296,308 2036
2037 1,551,401 336,667 303,358 2037
2038 1,730,770 346,572 310,575 2038
2039 1,930,878 356,769 317,964 2039
NAIK PDRB NAIK PNP
Tahun R optimis R moderat R Pesimis Tahun
2005 428,478 428,478 428,478 2005
2006 321,246 321,246 321,246 2006
2007 289,890 289,890 289,890 2007
2008 247,729 247,729 247,729 2008
2009 192,771 192,771 192,771 2009
2010 203,345 203,345 203,345 2010
2011 214,139 214,139 214,139 2011
2012 207,626 207,626 207,626 2012
2013 230,256 230,256 230,256 2013
2014 680,288 680,288 680,288 2014
2015 485,817 485,817 485,817 2015
2016 504,767 504,767 504,767 2016
2017 638,587 638,587 638,587 2017
2018 664,981 664,981 664,981 2018
2019 741,864 684,545 680,802 2019
2020 827,637 704,685 697,000 2020
2021 923,326 725,418 713,582 2021
2022 1,030,079 746,760 730,560 2022
2023 1,149,174 768,731 747,941 2023
2024 1,282,038 791,348 765,736 2024
2025 1,430,264 814,630 783,954 2025
2026 1,595,627 838,597 802,606 2026
2027 1,780,110 863,269 821,701 2027
2028 1,985,921 888,668 841,251 2028
2029 2,215,529 914,813 861,266 2029
2030 2,471,682 941,728 881,757 2030
2031 2,757,452 969,434 902,735 2031
2032 3,076,261 997,956 924,213 2032
2033 3,431,930 1,027,317 946,202 2033
2034 3,828,721 1,057,541 968,714 2034
2035 4,271,388 1,088,655 991,761 2035
2036 4,765,235 1,120,685 1,015,357 2036
2037 5,316,179 1,153,656 1,039,514 2037
2038 5,930,822 1,187,598 1,064,246 2038
2039 6,616,528 1,222,538 1,089,566 2039
R optimis R moderat R Pesimis Tahun Optimis Moderat
435,141 435,141 435,141 2005 863,619 863,619
294,432 294,432 294,432 2006 615,678 615,678
289,890 289,890 289,890 2007 579,780 579,780
247,729 247,729 247,729 2008 495,458 495,458
192,771 192,771 192,771 2009 385,542 385,542
203,345 203,345 203,345 2010 406,690 406,690
214,139 214,139 214,139 2011 428,278 428,278
207,626 207,626 207,626 2012 415,252 415,252
230,256 230,256 230,256 2013 460,512 460,512
249,238 249,238 249,238 2014 929,526 929,526
216,786 216,786 216,786 2015 702,603 702,603
266,740 266,740 266,740 2016 771,507 771,507
234,087 234,087 234,087 2017 872,674 872,674
194,059 194,059 194,059 2018 859,040 859,040
205,810 200,204 196,283 2019 911,058 886,244
218,272 206,545 198,533 2020 966,226 914,310
231,490 213,085 200,809 2021 1,024,734 943,264
245,507 219,833 203,111 2022 1,086,785 973,135
260,373 226,795 205,439 2023 1,152,594 1,003,953
276,140 233,977 207,794 2024 1,222,388 1,035,746
292,861 241,387 210,176 2025 1,296,408 1,068,546
310,595 249,031 212,585 2026 1,374,910 1,102,385
329,403 256,917 215,022 2027 1,458,165 1,137,295
349,349 265,054 217,487 2028 1,546,462 1,173,311
370,504 273,447 219,980 2029 1,640,106 1,210,468
392,939 282,107 222,502 2030 1,739,420 1,248,801
416,733 291,041 225,052 2031 1,844,748 1,288,348
441,967 300,257 227,632 2032 1,956,454 1,329,147
468,730 309,766 230,241 2033 2,074,925 1,371,239
497,113 319,575 232,881 2034 2,200,569 1,414,663
527,215 329,696 235,550 2035 2,333,821 1,459,463
559,140 340,137 238,250 2036 2,475,142 1,505,681
592,998 350,908 240,981 2037 2,625,021 1,553,363
628,906 362,021 243,744 2038 2,783,975 1,602,555
666,988 373,485 246,538 2039 2,952,555 1,653,305
R optimis R moderat R Pesimis
428,478 428,478 428,478
321,246 321,246 321,246
289,890 289,890 289,890
247,729 247,729 247,729
192,771 192,771 192,771
203,345 203,345 203,345
214,139 214,139 214,139
207,626 207,626 207,626
230,256 230,256 230,256
680,288 680,288 680,288
485,817 485,817 485,817
504,767 504,767 504,767
638,587 638,587 638,587
664,981 664,981 664,981
705,248 686,040 672,604
747,953 707,765 680,314
793,244 730,179 688,112
841,278 753,302 696,000
892,221 777,158 703,978
946,248 801,769 712,048
1,003,546 827,159 720,210
1,064,315 853,354 728,466
1,128,763 880,378 736,816
1,197,113 908,258 745,262
1,269,603 937,020 753,805
1,346,482 966,694 762,446
1,428,016 997,307 771,186
1,514,487 1,028,890 780,026
1,606,195 1,061,473 788,967
1,703,456 1,095,088 798,011
1,806,606 1,129,767 807,158
1,916,002 1,165,544 816,411
2,032,023 1,202,455 825,769
2,155,069 1,240,534 835,235
2,285,566 1,279,820 844,809
Pesimis Tahun Optimis Moderat Pesimis
863,619
615,678
579,780
495,458
385,542
406,690
428,278
415,252
460,512
929,526
702,603
771,507
872,674
859,040
868,887
878,847
888,921
899,111
909,417
919,842
930,386
941,051
951,838
962,749
973,785
984,947
996,238
1,007,658
1,019,208
1,030,891
1,042,708
1,054,661
1,066,750
1,078,979
1,091,347
PENUMPANG DOMESTIK

moderat
TAHUN NAIK TURUN TOTAL
HISTORIS 2005 597,565 548,686 1,146,251
2006 611,070 471,282 1,082,352
2007 590,052 526,586 1,116,638
2008 608,299 589,980 1,198,279
2009 617,756 601,927 1,219,683
2010 665,783 629,769 1,295,552
2011 863,686 754,125 1,617,811
2012 713,407 687,638 1,401,045
2013 726,286 723,569 1,449,855
2014 664,981 622,208 1,287,189
2015 638,587 478,448 1,117,035
2016 504,767 515,471 1,020,238
2017 485,817 595,803 1,081,620
2018 680,288 599,738 1,280,026
2019 712,453 663,506 1,375,960
2020 745,014 727,683 1,472,697
2021 777,921 792,544 1,570,466
2022 811,180 858,096 1,669,276
2023 844,792 924,347 1,769,139
2024 878,763 991,303 1,870,067
2025 913,096 1,058,974 1,972,070
2026 947,795 1,127,365 2,075,160
2027 982,864 1,196,485 2,179,349
2028 1,018,306 1,266,342 2,284,648
2029 1,054,126 1,336,943 2,391,069
2030 1,090,328 1,408,297 2,498,624
2031 1,126,915 1,480,411 2,607,326
2032 1,163,892 1,553,293 2,717,185
2033 1,201,264 1,626,952 2,828,216
2034 1,239,034 1,701,396 2,940,430
2035 1,277,206 1,776,634 3,053,839
2036 1,315,785 1,852,673 3,168,457
2037 1,354,775 1,929,522 3,284,297
2038 1,394,180 2,007,191 3,401,371
2039 1,434,006 2,085,687 3,519,693
PENUMPANG INTERNASIONAL

MODERAT
TAHUN NAIK TURUN TOTAL
2005 428,478 435,141 863,619
2006 321,246 294,432 615,678
2007 289,890 289,890 579,780
2008 247,729 247,729 495,458
2009 192,771 192,771 385,542
2010 203,345 203,345 406,690
2011 214,139 214,139 428,278
2012 207,626 207,626 415,252
2013 230,256 230,256 460,512
2014 680,288 249,238 929,526
2015 485,817 216,786 702,603
2016 504,767 266,740 771,507
2017 638,587 234,087 872,674
2018 664,981 194,059 859,040
2019 686,040 200,204 886,244
2020 707,765 206,545 914,310
2021 730,179 213,085 943,264
2022 753,302 219,833 973,135
2023 777,158 226,795 1,003,953
2024 801,769 233,977 1,035,746
2025 827,159 241,387 1,068,546
2026 853,354 249,031 1,102,385
2027 880,378 256,917 1,137,295
2028 908,258 265,054 1,173,311
2029 937,020 273,447 1,210,468
2030 966,694 282,107 1,248,801
2031 997,307 291,041 1,288,348
2032 1,028,890 300,257 1,329,147
2033 1,061,473 309,766 1,371,239
2034 1,095,088 319,575 1,414,663
2035 1,129,767 329,696 1,459,463
2036 1,165,544 340,137 1,505,681
2037 1,202,455 350,908 1,553,363
2038 1,240,534 362,021 1,602,555
2039 1,279,820 373,485 1,653,305
DEMAND TANJUNG MOCOH DEMAND SBP IN
Asumsi 20%
MODERAT MODERAT
Ship CalL #1
TAHUN NAIK TURUN TOTAL TAHUN
2005 428,478 435,141 863,619 2005
2006 321,246 294,432 615,678 2006
2007 289,890 289,890 579,780 2007
2008 247,729 247,729 495,458 2008
2009 192,771 192,771 385,542 2009
2010 203,345 203,345 406,690 2010
2011 214,139 214,139 428,278 2011
2012 207,626 207,626 415,252 2012
2013 230,256 230,256 460,512 2013
2014 680,288 249,238 929,526 2014
2015 485,817 216,786 702,603 2015
2016 504,767 266,740 771,507 2016
2017 638,587 234,087 872,674 2017
2018 664,981 194,059 859,040 2018
2019 137,208 40,041 177,249 801 2019
2020 141,553 41,309 182,862 826 2020
2021 146,036 42,617 188,653 852 2021
2022 150,660 43,967 194,627 879 2022
2023 155,432 45,359 200,791 907 2023
2024 160,354 46,795 207,149 936 2024
2025 165,432 48,277 213,709 966 2025
2026 170,671 49,806 220,477 996 2026
2027 176,076 51,383 227,459 1028 2027
2028 181,652 53,011 234,662 1060 2028
2029 187,404 54,689 242,094 1094 2029
2030 193,339 56,421 249,760 1128 2030
2031 199,461 58,208 257,670 1164 2031
2032 205,778 60,051 265,829 1201 2032
2033 212,295 61,953 274,248 1239 2033
2034 219,018 63,915 282,933 1278 2034
2035 225,953 65,939 291,893 1319 2035
2036 233,109 68,027 301,136 1361 2036
2037 240,491 70,182 310,673 1404 2037
2038 248,107 72,404 320,511 1448 2038
2039 255,964 74,697 330,661 1494 2039
DEMAND SBP INTNL
Data Naik Turun Penumpang
MODERAT DOMESTIK INTERNASIONAL
NAIK TURUN TOTAL TAHUN NAIK TURUN NAIK
428,478 435,141 863,619 2005 428,478 435,141 428,478
321,246 294,432 615,678 2006 321,246 294,432 321,246
289,890 289,890 579,780 2007 289,890 289,890 289,890
247,729 247,729 495,458 2008 247,729 247,729 247,729
192,771 192,771 385,542 2009 192,771 192,771 192,771
203,345 203,345 406,690 2010 203,345 203,345 203,345
214,139 214,139 428,278 2011 214,139 214,139 214,139
207,626 207,626 415,252 2012 207,626 207,626 207,626
230,256 230,256 460,512 2013 230,256 230,256 230,256
680,288 249,238 929,526 2014 680,288 249,238 680,288
485,817 216,786 702,603 2015 485,817 216,786 485,817
504,767 266,740 771,507 2016 504,767 266,740 504,767
638,587 234,087 872,674 2017 638,587 234,087 638,587
664,981 194,059 859,040 2018 664,981 194,059 664,981
548,832 160,164 708,995 3203
566,212 165,236 731,448 3305
584,143 170,468 754,611 3409
602,642 175,867 778,508 3517
621,726 181,436 803,162 3629
641,415 187,182 828,597 3744 rekayasa
661,727 193,109 854,837 3862
682,683 199,225 881,908 3984
704,302 205,534 909,836 4111
Pelabuhan Sri B
726,606 212,043 938,649 4241
1,400,000
749,616 218,758 968,374 4375
773,355 225,685 999,041 4514 1,200,000

797,846 232,832 1,030,678 4657 1,000,000


823,112 240,206 1,063,318 4804
800,000
849,178 247,813 1,096,991 4956
876,070 255,660 1,131,730 5113 600,000

903,814 263,757 1,167,570 5275 400,000


932,436 272,109 1,204,545 5442
200,000
961,964 280,726 1,242,690 5615
992,427 289,617 1,282,044 5792 0
05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 21
1,023,856 298,788 1,322,644 5976 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20

EKSISTING
enumpang
INTERNASIONAL TOTAL
TURUN DOMESTIK INTERNASIONAL
435,141 863,619 863,619
294,432 615,678 615,678
289,890 579,780 579,780
247,729 495,458 495,458
192,771 385,542 385,542
203,345 406,690 406,690
214,139 428,278 428,278
207,626 415,252 415,252
230,256 460,512 460,512
249,238 929,526 929,526
216,786 702,603 702,603
266,740 771,507 771,507
234,087 872,674 872,674
194,059 859,040 859,040

4,000,000

Pelabuhan Sri3,500,000
Bintan Pura
3,000,000

2,500,000

2,000,000

1,500,000

1,000,000

500,000

0
0 05 007 009 011 013 015 017 019 021 023 025 027 029 031 033 035 037 039
11 13 15 17 19 21 23 2 25 227 229 312 332 35 2 37 2 39 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
PENUMPANG DOMESTIK PENUMPANG INTERBASIONAL
EKSISTING PROYEKSI
KEKURANGAN = M3 TIDAK DIHITUNG DAN LOAD FACTOR H

No Jenis Kapal Bobot

1 KAPAL DOMESTIK 100 GT


2 KAPAL INTERNASIONAL 100 GT

Domestik No Tahun NAIK


1 2005 597,565
2 2006 611,070
3 2007 590,052
4 2008 608,299
5 2009 617,756
6 2010 665,783
7 2011 863,686
8 2012 713,407
9 2013 726,286
10 2014 664,981
11 2015 638,587
12 2016 504,767
13 2017 485,817
14 2018 680,288
15 2019 712,453
16 2020 745,014
17 2021 777,921
18 2022 811,180
19 2023 844,792
20 2024 878,763
21 2025 913,096
22 2026 947,795
23 2027 982,864
24 2028 1,018,306
25 2029 1,054,126
26 2030 1,090,328
27 2031 1,126,915
28 2032 1,163,892
29 2033 1,201,264
30 2034 1,239,034
31 2035 1,277,206
32 2036 1,315,785
33 2037 1,354,775
34 2038 1,394,180
35 2039 1,434,006
No Tahun NAIK
1 2005 428,478
2 2006 321,246
Internasional 3 2007 289,890
4 2008 247,729
5 2009 192,771
6 2010 203,345
7 2011 214,139
8 2012 207,626
9 2013 230,256
10 2014 680,288
11 2015 485,817
12 2016 504,767
13 2017 638,587
14 2018 664,981
4431.2205713 15 2019 686,040
369.26838094 16 2020 707,765
12 17 2021 730,179
18 2022 753,302
19 2023 777,158
20 2024 801,769
21 2025 827,159
22 2026 853,354
23 2027 880,378
24 2028 908,258
25 2029 937,020
26 2030 966,694
27 2031 997,307
28 2032 1,028,890
29 2033 1,061,473
30 2034 1,095,088
31 2035 1,129,767
32 2036 1,165,544
33 2037 1,202,455
34 2038 1,240,534
35 2039 1,279,820

Tahun Ship CalL DOMESTIK


2019 19
2020 20
2021 22
2022 23
2023 25
2024 26
2025 27
2026 29
2027 30
2028 32
2029 33
2030 35
2031 36
2032 38
2033 39
2034 41
2035 42
2036 44
2037 46
2038 47
2039 49
= M3 TIDAK DIHITUNG DAN LOAD FACTOR HANYA SATU TAHUN

Dimensi Kapal (m)


LOAD FACTOR
Panjang Draught
- - 50
- - 50

TURUN Ship CalL #1 Ship CalL #FIKS Ship CalL #3


548,686
471,282
526,586
589,980
601,927
629,769
754,125
687,638
723,569
622,208
478,448
515,471
595,803
599,738
663,506 13270 6880 19.11 3822
727,683 14554 7363 20.45
792,544 15851 7852 21.81
858,096 17162 8346 23.18
924,347 18487 8846 24.57
991,303 19826 9350 25.97
1,058,974 21179 9860 27.39
1,127,365 22547 10376 28.82
1,196,485 23930 10897 30.27
1,266,342 25327 11423 31.73
1,336,943 26739 11955 33.21
1,408,297 28166 12493 34.70
1,480,411 29608 13037 36.21
1,553,293 31066 13586 37.74
1,626,952 32539 14141 39.28
1,701,396 34028 14702 40.84
1,776,634 35533 15269 42.41
1,852,673 37053 15842 44.01
1,929,522 38590 16421 45.62
2,007,191 40144 17007 47.24
2,085,687 41,714 17598 48.88
TURUN Ship CalL #1 Ship CalL #FIKS Ship CalL #2
435,141
294,432
289,890
247,729
192,771
203,345
214,139
207,626
230,256
249,238
216,786
266,740
234,087
194,059
200,204 4004 4431 12.31
206,545 4131 4572 12.70
213,085 4262 4716 13.10
219,833 4397 4866 13.52
226,795 4536 5020 13.94
233,977 4680 5179 14.39
241,387 4828 5343 14.84
249,031 4981 5512 15.31
256,917 5138 5686 15.80
265,054 5301 5867 16.30
273,447 5469 6052 16.81
282,107 5642 6244 17.34
291,041 5821 6442 17.89
300,257 6005 6646 18.46
309,766 6195 6856 19.04
319,575 6392 7073 19.65
329,696 6594 7297 20.27
340,137 6803 7528 20.91
350,908 7018 7767 21.57
362,021 7240 8013 22.26
373,485 7470 8267 22.96

Ship CalL INTERNASIONAL TOTAL/Tahun TOTAL/hari


12 11311 31
13 11935 33
13 12569 35
14 13212 37
14 13865 39
14 14529 40
15 15203 42
15 15888 44
16 16583 46
16 17290 48
17 18008 50
17 18737 52
18 19478 54
18 20232 56
19 20997 58
20 21775 60
20 22567 63
21 23371 65
22 24188 67
22 25020 69
23 25865 72
LOAD FACTOR Tahun 2017
ZONA - TJ PINANG 50000 Bulan
SEAT 400 Januari
SEAT KM 20,000,000 Februari
PASSANGER ON SEAT 200 Maret
PASSANGER KM 10,000,000 April

LOAD FACTOR 50 Mei


Juni
Juli
Agustus
September
Oktober
November
Desember
Average
sum

Ship Call Penumpang Dalam Negeri


45000
40000
35000
30000
25000
20000
15000
10000
5000
0
19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39
20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
10000
5000
0
19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39
20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20

LOAD FACTOR
ZONA - TJ PINANG 75608
SEAT 400
SEAT KM 30,243,200
PASSANGER ON SEAT 200
PASSANGER KM 15,121,600
LOAD FACTOR 50

#DIV/0!
Demand Pelabuhan Dompak
8600

7600

6600

5600

4600

3600

2600

1600

600
19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39
20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
Tahun 2017
< 500 GT > 500 GT CALL
76 244
168 148
98 123
108 138

128 133
149 189
178 154
124 136
92 175
105 203
90 178
201 146
126 164 290
1516 1969 3485

