Tahun Index
1996 381.7 C
1997 386.5
1998 389.5
1999 390.6
2000 394.1
2001 394.3
2020 ?
Berdasarkan persaman yang diperoleh maka indek pada Tahun 2020 adalah :
Tahun Index
2020 442.958
Chemical Engineering Plant Cost Index
KETETAPAN YANG DIAMBIL
Konstruksi 2010
Operasi per tahun 330 hari
Shut down 30 hari
Umur teknis pabrik 10 tahun
1$ = 13000 rupiah
Bunga bank = 15% per tahun
Kenaikan harga bahan baku & produk tetap
DAFTAR HARGA ALAT
Index yang digunakan adalah Chemical Engineering Plant Cost Index (CEPCI)
Harga Total
Rp 9,140,403,175
Rp 4,453,972
Rp 234,419,561
Rp 2,492,514,963
Rp 523,428,142
Rp 124,800,000
Rp 12,520,019,812
Chemical Engineering Plant Cost Index
Harga satuan Harga total
Rp 336,001,371 Rp 336,001,371 Sumber : Timmerhaus, fig 14-80, hal 563
Rp 218,791,590 Rp 218,791,590 Sumber : Timmerhaus, fig 14-91, hal 570
Rp 301,754,027 Rp 301,754,027 Sumber : www.matche.com
Rp 218,791,590 Rp 218,791,590 Sumber : Timmerhaus, fig 14-91, hal 570
Rp 93,767,824 Rp 93,767,824 Sumber : Timmerhaus, fig 14-90, hal 59
Rp 191,110,884 Rp 191,110,884 Sumber : www.matche.com
Rp 265,675,502 Rp 265,675,502 Sumber : Timmerhaus, fig 14-91, hal 570
Rp 93,767,824 Rp 93,767,824 Sumber : Timmerhaus, fig 14-90, hal 59
Rp 191,110,884 Rp 191,110,884 Sumber : www.matche.com
Rp 265,675,502 Rp 265,675,502 Sumber : Timmerhaus, fig 14-91, hal 570
Rp 93,767,824 Rp 93,767,824 Sumber : Timmerhaus, fig 14-90, hal 59
Rp 66,098,501 Rp 66,098,501 Sumber : www.matche.com
Rp 203,163,619 Rp 203,163,619 Sumber : Timmerhaus, fig 16-29, hal 713
Rp 234,419,561 Rp 234,419,561 Sumber : Timmerhaus, fig 14-50, hal 531
Rp 10,186,879 Rp 10,186,879 Sumber : www.matche.com
Rp 7,345,146 Rp 7,345,146 Sumber : Timmerhaus, fig 14-49, hal 531
Rp 312,559,414 Rp 312,559,414 Sumber : Timmerhaus, fig 14-91, hal 570
Rp 93,767,824 Rp 93,767,824 Sumber : Timmerhaus, fig 14-90, hal 59
Rp 191,110,884 Rp 191,110,884 Sumber : www.matche.com
Rp 265,675,502 Rp 265,675,502 Sumber : Timmerhaus, fig 14-91, hal 570
Rp 93,767,824 Rp 93,767,824 Sumber : Timmerhaus, fig 14-90, hal 59
Rp 66,098,501 Rp 66,098,501 Sumber : www.matche.com
Rp 56,040,034 Rp 56,040,034 Sumber : www.matche.com
Rp 118,772,577 Rp 118,772,577 Sumber : Timmerhaus, fig 14-91, hal 570
Rp 2,472,633,255 Rp 2,472,633,255 Sumber : www.matche.com
Rp 3,679,238,043 Rp 3,679,238,043 Sumber : U.S. Evironmental Protection Agency
Rp 4,630,399 Rp 333,388,754 Sumber : www.matche.com
Rp 281,303,473 Rp 281,303,473 Sumber : Timmerhaus, fig 14-80, hal 563
Rp 250,047,532 Rp 250,047,532 Sumber : Timmerhaus, fig 14-80, hal 563
Rp 218,791,590 Rp 218,791,590 Sumber : Timmerhaus, fig 14-91, hal 570
Rp 301,754,027 Rp 301,754,027 Sumber : www.matche.com
Rp 218,791,590 Rp 218,791,590 Sumber : Timmerhaus, fig 14-91, hal 570
Rp 171,907,678 Rp 171,907,678 Sumber : Timmerhaus, fig 14-90, hal 59
Rp 191,110,884 Rp 191,110,884 Sumber : www.matche.com
Rp 218,791,590 Rp 218,791,590 Sumber : Timmerhaus, fig 14-91, hal 570
Rp 171,907,678 Rp 171,907,678 Sumber : Timmerhaus, fig 14-90, hal 59
Rp 191,110,884 Rp 191,110,884 Sumber : www.matche.com
Rp 12,689,998,067
Unit Nama alat
aus, fig 14-80, hal 563 Pengolahan Bahan Baku Crusher
aus, fig 14-91, hal 570 Belt Conveyor
Screen
aus, fig 14-91, hal 570 Belt Conveyor
aus, fig 14-90, hal 59 Bucket Elevator
Bin
aus, fig 14-91, hal 570 Belt Conveyor
aus, fig 14-90, hal 59 Bucket Elevator
