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Giddy | Hedging 1

Hedging Techniques

Dr. Ian Giddy


New York University

Techniques of Hedging

 A brief comparison of hedging tools


 Forwards, futures, swaps
 Asset-liability matching
 Pricing and linkages among the tools
 Uses and abuses of options
 When to use, and when not to use

Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy


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Giddy | Hedging 2

What Hedging Instruments?

What Protection Needed?

Volatility & Complex risks


Direction
Direction Or arbitrage

OTC options, Forwards, Exotics, Hybrids,


Futures, structured
Caps and Floors Swaps notes

Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy


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Tools for Hedging

 Petrobras has to pay for equipment from Japan, in


Japanese yen, in 3 months
 Borrow and pay now?
 Use a forward contract/FX swap?
 Pay later at spot?

Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy


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Giddy | Hedging 3

Forward Contracts, Futures


and Money Market Hedging
 Money market hedging: match currency of assets
and liabilities
 Forwards: Agreement to exchange currencies at
certain exchange rate in the future
 Futures: Exchange-traded contracts for notional
future delivery, minimizing default risk via marking-to-
market
 Currency swap: match payments on foreign-currency
debt
 Interest-rate swap: change floating cost to fixed

Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy


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A Typical Forward Exchange Contract

 We agree today to pay a certain price for a currency in


the future

JPY

Sony
Sony BBof
ofAA

Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy


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Giddy | Hedging 4

Forward Quotations

Source: ft.com

Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy


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The FX Swap Hedge

3-month Swap

3-month Forward Contract

l Dealers typically hedge a forward foreign-exchange


commitment with a spot plus “FX Swap”: spot sale
plus forward purchase of a foreign currency
l The FX swap rate is determined by the interest
differential

Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy


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Giddy | Hedging 5

The Roll-
Roll-Over Swap Hedge

3-month Swap 3-month Swap

6-month Forward Contract

l Dealers often hedge a long-term foreign-exchange


commitment with shorter-term contracts, which are
“rolled over” as they come due
l Corporations themselves do this too.

Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy


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Futures – Like Forwards, But Traded on an Exchange

Source: quotes.ino.com

Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy


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Giddy | Hedging 6

A Currency Swap: Used to Hedge Debt


IDR 100,000

Indosat
Indosat BANK
BANK
USD 10 USD 10

Indosat issues dollar debt, but wants rupiah financing


so exchanges its dollars for IDR equivalent
at today’s spot exchange rate

Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy


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Periodic Exchange of Interest


IDR 100,000

Indosat
Indosat BANK
BANK
USD 10

Fixed IDR 12%

Indosat
Indosat BANK
BANK
Floating USD
3-mo Libor

Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy


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Giddy | Hedging 7

Three Parts of a Currency Swap


IDR 100,000

Indosat
Indosat BANK
BANK
USD 10

Fixed IDR 12%

Indosat
Indosat BANK
BANK
Floating USD
Libor
IDR 100,000

Indosat
Indosat BANK
BANK
USD 10
Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy
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Interest Rate Swap

Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy


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Giddy | Hedging 8

Swap Quotations

Source: ft.com

Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy


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Managing Exchange Risk:


Tools & Techniques
Borrowing
Lending

Symmetrical contracts Kinky contracts

Forward contracts OTC options

Futures Exchange-traded
options

Swaps Exotics
Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy
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Giddy | Hedging 9

Spot, Forwards and Swaps in Indonesia

 Forward and swap


transactions are
necessary for hedging
 But they are declining
as a percentage of the
total in Indonesia

Source: Bank Indonesia Annual Report 2007

Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy


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“Cost of Hedging”
Hedging” is Neutral

Type of Hedge Cost of Hedging


Forward Forward premium

Money Market Hedge Interest rate


(Borrow to match differential
assets)
Do nothing Expected rate of
change of
exchange rate

Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy


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Giddy | Hedging 10

When Should We Use Options to Hedge?


Petrobras hedging cost of Japanese debt

FORWARD
CONTRACT

Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy


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When Should We Use Options to Hedge?


Petrobras hedging cost of Japanese debt CALL
OPTION
ON YEN

FORWARD
CONTRACT

Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy


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Giddy | Hedging 11

Option Hedges

Questions about options:


- When should companies use them?
- Which options?
- How much do they cost?
- Are they worth paying for?

Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy


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Hockey Sticks

CALL PUT

BUY

SELL

Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy


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Giddy | Hedging 12

View on Direction, Volatility or Both?

Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy


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The Hedging Choices

“Natural”
“Natural”
Hedge?
Hedge?

or

Derivatives?
Derivatives? Debt?
Debt?

Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy


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Giddy | Hedging 13

A Hedging Roadmap

Motivations for Hedge

Driven by Driven by company


company views needs

Volatility: options, Company has Company has


Direction: economic natural
forwards, debt exposure hedge

Market risk Forwards,


No need for hedging
remains swaps or debt
Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy
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Contact

Prof. Ian Giddy


NYU Stern School of Business
Tel +1.646.8080.746; Fax +1.866.369.9350
ian.giddy@nyu.edu
Web: giddy.org

Copyright ©2009 Ian H Giddy


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