www.emeraldinsight.com/1469-1930.htm
JIC
8,1 Intellectual capital and financial
returns of companies
Hong Pew Tan, David Plowman and Phil Hancock
76 The Graduate School of Management, University of Western Australia,
Crawley, Australia
Abstract
Purpose – The purpose of the paper is to investigate the association between the intellectual capital
(IC) of firms and their financial performance.
Design/methodology/approach – The paper uses the Pulic framework, has an Asian focus, and
draws on data from 150 publicly listed companies on the Singapore Exchange. It is an empirical study
using partial least squares (PLS) for the data analysis. The paper tests four elements of IC and
company performance.
Findings – The findings show that: IC and company performance are positively related; IC is
correlated to future company performance; the rate of growth of a company’s IC is positively related to
the company’s performance; and the contribution of IC to company performance differs by industry.
Research limitations/implications – The data sample is restricted to 150 companies listed on the
Singapore Exchange between the years 2000 and 2002.
Practical implications – IC is an area of interest to numerous parties, such as shareholders,
institutional investors, scholars, policymakers and managers. The findings help to embolden modern
day managers to better harness and manage IC.
Originality/value – The study of IC has undergone a number of stages, from early conscious
awareness efforts to classification of IC, and to the search for appropriate measures of IC. This paper
builds on the current research on IC and provides empirical evidence on the relevance of IC (as
measured by the Pulic model) to the financial performance of companies.
Keywords Intellectual capital, Company performance, Regression analysis
Paper type Research paper
1. Introduction
The rise of the “new economy”, one principally driven by information and knowledge,
has led to an increased interest in intellectual capital (IC) (Stewart, 1997; Thurow, 1999;
Petty and Guthrie, 2000; Bontis, 2001). An area that has captured the interest of a
number of scholars and practitioners is the utility of IC as an instrument for
determining enterprise value (Stewart, 1997; Edvinsson and Malone, 1997; Sveiby,
1998; Thurow, 1999; Lev and Feng, 2001; Guthrie, 2001). This has been a vexed issue,
with some writers suggesting that established management and reporting systems are
increasingly losing their relevance because they are unable to provide executives with
information that is essential for managing knowledge-based processes and intangible
resources (Bornemann and Leitner, 2002).
Historically, the distinction between intangible assets and IC has been, at best,
vague with intangibles, including IC, being referred to as “goodwill” (Accounting
Journal of Intellectual Capital Principles Board, 1970; Accounting Standards Board, 1997; International Accounting
Vol. 8 No. 1, 2007
pp. 76-95 Standards Committee, 1998). This can be traced back to the early 1980s when the
q Emerald Group Publishing Limited
1469-1930
general notion of intangible value, often labelled as goodwill, began to surface in
DOI 10.1108/14691930710715079 accounting and business practices (International Federation of Accountants, 1998).
However, traditional accounting practice does not provide for the identification and IC and financial
measurement of these intangibles in organisations, especially knowledge-based returns
organisations (Guthrie et al., 1999; International Federation of Accountants, 1998;
Society of Management Accountants of Canada, 1998). New intangibles such as staff
competencies, customer relationships, simulation models, computer and administrative
systems receive no recognition in the traditional financial and management reporting
models (Stewart, 1997, pp. 56-9). Interestingly, even traditional intangibles such as 77
brand equity, patents, and goodwill are rarely reported in the financial statements
(International Federation of Accountants, 1998; International Accounting Standards
Committee, 1998). In fact, International Accounting Standard IAS 38, Intangible Assets,
prohibits the recognition of internally generated brands, mastheads, publishing titles,
and customer lists. (International Accounting Standards Board, 2004)
The objective of this paper is to empirically examine the relationship between an
extant measure of IC – the Value Added Intellectual Coefficiente developed by Pulic
(1998) – and traditional measures of corporate performance:
(1) return on equity (ROE);
(2) earning per share (EPS); and
(3) annual share returns (ASR).
The paper also explores the different contributions made by IC to companies operating
in different industries. Data for the analysis are drawn from a sample of 150 publicly
listed companies from the Singapore Exchange for 2000 and 2002. The first date is
associated with the introduction of new reporting requirements in Singapore,
requirements that included a number of measures necessary for the Pulic model that
informs the paper’s methodology. The last date coincides with data availability at the
time of writing. Singapore is chosen because of that country’s stated objective of
developing that country as an important centre in the knowledge economy.
