Translated Copy of Amiram - Et - Al-2018-Journal - of - Business - Finance - & - Accounting PDF
Translated Copy of Amiram - Et - Al-2018-Journal - of - Business - Finance - & - Accounting PDF
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1 PENDAHULUAN
Terlepas dari kenyataan bahwa pendapatan smoothing oleh manajer adalah fenomena meresap yang telah banyak diteliti, literatur
yang ada memberikan bukti lengkap mengenai bagaimana peminjam pendapatan smoothing dikaitkan dengan biaya utang pada
umumnya, dan di pasar kredit swasta pada khususnya. Faktor-faktor kelembagaan yang berhubungan dengan kontrak pinjaman
pribadi, dikombinasikan dengan motivasi teoritis untuk menghaluskan, membuatnya jelas ex ante apakah smoothing akan positif,
negatif, atau tidak terkait dengan penyebaran pinjaman. Sejauh ini, literatur yang ada telah diperiksa pengaturan di mana hanya
efek sinyal dari smoothing mendominasi, dan karena itu menyimpulkan bahwa smoothing dikaitkan dengan biaya yang lebih
rendah dari utang. Dalam studi ini, kami memperluas literatur. Secara khusus, kita mengambil keuntungan dari pengaturan
internasional untuk memprediksi dan mengidentifikasi fitur termotivasi secara teoritis dari lingkungan kontraktor yang
mengungkapkan pembalikan tanda dalam hubungan
40 c 2017 John Wiley & Sons Ltd wileyonlinelibrary.com/journal/jbfa J Bus Fin Acc. 2018; 45: 40-71.
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antara smoothing dan biaya utang, sehingga memberikan bukti pertama dalam literatur bahwa efek memutarbalikkan smoothing
diduga dapat mendominasi efek signaling smoothing dalam desain kontrak utang.
Perataan laba adalah latihan kebijaksanaan manajerial untuk mengubah profil waktu pendapatan untuk mengurangi
kemampuan variabel- dari aliran pendapatan dilaporkan perusahaan (misalnya, Beidleman, 1973; Fudenberg & Tirole, 1995;
Trueman & Titman, 1988) 0,1 Literatur berfokus pada dua motivasi alternatif utama untuk perataan laba. Di satu sisi, manajer
mungkin halus laba dalam upaya untuk jujur menyampaikan informasi pribadi mereka tentang pendapatan ekonomi yang
mendasari dan risiko yang terkait dengan penyedia modal dan pelaku pasar lainnya (yaitu, informasi sinyal pandangan
smoothing) (misalnya, Trueman & Titman, 1988) . Atau, manajer mungkin halus laba (terlepas dari informasi pribadi mereka
tentang pendapatan ekonomi jangka lebih panjang) dalam upaya untuk menghindari intervensi oleh pihak luar untuk
memfasilitasi konsumsi manfaat pribadi dari perusahaan (yaitu, informasi garbling pandangan smoothing) (misalnya, Fudenberg
& Tirole, 1995) .2,3
informasi sinyal dan informasi garbling dilihat dari smoothing hasil terarah menentang prediksi con- cerning hubungan antara
smoothing diamati dan biaya utang. Pandangan sinyal menunjukkan bahwa smoothing merupakan upaya manajer untuk sinyal
bahwa pendapatan ekonomi yang lebih stabil daripada yang disimpulkan dari unsmoothed laba (dilaporkan), dan karena itu
smoothing menunjukkan probabilitas yang lebih rendah dari default (misalnya, Merton, 1974). Sebaliknya, pandangan
memutarbalikkan menunjukkan bahwa smoothing dikaitkan dengan risiko yang lebih tinggi dari konsumsi manfaat pribadi.
