Component Market
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Business Environment
• The World Bank remained strongly upbeat in its projection for Indonesia’s
2008 growth, in line with other East Asian economies. It expects
Indonesia’s economy to grow steadily at least through to the end of 2008 at
6.4%, following the estimated 6.3% in 2007. Bank Indonesia is also
positive about 2008 growth, though the bank expects the growth slowed
down to 6.3% , driven by slower growth of the global economy , pressure to
the inflation rate as a result of high commodity price.
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Indonesia’s Automotive Parts and
Component Market
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Indonesia’s Automotive Parts and
Component Market
• The study has identified around 250 medium and large scale component
manufacturers, of which 46 companies produce mechanical engine
components and 42 companies electrical and electronic components. The
biggest number of companies involved in producing multipurse
components such as bearings, gaskets, gear, fastener, brackets, clamp,
seal, hose, nuts and pins. A single company may produce more than one
category of components.
• With a registered car population of 14.4 million and motor cycle popualtion
of 33.2 million at the end of 2005, Indonesia provides a big market for
automotive components, either for OEM or for after market / replacement
market ( REM). Over the last three years, increase in car population from
new cars totalled around 430,000 , while motorcycle around 4,800,000
units per year.
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Indonesia’s Automotive Parts and
Component Market
2002 , reached its peak at US$ 7.7 billion in 2005, slumped to US$ 5.4
billion in 2006 , but rebound to US$ 6. 38 billion in 2007.
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Indonesia’s Automotive Parts and
Component Market
shown by the followin table , export of pneumatic tire rose markedlhy from
US$ 237 million in 2002 to US$ 751 million in 2007.
• The share of export to total sales was about 20% in 1999-2001 period,
while in 2006 and 2007 , their share has doubled to more than 45%. Over
the last 7 years, export of automotive components enjoyed an average
growth of 22.2 % a year.
• Exports of components from Indonesia are mainly done by companies
connected with international brand of automotive components, particularly
from Japan. Some of the components are exported to their own
associated companies in several countries.
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Indonesia’s Automotive Parts and
Component Market
from Indonesia totalled only some US$ 203 million, or about 4.5% of the
total Japanese import of this component. In Thailand, the shares of
Indonesia’s product for HS 8708 was 5%. Quite a notable share was
achieved by Indonesia in Malaysian and Vietnam market.
• While for HS 8708 product category , Indonesia still plays a small role, in
the market for HS 4011 ( pneumatic rubber tire), Indonesia is quite leading
in several countries. For illustration, in Japan, Indonesia controlled 22% of
their total import, while in Thailand 32% and Malaysia 16%.
• The demand for parts for vehicles is the aggregate of the demand for
original equipment parts used in the process of assembling new cars
(OEM or Original Equipment Manufacturers) and the demand for parts in
the after-market (original or OES and non-original). The demand for parts
has a very direct relation with the sales of vehicles.
• The country’s automotive industry has revived with a big pace since 2003
and touched its peak in 2005 with a total production of 500,710 units.
Although, the production slackened in the following years due to 130% oil
price hike in late 2005, but the industry is optimistic on the rebound of their
production because of strengthened market demand. In 2006, car
production dropped to 296,008 units but recovered to 411,638 units in
2007. In 2008, the industry is expected to resume to around 500,000 units.
• Total car sales rose from 317,780 units in 2002, to 354,355 units in 2003,
485,148 units in 2004,and hit its peak at 533,913 units in 2006. In 2006,
the sales dropped to 319,000 units, but recovered to around 433,000 units
in 2007. In 2008, sales are expected to rebound to more than 500,000
units.
• Increase has been recorded in the production of all types of cars. Most
impressive, however, was in the production of Multi Purpose Vehicle ( MPV
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Indonesia’s Automotive Parts and
Component Market
• Japan’s automotive industry has rooted deeply in the country. Japan has
played the host in the country in the automotive industry. Toyota,
Mitsubishi, Suzuki, Daihatsu, Isuzu, Honda, Mazda, Hino, Nissan and
Nissan Diesel have been as popular and familiar in the country as in
Japan
• In the past three years, three automotive giants Toyota, Mitsubishi and
Suzuki, have continued to dominate the domestic market. In 2007, Toyota
strengthened its lead with sales totaling 150,631 cars, followed by
Mitsubishi with sales 61,548 units and Suzuki 58,095 units.
