EDITORIAL
With the announcement of the Budget for 2011-12, we have
almost come to the end of this financial year. The Budget 2011
was a balanced budget by the Finance Minister. There were
lesser-than-expected measures that would have gained the
attention of the people at large. Though a closer look indicates
that the budget is all around, giving a sustainable growth to our
economy. There are specific measures on improving the key
drivers of our economy like rural development, supply chain
infrastructure and increasing affordability.
We all look forward to a new and exciting year 2011-12 and we
thought what better than to start the year with some basics. So,
in this issue of ICICIdirect Money Manager, we have covered
and explained some of the key macro economic indicators that
impact the performance of the markets. This will help you get a
bird’s eye view of the workings of the economy and thus assist
you in taking informed investment decisions. Of course, there is
detailed analysis of the budgets for you and how it will impact
various sectors that you may have invested in. Additionally, this
edition features an interview with the director general of CII,
Chandrajit Banerjee, wherein he talks about the macroeconomic
factors that affect India.
So get the big picture right… and do let us know your thoughts
at moneymanager@icicisecurities.com
2 ICICIdirect
l Money Manager
March 2011
COnTEnTs
From the Executive Director’s desk .....................................................1
Editorial ..................................................................................................2
Contents .................................................................................................3
news ......................................................................................................4
Tête-à-tête ............................................................................................ 19
Interview with Chandrajit Banerjee, director general,
Confederation of Indian Industries (CII)
Query Corner........................................................................................24
Important:
All the contents of ICICIdirect Money Manager are the exclusive property of
ICICI securities Ltd. no article, either in whole or in part, may be published
circulated or distributed through any medium without the express consent
of ICICI securities Ltd.
12000
3-Feb-11
5-Feb-11
7-Feb-11
9-Feb-11
11-Feb-11
13-Feb-11
15-Feb-11
17-Feb-11
19-Feb-11
21-Feb-11
23-Feb-11
25-Feb-11
27-Feb-11
prominently in Libya) arrested Dow Jones Index
3-Feb-11
5-Feb-11
7-Feb-11
9-Feb-11
11-Feb-11
13-Feb-11
15-Feb-11
17-Feb-11
19-Feb-11
21-Feb-11
23-Feb-11
25-Feb-11
27-Feb-11
Indian markets were range-
bound with a negative bias. Nasdaq Index
1200
13-Feb-11
15-Feb-11
17-Feb-11
19-Feb-11
21-Feb-11
23-Feb-11
25-Feb-11
27-Feb-11
1-Feb-11
3-Feb-11
5-Feb-11
7-Feb-11
9-Feb-11
13-Feb-11
15-Feb-11
17-Feb-11
19-Feb-11
21-Feb-11
23-Feb-11
25-Feb-11
27-Feb-11
1-Feb-11
3-Feb-11
5-Feb-11
7-Feb-11
9-Feb-11
3-Feb-11
5-Feb-11
7-Feb-11
9-Feb-11
11-Feb-11
13-Feb-11
15-Feb-11
17-Feb-11
19-Feb-11
21-Feb-11
23-Feb-11
25-Feb-11
27-Feb-11
DAX Index Chicago business barometer
Source: ICICIdirect.com Research, Bloomberg rose to 68.8 in January 2011
from 66.8 in December 2010
11000
10900
with a reading above 50,
thus indicating growth. The
10800
10700
10600
13-Feb-11
15-Feb-11
17-Feb-11
19-Feb-11
21-Feb-11
23-Feb-11
25-Feb-11
27-Feb-11
1-Mar-11
1-Feb-11
3-Feb-11
5-Feb-11
7-Feb-11
9-Feb-11
Nikkie Index
upwardly revised $2.0 billion
Source: ICICIdirect.com Research, Bloomberg increase in November. On the
US economic front, jobless
4300 claims came in at their lowest
4100
level since July 2008. The Fed
3900
raised its 2011 GDP growth
expectations to a range of 3.4-
3700
3500
13-Feb-11
15-Feb-11
17-Feb-11
19-Feb-11
21-Feb-11
23-Feb-11
25-Feb-11
27-Feb-11
1-Feb-11
3-Feb-11
5-Feb-11
7-Feb-11
9-Feb-11
CAC 40 Index
Department reported that the
Source: ICICIdirect.com Research, Bloomberg housing rate showed a jump of
14.6 percent to an annual rate
of 596,000 in January 2011.
