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DIGITAL NOTES

ON
PROBABILITY & STATISTICS

B.TECH II YEAR - I SEM


(2018-19)

DEPARTMENT OF INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY

MALLA REDDY COLLEGE OF ENGINEERING & TECHNOLOGY


(Autonomous Institution – UGC, Govt. of India)
(Affiliated to JNTUH, Hyderabad, Approved by AICTE - Accredited by NBA & NAAC – ‘A’ Grade - ISO 9001:2015 Certified)
Maisammaguda, Dhulapally (Post Via. Hakimpet), Secunderabad – 500100, Telangana State, INDIA.

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MALLA REDDY COLLEGE OF ENGINEERING & TECHNOLOGY
DEPARTMENT OF INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY

II B.Tech I Sem L T/P/D C


4 1/-/- 3

(R17A0024)PROBABILTY AND STATISTICS


Objectives: To learn
• Understand a random variable that describes randomness or an uncertainty in certain
realistic situation. It can be either discrete or continuous type.
• In the discrete case, study of the binomial and the Poisson random variables and the
normal random variable for the continuous case predominantly describe important
probability distributions. Important statistical properties for these random variables
provide very good insight and are essential for industrial applications.
• Most of the random situations are described as functions of many single random
variables. The objective is to learn functions of many random variables, through joint
distributions.
• The types of sampling, Sampling distribution of means, Sampling distribution of
variance, Estimations of statistical parameters, Testing of hypothesis of few unknown
statistical parameters.
• The mechanism of queuing system, The characteristics of queue, The mean arrival
and service rates, The expected queue length, The waiting line, The random
processes, The classification of random processes, Markov chain, Classification of
states, Stochastic matrix (transition probability matrix),Limiting probabilities,
Applications of Markov chains.

UNIT -1 : Random variable and Probability distributions

Random Variables
Single and multiple Random variables -Discrete and Continuous. Probability distribution
function, mass function and density function of probability distribution. mathematical
expectation and variance.
Probability distributions: Binomial distribution – properties, mean and variance, Poisson
distribution – properties, mean and variance and Normal distribution – properties, mean and
variance

UNIT -2 :Correlation and Regression

Correlation -Coefficient of correlation , Rank correlation, Regression- Regression


Coefficients , Lines of Regression.

UNIT -3 : Sampling Distributions and Statistical Inferences

Sampling: Definitions of population ,sampling ,statistic ,parameter-Types of sampling –


Expected values of sample mean and variance,Standard error- Sampling distribution of means
and variance

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Parameter Estimations : likelihood estimate , interval estimate.
Testing of hypothesis: Null and Alternative hypothesis-Type I and Type II errors, Critical
region – confidence interval – Level of significance,One tailed and Two tailed test
Large sample Tests: i) Test of significance of single mean and equality of means of two
samples(cases of known and unknown variance whether equal or unequal)
ii) Tests of significance difference between sample proportion and population
proportion and difference between two sample proportions

UNIT -4 : Exact Sampling Distributions(Small samples)

Exact Sampling Distributions(Small samples) Student t- distribution - properties


i)Test of significant difference between sample and population mean
ii)Test of difference between means of two small samples(independent and dependent
samples)
F- distribution - properties –test of equality of two population variances
Chi-square distribution -properties –i)Test of goodness of fit
ii)Test of independence of attributes

UNIT-5 : Queuing Theory and Stochastic process

Queuing Theory
Structure of a queuing system its characteristics-Arrival and service process-Pure Birth and
Death process Terminology of queuing system -Queuing model and its types-M/M/1 model
of infinite queue (without proofs)and M/M/1 model of finite queue (without proofs).

Stochastic Process
Introduction to stochastic process-classification and methods of description of Random
process i.e,stationary and non-stationary Average values of single and two or more random
process
Markov process, Markov chain, Examples of Markov chains, Stochastic matrix.

TEXT BOOKS:
1. Probability and Statistics by T.K..V Iyengar& B.Krishna Gandhi
S.Ranganatham,MVSSAN Prasad. S Chand Publishers.
2. Fundamentals of Mathematical Statistics by SC Gupta and V.K. Kapoor

REFERENCES :
1.Higher Engineering Mathematics By Dr.B.S.Grewal, Khanna Publishers
2. Probability and Statistics for Engineers and Scientists by Sheldon M.Ross,Academic Press.
Outcomes:
• Students would be able to identify distribution in certain realistic situation. It is
mainly useful for circuit as well as non circuit branches of engineering. Also able to
differentiate among many random variables involved in the probability models. It is
quite useful for all branches of engineering.
• The student would be able to calculate mean and proportions(small and large
samples)and to make important decisions from few samples which are taken out of
unmanageably huge populations.It is mainly useful for non-branches of engineering.

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• The student would be able to find the expected queue length, the ideal time the traffic
intensity and the waiting time. these are very useful tools in many engineering and
data management problems in the industry. it is useful for all branches of engineering.
• The student would able to understand about the random process, markov process and
markov chains which are essentially models of many time dependent processes such
as signals in communications, time series analysis, queuing systems. The student
would be able to find the limiting probabilities and the probabilities in nth state. It is
quite useful for all branches of engineering.

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MALLA REDDY COLLEGE OF ENGINEERING & TECHNOLOGY
DEPARTMENT OF INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY

INDEX

S. No Topic Page no
Unit

1 Introduction to Random variables 6


I

2 Probability Distribution 10
I
I
3 Multiple Random Variables 16

I
4 Problems of Unit 1 21

II
5 Correlation 40

II
6 Regression 58

III
7 Sampling Distribution 72

III
8 Estimation 80

III
9 Testing of Hypothesis 81

IV
10 Small Samples 106

IV
11 t- distribution 115

IV
12 F- distribution & Chi-Square distribution 121

IV
13 Related Problems 126

V
14 Queuing Theory 140

V
15 Stochastic Process 154

NOTE:-List only main topics

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MALLA REDDY COLLEGE OF ENGINEERING & TECHNOLOGY
DEPARTMENT OF INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY

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