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PEMERINTAH KOTA TEGAL

Studi
#REF! Kelayakan Kereta Gantung Pantai Alam Indah
Asumsi
#REF! Ekonomi dan Keuangan
Kenaikan Tarif 25%

No Jenis Asumsi Nilai Dasar 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

A Ekonomi
1 Inflasi 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0%
2 Bunga Simpanan 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
3 Bunga Pinjaman 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0%
4 Pajak 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0%
B Keuangan
1 Piutang
2 Kerugian Piutang 2.5%
3 Target Penagihan Piutang
4 Pembiayaan Investasi
▪ Hutang 0.0%
▪ Ekuitas 100.0%
5 Periode Pelunasan Hutang
6 Tarif 50,000 50,000 50,000 50,000 50,000 52,000 52,000 52,000
7 Hutang Biaya
9 10 11 12 13 14 15

4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0%


2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0%
10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0%

52,000 52,000 54,080 54,080 54,080 54,080 54,080


PEMERINTAH KOTA TEGAL
Studi Kelayakan Kereta Gantung Pantai Alam Indah
Investasi
Estimasi Umur Ekonomis 25 Tahun

No Jenis Investasi Jumlah

1 Kabin 32,278,833,376
2 Line Equipment/Kabel Baja 12,658,366,030
3 Station Equipment (2) 134,811,598,216
4 FISIK Bangunan Stasiun 37,975,098,089
5 FISIK Pondasi Tiang Gondola 181,014,634,225
6 FISIK Tower/Tiang Gondola 77,848,951,083
7 Biaya Perencanaan & Engineering 37,975,098,089
8 Biaya Tak Terduga/Lain-lain 118,355,722,378
Total Investasi 632,918,301,485
PEMERINTAH KOTA TEGAL
Studi Kelayakan Kereta Gantung Pantai Alam Indah
Investasi
Estimasi Umur Ekonomis 30 Tahun

Bobot
No Jenis Pekerjaan Harga Satuan Jumlah Harga Total
Pekerjaan

1 Kabin 5.10% 1,613,941,669 20 32,278,833,376


2 Line Equipment/Kabel Baja 2.0% Lumsum 12,658,366,030
3 Station Equipment (2) 21.30% 67,405,799,108 2 134,811,598,216
4 Station Structures 6.0% 18,987,549,045 2 37,975,098,089
5 Pondasi Tiang Gondola 28.60% 10,647,919,660 17 181,014,634,225
6 Konstruksi Tower/Tiang Gondola 12.30% 4,579,350,064 17 77,848,951,083
7 Biaya Perencanaan & Engineering 6.0% Lumsum 37,975,098,089
8 Biaya Tak Terduga/Lain-lain 18.70% Lumsum 118,355,722,378
Total Investasi 100.00% 632,918,301,485
Biaya Penyusutan per Tahun 21,097,276,716
Panjang Lintasan 2.32 Km
Jumlah Tiang Kabel 17
PEMERINTAH KOTA TEGAL
Studi Kelayakan Kereta Gantung Pantai Alam Indah
Biaya Operasional
Estimasi Biaya O 1 Konstruksi
1.25%

No Jenis Biaya 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

1 Biaya OM 7,911,478,769 8,227,937,919 8,557,055,436 8,899,337,654 9,255,311,160 9,625,523,606 10,010,544,550


8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

10,410,966,332 10,827,404,986 11,260,501,185 11,710,921,232 12,179,358,082 12,666,532,405 13,173,193,701 13,700,121,449 14,248,126,307


17 18 19

14,818,051,359 15,410,773,414 16,027,204,350


PEMERINTAH KOTA TEGAL
Studi Kelayakan Kereta Gantung Pantai Alam Indah
Biaya Perawatan
Inflasi 4.0%

Estimasi
No Jenis Biaya Periode 1 2 3
Perawatan

1 Track ropes 30 30,621,487,500


2 Haul Rope 3 6,124,297,500
3 Track Rope slipping 6 2,313,623,500
4 Cabins and Hangers 30 61,242,975,000
5 Saddle Profile 30 3,130,196,500
6 Bullwheel bearings 15 4,627,247,000
7 Alternating Current (AC) Motors 20 4,627,247,000
8 Gearbox 20 7,621,348,000
9 Control Systems and Hydraulics 20 7,621,348,000
10 Inspeksi Berkala (All-in) 5 3,130,196,500
Total Biaya OM 210,404,177,676 0 0
Biaya Perawatan per Tahun 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589
4 5 6 7 8 9