25000
24000
23000
US existing home sales rose
2.7 percent to an annual rate
22000
21000
20000
of 5.36 million in January 2011
1-Mar-11
1-Feb-11
3-Feb-11
5-Feb-11
7-Feb-11
9-Feb-11
11-Feb-11
13-Feb-11
15-Feb-11
17-Feb-11
19-Feb-11
21-Feb-11
23-Feb-11
25-Feb-11
27-Feb-11
HANG SENG
from a downwardly revised
Source: ICICIdirect.com Research, Bloomberg 5.22 million in December 2010.
European Indices were flat
3500
3000
with the FTSE increasing by
2500
2000
0.6 percent while the CAC and
1500
1000
DAX gained 0.9 percent and
500
0
1.2 percent in February. The
ECB kept rates unchanged
1-Mar-11
1-Feb-11
3-Feb-11
5-Feb-11
7-Feb-11
9-Feb-11
11-Feb-11
13-Feb-11
15-Feb-11
17-Feb-11
19-Feb-11
21-Feb-11
23-Feb-11
25-Feb-11
27-Feb-11
6 ICICIdirect
l Money Manager
March 2011
MARKETs ROUnD-UP
during February 2011 gaining For February 2011, Sensex
1.5 percent each (after gaining and Nifty declined 1.5 percent
1.9 percent and 1.1 percent, and 1.1 percent, respectively.
respectively, during January) The CNX Midcap was down
while Nasdaq gained 1.1 5.22 percent and BSE Small
percent. The Hang Seng Cap Index lost 6.44 percent on
declined marginally by 0.6 month-on-month basis. BSE
percent. Shanghai SSEC and Oil and Gas and BSE Bankex
the Japanese Nikkei registered outperformed the broader
an increase of 3.8 percent markets and delivered 4.1
and 3.4 percent, respectively. percent and 3.6 percent re-
China hiked its interest rate turns respectively, while Re-
alty, Power and Capital Goods
by 25 bps in the middle of
were the key underperformers
February.
in February 2011.
18600
18400
18200 The top gainers from Sensex
components were Reliance
18000
17800
13-Feb-11
15-Feb-11
17-Feb-11
19-Feb-11
21-Feb-11
23-Feb-11
25-Feb-11
27-Feb-11
1-Mar-11
1-Feb-11
3-Feb-11
5-Feb-11
7-Feb-11
9-Feb-11
5500
5400
5300
dalco (8.35 percent). From the
5200
CNX Midcap index, Welspun
Corp (28.61 percent), HDIL
5100
5000
3-Feb-11
5-Feb-11
7-Feb-11
9-Feb-11
11-Feb-11
13-Feb-11
15-Feb-11
17-Feb-11
19-Feb-11
21-Feb-11
23-Feb-11
25-Feb-11
27-Feb-11
NIFTY
erson Sumi (13.35 percent)
Source: ICICIdirect.com Research, Bloomberg led the gainers. On the other
hand, Deccan Chronicle (35.86
Domestic markets percent), MphasiS (34 percent)
In February 2011, provisional and Punj Lloyd (33.72 percent)
figures show FIIs were net sell- were at the losing end.
ers to the tune of ` 7,530 crore. Outlook
MFs bought shares worth `
1,427 crore while insurance The markets gave thumbs up
companies were net buyers to to the Union Budget and ral-
the tune of ` 4,277 crore in our lied about 5 percent after Feb-
equities. ruary 28, 2011. We are con-
8 ICICIdirect
l Money Manager
March 2011
TECHnICAL OUTLOOK
Bears take breather, sensex not out of the woods yet
10 ICICIdirect
l Money Manager
March 2011
DERIVATIVEs VIEW
February expiry in chaos on low rollovers
Mounting tension in Libya, oil prices going above $100 a
barrel, and a humungous sell of $600 million by FIIs ensured
nifty seeing a selling frenzy on the expiry day. February series
saw the highest ever F&O turnover of ` 277,277 crore. The
trend for the market was secular, nifty opened below the
VWAP level and continued to diverge from that level, finally
closing 175 points below at 5,263 (6 percent cut) from January
expiry. This does not come as a surprise. We had stated in the
last report that if rollovers in large caps don’t pick up then
we are in for a nervous expiry, and the similar thing occurred.
The nifty rollover was at 64.79 percent (Vs 3M avg of 64.23
percent & 6M avg of 68.12 percent), the second-lowest percent
rollover figure since June 2009. Market-wide rollover, was also
lowest in the last one year at 82.79 percent (Vs 3M avg of 83.66
percent and 6M avg of 84.51 percent).
