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According to Trendgraphix, there was a big jump in new sales (pendings) in January
and again in February. A deeper dive into the data suggests that most of the increase is
in the category of short sales. “This would be a good sign because any successful short
sale is one less potential REO, one less homeowner losing their home to foreclosure, and
one less house for the bank to have to take into their inventory,” stated Larry Knapp,
CEO, Lyon Real Estate. The data also indicates that the lenders have started to get their
arms around the process of getting out of a bad loan before they have to take
ownership; all of these things are good for the market. There is also a trend, although
hard to quantify, that may skew the short sale numbers. “We’re hearing that some
agents may be reporting a short sale as ‘pending’ when the seller accepts an offer rather
than waiting for the banks approval of the sales price,” continued Knapp. “This would
tend to inflate the number of short sale pendings for a few months. We’ll have to wait
and see how much of the increase is real and how much might come from a different
way of reporting sales.”
The greatest number of properties that are selling are under $300,000 and those sales
are averaging just over $100 per square foot. As the price range moves higher the
asking price per square foot is higher as well, and fewer properties are selling. “What
this suggests is that there is an abundance of buyers willing to pay bargain prices (i.e. in
the low $100 per square foot) and we know there is an abundance of distressed
properties in that bargain price category,” stated Knapp. “As long as an inventory of the
distressed properties remains readily available, prices will remain at these bargain
levels. With the large numbers of REO’s and Short Sale properties still in queue to hit the
market every month it would appear that these bargain prices will last for quite some
time into the future.”
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