• In the second layer are Daihatsu, Honda and Isuzu .While Honda stays
close to Daihatsu , Isuzu is far behind due to weakening competitiveness of
their Isuzu Panthers .
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Indonesia’s Automotive Parts and
Component Market
• The country’s motorcycle industry has advanced into the level of full
manufacturing industry with products already having a local content of
90%. The components which are still imported are carburetors, clutches,
bearings and sub components like special bolts, special forged material,
piston ring and other small components.
• PT. Astra Honda Motor (AHM) started the operation of its third factory in
Cibitung, Bekasi in October 2005. This third factory has an annual
production capacity of 1.2 million units. With the additional capacity, AHM
has now an annual production capacity of 3.2 million units. AHM already
has two factories – in Sunter and Pengangsaan Dua, North Jakarta with a
total installed capacity of 2 million units a year.
• Three largest Japanese brands in the market, Honda, Yamaha and Suzuki
controlled 98% of the market with Honda as the leader with 45.7% share.
It is interesting to note that in 2007, Honda lost its share by 7.4 point ,
from 52.3% in 2006 to 45.7%. Meanwhile, Yamaha has strengthened their
position as the second largest brand with its share increased from 33% to
39%. The success in marketing Yamaha Mio “Skutik” (automatic
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Indonesia’s Automotive Parts and
Component Market
• The sales data released by AISI shows that there was some drastic
change in the market structure of motorcycle . The sales of automatic cub
,known as “Skutik” has soared in the last three years from only 191,600 in
2005 to 385,500 units in 2006 and surged to 873,900 units in 2007.
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Indonesia’s Automotive Parts and
Component Market
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Indonesia’s Automotive Parts and
Component Market
• Steel accounts for the bulk of the materials (around 60-70%), while plastic,
aluminum and other materials accounts for the remaining 30%. According
to University of Indonesia expert in composite materials, around 55% of the
steel components consists of carbon steel and 15% special alloy steel.
• There are three categories of steel used by the automotive industry -- flat
(hot/cold rolled and plates for making vehicle bodies), long (used for
making forged components) and pig iron (used by foundries for making
cast components).
• The recent price increase in steel has sent shivers down the spine of the
steel consuming industry including automotive industry as it witnessed a
price hike of 25 per cent during the last three months.
• The price of HRC (Hot Rolled Coil) already recorded a high level of US$
710 per ton in January 2008, from only around US$ 500-600 per ton in
2007 . In March 2008, the price soared to around US$ 1000 per ton.
Meanwhile CRC price soared to US$ 1100 per ton representing growth of
more than 40%. The rocketed price was driven by 100% increase in iron
ore price from only US$ 113 per ton ( January 2008) to US$ 229 per ton (
March
• The steep prices of steel have given the auto industry a tough time. Major
car manufacturers like Toyota , Suzuki and Mitsubishi has announced their
plan to increase the price of cars at around 2-5% in May 2008. The
industry is quite confident with this level of price hike , the market demand
won’t be much affected.
• Despite the selling price increase , the soaring steel price and other
inputs including high fuel price is likely to reduce the profitability of
component manufacturers.
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Indonesia’s Automotive Parts and
Component Market
Market segmentation
• The market for parts and components can be divided into two main
segments: the supply to the “original equipment manufacturer”, known as
the OEM market, and the after-market ( AM) . Both markets depend on
developments in the vehicle market.
• The market value of OEM is estimated at around US$ 1.63 Million in 2002
, rose to US$ 3.8 billion in 2005 . The year 2006 has been quite turbulent
in the OEM market when the market slackened to US$ 2.3 billion from
previous year. . After sharp increases in car production in 2004-2005, the
production dropped drastically in 2006 . Following the recovery of car
production, the OEM market rose to US$ 3.1 billion in 2007.