Rollover snapshot
January December november
Market wide rollover (%) 82.79 83.64 85.49
Nifty Rollover (%) 64.79 66.71 75.04
Nifty Rollover cost (%) 0.32 0.23 0.83
Futures and Options build-up of 5.7 million shares and 5,400
for March series strike with a base of 4.88
Nifty March series kicks off million shares. On the Call
with a base of just 22.93 side, 5,500 Call has the highest
million shares (whereas it OI of 3.94 million shares,
was 19.44 million shares in closely followed by 5,500
the beginning of February Call with 3.04 million shares.
and 19.06 million shares The impression from sudden
were seen in the beginning data weakness suggests
of the January series). March some more downsides for the
series option data started on market with India VIX at 28.2;
a nervous footing (similar to expect initial trading sessions
start of February series) with of March series to be volatile
5,300 as highest Put OI Base and nervy.
ICICIdirect Money Manager l 11
March 2011
DERIVATIVEs VIEW
OI build-up in current and mid report, banking heavy weights
series like SBI, PNB, Axis Bank and
Milli o
ns OI (in millions) 5,550 HDFC Bank did not see any
5,500 pick up in rollover activity on
5,450
the last day as well (clocking
22.9
5,400
close to 70 percent each). As
24.9
23.4
14.4
20.5
5,350
15.1
5,300
7.5
5.8
85
92
80
88
88
88
87
87
87
86
86
86
86
86
86
86
86
86
85
85
85
84
84
84
84
84
83
83
83
82
82
81
81
81
81
81
75
80
81
80
79
80
76
70
Automobile
Infrastructure
Power
Banking
Transport
Capital
Telecom
Cement
Textile
Realty
Finance
Media
Pharma
Technology
Hotels
Metals
Fertilisers
Rollover (in %) 3 M Avg
LUPIn
Company background prescription. Lupin is an early entrant
Lupin is an innovation-led trans-na- in the Japanese generic market. It is
tional pharmaceutical company, pro- planning to shift API requirement for
ducing a wide range of generic for- the Japanese market to India in FY12
mulations and APIs for the developed and to complete manufacturing activ-
and developing markets. Lupin’s ities for formulation in FY13, and this
range of finished products includes will improve margins.
anti-tuberculosis, cephalosporin, car- Lupin is one of the best working capi-
diovascular, anti-asthma, non-steroi- tal managed company in India. The
dal and anti-inflammatory. management has guided for about
Investment rationale 75-100 bps improvement in the
Lupin has strong presence in the US EBITDA margins on account of niche
market in both branded and generic launches in both the exports and do-
space. In Q3FY11, the sales from mestic markets.
branded business witnessed de- Valuation
growth due to reduction in inventory Lupin is currently trading at ` 397, i.e.
days at its customers, but it will be 16.5x of FY12E EPS of ` 24 and 14.2x
normalised going forward. As Both of FY13E EPS of ` 27.9. We expect
Antara and Suprax sales are picking sales, EBITDA and profits to grow at
up, we believe de-growth in brand- a CAGR of 20%, 22% and 22% be-
ed business will be arrested in due tween FY10-13E, respectively. We
course. Similarly, the launch of Aller- maintain our stance on Lupin that the
nase in FY12 will boost the branded company justifies higher multiple on
business sales further. account of its performance in the US
On the generics front, the company is generic and branded space, perform-
planning to launch 10-12 products. It ance in other geographies including
is targeting to file around 60 ANDAs India, superior working capital capa-
with the USFDA in the next 3-4 years. bilities and management vision. We
It has emerged as the 5th largest value the company at 19x FY13E EPS
generic player in the US in terms of of ` 27.9, i.e. ` 530.
(` crore)
FY09 FY10 FY11E FY12E FY13E
Net sales 3776 4741 5726 6937 8251
EBITDA 649 979 1215 1496 1788
Net Profit 502 682 885 1070 1245
EPS (`) 12.1 15.3 19.8 24.0 27.9
PE (x) 32.8 26.0 20.0 16.5 14.2
Price to Book (x) 11.5 6.9 5.3 4.1 3.3
RoNW (%) 35.6 27.3 27.1 25.6 23.8
RoCE(%) 23.6 22.4 23.3 23.8 24.8
14 ICICIdirect
l Money Manager
March 2011 TOP PICK
TATA MOTORs
Company background The Indica and Indigo family has seen
Tata Motors is one of the oldest and strong resurgence as new product
the largest automobile manufactur- launches has led to imporved cus-
ers of India. It was established in tomer interest.
