Tugas 3

Buat lengkung IDF periode ulang 2,10,50,100 dengan data berikut!! (DATA ASUMSI SENDIRI)
SOAL DATA SELAMA 20 TAHUN 1jam = 60 menit
Durasi
NO Tahun
5 10 15 30 45 60 120 180
1 1996 11 16 20 25 30 35 43 47
2 1997 13 27 33 39 46 54 61 69
3 1998 18 31 39 45 56 65 73 87
4 1999 22 35 47 59 72 83 94 104
5 2000 24 49 51 68 81 95 108 122
6 2001 28 57 58 78 93 109 124 140
7 2002 30 66 65 88 105 123 140 158
8 2003 33 78 73 98 117 137 156 176
9 2004 37 83 79 108 132 151 173 194
10 2005 41 89 87 118 144 165 189 212
11 2006 43 98 94 128 157 179 206 230
12 2007 45 107 101 138 165 193 223 248
13 2008 49 114 18 148 179 207 238 266
14 2009 51 125 116 158 189 221 254 284
15 2010 55 129 122 168 206 235 268 302
16 2011 57 139 128 178 214 249 283 320
17 2012 60 148 137 188 225 263 300 338
18 2013 64 153 143 198 239 277 318 356
19 2014 66 161 149 208 249 291 332 374
20 2015 71 167 173 212 253 307 341 395
360
53
73
93
123
135
155
175
195
215
235
255
275
295
315
335
355
375
395
415
429
 Intensitas Hujan

Durasi
NO Tahun
5 10 15 30 45 60 120 180
1 1996 132 96 80 50 40 35 21.5 15.66667
2 1997 156 162 132 78 61.33333 54 30.5 23
3 1998 216 186 156 90 74.66667 65 36.5 29
4 1999 264 210 188 118 96 83 47 34.66667
5 2000 288 294 204 136 108 95 54 40.66667
6 2001 336 342 232 156 124 109 62 46.66667
7 2002 360 396 260 176 140 123 70 52.66667
8 2003 396 468 292 196 156 137 78 58.66667
9 2004 444 498 316 216 176 151 86.5 64.66667
10 2005 492 534 348 236 192 165 94.5 70.66667
11 2006 516 588 376 256 209.3333 179 103 76.66667
12 2007 540 642 404 276 220 193 111.5 82.66667
13 2008 588 684 72 296 238.6667 207 119 88.66667
14 2009 612 750 464 316 252 221 127 94.66667
15 2010 660 774 488 336 274.6667 235 134 100.6667
16 2011 684 834 512 356 285.3333 249 141.5 106.6667
17 2012 720 888 548 376 300 263 150 112.6667
18 2013 768 918 572 396 318.6667 277 159 118.6667
19 2014 792 966 596 416 332 291 166 124.6667
20 2015 852 1002 692 424 337.3333 307 170.5 131.6667
 360
8.833
12.166667
15.5
20.5
22.5
25.833333
29.166667
32.5
35.833333
39.166667
42.5
45.833333
49.166667
52.5
55.833333
59.166667
62.5
65.833333
69.166667
71.5
 Distribusi Normal 5 menit Distribusi Normal 10 Menit
NO TAHUN 5 (Xi - X̅ ) (Xi - X̅ )2 NO TAHUN 10
1 1996 12 -29 812 1 1996 17
2 1997 15 -26 650 2 1997 25
3 1998 18 -23 506 3 1998 33
4 1999 21 -20 380 4 1999 41
5 2000 24 -17 272 5 2000 49
6 2001 27 -14 182 6 2001 57
7 2002 30 -11 110 7 2002 65
8 2003 33 -8 56 8 2003 73
9 2004 36 -5 20 9 2004 81
10 2005 39 -2 2 10 2005 89
11 2006 42 2 2 11 2006 97
12 2007 45 5 20 12 2007 105
13 2008 48 8 56 13 2008 113
14 2009 51 11 110 14 2009 121
15 2010 54 14 182 15 2010 129
16 2011 57 17 272 16 2011 137
17 2012 60 20 380 17 2012 145
18 2013 63 23 506 18 2013 153
19 2014 66 26 650 19 2014 161
20 2015 69 29 812 20 2015 169
JUMLAH 5985 JUMLAH
RATA-RATA 40.5 RATA-RATA 93
S DEVIASI 1.958551437 S DEVIASI