Bin
aus, fig 14-91, hal 570 Belt Conveyor
aus, fig 14-90, hal 59 Bucket Elevator
Pengeringan Hopper
aus, fig 16-29, hal 713 Rotary Dryer
aus, fig 14-50, hal 531 Blower
Heater
aus, fig 14-49, hal 531 Fan
aus, fig 14-91, hal 570 Belt Conveyor
aus, fig 14-90, hal 59 Bucket Elevator
Bin
aus, fig 14-91, hal 570 Belt Conveyor
aus, fig 14-90, hal 59 Bucket Elevator
Unit Nama alat
Reaksi Hopper
aus, fig 14-91, hal 570 Hopper
Screw Conveyor
onmental Protection Agency Furnace
Flare Stack
aus, fig 14-80, hal 563 Finishing Carbide Chills
aus, fig 14-80, hal 563 Crusher
aus, fig 14-91, hal 570 Crusher
Belt Conveyor
aus, fig 14-91, hal 570 Screen
aus, fig 14-90, hal 59 Belt Conveyor
Bucket Elevator
aus, fig 14-91, hal 570 Bin
aus, fig 14-90, hal 59 Belt Conveyor
Bucket Elevator
Bin
Harga Tahun 2011 Jumlah Harga Total
Rp 336,001,371 1 Rp 336,001,371
Rp 218,791,590 1 Rp 218,791,590
Rp 301,754,027 1 Rp 301,754,027
Rp 218,791,590 1 Rp 218,791,590
Rp 93,767,824 1 Rp 93,767,824
Rp 191,110,884 1 Rp 191,110,884
Rp 265,675,502 1 Rp 265,675,502
Rp 93,767,824 1 Rp 93,767,824
Rp 191,110,884 1 Rp 191,110,884
Rp 265,675,502 1 Rp 265,675,502
Rp 93,767,824 1 Rp 93,767,824
Rp 66,098,501 1 Rp 66,098,501
Rp 203,163,619 1 Rp 203,163,619
Rp 234,419,561 1 Rp 234,419,561
Rp 10,186,879 1 Rp 10,186,879
Rp 7,345,146 1 Rp 7,345,146
Rp 312,559,414 1 Rp 312,559,414
Rp 93,767,824 1 Rp 93,767,824
Rp 191,110,884 1 Rp 191,110,884
Rp 265,675,502 1 Rp 265,675,502
Rp 93,767,824 1 Rp 93,767,824
Harga Tahun 2011 Jumlah Harga Total
Rp 66,098,501 1 Rp 66,098,501
Rp 56,040,034 1 Rp 56,040,034
Rp 118,772,577 1 Rp 118,772,577
Rp 2,472,633,255 1 Rp 2,472,633,255
Rp 3,679,238,043 1 Rp 3,679,238,043
Rp 4,630,399 72 Rp 333,388,754
Rp 281,303,473 1 Rp 281,303,473
Rp 250,047,532 1 Rp 250,047,532
Rp 218,791,590 1 Rp 218,791,590
Rp 301,754,027 1 Rp 301,754,027
Rp 218,791,590 1 Rp 218,791,590
Rp 171,907,678 1 Rp 171,907,678
Rp 191,110,884 1 Rp 191,110,884
Rp 218,791,590 1 Rp 218,791,590
Rp 171,907,678 1 Rp 171,907,678
Rp 191,110,884 1 Rp 191,110,884
Total Rp 12,689,998,067
1. Total Capital Investment (TCI)
Perhitungan TCI dilakukan dengan menggunakan metode Percentage of Delivered
Equipment Cost (Timmerhaus, 1991)
a. Fixed Capital Investment (FCI)
Fixed Capital Investment terdiri dari biaya langsung (Direct Cost) dan biaya tidak
langsung (Indirect Cost). Biaya langsung meliputi biaya pembelian alat, biaya
pemasangan alat, biaya instrumentasi dan kontrol, biaya perpipaan, biaya instalasi listrik,
biaya bangunan, pengembangan lahan dan biaya untuk tanah.
Biaya tidak langsung terdiri dari biaya teknik dan supervisi, biaya konstruksi dan
kontraktor dan biaya tak terduga.
- Operating labor
Jabatan Gaji/bulan Jumlah Gaji total/tahun
(Rp) (Rp)
Kepala Shift Rp 1,300,000 4 Rp 62,400,000
Operator Rp 1,200,000 60 Rp 864,000,000
Total operating labor Rp 926,400,000
- Utilitas
Bahan baku Kebutuhan Harga Biaya total/tahun
(kg/jam) (Rp/kg) (Rp/tahun)
Air 1,925 Rp 1,145 Rp 17,456,670,000
Steam 262.38 Rp 2,000 Rp 4,156,099,200
Bahan Bakar 687.0583 Rp 3,000 Rp 16,324,505,208
Total utilitas Rp 37,937,274,408
b. General Expenses
General expenses merupakan pengeluaran rutin perusahaan yang termasuk dalam
operasi perusahaan, terdiri dari biaya administrasi, biaya distribusi dan penjualan, biaya
riset dan pengembangan serta financing (interest).
