Anda di halaman 1dari 15

DATA CURAH HUJAN MAXIMUM PER TAHUN STASIUN MANDAI, RACING CENTER, DAN STASIUN PA

STASIUN
NO. TAHUN MANDAI RACING CENTER PAOTERE
CURAH HUJAN (mm) CURAH HUJAN (mm) CURAH HUJAN (mm)
1 1996 170 210 170
2 1997 150 150 180
3 1998 240 130 130
4 1999 125 187 168
5 2000 260 190 166
6 2001 160 185 158
7 2002 180 200 150
8 2003 250 230 200
9 2004 180 125 100
10 2005 240 290 210
11 2006 150 180 140
12 2007 155 220 195
13 2008 160 125 100
14 2009 240 230 210
15 2010 185 130 105
16 2011 170 190 145
17 2012 150 155 175
18 2013 145 126 175
19 2014 250 200 160
20 2015 110 100 120
21 2016 165 220 175
22 2017 130 98 152
23 2018 125 177 179
24 2019 100 150 125

Hitung :
a. Curah hujan maksimum untuk periode ulang 10 tahun, 15 tahun, 25 tahun dengan menggunakan metode Log
Pearson Type III; Hasper; Iwai
b. Intensitas curah hujan (mm/jam) untuk waktu atau durasi (jam) dari curah hujan maksimum T = 10 tahun, T =
15 tahun, dan T = 25 tahun.
NTER, DAN STASIUN PAOTERE

nggunakan metode Log

imum T = 10 tahun, T =
A. METODE LOG PEARSON TYPE III
1. STASIUN MANDAI
a. Mengubah data curah hujan n buah X1,,X2,X3,…., Xn menjadi log X1, log X2, log X3, …., log Xn
NO. TAHUN Xi log Xi 〖 (log⁡𝑋𝑖− 〖 (log⁡𝑋𝑖−(log⁡𝑋
1 1996 170 2.23045 (log⁡
𝑋 ) ̅ ) " 〗
0.00001 ) ̅)" " 〗4.572E-08
" ^2 ^3
2 1997 150 2.17609 0.00258 -1.310E-04
3 1998 240 2.38021 0.02351 3.605E-03
4 1999 125 2.09691 0.01689 -2.195E-03
5 2000 260 2.41497 0.03538 6.655E-03
6 2001 160 2.20412 0.00052 -1.178E-05
7 2002 180 2.25527 0.00081 2.290E-05
8 2003 250 2.39794 0.02926 5.006E-03
9 2004 180 2.25527 0.00081 2.290E-05
10 2005 240 2.38021 0.02351 3.605E-03
11 2006 150 2.17609 0.00258 -1.310E-04
12 2007 155 2.19033 0.00134 -4.879E-05
13 2008 160 2.20412 0.00052 -1.178E-05
14 2009 240 2.38021 0.02351 3.605E-03
15 2010 185 2.26717 0.00162 6.544E-05
16 2011 170 2.23045 0.00001 4.572E-08
17 2012 150 2.17609 0.00258 -1.310E-04
18 2013 145 2.16137 0.00429 -2.811E-04
19 2014 250 2.39794 0.02926 5.006E-03
20 2015 110 2.04139 0.03440 -6.381E-03
21 2016 165 2.21748 0.00009 -8.277E-07
22 2017 130 2.11394 0.01275 -1.440E-03
23 2018 125 2.09691 0.01689 -2.195E-03
24 2019 100 2.00000 0.05147 -1.168E-02
JUMLAH 53.44496 0.31460 2.959E-03

b. Mencari harga rata-rata : c. Menghitung harga standar deviasi


(log⁡𝑋 ) ̅=
(∑_(𝑖=1)^𝑛▒log⁡𝑋𝑖 𝑆_1=√((∑_(𝑖=1)^𝑛▒ 〖 (log⁡
)/𝑛 〖𝑋𝑖 −
(log⁡𝑋 ) ̅=53,4449 (log⁡〖𝑋 ) 〗 ) ̅ 〗〗 ^2
6/24 )/(𝑛−1))
𝑆_1=√(0,31460/
(24−1))=
0.11695
(log⁡〖𝑋 2.22687
〗 ) ̅=
d. Menghitung koefisien kepencengan

