Elections, 2017–18
How Dark Money, Interest Groups, and Big Donors
Shape State High Courts
By Douglas Keith with Patrick Berry and Eric Velasco PUBLISHED DECEMBER 11, 2019
Produced with research from the National Institute on Money in Politics
FIGURE 1
This chart estimates spending on high court races, including contested and retention elections, in the 21 states in which spending was documented.
Unless otherwise noted, races occurred in 2018. Candidate fundraising figures were provided by the National Institute on Money in Politics, and reflect
available data as of May 29, 2019. Candidate fundraising includes contributions and self-financing by candidates, including loans. It excludes loan
repayments and fundraising by judges that did not run for election in 2017–18. Sources for independent expenditures by political parties and interest
groups include state campaign finance disclosures, broadcast television spending estimates from Kantar Media/CMAG, ad contracts posted on the FCC
website, and Facebook spending estimates from Facebook’s Ad Library. The 2017 figures in this chart are lower than the totals reported in the historical
chart, because in that chart totals were adjusted for inflation to 2018 dollars to allow for historical comparison. The 2017 figures in this chart have not
been converted to 2018 dollars.
FIGURE 2
FIGURE 3 FIGURE 4
>> A recent Brennan Center report, State Supreme candidates of color are frequently different in nature than
Court Diversity, details how little state supreme courts those attacking other candidates, often evoking racist
reflect the diversity of the public they serve.28 As of May imagery or language to degrade the candidates or tie them
2019, 24 state high courts had no justices of color, to criminal defendants who they represented as lawyers or
including eight states where people of color make up at who appeared before them in court.31
least 25 percent of the state population. Of these 24 states,
19 use elections as part of their system for choosing or >> The same financial disparities did not surface in 2018,
retaining justices. In addition, 17 states had only one when candidates of color on average outperformed white
woman on the supreme court bench. candidates in fundraising and received comparable levels of
outside support. But racist attack ads did appear in North
>> The 2017–18 cycle showed mixed results with respect Carolina, where Republican Party mailers included altered
to judicial diversity. Four new justices of color, including images of Anita Earls, who is biracial, with skin “several
three women of color, won seats on state high courts in shades darker than in real life” and the headline “Dangerous
North Carolina, Ohio, New Mexico, and Texas. But Nevada’s Anita Earls.”32
only justice of color retired and Michigan’s lost his election,
and white justices replaced both of them.29 As a result, >> The trend of homogeneous courts poses a grave
more states had all-white supreme courts at the end of the threat to public confidence in the judiciary and the ability of
2018 cycle than at its beginning. courts to develop a jurisprudence for an increasingly
diverse America. Judges acknowledge that the perspectives
>> The challenge of financing judicial campaigns is one of and experiences they bring to the bench inform their and
several barriers facing aspiring justices of color. In an their colleagues decision-making. Even among lawyers,
analysis of elections from 2000 to 2016, the Brennan surveys show large racial disparities as to views on the
Center found that nonincumbent candidates of color presence of racial bias in the justice system.33 As former
received less in contributions than their white counterparts, Ohio Supreme Court Justice Yvette McGee Brown wrote,
faced more outside spending on negative ads, and benefit- “When our courts are dominated by only one legal profession,
ed from less outside spending on positive ads.30 The one political party, or one gender or race, the public’s
Brennan Center also documented that attack ads against perception of justice suffers.”34
Source: “President Trump,” paid for by Sarah Stewart. Copyright 2018, Kantar Media/CMAG.
FIGURE 8
Lorem ipsum
Top 10 Interest Group Spenders, 2017–18
GROUP AMOUNT STATE(S) IT SPENT IN GROUP TRANSPARENCY
Data from state camp ce disclosures, broadcast television spending estimates from Kantar Media/CMAG, radio and television ad
contracts posted on the FCC website, and Facebook spending estimates from Facebook’s Ad Library. Transparency based on the Brennan Center’s
analysis of each group' gs. A description of the methodology is included in this section of the report.
