MATA KULIAH : EKONOMETRIKA

SEMESTER :3

PRODI : PBS

DOSEN PENGAMPU : Hairun Nisa, S.E, M.Si

KELOMPOK : IV

1. MARDIANA (2018.04.014)
2. MAYANG SARI (2018.04.015)
3. VINY RIONA ANISA
4. PUPUT MELANA SARI (2018.04.023)

DATA : Y = Import (Capital Goods )

X1 = Nilai Tukar Asing ( USD )

X2 = Nilai Tukar ( JPY )

Dimulai dari 2007-2018

1. 2007-2009 ( Mardiana )
2. 2010-2012 ( Vini )
3. 2013-2015 ( Puput Melana Sari )
4. 2016-2018 ( Mayang Sari )
1. MARDIANA FITRI.

Data dari 2007-2009, Y = Import (Capital Goods )

X1 = Nilai Tukar Asing ( USD )

X2 = Nilai Tukar ( JPY )

Dependent Variable: Y
Method: Leas t Squares
Date: 11/27/19 Tim e: 21:23
Sam ple: 2007M01 2009M12
Included obs ervations : 36

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statis tic Prob.

X1 -2.214362 0.364299 -6.078422 0.0000

X2 1.615930 0.194679 8.300487 0.0000
C 12.82427 2.082398 6.158414 0.0000

R-s quared 0.702875 Mean dependent var 6.483461

Adjus ted R-s quared 0.684868 S.D. dependent var 1.551707
S.E. of regres s ion 0.871076 Akaike info criterion 2.641481
Sum s quared res id 25.03955 Schwarz criterion 2.773441
Log likelihood -44.54666 Hannan-Quinn criter. 2.687539
F-s tatis tic 39.03223 Durbin-Wats on s tat 1.441560
Prob(F-s tatis tic) 0.000000
 Uji multikorelasi.
 Uji heterokedastisitas
 Uji autokorelasi
 Uji normalitas
1. VINY RIONA ANISA

Data dari 2010-2012, Y = Import (Capital Goods )

X1 = Nilai Tukar Asing ( USD )

X2 = Nilai Tukar ( JPY )

Dependent Variable: Y
Method: Least Squares
Date: 11/27/19 Time: 22:04
Sample: 2010M01 2012M12
Included observations: 36

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

X1 0.391472 0.097310 4.022932 0.0003

X2 -0.068778 0.029505 -2.331050 0.0260
C 5.724079 0.827401 6.918144 0.0000

R-squared 0.339334 Mean dependent var 9.093517

Adjusted R-squared 0.299294 S.D. dependent var 0.338431
S.E. of regression 0.283294 Akaike info criterion 0.394994
Sum squared resid 2.648437 Schwarz criterion 0.526954
Log likelihood -4.109900 Hannan-Quinn criter. 0.441052
F-statistic 8.474817 Durbin-Watson stat 0.278990
Prob(F-statistic) 0.001071
 Uji multikorelasi.
 Uji heterokedastisitas
 Uji autokorelasi
 Uji normalitas
1. PUPUT MELANA SARI

Data dari 2013- 2015, Y = Import (Capital Goods )

X1 = Nilai Tukar Asing ( USD )

X2 = Nilai Tukar ( JPY )

Dependent Variable: Y
Method: Least Squares
Date: 11/27/19 Time: 22:06
Sample: 1 36
Included observations: 36

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

X1 -1.032911 0.145094 -7.118915 0.0000

X2 0.482964 0.275441 1.753423 0.0888
C 21.26278 2.839900 7.487157 0.0000

R-squared 0.609691 Mean dependent var 14.10538

Adjusted R-squared 0.586036 S.D. dependent var 1.698803
S.E. of regression 1.093011 Akaike info criterion 3.095404
Sum squared resid 39.42419 Schwarz criterion 3.227364
Log likelihood -52.71728 Hannan-Quinn criter. 3.141462
F-statistic 25.77418 Durbin-Watson stat 1.758540
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
 Uji multikorelasi.
 Uji heterokedastisitas
 Uji autokorelasi
 Uji normalitas
4. MAYANG SARI

Data dari2016-2018, Y = Import (Capital Goods )

X1 = Nilai Tukar Asing ( USD )

X2 = Nilai Tukar ( JPY )

Dependent Variable: Y
Method: Leas t Squares
Date: 11/27/19 Tim e: 22:19
Sam ple: 2016M01 2018M12
Included obs ervations : 36

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statis tic Prob.

X1 112791.1 142459.9 0.791740 0.4342

X2 -178166.2 150509.2 -1.183756 0.2450
C 769944.1 1599525. 0.481358 0.6334

R-s quared 0.040760 Mean dependent var 103656.9

Adjus ted R-s quared -0.017376 S.D. dependent var 349412.9
S.E. of regres s ion 352435.5 Akaike info criterion 28.46278
Sum s quared res id 4.10E+12 Schwarz criterion 28.59474
Log likelihood -509.3300 Hannan-Quinn criter. 28.50884
F-s tatis tic 0.701114 Durbin-Wats on s tat 1.488941
Prob(F-s tatis tic) 0.503271
 Uji multikorelasi.
 Uji heterokedastisitas
 Uji autokorelasi
 Uji normalitas