Sejauh bahwa konsumsi manfaat pribadi ekstrak kekayaan perusahaan dengan mengorbankan debtholders (Lin, Ma, Malatesta, &
Xuan, 2011), informasi garbling pandangan smoothing akan menyarankan loss given default yang lebih tinggi dan probabilitas
yang lebih tinggi dari default (Fudenberg & Tirole, 1995). Dalam konteks rute alternatif pandangan smoothing, ceteris paribus,
kami memperkirakan biaya utang akan lebih rendah jika pemberi pinjaman mengambil sinyal informasi pandangan smoothing,
dan akan lebih tinggi jika pemberi pinjaman mengambil informasi garbling pandangan smoothing, ceteris paribus. Selain itu,
sebagai pemberi pinjaman hanya kehilangan uang jika peminjam sebenarnya default, kami berharap efek smoothing biaya utang
menjadi kuat ketika probabilitas default adalah lebih tinggi.
Literatur yang ada memberikan bukti dicampur pada hubungan antara smoothing dan biaya modal di pasar ekuitas. Bukti ini
tidak diterjemahkan ke dalam pasar utang karena kreditur memiliki fungsi hasil yang berbeda dibandingkan equityholders, dan
dapat melindungi diri mereka sendiri melalui mekanisme kontrak lainnya (misalnya, pembatasan keuangan). Ada bukti dari
penelitian tentang efek smoothing di pasar utang memberikan bukti bahwa baik smoothing adalah diasosiasikan asso- dengan
biaya yang lebih rendah dari utang, atau bahwa tidak ada hubungan. Artinya, literatur yang ada tidak mendokumentasikan setiap
pengaturan atau kondisi di mana smoothing dikaitkan dengan biaya yang lebih tinggi dari utang, yang dicatat diberi kuat literatur
ical theoret- yang menunjukkan bahwa smoothing dapat, dalam beberapa situasi, mewakili garbling oleh manajemen, yang bisa
negatif mempengaruhi pemberi pinjaman.
Dugaan kami adalah bahwa literatur yang ada belum meneliti hubungan antara smoothing dan biaya utang dalam pengaturan
atau cara di mana efek garbling dapat mengungkapkan itu sendiri. Bukti dari pasar obligasi AS smoothing yang berhubungan
dengan biaya yang lebih rendah dari utang tidak digeneralisasikan ke pasar kredit yang lebih luas, karena pasar obligasi dihuni
oleh kualitas relatif tinggi, peminjam transparan. Dengan demikian, pandangan memutarbalikkan perataan tampaknya relatif tidak
mungkin untuk mewujudkan (Bharath, Sunder, & Sunder, 2008).
Studi yang meneliti smoothing di pasar kredit swasta menemukan baik negatif atau tidak ada hubungan antara smoothing dan
biaya utang, baik karena mereka tidak fokus pada subset dari peminjam di mana efek garbling yang paling mungkin untuk
mendominasi, atau karena pemberi pinjaman dapat memperoleh informasi pribadi dari peminjam, yang dapat mengurangi
asosiasi
1 keseluruhan volatilitas laba perusahaan relatif terhadap arus kas (yaitu, 'kelancaran pendapatan') ditentukan oleh dua komponen.
Komponen pertama, yang kita sebut sebagai 'kelancaran mendasar', ditentukan oleh volatilitas yang melekat pada proses bisnis
yang mendasari yang menghasilkan laba (yang bukan merupakan fungsi dari kebijaksanaan pelaporan manajerial). Komponen
kedua, yang kita sebut sebagai 'perataan laba' atau hanya 'smoothing', adalah bagian dari kelancaran pendapatan keseluruhan yang
ditentukan oleh pilihan manajerial pelaporan (yaitu, kebijaksanaan manajerial), yang sendiri dipengaruhi oleh insentif manajerial.
2 Kami menggunakan istilah 'manfaat pribadi' sebagai istilah umum yang mencakup beberapa konsep, termasuk kedua manfaat
pribadi nilai-ekstraktif dan non-nilai-manfaat pribadi ekstraktif, yang keduanya timbul dari kemampuan manajer untuk
mengendalikan perusahaan. Aghion dan Bolton (1992) menyebut kategori ini sebagai 'berupa uang' dan 'non-uang', atau 'moneter'
dan 'non-moneter' manfaat pribadi, masing-masing. Untuk lebih tepat, kita memilih istilah nilai-ekstraktif dan
non-nilai-ekstraktif, karena, misalnya, bisa ada manfaat pribadi non-moneter yang tetap adalah nilai ekstraktif (misalnya,
kelalaian). Manfaat pribadi nilai-ekstraktif timbul dari tindakan seperti bangunan kerajaan, ekstraksi sewa, konsumsi merembes
dan pengambilalihan (Tirole, 2001), yang mengurangi nilai perusahaan kepada pemegang saham minoritas dan pemegang utang.