The paper is broken into seven substantive parts. Following this introductory section,
the next section examines various classifications and measures that have been used for
IC. This is followed by an exposition of the Pulic model that forms the basis of this paper.
Section 4 details the research questions examined in this paper and the various measures
used. Section 5 describes the methodology used and the results of the data analysis are
detailed in Section 6. The final section is by way of summary and conclusion.
The Danish Confederation of Trade Unions (1999) classifies IC as people, system and
78 market. The European Commission (MERITUM, 2001) classifies IC as human capital,
structural capital and relationship capital. Leliaert et al. (2003) developed the 4-Leaf
model, which classifies IC into human, customer, structural capital and strategic
alliance capital. This non-exhaustive list serves to show the similarities and differences
in the classificatory systems that have been developed.
IC measuring methods can be grouped broadly under two categories:
(1) those that do not use a monetary valuation of IC; and
(2) those that put a monetary value on IC.
The latter includes not only methods that attempt to estimate dollar values of IC, but
also those that derive the monetary values through the use of financial ratios. A
selective list of key measures is shown below.
The key non-dollar valuation of IC models are:
.
the Balance Scorecard, developed by Kaplan and Norton (1992);
.
Brooking’s (1996) Technology Broker method;
.
the Edvinssion and Malone (1997) Skandia IC Report method;
.
the IC-Index developed by Roos et al. (1997);
.
Sveiby’s (1997) Intangible Asset Monitor approach;
.
the Heuristic Frame developed by Joia (2000);
. Vanderkaay’s (2000) Vital Sign Scorecard; and
. the Ernst & Young Model (Barsky and Marchant, 2000).
STVA ¼ SC=VA:
The final ratio is the calculation of the intellectual ability of a company. It is the sum of
the previously mentioned coefficients. This results in a new and unique indicator – the
VAICe:
Pulic’s method has the attraction of ease of data acquisition and enables further
analysis to be conducted on other data sources. Data needed to derive the various ratios
are standard financial numbers that are normally available from audited financial
reports of companies. Alternative IC measures are limited in that they involve unique
financial and non-financial indicators and are usually customised to fit the profile of
individual firms (Roos et al., 1997). Some of these indicators, especially non-financial
ones, are not readily available or may not be recorded by other firms. Consequently, the
ability to apply alternative IC measures consistently across large and diversified
samples for comparative analysis is diminished (Firer and Williams, 2003). Also, to
enhance the external validity of a study, data sources must be available for a sufficient
sample size and tests can be replicated to other data sources.
(3) Annual stock return (ASR) – measures the changes in stock price inclusive of
dividends and adjusted for any stock splits. The total return from owning stock
JIC arises from two sources: dividends and other cash distributions, and capital
8,1 gains (Siegel, 2002). Thus, the formula to obtain the ASR is:
5. Methodology
The data is gathered from 150 companies publicly listed on the SGX. At the start of year
2000, there were a total of 327 companies listed on the main-board of the SGX. Table I
summarises the companies list on the main-board of the SGX at the start of 2000.
Not all companies are useable for this study, for a variety for reasons. The
performance of a company is dependent on internal factors, but is also affected by
Figure 1.
Conceptual model for the
research
1 Multi-industry 19 1 18 13
2 Manufacturing 110 25 85 49
3 Commerce 43 8 35 23
4 Tpt/Stor/Comm 24 4 20 12
5 Finance 47 12 35 10
6 Construction 23 2 21 10
7 Properties 27 3 24 12
8 Hotels/restaurants 17 2 15 9
9 Services 14 2 12 12
10 Others 3 2 1 0
Table I. Total 327 61 266 150
Companies List on SGX
in 2000 Source: Singapore Stock Exchange (2000)
external factors that may be beyond the company’s control. To isolate the effect of IC and financial
external factors, companies to be analysed will be Singapore companies, listed on the returns
main-board of the SGX and which generate most of their revenue from the local
market. There were a total of 61 foreign companies listed on the SGX at the start of
year 2000. These were eliminated from the sample.
Also, over the three-year period from 2000 to 2002, several companies were delisted,
merged or acquired. Some companies which incurred huge losses and whose balance 83
sheets degenerated into negative net worth were eliminated. A few companies were
also suspended from trading while others did not submit their annual reports for at
least one of the three years to the SGX. Further, some companies did not register any
trading of their shares for a whole year, and so it is impossible to determine their ASR
for that year. Given these limitations and constraints, all other remaining companies
were selected which yielded a sample of 150 companies for this study.
For this research, 450 annual reports from the 150 selected companies between 2000
and 2002 were gathered from the SGX. It is argued that 150 companies is a reasonable
representation of the 327 companies listed on the SGX starting from the year 2000.