Rumus : XT = X + KTS Rumus : XT = X + KTS

X KT S. DEVIASI XT = X + KTS X KT
2 40.5 0 1.958551437 40.5 2 93 0
10 40.5 1.28 1.958551437 43.006945838967 10 93 1.28
50 40.5 2.05 1.958551437 44.51503044522 50 93 2.05
100 40.5 2.33 1.958551437 45.063424847494 100 93 2.33

Distribusi PERIODE 30 Menit Distribusi Normal 45 Menit

NO TAHUN 30 (Xi - X̅ ) (Xi - X̅ )2 NO TAHUN 45
1 1996 28 -95 9025 1 1996 33
2 1997 38 -85 7225 2 1997 45
3 1998 48 -75 5625 3 1998 57
4 1999 58 -65 4225 4 1999 69
5 2000 68 -55 3025 5 2000 81
6 2001 78 -45 2025 6 2001 93
7 2002 88 -35 1225 7 2002 105
8 2003 98 -25 625 8 2003 117
9 2004 108 -15 225 9 2004 129
10 2005 118 -5 25 10 2005 141
11 2006 128 5 25 11 2006 153
12 2007 138 15 225 12 2007 165
13 2008 148 25 625 13 2008 177
14 2009 158 35 1225 14 2009 189
15 2010 168 45 2025 15 2010 201
16 2011 178 55 3025 16 2011 213
17 2012 188 65 4225 17 2012 225
18 2013 198 75 5625 18 2013 237
19 2014 208 85 7225 19 2014 249
20 2015 218 95 9025 20 2015 261
JUMLAH 66500 JUMLAH
RATA-RATA 123 RATA-RATA 147
S DEVIASI 2.113737206 S DEVIASI

Rumus : XT = X + KTS Rumus : XT = X + KTS

X KT S. DEVIASI XT = X + KTS X KT
2 123 0 2.113737206 123 2 147 0
10 123 1.28 2.113737206 125.70558362402 10 147 1.28
50 123 2.05 2.113737206 127.33316127285 50 147 2.05
100 123 2.33 2.113737206 127.9250076906 100 147 2.33

Distribusi Normal 120 menit Distribusi Normal 180 menit

NO TAHUN 120 (Xi - X̅ ) (Xi - X̅ )2 NO TAHUN 180
1 1996 44 -152 23104 1 1996 50
2 1997 60 -136 18496 2 1997 68
3 1998 76 -120 14400 3 1998 86
4 1999 92 -104 10816 4 1999 104
5 2000 108 -88 7744 5 2000 122
6 2001 124 -72 5184 6 2001 140
7 2002 140 -56 3136 7 2002 158
8 2003 156 -40 1600 8 2003 176
9 2004 172 -24 576 9 2004 194
10 2005 188 -8 64 10 2005 212
11 2006 204 8 64 11 2006 230
12 2007 220 24 576 12 2007 248
13 2008 236 40 1600 13 2008 266
14 2009 252 56 3136 14 2009 284
15 2010 268 72 5184 15 2010 302
16 2011 284 88 7744 16 2011 320
17 2012 300 104 10816 17 2012 338
18 2013 316 120 14400 18 2013 356
19 2014 332 136 18496 19 2014 374
20 2015 348 152 23104 20 2015 392
JUMLAH 170240 JUMLAH
RATA-RATA 196 RATA-RATA 221
S DEVIASI 2.115905142 S DEVIASI