7,164,561,854 8,059,157,706
3,044,570,689

3,960,697,163
7,164,561,854 0 3,960,697,163 11,103,728,395 0 0
7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589
10 11 12 13 14 15

9,065,456,374 10,197,405,518
3,852,353,196

4,818,793,699
9,065,456,374 4,818,793,699 0 14,049,758,714 0 0
7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589
16 17 18 19 20 21

11,470,694,361 12,902,971,141
4,874,455,765

8,666,746,850
10,544,422,710
17,367,284,463
17,367,284,463
5,862,799,340 7,132,991,833
26,000,240,551 0 0 17,777,426,906 0 52,411,983,470
7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589
22 23 24 25 26 27

14,514,087,730 16,326,374,780
6,167,741,584

8,678,375,217
14,514,087,730 0 0 22,494,116,364 8,678,375,217 0
7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589
28 29 30

18,364,951,241

18,364,951,241 0 0
7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589
PEMERINTAH KOTA TEGAL
Studi Kelayakan Kereta Gantung Pantai Alam Indah
Jumlah Pengunjung
Jumlah Pengunjung PAI Eksisting 360,608 Orang
Proyeksi Kenaikan Pengunjung PAI 10% per Tahun
Estimasi Jumlah Penumpang 25% Jumlah Pengunjung PAI

No Keterangan 1 2 3 4

1 Jumlah Pengunjung PAI 450,760 495,836 545,420 599,962


2 Jumlah Penumpang KG 1,048,320 1,048,320 1,048,320 1,048,320
Jumlah Gondala Car 20 Unit
Kapasitas 6 Orang per GC
Waktu Tempuh, Antrian, Loading 3 Trayek per Jam
Jam Operasional 8 Jam per Hari
Hari Efektif 7 Hari per Minggu
Minggu Efektif 52 Minggu per Tahun
1,048,320

jam 8 pagi
jam 5 sore
6 orang per gondola
5 6 7 8 9 10

659,958 725,953 798,549 878,404 966,244 1,062,869


1,048,320 1,048,320 1,048,320 1,048,320 1,048,320 1,048,320
11 12 13 14 15 16

1,169,155 1,286,071 1,414,678 1,556,146 1,711,760 1,882,936


1,048,320 1,048,320 1,048,320 1,048,320 1,048,320 1,048,320
17 18 19 20 21 22

2,071,230 2,278,353 2,506,188 2,756,807 3,032,488 3,335,737


1,048,320 1,048,320 1,048,320 1,048,320 1,048,320 1,048,320
23 24 25 26 27 28

3,669,310 4,036,241 4,439,866 4,883,852 5,372,237 5,909,461


1,048,320 1,048,320 1,048,320 1,048,320 1,048,320 1,048,320
29 30

6,500,407 7,150,448
1,048,320 1,048,320
PEMERINTAH KOTA TEGAL
Studi Kelayakan Kereta Gantung Pantai Alam Indah
Unit Cost dan Tarif
Estimasi Jumla 1,048,320 Orang per Tahun

No Keterangan 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

A Jenis Biaya
1 Biaya Operasional 7,911,478,769 8,227,937,919 8,557,055,436 8,899,337,654 9,255,311,160 9,625,523,606 10,010,544,550
2 Biaya Perawatan 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589
3 Biaya Penyusutan 21,097,276,716 21,097,276,716 21,097,276,716 21,097,276,716 21,097,276,716 21,097,276,716 21,097,276,716
Total Biaya 36,022,228,074 36,338,687,225 36,667,804,741 37,010,086,959 37,366,060,465 37,736,272,911 38,121,293,856
B Produk Ekuivalen
Kapasitas KG per Tahun 1,048,320 1,048,320 1,048,320 1,048,320 1,048,320 1,048,320 1,048,320
C Harga Pokok Produksi
Unit Cost per Penumpang 34,362 34,664 34,978 35,304 35,644 35,997 36,364
D Tarif
Tarif 50,000 50,000 50,000 50,000 50,000 52,000 52,000
8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15