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Indonesia’s Automotive Parts and
Component Market
• In the after market, the component can be classified into four types based
on the level of genuinity i.e. Genuine products, OES ( Original Equipment
Supplier) products, Substitute Products, Faked ( counterfeit) products.
• The automobile industry is one of the fastest growing sectors in the world.
It has dynamic growth phases explained by the nature of competition,
product life cycle and consumer demand. Today, the global automobile
industry is concerned with consumer demands for styling, safety and
efficiency; and with labor relations and manufacturing efficiency. The
industry is at the crossroads with global mergers and relocation of
production centers to emerging developing economies. As the automobile
industry is becoming more and more standardized, the production base of
most of the giant auto-companies is being moved from the developed
countries to developing countries. Standardization is making production
more profitable in developing countries due to low cost of labor.
• Strong economic growth coupled with low car ownership rates and rising
incomes has turned Asia into a gold mine for the automotive industry. The
eventual shift in OEM's and auto-parts manufacturers focus toward Asia
has led to a rapid growth in vehicle assembly in many parts of Asia, most
notably China, India and South Korea. Thus, many countries in Asia are
making a serious effort to grab this opportunity that include Thailand, India,
China and Indonesia.
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Indonesia’s Automotive Parts and
Component Market
the local Asian suppliers for their regional and global component needs.
Although targeted initially at servicing the burgeoning local vehicle
manufacturing sector, new investments by suppliers could also become
future substantial low-cost export bases for components.
• ASEAN is a key strategic automotive market. There are many reasons for
these. ASEAN population is around 570 million. Young population is the
major share from this figure. Currently the car sales in this region have
been increasing every year. For the year 2005 the sales is estimated at
2.1 million, and JAMA ( Japan Automobile Manufacturers Association )
projected that the demand will reach 2.6 million in 2010. With this amount,
this region is the fifth largest in the world for car sales .
• The South East Asia region including Indonesia has cost advantages in
terms of low labor cost and relevant labor skills. This is further reinforced
by the region’s liberalization policies as well as its access to e-commerce
and other technology.
• With the implementation of the ASEAN Free Trade Area by the year 2015,
top car makers are already positioning for the huge integrated market that
offers preferential tariff of zero to five percent.
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Indonesia’s Automotive Parts and
Component Market
• The development of automotive sales in the first quarter of 2008 has sent a
positive signal and optimism to the industry players. In the first quarter of
2008, the total sales of automobile experienced an impressive growth of
62% from the same period last year from around 105,000 units to around
136,000 units. Motorcycle sales are also encouraging totaling 1.43 million
units or rose 35% compared with the same period. Based on the strong
demand performance in the first quarter of 2008, Industry sources predict
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Indonesia’s Automotive Parts and
Component Market
that car production in 2008 will be larger than 500,000 units, namely
around 520,000 units, or 23% higher than sales of previous years.
• The government has made a projection that car production will touch
1,000,000 units in 2010 and 1.65 million in 2015. Some observers said
that this projection is too optimistic, but an executive of major automotive
company, Astra Daihatsu Motor ( ADM) sees that the target is quite
realistic and export will contribute largely to the growth of car production.
In the
• Export of cars will be one of key drivers to the growth of car production
over the next five years. Export of CBU ( Completely Built UP) cars has
experienced an impressive growth of 90% in 2007 , from around 31,000
units in 2006 to 60,267 units in 2007. In addition , Indonesia also exported
105,000 sets of CKD ( Completely Knocked Down ) cars in 2007 . In
2008, the export of CBU cars is expected to exceed 100,000 units and
CKD to reach 148,000 sets .
• The Ministry of Industry has set a target to export 300,000 CBU cars in
2010. The government has taken several measures for achieving this
target. This includes exempting import duties for motor vehicle parts to be
assembled for export.
• Assuming that 45% of the total market of components is for after market,
the size of this segment is US$ 3.4 billion in 2008, US$ 4.2 billion in 2010
and US$ 5.5 billion in 2012.
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Indonesia’s Automotive Parts and
Component Market
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