Rumus : XT = X + KTS Rumus : XT = X + KTS

X KT S. DEVIASI XT = X + KTS X KT
2 196 0 2.115905142 196 2 221 0
10 196 1.28 2.115905142 198.70835858159 10 221 1.28
50 196 2.05 2.115905142 200.33760554082 50 221 2.05
100 196 2.33 2.115905142 200.93005898054 100 221 2.33
Distribusi Normal 10 Menit Distribusi Normal 15 Menit
(Xi - X̅ ) (Xi - X̅ )2 NO TAHUN 15 (Xi - X̅ ) (Xi - X̅ )2
-76 5776 1 1996 23 -67 4422
-68 4624 2 1997 30 -60 3540
-60 3600 3 1998 37 -53 2756
-52 2704 4 1999 44 -46 2070
-44 1936 5 2000 51 -39 1482
-36 1296 6 2001 58 -32 992
-28 784 7 2002 65 -25 600
-20 400 8 2003 72 -18 306
-12 144 9 2004 79 -11 110
-4 16 10 2005 86 -4 12
4 16 11 2006 93 4 12
12 144 12 2007 100 11 110
20 400 13 2008 107 18 306
28 784 14 2009 114 25 600
36 1296 15 2010 121 32 992
44 1936 16 2011 128 39 1482
52 2704 17 2012 135 46 2070
60 3600 18 2013 142 53 2756
68 4624 19 2014 149 60 3540
76 5776 20 2015 156 67 4422
42560 JUMLAH 32585
RATA-RATA 89.5
2.242399471 S DEVIASI 2.039696694

Rumus : XT = X + KTS Rumus : XT = X + KTS

S. DEVIASI XT = X + KTS X KT S. DEVIASI XT = X + KTS
2.242399471 93 2 89.5 0 2.039696694 89.5
2.242399471 95.870271322875 10 89.5 1.28 2.039696694 92.110811768265
2.242399471 97.596918915542 50 89.5 2.05 2.039696694 93.681378222612
2.242399471 98.224790767421 100 89.5 2.33 2.039696694 94.25249329692

Distribusi Normal 45 Menit Distribusi Normal 60 Menit

(Xi - X̅ ) (Xi - X̅ )2 NO TAHUN 60 (Xi - X̅ ) (Xi - X̅ )2
-114 12996 1 1996 39 -133 17689
-102 10404 2 1997 53 -119 14161
-90 8100 3 1998 67 -105 11025
-78 6084 4 1999 81 -91 8281
 -66 4356 5 2000 95 -77 5929
-54 2916 6 2001 109 -63 3969
-42 1764 7 2002 123 -49 2401
-30 900 8 2003 137 -35 1225
-18 324 9 2004 151 -21 441
-6 36 10 2005 165 -7 49
6 36 11 2006 179 7 49
18 324 12 2007 193 21 441
30 900 13 2008 207 35 1225
42 1764 14 2009 221 49 2401
54 2916 15 2010 235 63 3969
66 4356 16 2011 249 77 5929
78 6084 17 2012 263 91 8281
90 8100 18 2013 277 105 11025
102 10404 19 2014 291 119 14161
114 12996 20 2015 305 133 17689
95760 JUMLAH 130340
RATA-RATA 172
2.119528267 S DEVIASI 2.111264999

Rumus : XT = X + KTS Rumus : XT = X + KTS

S. DEVIASI XT = X + KTS X KT S. DEVIASI XT = X + KTS
2.119528267 147 2 172 0 2.111264999 172
2.119528267 149.7129961819 10 172 1.28 2.111264999 174.70241919873
2.119528267 151.34503294757 50 172 2.05 2.111264999 176.32809324797
2.119528267 151.93850086236 100 172 2.33 2.111264999 176.91924744769

Distribusi Normal 180 menit Distribusi Normal 360 menit

(Xi - X̅ ) (Xi - X̅ )2 NO TAHUN 360 (Xi - X̅ ) (Xi - X̅ )2
-171 29241 1 1996 55 -190 36100
-153 23409 2 1997 75 -170 28900
-135 18225 3 1998 95 -150 22500
-117 13689 4 1999 115 -130 16900
-99 9801 5 2000 135 -110 12100
-81 6561 6 2001 155 -90 8100
-63 3969 7 2002 175 -70 4900
-45 2025 8 2003 195 -50 2500
-27 729 9 2004 215 -30 900
-9 81 10 2005 235 -10 100
9 81 11 2006 255 10 100
27 729 12 2007 275 30 900
45 2025 13 2008 295 50 2500
63 3969 14 2009 315 70 4900
 81 6561 15 2010 335 90 8100
99 9801 16 2011 355 110 12100
117 13689 17 2012 375 130 16900
135 18225 18 2013 395 150 22500
153 23409 19 2014 415 170 28900
171 29241 20 2015 435 190 36100
215460 JUMLAH 266000
RATA-RATA 245
2.109894048 S DEVIASI 2.113737206