1945 under the former name TELCO On the JLR front, it continues to show
and started out producing commer- the hidden value of a strong brand
cial vehicles. The company remains coupled with high quality products.
the strongest commercial vehicle JLR has continued to spread to vari-
(CV) maker of India, made the foray ous geographies across the globe
into passenger car segment in 1998 like China, thereby providing able di-
with the ‘Indica’. It has continued its versification and derisking itself from
foray towards achieving excellence any major demand slowdown. JLR
through internal as well as external continues to post stellar results; in
sources (acquisitions). Amongst its Q3FY11, it reported EBITDA margins
finest acquisition so far has been the of 17.4%, cash profits of GBP 395 mil-
one of Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) at lion. JLR is expected to turn aggres-
$2.3 billion in 2008 which has com- sive and launch newer 2011 models
pletely turned around from being a to enrich its product mix further. The
laggard to one of the most profitable rise in input prices has been a con-
luxury car maker in the world. cern across the globe for car makers.
Investment rationale However, the management remains
Tata Motors is the market leader in positive on the margin maintenance
the CV segment with about 58% due to higher degree of value-added
market share and is also one of the content in JLR products.
leading domestic passenger car mak- Valuation
ers. In the CV segment, the rising We have valued the stock on an SOTP
freight rates and demand in the haul- basis. We have valued the standalone
age segment continue to be positive business at 14x FY12 EPS of ` 40.7 to
indicators for the future. We expect arrive at ` 569, JLR at 5.0x EV/EBIT-
FY12 to witness a stronger pick-up DA to arrive at ` 836 and other ma-
in infrastructure and construction- jor subsidiaries at ` 73 after the 15%
related activities. On the passenger holding company discount. We have
vehicle (PV) front, the company has also valued the investment book of
witnessed challenges emerging from the company at 0.1x BV for unquot-
the intermediate slowdown in Nano’s ed investments and market value of
volumes. However, the management quoted investments to reach ` 45 per
is confident of maintaining a healthy share and maintain our target price of
runrate for the same in the future. ` 1,523.
(` crore)
FY09 FY10 FY11E FY12E FY13E
Net sales 3776 4741 5726 6937 8251
EBITDA 649 979 1215 1496 1788
Net Profit 502 682 885 1070 1245
EPS (`) 12.1 15.3 19.8 24.0 27.9
PE (x) 32.8 26.0 20.0 16.5 14.2
Price to Book (x) 11.5 6.9 5.3 4.1 3.3
RoNW (%) 35.6 27.3 27.1 25.6 23.8
RoCE(%) 23.6 22.4 23.3 23.8 24.8
Central excise duty re- Posi- Leaving the excise duty unchanged is a good move
mains unchanged at 10% tive towards maintaining the demand momentum and
will help retain the degree of cushion among OEMs
for a further price hike in case input prices remain
firm in FY12
Reduction in excise Posi- The reduction in duties will provide a positive impe-
duty and exemption in tive tus for investments in green technology and push
customs duty for hybrid towards greater economies of scale and higher
vehicles value engineering across the sector. It will immedi-
ately benefit M&M with the recently acquired Reva
in its stable
Metals
Announcement Impact Our View
Increase in export duty on Negative This move is negative for iron ore mining compa-
iron ore (fines & lumps) to nies like Sesa Goa and NMDC. Sesa Goa exports
20% 80% of its ore to China. Hence, the increase in
the export duty will lead to a decline in the FY12E
EPS by 21%
16 ICICIdirect
l Money Manager
March 2011
BUDGET 2011
Aviation
Announcement Impact Our View
Hike in service tax for domes- Neutral to The government has proposed to raise the service
tic and international travel by Negative tax for domestic and international travelling, re-
` 50 and ` 250, respectively spectively. The tax on economy class of domestic
travel will increase to ` 150 from the current `
100 and ` 750 as against ` 500, for international
travel. Considering the amount, we expect the
players to pass the burden easily to travellers
Textiles
Announcement Impact Our View
Conversion of optional excise Negative Negative for branded garment players like Ray-
duty levy to a mandatory 10% mond, Zodiac, Arvind, Kewal Kiran, Provogue,
levy on branded garments or SKNL, etc. However, we believe the burden will
made-ups. However, export be shared by the company, channel partners and
of these items will not attract consumers collectively
any duty
Reduction of basic customs Negative Negative for Himatsingka Seide as ~20% of its
duty on raw silk from 30% to revenues come from the silk fabrics and silk yarn
5%