6 37 38 39
20 20 20
6 37 38 39
20 20 20

35 36 37 38 39
20 20 20 20 20
TERMINAL DOMINAN NAIK
Tahun
Variabel Satuan
(2019-2024)
Penumpang Domestik org 878,763
Koefisien Musim Puncak 1.25
Kebutuhan Luas/PNP m2 1.5
Kunjungan Kapal Domestik call 9,350
Koefisien Fasilitas Pendukung 0.5
Penumpang Menunggu (Asumsi) domestik % 351,505
1,221
Information center domestik m2 6.0
loket tiket domestik m2 30.0
Counter Check-inn* m2 305
toilet m2 61
mushola m2 49
R. Pelayanan kesehatan m2 12
R. Merokok m2 6
R. Ibu Menyusui m2 12
R. Pelayanan Pelayaran m2 12
Kebutuhan Luas Terminal Domestik m2 711
Eksisting Terminal Domestik m2 558
Rencana Pengembangan Domestik m2 154
*Catatan: Counter checkin dengan kapasitas 23 orang/ jam (pada 12
jam puncak) yang dilayani oleh 10 konter

DERMAGA DOM Tidak Membutuhkan Perluasan


Tahun
Tahun Satuan
(2019-2024)
Kunjungan Kapal (Call) 9,350
Waktu Pelayanan (jam/hari) 9
Waktu Efektif (hari/tahun) 365
Berth Occupancy Ratio % 70
Kebutuhan Tambatan Unit 3.3
Pembulatan Unit 4.0
Kondisi Eksisting Unit 7
Kesimpulan -

DERMAGA INTL
Tahun
Tahun Satuan
(2019-2024)
Kunjungan Kapal (Call) 5,179
Waktu Pelayanan (jam/hari) 9
Waktu Efektif (hari/tahun) 365
Berth Occupancy Ratio % 70
Kebutuhan Tambatan Unit 1.8
Pembulatan Unit 2
Kondisi Eksisting Unit 4
Kesimpulan -

LAPANGAN PARKIR
Tahun
` Satuan
(2019-2024)
Arus Naik/Turun Penumpang orang 1,680,532
Standar Lahan Parkir (mobil) m2 18
Standar Lahan Parkir (motor) m2 2
Asumsi Penumpang Membawa Kendaraan/Tahun (mobil) Unit 16,805
Asumsi Penumpang Membawa Kendaraan/hari (mobil) Unit 47
Asumsi Penumpang Membawa Kendaraan/Tahun (motor) Unit 8,403
Asumsi Penumpang Membawa Kendaraan/hari (motor) Unit 23
Kebutuhan Lahan Parkir Mobil m2 840
Kebutuhan Lahan Parkir Motor m2 35
Kebutuhan Lahan Parkir (mobil dan motor) m2 875
Kondisi Eksisting m2 2,216
kondfirmasi

Kesimpulan m2 Tidak Membutuhkan


Tahun
(2019-2029) (2019-2039)
1,054,126 1,434,006
1.25 1.25
1.5 1.5
11,955 17,598
0.6 0.7
421,650 573,602
1,464 1,992
6.0 6.0
30.0 30.0
366 498
73 100
59 80
12 12
6 6
12 12
12 12
851 1108
558 558
294 550

Membutuhkan Perluasan
Tahun
(2019-2029) (2019-2039)
11,955 17,598 0.4
9 9
365 365
70 70
4.2 6.2
5.0 7.0
7 7
- -

Tahun
(2019-2029) (2019-2039)
6,052 8,267
9 9
365 365
70 70
2.1 2.9
3 3
4 4
- -

Tahun
(2019-2029) (2019-2039)
1,991,146 2,713,826 4668
18 18 1867
2 2
19,911 27,138
55 75
9,956 13,569
28 38
996 1,357
41 57
1,037 1,413
2,216 2,216

Tidak Membutuhkan Perluasan


TERMINAL DOMINAN NAIK
Tahun
Variabel Satuan
(2019-2024)
Penumpang Internasional orang 801,769
Koefisien Musim Puncak 1.25
Kebutuhan Luas/PNP m2 2
Kunjungan Kapal Internasional call 5179
Koefisien Fasilitas Pendukung 0.5
Penumpang Menunggu (Asumsi) Internasional orang 320,707
Asumsi Penumpaang waktu sibuk (hari) 1114
Information center domestik m2 60.0
loket tiket Internasional (asumsi ada 10 loket) m2 30.0
Counter Check-inn m2 279
toilet m2 111
mushola m2 89
R. Pelayanan kesehatan m2 12
R. Merokok m2 6
R. Ibu Menyusui m2 12
R. Pelayanan Pelayaran m2 12
Kebutuhan Luas Terminal Internasional m2 1244
Eksisting Terminal Internasonal m2 1116
Rencana Pengembangan Internasional m2 128
*Catatan: Counter checkin dengan kapasitas 14 orang/ jam (pada 11
jam puncak) yang dilayani oleh 10 Counter

33 48
4 5
Tahun
(2019-2029) (2019-2039)
937,020 1,279,820
1.25 1.25
2 2
7073 8267
0.6 0.7
374,808 511,928
1301 1778
60.0 60.0
30.0 30.0
326 445
130 178
104 142
12 12
6 6
12 12
12 12
1385 1449
1116 1116
269 333
DALAM NEGERI

Tahun R optimis R moderat


2005 1,146,251 1,146,251
2006 1,082,352 1,082,352
2007 1,116,638 1,116,638
2008 1,198,279 1,198,279
2009 1,219,683 1,219,683
2010 1,295,552 1,295,552
EKSISTING 2011 1,617,811 1,617,811
2012 1,401,045 1,401,045
2013 1,449,855 1,449,855
2014 1,287,189 1,287,189
2015 1,117,035 1,117,035
2016 1,020,238 1,020,238
2017 1,081,620 1,081,620
2018 1,280,026 1,280,026
2019 1,451,518 1,375,960
2020 1,626,060 1,472,697
2021 1,803,930 1,570,466
2022 1,985,193 1,669,276
2023 2,169,911 1,769,139
2024 2,358,152 1,870,067
2025 2,549,983 1,972,070
2026 2,745,471 2,075,160
2027 2,944,688 2,179,349
2028 3,147,703 2,284,648
PROYEKSI 2029 3,354,589 2,391,069
2030 3,565,421 2,498,624
2031 3,780,273 2,607,326
2032 3,999,222 2,717,185
2033 4,222,346 2,828,216
2034 4,449,724 2,940,430
2035 4,681,439 3,053,839
2036 4,917,572 3,168,457
2037 5,158,208 3,284,297
2038 5,403,433 3,401,371
2039 5,653,334 3,519,693

TAHUN DALAM NEGERI 2018 GAP DALAM NEGERI 2014


2014 1,287,189 240,598 1,527,787
2015 1,117,035 459,055 1,576,090
2016 1,020,238 611,924 1,632,162
2017 1,081,620 615,290 1,696,910
2018 1,280,026 491,312 1,771,338
2019 1,375,960 480,600 1,856,560
2020 1,472,697 481,113 1,953,810
2021 1,570,466 493,989 2,064,455
2022 1,669,276 520,733 2,190,009
2023 1,769,139 563,012 2,332,151
2024 1,870,067 622,671 2,492,738
2025 1,972,070 701,758 2,673,828
2026 2,075,160 802,539 2,877,699
2027 2,179,349 927,525 3,106,874
2028 2,284,648 1,079,497 3,364,145
2029 2,391,069 1,261,533 3,652,602
2030 2,498,624 1,477,044 3,975,668
2031 2,607,326 1,729,801 4,337,127
2032 2,717,185 2,023,986 4,741,171
2033 2,828,216 2,364,219 5,192,435
2034 2,940,430 2,755,621 5,696,051
2035 3,053,839 0
2036 3,168,457 0
2037 3,284,297 0
2038 3,401,371 0
2039 3,519,693 0

1,500,000
2.5

1.5

0.5

0
1
LUAR NEGERI

R Pesimis Tahun R optimis R moderat


1,146,251 2005 863,619 863,619
1,082,352 2006 615,678 615,678
1,116,638 2007 579,780 579,780
1,198,279 2008 495,458 495,458
1,219,683 2009 385,542 385,542
1,295,552 2010 406,690 406,690
1,617,811 EKSISTING 2011 428,278 428,278
1,401,045 2012 415,252 415,252
1,449,855 2013 460,512 460,512
1,287,189 2014 929,526 929,526
1,117,035 2015 702,603 702,603
1,020,238 2016 771,507 771,507
1,081,620 2017 872,674 872,674
1,280,026 2018 859,040 859,040
1,349,337 2019 911,058 886,244
1,418,963 2020 966,226 914,310
1,489,124 2021 1,024,734 943,264
1,559,826 2022 1,086,785 973,135
1,631,071 2023 1,152,594 1,003,953
1,702,864 2024 1,222,388 1,035,746
1,775,210 2025 1,296,408 1,068,546
1,848,112 2026 1,374,910 1,102,385
1,921,575 2027 1,458,165 1,137,295
1,995,603 2028 1,546,462 1,173,311
2,070,200 PROYEKSI 2029 1,640,106 1,210,468
2,145,372 2030 1,739,420 1,248,801
2,221,121 2031 1,844,748 1,288,348
2,297,454 2032 1,956,454 1,329,147
2,374,373 2033 2,074,925 1,371,239
2,451,885 2034 2,200,569 1,414,663
2,529,992 2035 2,333,821 1,459,463
2,608,700 2036 2,475,142 1,505,681
2,688,014 2037 2,625,021 1,553,363
2,767,938 2038 2,783,975 1,602,555
2,848,477 2039 2,952,555 1,653,305

6,000,000
DALAM NEGERI 2018

5,000,000

4,000,000
6,000,000

1,287,189
5,000,000
1,117,035
1,020,238
1,081,620 4,000,000
1,280,026
1,375,960
3,000,000
1,472,697
1,570,466
1,669,276 2,000,000
1,769,139
1,870,067 1,000,000
1,972,070
2,075,160
0
2,179,349 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
2,284,648
DALAM NEGERI 2018 GAP DALAM NEGERI 2014
2,391,069
2,498,624 2,000,000

2,607,326
1,800,000
2,717,185
1,632,162
2,828,216 1,576,090
1,527,787
1,600,000
2,940,430
3,053,839
1,400,000
3,168,457 1,287,189
3,284,297 1,200,000
3,401,371
3,519,693 1,117,035
1,000,000
1,020,238

800,000

600,000

400,000

200,000

0
1 2 3

DALAM NEGERI 2018 GAP DALAM NEGERI 2014


PROYEKSI 2014

R Pesimis Tahun DALAM NEGERI LUAR NEGERI


863,619 2005 1,146,251 863,619
615,678 2006 1,082,352 615,678
579,780 2007 1,116,638 579,780
495,458 2008 1,198,279 495,458
385,542 2009 1,219,683 385,542
406,690 2010 1,295,552 406,690
428,278 EKSISTING 2011 1,617,811 428,278
415,252 2012 1,401,045 415,252
460,512 2013 1,449,855 460,512
929,526 2014 1,527,787 402,700
702,603 2015 1,576,090 395,051
771,507 2016 1,632,162 388,289
872,674 2017 1,696,910 382,681
859,040 912,298 2018 1,771,338 378,539
868,887 2019 1,856,560 376,227
878,847 2020 1,953,810 376,171
888,921 2021 2,064,455 378,863
899,111 2022 2,190,009 384,875
909,417 2023 2,332,151 394,868
919,842 2024 2,492,738 409,602
930,386 2025 2,673,828 429,955
941,051 2026 2,877,699 456,935
951,838 2027 3,106,874 491,698
962,749 2028 3,364,145 535,569
973,785 PROYEKSI 2029 3,652,602 590,066
984,947 2030 3,975,668 656,921
996,238 2031 4,337,127 738,113
1,007,658 2032 4,741,171 835,900
1,019,208 2033 5,192,435 952850
1,030,891 2034 5,696,051 1091891
1,042,708 2035 -
1,054,661 2036 -
1,066,750 2037 -
1,078,979 2038 -
1,091,347 2039 -

5,696,051
5,696,051

3,053,839

4 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039
DALAM NEGERI 2014 DALAM NEGERI 2018

1,696,910 1,771,338
1,632,162

1,280,026

1,081,620
1,020,238

3 4 5

DALAM NEGERI 2014 DALAM NEGERI 2018


KETERANGAN GRAFIK
BONGKAR/MUAT 2005 - 2018 EKSISTING
BONGKAR/MUAT 2005 - 2014 (EKSISTING) DAN 2014 - 2018 PROYEKSI (RIP 2018)
PROYEKSI BONGKAR/MUAT RIP 2014
PROYEKSI BONGKAR/MUAT RIP 2018
BOR ALTERNATIVE 3
BOR LOA 2017 BOR LOA 2018 JAM/HARI
VS 14366 VS 13249 HARI/TAHUN
St 0.46 St 0.46 JAM/TAHUN
WE 3960 WE 3960 WE
n 3 n 3 % jam
BOR 55 BOR 51

DERMAGA DOMESTIK
TAHUN VS St WE n BOR
2005 15,914 12.00 4,320 1
2006 17,831 12.00 4,320 3
2007 16,683 12.00 4,320 3
2008 17,211 12.00 4,320 3
2009 16,591 12.00 4,320 3
2010 17,597 12.00 4,320 3
2011 21,036 12.00 4,320 3
2012 20,798 12.00 4,320 3
2013 22,523 12.00 4,320 3
2014 19,871 12.00 4,320 3
2015 19,210 12.00 4,320 3
2016 17,497 12.00 4,320 3
2017 14,366 12.00 4,320 3 20
2018 13,249 12.00 4,320 3 12
2019 13,270 12.00 4,320 3 12
2020 14,554 12.00 4,320 3 13
2021 15,851 12.00 4,320 3 15
2022 17,162 12.00 4,320 3 16
2023 18,487 12.00 4,320 3 17
2024 19,826 12.00 4,320 3 18
2025 21,179 12.00 4,320 3 20
2026 22,547 12.00 4,320 3 21
2027 23,930 12.00 4,320 3 22
2028 25,327 12.00 4,320 3 23
2029 26,739 12.00 4,320 3 25
2030 28,166 12.00 4,320 3 26
2031 29,608 12.00 4,320 3 27
2032 31,066 12.00 4,320 3 29
2033 32,539 12.00 4,320 3 30
2034 34,028 12.00 4,320 3 32
2035 35,533 12.00 4,320 3 33
2036 37,053 12.00 4,320 3 34
2037 38,590 12.00 4,320 3 36
2038 40,144 12.00 4,320 3 37
2039 41,714 12.00 4,320 3 39

DERMAGA INTL
TAHUN VS St WE n BOR
2017 4,064 1 4,320 3 16
2018 3,429 1 4,320 3 13
2019 4,004 12 4,320 2 6
2020 4,131 12 4,320 2 6
2021 4,262 12 4,320 2 6
2022 4,397 12 4,320 2 6
2023 4,536 12 4,320 2 6
2024 4,680 12 4,320 2 6
2025 4,828 12 4,320 2 7
2026 4,981 12 4,320 2 7
2027 5,138 12 4,320 2 7
2028 5,301 12 4,320 2 7
2029 5,469 12 4,320 2 8
2030 5,642 12 4,320 2 8
2031 5,821 12 4,320 2 8
2032 6,005 12 4,320 2 8
2033 6,195 12 4,320 2 9
2034 6,392 12 4,320 2 9
2035 6,594 12 4,320 2 9
2036 6,803 12 4,320 2 9
2037 7,018 12 4,320 2 10
2038 7,240 12 4,320 2 10
2039 7,470 12 4,320 2 10
11
360
3960
165
45.83

17,497
Fasilitas Pelabuhan/Terminal Eksisting Satuan

Area Perairan :
1. Trestel
a. Penataan Terestel Domestik* m 185
b. Trestel Internasional* m 195
2. Dermaga
a. Dermaga Domestik m 90 x 11
b. Dermaga Internasional m 30 x 11
c. Phonton (2 Domestik, 2 Internasional) Buah 4
3. Penataan Karantina Tanaman (Posisi di laut) m2 175
4. Penataan Kantor Kesehatan (Posisi di laut) m 2
260
5. Penataan Kantor Hukum & HAM (Posisi di laut) m2 200
6. Penataan Cafetaria (Posisi di laut) m 2
300
Area Darat :
1. Penataan Lapangan Parkir m2 2216
2. Pos Pangkal Trestle Dalam Negeri m2 24

3. Pos Pangkal Trestle Luar Negeri m2 25

4. Pos Pintu Masuk 1 m2 25

5. Pos Pintu Masuk 2 m2 56

6. Pos Pintu Keluar m2 16

7. Terminal Penumpang Dalam Negeri m2 557.5


8. Terminal Penumpang Luar Negeri m2 1116
9. Kantor Cabang Tanjung Pinang m2 773.88
10. Bak Air 50 m3 Unit 1
11. Rumah Genset m 2
21
12. Menara radar/tower Unit 1
13. Reklamasi* m -
14. Building Comercial (Penataan Terminal Penumpang
m2 -
Domestik dan Internasional)

Fasilitas Pelabuhan/Terminal Eksisting Satuan

Area Perairan :
1. Trestel
a. Penataan Terestel Domestik* m 185
b. Trestel Internasional* m 195
2. Dermaga
a. Dermaga Domestik m 90 x 11
b. Dermaga Internasional m 30 x 11
c. Phonton (2 Domestik, 2 Internasional) Buah 4
3. Karantina Tanaman (Posisi di laut) m2 175
4. Kantor Kesehatan (Posisi di laut) m 2
260
5. Kantor Hukum & HAM (Posisi di laut) m2 200
6. Cafetaria (Posisi di laut) m 2
300
Area Darat :
1. Lapangan Parkir m2 2216
2. Pos Pangkal Trestle Dalam Negeri m2 24

3. Pos Pangkal Trestle Luar Negeri m 2


25

4. Pos Pintu Masuk 1 m2 25

5. Pos Pintu Masuk 2 m 2


56

6. Pos Pintu Keluar m2 16

7. Terminal Penumpang Dalam Negeri m 2


557.5
8. Terminal Penumpang Luar Negeri m2 1116
9. Kantor Cabang Tanjung Pinang m 2
773.88
10. Bak Air 50 m3 Unit 1
11. Rumah Genset m 2
21
12. Menara radar/tower Unit 1
13. Reklamasi* m -
14. Building Comercial (Penataan Terminal Penumpang
m2 -
Domestik dan Internasional)
Program Pengembangan
Jangka Pendek Jangka Menengah Jangka Panjang
(2019-2024) (2019-2034) (2019-2039)

219 x 4,5 219 x 4,5 219 x 4,5


213 x 4,5 213 x 4,5 213 x 4,5

90 x 11 90 x 11 90 x 11
30 x 11 30 x 11 30 x 11
4 4 4
175 175 175
260 260 260
200 200 200
300 300 300

2216 2216 2216


24 24 24
25 25 25
25 25 25
56 56 56
16 16 16
557.5 557.5 557.5
1116 1116 1116
773.88 773.88 773.88
1 1 1
21 21 21
1 1 1
170 x 150 170 x 150 170 x 150

Err:509 Err:509 Err:509

Err:509
Program Pengembangan
Jangka Pendek Jangka Menengah Jangka Panjang
(2019-2024) (2019-2034) (2019-2039)

219 x 4,5 219 x 4,5 219 x 4,5


213 x 4,5 213 x 4,5 213 x 4,5

90 x 11 90 x 11 90 x 11
30 x 11 30 x 11 30 x 11
4 4 4
175 175 175
260 260 260
200 200 200
300 300 300

2216 2216 2216


24 24 24
25 25 25
25 25 25
56 56 56
16 16 16
557.5 557.5 557.5
1116 1116 1116
773.88 773.88 773.88
1 1 1
21 21 21
1 1 1
170 x 150 170 x 150 170 x 150