Rumus : XT = X + KTS Rumus : XT = X + KTS

S. DEVIASI XT = X + KTS X KT S. DEVIASI XT = X + KTS
2.109894048 221 2 245 0 2.113737206 245
2.109894048 223.70066438107 10 245 1.28 2.113737206 247.70558362402
2.109894048 225.32528279781 50 245 2.05 2.113737206 249.33316127285
2.109894048 225.91605313117 100 245 2.33 2.113737206 249.9250076906
 PERHITUNGAN ANALISIS FREKUENSI DENGAN METODE NORMAL

Tahun Durasi
Periode 5 10 15 30 45 60 120 180
2 40.5 93 89.5 123 147 172 196 221
10 43.006946 95.870271 92.110812 125.70558 149.713 174.70242 198.70836 223.70066
50 44.51503 97.596919 93.681378 127.33316 151.34503 176.32809 200.33761 225.32528
100 45.063425 98.224791 94.252493 127.92501 151.9385 176.91925 200.93006 225.91605
 360
245
247.70558
249.33316
249.92501
 Menghitung harga tiap suk
periode ulang 2 tahun
N t i i.t i^2 i^2 .t log t

20 5 40.5 202.5 41006.25 205031.25 0.69897

20 10 93 930 864900 8649000 1
20 15 89.5 1342.5 1802306.25 27034593.75 1.1760913
20 30 123 3690 13616100 408483000 1.4771213
20 45 147 6615 43758225 1969120125 1.6532125
20 60 172 10320 106502400 6390144000 1.7781513
20 120 196 23520 553190400 66382848000 2.0791812
20 180 221 39780 1582448400 284840712000 2.2552725
20 360 245 88200 7779240000 2800526400000 2.5563025
jumlah 1327 174600 10081463737.5 3160553595750 14.674303

periode ulang 10 tahun

N t i i.t i^2 i^2 .t log t

20 5 43.0069458389668 215.03473 46239.9347599 231199.673799478 0.69897

20 10 95.870271322875 958.70271 919110.892352 9191108.92352167 1
20 15 92.1108117682649 1381.6622 1908990.37004 28634855.5505544 1.1760913
20 30 125.705583624022 3771.1675 14221704.3788 426651131.364909 1.4771213
20 45 149.712996181896 6737.0848 45388311.9822 2042474039.19741 1.6532125
20 60 174.70241919873 10482.145 109875366.986 6592522019.16 1.7781513
20 120 198.708358581585 23845 568584169.491 68230100338.8842 2.0791812
20 180 223.700664381069 40266.12 1621360386.72 291844869610 2.2552725
20 360 247.705583624022 89174.01 7952004078.14 2862721468132 2.5563025
jumlah 1351.22363452143 176830.93 10314308359 3231896142435 14.674303
periode ulang 50 tahun
N t i i.t i^2 i^2 .t log t

20 5 44.5150304452203 222.57515 49539.6983885 247698.491942361 0.69897

20 10 97.596918915542 975.96919 952515.858181 9525158.58180688 1
20 15 92.1108117682649 1381.6622 1908990.37004 28634855.5505544 1.1760913
20 30 127.333161272847 3819.9948 14592360.5638 437770816.912895 1.4771213
20 45 151.345032947567 6810.5265 46383270.9707 2087247193.68365 1.6532125
20 60 176.328093247966 10579.686 111929747.286 6715784837.18813 1.7781513
20 120 200.337605540819 24040.513 577946249.191 69353549902.9363 2.0791812
20 180 225.325282797805 40558.551 1644996051.4 296099289252 2.2552725
20 360 249.333161272847 89759.938 8056846480.22 2900464732878 2.5563025
jumlah 1364.22509820888 178149.42 10455605206 3275196782593 14.674303