>> Opaque interest group spending can directly benefit identify then–trial judge Lloyd Karmeier as the right
people and businesses with a financial stake in who sits on candidate, run his campaign through a group called the
state benches. By contributing money to these groups, Illinois Civil Justice League, and fund a network of opaque
donors can wield immense influence and pursue their groups to support his candidacy.50 The plaintiffs’ expert
private interests while avoiding any public scrutiny. concluded that there was a deliberate and successful effort
“to disguise State Farm’s role as a primary supporter of
>> Weeks before Election Day 2018, the insurance and Justice Karmeier’s campaign,” which “enabled State Farm to
financial services company State Farm settled a lawsuit disingenuously represent to the Illinois Supreme Court that
alleging that it had successfully conspired to manipulate a State Farm itself made no contribution” to Karmeier’s
2004 Illinois Supreme Court election.49 State Farm’s alleged campaign.51
goal was to put a judge on the Illinois court who would
overturn a jury’s $1 billion consumer fraud verdict against it. >> Karmeier won his election, and nine months later, after
State Farm settled the new lawsuit for $250 million days declining to recuse himself from the case, joined the Illinois
before trial, but court filings paint a damning portrait of the Supreme Court decision overturning the jury verdict against
company funneling $3.5 million through intermediaries to State Farm.52
But We Do Know This Spending threatening children.” Two months earlier, the conser-
Makes Courts Less Fair vative Wisconsin Manufacturers and Commerce (WMC)
One byproduct of heightened interest group spending is and liberal Greater Wisconsin Committee exchanged ads
a harmful shift in the nature of judicial campaigns. For attacking judges for giving lenient sentences to persons
starters, interest groups are more likely than candidates found guilty of violence against children. WMC refused
or political parties to run negative ads — groups ran to take down its ad even after the victims’ parents asked
two-thirds of all negative TV ads this cycle despite only it to because the ad included identifying information and
accounting for one-third of all ads. was doing harm to their family.53
Cycle after cycle, group ads have regularly featured Among other harms, misleading attacks on judges’
attacks based on judges’ decisions in criminal cases. This decisions in criminal cases can put pressure on judges’
cycle, half of the $2 million spent by groups on nega- rulings. Previous studies found that Pennsylvania and
tive advertising paid for ads targeting judicial decisions. Washington trial judges issued longer sentences as their
These ads frequently misrepresent judges’ rulings, often next election approached and that supreme court justices
invoking violence against children to stir fear in viewers. across the country were less likely to rule in favor of crim-
In a typical ad, JCN in 2018 accused an Arkansas judge inal defendants as TV and outside spending increased.54
of being “soft on crime” and using a “technicality” to let A 2019 study found that “electoral cycles” in criminal
off a defendant who was, as a result, “still on the run, sentencing, in which trial judges issue harsher sentences
as their elections approach, are more likely in states with
more competitive judicial elections.55 As former California
Supreme Court Justice Otto Kaus famously said, elections
loom over judges like “a crocodile in your bathtub. You
keep wondering whether you’re letting yourself be influ-
enced, and you do not know.”56
Most striking is how elections affect life and death
decisions about capital punishment. Research suggests
that trial and appellate judges are more likely to sentence
defendants to death, or affirm death sentences, when they
face electoral pressures.57 One scholar of judicial elec-
tions, finding that the data supports Justice Kaus’ croc-
odile theory, wrote that the death penalty is the “fattest
Source: “At It Again,” paid for by Greater Wisconsin Political Fund. crocodile” for how often judges appear to feed the desires
Copyright 2018, Kantar Media/CMAG. of the electorate when it comes to capital punishment.58
Alabama
Five of the nine seats on the Alabama Supreme Court Alabama
were up for election in 2018, attracting substantial spend-
TOTAL RANK
ing, including $2.4 million in TV ads from the candidates.