As some of the sectors are relatively small, the companies were grouped into four
related industry groups to increase the sample size of each group. The groupings have
merely brought companies in the SGX industries together. The number of companies
from each sector is shown in Table II.
A two-fold approach was adopted to the analysis of the data. Initially this involved
multiple regression using the following equation:
where Yi is the dependent variable (the dependent variables ROE, EPS and ASR were
tested sequentially using the regression model), and the independent variables are
VACA, VAHU and STVA were derived from information available in the companies’
annual report for the years 2000 and 2001.
The results from using multiple regression were inconclusive. Of the 21 multiple
regression tests conducted, only nine produced statistically significant results. The
results were statistically significant for some years but were not for others. Thus,
multiple regression was not considered adequate for this study and further analysis
was undertaken using PLS. In this, the companies’ performance was treated as a latent
variable with ROE, EPS and ASR as indicators. The model treats both IC and a
companies’ performance as latent variables each with three indicators. Multiple
regression is not able to provide this type of analysis.
A one-way between groups ANOVA was conducted on the three groups of companies
to determine whether the financial performance of companies with higher IC was
statistically different from those with lower IC for each year 2000 to 2002. A significant
result would indicate the population means were statistically not equal and companies
with higher IC had different performance measures than those of lower IC. If the
ANOVA tests does not yield any significant results for all the variables, then the data
set will have to be discarded.
6.1.1 Results for 2000. Table III shows the ANOVA results for data for the year
2000. It will be seen that the F-ratio is significant for ROE00 and ASR00 but is not
significant for EPS00 at the 0.05 level. Thus, ROE00 and ASR00 are different for
Figure 2.
Conceptual model for the
research using PLS
IC and financial
2000 Sum of squares df Mean square F Significance
returns
ROE00 Between groups 0.905 2 0.732 38.225 0.000 *
Within groups 2.185 147 0.019
Total 3.090 149
ASR00 Between groups 3.159 2 1.580 6.106 0.003 *
Within groups 38.023 147 0.259 85
Total 41.182 149
EPS00 Between groups 0.268 2 0.021 0.195 0.823
Within groups 23.397 147 0.110 Table III.
Total 23.666 149 ANOVA result for 2000
companies with higher IC as compared to those with lower IC. For EPS00, it does not
appear to be statistically different for companies with higher or lower IC in year 2000.
6.1.2 Results for 2001. Table IV shows the ANOVA results for data from year 2001.
The table suggests that the F-ratio is significant for all the dependent variables at the
0.05 level. Thus, ASR01, EPS01 and ROE01 are different for companies with higher IC
as compared to those with lower IC in year 2001.
6.1.3 Results for 2002. Table V shows the ANOVA results for data from year 2002
and suggests that the F-ratio is significant for all the variables at the 0.05 level. Thus,
all the variables are different for companies with higher IC as compared to those with
lower IC in year 2002.
The results of the one-way between groups ANOVA show sufficient statistical
difference between companies with higher and lower IC for the dependent variables.
Thus, it is argued these variables are suitable for use in further testing.
Tabachnick and Fidell (1996) suggest that harmful multicollinearity exists when the
bivariate correlation between independent variables is high, that is, 0.9 or above. It can
be observed from Table IV that the correlations between the independent variables are
not high. They range from a low of 0.11 to a high of 0.31 for the independent variables
of the same year. Thus, mutlicollinearity amongst the data set is minimal and does not
invalidate their use. It also indicates that Pulic’s IC measures (VACA, VAHU and
STVA) are sufficiently independent of each other.