10,410,966,332 10,827,404,986 11,260,501,185 11,710,921,232 12,179,358,082 12,666,532,405 13,173,193,701 13,700,121,449


7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589
21,097,276,716 21,097,276,716 21,097,276,716 21,097,276,716 21,097,276,716 21,097,276,716 21,097,276,716 21,097,276,716
38,521,715,638 38,938,154,291 39,371,250,490 39,821,670,538 40,290,107,387 40,777,281,710 41,283,943,007 41,810,870,755

1,048,320 1,048,320 1,048,320 1,048,320 1,048,320 1,048,320 1,048,320 1,048,320

36,746 37,143 37,557 37,986 38,433 38,898 39,381 39,884

52,000 52,000 52,000 54,080 54,080 54,080 54,080 54,080


0 PEMERINTAH KOTA TEGAL
Studi
0 Kelayakan Kereta Gantung Pantai Alam Indah
Laporan LabaLaporan
Rugi Laba Rugi

No Pendapatan dan Biaya Total 1 2

A Pendapatan Operasional
1 Pendapatan KG 1,112,913,285,120 52,416,000,000 52,416,000,000
2 Pendapatan Kios 1,488,903,929 50,000,000 52,000,000
3 Pendapatan Parkir 0 0 0
Total Pendapatan Operasional 1,114,402,189,049 52,466,000,000 52,468,000,000
B Biaya Operasional
1 Biaya Operasional 235,588,636,421 7,911,478,769 8,227,937,919
2 Biaya Perawatan 140,269,451,784 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589
3 Biaya Bunga 0 0 0
4 Biaya Penyusutan 421,945,534,323 21,097,276,716 21,097,276,716
Jumlah Biaya 797,803,622,529 36,022,228,074 36,338,687,225
Laba Sebelum Pajak (EBT) 316,598,566,520 16,443,771,926 16,129,312,775
Pajak 31,659,856,652 1,644,377,193 1,612,931,278
Laba Setelah Pajak (EAT) 284,938,709,868 14,799,394,733 14,516,381,498
3 4 5 6 7 8

52,416,000,000 52,416,000,000 52,416,000,000 54,512,640,000 54,512,640,000 54,512,640,000


54,080,000 56,243,200 58,492,928 60,832,645 63,265,951 65,796,589
0 0 0 0 0 0
52,470,080,000 52,472,243,200 52,474,492,928 54,573,472,645 54,575,905,951 54,578,436,589

8,557,055,436 8,899,337,654 9,255,311,160 9,625,523,606 10,010,544,550 10,410,966,332


7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589
0 0 0 0 0 0
21,097,276,716 21,097,276,716 21,097,276,716 21,097,276,716 21,097,276,716 21,097,276,716
36,667,804,741 37,010,086,959 37,366,060,465 37,736,272,911 38,121,293,856 38,521,715,638
15,802,275,259 15,462,156,241 15,108,432,463 16,837,199,734 16,454,612,095 16,056,720,951
1,580,227,526 1,546,215,624 1,510,843,246 1,683,719,973 1,645,461,210 1,605,672,095
14,222,047,733 13,915,940,617 13,597,589,217 15,153,479,760 14,809,150,886 14,451,048,856
9 10 11 12 13 14

54,512,640,000 54,512,640,000 56,693,145,600 56,693,145,600 56,693,145,600 56,693,145,600


68,428,453 71,165,591 74,012,214 76,972,703 80,051,611 83,253,675
0 0 0 0 0 0
54,581,068,453 54,583,805,591 56,767,157,814 56,770,118,303 56,773,197,211 56,776,399,275

10,827,404,986 11,260,501,185 11,710,921,232 12,179,358,082 12,666,532,405 13,173,193,701