periode ulang 100 tahun

N t i i.t i^2 i^2 .t log t
N t i i.t i^2 i^2 .t log t

20 5 45.0634248474942 225.31712 50767.8064746 253839.03237322 0.69897

20 10 98.2247907674209 982.24791 964810.95213 9648109.52130362 1
20 15 94.2524932969196 1413.7874 1998794.81085 29981922.1628148 1.1760913
20 30 127.925007690602 3837.7502 14728326.8334 441849805.001294 1.4771213
20 45 151.938500862357 6837.2325 46747748.7897 2103648695.53687 1.6532125
20 60 176.919247447689 10615.155 112681512.423 6760890745.37061 1.7781513
20 120 200.930058980541 24111.607 581369595.868 69764351504.124 2.0791812
20 180 225.916053131164 40664.89 1653633243.22 297653983780 2.2552725
20 360 249.925007690602 89973 8095141227.2 2914250841793 2.5563025
jumlah 1371.09458471479 178661 10507316028 3291015450193 14.674303
Menghitung harga tiap suku dalam rumus sherman , ishiguro, talbot

Talbot Sherman
log i
a b i Log a = a n
1.607455 -17017012333 -8407556134.313 -11810958601 0.31228950202 -0.505443 1.0788523708
1.9684829 -3.4783614E+13 -7480520022159 -1.095888E+13 1.01690709598 0.0072813 1.9369658971
1.951823 -2.1804024E+14 -48724617169693 -6.326063E+13 1.37964913297 0.1397687 1.985316301
2.0899051 -3.4205914E+16 -5.56194538E+15 -6.702143E+15 2.47679743415 0.3938905 2.2421813134
2.1673173 -6.3331394E+17 -8.61652015E+16 -1.002388E+17 3.30655549618 0.5193758 2.2550303813
2.2355284 -5.8528637E+18 -6.80565672E+17 -7.781134E+17 4.03509411028 0.6058537 2.2594310564
2.2922561 -3.5987906E+20 -3.67223542E+19 -3.972135E+19 5.68217499777 0.7545146 1.3641425115
2.3443923 -4.9807402E+21 -4.50745729E+20 -4.784165E+20 6.88903482526 0.8381584 0.6542751496
2.3891661 -2.6687809E+23 -2.1785967E+22 -2.25273E+22 8.93816170768 0.9512482 -1.51943465
19.046326

Talbot Sherman
log i
a b i Log a = a n
1.6335386 -22978685778 -10690650434.61 -15286387590 0.32547823256 -0.487478 1.1098273788
1.981684 -4.0493036E+13 -8447648241684 -1.249695E+13 1.0307681543 0.013161 1.9633679129
1.9643106 -2.5175308E+14 -54663663374626 -7.14472E+13 1.3979375425 0.1454878 2.0172755243
2.0993546 -3.8137174E+16 -6.06770626E+15 -7.338945E+15 2.4989378225 0.3977555 2.2767569575
2.1752595 -6.9395273E+17 -9.27044489E+16 -1.081256E+17 3.33005662561 0.5224516 2.2898673008
2.2422989 -6.3273342E+18 -7.24355776E+17 -8.298113E+17 4.05840438335 0.6083553 2.2928770062
2.2982161 -3.854401E+20 -3.87945549E+19 -4.200656E+19 5.7106188642 0.7566832 1.4022998931
2.3496673 -5.2925978E+21 -4.73185711E+20 -5.02589E+20 6.91889026386 0.8400364 0.6930017041
2.3939358 -2.8194311E+23 -2.27643728E+22 -2.354755E+22 8.9733140731 0.9529529 -1.476073271
19.138265