The race for chief justice — in which Associate Justice Total spending $6,442,218 1
Tom Parker defeated incumbent Chief Justice Lyn Stuart Candidate
$6,442,218 1
in the Republican primary and Alabama Circuit Judge Bob fundraising
Vance Jr. in the general election — saw each candidate Group spending $0 N/A
raise approximately $1 million. Parker received most of
Party spending $0 N/A
his backing from the state’s trial lawyers while running
ads alleging that George Soros was plotting to remove TV spending $2,470,740 1
him from the court. Attorney Jay Mitchell raised more
than $850,000 while defeating attorney John Bahakel
in the Republican primary and attorney Donna Wesson
Smalley in the general election for an open seat on the
court. Circuit Judge Sarah Stewart defeated recently Arizona
appointed Justice Brady Mendheim and Circuit Judge
TOTAL RANK
Debra Jones in the Republican primary, raising more than
$1.2 million and running ads connecting her to President Total spending $21,000 22
Trump. Justices Tommy Bryan and William Sellers faced Candidate
$0 N/A
no opposition. fundraising
Candidate
$560,473 11
Arkansas fundraising
The nonpartisan contest for Justice Courtney Good- Group spending $2,880,260 1
son’s seat on the Arkansas Supreme Court was the most
expensive in the state’s history, with most of the money Party spending $0 N/A
coming from outside groups. Goodson kept her seat by TV spending $1,209,860 4
defeating attorney David Sterling in a runoff election after
both received more votes than Court of Appeals Judge
Kenneth Hixson in the general election. The Republican
State Leadership Committee’s Judicial Fairness Initia-
tive spent almost $2.3 million on ads, mailers, and robo-
calls supporting Sterling and attacking Goodson, while
the Judicial Crisis Network spent another estimated
$600,000 in TV and Facebook ads attacking both Hixson
and Goodson. Sterling supplemented his outside support
with only $150,000 in fundraising, and Goodson raised
$279,000, significantly less than in her prior election.
TV spending $0 N/A
Louisiana
Justice Jefferson Hughes, a Republican, ran unopposed
in a partisan election to keep the seat he has held since
2012. Justice Greg Guidry, also a Republican, ultimately Kentucky
ran unopposed after a court disqualified his opponent,
TOTAL RANK
attorney Richard Ducote, for failing to file his tax returns.
Anticipating a contested election, Guidry raised more Total spending $427,682 15
than $370,000. Candidate
$427,631 13
fundraising
TV spending $73,170 10
Louisiana
TOTAL RANK
Candidate
$548,161 12
fundraising
TV spending $0 N/A
TV spending $0 N/A
Texas
Three sitting Republican justices on the Texas Supreme
Court stood in partisan elections and held their seats on Texas
the court. Recently appointed Justice Jimmy Blacklock TOTAL RANK
defeated Texas District Court Judge Steven Kirkland, a
Democrat; Justice John Devine defeated District Court Total spending $2,904,330 8
Judge R.K. Sandill, a Democrat; and Justice Jeff Brown Candidate
$2,643,362 5
defeated attorney Kathy Cheng, also a Democrat. Each fundraising
of the sitting justices and Sandill raised more than half a Group spending $260,968 7
million dollars, and the incumbents benefited from the
Party spending $0 N/A
support of numerous outside groups, though lax disclo-
sure rules obscure the full cost of that support. Shortly TV spending $0 N/A
after the election, President Trump nominated, and the
Senate confirmed, Brown to the U.S. District Court for
the Southern District of Texas.
Washington
Washington TOTAL RANK
Competitive challenges never materialized for three
Total spending $431,233 14
incumbent Washington Supreme Court justices stand-
ing for reelection. Justice Susan Owens and Justice Sheryl Candidate
$409,302 14
Gordon McCloud ran unopposed after their challeng- fundraising
ers either withdrew or were disqualified. Justice Steven Group spending $21,931 10
González defeated attorney Nathan Choi with 68 percent
Party spending $0 N/A
of the vote. González raised $335,000 for the campaign,
while McCloud and Owens raised $63,000 and $8,600, TV spending $0 N/A
respectively. Fuse Votes, a political committee backed
by trial lawyers and labor, spent $21,000 on digital ads
supporting the incumbents.