𝐶_𝑠=𝑛
(∑_(𝑖=1)^𝑛▒ 〖 (log⁡〖𝑋𝑖−
(log⁡𝑋)) ̅ 〗〗 ^3
)/ 〖 (𝑛−1)(𝑛−2)𝑆_1
𝐶_𝑠=24 〗 ^3
(2,959𝐸−03)/(24−1)
(24−2)0,11695^3

𝐶_𝑠= 0.08772
2. STASIUN RACING CENTER
NO. TAHUN Xi log Xi 〖 (log⁡𝑋𝑖− 〖 (log⁡𝑋𝑖−(log⁡𝑋
(log⁡𝑋 ) ̅)" " 〗 ^2 ) ̅)" " 〗 ^3
1 1996 210 2.32222 0.00905 0.00086
2 1997 150 2.17609 0.00260 -0.00013
3 1998 130 2.11394 0.01281 -0.00145
4 1999 187 2.27184 0.00200 0.00009
5 2000 190 2.27875 0.00267 0.00014
6 2001 185 2.26717 0.00161 0.00006
7 2002 200 2.30103 0.00546 0.00040
8 2003 230 2.36173 0.01812 0.00244
9 2004 125 2.09691 0.01695 -0.00221
10 2005 290 2.46240 0.05536 0.01303
11 2006 180 2.25527 0.00079 0.00002
12 2007 220 2.34242 0.01330 0.00153
13 2008 125 2.09691 0.01695 -0.00221
14 2009 230 2.36173 0.01812 0.00244
15 2010 130 2.11394 0.01281 -0.00145
16 2011 190 2.27875 0.00267 0.00014
17 2012 155 2.19033 0.00135 -0.00005
18 2013 126 2.10037 0.01606 -0.00204
19 2014 200 2.30103 0.00546 0.00040
20 2015 100 2.00000 0.05158 -0.01171
21 2016 220 2.34242 0.01330 0.00153
22 2017 98 1.99123 0.05564 -0.01312
23 2018 177 2.24797 0.00044 0.00001
24 2019 150 2.17609 0.00260 -0.00013
JUMLAH 53.45056 0.33770 -0.01140

b. Mencari harga rata-rata : c. Menghitung harga standar deviasi


(log⁡𝑋 ) ̅= 𝑆_1=√((∑_(𝑖=1)^𝑛▒ 〖 (log⁡
(∑_(𝑖=1)^𝑛▒log⁡𝑋𝑖
)/𝑛 〖𝑋𝑖 −
(log⁡𝑋 ) ̅=53,4505 (log⁡〖𝑋 ) 〗 ) ̅ 〗〗 ^2
6/24 )/(𝑛−1))
𝑆_1=√(0,33770/
(24−1))=
0.12117
(log⁡〖𝑋 2.22711
〗 ) ̅=
d. Menghitung koefisien kepencengan

𝐶_𝑠=𝑛
(∑_(𝑖=1)^𝑛▒ 〖 (log⁡〖𝑋𝑖−
(log⁡𝑋)) ̅ 〗〗 ^3
)/ 〖 (𝑛−1)(𝑛−2)𝑆_1
𝐶_𝑠=24 〗 ^3
(−0,01140)/(24−1)
(24−2)0,12117^3

𝐶_𝑠= -0.30391
3. STASIUN PAOTERE
NO. TAHUN Xi log Xi 〖 (log⁡𝑋𝑖− 〖 (log⁡𝑋𝑖−(log⁡𝑋
(log⁡𝑋 ) ̅)" " 〗 ^2 ) ̅)" " 〗 ^3
1 1996 170 2.23045 0.00175 0.00007
2 1997 180 2.25527 0.00444 0.00030
3 1998 130 2.11394 0.00558 -0.00042
4 1999 168 2.22531 0.00134 0.00005
5 2000 166 2.22011 0.00099 0.00003
6 2001 158 2.19866 0.00010 0.00000
7 2002 150 2.17609 0.00016 0.00000
8 2003 200 2.30103 0.01263 0.00142
9 2004 100 2.00000 0.03560 -0.00672
10 2005 210 2.32222 0.01784 0.00238
11 2006 140 2.14613 0.00181 -0.00008
12 2007 195 2.29003 0.01028 0.00104
13 2008 100 2.00000 0.03560 -0.00672
14 2009 210 2.32222 0.01784 0.00238
15 2010 105 2.02119 0.02805 -0.00470
16 2011 145 2.16137 0.00075 -0.00002
17 2012 175 2.24304 0.00296 0.00016
18 2013 175 2.24304 0.00296 0.00016
19 2014 160 2.20412 0.00024 0.00000
20 2015 120 2.07918 0.01199 -0.00131
21 2016 175 2.24304 0.00296 0.00016
22 2017 152 2.18184 0.00005 0.00000
23 2018 179 2.25285 0.00412 0.00026
24 2019 125 2.09691 0.00842 -0.00077
JUMLAH 52.52804 0.20840 -0.01231

