To: Jim Moncur and Jennifer Olenick, City of Houston Department of Finance
From: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Team
Date: December 21, 2010
Purpose: Market Update
05/14/10
06/14/10
07/14/10
08/14/10
09/14/10
10/14/10
11/14/10
12/14/10
term interest rates during the past two months
(please see accompanying chart) and the potential
loss of the Build America Bonds financing 20y MMD 30y MMD
program. The BABs program was a temporary
program that was scheduled to expire on
December 31, 2010 and has not been extended. As a result of these market conditions, the City’s cost of
financing has increased dramatically.
This memo is in response to your request for us to provide an estimate of how much the change in
interest rates has cost the City and the ratepayers of the CUS when compared to the market in May 2010.
To simplify our analysis, we focused on a $300 million CP program; however, it is fair to say that the City
could have executed a larger transaction back in May, which means that the dissavings we calculate
below are arguably understated. Due to the delay, the City has funded its capital expenditures using CP,
which has been relatively cost-effective due to historically low short-term rates. The interest cost savings
from issuing CP over the past seven months are factored into our analysis1. If the City had issued long-
term debt in May, the all-in cost would have been approximately 4.22%.
The table below summarizes the results of our analysis. By not being able to sell the bonds in May 2010,
the delay has cost the City and Houston ratepayers an estimated $37.72 million over the life of the
issue2. This represents an average cost of $1.26 million per year over the next 30 years.
1 Assumes CP all-in cost of 1.00% (inclusive of credit fees) versus bond yield of 4.15% for seven months
2 Present Value dissavings amount to approximately $21.07 million assuming a discount rate of 4.15%
Dec 21, 2010 4:15 pm Prepared by Bank of America Merrill Lynch Page 1
Sources:
Bond Proceeds:
Par Amount 297,540,000.00
Net Premium 4,693,612.45
302,233,612.45
Uses:
302,233,612.45
Dec 21, 2010 4:15 pm Prepared by Bank of America Merrill Lynch Page 2
All-In Arbitrage
TIC TIC Yield
BOND PRICING
Serial Bonds:
11/15/2016 6,575,000 5.000% 2.380% 114.086 926,154.50
11/15/2017 6,910,000 5.000% 2.780% 113.644 942,800.40
11/15/2018 7,265,000 5.000% 3.100% 113.053 948,300.45
11/15/2019 7,640,000 5.000% 3.400% 112.062 921,536.80
11/15/2020 8,030,000 5.000% 3.640% 111.109 892,052.70
11/15/2021 8,440,000 5.000% 3.810% 110.441 881,220.40
11/15/2022 8,875,000 5.000% 3.960% 109.053 C 4.027% 11/15/2021 100.000 803,453.75
11/15/2023 9,330,000 5.000% 4.110% 107.687 C 4.216% 11/15/2021 100.000 717,197.10
11/15/2024 9,810,000 5.000% 4.250% 106.430 C 4.373% 11/15/2021 100.000 630,783.00
11/15/2025 10,310,000 5.000% 4.380% 105.279 C 4.506% 11/15/2021 100.000 544,264.90
11/15/2026 10,840,000 5.000% 4.500% 104.229 C 4.619% 11/15/2021 100.000 458,423.60
11/15/2027 11,395,000 5.000% 4.600% 103.365 C 4.707% 11/15/2021 100.000 383,441.75
11/15/2028 11,980,000 5.000% 4.700% 102.509 C 4.788% 11/15/2021 100.000 300,578.20
11/15/2029 12,595,000 5.000% 4.800% 101.661 C 4.864% 11/15/2021 100.000 209,202.95
11/15/2030 13,240,000 5.000% 4.880% 100.989 C 4.921% 11/15/2021 100.000 130,943.60
143,235,000 9,690,354.10
297,540,000 4,693,612.45
BOND SOLUTION
589,570,050 589,570,050
Dec 21, 2010 4:13 pm Prepared by Bank of America Merrill Lynch Page 1
Sources:
Bond Proceeds:
Par Amount 302,575,000.00
302,575,000.00
Uses:
302,575,000.00
Dec 21, 2010 4:13 pm Prepared by Bank of America Merrill Lynch Page 2
All-In Arbitrage
TIC TIC Yield
BOND PRICING
Serial Bonds:
11/15/2016 7,920,000 4.020% 4.020% 100.000
11/15/2017 8,140,000 4.420% 4.420% 100.000
11/15/2018 8,385,000 4.800% 4.800% 100.000
11/15/2019 8,655,000 4.950% 4.950% 100.000
11/15/2020 8,945,000 5.100% 5.100% 100.000
11/15/2021 9,250,000 5.300% 5.300% 100.000
11/15/2022 9,585,000 5.600% 5.600% 100.000
11/15/2023 9,950,000 5.850% 5.850% 100.000
11/15/2024 10,345,000 6.100% 6.100% 100.000
11/15/2025 10,770,000 6.350% 6.350% 100.000
91,945,000
302,575,000
BOND SOLUTION