- Administrative cost
Jabatan Gaji/bulan Jumlah Gaji total/tahun
(Rp) (Rp)
Dewan Komisaris Rp 10,000,000.000 2 Rp 240,000,000.000
Direktur Rp 7,000,000 2 Rp 168,000,000
Staf Ahli Rp 5,000,000 2 Rp 120,000,000
Manager Rp 3,500,000 4 Rp 168,000,000
Kepala seksi Rp 3,000,000 9 Rp 324,000,000
Sekretaris Direktur Rp 2,500,000 1 Rp 30,000,000
Sekretaris Manager Rp 2,000,000 4 Rp 96,000,000
Karyawan shift, terdiri dari :
Proses Rp 2,000,000 43 Rp 1,032,000,000
Utilitas Rp 2,000,000 8 Rp 192,000,000
Quality Control Rp 2,000,000 8 Rp 192,000,000
Keamanan Rp 1,500,000 8 Rp 144,000,000
Karyawan non shift, terdiri dari :
Kepegawaian Rp 1,000,000 2 Rp 24,000,000
Diklat Rp 1,200,000 2 Rp 28,800,000
Humas Rp 1,500,000 2 Rp 36,000,000
Rumah Tangga Rp 1,000,000 2 Rp 24,000,000
Keuangan Rp 1,500,000 2 Rp 36,000,000
Akunting Rp 2,000,000 2 Rp 48,000,000
Impor Rp 1,500,000 2 Rp 36,000,000
Lokal Rp 1,000,000 2 Rp 24,000,000
Pemeliharaan Rp 1,000,000 2 Rp 24,000,000
Litbang Rp 1,500,000 2 Rp 36,000,000
Pemasaran Rp 1,500,000 2 Rp 36,000,000
Distribusi Rp 2,000,000 2 Rp 48,000,000
Gudang Rp 1,500,000 2 Rp 36,000,000
Dokter Rp 2,000,000 1 Rp 24,000,000
Perawat Rp 1,500,000 1 Rp 18,000,000
Supir Rp 1,000,000 3 Rp 36,000,000
Total Administrative cost Rp 3,220,800,000
1. Perolehan Profit
Profit diperoleh dari hasil pengurangan harga jual dengan biaya produksi.
Pajak = 30% Pb
= Rp 6,053,281,785
6. Angsuran Pinjaman
TCI = Rp 53,286,203,323
Modal sendiri = Rp 34,636,032,160
Modal pinjaman = Rp 18,650,171,163
Bunga pinjaman = 15%
FC + WC 1+ i
n
= 1+ i
n-1
+ 1+ i
n-2
+...+1 x CF + WC +SV
FC = fixed capital = Rp 45,293,272,825
WC = working capital = Rp 7,992,930,499
CF = Keuntungan sesudah pajak + depresiasi
= Rp 18,677,202,647
FC + WC = Rp 53,286,203,323
trial i:
dengan menggunakan trial error, persamaan di atas menjadi:
– 10
= 0
( FC+ WC )⋅( 1+i )n ( )
∑ ( 1+i )n−1 ×CF+ ( WC+ SV )
n=1
(1+i)n-1 = 72
(1+i) n-2
= 45
(1+i)n-3 = 28
(1+i)n-4 = 17
(1+i)n-5 = 11
(1+i) n-6
= 7
(1+i) n-7
= 4
(1+i) n-8
= 3
(1+i) n-9
= 2
(1+i) n-10
= 1
= 10
187
∑ ( 1+i )n−1
n=1
TCI = Rp 53,286,203,323
Modal sendiri = Rp 37,300,342,326
Modal pinjaman = Rp 15,985,860,997
TPC = Rp 148,120,810,048
Depresiasi = Rp 4,552,878,481
Harga Produk = Rp 168,298,416,000
Bunga Pinjaman = 15%
Pajak = 30%
Pengembalian Pinjaman
usia Pabrik 10 tahun
Kapasitas Produksi
Tahun I - X 100%
Rp -
Rp 19,150,729,070
Rp 5,514,122,293
Rp 24,664,851,363
624883176883.334
Rp 2,657,421,549,138
ANALISA KELAYAKAN (FIT AND PROPER TEST)
A. Keuntungan / Profit
B. Return on Investment (ROI)
c. Pay Out Time (POT)
D. Break Even Point (BEP)
E. Shut Down Point (SDP)
F. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)
A. Keuntungan / Profit
Biaya Produksi (Production Cost)
Pajak di Indonesia = 30 %
Keuntungan setelah pajak = Keuntungan sebelum pajak x (1 - % pajak)
Profit
Percent Profit on Sales (POS) = x100 %
Harga jual produk
Profit
x100 %
Harga jual produk
Profit
Percent Return on Investment (ROI) = x100 %
Fixed Capital Investment
0,3Ra
SDP = x100%
Sa - Va -0,7Ra
0,3Ra Rp 8,169,041,499
Sa-Va-0,7Ra Rp 35,164,189,573
SDP
FC Rp 45,293,272,825
WC Rp 7,992,930,499
Depresiasi Rp 4,552,878,481
SV 0
Umur pabrik, n = FCI -SV 10 tahun
Depresiasi
FCI -SV
n=
Depresiasi
CF = Keuntungan sesudah pajak + depresiasi = Rp 18,677,202,647
