A Dissertation
to be submitted by
Rajdeep Rawat
Dissertation Guide
The Indian automotive lubricant market is the sixth largest market in the world with
revenues of approximately $1.30 billion in 2002. It is also one of the fastest growing
retail markets in India. Until 1993, it was a highly regulated market with a clear
dominance of the public sector. Companies like Bharat Petroleum (BPCL),
Hindustan Petroleum (HPCL), and Indian Oil Corporation (IOC) held more than 75
percent of the market share. In recent years, with the advent of the increasing
number of multinationals in the Indian market there is a growing presence of private
companies. Companies like Castrol, Elf ,Total-Fina, Gulf, and Shell Oil have made
their presence felt in the market.
The first seeds of competition were sown in the early 1990’s when following the
liberalization of the Indian economy, the government decided to open the Indian
market to foreign competition. Import of base oil, the key raw material, was de-
canalized with IOC losing its status as the sole canalizing agent. Pricing of base oil
was deregulated in a phased manner and currently it is market determined. Basic
custom duty on base oil stock was also reduced from a peak of 85 percent to a level
of 25 percent. All quantitative restrictions were also removed. These developments
naturally encouraged the entry of foreign players on Indian shores who were already
facing a slowdown in demand in their local markets. The coming in of foreign
participants created an excess supply situation in the Indian automotive lubes
market, which made it more difficult for the Indian lube manufacturers to survive.
OBJECTIVE
To increase the sale of lubricant and to know the problem of lub industry..
LIMITATION
LITERATURE REVIEW
There are two key markets for lubricants in India. Given high levels of competition
original equipment, linkages are gaining importance. The original equipment market
contributes almost 70 percent and 30 percent of the market is comprised by the retail
sales segment. The channel for replacement market or the retail segment is petrol
pumps or retail stores. Almost 70 percent of the lubricants in India are sold through
petrol pumps. Most of the MNC’s have tied up with oil majors for marketing their
lubricants like Castrol with Escorts and Tata BP with Telco. After the deregulation of
the petrol pumps companies are keenly watching the developments in the lubes
market.
In the recent past, the Indian lubricant market has witnessed a phase of consolidation.
Multinationals with better technology, brand name and finances have the power to launch
themselves on their own in the market. However, with increasing number of competitors it is
not possible for every one to carve a nich in the market. This sector has witnessed
considerable amount of mergers and acquisitions. British Petroleum’s not so recent
acquisition of Castrol is one example. The Indian lubes market is a combative market place
and lubricant companies find themselves fighting a tough battle for survival. In the OE sector
also lubricant manufacturing, companies are entering into collaborations with vehicle
manufactures. Maruti Udyog, Hyundai Motors, Hindustan Motors, TAFE, Toyota, and Skoda
have entered into collaboration with IOC and Castrol for some of their models
In the future, growth in the automotive lubricants industry will largely depend on the overall
performance of the economy. In the past one and a half years, the scenario has improved with
higher sales of commercial vehicles and two-wheelers. However, in the future volume growth
will be affected because of use of better quality, long drain lubes. This will increase the
replacement cycle for lubes. In the shorter term, one will witness intense competition in a
slow growing market marked by a consolidation activity, which has the potential to change
the face of the lubricant industry. Given the rising competition, success of a product would
largely depend how well it is branded and distributed.
Various Lubricant Companies in India….
8 IPOL
Brand of industrial & automotive lubricants, speciality & process oils made by Sah
Petroleums Ltd; the company is Mumbai-based and has a production capacity of 40,000 KL;
other products: industrial greases, rubber process oils, transformer oils etc
Lubricants
9 Savita Group
Mumbai-based group comprising Savita Chemicals & Savita Polymers; product range
includes liquid paraffin, optic fibre filling compounds, transformer oils, pour point
depressants, white oil, petroleum sulfonates, auto lubricants etc
Petrochemicals Lubricants
Country Kg.
P.a.
In the world market the consumption growth of lubes has
India 1 almost stagnated due to saturation in industrial activity
and stagnation in the sale of automobiles. Thus, India
China 2 remains the target market for most of the MNCs in the
lubes industry because of its potential for future growth,
Western 14 given its large industrial base and booming vehicle
Europe market.
1999 1998 %
Change
We believe, given the severe competition and overcapacity prevailing within the
sector as mentioned earlier, the scenario for lubricant market in India does not seem
attractive in the medium to short term. However given Castrol’s excellent brand
value, strong distribution channels, technology and R & D backup of the parent and
management initiatives in increasing its market share, Castrol would remain the best
investment option within the industry.
Typically, Base Oil constitutes more than 50% of the total material costs for
Castrol. The prices of base oil have been rising in consonance with rising
crude oil prices, which may have considerable impact on the profitability of
Castrol in the current financial year.