Reduction of basic customs Negative We will have to wait for clarity on the list of inter-
duty from 5% to 2.5% on cer- mediates, which are included to gauge company-
tain textile intermediates specific impact
Reduction of basic customs Neutral Prices of both Indian cotton and synthetic yarn are
duty on certain specified in- 5-10% lower than those prevailing in international
puts for manufacture of cer- markets. Hence, a 250 bps reduction in customs
tain technical fibre and yarn duty will not hurt domestic players
from 7.5% to 5%
Technology Upgradation Fund Neutral While an allocation of ` 3,100 crore will give tex-
Scheme (TUFS) allocation tile companies access to cheaper funds for their
increased from ` 2,400 crore expansion it will weigh on the balance sheet of
in the previous Budget to ` textile companies, which are already highly lever-
3,100 crore aged
Banks and nBFCs
Announcement Impact Our View
Recapitalisation of PSU banks Po s i t i v e This will enhance the CAR of banks and support
of ` 6,000 crore in FY12 for banks balance sheet growth. Banks with Tier I capital of
with low- less than 8% and government holding of 51% will
er Tier I be the key beneficiaries. From the I-direct cover-
capital age universe, key beneficiaries will be Union Bank
of India, Syndicate Bank and Dena Bank
Ticket size for housing loans Po s i t i v e This will enable HFCs to sell more of their portfolio
for priority sector raised to ` for HFC to banks under priority lending. Positive for LICHF,
25 lakh HDFC and GIC Housing Finance
18 ICICIdirect
l Money Manager
March 2011
Tête-à-tête
‘10 percent growth is achievable’
Can India grow at the projected 9 percent? It can, so thinks
Chandrajit Banerjee, director general, Confederation of Indian
Industries (CII). He thinks that India can surpass the projected
growth rate and achieve 10 percent or more.
In an exclusive interview with ICICIdirect Money Manager,
Banerjee explains some of the problems plaguing the economy.
He approves of the budget for FY2011-12 that emphasises
the importance of improvement in supply side agricultural
conditions. The interview was conducted by Rajeev Ranjan Jha
on behalf of ICICIdirect Money Manager.
22 ICICIdirect
l Money Manager
March 2011
Tête-à-tête
I can take an example, like three areas I had mentioned.
cash-in-hand that is direct You mentioned that the gov-
subsidy in the form of cash to ernment should take fiscal
the people, to be very good.
measures instead of monetary
We hope that this gets imple-
ways to curtail inflation. So
mented well. Then, around
basically you don’t want inter-
48 percent of the budget is
est rate to go up further and
talking about infrastructure.
A very important focus is on liquidity to be tightened more.
infrastructure. There are sev- That’s what I have said. You
eral things, which will induce already have a tight situation
investments and growth and at hand. What do you need for
which will improve the sup- investment to take place? You
ply side situation. The focus need credit to be available at
on rural economy and on ag- a lower cost. You can’t tighten
riculture is important to see credit at this point. That will
that we are able to continue have an adverse effect. You
growth. There are very posi- need to have more invest-
tive features in the Budget in- ments, and therefore you can’t
cluding tax reforms, although
make credit costly. And, on the
GST, which you can see as a
other side, you also need to
negative one, has lost. We
give more money in the hands
need to have a conclusion on
of the people, especially the
the GST. We are able to roll it
out with confidence. But we poor. This is a very integral
see that there is a shortage of part of growth. Coming back
convergence in our system, in to your monetary point, I think
our infrastructure, in moving there is little space for adjust-
towards the GST and widen- ment on the monetary front at
ing the tax net in services area. this point. So we need to focus
So these are certain features on the non-monetary side.
which are very critical for the
Disclaimer:
The views expressed in this article by the interviewee are theirs alone, and do not
necessarily reflect the views of I-Sec or any employee thereof. I-Sec makes no
representations as to accuracy, completeness, currentness, suitability, or validity of any
information contained therein and will not be liable for any errors, omissions, or delays
in this information or any losses, injuries, or damages arising therefrom.
(%)
6.7
7.0
FY05
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
Q1FY11
Q2FY11
Q3FY11
GDP Growth
10.0
4.0
May-10
Nov-10
May-05
Nov-05
May-06
Nov-06
May-07
Nov-07
May-08
Nov-08
May-09
-2.0
M 07
M 08
M 09
M 10
Ja 6
Ja 7
Ja 8
Ja 9
10
Se 6
Se 7
Se 8
S e 09
Se 0
ious tenures, say 1 to 30 years.