Sebaliknya, manfaat swasta non-nilai-ekstraktif termasuk hubungan sosial dan profesional, status dan ikatan opportuni- yang
muncul dari terus mengendalikan dan menjalankan entitas (Aghion & Bolton, 1992).
3
Kami mencatat bahwa dalam konteks ini, istilah 'sinyal' dan 'memutarbalikkan' mengacu pada niat manajer yang membuat
pilihan smoothing. Literatur yang ada kadang-kadang mengacu pada ini sebagai 'informatif' dan motivasi 'oportunistik' untuk
menghaluskan, masing-masing (misalnya, Dechow, Ge, & Schrand, 2010).
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antara istilah smoothing dan kontrak. Kami melihat kemungkinan kedua sebagai tidak mungkin, karena jika manajer memang
halus untuk memfasilitasi konsumsi manfaat pribadi, tidak mungkin mereka akan mengungkapkan motivasi mereka untuk
pemberi pinjaman di nications tual pribadi. Di sisi lain, jika manajer halus untuk sinyal, itu memang masuk akal bahwa manajer
juga dapat memberikan informasi pribadi kepada pemberi pinjaman yang memperkuat sinyal ini. Yang penting, kita tidak
menyatakan bahwa pemberi pinjaman swasta adalah satu-satunya (atau, bahkan, primer) penonton untuk smoothing.4 berbasis
sinyal demikian, manajer akan masih perlu untuk kelancaran pendapatan untuk sinyal informasi pribadi mereka kepada peserta
pasar lainnya dengan siapa tidak ada pribadi saluran komunikasi yang ada (misalnya, equityholders, pemegang obligasi) 0,5
dugaan kami adalah bahwa pandangan pemberi pinjaman dari smoothing dibentuk oleh penilaian mereka tentang
kemungkinan bahwa manajer akan mengkonsumsi manfaat pribadi, yang merupakan fungsi dari tingkat penegakan dan hukuman
yang dikenakan di diberikan ronment gus jika manajer tertangkap mengkonsumsi manfaat pribadi. Akhirat, kita lihat lingkungan
dengan lemah penegakan (kuat) dan lemah (kuat) konsekuensi hukuman untuk konsumsi manfaat swasta sebagai berpose 'tinggi
(rendah) ancaman' konsumsi manfaat pribadi. Dalam arti probabilistik, kami menduga bahwa di tinggi lingkungan (rendah)
ancaman, pemberi pinjaman lebih mungkin untuk mengambil informasi garbling (sinyal) pandangan smoothing.6 Secara intuitif,
jika ada sanksi yang keras untuk mengkonsumsi manfaat pribadi, pemberi pinjaman akan menilai lebih rendah kemungkinan
bahwa manajer sedang berusaha untuk mengkonsumsi manfaat pribadi, ceteris paribus, dan pandangan mereka tentang smoothing
akan berbentuk accordingly.7 intuisi ini memberikan dasar untuk desain empiris kita, di mana kekhawatiran pilihan desain kunci
kami bagaimana secara empiris mengukur ancaman konsumsi manfaat pribadi di lingkungan kontraktor.
Langkah-langkah pemerintahan tingkat perusahaan menyediakan satu opsi tersebut untuk mengukur ancaman konsumsi
manfaat pribadi. Namun, karena manajer memilih kedua tingkat smoothing dan mekanisme tata kelola perusahaan-tingkat, ada
kekhawatiran endogeneity standar dengan menggunakan tindakan tegas tingkat. Dengan demikian, untuk utama kami analisis
kami menggunakan sampel nasional antar, yang memungkinkan kita untuk mengeksploitasi masuk akal eksogen (dari perspektif
manajer) variasi tingkat negara dalam ancaman konsumsi manfaat swasta di lingkungan kontraktor.