Err:509 Err:509 Err:509


Fasilitas Pelabuhan/Terminal Eksisting Satuan

Area Perairan :
1. Trestel
a. Penataan Terestel Domestik* m 185
b. Trestel Internasional* m 195
2. Dermaga
a. Dermaga Domestik m 90 x 11
b. Dermaga Internasional m 30 x 11
c. Phonton (2 Domestik, 2 Internasional) Buah 4
3. Penataan Karantina Tanaman (Posisi di laut) m2 175
4. Penataan Kantor Kesehatan (Posisi di laut) m 2
260
5. Penataan Kantor Hukum & HAM (Posisi di laut) m2 200
6. Penataan Cafetaria (Posisi di laut) m 2
300
Area Darat :
1. Penataan Lapangan Parkir m2 2216
2. Pos Pangkal Trestle Dalam Negeri m2 24
3. Pos Pangkal Trestle Luar Negeri m2 25
4. Pos Pintu Masuk 1 m2 25
5. Pos Pintu Masuk 2 m2 56
6. Pos Pintu Keluar m2 16
7. Terminal Penumpang Dalam Negeri m2 557.5
8. Terminal Penumpang Luar Negeri m2 1116
9. Kantor Cabang Tanjung Pinang m2 773.88
10. Bak Air 50 m3 Unit 1
11. Rumah Genset m 2
21
12. Menara radar/tower Unit 1
13. Reklamasi* m -
14. Building Comercial (Penataan Terminal Penumpang
m2 -
Domestik dan Internasional)

Fasilitas Pelabuhan/Terminal Eksisting Satuan

Area Perairan :
1. Trestel
a. Penataan Terestel Domestik* m 185
b. Trestel Internasional* m 195
2. Dermaga
a. Dermaga Domestik m 90 x 11
b. Dermaga Internasional m 30 x 11
c. Phonton (2 Domestik, 2 Internasional) Buah 4
3. Karantina Tanaman (Posisi di laut) m2 175
4. Kantor Kesehatan (Posisi di laut) m 2
260
5. Kantor Hukum & HAM (Posisi di laut) m2 200
6. Cafetaria (Posisi di laut) m 2
300
Area Darat :
1. Lapangan Parkir m2 2216
2. Pos Pangkal Trestle Dalam Negeri m2 24

3. Pos Pangkal Trestle Luar Negeri m 2


25

4. Pos Pintu Masuk 1 m2 25

5. Pos Pintu Masuk 2 m 2


56

6. Pos Pintu Keluar m2 16

7. Terminal Penumpang Dalam Negeri m 2


557.5
8. Terminal Penumpang Luar Negeri m2 1116
9. Kantor Cabang Tanjung Pinang m 2
773.88
10. Bak Air 50 m3 Unit 1
11. Rumah Genset m 2
21
12. Menara radar/tower Unit 1
13. Reklamasi* m -
14. Building Comercial (Penataan Terminal Penumpang
m2 -
Domestik dan Internasional)
Program Pengembangan
Jangka Pendek Jangka Menengah Jangka Panjang
(2019-2024) (2019-2034) (2019-2039)

219 x 4,5 219 x 4,5 219 x 4,5


213 x 4,5 213 x 4,5 213 x 4,5

90 x 11 90 x 11 90 x 11
30 x 11 30 x 11 30 x 11
4 4 4
175 175 175
260 260 260
200 200 200
300 300 300

2216 2216 2216


24 24 24
25 25 25
25 25 25
56 56 56
16 16 16
557.5 557.5 557.5
1116 1116 1116
773.88 773.88 773.88
1 1 1
21 21 21
1 1 1
170 x 150 170 x 150 170 x 150

8000 8000 8000

4000.0
Program Pengembangan
Jangka Pendek Jangka Menengah Jangka Panjang
(2019-2024) (2019-2034) (2019-2039)

219 x 4,5 219 x 4,5 219 x 4,5


213 x 4,5 213 x 4,5 213 x 4,5

90 x 11 90 x 11 90 x 11
30 x 11 30 x 11 30 x 11
4 4 4
175 175 175
260 260 260
200 200 200
300 300 300

2216 2216 2216


24 24 24
25 25 25
25 25 25
56 56 56
16 16 16
557.5 557.5 557.5
1116 1116 1116
773.88 773.88 773.88
1 1 1
21 21 21
1 1 1
170 x 150 170 x 150 170 x 150

Err:509 Err:509 Err:509


No Uraian Satuan

1 Karakteristik Kapal Disain


a. Ukuran GT
b. LOA (Panjang), L m
c. Beam (lebar), B m
d. Draft, D m
2 Jumlah Kapal Dilayani
a. Kedatangan unit
b. Sandar, N unit
c. Labuh unit
d. Alih Muat unit
e. Kapal Mati unit
1 Dimensi Alur
Panjang Alur (Lalur) eksisting m
Lebar Alur eksisting m
Lebar Alur ukuran kapal
b. 2-ways m
2 Dimensi Kolam

a. Areal Alur Pelayaran dari dan ke Pelabuhan Ha


b. Areal Tempat Sandar
Lebar m
Panjang m
Luas untuk 1 kapal m2
Luas Total Ha
c. Areal Kolam Putar
Diameter ( dgn tunda) m
Luas Ha
Diameter (tanpa tunda) m

Luas Ha
d. Areal Tempat Labuh
Jari-jari m
Luas m2
Luas Total
Ha
e. Areal Pindah Labuh Kapal
Jari-jari m
Luas m2
Luas Total
Ha
f. Areal Alih Muat Kapal Ha
g. Areal Penempatan Kapal Mati Ha
h. Areal Keperluan Keadaan Darurat Ha
i .Areal Percobaan Berlayar Ha
Lebar (Minimum) m
Panjang (Minimum) m
j. luas kolam pelabuhan
Tanpa tunda Ha
Rata-rata karakteristik
Formula kapal pengembangan
jangka panjang

100
35
4.0
2.3

139.68
139.68
1.00
1.00
1.00

2,000.00
-

4 B + 30 46.00

Aalur = (9B + 30) x Lalur 13.20

1.5 L 52.50 37,500


1.8 L 63.00
1.8 L x 1.5 L 3,308
N * Luas 46.20

2L 70.00
A= N π R2 53.76
3L 105.00

A= N π R2 120.95

R=L + 6 D + 30 78.80
A=π R2 19,508

N*A 1.95

R=L + 6 D + 30 78.80
A=π R2 19,507.53

N*A 1.95
N*A 1.95
N*A 0.98
50 % Areal Labuh 0.98
A = Panjang x Lebar 2.58
Lebar Alur 46.00
16 L 560.00

167.15
BOR ALTERNATIVE 1
BOR LOA 2017 BOR LOA 2018
LOA 1102 LOA
Clearence 5 Clearence
Berth Time 5 Berth Time
Lengt of Berth 230 Lengt of Berth
Day in Hour 120 Day in Hour
Effective Time 0.3 Effective Time
BOR 67 BOR

TAHUN SHIP CALL LOA Clearence Berth Time

2019 13270 10,007 5 5


2020 14554 1,091,579 5 5
2021 15851 1,188,870 5 5
2022 17162 1,287,198 5 5
2023 18487 1,386,574 5 5
2024 19826 1,487,009 5 5
2025 21179 1,588,515 5 5
2026 22547 1,691,102 5 5
2027 23930 1,794,782 5 5
2028 25327 1,899,567 5 5
2029 26739 2,005,469 5 5
2030 28166 2,112,499 5 5
2031 29608 2,220,670 5 5
2032 31066 2,329,994 5 5
2033 32539 2,440,482 5 5
2034 34028 2,552,148 5 5
2035 35533 2,665,005 5 5
2036 37053 2,779,063 5 5
2037 38590 2,894,338 5 5
2038 40144 3,010,840 5 5
2039 41714 3,128,585 5 5
BOR ALTERNATIVE 2
BOR LOA 2018 BOR LOA 2017
1009 Average berth 941
5 Wt 2
#REF! Lengt of Berth 230
230 Day in Hour 24
120 Effective Time 0.5
0.3 BOR 68
#REF!
2.51
Lengt of Berth Day in Hour BOR TAHUN Average berth Wt

2017 941 2
2018 918 2
230 120 605 2019 965 2
230 120 2020 989 2
230 120 2021 1014 2
230 120 2022 1039 2
230 120 2023 1065 2
230 120 2024 1092 2
230 120 2025 1119 2
230 120 2026 1147 2
230 120 2027 1176 2
230 120 2028 1205 2
230 120 2029 1235 2
230 120 2030 1266 2
230 120 2031 1298 2
230 120 2032 1331 2
230 120 2033 1364 2
230 120 2034 1398 2
230 120 2035 1433 2
230 120 2036 1469 2
230 120 2037 1506 2
230 120 2038 1544 2
230 120 2039 1582 2
ALTERNATIVE 2 BOR ALTE
BOR LOA 2018 BOR LOA 2017
Average berth 918 VS
Wt 2 St
Lengt of Berth 230 WE
Day in Hour 24 n
Effective Time 0.5 BOR
BOR 67

DERMAGA DOMESTIK
Lengt of Berth Day in Hour Effective Time BOR TAHUN
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
230 24 0.33 103.32 2017
230 24 0.33 100.79 2018
230 24 0.33 105.90 2019
230 24 0.33 108.56 9.67 2020
230 24 0.33 111.28 8.91 2021
230 24 0.33 114.07 8.27 2022
230 24 0.33 116.92 7.72 2023
230 24 0.33 119.85 7.24 2024
230 24 0.33 122.86 6.83 2025
230 24 0.33 125.93 6.46 2026
230 24 0.33 129.09 6.13 2027
230 24 0.33 132.32 5.84 2028
230 24 0.33 135.64 5.58 2029
230 24 0.33 139.04 5.34 2030
230 24 0.33 142.52 5.12 2031
230 24 0.33 146.09 4.92 2032
230 24 0.33 149.75 4.74 2033
230 24 0.33 153.50 4.58 2034
230 24 0.33 157.35 4.42 2035
230 24 0.33 161.29 4.28 2036
230 24 0.33 165.33 4.15 2037
230 24 0.33 169.47 4.03 2038
230 24 0.33 173.72 3.91 2039
5.91
DERMAGA INTL
TAHUN
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
990 2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
BOR ALTERNATIVE 3
BOR LOA 2017 BOR LOA 2018 JAM/HARI 12
14366 VS 249 HARI/TAHUN 360
0.50 St 0.46 JAM/TAHUN 4320
4320 WE 4320 WE 180
2 n 2 % jam 50.00
83 BOR 1

DERMAGA DOMESTIK
VS St WE n BOR Tahun VS St
15,914 12 4320 1 44 2024 19826 0.4
17,831 12 4320 1 50 2034 34028 0.4
16,683 12 4320 1 46 2039 41714 0.4
17,211 12 4320 1 48
16,591 12 4320 1 46
17,597 12 4320 1 49
21,036 12 4320 1 58
20,798 12 4320 1 58
22,523 12 4320 1 63
19,871 12 4320 2 28
19,210 12 4320 2 27
17,497 12 4320 2 24
14,366 12 4320 2 20
13,249 12 4320 3 12
13,270 12 4320 3 12
14,554 12 4320 3 13
15,851 12 4320 3 15
17,162 12 4320 3 16
18,487 12 4320 3 17
19,826 12 4320 3 18
21,179 12 4320 3 20
22,547 12 4320 3 21
23,930 12 4320 3 22
25,327 12 4320 3 23
26,739 12 4320 3 25
28,166 12 4320 3 26
29,608 12 4320 3 27
31,066 12 4320 3 29
32,539 12 4320 3 30
34,028 12 4320 3 32
35,533 12 4320 3 33
37,053 12 4320 3 34
38,590 12 4320 3 36
40,144 12 4320 3 37
41,714 12 4320 3 39

DERMAGA INTL
VS St WE n BOR
4,004 12.00 4,320 2 5.56
4,131 12.00 4,320 2 5.74
4,262 12.00 4,320 2 5.92
4,397 12.00 4,320 2 6.11
4,536 12.00 4,320 2 6.30
4,680 12.00 4,320 2 6.50
4,828 12.00 4,320 2 6.71
4,981 12.00 4,320 2 6.92
5,138 12.00 4,320 2 7.14
5,301 12.00 4,320 2 7.36
5,469 12.00 4,320 2 7.60
5,642 12.00 4,320 2 7.84
5,821 12.00 4,320 2 8.08
6,005 12.00 4,320 2 8.34
6,195 12.00 4,320 2 8.60
6,392 12.00 4,320 2 8.88
6,594 12.00 4,320 2 9.16
6,803 12.00 4,320 2 9.45
7,018 12.00 4,320 2 9.75
7,240 12.00 4,320 2 10.06
7,470 12.00 4,320 2 10.37
Day BOR Tambatan
150 70 0.8 1.0
150 70 1.3 2.0
150 70 1.6 2.0
Jenis Dermaga
Jumlah Penumpang DN/Tahun 420,184
Persentase Naik Turun 40%
Jumlah Penumpang DN Naik/Turun 168,074
Jumlah Kunjungan Kapal (kapal/tahun) 2,581
Jumlah Kunjungan Kapal (kapal/minggu) 54
Service Time (Jam/Kapal) 0.5
Hari Kerja (Jam/Minggu) 63
Berth Occupancy Ratio (%) 70
Jumlah Tambatan 629,399

Pembulatan
Panjang Kapal (meter)
Panjang Dermaga (meter)
GRT CONVERT TO DWT US VERSION
GRT CONVERT TO DWT JAPAN VERSION

Januari Spesifikasi Kapal


No Nama Kapal GRT LOA
1 Km. Intan Samudra 23 1141 63
2 Km. Bintang Sejahtera 8 1474 68
3 Km. Intan Samudra 6 1000 63
4 Km. Wiras Permata 947 58
5 Km. Cengkeh 8 791 47
6 Km. Cengkeh 6 701 47
7 Km. Michael Putra 1140 57
8 Km. Madani 99 34
9 Km. Mandiri Jaya 8 1477 65
10 Klm. Amanat Bahari 206 31
11 Tk. Bakau 2304 62
12 Tk. Cipta Nusantara 305 36
13 Tk. ZA -09 977 54
AVERAGE 961 54 54
Jumlah 12497 651
Februari
No Nama Kapal GRT LOA
1 Km. Intan Samudra 23 1141 63
2 Km. Wiras Permata 947 58
3 Km. Intan Samudra 6 1000 63
4 Km. Grand Sindoro 395 44
5 Km. Cengkeh 8 791 47
6 Km. Cengkeh 6 701 47
7 Km.Bintang Sejahtera 8 1174 68
8 Km. Asta Chaisun 296 30
9 Km. Michael Putra 1140 57
10 Klm. Super Indah Utama 245 30
AVERAGE 783 105 50.7
Jumlah 7830 507
Maret
No Nama Kapal GRT LOA
1 Km Kawarane 140 32
2 Km Wiras Permata 02 947 58
3 Km. Intan Samudera 6 1000 64
4 Km. Sejahtera 20 715 50
5 Km. Mandiri Jaya 8 1477 70
6 Km. DBS 02 353 45
7 Km. Great Sindoro 490 35
8 Km Cengkeh 8 791 56
9 Km Cengkeh 6 701 47
10 Km Sejahtera 27 641 46
11 Km Bintang Sejahtera 8 1474 74
12 Km Great Sindoro 490 35
13 Km Michael Putra 1140 58
14 MT Asta Chaisun 296 25
AVERAGE 761 50 49.6
Jumlah 10655 695
April
No Nama Kapal GRT LOA
1 Km Kawarane 140 32
2 Km Wiras Permata 02 947 58
3 Km. Intan Samudera 6 1000 64
4 Km. Sejahtera 20 715 50
5 Km. Mandiri Jaya 8 1477 70
6 Km. DBS 02 353 45
7 Km. Great Sindoro 490 35
8 Km Cengkeh 8 791 56
9 Km Cengkeh 6 701 47
10 Km Sejahtera 27 641 46
11 Km Bintang Sejahtera 8 1474 74
12 Km Great Sindoro 490 35
13 Km Michael Putra 1140 58
14 MT Asta Chaisun 296 25
15 Km. Batam Baru 124 30
16 Km. Batam Baru 124 30
17 Km Lestari 298 36
AVERAGE 659 47 46.5
Jumlah 11201 791
Mei
No Nama Kapal GRT LOA
1 KM Koyo 941 65
2 KM Intan Samudra 23 1141 64
3 Km. Intan Samudera 6 1000 64
4 KM Dewi Bahagia 409 41
5 KM Sejahtera 20 715 51
6 KM Era 2008 1320 69
7 KM Cengkeh 8 791 56
8 KM Sejahtera 33 739 52
9 TB Dewi Sejahtera 8/ TK Trias Mitra Beta 276 50
10 KLM Mitra Abadi 173 24
11 KM Cengkeh 6 791 56
12 KM Mandiri Jaya 8 1477 74
13 KM Wiras Permata 1 947 58
14 MT Asta Chaisun 296 25
15 TB Multi Sahabat/TK Indah V 1393 79
16 KM Michael Putra 1140 58
17 KM Kawarane 173 31
18 KM Bayu Permata 494 45
19 KLM Zaqiah 279 33
20 KM Great Sindoro 490 46
21 KM Sejahtera 36 1046 56
22 KM. Batam Baru 124 30
23 KM Lestari 298 36
24 KM. Batam Baru 124 30
25 KM. Batam Baru 124 30
26 KM. Batam Baroe 173 25
27 KM Lestari 298 36
28 KM Batam Baroe 173 25
AVERAGE 619 47 46.8
Jumlah 17345 1309
Juni
No Nama Kapal GRT LOA
1 KM Intan Samudra 23 1141 64
2 KM Kawarane 173 31
3 Km. Intan Samudera 6 1000 64
4 KM Taisei 1261 71
5 KM Dewi Bahagia 499 40
6 TB Dewi Sejahtera 8/ TK Trias Mitra Beta 276 47
7 KM Cengkeh 8 791 56
8 KM Bintang Sejahtera 8 1474 68
9 KM Cengkeh 6 791 56
10 MT Asta Chaisun 296 25
11 KM Sejahtera 1118 66
12 KM Madani 34 27
13 Tb Sumber Rezeki / Tk Cipta Niaga 26 259
14 KM Bahari 24 1428 74
AVERAGE 1245 105 67.7
Jumlah 10308 948
Juli
No Nama Kapal GRT LOA
1 KM Michael Putra 1140 58
2 KM Intan Samudra 23 1141 64
3 KM Sejahtera 36 1046 56
4 KM Kawarane 2 358 50
5 KM Cengkeh 8 791 56
6 KM Sejahtera 20 715 51
7 MT Asta Chaisun 296 35
8 KM Dewi Bahagia 499 40
9 KM Intan Samudra 6 1000 64
10 KM Sekar Purnama 673 51
11 KM Mandiri Jaya 8 1477 74
12 KM Cengkeh 6 701 48
13 KM Tenang Jaya 599 50
14 KM Michael Putra 1140 58
15 KLM Super Indah Utama 245 29
16 KM Kawarane 174 50
17 KM Intan Samudra 23 1141 64
18 KM Sejahtera 36 1046 56
19 KM Lestari 298 36
20 KM. Batam Baroe 173 25
21 KM Lestari 298 36
22 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
23 KM Lestari 298 36
24 KM Lestari 298 36
AVERAGE 1039 84 47.8
Jumlah 15671 1147
Agustus
No Nama Kapal GRT LOA
1 TB Sumber Jasa / TK Cipta Mandiri 524 79
2 KM Bintang Sejahtera 8 1474 74
3 KM Victory 173 32
4 KM Intan Samudra 6 1000 64
5 KM Mandiri Jaya 8 1477 74
6 KM Cengkeh 6 701 48
7 TB Sumber Rejeki / TK Cipta Niaga 26 259
8 KM Sejahtera 27 641 46
9 TB Sumber Jasa / TK Cipta Mandiri 524 79
10 KM Sekar Purnama 673 51
11 KM Michael Putra 1140 58
12 KM Chuo 1 1393 77
13 KM Batam Mas Indo Raya 487 45
14 KM Intan Samudra 23 1141 64
15 KM DBS 535 50
16 KM Sabar 799 46
17 KM Intan Samudra 6 1000 64
18 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
19 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
20 KM Lestari 298 36
21 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
22 KM Lestari 298 36
23 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
AVERAGE 1260 104 59.9
Jumlah 14800 1378
September
No Nama Kapal GRT LOA
1 KM Cengkeh 6 701 48
2 LCT AGUNG SEJATI 614 57
3 KM Kawarane 2 358 35
4 KM Sejahtera 27 641 46
5 KM Wiras Permata 2 947 58
6 KM Michael Putra 1140 58
7 KM Bahari 24 1428 74
8 KM Kawarane 174 31
9 KM Cengkeh 8 791 56
10 KM Intan Samudra 23 1141 64
11 KM Sejahtera 36 1046 56
12 KM Bintang Sejahtera 8 1474 74
13 KM Intan Samudra 6 1000 64
14 KM Bayu Permata 494 45
15 KLM Pulau Abadi 245 30
16 KM Mandiri Jaya 8 1477 74
17 KM Cengkeh 6 701 48
18 KM Kawarane 2 358 35
19 KM Lestari 298 36
20 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
21 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
22 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
23 KM Lestari 298 36
24 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
25 KM Lestari 298 36
AVERAGE 645 46 46.3
Jumlah 16120 1157
Oktober
No Nama Kapal GRT LOA
1 KM Sekar Purnama 673 51
2 KM Michael Putra 1140 58
3 KM Intan Samudra 23 1141 64
4 TB Bojoma 03 / TK Fly Power 2503 146
5 KM Mandiri Jaya 8 1477 74
6 TB Puma 5 / TK Puma 7 3071 150
7 KM Kawaranae 174 31
8 KLM Anugerah Selatan 148 24
9 KM Bahari 1 1323 67
10 KM Sejahtera 33 739 52
11 KM Intan Samudra 6 1000 64
12 KM Sinako 499 54
13 KM Cengkeh 6 701 48
14 KM Sejahtera 30 1118 66
15 KM Kawarane 2 358 35
16 KM Michael Putra 1140 58
17 KM Sejahtera 36 1046 56
18 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
19 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
20 KM Lestari 298 36
21 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
22 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
23 KM. Dian Monalisa 8 271 35
24 KM Lestari 298 36
25 KM. Dian Monalisa 8 271 35
26 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
AVERAGE 679 49 48.6
Jumlah 17652 1214
November
No Nama Kapal GRT LOA
1 KM Intan Samudra 23 1141 64
2 KM Jabal Nur 50 17
3 KM Mandiri Jaya 8 1477 74
4 KM Sejahtera 33 739 52
5 KM Cengkeh 8 791 56
6 KM Intan Samudra 6 1000 64
7 KM Bintang Sejahtera 8 1474 74
8 KM Cengkeh 6 701 48
9 KLM Indah Kita 293 21
10 TB Sumber Rejeki / TK Cipta Niaga 26 250
11 KM Kawaranae 358 31
12 KM Wiras Permata 02 947 59
13 KM Michael Putra 1140 58
14 KM Kawarane 2 358 35
15 KM Mandiri Jaya 8 1477 74
16 KLM Baitus Salam 145 24
17 KM Intan Samudra 23 1141 64
18 KM. Dian Monalisa 8 271 35
19 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
20 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
21 KM. Dian Monalisa 8 271 35
22 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
23 KM Lestari 298 36
24 KM. Dian Monalisa 8 271 35
25 KM Lestari 298 36
26 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
AVERAGE 583 51 51.5
Jumlah 15163 1338
Desember
No Nama Kapal GRT LOA
1 KM DBS 02 353 43
2 KM Cengkeh 8 791 56
3 KM Sejahtera 33 641 47
4 KM Cengkeh 6 701 48
5 KM Sejahtera 21 776 58
6 KM Intan Samudra 23 1141 64
7 KM Mandiri Jaya 8 1477 74
8 TB Abdillah / TK ZA - 9 101 979
9 KM Sejahtera 36 1046 56
10 KM Michael Putra 1140 58
11 KLM Pulau Abadi 245 30
12 KM Bayu Permata 494 45
13 KM Sejahtera 20 715 50
14 KM Intan Samudra 23 1141 64
15 KM Kawaranae 2 358 31
16 KM Cengkeh 8 791 56
17 KM Intan Samudra 23 1141 64
18 KM Lestari 298 36
19 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
20 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
21 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
22 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
23 KM Lestari 298 36
24 KM. Dian Monalisa 8 271 35
25 KM Lestari 298 36
26 KM. Batam Baru 124 24
AVERAGE 571 80 80.2
Jumlah 14837 2086