VACA02 Pearson 1.00 0.31 0.20 0.76 0.08 0.07 0.56 20.04 0.14
Significance (one-tailed) 0.00 * 0.01 * 0.00 * 0.16 0.20 0.00 * 0.30 0.05
VAHU02 Pearson 0.31 1.00 0.20 0.12 0.53 0.07 0.17 0.62 0.18
Significance (one-tailed)) 0.00 * 0.01 * 0.07 0.00 * 0.21 0.02 * 0.00 * 0.01 *
STVA02 Pearson 0.20 0.20 1.00 0.14 0.12 0.11 0.07 0.08 0.10
Significance (one-tailed) 0.01 * 0.01 * 0.04 * 0.07 0.09 0.21 0.18 0.12
VACA01 Pearson 0.76 0.12 0.14 1.00 0.17 0.21 0.63 20.03 0.12
Significance (one-tailed) 0.00 * 0.07 0.04 * 0.02 * 0.01 * 0.00 * 0.36 0.07
VAHU01 Pearson 0.08 0.53 0.12 0.17 1.00 0.16 0.04 0.81 0.16
Significance (one-tailed) 0.16 0.00 * 0.07 0.02 * 0.02 * 0.33 0.00 * 0.03 *
STVA01 Pearson 0.07 0.07 0.11 0.21 0.16 1.00 0.05 0.04 0.01
Significance (one-tailed) 0.20 0.21 0.09 0.01 * 0.02 * 0.28 0.33 0.44
VACA00 Pearson 0.56 0.17 0.07 0.63 0.04 0.05 1.00 0.11 0.29
Significance (one-tailed) 0.00 * 0.02 * 0.21 0.00 * 0.33 0.28 0.09 0.00 *
VAHU00 Pearson 20.04 0.62 0.08 20.03 0.81 0.04 0.11 1.00 0.24
Significance (one-tailed) 0.30 0.00 * 0.18 0.36 0.00 * 0.33 0.09 0.00 *
STVA00 Pearson 0.14 0.18 0.10 0.12 0.16 0.01 0.29 0.24 1.00
Significance (one-tailed) 0.05 * 0.01 * 0.12 0.07 0.03 * 0.44 0.00 * 0.00 *
Note: *Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level or better (one-tailed)
IC and financial
returns
variables
Correlation matrix for the
87
Table VI.
JIC
Model summary IC 2000 versus 2000 performance
8,1
R2 0.514
Regression weights of path 0.717
T-statistic of path 10.9801
than 12 percent for year 2001 versus 2002, respectively. Although the R 2 numbers are
not very large, nevertheless, the paths are statistically significant at p , 0:05.
The results lend modest support to H2 that the higher the value of a company’s IC,
the higher the company’s future performance.
The third hypothesis posits a positive correlation between the rate-of-growth of a
company’s IC and the company’s future performance. The rate of growth (ROG) of IC is
the year-on-year growth rate of VACA, VAHU and STVA of a company. The rate of
growth of IC from year 2000 to 2001 and year 2001 and 2002 is tested against the
companies’ performance of 2002.
Data in Table IX shows that the T-statistics of both paths are greater than 1.96,
which means that the loading is significant at the p , 0:05 level and indicates a
significant relationships between IC and companies’ performance for the two tests. R 2
is 0.149 for ROG 2001-2000, which indicates that the model is able to explain about 15
percent of the variance in the dependent variable. R 2 is 0.066 for ROG 2002-2001,
which indicates that the model is able to explain nearly 7 percent of the variance in the IC and financial
dependent variable. Although the all R 2 values are not very large, the path is returns
statistically significant.
If the higher the value of a company’s IC the higher is the company’s future
performance, then logically, the rate of growth of IC will also correlate with future
performance. The results of H3 further reaffirm the findings of H2 and help to
reinforce the contribution of IC to companies’ performance. The results further 89
reinforce proponents of IC as a competitive tool and that companies must manage and
grow their IC to remain competitive (Nonaka, 1995; Bontis, 1998; Brennan and Connell,
2000; Hurwitz et al., 2002).
The fourth hypothesis posits that the contribution of IC to a company’s future
performance will differ by industry. To test this hypothesis the data were broken into
four different industry groups. As some of the sectors were relatively small, they were
then further grouped into four related industry types to increase the sample size. The
four industry groups were:
(1) Manufacturing related – These companies come from the manufacturing sector
of the SGX and are primarily engaged in the production and manufacturing of
goods.
(2) Trading related – These companies come from the commerce and
multi-industries sectors of the SGX. Commerce sector comprises companies
that have businesses mainly in retail and trading, and includes holding
companies with subsidiaries in several industries.
(3) Services related – These companies come from the services, finance and
transport/storage/communications sectors of the SGX. These companies are
primarily engaged in the services industry.
(4) Property related – These companies come from the property, construction and
hotel sectors of the SGX. They rely heavily on property infrastructure and
physical buildings for the conduct of their businesses.
Data in Table X shows that the T-statistics of the paths are greater than 1.96, except for
the Trading sector for year 2000 versus 2001 and year 2000 versus 2002. This suggests a
significant relationship between IC and companies’ performance for all sectors except for
the Trading sector for year 2000 versus 2001 and year 2000 versus 2002. R 2 figures are
0.252, 0.171 and 0.394 for the Manufacturing sector in the three tests. For the Trading
sector, R 2 figures are 0.088, 0.327 and 0.179. On the other hand, R 2 figures are larger for
both the Services and Property sectors. R 2 figures for the Services sector are 0.278, 0.726
and 0.389 while they are 0.398, 0.323 and 0.496 for the Property sector.
