Proyeksi Penduduk PIPAB
Proyeksi Penduduk PIPAB
Jumlah
Tahun Penduduk R Tn-To Pn (Pn-Pr)^2 (Pn-P)^2
(Jiwa)
2010 546,700 0 0 546700 792985600 0
2011 560,900 14,200 1 557900 287641600 9000000
2012 575,000 14,100 2 569100 33177600 34810000
2013 589,000 14000 3 580300 29593600 75690000
2014 602,700 13700 4 591500 276889600 125440000
Rata-Rata 574,860 11200 2 569100 284057600 48988000
Jumlah 2,874,300 56000 10 2845500 1420288000 244940000
STD 6260.22363817779
r^2 0.82754201964672
r 0.909693365726452
METODE GEOMETRIK
Jumlah
Tahun Penduduk r Tn-To (n) Pn (Pn-Pr)^2 (Pn-P)^2 Tahun
(Jiwa)
2010 546,700 0 0 546700 792985600 0 2010
2011 560,900 0.025974 1 557494 301577215.86 11600690.836 2011
2012 575,000 0.0251382 2 568501 40434854.879 42234930.272 2012
2013 589,000 0.0243478 3 579726 23674275.269 86014091.439 2013
2014 602,700 0.0232598 4 591172 266071542 132901711.41 2014
Rata-Rata 574,860 0.019744 2 568719 284948697.6 54550284.791 Rata-Rata
Jumlah 2,874,300 0.0987198 10 2843593 1424743488 272751423.96 Jumlah
STD 6606.0750702015 STD
r^2 0.808561031334453 r^2
r 0.899200217601427 r
a
b
ln a
METODE EKSPONENSIAL
Jumlah
Penduduk x y ln y x.ln y x^2 Pn (Pn-Pr)^2
(Jiwa)
546,700 1 546,700 13.211655 13.211655 1 547163 767107831.56
560,900 2 560,900 13.237298 26.474596 4 560674 201244689.54
575,000 3 575,000 13.262125 39.786376 9 574518 116847.28551
589,000 4 589,000 13.286181 53.144726 16 588704 191663515.56
602,700 5 602,700 13.309175 66.545874 25 603241 805460326.32
574,860 3 574,860 13.261287 39.832645 11 574860 393118642.05
2,874,300 15 2,874,300 66.306435 199.16323 55 2874300 1965593210.3
374.73223916696
0.999553492775305
0.999776721460999
533978.218379415
0.024392225631339
13.1881103275588
METODE LOGARITMIK
Jumlah
(Pn-P)^2 Tahun Penduduk x ln x y y.ln x (ln x)^2
(Jiwa)
214636.17328 2010 546,700 1 0 546,700 0 0
51109.357903 2011 560,900 2 0.6931472 560,900 388786.25 0.480453
232159.49572 2012 575,000 3 1.0986123 575,000 631702.07 1.206949
87462.561755 2013 589,000 4 1.3862944 589,000 816527.38 1.9218121
292283.98054 2014 602,700 5 1.6094379 602,700 970008.23 2.5902904
175530.31384 Rata-Rata 574,860 3 0.9574983 574,860 561404.79 1.2399009
877651.56919 Jumlah 2,874,300 15 4.7874917 2,874,300 2807023.9 6.1995044
STD 3962.20908506127
r^2 0.947382657183166
r 0.97333583987397
a 542328.883071357
b 33975.1154429555
MIK METODE REGRE
Jumlah
Pn (Pn-Pr)^2 (Pn-P)^2 Tahun Penduduk x x^2
(Jiwa)
542329 1058273568.6 19106663.204 2010 546,700 1 1
565879 80664853.498 24786841.81 2011 560,900 2 4
579654 22985910.879 21663089.406 2012 575,000 3 9
589428 212238104.56 183521.4435 2013 589,000 4 16
597010 490610182.22 32379264.348 2014 602,700 5 25
574860 372954523.96 19623876.042 Rata-Rata 574,860 3 11
2874300 1864772619.8 98119380.211 Jumlah 2,874,300 15 55
06127 STD 120.664
183166 r^2 0.99995
87397 r 0.99997
71357 a 53
29555 b 1
METODE REGRESI LINEAR
2015
2010
2005
2000
1995
a 532830
b 14010
wa)
Tahun x Regresi Linear
Periode 2
Standar Kebutuhan Air Jumlah Pemakaian air domestik Kebutuhan non domestik
150 24521293.2904615 27670785.0859588
150 24562509.8893998 27670785.0859588
150 24603795.7672302 27670785.0859588
150 24645151.0403998 27670785.0859588