54
Tahun 2017
Bulan Kunjungan Bobot Persentase Bulan LOA
10 > 500 GT 4 Januari 651
Januari
3 < 500 GT 1.2 -22.1198 Februari 507
7 > 500 GT 2.8 37.08087 Maret 695
Februari
3 < 500 GT 1.2 13.81295 April 791
10 > 500 GT 4 65.48673 Mei 1309
Maret
4 < 500 GT 1.6 -27.5783 Juni 948
9 > 500 GT 3.6 20.99156 Juli 1147
April
8 < 500 GT 3.2 20.13949 Agustus 1378
14 > 500 GT 5.6 -16.0377 September 1157
Mei
14 < 500 GT 5.6 4.926534 Oktober 1214
8 > 500 GT 3.2 10.21417 November 1338
Juni
6 < 500 GT 2.4 55.90433 Desember 2086
14 > 500 GT 5.6 14.8 Average 1102
Juli
14 < 500 GT 5.6 2018 1219
11 > 500 GT 4.4 2019 1349
Agustus
12 < 500 GT 4.8 2020 1492
13 > 500 GT 5.2 2021 1651
September
12 < 500 GT 4.8 2022 1826
12 > 500 GT 4.8 2023 2021
Oktober
14 < 500 GT 5.6 2024 2236
11 > 500 GT 4.4 2025 2473
November
15 < 500 GT 6 2026 2737
12 > 500 GT 4.8 2027 3028
Desember
14 < 500 GT 5.6 2028 3350
Rata-rata 250 100 2029 3706
Persentase >500 GT 52.4 2030 4100
Persentase <500 GT 47.6 2031 4537
Kunjungan >500 GT 131 2032 5019
Kunjungan <500 GT 119 2033 5553
2034 6144
2035 6797
2036 7520
2037 8320
2038 9205
2039 10185
Tahun 2017
GT RATA2 LOA
961 54.3
783 50.7
761 49.6
659 46.5
619 46.8
1245 67.7
1039 47.8
1260 59.9
645 46.3
679 48.6
583 51.5
571 80.2
817 54.15
59.91
66.29
73.34
81.14
89.77
99.32
109.88
121.57
134.51
148.81
164.64
182.16
201.54
222.97
246.69
272.94
301.97
334.09
369.63
408.95
452.46
500.59
Tahun 2018
Bulan LOA
Januari 1475
Februari 804
Maret 1254
April 1019
Mei 1408
Juni 799
Juli 952
Agustus 1458
September 1098
Oktober 1835
November 0
Desember 0
Average 1009
BOR LOA BOR NON LOA
LOA 0 VS 363
Clearence 5 St 0.3
Berth Time 5 WE 120
Lengt of Berth 230 n 2
Day in Hour 24 BOR 45
Effective Time 0.3
BOR 2

YEAR Clearence Berth Time Lengt of Berth Day in Hour


2017 5 230 24
BOR SS
Average berth 500
Wt 2
Lengt of Berth 230
Day in Hour 24
Effective Time 0.5
BOR 36

Effective Time
0.5
BOR ALTERNATIVE 1
BOR LOA 2017 BOR LOA 2018
LOA 1102 LOA
Clearence 5 Clearence
Berth Time 5 Berth Time
Lengt of Berth 230 Lengt of Berth
Day in Hour 120 Day in Hour
Effective Time 0.3 Effective Time
BOR 67 BOR

TAHUN SHIP CALL LOA Clearence Berth Time

2019 295 276 5 5


2020 129 9,731 5 5
2021 130 9,771 5 5
2022 130 9,811 5 5
2023 131 9,851 5 5
2024 131 9,893 5 5
2025 132 9,935 5 5
2026 132 9,977 5 5
2027 133 10,020 5 5
2028 133 10,063 5 5
2029 134 10,107 5 5
2030 135 10,152 5 5
2031 135 10,197 5 5
2032 136 10,243 5 5
2033 136 10,289 5 5
2034 137 10,336 5 5
2035 138 10,384 5 5
2036 138 10,432 5 5
2037 139 10,481 5 5
2038 140 10,530 5 5
2039 140 10,580 5 5
BOR ALTERNATIVE 2
BOR LOA 2018 BOR LOA 2017
1009 Average berth
5 Wt
5 Lengt of Berth
230 Day in Hour
120 Effective Time
0.3 BOR
62
2.51
Lengt of Berth Day in Hour BOR TAHUN
2017 941
2018 918
230 120 2019 965
230 120 2020 518
230 120 2021 531
230 120 2022 544
230 120 2023 558
230 120 2024 572
230 120 2025 586
230 120 2026 601
230 120 2027 616
230 120 2028 632
230 120 2029 647
230 120 2030 664
230 120 2031 680
230 120 2032 697
230 120 2033 715
230 120 2034 733
230 120 2035 751
230 120 2036 770
230 120 2037 789
230 120 2038 809
230 120 2039 829

2.51
TAHUN
2017 941
2018 918
2019 965
2020 518
2021 531
2022 544
2023 558
2024 572
2025 586
2026 601
2027 616
2028 632
2029 647
2030 664
2031 680
2032 697
2033 715
2034 733
2035 751
2036 770
2037 789
2038 809
2039 829

b/m
jumlah crane
efektifitas/jam
operasional/jam
hari
BOR ALTERNATIVE 2 JAM PEMAKAIAN
BOR LOA 2018 JAM/HARI 8
Average berth 918 HARI/TAHUN 360
Wt 2 JAM/TAHUN 2880
Lengt of Berth 230 HARI 120
Day in Hour 24 EFEKTIF TIME 0.33
Effective Time 0.5
BOR 67

Wt Lengt of Berth Day in Hour Effective Time BOR


5 230 24 0.33 255.71
5 230 24 0.33 249.46
5 230 24 0.33 262.11
5 230 24 0.33 140.79
5 230 24 0.33 144.32
5 230 24 0.33 147.93
5 230 24 0.33 151.64
5 230 24 0.33 155.44
5 230 24 0.33 159.33
5 230 24 0.33 163.32
5 230 24 0.33 167.42
5 230 24 0.33 171.61
5 230 24 0.33 175.91
5 230 24 0.33 180.32
5 230 24 0.33 184.83
5 230 24 0.33 189.47
5 230 24 0.33 194.21
5 230 24 0.33 199.08
5 230 24 0.33 204.07
5 230 24 0.33 209.18
5 230 24 0.33 214.42
5 230 24 0.33 219.79
5 230 24 0.33 225.30

Wt Lengt of Berth Day in Hour Effective Time BOR


5 220 24 0.50 178.22
5 220 24 0.50 173.86
5 220 24 0.50 182.68
2 220 24 0.50 39.25
2 220 24 0.50 40.23
2 220 24 0.50 41.24
2 220 24 0.50 42.27
2 220 24 0.50 43.33
2 220 24 0.50 44.42
2 220 24 0.50 45.53
2 220 24 0.50 46.67
2 220 24 0.50 47.84
2 220 24 0.50 49.04
2 220 24 0.50 50.27
2 220 24 0.50 51.53
2 220 24 0.50 52.82
2 220 24 0.50 54.14
2 220 24 0.50 55.50
2 220 24 0.50 56.89
2 220 24 0.50 58.32
2 220 24 0.50 59.78
2 220 24 0.50 61.28
2 220 24 0.50 62.81

Rata-rat perhari
242,502 5,000
3 5
162 270
8 8
187 2
BOR ALTERNATIVE 3
BOR LOA 2017 BOR LOA 2018
VS 268 VS 249
St 0.3 St 0.3
WE 24 WE 24
n 2 n 2
BOR 168 BOR 156

TAHUN VS St WE n BOR
2017 268 0.3 24 2 168
2018 249 0.3 24 2 156
2019 295 0.3 24 2 185
2020 129 0.3 24 2 81
2021 130 0.3 24 2 81
2022 130 0.3 24 2 81
2023 131 0.3 24 2 82
2024 131 0.3 24 2 82
2025 132 0.3 24 2 82
2026 132 0.3 24 2 83
2027 133 0.3 24 2 83
2028 133 0.3 24 2 83
2029 134 0.3 24 2 84
2030 135 0.3 24 2 84
2031 135 0.3 24 2 85
2032 136 0.3 24 2 85
2033 136 0.3 24 2 85
2034 137 0.3 24 2 86
2035 138 0.3 24 2 86
2036 138 0.3 24 2 86
2037 139 0.3 24 2 87
2038 140 0.3 24 2 87
2039 140 0.3 24 2 88
Berth Time
No Bulan
2017 2018
1 JANUARI 5 4
2 FEBRUARI 6 5
3 MARET 6 5
4 APRIL 5 5
5 MEI 5 5
6 JUNI 5 6
7 JULI 6 4
8 AGUSTUS 6 6
9 SEPTEMBER 5 5
10 OKTOBER 5 6

11 NOVEMBER 5 -
12 DESEMBER 5 -
2018 5 5
Kunjungan Kapal
Persentase Keterangan Load Faktor
52.4 Kunjungan Kapal >500 GT 85
47.6 Kunjungan Kapal <500 GT 123

Persentase Keterangan
56.49 Ton Kapal >500 GT
43.51 Ton Kapal <500 GT

Bongkar SPBA Muat TAHUN


445,483 25,204 2020
528,159 25,308 2021
615,585 25,412 2022
708,034 25,518 2023
805,796 25,626 2024
909,174 25,735 2025
1,018,492 25,845 2026
1,134,091 25,957 2027
1,256,332 26,070 2028
1,385,596 26,185 2029
1,522,288 26,301 2030
1,666,833 26,419 2031
1,819,684 26,538 2032
1,981,316 26,659 2033
2,152,236 26,781 2034
2,332,976 26,905 2035
2,524,101 27,030 2036
2,726,207 27,157 2037
2,939,926 27,286 2038
3,165,924 27,417 2039
Asumsi
Perkiraan jumlah karyawan / kelompok kerja :
- Pusat administrasi pelabuhan

- Pusat bea cukai

- Admistrasi pelabuhan pembantu

- kesehatan pelabuhan

- Navigasi

-EMKL

- Amenities

- Keagenan
- Terminal Penumpang

- Karantina

Luas ruang kerja / kel.kerja + (m2)


Luas ruang kerja / kel.kerja + R.Meeting (m2)
Luas sirkulasi (%) dari luas lantai efektif
Luas ruang keagenan / kel kerja + R.Meeting (m2)
Luas lantai ruang tunggu penumpang (m2) / penumpang
Luas perkantoran untuk Terminal Penumpang (m2)
Luas lantai ruang karantina (m2) / orang
Luas perkantoran untuk Karantina (m2)

Luas Efektif Lantai Luas Sirkulasi


No Bangunan Kantor/Terminal
(m2) (m2)
1 - Pusat administrasi pelabuhan 100 40
2 - Pusat bea cukai 50 20
3 - Kesehatan pelabuhan 50 20
4 - Navigasi 50 20
5 -EMKL 50 20
6 - Amenities 50 20
7 - Keagenan 30 12
Luas Kawasan Perkantoran Tanjung Mocoh
Keterangan
Kunjungan Kapal >500 GT
Kunjungan Kapal <500 GT

DEMAND
185
Bongkar SPBA Muat Total
251,644 14,237 265,881
180 298,345 14,296 312,641
347,731 14,355 362,085
175 399,953 14,415 414,368
455,176 14,476 469,652
513,572 14,537 528,109
170
575,324 14,599 589,923
640,623 14,663 655,286
165 709,674 14,726 724,401
782,693 14,791 797,484
160 859,907 14,857 874,764
941,558 14,923 956,481
1,027,900 14,991 1,042,890
1,119,202 15,059 1,134,261
1,215,751 15,128 1,230,879
1,317,847 15,198 1,333,045
1,425,809 15,269 1,441,078
1,539,975 15,341 1,555,315
1,660,700 15,413 1,676,113
1,788,361 15,487 1,803,848
KETERANGAN

10 orang

2 kelompok kerja
3 orang
1 kelompok kerja
8 orang
2 kelompok kerja
3 orang
1 kelompok kerja
2 orang
1 kelompok kerja
2 orang
1 kelompok kerja
2 orang
1 kelompok kerja
1 kelompok kerja
50 orang
1 pemberangkatan
50 org / pemberangkatan
1.5 faktor arus maksimum
3 orang

45
50
25%
30
1
80
1.8
100

Total

140
70
70
70
70
70
42
532
BOR LOA 2018
VS
St
WE
n
BOR

SC
TAHUN Bongkar Muat Ship Call TAHUN SHIP CALL
2020 251,644 14,237 167 2019 295
2021 298,345 14,296 168 2020 129
2022 347,731 14,355 169 2021 130
2023 399,953 14,415 170 2022 130
2024 455,176 14,476 170 2023 131
2025 513,572 14,537 171 2024 131
2026 575,324 14,599 172 2025 132
2027 640,623 14,663 173 2026 132
2028 709,674 14,726 173 2027 133
2029 782,693 14,791 174 2028 133
2030 859,907 14,857 175 2029 134
2031 941,558 14,923 176 2030 135
2032 1,027,900 14,991 176 2031 135
2033 1,119,202 15,059 177 2032 136
2034 1,215,751 15,128 178 2033 136
2035 1,317,847 15,198 179 2034 137
2036 1,425,809 15,269 180 2035 138
2037 1,539,975 15,341 180 2036 138
2038 1,660,700 15,413 181 2037 139
2039 1,788,361 15,487 182 2038 140
2039 140
Perhitungan Kebutuhan Luas Parkir Truk dan Forklift di

Volume Bongkar Muat Jumlah Parkir


Trailer ForkLift Truk Truk
No Tahun BOR Loosing Loosing

(%)
1 2 3 6 7 8 9
1 2 3 6 7 8 9
1 2020 100.00 0 0 22 74
2 2025 100.00 0 0 44 147
3 2030 100.00 0 0 91 304
4 2035 100.00 0 0 139 463
5 2039 100.00 0 0 225 752

Keterangan
Trailer @75 m2
Forlift @50 m2
Truk @75 m2
BOR LOA 2018 JAM/HARI 12
100 HARI/TAHUN 360
0.50 JAM/TAHUN 4320
4320 WE 180
2 % jam 50.00

BOR
LOA Clearence Berth Time Lengt of Berth Day in Hour BOR
1349 5 5 84 360 22
1492 5 5 84 360 25
1651 5 5 84 360 27
1826 5 5 84 360 30
2021 5 5 84 360 33
2236 5 5 84 360 37
2473 5 5 84 360 41
2737 5 5 84 360 45
3028 5 5 84 360 50
3350 5 5 84 360 55
3706 5 5 84 360 61
4100 5 5 84 360 68
4537 5 5 84 360 75
5019 5 5 84 360 83
5553 5 5 84 360 92
6144 5 5 84 360 102
6797 5 5 84 360 112
7520 5 5 84 360 124
8320 5 5 84 360 138
9205 5 5 84 360 152
10185 5 5 84 360 168
ruk dan Forklift di Areal Cargo

