Studi
#REF! Kelayakan Kereta Gantung Pantai Alam Indah
Asumsi
#REF! Ekonomi dan Keuangan
Kenaikan Tarif 25%
A Ekonomi
1 Inflasi 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0%
2 Bunga Simpanan 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
3 Bunga Pinjaman 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0%
4 Pajak 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0%
B Keuangan
1 Piutang
2 Kerugian Piutang 2.5%
3 Target Penagihan Piutang
4 Pembiayaan Investasi
▪ Hutang 0.0%
▪ Ekuitas 100.0%
5 Periode Pelunasan Hutang
6 Tarif 50,000 50,000 50,000 50,000 50,000 52,000 52,000 52,000
7 Hutang Biaya
9 10 11 12 13 14 15
1 Kabin 32,278,833,376
2 Line Equipment/Kabel Baja 12,658,366,030
3 Station Equipment (2) 134,811,598,216
4 FISIK Bangunan Stasiun 37,975,098,089
5 FISIK Pondasi Tiang Gondola 181,014,634,225
6 FISIK Tower/Tiang Gondola 77,848,951,083
7 Biaya Perencanaan & Engineering 37,975,098,089
8 Biaya Tak Terduga/Lain-lain 118,355,722,378
Total Investasi 632,918,301,485
PEMERINTAH KOTA TEGAL
Studi Kelayakan Kereta Gantung Pantai Alam Indah
Investasi
Estimasi Umur Ekonomis 30 Tahun
Bobot
No Jenis Pekerjaan Harga Satuan Jumlah Harga Total
Pekerjaan
No Jenis Biaya 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Estimasi
No Jenis Biaya Periode 1 2 3
Perawatan
7,164,561,854 8,059,157,706
3,044,570,689
3,960,697,163
7,164,561,854 0 3,960,697,163 11,103,728,395 0 0
7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589
10 11 12 13 14 15
9,065,456,374 10,197,405,518
3,852,353,196
4,818,793,699
9,065,456,374 4,818,793,699 0 14,049,758,714 0 0
7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589
16 17 18 19 20 21
11,470,694,361 12,902,971,141
4,874,455,765
8,666,746,850
10,544,422,710
17,367,284,463
17,367,284,463
5,862,799,340 7,132,991,833
26,000,240,551 0 0 17,777,426,906 0 52,411,983,470
7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589
22 23 24 25 26 27
14,514,087,730 16,326,374,780
6,167,741,584
8,678,375,217
14,514,087,730 0 0 22,494,116,364 8,678,375,217 0
7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589
28 29 30
18,364,951,241
18,364,951,241 0 0
7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589
PEMERINTAH KOTA TEGAL
Studi Kelayakan Kereta Gantung Pantai Alam Indah
Jumlah Pengunjung
Jumlah Pengunjung PAI Eksisting 360,608 Orang
Proyeksi Kenaikan Pengunjung PAI 10% per Tahun
Estimasi Jumlah Penumpang 25% Jumlah Pengunjung PAI
No Keterangan 1 2 3 4
jam 8 pagi
jam 5 sore
6 orang per gondola
5 6 7 8 9 10
6,500,407 7,150,448
1,048,320 1,048,320
PEMERINTAH KOTA TEGAL
Studi Kelayakan Kereta Gantung Pantai Alam Indah
Unit Cost dan Tarif
Estimasi Jumla 1,048,320 Orang per Tahun
No Keterangan 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
A Jenis Biaya
1 Biaya Operasional 7,911,478,769 8,227,937,919 8,557,055,436 8,899,337,654 9,255,311,160 9,625,523,606 10,010,544,550
2 Biaya Perawatan 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589
3 Biaya Penyusutan 21,097,276,716 21,097,276,716 21,097,276,716 21,097,276,716 21,097,276,716 21,097,276,716 21,097,276,716
