India±
The Economic Times and StarMine, a Thomson Reuters company, are pleased to announce the results of StarMine's 2009 annual survey of
analyst performance for India. StarMine, the leading provider of objective ratings of securities analysts, measures analysts' performance based
on the return of their stock recommendations and the accuracy of their earnings estimates. The 2009 StarMine Analyst Awards program
utilizes the I/B/E/S system as its data source.
2 Bhasin, Reena Verma Banc of America Merrill Lynch Industrials; Information Technology
± The 2009 India awards were calculated for the July 1, 2008 through June 30, 2009 time period.
3 Credit Suisse 5
3 HSBC 5
Data Source
StarMine's awards for India are based on the estimates and recommendations as recorded in the Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S database. StarMine
uses the GICS (Global Industry Classification System) for its industry definitions. In some instances in India, the GICS has resulted in industries
that are not large enough for ranking purposes. When this has been the case, StarMine has combined multiple industries to reflect the way
analysts organize their coverage for India. For example, StarMine's "Financials" industry is a composite of the following GICS industries: Capital
Markets, Commercial Banks, Consumer Finance, Diversified Financial Services, Insurance, and Thrifts & Mortgage Finance.
Calculation of Industry Excess Return: All analyst returns are calculated relative to the return on a market capitalization-weighted portfolio of
all of the stocks in a given industry.
For comparison purposes, StarMine builds a non-leveraged portfolio for each analyst based on his recommendations. For each "Buy"
recommendation, the portfolio is one unit long the stock and simultaneously one unit short the benchmark. The result gives the analyst credit for
the amount by which the stock outperformed the benchmark. "Strong Buys" get a larger investment of two units long the stock and two units
short the benchmark. "Holds" invest one unit in the benchmark (i.e., for an excess return of zero). "Sells" are the reverse: long the benchmark
and short the stock. "Strong Sells" get a larger investment of two units long the benchmark and short the stock. The portfolio return is opportunity
adjusted to facilitate a fair comparison of analyst performance regardless of their coverage universe.
The resulting portfolio is rebalanced each month and whenever the analyst adds coverage, drops coverage, or changes a rating.
Qualification Criteria: To qualify for a 2009 Industry Stock Picking Award, an analyst must have met the following criteria:
1. An analyst must have covered at least five stocks in a given industry throughout the awards period. If an industry has fewer than 15
stocks, an analyst must have covered a minimum of three stocks or 1/3 of the stocks in the industry, whichever is greater.
2. An analyst's industry return must have exceeded the return of the relevant industry benchmark. That is, his Industry Excess Return must
be positive.
3. An analyst must have delivered at least a 3-star performance on their overall coverage (i.e., for all industries covered), as measured by
StarMine's Coverage-Relative Rating.
Qualification Criteria: To qualify for the overall stock-picking awards, analysts must have covered at least five stocks. In addition, StarMine
requires analysts to have earned at least a 5-star rating on their overall coverage (i.e., for all industries covered), as measured by StarMine's
Coverage-Relative Rating.
SES takes into account many factors: the analyst's absolute forecast error, the analyst's error compared to other analysts, the variance of the
analysts' errors, the timing of the estimates, and the absolute value of the actual earnings for the stock. SES is computed daily and aggregated to
provide scores on individual stocks, industries (the Industry Estimate Score), and the analyst overall (the Overall Estimate Score).
Industry Earnings Estimate Awards To determine the winners of Industry Earnings Estimate Awards, StarMine ranks qualifying analysts based
on their Industry Estimate Score for the stocks in a specific industry.
Qualification Criteria: To qualify for this ranking, an analyst must have had coverage on at least five stocks throughout the awards period. If an
industry has fewer than 15 stocks, an analyst must have covered a minimum of three stocks or 1/3 of the stocks in the industry, whichever is
greater.
Qualification Criteria: To qualify for StarMine's Top 10 list, an analyst must have had coverage on at least five stocks throughout the awards
period.
Best Broker Awards The brokers that have collected the most individual analyst awards earn a place on the Best Brokers list.
Non-Participating Firms: The following firms did not participate in StarMine's 2009 Annual Analyst Awards for India: CLSA and Bativala &
Karani Securities.