Truk Luas Lahan Parkir Truk


loosing

(m2)
11 12
11 12
1,662 1,684
3,301 3,345
6,834 6,925
10,414 10,553
16,911 17,137
Keterangan
To 75%
T1 25%
T2 20% Sth Lapangan =
T3 80%

Throughput (ton)
Tahun Total Kargo (ton)
T0 T1 T2
2020 265,881 199,411 49,853 9,971
17.59 2021 312,641 234,481 58,620 11,724
15.82 2022 362,085 271,564 67,891 13,578
14.44 2023 414,368 310,776 77,694 15,539
13.34 2024 469,652 352,239 88,060 17,612
12.45 2025 528,109 396,082 99,021 19,804
11.70 2026 589,923 442,442 110,611 22,122
11.08 2027 655,286 491,464 122,866 24,573
10.55 2028 724,401 543,301 135,825 27,165
10.09 2029 797,484 598,113 149,528 29,906
9.69 2030 874,764 656,073 164,018 32,804
9.34 2031 956,481 717,361 179,340 35,868
9.03 2032 1,042,890 782,168 195,542 39,108
8.76 2033 1,134,261 850,696 212,674 42,535
8.52 2034 1,230,879 923,159 230,790 46,158
8.30 2035 1,333,045 999,784 249,946 49,989
8.10 2036 1,441,078 1,080,809 270,202 54,040
7.93 2037 1,555,315 1,166,487 291,622 58,324
7.77 2038 1,676,113 1,257,085 314,271 62,854
7.62 2039 1,803,848 1,352,886 338,222 67,644
10.64
Rencana Pengembangan

Jangka Jangka
Fasilitas Satuan Pendek Menengah
2019 - 2024 2019 - 2029
A. FASILITAS POKOK PELABUHAN
Dermaga m 30 x 12 120 x 12

Trestle m 600 x 8 600 x 8


B. FASILITAS POKOK PELABUHAN 22,378 22,378
Lapangan Penumpukan m2 3,145 3,145
Gudang m2 2,097 2,097
Lapangan Parkir Truk General Cargo m2 17,137 17,137
C. FASILITAS PERKANTORAN 532 532
Administrasi pelabuhan m2 140 140
bea cukai m2 70 70
Kesehatan pelabuhan m2 70 70
Pemeliharaan SBNP m2 70 70
EMKL m2 70 70
Amenities m2 70 70
Keagenan m2 42 42
D. FASILITAS PENUNJANG PELABUHAN
Lampu Penerangan Pelabuhan:
1. Lapangan Penumpukan Unit 7 9
2. Trestle Unit 10 10
3. Dermaga Unit 6 6
Kontainer Penampungan Sampah (m3) Unit 1 1
Bak Penampungan Air Unit 2 2
Pagar Pelabuhan m 985 985
Talud m 185 185
Rumah Genset m - 5x4
Pos Jaga Pelabuhan m 5x4 5x4
E. PERALATAN BONGKAR MUAT PELABUHAN
- Mobile crane 20 ton Unit 1 2
- Forklift truck 3 ton, 10 ton Unit 9 29
- Trailer Unit 7 22
Kebutuhan Panjang Dermaga 2020 2028
n 1 1
Loa 70 107
Panjang Dermaga 84 121
Trt = 7
Sf = 0.67
Sth Gudang = 3
Sth Lapangan = 0.5
BS = 0.45

t (ton)
A Lapanga N (m2) A Gudang (m2)
T3
39,882 464 309
46,896 545 363
54,313 631 421
62,155 722 482
70,448 819 546
79,216 921 614
88,488 1,029 686
98,293 1,143 762
108,660 1,263 842
119,623 1,390 927
131,215 1,525 1,017
143,472 1,668 1,112
156,434 1,818 1,212
170,139 1,978 1,318
184,632 2,146 1,431
199,957 2,324 1,549
216,162 2,513 1,675
233,297 2,712 1,808
251,417 2,922 1,948
270,577 3,145 2,097
Jangka
Panjang
2019 -2039

150 x 12

600 x 8
22,378
3,145
2,097
17,137
532
140
70
70
70
70
70
42

10
10
6
1
2
985
185
5x4
5x4

4
65
49
2039
1
212
226
No Uraian Satuan 2019 2024

1 Bongkar muat barang ton


2 Bongkar muat container TEUS 265,880.88 469,651.88
3 Jumlah efektif hari kerja hari 360 360
4 Jumlah efektif kerja per hari hari 30 30
5 Berth Occupancy ratio % 24.8 37.0
6 Produktifitas gang per jam jam 24 24
7 Produktifitas gang per hari hari 720 720
8 Produktifitas crane per jam jam 60 52
9 Produktifitas crane per hari hari 1800 1560
10 Jumlah gang per hari gang 30.77 54.36
11 Jumlah crane per hari unit 0.41 0.84
12 Panjang kapal cargo m
13 Jumlah
Panjangdermaga container
kapal cargo m 1539 2718
Sharing Jumlah Pembulata Sharing Jumlah
15 (12) X sharing Muatan Kapal n kapal Muatan Kapal
muatan/ panjang kapal 100% 4.97 5.00 100% 11.20
16 Total panjang dermaga Cargo m 50 215
17 Panjang Eksisting
18 Kunjungan Kapal Unit 153 180

No Jumlah peralatan
- Mobile crane 20 ton Unit 0.41 0.84 1.42 2.19 3.21
- Mobile crane 10 ton Unit 2.05 4.18 7.10 10.96 16.06
- Forklift truck 3ton, 10 ton Unit 8.21 16.73 28.40 43.83 64.24
- Trailer Unit 6.15 12.54 21.30 32.88 48.18

Jumlah peralatan 2019 2024


- Mobile crane 20 ton Unit 1 1
- Forklift truck 3 ton, 10 ton Unit 9 17
- Trailer Unit 7 13
8
2024 2029 2034 2039

469,651.88 797,484.24 1,230,879.03 1,803,848.12


360 360 360 360
30 30 30 30
37.0 61.4 101.7 168.5
24 24 24 24
720 720 720 720
52 52 52 52
1560 1560 1560 1560
54.36 92.30 142.46 208.78
0.84 1.42 2.19 3.21

2718 4615 7123 10439


Pembulata Sharing Jumlah Pembulata Sharing Jumlah Pembulata Sharing Jumlah Pembulata
n kapal Muatan Kapal n kapal Muatan Kapal n kapal Muatan Kapal n kapal
12.00 100% 26.82 27.00 100% 58.41 59.00 100% 121 121
440 920 1850
155
180 211 248 291

2024 2029 2034 2039


1 2 3 4
17 29 44 65
13 22 33 49
12 15 21
Kunjungan Kapal
Persentase Keterangan Load Faktor
52.4 Kunjungan Kapal >500 GT 85
47.6 Kunjungan Kapal <500 GT 123

Persentase Keterangan
5.00 Asumsi SPLIT
43.51 Ton Kapal <500 GT

Bongkar SPBA Muat TAHUN


2020 352,925 23,925 2020
2021 545,923 24,788 2021
2022 844,462 25,682 2022
2023 1,306,257 26,608 2023
2024 2,020,585 27,568 2024
2025 3,125,545 28,562 2025
2026 4,834,754 29,593 2026
2027 7,478,645 30,660 2027
2028 11,568,353 31,766 2028
2029 17,894,524 32,912 2029
2030 27,680,169 34,099 2030
2031 42,817,109 35,329 2031
2032 66,231,706 36,603 2032
2033 102,450,607 37,924 2033
2034 158,475,867 39,292 2034
2035 245,138,620 40,709 2035
2036 379,193,021 42,177 2036
2037 586,555,261 43,698 2037
2038 907,313,835 45,275 2038
2039 1,403,479,690 46,908 2039
Asumsi
Perkiraan jumlah karyawan / kelompok kerja :
- Pusat administrasi pelabuhan

- Pusat bea cukai

- Admistrasi pelabuhan pembantu

- kesehatan pelabuhan

- Navigasi

-EMKL

- Amenities

- Keagenan
- Terminal Penumpang

- Karantina

Luas ruang kerja / kel.kerja + (m2)


Luas ruang kerja / kel.kerja + R.Meeting (m2)
Luas sirkulasi (%) dari luas lantai efektif
Luas ruang keagenan / kel kerja + R.Meeting (m2)
Luas lantai ruang tunggu penumpang (m2) / penumpang
Luas perkantoran untuk Terminal Penumpang (m2)
Luas lantai ruang karantina (m2) / orang
Luas perkantoran untuk Karantina (m2)

Luas Efektif Lantai Luas Sirkulasi


No Bangunan Kantor/Terminal
(m2) (m2)
1 - Pusat administrasi pelabuhan 100 40
2 - Pusat bea cukai 50 20
3 - Kesehatan pelabuhan 50 20
4 - Navigasi 50 20
5 -EMKL 50 20
6 - Amenities 50 20
7 - Keagenan 30 12
Luas Kawasan Perkantoran Tanjung Mocoh
Keterangan
Kunjungan Kapal >500 GT
Kunjungan Kapal <500 GT

DEMAND
Bongkar SPBA Muat Total
17,646 1,196 18,843
27,296 1,239 28,536
42,223 1,284 43,507
65,313 1,330 66,643
101,029 1,378 102,408
156,277 1,428 157,705
241,738 1,480 243,217
373,932 1,533 375,465
578,418 1,588 580,006
894,726 1,646 896,372
1,384,008 1,705 1,385,713
2,140,855 1,766 2,142,622
3,311,585 1,830 3,313,415
5,122,530 1,896 5,124,427
7,923,793 1,965 7,925,758
12,256,931 2,035 12,258,966
18,959,651 2,109 18,961,760
29,327,763 2,185 29,329,948
45,365,692 2,264 45,367,955
70,173,985 2,345 70,176,330
KETERANGAN

10 orang

2 kelompok kerja
3 orang
1 kelompok kerja
8 orang
2 kelompok kerja
3 orang
1 kelompok kerja
2 orang
1 kelompok kerja
2 orang
1 kelompok kerja
2 orang
1 kelompok kerja
1 kelompok kerja
50 orang
1 pemberangkatan
50 org / pemberangkatan
1.5 faktor arus maksimum
3 orang

45
50
25%
30
1
80
1.8
100

Total

140
70
70
70
70
70
42
532
BOR LOA 2018
VS
St
WE
n
BOR

SC
TAHUN Bongkar Muat Ship Call TAHUN SHIP CALL
2020 17,646 1,196 14 2019 295
2021 27,296 1,239 15 2020 129
2022 42,223 1,284 15 2021 130
2023 65,313 1,330 16 2022 130
2024 101,029 1,378 16 2023 131
2025 156,277 1,428 17 2024 131
2026 241,738 1,480 17 2025 132
2027 373,932 1,533 18 2026 132
2028 578,418 1,588 19 2027 133
2029 894,726 1,646 19 2028 133
2030 1,384,008 1,705 20 2029 134
2031 2,140,855 1,766 21 2030 135
2032 3,311,585 1,830 22 2031 135
2033 5,122,530 1,896 22 2032 136
2034 7,923,793 1,965 23 2033 136
2035 ### 2,035 24 2034 137
2036 ### 2,109 25 2035 138
2037 ### 2,185 26 2036 138
2038 ### 2,264 27 2037 139
2039 ### 2,345 28 2038 140
2039 140
Perhitungan Kebutuhan Luas Parkir Truk dan Forklift di

Volume Bongkar Muat Jumlah Parkir


Trailer ForkLift Truk Truk
No Tahun BOR Loosing Loosing

(%)
1 2 3 6 7 8 9
1 2 3 6 7 8 9
1 2020 100.00 0 0 2 5
2 2025 100.00 0 0 13 44
3 2030 100.00 0 0 144 481
4 2035 100.00 0 0 1,277 4,257
5 2039 100.00 0 0 8,772 29,240

Keterangan
Trailer @75 m2
Forlift @50 m2
Truk @75 m2
BOR LOA 2018 JAM/HARI 12
100 HARI/TAHUN 360
0.50 JAM/TAHUN 4320
4320 WE 180
2 % jam 50.00

BOR
LOA Clearence Berth Time Lengt of Berth Day in Hour BOR
1349 5 5 84 360 22
1492 5 5 84 360 25
1651 5 5 84 360 27
1826 5 5 84 360 30
2021 5 5 84 360 33
2236 5 5 84 360 37
2473 5 5 84 360 41
2737 5 5 84 360 45
3028 5 5 84 360 50
3350 5 5 84 360 55
3706 5 5 84 360 61
4100 5 5 84 360 68
4537 5 5 84 360 75
5019 5 5 84 360 83
5553 5 5 84 360 92
6144 5 5 84 360 102
6797 5 5 84 360 112
7520 5 5 84 360 124
8320 5 5 84 360 138
9205 5 5 84 360 152
10185 5 5 84 360 168
ruk dan Forklift di Areal Cargo

Truk Luas Lahan Parkir Truk


loosing

(m2)
11 12
11 12
118 119
986 999
10,826 10,970
95,773 97,050
657,903 666,675
Keterangan
To 75%
T1 25%
T2 20% Sth Lapangan =
T3 80%

Throughput (ton)
Tahun Total Kargo (ton)
T0 T1 T2
2020 18,843 14,132 3,533 707
51.44 2021 28,536 21,402 5,350 1,070
52.47 2022 43,507 32,630 8,158 1,632
53.18 2023 66,643 49,982 12,496 2,499
53.67 2024 102,408 76,806 19,201 3,840
54.00 2025 157,705 118,279 29,570 5,914
54.22 2026 243,217 182,413 45,603 9,121
54.37 2027 375,465 281,599 70,400 14,080
54.48 2028 580,006 435,004 108,751 21,750
54.55 2029 896,372 672,279 168,070 33,614
54.59 2030 1,385,713 1,039,285 259,821 51,964
54.62 2031 2,142,622 1,606,966 401,742 80,348
54.64 2032 3,313,415 2,485,062 621,265 124,253
54.66 2033 5,124,427 3,843,320 960,830 192,166
54.67 2034 7,925,758 5,944,318 1,486,080 297,216
54.67 2035 12,258,966 9,194,225 2,298,556 459,711
54.68 2036 18,961,760 14,221,320 3,555,330 711,066
54.68 2037 29,329,948 21,997,461 5,499,365 1,099,873
54.68 2038 45,367,955 34,025,967 8,506,492 1,701,298
54.68 2039 70,176,330 52,632,247 13,158,062 2,631,612
54.15
Rencana Pengembangan

Jangka Jangka
Fasilitas Satuan Pendek Menengah
2019 - 2024 2019 - 2029
A. FASILITAS POKOK PELABUHAN
Dermaga m 30 x 12 120 x 12

Trestle m 600 x 8 600 x 8


B. FASILITAS POKOK PELABUHAN 870,602 870,602
Lapangan Penumpukan m2 122,356 122,356
Gudang m2 81,571 81,571
Lapangan Parkir Truk General Cargo m2 666,675 666,675
C. FASILITAS PERKANTORAN 532 532
Administrasi pelabuhan m2 140 140
bea cukai m2 70 70
Kesehatan pelabuhan m2 70 70
Pemeliharaan SBNP m2 70 70
EMKL m2 70 70
Amenities m2 70 70
Keagenan m2 42 42
D. FASILITAS PENUNJANG PELABUHAN
Lampu Penerangan Pelabuhan:
1. Lapangan Penumpukan Unit 7 9
2. Trestle Unit 10 10
3. Dermaga Unit 6 6
Kontainer Penampungan Sampah (m3) Unit 1 1
Bak Penampungan Air Unit 2 2
Pagar Pelabuhan m 985 985
Talud m 185 185
Rumah Genset m - 5x4
Pos Jaga Pelabuhan m 5x4 5x4
E. PERALATAN BONGKAR MUAT PELABUHAN
- Mobile crane 20 ton Unit 1 2
- Forklift truck 3 ton, 10 ton Unit 1 32
- Trailer Unit 1 24
Kebutuhan Panjang Dermaga 2020 2028
n 1 1
Loa 70 107
Panjang Dermaga 84 121
Trt = 7
Sf = 0.67
Sth Gudang = 3
Sth Lapangan = 0.5
BS = 0.45

t (ton)
A Lapanga N (m2) A Gudang (m2)
T3
2,826 33 22
4,280 50 33
6,526 76 51
9,996 116 77
15,361 179 119
23,656 275 183
36,483 424 283
56,320 655 436
87,001 1,011 674
134,456 1,563 1,042
207,857 2,416 1,611
321,393 3,736 2,491
497,012 5,777 3,851
768,664 8,935 5,956
1,188,864 13,819 9,213
1,838,845 21,374 14,249
2,844,264 33,061 22,041
4,399,492 51,138 34,092
6,805,193 79,101 52,734
10,526,449 122,356 81,571
Jangka
Panjang
2019 -2039

150 x 12

600 x 8
870,602
122,356
81,571
666,675
532
140
70
70
70
70
70
42

10
10
6
1
2
985
185
5x4
5x4

125
2500
1875
2039
1
212
226
No Uraian Satuan 2019 2024

1 Bongkar muat barang ton


2 Bongkar muat container TEUS 18,842.51 102,407.66
3 Jumlah efektif hari kerja hari 360 360
4 Jumlah efektif kerja per hari hari 30 30
5 Berth Occupancy ratio % 24.8 37.0
6 Produktifitas gang per jam jam 24 24
7 Produktifitas gang per hari hari 720 720
8 Produktifitas crane per jam jam 60 52
9 Produktifitas crane per hari hari 1800 1560
10 Jumlah gang per hari gang 2.18 11.85
11 Jumlah crane per hari unit 0.03 0.18
12 Panjang kapal cargo m
13 Jumlah
Panjangdermaga container
kapal cargo m 109 593
Sharing Jumlah Pembulata Sharing Jumlah
15 (12) X sharing Muatan Kapal n kapal Muatan Kapal
muatan/ panjang kapal 100% 0.35 1.00 100% 2.44
16 Total panjang dermaga Cargo m 50 80
17 Panjang Eksisting
18 Kunjungan Kapal Unit 153 180

No Jumlah peralatan
- Mobile crane 20 ton Unit 0.03 0.18 1.60 14.11 124.96
- Mobile crane 10 ton Unit 0.15 0.91 7.98 70.56 624.79
- Forklift truck 3ton, 10 ton Unit 0.58 3.65 31.92 282.26 2499.16
- Trailer Unit 0.44 2.74 23.94 211.69 1874.37

Jumlah peralatan 2019 2024


- Mobile crane 20 ton Unit 1 1
- Forklift truck 3 ton, 10 ton Unit 1 4
- Trailer Unit 1 3
3
2024 2029 2034 2039

102,407.66 896,371.78 7,925,757.94 70,176,329.91


360 360 360 360
30 30 30 30
37.0 61.4 101.7 168.5
24 24 24 24
720 720 720 720
52 52 52 52
1560 1560 1560 1560
11.85 103.75 917.33 8122.26
0.18 1.60 14.11 124.96

593 5187 45867 406113


Pembulata Sharing Jumlah Pembulata Sharing Jumlah Pembulata Sharing Jumlah Pembulata
n kapal Muatan Kapal n kapal Muatan Kapal n kapal Muatan Kapal n kapal
3.00 100% 30.15 31.00 100% 376.10 377.00 100% 4699 4700
500 5690 70535
155
180 211 248 291