59 See Internal Revenue Service, Form 8872, Second Quarter 72 Townsend, “A Supreme Court Impeachment Fight.”
2018: Republican State Leadership Committee – RSLC, filed July 73 Supreme Court of Appeals of West Virginia, “Justice Davis
16, 2018, available via https://forms.irs.gov/app/pod/basicSearch/ Statement,” press release, Aug. 14, 2018, http://www.courtswv.gov/
search?execution=e3s1&format=. public-resources/press/releases/2018-releases/aug14b_18.pdf.
60 See Internal Revenue Service, Form 8872, First Quarter 2018: 74 Bruce Schreiner and John Raby, “Jenkins, Armstead Among
Republican State Leadership Committee – RSLC, Filed Apr. 16, Candidates for Supreme Court,” Associated Press, Nov. 5, 2018,
2018; Internal Revenue Service, Form 8872, Second Quarter 2018: https://www.usnews.com/news/best-states/west-virginia/arti-
Republican State Leadership Committee – RSLC, Filed July 16, 2018. cles/2018-11-05/jenkins-armstead-among-candidates-for-supreme-
Forms available via available via https://forms.irs.gov/app/pod/ba- court.
sicSearch/search?execution=e3s1&format=. 75 Schreiner and Raby, “Jenkins, Armstead Win Supreme Court
61 Brennan Center for Justice, “Buying Time 2016 – Arkansas,” Races.” West Virginia Supreme Court elections became nonparti-
Sept. 14, 2016, https://www.brennancenter.org/analysis/buy- san in 2015. In 2016, a five-way contest for one seat on the state
ing-time-2016-arkansas. supreme court attracted almost $3 million in outside spending,
62 Laila Robbins, “Conservative Group Behind Kavanaugh Con- including over $2 million from the RSLC-JFI. Bannon et al., Who Pays
firmation Has Spent Years Reshaping State and Federal Benches,” for Judicial Races?
Brennan Center for Justice, Sept. 12, 2018, https://www.brennan- 76 See Internal Revenue Service, Form 8872, Post-General
center.org/blog/conservative-group-behind-kavanaugh-confirma- Election 2018: Republican State Leadership Committee – RSLC,
tion-has-spent-years-reshaping-state-and-federal; Jonathan Keim, filed Dec. 6, 2018, available via https://forms.irs.gov/app/pod/
“Arkansas Supreme Court Justice Courtney Goodson, Part Two: basicSearch/search?execution=e3s1&format=; “Pepperidge, LLC,”
Striking Down Tort Reform,” National Review, Feb. 15, 2016 https:// opencorporates, accessed Oct. 11, 2019, https://opencorporates.
www.nationalreview.com/bench-memos/arkansas-supreme-court- com/companies/us_wv/229346; Noddy A. Fernandez, “Son Files
justice-courtney-goodson-part-two-striking-down-tort. Wrongful Death Suit Against Mercer Nursing and Rehabilitation
63 Patrick Berry and Douglas Keith, “In 2018, a Spate of Partisan Center,” West Virginia Record, July 16, 2018, https://wvrecord.com/
Attacks on State Courts,” Brennan Center for Justice, Dec. 18, 2018, stories/511486957-son-files-wrongful-death-suit-against-mercer-
http://www.brennancenter.org/blog/2018-spate-partisan-attacks- nursing-and-rehabilitation-center; Noddy A. Fernandez, “Widower
state-courts; John Moritz, “Arkansas Supreme Court Yanks Issue Alleges Nursing Home Resident’s Death Caused by Abuse, Neglect,”
1, Calls It Overly Broad,” Arkansas Democrat-Gazette, Oct. 19, 2018, West Virginia Record, Dec. 13, 2018, https://wvrecord.com/sto-
https://www.arkansasonline.com/news/2018/oct/19/justices- ries/511665119-widower-alleges-nursing-home-resident-s-death-
yank-issue-1-call-it-overly-br. caused-by-abuse-neglect.
