Sapa Mentari

Selasa, 31 Agustus 2021

KEY INDEX PERFOMANCE

FOKUS HARI INI *Rekomendasi kami pada halaman ini menggunakan proyeksi
1 tahun buku, kecuali ada update perkembangan selanjutnya.
Price 1D 1W 1M YTD
IDX 6,144.90 1.71% 0.57% 1.23% 2.77%
LQ45 866.95 2.51% 0.36% 5.33% -7.27%
Global
Dow Jones 35,399.84 -0.15% 0.18% 1.33% 15.66% Matahari Department Store (LPPF, Upgrade BUY TP3000) :
S&P 500 4,528.79 0.43% 1.10% 3.04% 20.57% Stellar 1H21, Markedly Improved Operations
Nasdaq 15,265.9 0.90% 2.16% 4.04% 18.45%
EIDO, VIX & DXY LPPF membukukan laba bersih pada 1H21 sebesar IDR532.5bn, jauh lebih
EIDO 21.15 1.24% -0.24% 5.28% -9.69% membaik dibanding tahun lalu yang membukukan negative growth. Gross
VIX 16.19 -1.22% -5.60% -11.24% -28.84% margin tercatat bertumbuh +63.7% YoY didukung oleh belanja masyarakat
DXY 92.71 0.02% -0.28% 0.57% 3.14%
yang meningkat saat Lebaran. Sementara opex dibukukan -5.7% YoY.
Asean & Regional Full report : Klik disini
Thailand (SET) 1,633.77 1.40% 3.27% 7.35% 12.72%
Philippines (PSI) 6,786.62 -0.50% 2.96% 8.24% -4.95%
Malaysia (KLCI) 1,601.38 0.71% 5.19% 7.14% -1.59%
Vietnam (VN) 1,328.14 1.14% 2.25% 1.38% 20.32% Indofood Sukses Makmur (INDF), Indofood CBP (ICBP) :
China (SSEC) 3,528.15 0.17% 1.47% 3.85% 1.59% Rencana Pembagian Dividen
Hong Kong (HSI) 25,539.54 0.52% 1.71% -1.62% -6.21%
Singapore (STI) 3.105 0.78% 0.56% -1.79% 9.18% ICBP berencana akan mendistribusikan dividen sebesar IDR215/lembar
Japan (N225) 27,789.29 0.54% 1.07% 1.85% 1.26% saham dari laba bersih FY20. Angka ini setara dengan 2.6% dividend yield
Korea (KS11) 3,144.19 0.33% 1.75% -1.82% 9.42% dan 38% payout ratio. Sementara INDF berencana akan membagikan
Taiwan (TWII) 17,396.52 1.08% 3.91% 0.86% 18.08%
India (NSE) 16,931.05 1.35% 2.63% 7.41% 21.09%
dividen senilai IDR278/lembar saham yang setara dengan 4.3% dividend
yield dan 37% payout ratio.
(Source : Trenasia)
CURRENCY AND BOND YIELD

Rate 1D 1W 1M YTD
USD/IDR 14370 -0.31% -0.28% -0.62% 2.28% The Fed : Jackson Hole Symposium Update
The Fed akan mulai mengurangi pembelian obligasi bulanan akhir tahun
USD/JPY 109.92 0.05% 0.23% 0.21% 6.48%
2021. Sedangkan, kemungkinan peningkatan suku bunga akan dimulai pada
EUR/USD 1.179 -0.02% 0.46% -0.61% -3.41% awal tahun 2022. Ekspektasi inflasi jangka panjang secara umum konsisten
dengan target 2%. Jika inflasi terus meningkat, The Fed pasti akan
GBP/USD 1.375 -0.04% 0.28% -1.04% 0.61% melakukan intervensi untuk mengurangi tekanan harga. Sementara itu,
Indonesia
6.141 -0.41% -2.49% -1.36% 4.70%
tingkat pengangguran masih terlalu tinggi, dan mempengaruhi keadaan
10 –Year (%) pemulihan pasar tenaga kerja.
United States
10-Year (%)
1.280 -2.18% 2.29% 4.60% 39.88% (Source : BRI Danareksa Sekuritas)