Total Biaya 36,022,228,074 36,338,687,225 36,667,804,741 37,010,086,959 37,366,060,465 37,736,272,911 38,121,293,856
B Produk Ekuivalen
Kapasitas KG per Tahun 1,048,320 1,048,320 1,048,320 1,048,320 1,048,320 1,048,320 1,048,320
C Harga Pokok Produksi
Unit Cost per Penumpang 34,362 34,664 34,978 35,304 35,644 35,997 36,364
D Tarif
Tarif 50,000 50,000 50,000 50,000 50,000 52,000 52,000
8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
A Pendapatan Operasional
1 Pendapatan KG 1,112,913,285,120 52,416,000,000 52,416,000,000
2 Pendapatan Kios 1,488,903,929 50,000,000 52,000,000
3 Pendapatan Parkir 0 0 0
Total Pendapatan Operasional 1,114,402,189,049 52,466,000,000 52,468,000,000
B Biaya Operasional
1 Biaya Operasional 235,588,636,421 7,911,478,769 8,227,937,919
2 Biaya Perawatan 140,269,451,784 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589
3 Biaya Bunga 0 0 0
4 Biaya Penyusutan 421,945,534,323 21,097,276,716 21,097,276,716
Jumlah Biaya 797,803,622,529 36,022,228,074 36,338,687,225
Laba Sebelum Pajak (EBT) 316,598,566,520 16,443,771,926 16,129,312,775
Pajak 31,659,856,652 1,644,377,193 1,612,931,278
Laba Setelah Pajak (EAT) 284,938,709,868 14,799,394,733 14,516,381,498
3 4 5 6 7 8
56,693,145,600
86,583,822
0
56,779,729,422
13,700,121,449
7,013,472,589
0
21,097,276,716
41,810,870,755
14,968,858,668
1,496,885,867
13,471,972,801
PEMERINTAH KOTA TEGAL
Studi Kelayakan Kereta Gantung Pantai Alam Indah
Financial Projection
No Cashflow Total 1 2 3 4 5
A Cash Inflow
1 Pendapatan KG 1,112,913,285,120 52,416,000,000 52,416,000,000 52,416,000,000 52,416,000,000 52,416,000,000
2 Pendapatan Kios 1,488,903,929 50,000,000 52,000,000 54,080,000 56,243,200 58,492,928
3 Pendapatan Parkir 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total Cash Outflow 1,114,402,189,049 52,466,000,000 52,468,000,000 52,470,080,000 52,472,243,200 52,474,492,928
B Cash Outflow
1 Investasi 632,918,301,485 632,918,301,485
2 Biaya Operasional 235,588,636,421 7,911,478,769 8,227,937,919 8,557,055,436 8,899,337,654 9,255,311,160
3 Biaya Perawatan 140,269,451,784 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589
4 Biaya Bunga 0 0 0 0 0 0
5 Biaya Pajak 31,659,856,652 1,644,377,193 1,612,931,278 1,580,227,526 1,546,215,624 1,510,843,246
Total Cash Inflow 1,040,436,246,343 649,487,630,035 16,854,341,786 17,150,755,551 17,459,025,867 17,779,626,995
Total Cashflow 73,965,942,706 (597,021,630,035) 35,613,658,214 35,319,324,449 35,013,217,333 34,694,865,933
(597,021,630,035) (561,407,971,821) (526,088,647,373) (491,075,430,039) (456,380,564,107)
Periode Analisis
Indikator Kelayakan Keuangan
Tahun I-X Tahun I-XX Tahun I-XXX
Discount Factor 10.00% 10.00% 10.00%
IRR -11.03% 1.20% 3.95%
NPV (357,518,593,824) (273,637,785,535) (242,786,395,714)
B/C Ratio 1.52 1.34 0.82
Payback Period 17.16 17.16 17.16
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
56,693,145,600 56,693,145,600
83,253,675 86,583,822
0 0
56,776,399,275 56,779,729,422
13,173,193,701 13,700,121,449
7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589
0 0
1,549,245,627 1,496,885,867
21,735,911,917 22,210,479,905
35,040,487,358 34,569,249,517
(135,898,988,858) (101,329,739,341)