b. Mencari harga rata-rata : c. Menghitung harga standar deviasi


(log⁡𝑋 ) ̅= 𝑆_1=√((∑_(𝑖=1)^𝑛▒ 〖 (log⁡
(∑_(𝑖=1)^𝑛▒log⁡𝑋𝑖
)/𝑛 〖𝑋𝑖 −
(log⁡𝑋 ) ̅=52,5280 (log⁡〖𝑋 ) 〗 ) ̅ 〗〗 ^2
4/24 )/(𝑛−1))
𝑆_1=√(0,20840/
(24−1))=
0.09519
(log⁡〖𝑋 2.18867
〗 ) ̅=

d. Menghitung koefisien kepencengan

𝐶_𝑠=𝑛
(∑_(𝑖=1)^𝑛▒ 〖 (log⁡〖𝑋𝑖−
(log⁡𝑋)) ̅ 〗〗 ^3
)/ 〖 (𝑛−1)(𝑛−2)𝑆_1
𝐶_𝑠=24 〗 ^3
(−0,01231)/(24−1)
(24−2)0,09519^3

𝐶_𝑠= -0.67679
e. Nilai G interpolasi
Tr G Cs1 Cs Cs2 G1 G2
10 1.291 0.1 0.08772 0 1.292 1.282
15 1.454 0.1 0.08772 0 1.456 1.438
25 1.781 0.1 0.08772 0 1.785 1.751

f. Mencari anti log dari log Q untuk mendapatkan debit banjir dengan waktu balik yang dikehendaki QT
Tr P(%) G Log Q QT(mm)
10 10 1.29077 2.37784 238.69058
15 6.67 1.45412 2.39694 249.42501
25 4 1.78083 2.43515 272.36385
e. Nilai G interpolasi
Tr G Cs1 Cs Cs2 G1 G2
10 1.244 -0.3 -0.30391 -0.4 1.245 1.231
15 1.377 -0.3 -0.30391 -0.4 1.378 1.356
25 1.642 -0.3 -0.30391 -0.4 1.643 1.606

f. Mencari anti log dari log Q untuk mendapatkan debit banjir dengan waktu balik yang dikehendaki QT
Tr P(%) G Log Q QT(mm)
10 10 1.2445 2.3779 238.7258
15 6.67 1.3768 2.3939 247.7071
25 4 1.6416 2.4260 266.6962
e. Nilai G interpolasi
Tr G Cs1 Cs Cs2 G1 G2
10 1.187 -0.6 -0.67679 -0.7 1.2 1.183
15 1.290 -0.6 -0.67679 -0.7 1.309 1.285
25 1.497 -0.6 -0.67679 -0.7 1.528 1.488

f. Mencari anti log dari log Q untuk mendapatkan debit banjir dengan waktu balik yang dikehendaki QT
Tr P(%) G Log Q QT(mm)
10 10 1.1869 2.3017 200.2870
15 6.67 1.2904 2.3115 204.8800
25 4 1.4973 2.3312 214.3846
METODE IWAI
1. STASIUN MANDAI