(In US $)
March’99 180
September’99 240
January’2000 325
% %
Particular Chang Chang
s 1999 1998 e 1999 1998 e
Q4 Q4 FY FY
Gross 372.4 314.6 1195.5 1079.2
Sales 1 7 18.35 5 1 10.78
Other Inc. 3.67 4.78 -23.22 23.09 20.2 14.31
375.2 319.4 1218.6 1099.4
Total Inc. 1 5 17.46 4 1 10.84
299.7 255.6
Total Exp. 1 4 17.24 949.86 869.34 9.26
Op.Profit 75.44 63.81 18.23 268.78 230.07 16.83
Interest 0.65 0.66 -1.52 2.62 2.53 3.56
Gross
Profit 74.83 63.15 18.50 266.16 227.54 16.97
Depreciati
on 3.76 2.79 34.77 10.08 8.43 19.57
PBT 71.14 60.36 17.86 256.08 219.11 16.87
Financials
Tax 10.6 8.72 21.56 51.7 40.75 26.87
PAT 60.37 51.64 16.91 204.38 178.36 14.59 Castrol declared a strong
Equity 123.5 61.75 123.5 61.75 result in for the year ended
Financial Ratios 31/12/99. While the Net Sales
OPM (excl for the Year ended 31/12/99
O.I.) % 19.50 18.80 _ 20.60 19.40 _ increased by 10.78% to
1195.55 crores operating
OPM (incl.
Profit increased more than
O.I) % 19.90 19.80 _ 21.80 20.70 _
proportionately by 16.83% to
Int/Sales Rs. 268.78 crores, however
% 0.17 0.21 _ 0.22 0.23 _ higher depreciation and
GPM % 19.90 19.80 _ 21.80 20.70 _ corporate taxes resulted in Net
NPM % 16.10 16.20 _ 16.80 16.20 _ Profit growth of 14.59%.
Tax/PBT
% 14.90 14.40 _ 20.20 18.60 _
Cash EPS 20.77 35.26 _ 17.37 30.25 _ Growth
EPS 19.55 33.45 _ 16.55 28.88 _
Castrol continues to
enjoy excellent brand image in the Indian Lube industry. In fact it ranked 17 th
in the list of Most Admired FMCG Marketing Company in the annual survey
conducted by ORG-MARG. It also scored better on most of the important
parameters on Marketing Dimensions as shown below.
Marketing Dimensions Rank’99 Rank’98
We believe that given Castrol India’s Cash rich position and the backing of
strong parentage of Global Oil Giant BP-Amoco, various possibilities arise for
future growth of the company. As explained earlier, Castrol India has already
evinced interest for local acquisitions. Further, Castrol India can also be
considered as a sourcing point for various projects and products
Internationally. We believe that valuations of Castrol India would depend upon
these developments in time to come.
Comparative Valuations
Currently, Castrol is available at a P/E of just more than 19 times its 99 earnings. It is
available at just 17.08 and 14.85 times its KRC Research estimated earnings for
2000 and 2001 respectively.
Abstract
The Indian automotive lubricants market is largely price sensitive and volume growth is
stagnating due to longer lasting lubricants. The market is fragmented with over 22 big and
small manufacturers and with the spate of mergers and acquisitions (M&A), only a handful of
big companies enjoy a major market share.
Companies are adopting a more customer-oriented approach where they are likely to focus on
creating brand awareness through print and visual media. For example promotional
campaigns and trade shows offering gifts to their customers are methods of driving sales of
automotive lubricants.
The original equipment segment and retail trade are the two major marketing channels in the
Indian automotive lubricants market. Due to the growing competition, tie-ups with original
equipment manufacturers (OEM) are becoming important as they reinforce the value
proposition of a particular brand.
Petrol pumps form a major distribution channel in retail trade, however sales of lubricants
through retail outlets (also called ‘the bazaar trade’) has transformed the Indian automotive
lubricants market into a fast moving consumer goods (FMCG) sector. The other marketing
channels are authorized service stations, garages, rural and agricultural dealers, super
markets, and wholesale distributors
Public sector unit (PSU) companies, that manufacture their own base oil, follow different
distribution strategies as compared to private participants that solely dependent on imports.
While PSUs sell through their own wide spread network of petrol stations private
manufacturers prefer retail outlets.
Engine oil, which accounted for over 70.0 percent market share in 2004 in the Indian
automotive lubricants market, plays the most crucial role in deciding the market share of
manufacturers. Increase in demand for four stroke motorcycles, tie ups with original
equipment manufacturers, and implementation of new pollution norms are just some of the
key drivers of the engine oil segment.
The brake oil and coolant is the next largest segment in the Indian automotive lubricants
market. Demand for coolants is increasing due to continuous growth in heavy commercial
vehicles, increasing awareness among the customers, new cooling system technologies, and
OEM tie-ups.
In brake oil segment, increasing growth in light commercial vehicles, introduction of new
brake systems, consumption of lubes by commercial passenger vehicles, and changing
customer mindset regarding specialty lubricants are expected to push demand further.
The market for gear oils is also growing rapidly and has a high potential due to the increasing
number of vehicles on the road. New generation vehicles with advanced gear system
technologies and automatic transmission systems require special type of lubricants resulting
in greater demand for multi axel gear oil and API synthetic gear oil, API GL-5, API MT-1,
and ultra-Matic, which reduce the oil changing intervals.
In the long term, the overall outlook for the automotive lubricants market is expected to be
positive due to the growing Indian economy along with the increased purchasing power of
consumers.
RESEARCH DESIGN
Descriptive Research
Secondary Data
METHODOLOGY