HARD & SOFT COMMODITY

Ekonomi Makro : Perkiraan Inflasi Agustus21
Price 1D 1W 1M YTD
Nickel 19,012.50 0.00% 0.65% -2.85% 14.57% Bank Indonesia memperkirakan inflasi pada Agustus21 tetap relatif
Coal 171.35 0.20% 5.61% 15.82% 114.05% terkendali sebesar 0.01% MoM dan 1.57% YoY. Sementara secara YTD,
Gold 1,812.60 -0.47% 0.31% -0.29% -4.93% inflasi diperkirakan mencapai 0.82%. Penyumbang utama inflasi di Bulan
Silver 24.073 -0.36% 1.67% -5.85% -9.54% Agustus adalah barang komoditas seperti minyak goreng, tomat, telur dan
Copper 4.380 0.83% 3.34% -2.32% 24.14% rokok filter.
Tin 33,690.00 0.00% 4.29% -3.23% 65.60% (Source : Bisnis Indonesia)
Soy Bean 1,303.12 -1.17% 0.50% -3.36% -0.54%
Soy Oil 59.49 -1.69% 0.41% -9.62% 37.30%
Wheat 195.75 0.00% 1.16% 7.26% -1.39%
Sugar 487.40 0.00% 1.73% 9.36% 15.80% Ekonomi Makro : Konsumsi Rumah Tangga FY21F
Pulp 6,096 0.63% -1.10% -1.33% 5.65% Setelah terkontraksi -2.6% YoY di tahun 2020, Pemerintah memperkirakan
Rubber 163.00 -0.79% -5.83% -3.89% 8.45% konsumsi rumah tangga pada tahun 2021 dapat bertumbuh +2.2% hingga
Corn 543.90 -1.67% 1.10% -0.57% 12.38%
+2.8% YoY. Kondisi pada 2Q21 memang sempat melonjak yang dikarenakan
Palm Oil 4,254 -1.82% -1.14% -3.35% 15.65%
oleh basis rendah pada 2Q20 dan adanya momentum Lebaran. Hal ini
Oil (Brent) 72.12 -0.65% 4.99% -5.44% 39.34%
menjadi penting mengingat kontribusi konsumsi rumah tangga terhadap
Oil (WTI) 69.19 -0.20% 5.33% -6.50% 42.50%
GDP mencapai 57.7% di 2020. Pada 3Q21 diharapkan konsumsi dapat
meningkat dengan adanya pelonggaran pembatasan sosial.
Source : investing.com, Barchart
(Source : Kontan)
 Sapa Mentari
Selasa, 31 Agustus 2021

Trading Ideas
oleh Hadyatma Dahna Marta – Technical Expert BRIDS

Composite Daily JPFA – Trading Buy

S2 S1 R1 R2 TP1 TP2 SL1 SL2

6116 6136 6167 6201 1800 1820 1750 1710

Last Price: 6144 Last Price: 1795

Trading Range : 1710 - 1820
• IHSG diprediksi bergerak
mixed cenderung menguat • Volume transaksi stabil
• Indikator MACD negatif meningkat
melemah berpotensi golden • Indikator MACD positif
cross menguat
• Indikator Stochastic netral • Stochastic netral menguat
menguat menuju overbought menuju overbought
• Indikator RSI netral menguat • Indikator RSI netral menguat
menuju overbought menuju overbought

BMTR – Trading buy TLKM - Trading Buy

TP1 TP2 SL1 SL2 TP1 TP2 SL1 SL2

288 292 278 274 3430 3450 3350 3300

Last Price : 282 Last Price : 3400

Trading Range : 274 - 292 Trading Range : 3300 - 3450
• Volume transaksi stabil • Indikator volume transaksi
meningkat stabil
• Indikator MACD positif • Indikator MACD negatif
menguat konsolidasi
• Indikator Stochastic netral • Indikator Stochastic netral
menguat menguat
• Indikator RSI netral • Indikator RSI netral menguat
menguat

SSIA – Sell ESSA – Sell

TP1 TP2 SL1 SL2 TP1 TP2 SL1 SL2

476 470 498 515 322 316 338 348

Last Price: 484 Last Price : 328

Trading Range : 470 - 515 Trading Range : 316 - 348
• Volume transaksi • Volume transaksi stabil
meningkat diatas rata-rata meningkat
• Indikator MACD negatif • Indikator MACD negatif
menguat konsolidasi
• Indikator Stochastic netral • Indikator Stochastic netral
melemah melemah
• Indikator RSI netral • Indikator RSI netral melemah
melemah menuju oversold