FC + WC Rp 53,286,203,323
FC + WC 1+ i
n
Rp 3,680,442,775,472
(1+i)n-1 45
(1+i)n-2 29
(1+i)n-3 19
(1+i) n-4
13
(1+i)n-5 8
(1+i)n-6 5
(1+i) n-7
4
(1+i)n-8 2
(1+i)n-9 1
(1+i) n-10
1
128
= 1+ i
n-1
+ 1+ i
n-2
+...+1 x CF Rp 2,396,448,745,051
WC + SV = Rp 7,992,930,499
= 1+ i
n-1
+ 1+ i
n-2
+...+1 x CF + WC +SV Rp 2,404,441,675,549
= 1+ i
n-1
+ 1+ i
n-2
+...+1 x CF + WC +SV
TCI Rp 53,286,203,323.454
Modal sendiri Rp 37,300,342,326.418
Modal pinjaman Rp 15,985,860,997.036
TPC Rp 148,120,810,048.482
Depresiasi Rp 4,552,878,481
Harga Produk Rp 168,298,416,000.00
Bunga Pinjaman 0.15
Pajak 0.3
Pengembalian Pinjaman
Umur Pabrik 10 tahun
Kapasitas Produksi
Tahun I 0.85
Tahun II - IX 100
Tahun X 0.85
b. Pada tahun ke -1
Dikeluarkan biaya 20% TCI Rp 10,657,240,664.69 terdiri dari
semua adalah pinjamanan dari bank, jadi total hutang pada awal tahun ke-1 adalah =
hutang pada tahun ke 2 + hutang pada tahun ke 1 Rp 16,785,154,046.888
bunga bank pada awal tahun ke 0 = Rp 2,517,773,107.033
jadi total investasi adalah jumlah pengeluaran ditahun ke-2 dan tahun ke-1, dan tahun ke 0 yaitu sebesar =
10 Rp 12,485,344,793
Rp120,000,000,000
Rp100,000,000,000
C u m u la tiv e N e t C a sh F lo w
Rp120,000,000,000
Rp100,000,000,000
Rp80,000,000,000
Rp60,000,000,000
Rp40,000,000,000
Rp20,000,000,000
Rp-
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Rp(20,000,000,000)
Usia Pabrik (Tahun ke-)
Grafik, Sale, Total Cost, Fixed Cost, Variabel Cost, Regulated Expenses
x y
Sale 0% Rp -
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100% Rp 168,298,416,000
Rp140,000,000,000
Nilai Uang (Rp)
Sale
Rp120,000,000,000
Total Cost
Fixed Cost
Rp100,000,000,000
Variabel Cost
Regulated Expenses
Rp80,000,000,000
Rp60,000,000,000
Rp40,000,000,000
Rp20,000,000,000
Rp-
0% 100%
Kapasitas Produksi Pabrik (%)
Rp140,000,000,000
Rp120,000,000,000
Rp140,000,000,000
Rp120,000,000,000
Rp100,000,000,000
Rp80,000,000,000
Rp60,000,000,000
Rp40,000,000,000
Rp20,000,000,000
Rp-
0% 100%
Rp148,120,810,048
Pendapatan/tahun
(Rp/tahun)
Rp 162,593,640,000
Rp 5,704,776,000
Rp 168,298,416,000
Rp 20,177,605,952
Rp14,124,324,166
11.9892 %
8.3924 %
44.5488 %
31.1842 %
1.83 tahun
2.43 tahun
Rp 6,817,542,122
Rp 76,135,855,189
Rp 37,937,274,408
Rp 114,073,129,597
Rp 926,400,000
Rp 138,000,000
Rp 138,960,000
Rp 20,399,085,136.224
Rp 3,170,529,098
Rp 339,699,546
Rp 2,117,464,549
Rp 27,230,138,329
Rp 168,298,416,000.00
42.619 %
42.619
23.23 %
23.23 %
1,647,401,923,236.29
Investasi Hasil penjualan
Pinjaman Bunga Pinjaman Total Pinjaman Total Investasi
Rp 5,328,620,332.345 Rp 799,293,049.852 Rp 6,127,913,382.197 Rp 43,428,255,708.615
Rp 10,657,240,664.691 Rp 919,187,007.330 Rp 17,704,341,054.218 Rp 55,004,683,380.635
Rp 2,655,651,158.133 Rp 20,359,992,212.350 Rp 57,660,334,538.768
Rp 3,053,998,831.853 Rp 18,323,992,991.115 Rp 117,565,196,778.299
Rp 2,748,598,948.667 Rp 16,287,993,769.880 Rp 151,468,574,400.000
Rp 2,443,199,065.482 Rp 14,251,994,548.645 Rp 168,298,416,000.000
Rp 2,137,799,182.297 Rp 12,215,995,327.410 Rp 168,298,416,000.000
Rp 1,832,399,299.112 Rp 10,179,996,106.175 Rp 168,298,416,000.000
Rp 1,526,999,415.926 Rp 8,143,996,884.940 Rp 168,298,416,000.000
Rp 1,221,599,532.741 Rp 6,107,997,663.705 Rp 168,298,416,000.000
Rp 916,199,649.556 Rp 4,071,998,442.470 Rp 168,298,416,000.000