NO. TAHUN Xi log Xi [3]+b log([5]) [6]^2


[1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7]
1 1996 170 2.2304 174.7195 2.2423 5.0281
2 1997 150 2.1761 154.7195 2.1895 4.7941
3 1998 240 2.3802 244.7195 2.3887 5.7057
4 1999 125 2.0969 129.7195 2.1130 4.4648
5 2000 260 2.4150 264.7195 2.4228 5.8699
6 2001 160 2.2041 164.7195 2.2167 4.9140
7 2002 180 2.2553 184.7195 2.2665 5.1371
8 2003 250 2.3979 254.7195 2.4061 5.7891
9 2004 180 2.2553 184.7195 2.2665 5.1371
10 2005 240 2.3802 244.7195 2.3887 5.7057
11 2006 150 2.1761 154.7195 2.1895 4.7941
12 2007 155 2.1903 159.7195 2.2034 4.8548
13 2008 160 2.2041 164.7195 2.2167 4.9140
14 2009 240 2.3802 244.7195 2.3887 5.7057
15 2010 185 2.2672 189.7195 2.2781 5.1898
16 2011 170 2.2304 174.7195 2.2423 5.0281
17 2012 150 2.1761 154.7195 2.1895 4.7941
18 2013 145 2.1614 149.7195 2.1753 4.7318
19 2014 250 2.3979 254.7195 2.4061 5.7891
20 2015 110 2.0414 114.7195 2.0596 4.2421
21 2016 165 2.2175 169.7195 2.2297 4.9717
22 2017 130 2.1139 134.7195 2.1294 4.5345
23 2018 125 2.0969 129.7195 2.1130 4.4648
24 2019 100 2.0000 104.7195 2.0200 4.0805
JUMLAH 4190 53.4450 4303.2678 53.7423 120.6408
RATA-RATA 2.2269 179.3028 2.2393 5.0267

log⁡〖 (𝑋)=53,4450/24=2,22
69 〗
𝑥= 168.606
𝑋^2 28427.997
=
no Xa Xt Xa*Xt Xa+Xt [4]-X^2 2*log(X)-[5] [6]/[7]
[1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8]
1 260 100 26000 360 -2428.0 -355.55 6.8289
2 250 110 27500 360 -928.0 -355.55 2.6101
Σb 9.4390
b 4.7195
B. STASIUN RACING CENTER

NO. TAHUN Xi log Xi [3]+b log([5]) [6]^2


[1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7]
1 1996 210 2.3222 218.43408 2.339 5.472
2 1997 150 2.1761 158.43408 2.200 4.839
3 1998 130 2.1139 138.43408 2.141 4.585
4 1999 187 2.2718 195.43408 2.291 5.249
5 2000 190 2.2788 198.43408 2.298 5.279
6 2001 185 2.2672 193.43408 2.287 5.228
7 2002 200 2.3010 208.43408 2.319 5.378
8 2003 230 2.3617 238.43408 2.377 5.652
9 2004 125 2.0969 133.43408 2.125 4.517
10 2005 290 2.4624 298.43408 2.475 6.125
11 2006 180 2.2553 188.43408 2.275 5.176
12 2007 220 2.3424 228.43408 2.359 5.564
13 2008 125 2.0969 133.43408 2.125 4.517
14 2009 230 2.3617 238.43408 2.377 5.652
15 2010 130 2.1139 138.43408 2.141 4.585
16 2011 190 2.2788 198.43408 2.298 5.279
17 2012 155 2.1903 163.43408 2.213 4.899
18 2013 126 2.1004 134.43408 2.129 4.531
19 2014 200 2.3010 208.43408 2.319 5.378
20 2015 100 2.0000 108.43408 2.035 4.142
21 2016 220 2.3424 228.43408 2.359 5.564
22 2017 98 1.9912 106.43408 2.027 4.109
23 2018 177 2.2480 185.43408 2.268 5.145
24 2019 150 2.1761 158.43408 2.200 4.839
JUMLAH 3988 53.4506 4400.41802 53.977 121.702
RATA-RATA 2.2271 183.35075 2.249 5.071

log⁡〖 (𝑋)=53,45056/24=2,
2271 〗
𝑥= 168.69677
𝑋^2 28458.599
=
no Xa Xt Xa*Xt Xa+Xt [4]-X^2 2*log(X)-[5] [6]/[7]
[1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8]
1 290 98 28420 388 -38.6 -383.55 0.1006
2 230 100 23000 330 -5458.6 -325.55 16.7675
Σb 16.8682
b 8.4341
C. STASIUN PAOTERE