BRI Danareksa Sekuritas – Sapa Mentari

 Sapa Mentari
Selasa, 31 Agustus 2021

STOCK PICK
TREND TRADE
Call Last Target Stop
Code Action Remarks
Price Price Price Loss
Bullish Flag
EXCL BUY 2.670 2.670 2.950 2.480
Day 17
Rebound From Lower
BMTR BUY 276 282 360 250
Day 15
Cup and Handle Pattern
BBTN BUY 1.425 1.420 1.670 1.300
Day 9
Rebound From Lower
*TKIM BUY 7.125 7.125 8.000 6.200
Day 1
Catatan:
Trend Trade/Minor Trend memiliki rentang waktu hold position dalam 30 hari.*rekomendasi baru
Call Price adalah harga pada saat rekomendasi dikeluarkan
SWING TRADE
Call Last Target Stop
Code Action Remarks
Price Price Price Loss
Rebound From Lower Channel
CPIN BUY 6.325 6.600 6.800 6.000
Day 10
Rebound From Lower Channel
BRMS BUY 92 88 104 85
Day 7
Rebound From Lower Channel
JPFA BUY 1.790 1.795 1.900 1.650
Day 5
Potentitally Triple Bottom
INDF BUY 6.425 6.525 6.800 6.100
Day 2
Catatan:
Swing Trade memiliki rentang waktu hold position dalam 3-10 hari.*rekomendasi baru
Call Price adalah harga pada saat rekomendasi dikeluarkan

DAY TRADE
NO CODE LAST PRICE PREV DAY ∆ % CHG ACTION TP1 TP2 SL1 SL2
1 BBTN 1420 1400 20 1,43% BUY 1.430 1.440 1.405 1.390
2 EXCL 2670 2650 20 0,75% BUY 2.690 2.710 2.650 2.630
3 TLKM 3400 3320 80 2,41% BUY 3.430 3.450 3.350 3.300
4 TKIM 7125 6725 400 5,95% BUY 7.275 7.425 6.875 6.650
5 AKRA 3850 3810 40 1,05% BUY 3.890 3.930 3.810 3.770
6 JPFA 1795 1740 55 3,16% BUY 1.820 1.845 1.750 1.710
7 ITMG 15800 15250 550 3,61% BUY 15.950 16.100 15.525 15.275
8 BMTR 282 280 2 0,71% BUY 288 292 278 274
9 SSIA 484 498 -14 -2,81% SELL 476 470 498 515
10 ESSA 328 336 -8 -2,38% SELL 322 316 338 348
11 PMMP 490 525 -35 -6,67% SELL 476 462 520 545
12 LSIP 1095 1085 10 0,92% SELL 1.080 1.070 1.105 1.115
13 HOKI 189 188 1 0,53% SELL 187 185 191 193
14 AALI 8425 8350 75 0,90% SELL 8.475 8.525 8.350 8.300
15 LPKR 131 137 -6 -4,38% SELL 127 124 136 142
Keterangan Day Trade Stock Pick :
1. Data kumpulan saham diambil dari BRIDS Technical Universe
2. Data diurutkan berdasarkan value transaksi terbesar selama 20 hari bursa terakhir
3. SL1 (Stop Loss 1) = Batas bawah pertama yang direkomendasikan untuk melakukan CUT LOSS
4. SL2 (Stop Loss 2) = Batas bawah kedua yang direkomendasikan untuk melakukan CUT LOSS
5. TP1 (Target Price 1) = Batas atas pertama yang direkomendasikan untuk melakukan TAKE PROFIT
6. TP2 (Target Price 2) = Batas atas kedua yang direkomendasikan untuk melakukan TAKE PROFIT

BRI Danareksa Sekuritas – Sapa Mentari

 Sapa Mentari
Selasa, 31 Agustus 2021

Deni Herdiana
Head - Retail Customer Distribution
Sales Team
deni.herdiana@bridanareksasekuritas.co.id
(021) 50914100

I Wayan Satia Jaya Rudy Ruslim

Branch Manager - Coordinator Branch Manager
Palembang, Depok Mangga Dua
satia@bridanareksasekuritas.co.id rudyr@bridanareksasekuritas.co.id
(021) 78849149 (021) 62301988

Upik Yuzarni Maryadi Suwondo

Branch Manager Branch Manager
Pondok Indah Bandung
upik_y@bridanareksasekuritas.co.id maryadi@bridanareksasekuritas.co.id
(021) 29555777 (022) 860 210 30

Yahuda Nawa Yanukrisna Rachma Yudyawati

Branch Manager Branch Manager
Yogyakarta, Solo, Semarang Surabaya, Malang
yahuda@danareksa.com rachma@bridanareksasekuritas.co.id
(0274) 551181 (031) 5345888

Martha Hidayat Umar Bin Aziz

Branch Manager Branch Manager
Medan Makassar
marthah@bridanareksasekuritas.co.id umarba@bridanareksasekuritas.co.id
(061) 4528100 (0411) 8114011

BRI II Building, 23rd Floor

Jl. Jenderal Sudirman Kav.
44-46 Jakarta Indonesia
10210
Phone : 021-50914100
Fax : 021-2520990

BRI Danareksa Sekuritas – Sapa Mentari

 Sapa Mentari
Selasa, 31 Agustus 2021

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