Rp 610,799,766.371 Rp 2,035,999,221.235 Rp 168,298,416,000.000
Rp 305,399,883.185 Rp 168,298,416,000.000
Fa Rp 6,817,542,122 Sale
Ra Rp 27,230,138,329
Sa Rp 168,298,416,000
Va Rp 114,073,129,597 Total Cost
0,3Ra Rp 8,169,041,499
Fixed Cost
Variabel Cost
Regulated Expense
F a +0,3R a
BEP= x 100
S a −V a −0,7R a
F a +0,3R a
BEP= x 100
S a −V a −0,7R a
0,3R a
SDP= x 100
S a −V a −0,7R a
100%
100%
Pembiayaan Laba
Biaya produksi Depresiasi Pengembalian Laba Kotor Pajak
0% Rp 14,986,583,621
100% Rp 148,120,810,048
0% Rp 6,817,542,122
100% Rp 6,817,542,122
0% Rp 14,986,583,621
100% Rp 114,073,129,597
0% Rp 6,817,542,122
100% Rp 141,303,267,926
i 0.489781395
a Discounted Net Total Discounted Discounted Net
Net Cash flow
Laba Bersih Cash Flow i = 15% Net Cash Flow Cash Flow i = 48,51%
Rp 27,585,298,338.675
Cumulative Cash Flow
0
Rp (55,004,683,381)
Rp (57,660,334,539)
Rp (46,803,879,658)
Rp (32,888,328,147)
Rp (17,346,564,300)
Rp (1,591,020,535)
Rp 14,378,303,148
Rp 30,561,406,749
Rp 46,958,290,268
Rp 63,568,953,706
Rp 80,393,397,062
Rp 97,431,620,336
Discounted Net Cash Flow Pabrik calcium carbide
Tahun Kapasitas Investasi
ke Produksi (%) Modal Sendiri Pinjaman Bunga Pinjaman
-2
-2 Rp 37,300,342,326 Rp 5,328,620,332 Rp 799,293,050
-1 Rp 10,657,240,665 Rp 2,517,773,107
0 Rp -
1 100% Rp 2,895,439,073
2 100% Rp 3,040,211,027
3 100% Rp 3,184,982,980
4 100% Rp 3,329,754,934
5 100% Rp 3,474,526,888
6 100% Rp 3,619,298,841
7 100% Rp 3,764,070,795
8 100% Rp 3,908,842,749
9 100% Rp 4,053,614,702
10 100% Rp 4,198,386,656
Rp 6,127,913,382 Rp 43,428,255,709
Rp 19,302,927,154 Rp 56,603,269,480
Rp 19,302,927,154 Rp 56,603,269,480
Rp 20,268,073,512 Rp 168,298,416,000 Rp 148,120,810,048 Rp 4,552,878,481
Rp 21,233,219,869 Rp 168,298,416,000 Rp 148,120,810,048 Rp 4,552,878,481
Rp 22,198,366,227 Rp 168,298,416,000 Rp 148,120,810,048 Rp 4,552,878,481
Rp 23,163,512,585 Rp 168,298,416,000 Rp 148,120,810,048 Rp 4,552,878,481
Rp 24,128,658,942 Rp 168,298,416,000 Rp 148,120,810,048 Rp 4,552,878,481
Rp 25,093,805,300 Rp 168,298,416,000 Rp 148,120,810,048 Rp 4,552,878,481
Rp 26,058,951,658 Rp 168,298,416,000 Rp 148,120,810,048 Rp 4,552,878,481
Rp 27,024,098,015 Rp 168,298,416,000 Rp 148,120,810,048 Rp 4,552,878,481
Rp 27,989,244,373 Rp 168,298,416,000 Rp 148,120,810,048 Rp 4,552,878,481
Rp 168,298,416,000 Rp 148,120,810,048 Rp 4,552,878,481
C u m u la tiv e N e t C a s h F lo w (R p )
Rp50,000,000,000
Rp-
0 1 2 3
C u m u la ti
Rp150,000,000,000
Rp100,000,000,000
Rp 97,507,188,330 Rp 469,897,959
Rp50,000,000,000
Rp 113,921,122,768 Rp 314,460,250
Total Rp 35,876,208,355
Rp-
0 1 2 3
Rp(50,000,000,000)
Rp(100,000,000,000)
biayaan Laba
Net Cash Flow
Pengembalian Laba Kotor Pajak Laba Bersih
00
00
00
Rp-
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
00
00
00
Rp-
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
00)
00)
Tahun
0.4851 0.4852
Discounted Net Total Discounted Discounted Net Discounted Net
Cash Flow i = 15% Net Cash Flow Cash Flow i = 48,51% Cash Flow i = 48,51%
0.0000
Rp (43,428,255,709)
Rp (56,603,269,480)
Rp (56,603,269,480)
Rp 16,652,807,887 Rp 16,652,807,887 Rp 12,894,978,380
Rp 13,024,315,598 Rp 29,677,123,485 Rp 7,809,463,584
Rp 11,258,858,888 Rp 40,935,982,374 Rp 5,227,497,276
Rp 9,732,370,393 Rp 50,668,352,766 Rp 3,499,058,589