7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589
0 0 0 0 0 0
21,097,276,716 21,097,276,716 21,097,276,716 21,097,276,716 21,097,276,716 21,097,276,716
38,938,154,291 39,371,250,490 39,821,670,538 40,290,107,387 40,777,281,710 41,283,943,007
15,642,914,162 15,212,555,100 16,945,487,276 16,480,010,916 15,995,915,501 15,492,456,269
1,564,291,416 1,521,255,510 1,694,548,728 1,648,001,092 1,599,591,550 1,549,245,627
14,078,622,745 13,691,299,590 15,250,938,549 14,832,009,824 14,396,323,951 13,943,210,642
15

56,693,145,600
86,583,822
0
56,779,729,422

13,700,121,449
7,013,472,589
0
21,097,276,716
41,810,870,755
14,968,858,668
1,496,885,867
13,471,972,801
PEMERINTAH KOTA TEGAL
Studi Kelayakan Kereta Gantung Pantai Alam Indah
Financial Projection

No Cashflow Total 1 2 3 4 5

A Cash Inflow
1 Pendapatan KG 1,112,913,285,120 52,416,000,000 52,416,000,000 52,416,000,000 52,416,000,000 52,416,000,000
2 Pendapatan Kios 1,488,903,929 50,000,000 52,000,000 54,080,000 56,243,200 58,492,928
3 Pendapatan Parkir 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total Cash Outflow 1,114,402,189,049 52,466,000,000 52,468,000,000 52,470,080,000 52,472,243,200 52,474,492,928
B Cash Outflow
1 Investasi 632,918,301,485 632,918,301,485
2 Biaya Operasional 235,588,636,421 7,911,478,769 8,227,937,919 8,557,055,436 8,899,337,654 9,255,311,160
3 Biaya Perawatan 140,269,451,784 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589
4 Biaya Bunga 0 0 0 0 0 0
5 Biaya Pajak 31,659,856,652 1,644,377,193 1,612,931,278 1,580,227,526 1,546,215,624 1,510,843,246
Total Cash Inflow 1,040,436,246,343 649,487,630,035 16,854,341,786 17,150,755,551 17,459,025,867 17,779,626,995
Total Cashflow 73,965,942,706 (597,021,630,035) 35,613,658,214 35,319,324,449 35,013,217,333 34,694,865,933
(597,021,630,035) (561,407,971,821) (526,088,647,373) (491,075,430,039) (456,380,564,107)
Periode Analisis
Indikator Kelayakan Keuangan
Tahun I-X Tahun I-XX Tahun I-XXX
Discount Factor 10.00% 10.00% 10.00%
IRR -11.03% 1.20% 3.95%
NPV (357,518,593,824) (273,637,785,535) (242,786,395,714)
B/C Ratio 1.52 1.34 0.82
Payback Period 17.16 17.16 17.16
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

54,512,640,000 54,512,640,000 54,512,640,000 54,512,640,000 54,512,640,000 56,693,145,600 56,693,145,600 56,693,145,600


60,832,645 63,265,951 65,796,589 68,428,453 71,165,591 74,012,214 76,972,703 80,051,611
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
54,573,472,645 54,575,905,951 54,578,436,589 54,581,068,453 54,583,805,591 56,767,157,814 56,770,118,303 56,773,197,211

9,625,523,606 10,010,544,550 10,410,966,332 10,827,404,986 11,260,501,185 11,710,921,232 12,179,358,082 12,666,532,405


7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1,683,719,973 1,645,461,210 1,605,672,095 1,564,291,416 1,521,255,510 1,694,548,728 1,648,001,092 1,599,591,550
18,322,716,169 18,669,478,349 19,030,111,017 19,405,168,991 19,795,229,284 20,418,942,549 20,840,831,763 21,279,596,544
36,250,756,476 35,906,427,602 35,548,325,572 35,175,899,462 34,788,576,306 36,348,215,265 35,929,286,540 35,493,600,667
(420,129,807,630) (384,223,380,028) (348,675,054,456) (313,499,154,994) (278,710,578,688) (242,362,363,423) (206,433,076,883) (170,939,476,216)
14 15

56,693,145,600 56,693,145,600
83,253,675 86,583,822
0 0
56,776,399,275 56,779,729,422

13,173,193,701 13,700,121,449
7,013,472,589 7,013,472,589
0 0
1,549,245,627 1,496,885,867
21,735,911,917 22,210,479,905
35,040,487,358 34,569,249,517
(135,898,988,858) (101,329,739,341)

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