2024 2029 2034 2039


1 2 15 125
4 32 283 2500
3 24 212 1875
28 251 2217
No Uraian Satuan

1 Karakteristik Kapal Disain


a. Ukuran GRT
b. LOA (Panjang), L m
c. Beam (lebar), B m
d. Draft, D m
2 Jumlah Kapal Dilayani
a. Kedatangan unit
b. Sandar, N unit
c. Labuh unit
d. Alih Muat unit
e. Kapal Mati unit
1 Dimensi Alur
Panjang Alur (Lalur) eksisting m
Lebar Alur eksisting m
Lebar Alur ukuran kapal
b. 2-ways m
2 Dimensi Kolam

a. Areal Alur Pelayaran dari dan ke Pelabuhan Ha


b. Areal Tempat Sandar
Lebar m
Panjang m
Luas untuk 1 kapal m2
Luas Total Ha
c. Areal Kolam Putar
Diameter ( dgn tunda) m
Luas Ha
Diameter (tanpa tunda) m

Luas Ha
d. Areal Tempat Labuh
Jari-jari m
Luas m2
Luas Total
Ha
e. Areal Pindah Labuh Kapal
Jari-jari m
Luas m2
Luas Total
Ha
f. Areal Alih Muat Kapal Ha
g. Areal Penempatan Kapal Mati Ha
h. Areal Keperluan Keadaan Darurat Ha
i .Areal Percobaan Berlayar Ha
Lebar (Minimum) m
Panjang (Minimum) m
j. luas kolam pelabuhan
Tanpa tunda Ha
Rata-rata karakteristik
Formula kapal pengembangan
jangka panjang

1,500
80
11.0
4.5

139.68
139.68
1.00
1.00
1.00

2,000.00
-

4 B + 30 74.00

Aalur = (9B + 30) x Lalur 25.80

1.5 L 120.00 37,500


1.8 L 144.00
1.8 L x 1.5 L 17,280
N * Luas 241.37

2L 160.00
A= N π R2 280.84
3L 240.00

A= N π R2 631.90

R=L + 6 D + 30 137.00
A=π R2 58,965

N*A 5.90

R=L + 6 D + 30 137.00
A=π R2 58,964.55

N*A 5.90
N*A 5.90
N*A 2.95
50 % Areal Labuh 2.95
A = Panjang x Lebar 9.47
Lebar Alur 74.00
16 L 1,280.00

873.26
Jangka Jangka Jangka
Fasilitas Satuan Pendek Menengah Panjang
2019 - 2024 2019 - 2029 2019 -2039
Trestle I m2 230 x 5 230 x 5 230 x 5
Pontoon I m2 8 x 10 8 x 10 8 x 10
Trestle II m2 194 x 5 194 x 5 194 x 5
Pontoon II m2 8 x 10 8 x 10 8 x 10
Terminal m2 10,064 10,064 10,064
NO DSI NAMA

1 1040 Tg. Pinang Kamp. Senggarang Front

2 1050 Tg. Pinang Kamp. Senggarang Front

3 1053 TG. PINANG

4 1052 TG. PINANG

5 1051 BATU HITAM

6 1070 Tg. Pinang N. of Tg. Batu Hitam


JENIS SBNP WARNA PERIODE POSISI
Fl. W 3 s 00° 56' 28.8908" N / 104°
RAMBU SUAR PUTIH
Fl. 1.0 - Ecl 2.0 26' 10.7298" E
00° 56' 39.0973" N / 104°
RAMBU SUAR PUTIH L.Fl. W 5 sFl. 2.0 - Ecl 3.0 26' 11.3579" E
00° 55' 49.1028" N / 104°
PELAMPUNG SUAR HIJAU Fl. G 3 sFl. 0.5 - Ecl..2.5
26' 12.1749" E
00° 55' 35.62" N / 104° 26'
PELAMPUNG SUAR MERAH Fl. R 4 sFl. 0.5 - Ecl. 3.5 04.45" E
Fl. R 5 s 00° 54' 41.52" N / 104° 25'
PELAMPUNG SUAR MERAH
Fl. 0.5 - Ecl. 4.5 53.94" E
RAMBU SUAR Iso. W 2 s 00° 54' 30.00" N / 104° 26'
PUTIH DAN MERAH
(SECTOR) Fl. 1.0 - Ecl. 1.0 30.00" E
Pendapatan PELINDO
PENDAPATAN OPERASI PENDAPATAN OPERASI
Bulan
2018 2017
Januari 3,296,777,675 2,091,150,613
Februari 6,096,146,789 4,279,050,511
Maret 2,743,567,931 6,622,215,896
April 12,592,195,637 8,552,241,547
Mei 17,257,317,244 11,269,980,973
Juni 20,980,940,095 13,592,887,923
Juli 24,605,874,684 15,736,667,803
Agustus 30,474,378,298 N/A
September 34,788,441,043 N/A
Oktober 38,832,070,432 N/A
November N/A N/A
Desember N/A 31,985,055,161
TOTAL 191,667,709,828 94,129,250,427

*Diambil dari data Pendapatan Operasi realisasi S/D Bulan berjalan


PENDAPATAN OPERASI Kunjungan Kapal
2016 Tahun Pendapatan Batu Anam
2,063,351,573 2016 183,299,663,879 0.44
4,155,329,321 2017 94,129,250,427 4.54
6,202,699,641 2018 191,667,709,828
8,355,377,561 2019 200,369,423,854
10,554,976,622 2020 209,466,195,697
12,714,844,662 2021 218,975,960,982
17,500,454,917 2022 228,917,469,610
16,972,950,473 2023 239,310,322,731
19,786,864,259 2024 250,175,011,383
22,156,437,363 2025 261,532,956,899
24,382,668,807 2026 273,406,553,143
38,453,708,680 2027 285,819,210,655
183,299,663,879 2028 298,795,402,819
0.05 2029 312,360,714,107
2030 326,541,890,528
2031 341,366,892,358
2032 356,864,949,271
2033 373,066,617,967
2034 390,003,842,423
2035 407,710,016,869
2036 426,220,051,635
2037 445,570,441,979
2038 465,799,340,045
2039 486,946,630,083

*Asumsi kenaikan pendapatan didapatkan dari arus kunjungan kapal di pelab


Kunjungan Kapal
Bintan Pura
4.54
4.54

i arus kunjungan kapal di pelabuhan yang dikelola oleh PELINDO


Pendapatan PELINDO

Jenis Jasa
Ferry 200 GT
PAS Terminal Domestik
PAS Terminal INTNL
WNA
WNI
Kendaraan Roda 2
Kendaraan Roda 4
Jasa Tambat Internasional
Jasa Tambat Domestik
Sewa kios

Tahun

2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
Tarif (DOM) Tarif (INTL)
150,000 365,000
10,000

60,000
40,000
2,000
4,000
315,000
75,000
350,000,000

137,596 382 1,529


Jasa Tambat
PENUMPANG (DOM) PENUMPANG (INTL) Call (DOM) Call (INTL)
Pendapatan (DOM)
1,375,960 886,244 13270 4004 1,990,518,890
1,472,697 914,310 14554 4131 2,183,049,759
1,570,466 943,264 15851 4262 2,377,632,367
1,669,276 973,135 17162 4397 2,574,288,577
1,769,139 1,003,953 18487 4536 2,773,040,488
1,870,067 1,035,746 19826 4680 2,973,910,432
1,972,070 1,068,546 21179 4828 3,176,920,982
2,075,160 1,102,385 22547 4981 3,382,094,948
2,179,349 1,137,295 23930 5138 3,589,455,385
2,284,648 1,173,311 25327 5301 3,799,025,594
2,391,069 1,210,468 26739 5469 4,010,829,125
2,498,624 1,248,801 28166 5642 4,224,889,775
2,607,326 1,288,348 29608 5821 4,441,231,600
2,717,185 1,329,147 31066 6005 4,659,878,908
2,828,216 1,371,239 32539 6195 4,880,856,268
2,940,430 1,414,663 34028 6392 5,104,188,512
3,053,839 1,459,463 35533 6594 5,329,900,734
3,168,457 1,505,681 37053 6803 5,558,018,296
3,284,297 1,553,363 38590 7018 5,788,566,833
3,401,371 1,602,555 40144 7240 6,021,572,249
3,519,693 1,653,305 41714 7470 6,257,060,727
Jasa Tambat Jasa Trminal
Total
Pendapatan (INTL) Pendapatan (DOM) Pendapatan (INTL)
1,461,492,620 13,759,595,920 53,174,646,855 70,386,254,284
1,507,775,228 14,726,971,467 54,858,583,771 73,276,380,225
1,555,523,517 15,704,656,017 56,595,847,671 76,233,659,571
1,604,783,900 16,692,759,429 58,388,127,316 79,259,959,221
1,655,604,263 17,691,392,734 60,237,164,947 82,357,202,431
1,708,034,007 18,700,668,146 62,144,757,978 85,527,370,563
1,762,124,098 19,720,699,074 64,112,760,744 88,772,504,897
1,817,927,117 20,751,600,135 66,143,086,303 92,094,708,502
1,875,497,308 21,793,487,170 68,237,708,295 95,496,148,159
1,934,890,635 22,846,477,252 70,398,662,864 98,979,056,345
1,996,164,831 23,910,688,702 72,628,050,631 102,545,733,290
2,059,379,462 24,986,241,104 74,928,038,743 106,198,549,084
2,124,595,976 26,073,255,314 77,300,862,973 109,939,945,862
2,191,877,769 27,171,853,477 79,748,829,898 113,772,440,052
2,261,290,245 28,282,159,038 82,274,319,142 117,698,624,693
2,332,900,878 29,404,296,760 84,879,785,684 121,721,171,834
2,406,779,279 30,538,392,735 87,567,762,247 125,842,834,996
2,482,997,265 31,684,574,398 90,340,861,764 130,066,451,723
2,561,628,925 32,842,970,541 93,201,779,911 134,394,946,210
2,642,750,696 34,013,711,330 96,153,297,732 138,831,332,007
2,726,441,434 35,196,928,319 99,198,284,342 143,378,714,822
Pendapatan PELINDO

Jenis Jasa Tarif (DOM)


Jasa Labuh/call 390,000
jasa tambat 520,000
Sewa lahan 150,000,000
Harga pendapatan lori 360,000,000

Ship Call
Tahun
Call (DOM)
2019 295
2020 129
2021 130
2022 130
2023 131
2024 131
2025 132
2026 132
2027 133
2028 133
2029 134
2030 135
2031 135
2032 136
2033 136
2034 137
2035 138
2036 138
2037 139
2038 140
2039 140
Tarif (INTL)
975,000
1,170,000

Ship Call Jasa Labuh Jaasa tambat


Call (INTL) Pendapatan (DOM) Pendapatan (INTL) Pendapatan (DOM)
207 115,173,844 201,554,227 153,565,125
90 50,318,530 88,057,427 67,091,373
91 50,525,048 88,418,834 67,366,731
91 50,734,243 88,784,925 67,645,657
91 50,946,150 89,155,762 67,928,199
92 51,160,803 89,531,405 68,214,404
92 51,378,238 89,911,917 68,504,318
93 51,598,492 90,297,362 68,797,990
93 51,821,601 90,687,802 69,095,469
93 52,047,602 91,083,304 69,396,803
94 52,276,532 91,483,932 69,702,043
94 52,508,430 91,889,753 70,011,240
95 52,743,333 92,300,834 70,324,445
95 52,981,282 92,717,243 70,641,709
96 53,222,314 93,139,050 70,963,086
96 53,466,471 93,566,324 71,288,628
96 53,713,792 93,999,137 71,618,390
97 53,964,320 94,437,559 71,952,426
97 54,218,094 94,881,665 72,290,792
98 54,475,158 95,331,527 72,633,544
98 54,735,554 95,787,220 72,980,739
Jaasa tambat
Total
Pendapatan (INTL)
241,865,072 712,158,268
105,668,913 311,136,243
106,102,601 312,413,214
106,541,910 313,706,736
106,986,914 315,017,025
107,437,686 316,344,298
107,894,301 317,688,775
108,356,834 319,050,679
108,825,363 320,430,235
109,299,965 321,827,674
109,780,718 323,243,225
110,267,703 324,677,126
110,761,000 326,129,612
111,260,692 327,600,925
111,766,860 329,091,309
112,279,589 330,601,012
112,798,964 332,130,283
113,325,071 333,679,377
113,857,998 335,248,549
114,397,832 336,838,061
114,944,664 338,448,177
Perhitungan Kelayakan Finansial

0.04
Cash Flow
No. Year Cost Revenue 10.0%
Cost
2018 330,064,289,500 330,064,289,500
1 2019 33,006,428,950 15,167,749,859,463 30,005,844,500
2 2020 34,326,686,108 16,046,982,953,100 28,369,162,073
3 2021 35,699,753,552 16,977,182,791,318 26,821,753,232
4 2022 37,127,743,694 17,961,303,777,302 25,358,748,511
5 2023 38,612,853,442 19,002,471,572,934 23,975,544,046
6 2024 33,006,428,950 20,103,993,026,190 18,631,268,666
7 2025 34,326,686,108 21,269,366,674,006 17,615,017,648
8 2026 35,699,753,552 22,502,293,853,961 16,654,198,504
9 2027 37,127,743,694 23,806,690,460,080 15,745,787,676
10 2028 38,612,853,442 25,186,699,380,086 14,886,926,530
11 2029 40,157,367,580 26,646,703,653,604 14,074,912,356
12 2030 41,763,662,283 28,191,340,393,112 13,307,189,864
13 2031 43,434,208,774 29,825,515,511,852 12,581,343,144
14 2032 45,171,577,125 31,554,419,305,479 11,895,088,063
15 2033 46,978,440,210 33,383,542,936,930 11,246,265,078
16 2034 48,857,577,819 35,318,695,876,883 10,632,832,438
17 2035 50,811,880,932 37,366,024,355,186 10,052,859,759
18 2036 52,844,356,169 39,532,030,881,872 9,504,521,954
19 2037 54,958,130,416 41,823,594,899,744 8,986,093,484
20 2038 57,156,455,632 44,247,994,634,144 8,495,942,930
21 2039 59,442,713,857 46,812,930,209,288 8,032,527,861
658,905,589,957

Measures of Finance Feasibility

Net Present Value - NPV (Rp)


Benefit Cost Ratio - BCR
FIRR
Present Value at Discount Rate
10.0% 20.0%
Revenue Cost Revenue
(330,064,289,500) (330,064,289,500)
13,788,863,508,603 27,505,357,458 12,639,791,549,552
13,261,969,382,727 23,837,976,464 11,143,738,161,875
12,755,208,708,729 20,659,579,602 9,824,758,559,790
12,267,812,155,797 17,904,968,988 8,661,894,182,727
11,799,039,790,460 15,517,639,790 7,636,667,138,042
11,348,179,953,267 11,053,786,273 6,732,786,587,668
10,914,548,178,392 9,579,948,103 5,935,889,886,998
10,497,486,154,521 8,302,621,689 5,233,314,362,749
10,096,360,725,451 7,195,605,464 4,613,896,103,320
9,710,562,928,871 6,236,191,402 4,067,792,564,452
9,339,507,071,877 5,404,699,215 3,586,326,171,390
8,982,629,841,808 4,684,072,653 3,161,846,432,386
8,639,389,451,068 4,059,529,633 2,787,608,372,530
8,309,264,814,612 3,518,259,015 2,457,665,356,232
7,991,754,758,875 3,049,157,813 2,166,774,595,292
7,686,377,260,921 2,642,603,438 1,910,313,841,101
7,392,668,716,666 2,290,256,313 1,684,207,937,194
7,110,183,237,067 1,984,888,805 1,484,864,065,096
6,838,491,971,201 1,720,236,964 1,309,114,654,505
6,577,182,455,212 1,490,872,035 1,154,167,050,658
6,325,857,986,136 1,292,089,097 1,017,559,139,103
194,977,416,776,623 178,638,251,118 97,863,353,284,058

Discount Rate

10% 20% 30%


93,487,772,966,613 98,880,912,423,160 23,667,013,455,885
295.91 547.83 518.18
41.7 38.2 35.2
t Rate
30.0%
Cost Revenue
(330,064,289,500)
25,389,560,731 11,667,499,891,895
20,311,648,585 9,495,256,185,266
16,249,318,868 7,727,438,685,170
12,999,455,094 6,288,751,716,432
10,399,564,075 5,117,918,078,966
6,838,146,890 4,165,069,101,800
5,470,517,512 3,389,620,614,302
4,376,414,009 2,758,544,366,991
3,501,131,207 2,244,961,277,540
2,800,904,966 1,826,996,584,851
2,240,723,973 1,486,848,149,433
1,792,579,178 1,210,028,216,693
1,434,063,343 984,746,348,006
1,147,250,674 801,407,237,065
917,800,539 652,202,022,298
734,240,431 530,775,688,335
587,392,345 431,956,390,345
469,913,876 351,535,172,504
375,931,101 286,086,698,263
300,744,881 232,823,356,878
240,595,905 189,476,532,244
118,337,302,278 61,320,401,493,531

Kriteria Penilaian Kesimpulan

+ Layak Secara Ekonomi


>0 Layak Secara Ekonomi
>Discount Rate Layak Secara Ekonomi
Perhitungan Kelayakan Finansial

Pelabuhan Oepoli
0.02
Cash Flow
No. Year Cost Revenue 10.0%
Cost
2018 330,064,289,500 330,064,289,500
1 2019 33,006,428,950 200,369,423,854 30,005,844,500
2 2020 33,666,557,529 209,466,195,697 27,823,601,264
3 2021 34,339,888,680 218,975,960,982 25,800,066,626
4 2022 35,026,686,453 228,917,469,610 23,923,698,144
5 2023 35,727,220,182 239,310,322,731 22,183,792,825
6 2024 33,006,428,950 250,175,011,383 18,631,268,666
7 2025 33,666,557,529 261,532,956,899 17,276,267,309
8 2026 34,339,888,680 273,406,553,143 16,019,811,505
9 2027 35,026,686,453 285,819,210,655 14,854,734,304
10 2028 35,727,220,182 298,795,402,819 13,774,389,991
11 2029 36,441,764,586 312,360,714,107 12,772,616,174
12 2030 37,170,599,878 326,541,890,528 11,843,698,634
13 2031 37,914,011,875 341,366,892,358 10,982,338,733
14 2032 38,672,292,113 356,864,949,271 10,183,623,189
15 2033 39,445,737,955 373,066,617,967 9,442,996,048
16 2034 40,234,652,714 390,003,842,423 8,756,232,699
17 2035 41,039,345,768 407,710,016,869 8,119,415,775
18 2036 41,860,132,684 426,220,051,635 7,528,912,810
19 2037 42,697,335,337 445,570,441,979 6,981,355,515
20 2038 43,551,282,044 465,799,340,045 6,473,620,568
21 2039 44,422,307,685 486,946,630,083 6,002,811,800
633,442,574,779

Measures of Finance Feasibility

Net Present Value - NPV (Rp)


Benefit Cost Ratio - BCR
FIRR
Present Value at Discount Rate
10.0% 20.0%
Revenue Cost Revenue
(330,064,289,500) 330,064,289,500 (330,064,289,500)
182,154,021,686 27,505,357,458 166,974,519,878
173,112,558,427 23,379,553,840 145,462,635,901
164,519,880,527 19,872,620,764 126,722,199,642
156,353,711,912 16,891,727,649 110,396,156,255
148,592,882,212 14,357,968,502 96,173,451,457
141,217,271,876 11,053,786,273 83,783,105,128
134,207,760,018 9,395,718,332 72,989,048,417
127,546,174,839 7,986,360,582 63,585,626,013
121,215,246,524 6,788,406,495 55,393,677,862
115,198,562,469 5,770,145,521 48,257,125,697
109,480,524,732 4,904,623,692 42,039,999,336
104,046,309,595 4,168,930,139 36,623,846,089
98,881,829,137 3,543,590,618 31,905,473,918
93,973,694,709 3,012,052,025 27,794,985,361
89,309,182,226 2,560,244,221 24,214,064,747
84,876,199,181 2,176,207,588 21,094,486,072
80,663,253,295 1,849,776,450 18,376,813,117
76,659,422,722 1,572,309,982 16,009,267,027
72,854,327,740 1,336,463,485 13,946,739,791
69,238,103,836 1,135,993,962 12,149,934,815
65,801,376,136 965,594,868 10,584,618,213
2,014,036,628,165 499,326,127,078 883,828,867,024