Rp 8,412,546,703 Rp 59,080,899,469 Rp 2,342,034,134
Rp 7,271,445,765 Rp 66,352,345,234 Rp 1,567,543,667
Rp 6,284,898,720 Rp 72,637,243,954 Rp 1,049,132,422
Rp 5,432,000,976 Rp 78,069,244,929 Rp 702,142,095
Rp 4,694,671,852 Rp 82,763,916,781 Rp 469,897,959
Rp 4,057,273,560 Rp 86,821,190,342 Rp 314,460,250
Rp 86,821,190,342 Total Rp 35,876,208,355
Rp 62,731,182,863
Rp 156,365,557,436
Rp 46,329,931,373
Rp 10,453,723,018
Rp 120,186,476,584
Cumulative Cash Flow
0
Rp (43,428,255,709)
Rp (56,603,269,480)
Rp (56,603,269,480)
Rp (37,452,540,410)
Rp (20,227,883,031)
Rp (3,104,566,020)
Rp 13,917,410,624
Rp 30,838,046,900
Rp 47,657,342,809
Rp 64,375,298,350
Rp 80,991,913,524
Rp 97,507,188,330
Rp 113,921,122,768
Tahun ke Kapasitas Hasil Penjualan Biaya Produksi Laba Depresiasi
Produksi Laba Kotor Pajak Laba bersih
-2
-1
0
1 70% Rp 117,808,891,200 Rp 103,684,567,034 Rp 14,124,324,166 Rp 4,237,297,250 Rp 9,887,026,916 Rp 4,552,878,481
2 90% Rp 151,468,574,400 Rp 133,308,729,044 Rp 18,159,845,356 Rp 5,447,953,607 Rp 12,711,891,749 Rp 4,552,878,481
3 100% Rp 168,298,416,000 Rp 148,120,810,048 Rp 20,177,605,952 Rp 6,053,281,785 Rp 14,124,324,166 Rp 4,552,878,481
4 100% Rp 168,298,416,000 Rp 148,120,810,048 Rp 20,177,605,952 Rp 6,053,281,785 Rp 14,124,324,166 Rp 4,552,878,481
5 100% Rp 168,298,416,000 Rp 148,120,810,048 Rp 20,177,605,952 Rp 6,053,281,785 Rp 14,124,324,166 Rp 4,552,878,481
6 100% Rp 168,298,416,000 Rp 148,120,810,048 Rp 20,177,605,952 Rp 6,053,281,785 Rp 14,124,324,166 Rp 4,552,878,481
7 100% Rp 168,298,416,000 Rp 148,120,810,048 Rp 20,177,605,952 Rp 6,053,281,785 Rp 14,124,324,166 Rp 4,552,878,481
8 100% Rp 168,298,416,000 Rp 148,120,810,048 Rp 20,177,605,952 Rp 6,053,281,785 Rp 14,124,324,166 Rp 4,552,878,481
9 100% Rp 168,298,416,000 Rp 148,120,810,048 Rp 20,177,605,952 Rp 6,053,281,785 Rp 14,124,324,166 Rp 4,552,878,481
10 100% Rp 168,298,416,000 Rp 148,120,810,048 Rp 20,177,605,952 Rp 6,053,281,785 Rp 14,124,324,166 Rp 4,552,878,481
C u m u la tiv e c a s h f lo w (r u p ia h )
Rp150,000,000,000
Rp100,000,000,000
Rp50,000,000,000
Rp-
-2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Rp(50,000,000,000)
Rp(100,000,000,000)
Tabel Periode Pengembalian Modal dan Perkiraan Nilai IRR Umur Pabrik (tahun)
Tahun Investasi Pemasukan Net Cash Flow Cumulative Discounted Net
Laba Bersih Depresiasi Net Cash Flow Cash Flow i = 40,15%
0 ### Rp 9,887,026,916 Rp 4,552,878,481.196 Rp (62,731,182,863) Rp (62,731,182,863) Rp -
1 Rp 12,711,891,749 Rp 4,552,878,481.196 Rp 14,439,905,397 Rp - Rp 10,216,070,158
2 Rp 14,124,324,166 Rp 4,552,878,481.196 Rp 17,264,770,231 Rp - Rp 18,857,783,190
3 Rp 14,124,324,166 Rp 4,552,878,481.196 Rp 18,677,202,647 Rp - Rp 25,471,877,562
4 Rp 14,124,324,166 Rp 4,552,878,481.196 Rp 18,677,202,647 Rp - Rp 30,151,274,711
5 Rp 14,124,324,166 Rp 4,552,878,481.196 Rp 18,677,202,647 Rp - Rp 33,461,895,400
6 Rp 14,124,324,166 Rp 4,552,878,481.196 Rp 18,677,202,647 Rp - Rp 35,804,122,188
7 Rp 14,124,324,166 Rp 4,552,878,481.196 Rp 18,677,202,647 Rp - Rp 37,461,221,215
8 Rp 14,124,324,166 Rp 4,552,878,481.196 Rp 18,677,202,647 Rp - Rp 38,633,600,082
9 Rp 14,124,324,166 Rp 4,552,878,481.196 Rp 18,677,202,647 Rp - Rp 39,463,044,903
10 Rp 14,124,324,166 Rp 4,552,878,481.196 Rp 18,677,202,647 Rp - Rp 40,049,867,757