Konsisten dengan prediksi kami, kami memberikan bukti smoothing yang berhubungan dengan biaya yang lebih rendah dari
utang di negara-negara yang ditandai dengan ancaman rendah konsumsi manfaat pribadi, dan terkait dengan biaya yang lebih
tinggi dari utang di negara-negara yang ditandai dengan ancaman tinggi dari konsumsi manfaat pribadi. Selanjutnya, kita
menemukan bahwa efek smoothing biaya utang secara khusus diucapkan untuk perusahaan dengan risiko kredit yang relatif
tinggi, konsisten dengan intuisi bahwa pemberi pinjaman akan sangat prihatin dengan implikasi merapikan kerugian kredit
diharapkan dalam kasus di mana itu lebih mungkin bahwa peminjam akan default.
Kami mencatat bahwa tidak mungkin bahwa pemberi pinjaman melihat smoothing sebagai sinyal informasi
(memutarbalikkan) untuk semua perusahaan dalam lingkungan ancaman rendah (tinggi). Artinya, dalam salah lingkungan
ancaman rendah atau tinggi, ancaman spesifik perusahaan konsumsi manfaat pribadi mungkin mempengaruhi hubungan antara
smoothing dan biaya utang. Meskipun mengejar analisis berdasarkan karakteristik pemerintahan tingkat perusahaan secara alami
menimbulkan kekhawatiran endogeneity, kita ulangi pengujian kami menggunakan langkah-Measures variasi tingkat perusahaan
dalam ancaman konsumsi manfaat pribadi dalam suatu negara. Secara khusus, kami menggunakan persentase dipegang saham
(misalnya, Iliev, Lins, Miller, & Roth, 2015) untuk sampel non-AS utama kami, dan ulangi analisis kami menggunakan indeks
kubu manajerial spesifik perusahaan (Bebchuk, Cohen, & Ferrell 2009) dengan US-satunya sampel yang lebih besar. Konsisten
dengan temuan utama kami, dalam kedua kasus smoothing negatif (positif) terkait dengan biaya utang untuk perusahaan dengan
relatif rendah ancaman (tinggi) dari konsumsi manfaat pribadi.
Meskipun analisis kami fokus pada hubungan antara smoothing dan biaya utang, kreditur swasta memiliki pinjaman con- hal
membagi-bagikan brosur selain suku bunga yang mereka miliki yang mungkin juga dipengaruhi oleh perataan laba, seperti
4
Sebagai contoh, Dou, Hope, dan Thomas (2013) memberikan bukti bahwa hubungan perusahaan-pemasok dapat memberikan
smoothing insentif.
5 Memang, logika dasar dari penelitian kami memegang bahkan jika pemberi pinjaman bisa langsung mendapatkan semua
informasi dari peminjam selain apakah peminjam adalah manfaat pribadi con Suming atau tidak.
6 Konsisten dengan dugaan kami, dalam wawancara informal dengan petugas pinjaman bank di negara-negara di mana lebih
mudah untuk mengkonsumsi manfaat pribadi, petugas pinjaman memang menunjukkan bahwa mereka menjadi 'gugup' tentang
peminjam jika laporan keuangannya tampak terlalu 'stabil.' Sebaliknya, petugas pinjaman diyakinkan ketika mereka mengamati
laba mulus di negara-negara di mana lebih sulit untuk mengkonsumsi manfaat pribadi. Setelah mengatakan ini, prediksi kami
juga mengikuti jika pemberi pinjaman menyimpulkan pandangan mereka smoothing dari sumber informasi lainnya (yaitu, tidak
bergantung pada karakteristik lingkungan), selama peminjam motivasi smoothing berkorelasi dengan manfaat ancaman konsumsi
swasta.