Discount Rate
10% 20% 30%
830,773,861,345.84 894,413,485,236.99 (19,234,186,652.32)
3.18 1.77 1.01
0.5 0.4 0.4
e
30.0%
Cost Revenue
330,064,289,500 (330,064,289,500)
25,389,560,731 154,130,326,042
19,921,039,958 123,944,494,495
15,630,354,429 99,670,441,958
12,263,816,552 80,150,369,248
9,622,379,141 64,453,227,702
6,838,146,890 51,830,310,953
5,365,315,252 41,679,543,901
4,209,708,890 33,516,765,534
3,303,002,360 26,952,635,914
2,591,586,467 21,674,065,835
2,033,398,612 17,429,283,403
1,595,435,834 14,015,825,284
1,251,803,501 11,270,879,809
982,184,285 9,063,521,348
770,636,901 7,288,465,552
604,653,568 5,861,047,606
474,420,492 4,713,183,975
372,237,617 3,790,125,021
292,063,361 3,047,843,613
229,157,406 2,450,935,164
179,800,426 1,970,928,939
443,805,191,746 446,869,002,856

Kriteria Penilaian Kesimpulan

+ Layak Secara Finansial


>0 Layak Secara Finansial
>Discount Rate Layak Secara Finansial
Perhitungan Kelayakan Finansial

Pelabuhan Oepoli
0.02
Cash Flow
No. Year Cost Revenue 10.0%
Cost
2018 38,583,792,500 38,583,792,500
1 2019 3,858,379,250 70,386,254,284 3,507,617,500
2 2020 3,935,546,835 73,276,380,225 3,252,518,045
3 2021 4,014,257,772 76,233,659,571 3,015,971,279
4 2022 4,094,542,927 79,259,959,221 2,796,627,913
5 2023 4,176,433,786 82,357,202,431 2,593,236,792
6 2024 3,858,379,250 85,527,370,563 2,177,954,499
7 2025 3,935,546,835 88,772,504,897 2,019,557,808
8 2026 4,014,257,772 92,094,708,502 1,872,680,877
9 2027 4,094,542,927 95,496,148,159 1,736,485,904
10 2028 4,176,433,786 98,979,056,345 1,610,196,020
11 2029 4,259,962,461 102,545,733,290 1,493,090,855
12 2030 4,345,161,711 106,198,549,084 1,384,502,429
13 2031 4,432,064,945 109,939,945,862 1,283,811,343
14 2032 4,520,706,244 113,772,440,052 1,190,443,246
15 2033 4,611,120,369 117,698,624,693 1,103,865,555
16 2034 4,703,342,776 121,721,171,834 1,023,584,424
17 2035 4,797,409,631 125,842,834,996 949,141,920
18 2036 4,893,357,824 130,066,451,723 880,113,417
19 2037 4,991,224,981 134,394,946,210 816,105,168
20 2038 5,091,049,480 138,831,332,007 756,752,065
21 2039 5,192,870,470 143,378,714,822 701,715,551
74,048,049,557

Measures of Finance Feasibility

Net Present Value - NPV (Rp)


Benefit Cost Ratio - BCR
FIRR
Present Value at Discount Rate
10.0% 20.0%
Revenue Cost Revenue
(38,583,792,500) 38,583,792,500 (38,583,792,500)
63,987,503,895 3,215,316,042 58,655,211,903
60,558,991,922 2,733,018,635 50,886,375,156
57,275,476,762 2,323,065,840 44,116,701,141
54,135,618,620 1,974,605,964 38,223,359,964
51,137,343,097 1,678,415,069 33,097,512,551
48,277,970,989 1,292,163,404 28,642,943,352
45,554,331,564 1,098,338,893 24,774,776,896
42,962,861,195 933,588,059 21,418,285,792
40,499,688,998 793,549,851 18,507,793,287
38,160,710,968 674,517,373 15,985,670,189
35,941,653,936 573,339,767 13,801,423,690
33,838,130,534 487,338,802 11,910,874,008
31,845,686,226 414,237,982 10,275,413,796
29,959,839,344 352,102,284 8,861,344,641
28,176,114,973 299,286,942 7,639,284,733
26,490,073,434 254,393,900 6,583,641,710
24,897,334,023 216,234,815 5,672,144,821
23,393,594,615 183,799,593 4,885,430,774
21,974,647,632 156,229,654 4,206,677,929
20,636,392,873 132,795,206 3,621,283,864
19,374,847,593 112,875,925 3,116,581,700
741,120,173,099 58,370,130,577 373,182,357,697

Discount Rate
10% 20% 30%
355,369,361,704.12 376,298,939,397.49 69,705,036,195.67
10.01 6.39 4.40
1.6 1.4 1.4
30.0%
Cost Revenue
38,583,792,500 (38,583,792,500)
2,967,984,038 54,143,272,526
2,328,725,938 43,358,804,867
1,827,154,197 34,698,980,233
1,433,613,293 27,751,114,884
1,124,835,046 22,181,189,096
799,364,394 17,719,236,573
627,193,601 14,147,347,083
492,105,749 11,289,841,872
386,113,741 9,005,248,131
302,950,782 7,179,757,664
237,699,844 5,721,906,010
186,502,955 4,558,252,257
146,333,087 3,629,877,249
114,815,192 2,889,549,510
90,085,766 2,299,434,820
70,682,678 1,829,247,574
55,458,716 1,454,760,513
43,513,762 1,156,604,696
34,141,567 919,304,199
26,787,999 730,500,377
21,018,276 580,329,015
51,879,854,845 228,080,437,634

Kriteria Penilaian Kesimpulan

+ Layak Secara Finansial


>0 Layak Secara Finansial
>Discount Rate Layak Secara Finansial
Perhitungan Kelayakan Finansial

Pelabuhan Oepoli
0.02
Cash Flow
No. Year Cost Revenue 10.0%
Cost
2018 106,028,417,000 106,028,417,000
1 2019 10,602,841,700 712,158,268 9,638,947,000
2 2020 10,814,898,534 311,136,243 8,937,932,673
3 2021 11,031,196,505 312,413,214 8,287,901,206
4 2022 11,251,820,435 313,706,736 7,685,144,754
5 2023 11,476,856,843 315,017,025 7,126,225,136
6 2024 10,602,841,700 316,344,298 5,985,027,724
7 2025 10,814,898,534 317,688,775 5,549,752,981
8 2026 11,031,196,505 319,050,679 5,146,134,582
9 2027 11,251,820,435 320,430,235 4,771,870,249
10 2028 11,476,856,843 321,827,674 4,424,825,140
11 2029 11,706,393,980 323,243,225 4,103,019,675
12 2030 11,940,521,860 324,677,126 3,804,618,244
13 2031 12,179,332,297 326,129,612 3,527,918,735
14 2032 12,422,918,943 327,600,925 3,271,342,827
15 2033 12,671,377,322 329,091,309 3,033,426,985
16 2034 12,924,804,868 330,601,012 2,812,814,114
17 2035 13,183,300,966 332,130,283 2,608,245,815
18 2036 13,446,966,985 333,679,377 2,418,555,210
19 2037 13,715,906,325 335,248,549 2,242,660,286
20 2038 13,990,224,451 336,838,061 2,079,557,719
21 2039 14,270,028,940 338,448,177 1,928,317,158
203,484,338,054

Measures of Finance Feasibility

Net Present Value - NPV (Rp)


Benefit Cost Ratio - BCR
FIRR
Present Value at Discount Rate
10.0% 20.0%
Revenue Cost Revenue
(106,028,417,000) 106,028,417,000 (106,028,417,000)
647,416,608 8,835,701,417 593,465,224
257,137,391 7,510,346,204 216,066,836
234,720,672 6,383,794,274 180,794,684
214,265,922 5,426,225,133 151,286,042
195,600,788 4,612,291,363 126,598,277
178,568,109 3,550,870,232 105,943,065
163,024,574 3,018,239,698 88,661,107
148,839,496 2,565,503,743 74,200,991
135,893,700 2,180,678,181 62,101,526
124,078,500 1,853,576,454 51,976,966
113,294,779 1,575,539,986 43,504,655
103,452,138 1,339,208,988 36,414,700
94,468,132 1,138,327,640 30,481,339
86,267,563 967,578,494 25,515,711
78,781,843 822,441,720 21,359,827
71,948,413 699,075,462 17,881,512
65,710,206 594,214,143 14,970,189
60,015,169 505,082,021 12,533,343
54,815,817 429,319,718 10,493,569
50,068,832 364,921,760 8,786,102
45,734,695 310,183,496 7,356,750
(102,950,048,352) 160,401,353,630 (104,155,381,336)

Discount Rate
10% 20% 30%
(104,220,187,861.95) (104,148,024,585.40) (105,338,594,447.32)
-0.51 -0.65 -0.73
Err:523 Err:523 Err:523
e
30.0%
Cost Revenue
106,028,417,000 (106,028,417,000)
8,156,032,077 547,814,053
6,399,348,245 184,104,286
5,021,027,085 142,199,915
3,939,575,097 109,837,448
3,091,051,230 84,843,244
2,196,656,570 65,539,013
1,723,530,539 50,628,890
1,352,308,577 39,112,255
1,061,042,114 30,216,442
832,509,967 23,344,784
653,200,128 18,036,512
512,510,869 13,935,786
402,123,913 10,767,792
315,512,609 8,320,285
247,556,047 6,429,336
194,236,283 4,968,331
152,400,776 3,839,472
119,575,993 2,967,215
93,821,164 2,293,207
73,613,529 1,772,369
57,758,307 1,369,878
142,566,049,809 (104,677,446,366)

Kriteria Penilaian Kesimpulan

+ Tidak Layak Secara Finansial


>0 Tidak Layak Secara Finansial
>Discount Rate Tidak Layak Secara Finansial
Kriteria Kelayakan Investasi Finansial
No Pelabuhan Nilai Investasi
NPV (+)
1 Sri Payung Batu Anam 106,028,417,000 -104,220,187,862
2 Sri Bintan Pura 38,583,792,500 355,369,361,704
3 Tanjung Mocoh 70200295000 -64,060,613,302
4 Dompak 34009800000 -14,145,159,272
iteria Kelayakan Investasi Finansial
Kesimpulan
BCR (> 0) IRR (>10%)
-1 Err:523 Tidak Layak Secara Finansial
10 2 Layak Secara Finansial
-0.39 -0.14 Tidak Layak Secara Finansial
0.07 0.02 Tidak Layak Secara Finansial
No PENDAPATAN PELABUHAN LAIN Satuan Keterangan
1 Jasa Labuh Rp61.00 Per-GT
2 Jasa Tambat Rp46.00 Per-GT
3 Jasa Pelayanan Dermaga
a Barang Ekspor dan Impor Rp1,400.00 Per-ton
b Barang Antar Pelabuhan dalam negeri Rp600.00 Per-ton
4 Jasa Penumpukan
a Chasis (20 ft) Rp3,000.00 Per-unit per-hari
b Gudang Tertutup Rp200.00 Per-TON
c Lapangan Penumpukan Rp200.00 Per-TON
5 Jasa Sarana dan Prasarana
a Forklft 25 Ton Rp35,000.00 Per-unit per-jam
b Mobil Crane 20 Ton Rp53,000.00 Per-unit per-jam
6 Jasa Terminal
b Pas truk trailer Rp6,500.00 Per-unit berikut pengemudi
c Pas truk besar Rp6,000.00 Per-unit berikut pengemudi
No PENDAPATAN PELABUHAN LAIN Satuan Keterangan

1 Jasa Labuh Rp61.00 Per-GT


2 Jasa Tambat Rp46.00 Per-GT
3 Terminal Penumpang Tipe A
Penumpang Rp3,000.00 Per-orang
Pengantar Penjemput Rp3,000.00 Per-orang
PAS Mobil (150/ hari) Rp5,000.00 Per-Unit Persekali masuk
PAS Motor (100/hari) Rp4,000.00 Per-Unit Persekali masuk
4 Jasa Air
120% Tarif PDAM Rp18,000 Per-orang
Tanjung Mocoh
B/M GRT
Tahun Ship Call Truk
(TON) 817
2020 265,881 129 105,430
2021 312,641 130 105,862
2022 362,085 130 106,301
2023 414,368 131 106,745
2024 469,652 131 107,195
2025 528,109 132 107,650
2026 589,923 132 108,112
2027 655,286 133 108,579
2028 724,401 133 109,053
2029 797,484 134 109,532
2030 874,764 135 110,018
2031 956,481 135 110,510
2032 1,042,890 136 111,009
2033 1,134,261 136 111,514
2034 1,230,879 137 112,026
2035 1,333,045 138 112,544
2036 1,441,078 138 113,069
2037 1,555,315 139 113,600
2038 1,676,113 140 114,139
2039 1,803,848 140 114,685

Pendapatan TJ. Mocoh


Jasa Pelayanan Dermaga
No Tahun
Jasa Labuh Jasa TambatBarang Ekspor dan Impor
30%
1 2020 6,431,217 4,849,770 111,669,970
2 2021 6,457,612 4,869,675 131,309,265
3 2022 6,484,350 4,889,837 152,075,874
4 2023 6,511,433 4,910,261 174,034,556
5 2024 6,538,868 4,930,950 197,253,789
6 2025 6,566,659 4,951,907 221,805,985
7 2026 6,594,809 4,973,135 247,767,717
8 2027 6,623,325 4,994,639 275,219,957
9 2028 6,652,210 5,016,421 304,248,330
10 2029 6,681,470 5,038,485 334,943,380
11 2030 6,711,109 5,060,836 367,400,853
12 2031 6,741,132 5,083,476 401,721,995
13 2032 6,771,544 5,106,410 438,013,871
14 2033 6,802,350 5,129,641 476,389,698
15 2034 6,833,556 5,153,173 516,969,194
16 2035 6,865,166 5,177,011 559,878,959
17 2036 6,897,186 5,201,157 605,252,866
18 2037 6,929,621 5,225,616 653,232,478
19 2038 6,962,476 5,250,392 703,967,494
20 2039 6,995,758 5,275,489 757,616,212

Pendapatan TJ. Mocoh


Jasa Pelayanan Dermaga Jasa Terminal Penumpang T
No Tahun
Jasa Labuh Jasa Tambat Penumpang

1 2020 50,396,980 38,004,280 2,742,930,000


2 2021 51,992,740 39,207,640 2,829,792,000
3 2022 53,639,252 40,449,272 2,919,405,000
4 2023 55,337,980 41,730,280 3,011,859,000
5 2024 57,090,388 43,051,768 3,107,238,000
6 2025 58,898,428 44,415,208 3,205,638,000
7 2026 60,763,564 45,821,704 3,307,155,000
8 2027 62,687,748 47,272,728 3,411,885,000
9 2028 64,673,176 48,769,936 3,519,936,000
10 2029 66,721,068 50,314,248 3,631,401,000
11 2030 68,834,108 51,907,688 3,746,403,000
12 2031 71,014,004 53,551,544 3,865,044,000
13 2032 73,262,708 55,247,288 3,987,441,000
14 2033 75,582,904 56,996,944 4,113,717,000
15 2034 77,976,300 58,801,800 4,243,989,000
16 2035 80,445,824 60,664,064 4,378,389,000
17 2036 82,993,428 62,585,208 4,517,043,000
18 2037 85,621,552 64,567,072 4,660,089,000
19 2038 88,333,124 66,611,864 4,807,665,000
20 2039 91,130,340 68,721,240 4,959,915,000
Dompak
Penumpang
Tahun
Naik Turun
2020 707,765 206,545
2021 730,179 213,085
2022 753,302 219,833
2023 777,158 226,795
2024 801,769 233,977
2025 827,159 241,387
2026 853,354 249,031
2027 880,378 256,917
2028 908,258 265,054
2029 937,020 273,447
2030 966,694 282,107
2031 997,307 291,041
2032 1,028,890 300,257
2033 1,061,473 309,766
2034 1,095,088 319,575
2035 1,129,767 329,696
2036 1,165,544 340,137
2037 1,202,455 350,908
2038 1,240,534 362,021
2039 1,279,820 373,485

Jasa Sarana dan Prasarana


Chasis Trailer (20 ft) Forklft 25 Ton Mobil Crane 20 Ton Pas truk besar (TON) Gudang Tertutup
360 8640 8640 14 80%
Rp1,080,000.00 Rp302,400,000 Rp457,920,000.00 113,948,949 42,540,941
Rp1,080,000.00 Rp302,400,000 Rp457,920,000.00 133,989,045 50,022,577
Rp1,080,000.00 Rp302,400,000 Rp457,920,000.00 155,179,463 57,933,666
Rp1,080,000.00 Rp302,400,000 Rp457,920,000.00 177,586,282 66,298,878
Rp1,080,000.00 Rp302,400,000 Rp457,920,000.00 201,279,376 75,144,301
Rp1,080,000.00 Rp302,400,000 Rp457,920,000.00 226,332,638 84,497,518
Rp1,080,000.00 Rp302,400,000 Rp457,920,000.00 252,824,201 94,387,702
Rp1,080,000.00 Rp302,400,000 Rp457,920,000.00 280,836,691 104,845,698
Rp1,080,000.00 Rp302,400,000 Rp457,920,000.00 310,457,480 115,904,126
Rp1,080,000.00 Rp302,400,000 Rp457,920,000.00 341,778,959 127,597,478
Rp1,080,000.00 Rp302,400,000 Rp457,920,000.00 374,898,829 139,962,230
Rp1,080,000.00 Rp302,400,000 Rp457,920,000.00 409,920,403 153,036,950
Rp1,080,000.00 Rp302,400,000 Rp457,920,000.00 446,952,930 166,862,427
Rp1,080,000.00 Rp302,400,000 Rp457,920,000.00 486,111,936 181,481,790
Rp1,080,000.00 Rp302,400,000 Rp457,920,000.00 527,519,586 196,940,645
Rp1,080,000.00 Rp302,400,000 Rp457,920,000.00 571,305,060 213,287,222
Rp1,080,000.00 Rp302,400,000 Rp457,920,000.00 617,604,965 230,572,520
Rp1,080,000.00 Rp302,400,000 Rp457,920,000.00 666,563,753 248,850,468
Rp1,080,000.00 Rp302,400,000 Rp457,920,000.00 718,334,178 268,178,093
Rp1,080,000.00 Rp302,400,000 Rp457,920,000.00 773,077,768 288,615,700

Jasa Terminal Penumpang Tipe A


Pengantar PAS Mobil PAS Motor Jumlah
Penjemput
25% 18000 28800
685,732,500 Rp90,000,000 Rp115,200,000 3,722,263,760
707,448,000 Rp90,000,000 Rp115,200,000 3,833,640,380
729,851,250 Rp90,000,000 Rp115,200,000 3,948,544,774
752,964,750 Rp90,000,000 Rp115,200,000 4,067,092,010
776,809,500 Rp90,000,000 Rp115,200,000 4,189,389,656
801,409,500 Rp90,000,000 Rp115,200,000 4,315,561,136
826,788,750 Rp90,000,000 Rp115,200,000 4,445,729,018
852,971,250 Rp90,000,000 Rp115,200,000 4,580,016,726
879,984,000 Rp90,000,000 Rp115,200,000 4,718,563,112
907,850,250 Rp90,000,000 Rp115,200,000 4,861,486,566
936,600,750 Rp90,000,000 Rp115,200,000 5,008,945,546
966,261,000 Rp90,000,000 Rp115,200,000 5,161,070,548
996,860,250 Rp90,000,000 Rp115,200,000 5,318,011,246
1,028,429,250 Rp90,000,000 Rp115,200,000 5,479,926,098
1,060,997,250 Rp90,000,000 Rp115,200,000 5,646,964,350
1,094,597,250 Rp90,000,000 Rp115,200,000 5,819,296,138
1,129,260,750 Rp90,000,000 Rp115,200,000 5,997,082,386
1,165,022,250 Rp90,000,000 Rp115,200,000 6,180,499,874
1,201,916,250 Rp90,000,000 Rp115,200,000 6,369,726,238
1,239,978,750 Rp90,000,000 Rp115,200,000 6,564,945,330
GRT No Jenis Kapal
Ship Call
200
4,131 826,180 1 KAPAL DOMESTIK
4,262 852,340 2 KAPAL INTERNASIONAL
4,397 879,332
4,536 907,180
4,680 935,908
4,828 965,548
4,981 996,124
5,138 1,027,668
5,301 1,060,216
5,469 1,093,788
5,642 1,128,428
5,821 1,164,164
6,005 1,201,028
6,195 1,239,064
6,392 1,278,300
6,594 1,318,784
6,803 1,360,548
7,018 1,403,632
7,240 1,448,084
7,470 1,493,940