64 “Greedy Goodson,” accessed June 1, 2018, http://www. 77 Associated Press, “Where the West Virginia Governor Is Sleep-
greedygoodson.com (site discontinued). Screenshots of JCN’s ing Has Landed Him in Court,” Aug. 21, 2019, https://www.nbcnews.
greedygoodson.com website are on file with the author. The AJCCEC com/politics/politics-news/where-west-virginia-governor-sleeping-
also collected mailers sent by JCN, images of which are available via has-landed-him-court-n1044916?cid=public-rss_20190821; Adri-
http://www.arkansasjudges.org/Goodson%20-%20Goodson%20 enne Robbins, “Hearing in Governor Justice’s Residency Case Could
p.%201%20Exhibit%2010-2018.jpg; http://www.arkansasjudges. Lead to the State Supreme Court,” WOWK TV, Aug. 21, 2019, https://
org/Goodson%20-%20Goodson%20p.%202%20Exhibit%2010- www.wowktv.com/news/hearing-in-governor-justices-residency-
2018.jpg; and http://www.arkansasjudges.org/Goodson%20-%20 case-could-lead-to-the-state-supreme-court.
Douglas Keith is counsel in the Brennan Center’s Democracy The Brennan Center gratefully
Program, where he conducts research, advocacy, and litigation to acknowledges Carnegie
promote fair, diverse, and impartial courts. He has coauthored several Corporation of New York, Ford
nationally recognized Brennan Center reports, including Elected Foundation, the JPB Foundation,
Officials, Secret Cash (2018), Noncitizen Voting: The Missing Millions Martin and Ruth Krall, Open Society
(2017), and Secret Spending in the States (2016). Prior to joining the Foundations, Piper Fund – a Proteus
Brennan Center, he worked on voting rights litigation as a Ford Fund initiative, and Rockefeller
Foundation Public Interest Law Fellow at Advancement Project, Brothers Fund for their generous
trained poll workers for the New York City Board of Elections, and support of our fair courts work.
organized New York election reform advocates. Keith is a graduate of Arnold Ventures’ founders, Laura
NYU School of Law and Duke University. and John Arnold, are donors to the
Brennan Center for Justice. This is
Patrick Berry is a fellow and counsel in the Brennan Center’s an independent Brennan Center
Democracy Program, where he focuses on voting rights restoration publication; the views expressed are
and promoting fair, diverse, and impartial courts. During law those of the authors and do not
school, he was a law clerk at Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics necessarily represent those of our
in Washington and Open Primaries. Berry received his BA from supporters.
the University of Central Florida and his JD from the University of
Pennsylvania Law School, where he participated in the legislative The authors of this report are
clinic and was an executive editor for the Journal of Law & Public grateful to their Brennan Center
Affairs. colleagues who lent their support
to its creation. Alicia Bannon
Eric Velasco is a freelance journalist based in Birmingham, provided strategic guidance and
Alabama. He was lead researcher and coauthor of The New Politics vision throughout the research
of Judicial Elections 2011–2012 and was a researcher for both the and writing process. Wendy Weiser
2015–2016 and current edition of the Brennan Center’s rebranded and Dorothy Samuels supplied
Politics of Judicial Elections series. Velasco also tracked in real crucial feedback. This report would
time media spending and campaign disclosures in Supreme Court not be possible without the research
elections nationwide for the Brennan Center from 2014 to 2016. As a support and thought partnership
daily newspaper reporter, Velasco’s beats included court elections in of Laila Robbins and Janna Adelstein.
Alabama at a time when battles over torts and party control made the Julia O’Regan, Chabely Jorge, and
state a top judicial battleground and million-dollar candidates were Marco Balestri helped coding
routine. and analyzing Facebook ad data.
The editorial and design assistance
of Lisa Benenson, Jeanne Park,
Matt Harwood, Zachary Laub, Josh
Bell, Derek Rosenfeld, Alden
National Institute on Money in Politics collects, analyzes, and Wallace, Yuliya Bas, and Lisa Vosper
publishes data on campaign money in state and federal elections. Its brought this project to publication.
50-state database, which is comprehensive since the 1999–2000
elections, includes campaign contributions for all state high-court
judicial races. For more information, visit www.followthemoney.org.