400
Population Size
300
200
100
0
1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008
Year
• Seip 1992
• Simpson et al. 1997
• Apps et al. 2001
• McLellan et al. 2004
A recurrent insect:
Up to four outbreaks
have occurred since
records kept in the
1930’s
No Recorded Outbreaks
Possible 1870’s
1991-94
Possible 1900’s 1982-83
1980’s, 1990’s and Possible 1970’s
2000’s Outbreaks
2002-05
Patch of mortality
Distribution of very severely defoliated
patches
Mortality in survey plots
Hemlock mortality
Hw Dead %
30
25
b b b b b
20
a a
Percentage
15
10
0
1930 1970 1980 1990 2000 1980- Never
1990-
2000
Outbreak
2.0
b
1.8
b
b b
a a
1.6
aba a
Shanno's index (H')
a
1.4 a
1.2
1.0
Mean+SE
Mean-SE
0.8
1930 1970 1980 1990 2000 80,90,00 never Mean
Year
Cover of all understorey and of forage
110
c
100 Understorey cover % c
Caribou forage %
90 c
80
bc
70 ab
60 ab
a
50
b
b b
Cover (%)
40 b
b
30
ab
20 a
10
0
1930 1970 1980 1990 2000 80,90,00 never
Year
Lichen litter on ground
1.8
ab
1.6
b
b
1.4
a
Number of 5 gram bags
1.2 a a a
a a a
a 1.0
a
0.8 a
0.6
0.4
Mean+SE
Mean-SE
0.2
1930 1970 1980 1990 2000 1980-2000 never Mean
Year
Conclusion