Model summary ROG 2001-2000 versus 2002 ROG 2002-2001 versus 2002
2
R 0.149 0.066
Regression weights of path 0.386 0.257 Table IX.
T-statistic of path 2.0305 2.1473 PLS results of H3
JIC
Model summary – Manufacturing 2000 versus 2001 2000 versus 2002 2001 versus 2002
8,1 R2 0.252 0.171 0.394
Regression weights of path 0.502 0.413 0.628
T-statistic of path 4.5615 2.8721 5.6100
Model summary – Trading 2000 versus 2001 2000 versus 2002 2001 versus 2002
90 R2 0.088 0.327 0.179
Regression weights of path 0.296 0.571 0.423
T-statistic of path 0.7241 1.6230 3.5805
Model summary – Services 2000 versus 2001 2000 versus 2002 2001 versus 2002
R2 0.278 0.726 0.389
Regression weights of path 0.527 0.852 0.624
T-statistic of path 4.2120 3.9704 2.1345
Model summary – Property 2000 versus 2002 2000 versus 2002 2001 versus 2002
R2 0.398 0.323 0.496
Table X. Regression weights of path 0.631 0.568 0.704
PLS results of H4 T-statistic of path 2.3180 4.3676 4.0309
The central tenet of this paper is to provide evidence that acquiring and applying
knowledge will become a competitive factor leading to above average financial returns.
Companies, especially those in knowledge-intense industries, need to know the
importance of IC, and that knowledge is becoming a critical factor affecting a company’s
ability to remain competitive in the new global marketplace. Companies in the trading
group that rely mainly on buying and selling product are expected to be less dependent
on the application of knowledge and the result supports such a prediction.
The results indicate a higher contribution of IC to companies in the Services and
Property sector, less in the Manufacturing sector and even less in the Trading sector.
The results of H4 appear to support the concept proposed by Treacy and Wiersema
(1995). They argue that although IC is seen to be crucial to the success of companies,
other assets and capabilities will also contribute to the profitability and market value
of companies. Hence, companies from different industries will have a different range of
assets and capabilities to operate their businesses and compete effectively. Some will
rely more on IC, while others will depend more on their financial or physical assets for
their success.
The method has the attraction of ease of data acquisition and the development of ratios
from standard financial data available in company annual reports.
The analysis was undertaken using partial least squares (PLS), since considerations
of sample size, the use of formative rather than reflective indicators, the distribution of
variables, and the exploratory nature of the study all suggested PLS as the most
appropriate methodology. The analysis reveals general support for each of the
propositions. Thus, the results of the study support the notion that companies that
actively nurture and increase their IC are likely to experience superior performance.
The study supports those theories and practices that place value on IC. The paper
would also suggest that the Pulic model provides companies with a simple approach to
measuring their IC.
This research is not without its limitations. The selected companies are
confined to Singaporean companies listed on the SGX. Different countries have
different accounting practices and stock exchanges around the world have different
disclosure and other listing requirements. As the Pulic model uses data from the
published financial statements any differences in national accounting rules may
influence results in other countries. However, the primary use of reported financial
results limits the impact of cultural and social differences on the results. Moreover,
the move to adopt International Financial Reporting Standards in many regions,
including Singapore, Australia and the European Union, will mitigate differences
in accounting rules. This research is limited to Singaporean companies and the
SGX using the accounting rules applicable during the research period. It is also
limited to publicly listed companies as financial information for privately held
companies is not readily available. The shares of private companies are not traded
freely and are not subjected to market forces. Hence, their market values are not
easily or reliably determined. Also, the selected companies were analysed over a
three-year period between 2000 and 2002. Data from earlier years cannot be used
because there was no requirement to disclose manpower costs prior to the year
2000. Manpower costs are needed in Pulic’s model for the calculation of VAHU. It
is also limited to three years of data as information for financial year 2003 was
not available at the completion of this study due to the late publication of results
by many of the selected companies.
In summary, the results of this study provide additional empirical evidence on the
contribution of IC to companies’ current and future performance. Thus, how well
JIC companies do in acquiring and applying knowledge will become a competitive factor.
8,1 Managers, especially those in knowledge-intense industries, need to know the
importance of IC and that knowledge is a critical factor affecting a company’s ability to
remain competitive in the new global marketplace.
92
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