Talbot Sherman
log i
a b i Log a = a n
1.6485067 -27300969132 -12270900655.75 -17731094482 0.33304659118 -0.477495 1.1276024004
1.9894361 -4.4273252E+13 -9072864515131 -1.350019E+13 1.0389079128 0.0165771 1.9788722149
1.9643106 -2.5175308E+14 -54663663374626 -7.14472E+13 1.3979375425 0.1454878 2.0172755243
2.1049415 -4.0670854E+16 -6.3881096E+15 -7.743805E+15 2.51202823575 0.4000245 2.2971996644
2.1799682 -7.3261068E+17 -9.68133522E+16 -1.130936E+17 3.34398973336 0.5242649 2.3105210551
2.2463215 -6.6272558E+18 -7.516961E+17 -8.621504E+17 4.07225389404 0.6098348 2.312748504
2.3017625 -4.0150283E+20 -4.0082624E+19 -4.342848E+19 5.72754346306 0.7579684 1.4250042037
2.3528099 -5.4875962E+21 -4.87082162E+20 -5.175688E+20 6.93667703462 0.8411515 0.716073559
2.39678 -2.9132833E+23 -2.33685991E+22 -2.417784E+22 8.99427592928 0.9539662 -1.450216263
19.184837

Talbot Sherman
log i
 log i
a b i Log a = a n
1.6538242 -29024844962 -12886842748.39 -18691811741 0.33573530756 -0.474003 1.1339171106
1.9922211 -4.5715825E+13 -9308601646674 -1.388018E+13 1.041832168 0.0177978 1.9844422248
1.9742928 -2.8241398E+14 -59927710314103 -7.875531E+13 1.41255681503 0.1500059 2.042822885
2.1069555 -4.1624875E+16 -6.50770834E+15 -7.895204E+15 2.51674694075 0.4008395 2.3045686527
2.1816678 -7.4708768E+17 -9.83408408E+16 -1.149428E+17 3.34901909638 0.5249176 2.3179763357
2.2477751 -6.7390953E+18 -7.61827395E+17 -8.741456E+17 4.07725844371 0.6103682 2.3199291113
2.3030449 -4.0747482E+20 -4.05588728E+19 -4.39545E+19 5.73366375799 0.7584322 1.4332145653
2.3539471 -5.5599129E+21 -4.92210523E+20 -5.230989E+20 6.94311317234 0.8415542 0.7244221029
2.3978097 -2.9480244E+23 -2.35912721E+22 -2.441017E+22 9.0018645135 0.9543325 -1.440855542
19.211538
man ishiguro
i a b i
-0.08904025786641 -7610240176.65 -10566940.709 -2341120
8.41863551091E-05 -1.0999545E+13 -775675097.98 -3.95E+08
0.00064639297769 -5.6297749E+13 -1526007233.6 -1.44E+09
0.00019204447599 -6.2451169E+15 -18574144321 -4.58E+10
9.71487637117E-05 -9.4408868E+16 -77989298200 -3.38E+11
5.81778387637E-05 -7.5560145E+17 -240243532025 -1.54E+12
0.00109993779183 -3.2852313E+19 -1.517954E+12 -2.67E+13
0.02803866526464 -3.7124246E+20 -5.198977E+12 -1.63E+14
7284.98141650313 -1.4065711E+22 -2.983227E+13 -2.58E+15

man ishiguro
i a b i
-0.0816994284471 -10276381709.1 -13039140.8 -2845874
0.00014319265081 -1.2805022E+13 -862747766.44 -4.36E+08
0.00061705854514 -6.5002367E+13 -1687576150.9 -1.58E+09
0.00017241301469 -6.9628635E+15 -20043887986 -4.92E+10
8.55871967991E-05 -1.0344837E+17 -83144325779 -3.59E+11
5.09419064056E-05 -8.1685533E+17 -253716297222 -1.62E+12
0.00091892155486 -3.5185707E+19 -1.592645E+12 -2.79E+13
0.02298213851122 -3.9448695E+20 -5.424759E+12 -1.69E+14
5654.07045381602 -1.4859707E+22 -3.100133E+13 -2.67E+15