0
0
-0
-0
-0
-1
n-
n-
n-
n-
n-
-
p-
p-
p-
p-
p-
ay
ay
ay
ay
ay
Ja
32 ICICIdirect
l Money Manager
March 2011
Financial Planning
Plan for comfortable financial future
Prashant Kulkarni, aged 45, lives in Pune with his wife Chitra who
is 40 years old. Both of them are working in the public sector.
They have a daughter— Vaibhavi, aged 14 years. Prashant’s
mother, sujata, aged 82, also lives with him. so far, Prashant had
been managing his family’s finances. He approached ICICIdirect.
com through ICICIdirect Money Manager to create a financial
plan that would help secure his family’s financial future.
If you would like us to help you create a financial plan for your family,
please call Rashmi singh at 022-4070 1422 or email your request to
moneymanager@icicisecurities.com
3500
17.7
3000
20
14.2
2500
12.8
1707.3
11.3
15
2000
10
Return%
5.7
1500
2.5
5
469.4
1000
600
387.2
254.4
227.1
300
180
0
59.4
500
57.9
60
-2
-5 0
-3.5
40 ICICIdirect
l Money Manager
March 2011
FUnD CARD
ICICI Prudential Focused Bluechip Equity Fund
Fund Objective Period Fund Benchmark
To g e n e r a t e l o n g- t e r m c a p i t a l
Quarter 09/03/09 to 75.1 80.9
appreciation and income distribution
to unitholders from a portfolio that is 10/06/09
invested in equity and equity-related Year 09/03/09 to 114.4 99.5
securities of about 20 companies
11/03/10
belonging to the large-cap domain
and the balance in debt securities and Worst Return(%)
money market instruments.
Key Information Period Fund Benchmark
Month 24/09/08 to -33.5 -37.9
NAV as on March 03, 2011 16.0 24/10/08
Inception Date May 26, 2008
Fund Manager Prashant Kothari Q u a r - 24/07/08 to -36.9 -41.7
Minimum Investment ter 24/10/08
Lumpsum 5,000.0 Year 26/05/08 to 0.6 -15.6
SIP 0.0 26/05/09
Expense Ratio (%) 1.9
Exit Load (%) 1.0 Market Cycle Returns
AUM (` Crore) as on 1658.2 Market Phase Period Returns
December 31, 2010 (%)
Benchmark S&P Bull Phase 14/01/2006- -
CNX Nifty 08/01/2008
Calendar Year-wise Performance Bear Phase 08/01/2008- -
2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 09/03/2009
NAV as 16.0 17.4 13.7 7.2 --
Bull Phase 09/03/2009- 114.9
on Dec
06/01/2010
31 (`)
Return -8.2 27.1 91.2 -28.5 -- Dividend History
(%) Date Dividend (%)
Bench- -9.8 18.0 75.8 -51.8 54.8 Jan-26-2011 7.50
mark
(%) Risk Parameters
Net -- 1658.2 988.4 440.1 --
Standard Deviation (%) 22.6
Assets
(` Cr) Beta 0.8
Best Return (%)
Sharpe ratio 0.1
Period Fund Benchmark
R Squared 1.0
Month 11/05/09 to 27.5 30.5
11/06/09 Alpha (%) 12.4
18 61
16
14 60.5
12
60
12
8.8
60
Return%
10
59.4
8
59.5
3.8
6
2.1
4 59
2
1
0 58.5
6 Month 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year 1Yrs 3Yrs 5Yrs 10Yrs
Fund Benchmark Total Investment Fund Value Bechmark Value
42 ICICIdirect
l Money Manager
March 2011
FUnD CARD
Birla sun Life Frontline Equity Fund
Fund Objective Best Return (%)
An open-end growth scheme with Period Fund Benchmark
the objective of long term growth Month 29/04/09 to 33.9 35.0
of capital, through a portfolio with a 02/06/09
target allocation of 100% equity by Quarter 09/03/09 to 80.2 94.7
aiming at being as diversified across 10/06/09
various industries and or sectors as Year 09/03/09 to 117.4 124.1
its chosen benchmark index, BSE 200. 11/03/10
Worst Return(%)
Key Information
Period Fund Benchmark
NAV as on March 01, 2011 85.4 Month 24/09/08 to -30.9 -37.5
Inception Date September 27, 24/10/08
2002 Quarter 20/08/08 to -35.9 -44.0
Fund Manager Mahesh Patil 20/11/08
Year 20/11/07 to -51.2 -58.8
Minimum Investment 20/11/08
Lumpsum 5,000.0 Market Cycle Returns