150 24686575.8255517 27670785.0859588
150 24728070.2395254 27670785.0859588
150 24769634.3993562 27670785.0859588
150 24811268.4222765 27670785.0859588
150 24852972.4257155 27670785.0859588
150 24894746.5272999 27670785.0859588
150 24936590.8448541 27670785.0859588
150 24978505.4964007 27670785.0859588
150 25020490.6001606 27670785.0859588
150 25062546.2745531 27670785.0859588
150 25104672.638197 27670785.0859588
150 25146869.8099102 27670785.0859588
150 25189137.9087105 27670785.0859588
150 25231477.0538154 27670785.0859588
150 25273887.3646432 27670785.0859588
150 25316368.9608129 27670785.0859588
150 25358921.9621442 27670785.0859588
de 1 Daerah Layan 1
Kebutuhan total % kebocoran Tatakota dan hidran kebakaran Kebutuhan operasional IPAM
26975832.546127 20 154000 1348791.62730636
26996440.230588 20 154000 1349822.01152939
27017082.553461 20 154000 1350854.12767304
27037759.572968 20 154000 1351887.97864839
27058471.347429 20 154000 1352923.56737144
27079217.935262 20 154000 1353960.89676309
27099999.394983 20 154000 1354999.96974913
27120815.785206 20 154000 1356040.78926028
27141667.164644 20 154000 1357083.35823219
27162553.592109 20 154000 1358127.67960544
27183475.126511 20 154000 1359173.75632555
de 1 Daerah Layan 2
Kebutuhan total % kebocoran Tatakota dan hidran kebakaran Kebutuhan operasional IPAM
25216245.830293 20 154000 1260812.29151466
25236854.744771 20 154000 1261842.73723854
25257498.299728 20 154000 1262874.91498641
25278176.553391 20 154000 1263908.82766954
25298889.564082 20 154000 1264944.47820409
25319637.390223 20 154000 1265981.86951112
25340420.090333 20 154000 1267021.00451662
25361237.72303 20 154000 1268061.88615149
25382090.347031 20 154000 1269104.51735152
25402978.02115 20 154000 1270148.9010575
25423900.804302 20 154000 1271195.0402151
Periode 2
Kebutuhan total % kebocoran Tatakota dan hidran kebakaran Kebutuhan operasional IPAM
52192078.37642 20 154000 2609603.91882101
52233294.975359 20 154000 2611664.74876793
52274580.853189 20 154000 2613729.04265945
52315936.126359 20 154000 2615796.80631793
52357360.911511 20 154000 2617868.04557553
52398855.325484 20 154000 2619942.76627421
52440419.485315 20 154000 2622020.97426575
52482053.508235 20 154000 2624102.67541177
52523757.511674 20 154000 2626187.87558371
52565531.613259 20 154000 2628276.58066294
52607375.930813 20 154000 2630368.79654064
52649290.58236 20 154000 2632464.52911798
52691275.686119 20 154000 2634563.78430597
52733331.360512 20 154000 2636666.56802559
52775457.724156 20 154000 2638772.88620779
52817654.895869 20 154000 2640882.74479345
52859922.994669 20 154000 2642996.14973347
52902262.139774 20 154000 2645113.10698871
52944672.450602 20 154000 2647233.6225301
52987154.046772 20 154000 2649357.70233859
53029707.048103 20 154000 2651485.35240515
Total debit desain (l/dtk) l/dtk
28478624.3734336 362.575078828436
28500262.4421172 362.850563499177
28521936.8811338 363.126511218138
28543647.7516162 363.402922763632
28565395.1148002 363.679798915281
28587179.0320248 363.95714045402
28608999.5647316 364.234948162093
28630856.7744659 364.513222823061
28652750.722876 364.791965221801
28674681.4717142 365.07117614451
28696649.0828365 365.350856378705