man ishiguro
i a b i
-0.07776936987415 -12209365661.5 -14710961.747 -3183263
0.00017403441556 -1.4000432E+13 -918367775.23 -4.62E+08
0.00061705854514 -6.5002367E+13 -1687576150.9 -1.58E+09
0.0001617499513 -7.425448E+15 -20967001706 -5.13E+10
7.93904913869E-05 -1.0921115E+17 -86360067456 -3.72E+11
4.70755706355E-05 -8.5557505E+17 -262076115187 -1.67E+12
0.00082567489633 -3.6652026E+19 -1.638819E+12 -2.86E+13
0.02041423929668 -4.0902127E+20 -5.563905E+12 -1.73E+14
4860.98689282544 -1.5354351E+22 -3.172014E+13 -2.73E+15

man ishiguro
 i a b i
-0.07641999902868 -12980306397 -15355137.297 -3312516
0.00018446891281 -1.4456613E+13 -939213327.98 -4.72E+08
0.00059369347231 -7.2918976E+13 -1828948279.4 -1.71E+09
0.00015806773322 -7.5996277E+15 -21310080848 -5.21E+10
7.72651531018E-05 -1.1136926E+17 -87551139609 -3.76E+11
4.57516833689E-05 -8.7001346E+17 -265164235058 -1.69E+12
0.00079433542159 -3.7197192E+19 -1.655845E+12 -2.89E+13
0.01955747860962 -4.1441144E+20 -5.61513E+12 -1.75E+14
4602.16649910842 -1.5537453E+22 -3.198446E+13 -2.75E+15
 Periode 2 tahun

DEVIASI
No t i Talbot Sherman Ishiguro
Talbot Sherman Ishiguro
1 5 40.5 -11810958601 -0.08904 -2341119.73 -11810958641 -40.58904 -2341160.23
2 10 93 -1.095888E+13 8.419E-05 -394943324 -1.095888E+13 -92.99992 -394943417
3 15 89.5 -6.326063E+13 0.0006464 -1441161757 -6.326063E+13 -89.49935 -1441161847
4 30 123 -6.702143E+15 0.000192 -4.5823E+10 -6.702143E+15 -122.9998 -4.5823E+10
5 45 147 -1.002388E+17 9.715E-05 -3.3806E+11 -1.002388E+17 -146.9999 -3.3806E+11
6 60 172 -7.781134E+17 5.818E-05 -1.5416E+12 -7.781134E+17 -171.9999 -1.5416E+12
7 120 196 -3.972135E+19 0.0010999 -2.6665E+13 -3.972135E+19 -195.9989 -2.6665E+13
8 180 221 -4.784165E+20 0.0280387 -1.6282E+14 -4.784165E+20 -220.972 -1.6282E+14
9 360 245 -2.25273E+22 7284.9814 -2.5752E+15 -2.25273E+22 7039.9814 -2.5752E+15
al = 1327 -2.304632E+22 5957.9226 -2.7667E+15
Rata-Rata= -2.560702E+21 661.9914 -3.0741E+14
Min= -2.5607E+21

Periode 10 tahun

DEVIASI
No t i Talbot Sherman Ishiguro
Talbot Sherman Ishiguro
1 5 43.006946 -15286387590 -0.081699 -2845873.93 -15286387633 -43.08865 -2845916.93
2 10 95.870271 -1.249695E+13 0.0001432 -435951737 -1.249695E+13 -95.87013 -435951833
3 15 92.110812 -7.14472E+13 0.0006171 -1582331513 -7.14472E+13 -92.11019 -1582331605
4 30 125.70558 -7.338945E+15 0.0001724 -4.9181E+10 -7.338945E+15 -125.7054 -4.9181E+10
5 45 149.713 -1.081256E+17 8.559E-05 -3.5876E+11 -1.081256E+17 -149.7129 -3.5876E+11
6 60 174.70242 -8.298113E+17 5.094E-05 -1.6217E+12 -8.298113E+17 -174.7024 -1.6217E+12
7 120 198.70836 -4.200656E+19 0.0009189 -2.7881E+13 -4.200656E+19 -198.7074 -2.7881E+13
8 180 223.70066 -5.02589E+20 0.0229821 -1.6937E+14 -5.02589E+20 -223.6777 -1.6937E+14
9 360 247.70558 -2.354755E+22 5654.0705 -2.6688E+15 -2.354755E+22 5406.3649 -2.6688E+15
al = 1351.2236 -2.409309E+22 4302.7901 -2.8681E+15
Rata-Rata= -2.67701E+21 478.08779 -3.1868E+14
Min= -2.677E+21