SIP 0.0 Market Phase Period Returns
Expense Ratio (%) 1.9 (%)
Exit Load (%) 1.0 Bull Phase 14/01/2006- 139.5
08/01/2008
AUM (` Crore) as on 2719.8 Bear Phase 08/01/2008- -55.6
December 31, 2010 09/03/2009
Benchmark BSE-200 Bull Phase 09/03/2009- 123.8
06/01/2010
Calendar Year-wise Performance
Dividend History
2011 2010 2009 2008 2007
Date Dividend (%)
NAV as 85.4 94.7 79.8 41.9 81.3 Feb-07-2011 12.50
on Dec Aug-09-2010 12.50
31 (`) Feb-01-2010 20.00
Return -9.8 18.7 90.5 -48.5 62.3 Aug-03-2009 15.00
(%) Aug-11-2008 20.00
Jul-02-2007 40.00
Bench- -10.8 16.2 88.5 -56.5 60.4 Risk Parameters
mark
Standard Deviation (%) 23.3
(%)
Beta 0.9
Net -- 2719.8 1603.8 381.2 374.8 Sharpe ratio 0.1
Assets R Squared 1.0
(` Cr) Alpha (%) 7.4
500
450
378
17.5
20 400
295
350
11.2
15
236.7
300
9.9
220
7.5
10 250
175
Return%
200
5 150
0.6
53.9
52.4
100
55
0
50
-5 0
-2.2
-3.5
44 ICICIdirect
l Money Manager
March 2011
FUnD CARD
Fidelity Equity Fund
Fund Objective Worst Return(%)
To generate long-term capital growth Period Fund Benchmark
from a diversified portfolio of pre-
dominantly equity and equity-related Month 12/05/06 to -31.2 -29.8
securities. 14/06/06
Key Information Quarter 02/09/08 to -36.4 -44.0
nAV as on March 03, 34.6 02/12/08
2011 Year 20/11/07 to -51.8 -58.8
Inception Date May 16, 2005 20/11/08
500
387.2
450
16.1
15.9
20 400
300
350
11.3
251.7
15
227.1
300
9.8
10 250
180
Return%
5.7
200
2.5
5 150
59.6
57.9
100
60
0
50
-2
-5 0
- 3.5
46 ICICIdirect
l Money Manager
March 2011
FUnD CARD
HDFC Equity Fund
Fund Objective Worst Return(%)
Aims at providing capital apprecia- Period Fund Benchmark
tion through investments predomi- Month 26/09/08 to -31.6 -36.8
nantly in equity-oriented securities.
27/10/08
Key Information
Quarter 02/09/08 to -40.0 -43.6
nAV as on March 03, 2011 268.3 02/12/08
Year 20/11/07 to -53.6 -59.3
Inception Date January 2, 1995
20/11/08
Fund Manager Prashant Jain
Market Cycle Returns
Minimum Investment
Market Phase Period Returns
Lumpsum 5,000.0 (%)
SIP 0.0 Bull Phase 14/01/2006- 108.5
Expense Ratio (%) 1.8 08/01/2008
Bear Phase 08/01/2008- -59.5
Exit Load (%) 1.0
09/03/2009
AUM (` Crore) as on 8289.0 Bull Phase 09/03/2009- 157.3
January 31, 2011 06/01/2010
Benchmark S&P CNX 500 Dividend History
Calendar Year-wise Performance Date Dividend (%)
2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 Mar-26-2010 40.00
NAV as 268.3 298.5 231.0 112.4 223.3
Mar-20-2009 30.00
Dec 31 (`)
Return -10.1 29.2 105.6 -49.7 53.6 Mar-08-2008 55.00
(%) Mar-08-2007 50.00
Bench- -10.9 14.1 88.6 -57.1 62.5 Mar-20-2006 50.00
mark (%)
Net As- 8289.0 8709.9 5396.0 2680.4 5491.4 Dec-01-2004 30.00
sets (` Cr) Risk Parameters
Best Return (%)
Standard Deviation (%) 22.5
Period Fund Benchmark
Month 28/04/09 to 35.9 34.7 Beta 0.9
28/05/09
Sharpe ratio 0.1
Quarter 09/03/09 to 95.1 89.8
10/06/09 R Squared 1.0
Year 20/10/98 to 179.4 40.6
Alpha (%) 14.5
20/10/99
3500
17.3
16.8
3000
20
14.1
2500
10.1
15
1660.4
10 2000
3.5
Return%
2.1
5 1500
483.4
1000
600
0
378.8
270.5
223.9
300
180
-5
59.4
500
57.5
-3.3
60
-4.8
-10 0
6 Month 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year 1Yrs 3Yrs 5Yrs 10Yrs
Fund Benchmark Total Investment Fund Value Bechmark Value
48 ICICIdirect
l Money Manager
March 2011
MODEL PORTFOLIO
MODEL EQUITY PORTFOLIO
Portfolio management is an incomplete exercise without a
periodic review. Every security should be subject to severe
scrutiny and a case made out for its continuation or disposal. The
frequency of review will depend on the size, amount involved
and the kind of securities held in the portfolio.