Lapangan Penumpukan Jumlah


20%
10,635,235 1,051,476,083
12,505,644 1,100,553,818
14,483,417 1,152,446,607
16,574,720 1,207,316,131
18,786,075 1,265,333,359
21,124,380 1,326,679,086
23,596,925 1,391,544,490
26,211,425 1,460,131,735
28,976,031 1,532,654,599
31,899,370 1,609,339,143
34,990,557 1,690,424,414
38,259,238 1,776,163,194
41,715,607 1,866,822,790
45,370,447 1,962,685,863
49,235,161 2,064,051,315
53,321,806 2,171,235,224
57,643,130 2,284,571,824
62,212,617 2,404,414,553
67,044,523 2,531,137,156
72,153,925 2,665,134,852
Bobot Dimensi Kapal (m) LOAD FACTOR
Panjang Lebar Draught
100 GT - - - 50
100 GT - - - 50
Perhitungan Kelayakan Finansial

Pelabuhan Tj.Mocoh
0.04 diambl dari shet ='PEREKONOMIAN KOTA TJ PINANG'!O27
Cash Flow
No. Year Cost Revenue 10.0%
Cost
2018 70,200,295,000 70,200,295,000
1 2019 7,020,029,500 15,167,749,859 6,381,845,000
2 2020 7,300,830,680 16,046,982,953,100 6,033,744,364
3 2021 7,592,863,907 16,977,182,791,318 5,704,631,035
4 2022 7,896,578,463 17,961,303,777,302 5,393,469,342
5 2023 8,212,441,602 19,002,471,572,934 5,099,280,105
6 2024 8,540,939,266 20,103,993,026,190 4,821,137,554
7 2025 8,882,576,837 21,269,366,674,006 4,558,166,415
8 2026 9,237,879,910 22,502,293,853,961 4,309,539,156
9 2027 9,607,395,107 23,806,690,460,080 4,074,473,383
10 2028 9,991,690,911 25,186,699,380,086 3,852,229,381
11 2029 10,391,358,547 26,646,703,653,604 3,642,107,778
12 2030 10,807,012,889 28,191,340,393,112 3,443,447,354
13 2031 11,239,293,405 29,825,515,511,852 3,255,622,953
14 2032 11,688,865,141 31,554,419,305,479 3,078,043,519
15 2033 12,156,419,747 33,383,542,936,930 2,910,150,236
16 2034 12,642,676,536 35,318,695,876,883 2,751,414,769
17 2035 13,148,383,598 37,366,024,355,186 2,601,337,600
18 2036 13,674,318,942 39,532,030,881,872 2,459,446,458
19 2037 14,221,291,700 41,823,594,899,744 2,325,294,833
20 2038 14,790,143,368 44,247,994,634,144 2,198,460,569
21 2039 15,381,749,102 46,812,930,209,288 2,078,544,538
149,094,136,801

Measures of Finance Feasibility

Net Present Value - NPV (Rp)


Benefit Cost Ratio - BCR
FIRR
AN KOTA TJ PINANG'!O27
Present Value at Discount Rate
10.0% 20.0% 30.0%
Revenue Cost Revenue Cost
(70,200,295,000) (70,200,295,000)
13,788,863,508 5,850,024,583 12,639,791,549 5,400,022,692
13,261,969,382,727 5,070,021,306 11,143,738,161,875 4,320,018,154
12,755,208,708,729 4,394,018,465 9,824,758,559,790 3,456,014,523
12,267,812,155,797 3,808,149,336 8,661,894,182,727 2,764,811,618
11,799,039,790,460 3,300,396,091 7,636,667,138,042 2,211,849,295
11,348,179,953,267 2,860,343,279 6,732,786,587,668 1,769,479,436
10,914,548,178,392 2,478,964,175 5,935,889,886,998 1,415,583,549
10,497,486,154,521 2,148,435,619 5,233,314,362,749 1,132,466,839
10,096,360,725,451 1,861,977,536 4,613,896,103,320 905,973,471
9,710,562,928,871 1,613,713,865 4,067,792,564,452 724,778,777
9,339,507,071,877 1,398,552,016 3,586,326,171,390 579,823,022
8,982,629,841,808 1,212,078,414 3,161,846,432,386 463,858,417
8,639,389,451,068 1,050,467,959 2,787,608,372,530 371,086,734
8,309,264,814,612 910,405,564 2,457,665,356,232 296,869,387
7,991,754,758,875 789,018,156 2,166,774,595,292 237,495,510
7,686,377,260,921 683,815,735 1,910,313,841,101 189,996,408
7,392,668,716,666 592,640,304 1,684,207,937,194 151,997,126
7,110,183,237,067 513,621,596 1,484,864,065,096 121,597,701
6,838,491,971,201 445,138,717 1,309,114,654,505 97,278,161
6,577,182,455,212 385,786,888 1,154,167,050,658 77,822,529
6,325,857,986,136 334,348,636 1,017,559,139,103 62,258,023
181,462,206,126,028 41,367,569,603 85,496,065,520,554 26,688,823,347

Discount Rate
Kriteria Penilaian
10% 20% 30%
81,224,841,829,209 86,513,624,659,657 14,960,852,533,459 +
1,217.10 2,066.74 1,870.61 >0
13.3 12.1 11.1 >Discount Rate
30.0%
Revenue
(70,200,295,000)
11,667,499,892
9,495,256,185,266
7,727,438,685,170
6,288,751,716,432
5,117,918,078,966
4,165,069,101,800
3,389,620,614,302
2,758,544,366,991
2,244,961,277,540
1,826,996,584,851
1,486,848,149,433
1,210,028,216,693
984,746,348,006
801,407,237,065
652,202,022,298
530,775,688,335
431,956,390,345
351,535,172,504
286,086,698,263
232,823,356,878
189,476,532,244
49,924,433,096,028

Kesimpulan

Layak Secara Ekonomi


Layak Secara Ekonomi
Layak Secara Ekonomi
Perhitungan Kelayakan Finansial

Pelabuhan Tj.Mocoh
0.04
Cash Flow
No. Year Cost Revenue 10.0%
Cost
2018 70,200,295,000 70,200,295,000
1 2019 7,020,029,500 1,051,476,083 6,381,845,000
2 2020 7,300,830,680 1,100,553,818 6,033,744,364
3 2021 7,592,863,907 1,152,446,607 5,704,631,035
4 2022 7,896,578,463 1,207,316,131 5,393,469,342
5 2023 8,212,441,602 1,265,333,359 5,099,280,105
6 2024 8,540,939,266 1,326,679,086 4,821,137,554
7 2025 8,882,576,837 1,391,544,490 4,558,166,415
8 2026 9,237,879,910 1,460,131,735 4,309,539,156
9 2027 9,607,395,107 1,532,654,599 4,074,473,383
10 2028 9,991,690,911 1,609,339,143 3,852,229,381
11 2029 10,391,358,547 1,690,424,414 3,642,107,778
12 2030 10,807,012,889 1,776,163,194 3,443,447,354
13 2031 11,239,293,405 1,866,822,790 3,255,622,953
14 2032 11,688,865,141 1,962,685,863 3,078,043,519
15 2033 12,156,419,747 2,064,051,315 2,910,150,236
16 2034 12,642,676,536 2,171,235,224 2,751,414,769
17 2035 13,148,383,598 2,284,571,824 2,601,337,600
18 2036 13,674,318,942 2,404,414,553 2,459,446,458
19 2037 14,221,291,700 2,531,137,156 2,325,294,833
20 2038 14,790,143,368 2,665,134,852 2,198,460,569
21 2039 15,381,749,102 - 2,078,544,538
149,094,136,801

Measures of Finance Feasibility

Net Present Value - NPV (Rp)


Benefit Cost Ratio - BCR
FIRR
Present Value at Discount Rate
10.0% 20.0% 30.0%
Revenue Cost Revenue Cost
(70,200,295,000) (70,200,295,000)
955,887,349 5,850,024,583 876,230,070 5,400,022,692
909,548,610 5,070,021,306 764,273,485 4,320,018,154
865,850,193 4,394,018,465 666,925,120 3,456,014,523
824,613,162 3,808,149,336 582,231,930 2,764,811,618
785,672,464 3,300,396,091 508,509,098 2,211,849,295
748,875,757 2,860,343,279 444,302,142 1,769,479,436
714,082,352 2,478,964,175 388,354,528 1,415,583,549
681,162,230 2,148,435,619 339,579,975 1,132,466,839
649,995,165 1,861,977,536 297,038,729 905,973,471
620,469,907 1,613,713,865 259,917,256 724,778,777
592,483,445 1,398,552,016 227,510,817 579,823,022
565,940,331 1,212,078,414 199,208,522 463,858,417
540,752,065 1,050,467,959 174,480,499 371,086,734
516,836,530 910,405,564 152,866,862 296,869,387
494,117,474 789,018,156 133,968,224 237,495,510
472,524,045 683,815,735 117,437,538 189,996,408
451,990,356 592,640,304 102,973,063 151,997,126
432,455,092 513,621,596 90,312,303 121,597,701
413,861,151 445,138,717 79,226,780 97,278,161
396,155,314 385,786,888 69,517,520 77,822,529
- 334,348,636 - 62,258,023
(57,567,022,007) 41,367,569,603 (63,725,430,538) 26,688,823,347

Discount Rate
Kriteria Penilaian
10% 20% 30%
(64,060,613,302) (63,725,430,538) (68,564,108,663) +
-0.39 -1.54 -2.48 >0
-0.1 -0.2 Err:523 >Discount Rate
30.0%
Revenue
(70,200,295,000)
808,827,756
651,215,277
524,554,669
422,714,937
340,791,062
274,856,346
221,765,319
178,996,781
144,528,709
116,738,485
94,323,277
76,236,445
61,636,719
49,847,555
40,324,613
32,629,712
26,409,965
21,381,049
17,313,784
14,023,362
-
(66,081,179,178)

Kesimpulan

Tidak Layak Secara Finansial


Tidak Layak Secara Finansial
Tidak Layak Secara Finansial
Perhitungan Kelayakan Finansial

Pelabuhan DOMPAK
0.04
Cash Flow
No. Year Cost Revenue 10.0%
Cost
2018 34,009,800,000 34,009,800,000
1 2019 3,400,980,000 15,167,749,859 3,091,800,000
2 2020 3,537,019,200 16,046,982,953,100 2,923,156,364
3 2021 3,678,499,968 16,977,182,791,318 2,763,711,471
4 2022 3,825,639,967 17,961,303,777,302 2,612,963,573
5 2023 3,978,665,565 19,002,471,572,934 2,470,438,287
6 2024 4,137,812,188 20,103,993,026,190 2,335,687,108
7 2025 4,303,324,676 21,269,366,674,006 2,208,285,993
8 2026 4,475,457,663 22,502,293,853,961 2,087,834,029
9 2027 4,654,475,969 23,806,690,460,080 1,973,952,173
10 2028 4,840,655,008 25,186,699,380,086 1,866,282,055
11 2029 5,034,281,208 26,646,703,653,604 1,764,484,852
12 2030 5,235,652,456 28,191,340,393,112 1,668,240,223
13 2031 5,445,078,555 29,825,515,511,852 1,577,245,302
14 2032 5,662,881,697 31,554,419,305,479 1,491,213,740
15 2033 5,889,396,965 33,383,542,936,930 1,409,874,809
16 2034 6,124,972,843 35,318,695,876,883 1,332,972,547
17 2035 6,369,971,757 37,366,024,355,186 1,260,264,953
18 2036 6,624,770,627 39,532,030,881,872 1,191,523,228
19 2037 6,889,761,452 41,823,594,899,744 1,126,531,052
20 2038 7,165,351,911 44,247,994,634,144 1,065,083,904
21 2039 7,451,965,987 46,812,930,209,288 1,006,988,418
72,231,345,663

Measures of Finance Feasibility

Net Present Value - NPV (Rp)


Benefit Cost Ratio - BCR
FIRR
Present Value at Discount Rate
10.0% 20.0% 30.0%
Revenue Cost Revenue Cost
(34,009,800,000) (34,009,800,000)
13,788,863,508 2,834,150,000 12,639,791,549 2,616,138,462
13,261,969,382,727 2,456,263,333 11,143,738,161,875 2,092,910,769
12,755,208,708,729 2,128,761,556 9,824,758,559,790 1,674,328,615
12,267,812,155,797 1,844,926,681 8,661,894,182,727 1,339,462,892
11,799,039,790,460 1,598,936,457 7,636,667,138,042 1,071,570,314
11,348,179,953,267 1,385,744,930 6,732,786,587,668 857,256,251
10,914,548,178,392 1,200,978,939 5,935,889,886,998 685,805,001
10,497,486,154,521 1,040,848,414 5,233,314,362,749 548,644,001
10,096,360,725,451 902,068,625 4,613,896,103,320 438,915,201
9,710,562,928,871 781,792,809 4,067,792,564,452 351,132,160
9,339,507,071,877 677,553,767 3,586,326,171,390 280,905,728
8,982,629,841,808 587,213,265 3,161,846,432,386 224,724,583
8,639,389,451,068 508,918,163 2,787,608,372,530 179,779,666
8,309,264,814,612 441,062,408 2,457,665,356,232 143,823,733
7,991,754,758,875 382,254,087 2,166,774,595,292 115,058,986
7,686,377,260,921 331,286,875 1,910,313,841,101 92,047,189
7,392,668,716,666 287,115,292 1,684,207,937,194 73,637,751
7,110,183,237,067 248,833,253 1,484,864,065,096 58,910,201
6,838,491,971,201 215,655,486 1,309,114,654,505 47,128,161
6,577,182,455,212 186,901,421 1,154,167,050,658 37,702,529
6,325,857,986,136 161,981,232 1,017,559,139,103 30,162,023
181,498,396,621,028 20,041,265,762 85,532,256,015,554 12,929,882,193

Discount Rate
Kriteria Penilaian
10% 20% 30%
81,261,032,324,209 86,549,815,154,657 14,997,043,028,459 +
2,512.74 4,267.81 3,863.97 >0
19.4 17.7 16.3 >Discount Rate
30.0%
Revenue
(34,009,800,000)
11,667,499,892
9,495,256,185,266
7,727,438,685,170
6,288,751,716,432
5,117,918,078,966
4,165,069,101,800
3,389,620,614,302
2,758,544,366,991
2,244,961,277,540
1,826,996,584,851
1,486,848,149,433
1,210,028,216,693
984,746,348,006
801,407,237,065
652,202,022,298
530,775,688,335
431,956,390,345
351,535,172,504
286,086,698,263
232,823,356,878
189,476,532,244
49,960,623,591,028

Kesimpulan

Layak Secara Ekonomi


Layak Secara Ekonomi
Layak Secara Ekonomi
Perhitungan Kelayakan Finansial

Pelabuhan DOMPAK
0.04
Cash Flow
No. Year Cost Revenue 10.0%
Cost
2019 34,009,800,000 34,009,800,000
1 2020 3,400,980,000 3,722,263,760 3,091,800,000
2 2021 3,537,019,200 3,833,640,380 2,923,156,364
3 2022 3,678,499,968 3,948,544,774 2,763,711,471
4 2023 3,825,639,967 4,067,092,010 2,612,963,573
5 2024 3,978,665,565 4,189,389,656 2,470,438,287
6 2025 4,137,812,188 4,315,561,136 2,335,687,108
7 2026 4,303,324,676 4,445,729,018 2,208,285,993
8 2027 4,475,457,663 4,580,016,726 2,087,834,029
9 2028 4,654,475,969 4,718,563,112 1,973,952,173
10 2029 4,840,655,008 4,861,486,566 1,866,282,055
11 2030 5,034,281,208 5,008,945,546 1,764,484,852
12 2031 5,235,652,456 5,161,070,548 1,668,240,223
13 2032 5,445,078,555 5,318,011,246 1,577,245,302
14 2033 5,662,881,697 5,479,926,098 1,491,213,740
15 2034 5,889,396,965 5,646,964,350 1,409,874,809
16 2035 6,124,972,843 5,819,296,138 1,332,972,547
17 2036 6,369,971,757 5,997,082,386 1,260,264,953
18 2037 6,624,770,627 6,180,499,874 1,191,523,228
19 2038 6,889,761,452 6,369,726,238 1,126,531,052
20 2039 7,165,351,911 6,564,945,330 1,065,083,904
72,231,345,663

Measures of Finance Feasibility

Net Present Value - NPV (Rp)


Benefit Cost Ratio - BCR
FIRR
Present Value at Discount Rate
10.0% 20.0% 30.0%
Revenue Cost Revenue Cost
(34,009,800,000) (34,009,800,000)
3,383,876,145 2,834,150,000 3,101,886,467 2,616,138,462
3,168,297,835 2,456,263,333 2,662,250,264 2,092,910,769
2,966,600,131 2,128,761,556 2,285,037,485 1,674,328,615
2,777,878,567 1,844,926,681 1,961,367,675 1,339,462,892
2,601,281,368 1,598,936,457 1,683,621,743 1,071,570,314
2,436,021,755 1,385,744,930 1,445,272,693 857,256,251
2,281,361,937 1,200,978,939 1,240,721,377 685,805,001
2,136,611,604 1,040,848,414 1,065,165,510 548,644,001
2,001,131,378 902,068,625 914,489,143 438,915,201
1,874,313,522 781,792,809 785,157,222 351,132,160
1,755,604,857 677,553,767 674,143,892 280,905,728
1,644,476,129 587,213,265 578,848,408 224,724,583
1,540,438,429 508,918,163 497,041,960 179,779,666
1,443,035,813 441,062,408 426,812,625 143,823,733
1,351,838,368 382,254,087 366,518,884 115,058,986
1,266,448,389 331,286,875 314,753,466 92,047,189
1,186,490,779 287,115,292 270,307,958 73,637,751
1,111,617,228 248,833,253 232,145,983 58,910,201
1,041,501,139 215,655,486 199,377,934 47,128,161
975,837,292 186,901,421 171,240,384 37,702,529
4,934,862,666 20,041,265,762 (13,133,638,928) 12,929,882,193

Discount Rate
Kriteria Penilaian
10% 20% 30%
(14,145,159,272) (13,133,638,928) (28,370,307,960) +
0.07 -0.66 -1.57 >0
0.0 -0.1 -0.1 >Discount Rate
30.0%
Revenue
(34,009,800,000)
2,863,279,815
2,268,426,260
1,797,243,866
1,424,001,964
1,128,324,438
894,081,605
708,499,456
561,461,841
444,958,592
352,643,243
279,492,034
221,523,379
175,584,296
139,177,096
110,322,669
87,453,425
69,327,099
54,959,562
43,570,954
34,543,319
(20,350,925,084)

Kesimpulan

Tidak Layak Secara Finansial


Tidak Layak Secara Finansial
Tidak Layak Secara Finansial