Periode 50 tahun

DEVIASI
No t i Talbot Sherman Ishiguro
Talbot Sherman Ishiguro
1 5 44.51503 -17731094482 -0.077769 -3183262.8 -17731094527 -44.5928 -3183307.31
2 10 97.596919 -1.350019E+13 0.000174 -461990561 -1.350019E+13 -97.59674 -461990658
3 15 92.110812 -7.14472E+13 0.0006171 -1582331513 -7.14472E+13 -92.11019 -1582331605
4 30 127.33316 -7.743805E+15 0.0001617 -5.1281E+10 -7.743805E+15 -127.333 -5.1281E+10
 5 45 151.34503 -1.130936E+17 7.939E-05 -3.7163E+11 -1.130936E+17 -151.345 -3.7163E+11
6 60 176.32809 -8.621504E+17 4.708E-05 -1.6713E+12 -8.621504E+17 -176.328 -1.6713E+12
7 120 200.33761 -4.342848E+19 0.0008257 -2.8631E+13 -4.342848E+19 -200.3368 -2.8631E+13
8 180 225.32528 -5.175688E+20 0.0204142 -1.734E+14 -5.175688E+20 -225.3049 -1.734E+14
9 360 249.33316 -2.417784E+22 4860.9869 -2.7262E+15 -2.417784E+22 4611.6537 -2.7262E+15
al = 1364.2251 -2.473982E+22 3496.7063 -2.9304E+15
Rata-Rata= -2.748869E+21 388.52293 -3.256E+14
Min= -2.7489E+21

Periode 100 tahun

DEVIASI
No t i Talbot Sherman Ishiguro
Talbot Sherman Ishiguro
1 5 45.063425 -18691811741 -0.07642 -3312516.28 -18691811786 -45.13984 -3312561.34
2 10 98.224791 -1.388018E+13 0.0001845 -471720161 -1.388018E+13 -98.22461 -471720259
3 15 94.252493 -7.875531E+13 0.0005937 -1705060716 -7.875531E+13 -94.2519 -1705060810
4 30 127.92501 -7.895204E+15 0.0001581 -5.2059E+10 -7.895204E+15 -127.9248 -5.2059E+10
5 45 151.9385 -1.149428E+17 7.727E-05 -3.7639E+11 -1.149428E+17 -151.9384 -3.7639E+11
6 60 176.91925 -8.741456E+17 4.575E-05 -1.6895E+12 -8.741456E+17 -176.9192 -1.6895E+12
7 120 200.93006 -4.39545E+19 0.0007943 -2.8907E+13 -4.39545E+19 -200.9293 -2.8907E+13
8 180 225.91605 -5.230989E+20 0.0195575 -1.7488E+14 -5.230989E+20 -225.8965 -1.7488E+14
9 360 249.92501 -2.441017E+22 4602.1665 -2.7473E+15 -2.441017E+22 4352.2415 -2.7473E+15
al = 1371.0946 -2.497822E+22 3231.0169 -2.9532E+15
Rata-Rata= -2.775358E+21 359.00188 -3.2814E+14
Min= -2.7754E+21
NO intensitas KURVA INTENSITAS
2 tahun 10 Tahun 50 tahun 100 Tahun
1 40.5 43.0069458 44.5150304 45.0634248 1200

2 93 95.8702713 97.5969189 98.2247908 1000

3 89.5 92.1108118 92.1108118 94.2524933
4 123 125.705584 127.333161 127.925008 800
5 147 149.712996 151.345033 151.938501
600
6 172 174.702419 176.328093 176.919247
7 196 198.708359 200.337606 200.930059 400
8 221 223.700664 225.325283 225.916053
200
9 245 247.705584 249.333161 249.925008
0
1 2 3 4 5 6

2 tahun 10 Tahun 50 tahun

RVA INTENSITAS

5 6 7 8 9

0 Tahun 50 tahun 100 Tahun