Total Rp 309,570,757,168
Cum ula tive net ca sh flo w (rup ia h)
Rp-
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Rp(10,000,000,000)
Rp(20,000,000,000)
Rp(30,000,000,000)
Rp(40,000,000,000)
Rp(50,000,000,000)
Rp(60,000,000,000)
Rp(70,000,000,000)
Usia pabrik (tahun)
Tabel L.E.11 Discounted Cash Flow Pabrik Calcium Carbide kapasitas 20.000 ton/tahun
Net Cash Flow Cumulative Cash Flow Trial for i =15% Trial for i = 48,51% Trial for i = 49,51%
discount factor Present Value discount factor Present Value discount factor Present Value
Rp (6,127,913,382)
Rp (16,785,154,047)
Rp (62,731,182,863)
Rp 14,439,905,397 Rp (48,291,277,465) 0.8696 Rp 12,556,439,476 0.6734 Rp 9,723,187,258 0.6689 Rp 9,658,153,567
Rp 17,264,770,231 Rp (31,026,507,234) 0.7561 Rp 13,054,646,677 0.4534 Rp 7,827,974,580 0.4474 Rp 7,723,609,711
Rp 18,677,202,647 Rp (12,349,304,587) 0.6575 Rp 12,280,563,917 0.3053 Rp 5,702,230,079 0.2992 Rp 5,588,575,293
Rp 18,677,202,647 Rp 6,327,898,060 0.5718 Rp 10,678,751,232 0.2056 Rp 3,839,627,014 0.2001 Rp 3,737,927,425
Rp 18,677,202,647 Rp 25,005,100,707 0.4972 Rp 9,285,870,637 0.1384 Rp 2,585,433,314 0.1339 Rp 2,500,118,671
Rp 18,677,202,647 Rp 43,682,303,355 0.4323 Rp 8,074,670,119 0.0932 Rp 1,740,915,301 0.0895 Rp 1,672,208,328
Rp 18,677,202,647 Rp 62,359,506,002 0.3759 Rp 7,021,452,277 0.0628 Rp 1,172,254,596 0.0599 Rp 1,118,459,185
Rp 18,677,202,647 Rp 81,036,708,649 0.3269 Rp 6,105,610,676 0.0423 Rp 789,343,880 0.0401 Rp 748,083,195
Rp 18,677,202,647 Rp 99,713,911,296 0.2843 Rp 5,309,226,675 0.0285 Rp 531,508,909 0.0268 Rp 500,356,629
Rp 18,677,202,647 Rp 118,391,113,944 0.2472 Rp 4,616,718,848 0.0192 Rp 357,894,356 0.0179 Rp 334,664,322
Total Rp 88,983,950,533 Rp 34,270,369,288 Rp 33,582,156,327
Trial for i = 41,35% Net Present Value Total Investasi Modal Sendiri Pinjaman Bunga Pinjaman Total Pinjaman
discount factor Present Value
Rp 6,127,913,382 Rp 37,300,342,326 Rp 5,328,620,332 - Rp 5,328,620,332
Rp 16,785,154,047 Rp 10,657,240,665 Rp 799,293,050 Rp 16,785,154,047
Rp 62,731,182,863 Rp 2,517,773,107 Rp 19,302,927,154
0.7075 Rp 10,216,070,158 Rp 10,216,070,158 Rp 2,895,439,073 Rp 14,477,195,365
0.5005 Rp 8,641,713,032 Rp 18,857,783,190 Rp 2,171,579,305 Rp 9,651,463,577
0.3541 Rp 6,614,094,372 Rp 25,471,877,562 Rp 1,447,719,537 Rp 4,825,731,788
0.2505 Rp 4,679,397,148 Rp 30,151,274,711 Rp 723,859,768 Rp 4,383,303,556
0.1773 Rp 3,310,620,690 Rp 33,461,895,400
0.1254 Rp 2,342,226,788 Rp 35,804,122,188
0.0887 Rp 1,657,099,027 Rp 37,461,221,215
0.0628 Rp 1,172,378,867 Rp 38,633,600,082
0.0444 Rp 829,444,821 Rp 39,463,044,903
0.0314 Rp 586,822,853 Rp 40,049,867,757
Rp 40,049,867,757
Pengembalian
Utang
-
-
-
Rp 7,721,170,862
Rp 6,997,311,093
Rp 6,273,451,325
Rp 5,549,591,557
Tabel Fixed Capital Investment
1. Direct Cost
- Purchased equipment-delivered Rp 6,541,999,640
- Purchased equpment installation Rp 3,074,739,831
- Instrumentation dan controls (installed) Rp 1,177,559,935
- Piping (Biaya perpipaan) Rp 4,317,719,762
- Electrical (installed) Rp 719,619,960
- Buildings Rp 1,177,559,935
- Yard improvement Rp 654,199,964
- Service facilities Rp 4,579,399,748
- Tanah Rp 392,519,978
Total Direct Cost Rp 22,635,318,753
2. Indirect Cost
- Engineering and supervision Rp 7,469,655,189
- Construction expenses Rp 9,280,480,689