Here, we present three model portfolios viz. conservative
portfolio, moderate portfolio and the aggressive portfolio.
These portfolios have been designed keeping in mind various
key parameters like the time horizon of investment, returns
expected, the indices to which they are benchmarked, etc. We
have included the intervals at which the performance of each
portfolio will be reviewed.
Conservative Moderate Aggressive
Time horizon 18-24 months 12-18 months 9-12 months
Expected return 20% 20%-30% >30%
Benchmark BSE Sensex/BSE 100 BSE 500 BSE 500
Review intervals Quarterly Quarterly Monthly
Risk return Low risk-Low return Medium risk- High risk -
Medium return High return
COnsERVATIVE PORTFOLIO
Portfolio Philosophy: The conservative portfolio is in the nature
of direct equity. The ideal investment horizon is 18-24 months.
The universe for selection of stocks is the BSE Sensex/Nifty and
BSE 100 / BSE 500. The minimum number of sectors is five with
the maximum exposure to each sector capped at 25 percent.
The portfolio will include 12-15 stocks. The performance review
for this portfolio will be done on a quarterly basis.
Conservative Portfolio
Company name ICICIdirect Allocation (%)
codes
Financials 16
Axis Bank UTIBAN 3
HDFC Bank HDFBAN 3
SBI STABAN 4
Bank of Baroda BANBAR 3
Indian Overseas Bank INDOVE 3
50 ICICIdirect
l Money Manager
March 2011
MODEL PORTFOLIO
MODERATE PORTFOLIO
Portfolio Philosophy: The moderate portfolio is in the nature of
direct equity. The ideal investment horizon is 12-15 months. The
universe for selection of stocks is the BSE 500. The minimum
number of sectors is five with the maximum exposure to each
sector capped at 15 percent. The portfolio will include 12-15
stocks and has certain allocation to cash as well. The performance
review for this portfolio will be done on a quarterly basis.
Company name ICICIdirect Allocation (%)
codes
Financials 16
Axis Bank UTIBAN 3
HDFC Bank HDFBAN 3
SBI STABAN 4
Bank of Baroda BANBAR 3
Indian Overseas Bank INDOVE 3
Engineering & Capital Goods 5
BHEL BHEL 2
L&T LARTOU 3
Pharma 12
Biocon BIOCON 3
Glenmark GLEPHA 3
Lupin LUPIN 4
Apollo Hospitals APOHOS 2
IT 11
HCL Technology HCLTEC 4
Infosys INFTEC 3
TCS TCS 4
52 ICICIdirect
l Money Manager
March 2011 MODEL PORTFOLIO
AGGREssIVE PORTFOLIO
Portfolio Philosophy: The agressive portfolio is in the nature of
direct equity. The ideal investment horizon is 9-12 months. The
universe for selection of stocks is the BSE 500. The minimum
number of sectors is five with the maximum exposure to each
sector capped at 15 percent. The portfolio will include 12-15
stocks and has certain allocation to cash as well. The performance
review for this portfolio will be done on a monthly basis.
Company name ICICIdirect Allocation
code
Financials 15
Axis Bank UTIBAN 3
HDFC Bank HDFBAN 3
SBI STABAN 3
Bank of Baroda BANBAR 3
Indian Overseas Bank INDOVE 3
Engineering & Capital Goods 5
BHEL BHEL 2
L&T LARTOU 3
Pharma 12
Aurbindo Pharma AURPHA 3
Glenmark GLEPHA 3
Lupin LUPIN 4
Apollo Hospitals APOHOS 2
IT 11
HCL Technology HCLTEC 4
Infosys INFTEC 3
TCS TCS 4
FMCG 6
ITC ITC 3
Nestle NESIND 3
Power 3
NTPC NTPC 3
54 ICICIdirect
l Money Manager