NO. TAHUN Xi log Xi [3]+b log([5]) [6]^2


[1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7]
1 1996 170 2.2304 179.3753 2.2538 5.0794
2 1997 180 2.2553 189.3753 2.2773 5.1862
3 1998 130 2.1139 139.3753 2.1442 4.5975
4 1999 168 2.2253 177.3753 2.2489 5.0575
5 2000 166 2.2201 175.3753 2.2440 5.0354
6 2001 158 2.1987 167.3753 2.2237 4.9448
7 2002 150 2.1761 159.3753 2.2024 4.8507
8 2003 200 2.3010 209.3753 2.3209 5.3867
9 2004 100 2.0000 109.3753 2.0389 4.1572
10 2005 210 2.3222 219.3753 2.3412 5.4812
11 2006 140 2.1461 149.3753 2.1743 4.7275
12 2007 195 2.2900 204.3753 2.3104 5.3381
13 2008 100 2.0000 109.3753 2.0389 4.1572
14 2009 210 2.3222 219.3753 2.3412 5.4812
15 2010 105 2.0212 114.3753 2.0583 4.2367
16 2011 145 2.1614 154.3753 2.1886 4.7899
17 2012 175 2.2430 184.3753 2.2657 5.1334
18 2013 175 2.2430 184.3753 2.2657 5.1334
19 2014 160 2.2041 169.3753 2.2289 4.9678
20 2015 120 2.0792 129.3753 2.1119 4.4599
21 2016 175 2.2430 184.3753 2.2657 5.1334
22 2017 152 2.1818 161.3753 2.2078 4.8745
23 2018 179 2.2529 188.3753 2.2750 5.1757
24 2019 125 2.0969 134.3753 2.1283 4.5297
JUMLAH 3788 52.5280 4013.0073 53.1560 117.9151
RATA-RATA 2.1887 167.2086 2.2148 4.9131

log⁡〖 (𝑋)=52,528041/24=2,18
87 〗
𝑥= 154.40749
𝑋^2 23841.674
=
no Xa Xt Xa*Xt Xa+Xt [4]-X^2 2*log(X)-[5] [6]/[7]
[1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8]
1 210 100 21000 310 -2841.7 -305.62 9.2980
2 200 105 21000 305 -2841.7 -300.62 9.4526
Σb 18.7506
b 9.3753
Mencari nila 1/c

1/𝑐=[2𝑛/(𝑛−1)]^0,5
〖 (𝑋𝑎−𝑋_0) 〗 ^0,5

1/𝑐=[(2 . 24)/23]^0,5
〖 (5,027−2,239) 〗 ^0,5

1/𝑐
= 2.4119

Tabel perhitungan curah hujan


X+b X
T ζ 1/c*ζ Xo+[3]
10^[4] [5]-b
[1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6]
5 0.5954 1.436044 3.675 4734.872 4730.153
10 0.9062 2.185662 4.425 26602.735 26598.015
15 1.0614 2.559989 4.799 62987.289 62982.570
Mencari nila 1/c

1/𝑐=[2𝑛/(𝑛−1)]^0,5
〖 (𝑋𝑎−𝑋_0) 〗 ^0,5

1/𝑐=[(2 . 24)/23]^0,5
〖 (5,071−2,249) 〗 ^0,5

1/𝑐 2.4268
=

Tabel perhitungan curah hujan


X+b X
T ζ 1/c*ζ Xo+[3]
10^[4] [5]-b
[1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6]
10 0.9062 2.199123 4.448 28065.760 28057.326
15 1.0614 2.575755 4.825 66804.967 66796.533
25 1.2379 3.004077 5.253 179114.407 179105.973
Mencari nila 1/c

1/𝑐=[2𝑛/(𝑛−1)]^0,5
〖 (𝑋𝑎−𝑋_0) 〗 ^0,5

1/𝑐=[(2 . 24)/23]^0,5
〖 (4,9131−2,2148) 〗 ^0,5

1/𝑐
= 2.3730

Tabel perhitungan curah hujan


X+b X
T ζ 1/c*ζ Xo+[3]
10^[4] [5]-b
[1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6]
10 0.9062 2.150431 4.365 23188.024 23179.590
15 1.0614 2.518723 4.734 54144.761 54136.327
25 1.2379 2.937561 5.152 142034.703 142026.269
ANALISA CURAH HUJAN

2. METODE HASPERS
A. STASIUN MANDAI

hujan urutan periode standar


maks terbesar ulang variabel
R m T=(n-1)/m U
260 1 23
250 2 11.5
250 3 7.6666667
240 4 5.75
240 5 4.6
240 6 3.8333333
185 7 3.2857143
180 8 2.875
180 9 2.5555556
170 10 2.3
170 11 2.0909091
165 12 1.9166667
160 13 1.7692308
160 14 1.6428571
155 15 1.5333333
150 16 1.4375
150 17 1.3529412
150 18 1.2777778
145 19 1.2105263
130 20 1.15
125 21 1.0952381
125 22 1.0454545
110 23 1
100 24 0.9583333

Anda mungkin juga menyukai