Total Indirect Cost Rp 16,750,135,877
3. Upah kontraktor Rp 1,969,272,732
4. Biaya tak terduga Rp 3,938,545,463
Fixed Capital Investment Rp 45,293,272,825
Rp180,000,000,000
Nilai uang (Rupiah)
Sale
Rp160,000,000,000 Total Cost
Fixed Cost
Variabel Cost
Rp140,000,000,000
Regulated
Expenses
Rp120,000,000,000
Rp100,000,000,000
Rp80,000,000,000
Rp60,000,000,000
Rp40,000,000,000
Rp20,000,000,000
Rp-
0%
Rp20,000,000,000
Rp-
0%
0,3Ra Rp 8,169,041,499
,3R a
x 100
− 0,7Ra
x 100
−0,7R a
100%
si pabrik (%)
100%
si pabrik (%)
A.1.1.1 Biaya Pembelian Peralatan (Purchased Equipment Cost)
No Jenis Biaya
1 Harga Pembelian Alat (EC) Rp 25,210,017,879
2 Biaya Pengangkutan (15% EC) Rp 3,781,502,682
3 Asuransi Pengangkutan (1% EC Rp 252,100,179
4 Provisi Bank (1% EC) Rp 252,100,179
5 EMKL (1% EC) Rp 252,100,179
6 Pajak Barang Impor (20% EC) Rp 5,042,003,576
Total PEC Rp 34,789,824,673
Material = 11 % PEC
Material = Rp 3,826,880,714
Buruh = 32 % PEC
1 Manhour asing = 20 $
1 Manhour Indonesia = 20000 Rp
BIAYA MANUFAKTUR
A.2.1. Biaya Langsung
A.2.1.1. Bahan Baku
No Bahan baku Kebutuhan (kg/jam)
1 Batang Sorgum
2 Urea
3 TSP
4 Yeast
5 Enzim Glukoamilase
TOTAL
A.2.1.4. Maintenance
adalah 0,08 x FCI (US $) 1459431.79601734
A.2.1.5. Plant Supplies
adalah 0,15 x Maintenance Cost ($) 218914.769402601
A.2.1.7. Utilitas
adalah 25% dari biaya bangunan dan contingency (US $) 1155895.37430752
A.3.3.3. Asuransi
adalah 1% dari FCI (US $) 182428.974502168
B. ANALISIS KELAYAKAN
B.1. Evaluasi Keuntungan
Total penjualan (US $) 8727.2727272727
Cost
1. manufacturing cost (US $) 4961161.84598233
2. general expense (US $) 1785226.3728448
Total cost (US $) 6746388.21882713
Profit before tax (US $) = (PBT) -6737660.94609985
(Rupiah) -74114270407.0984
Perhitungan pajak keuntungan di Indonesia sesuai 17 UU PPh No.36 tahun 2008 pasal 17 ayat 2a dan
Total pajak
25% dari profir before tax (Rp) -18528567601.7746
Keuntungan setelah pajak (PAT)
Profit before tax (Rp) - Total pajak (R -55585702805.3238
(US $) -5053245.70957489
-29.8150347965
Tenaga Asing = $
Tenaga Indonesia = Rp
$
Rp
m2
m2
Rp
$
A.1.1.11 Engineering and Construction
Eng&Const Cost = $
A.1.1.13 Contingency
Contingency =
Fixed Capital Investment (FCI)
No. Fixed Capital Biaya (US$)
1 DPC
2 Contractor's Fee
3 Contingency
Total = FCI
A.2.2.2. Laboratory
adalah 12% dari l
MAKA
Indirect Manufacturing Cost (IMC)
US $
-77202.36500739
-57901.77375555
-36.9330637553
-27.6997978165
-3.4562534008
-5.0761942296
TRIAL DINYATAKAN BENAR JIKA SHELL C336 = 0
MAKA KARENA NILAI DI SHELL C336 ≈ 0, TRIAL i dinyatakan BENAR dengan nilai i = 5.45%
A.1.2. Modal Kerja (Working Capital
A.1.2.1. Persediaan Bahan Baku (Ra
lama penyimpanan adalah seminggu
No Bahan bakuKebutuhan (kg/jam) Harga (US $/kg)
1 Batang Sorgum 100 0.0045454545
2 Urea 0.055927179 0.1454545455
3 TSP 0.111854358 0.0954545455
4 Yeast 1.803764E-06 6.8181818182
5 Enzim Glukoamilase 0.02282742 2.5
TOTAL Rupiah
US $
A.1.2.2. Persediaan dalm Proses (In
Biaya in process inventory = (0,5 x 1 x MC) / (330 h 313.20466199
Laboratory
15447
Plant Overhead
77236
No.
1
2
3
4
xpense
Biaya (US $)
248058
248058
248058
1E+06
2E+06
i = 5.45%
Biaya (US $/Tahun)
76.3636363636
1.3666568832
1.7937371592
0.0020661292
9.5875164
802022.51642
89.113612935
(US $)
(US $)
(US $)
(US $)