7 Kami meresmikan intuisi ini dalam Lampiran B.
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pembatasan keuangan, persyaratan agunan dan jatuh tempo pinjaman. Oleh karena itu, semua analisis kita kontrol untuk berbagai
variabel addi pinjaman tingkat tional. Selanjutnya, hasil menunjukkan bahwa implikasi dari smoothing diamati dimasukkan ke
dalam pinjaman terutama melalui penyebaran pinjaman, meskipun ada beberapa bukti bahwa smoothing berhubungan dengan
peningkatan penggunaan perlindungan perjanjian keuangan di lingkungan ancaman tinggi.
Literatur yang ada mendokumentasikan korelasi antara karakteristik sistem akuntansi yang berbeda, termasuk smoothing,
akrual kualitas, konservatisme dan persistensi laba (misalnya, Dechow et al., 2010). Namun, ada perbedaan kunci dalam
konstruksi yang mendasari ditangkap oleh menghaluskan dan atribut-atribut akuntansi lainnya. Kami menemukan bahwa baik
accru- als kualitas, konservatisme, atau persistensi laba perubahan tanda dalam hubungan mereka dengan spread kredit di
ronments ancaman gus (konsisten dengan harapan kami), dan kesimpulan kami mengenai smoothing ditahan setelah termasuk
kontrol untuk efek potensial dari kualitas akuntansi, konservatisme dan persistensi laba.
Kontribusi utama dari penelitian ini adalah untuk memberikan bukti baru bahwa efek garbling dari smoothing dapat dom-
desain kontrak utang inate, di mana tanda hubungan antara biaya utang dan pendapatan pribadi smoothing tergantung (diduga)
pada ancaman manfaat pribadi manajerial konsumsi di lingkungan kontraktor. Studi kami langsung alamat panggilan untuk
penelitian tambahan pada hubungan antara smoothing dan biaya utang (Lang & Maffett, 2011a), dan memberikan kontribusi bukti
baru untuk literatur internasional yang meneliti penyebab dan Konsekuensi perataan laba di pasar modal (misalnya , Black,
Penjual, & Manly, 1998; Lang, Lins, & Maffett, 2012; Leuz, Nanda, & Wysocki, 2003; Shuto & Iwasaki, 2014).
3 PENGEMBANGAN PREDIKSI
Sebagaimana dibahas di atas, dugaan kami adalah bahwa tanda hubungan antara istilah smoothing dan kontrak utang akan
tergantung pada apakah pemberi pinjaman mengambil informasi sinyal atau garbling pandangan smoothing, karena
pandangan-pandangan tive alterna- memiliki efek terarah berlawanan pada diharapkan kerugian kredit. Jika pemberi pinjaman
mengambil sinyal informasi view (yaitu, smoothing dikaitkan dengan probabilitas yang lebih rendah dari default, seperti di
Merton, 1974), kami memprediksi hubungan negatif antara smoothing dan biaya utang, ceteris paribus. Jika pemberi pinjaman
mengambil informasi garbling view (yaitu, smoothing terkait dengan kerugian yang diperkirakan lebih tinggi diberikan default),
kami memprediksi hubungan positif antara smoothing dan biaya utang, sebagai dokumen sastra sebelumnya bahwa harga
pemberi pinjaman melindungi terhadap ancaman konsumsi manfaat swasta di lingkungan kontraktor (Lin et al., 2011).
Selanjutnya, kami memperkirakan bahwa rata-rata, pemberi pinjaman lebih mungkin akan mengambil informal mation signaling
(memutarbalikkan) pandangan dalam lingkungan di mana ada lebih kuat (lemah) penegakan hukum dan keras hukuman (ringan)
yang terkait dengan konsumsi manfaat pribadi manajerial.
Prediksi ini meningkatkan beberapa pertanyaan alami. Pertama, jika smoothing memang terkait dengan biaya yang lebih
rendah dari utang dalam lingkungan dengan ancaman rendah konsumsi manfaat pribadi, mengapa semua manajer di lingkungan
mereka yang tidak
9
literatur lain terkait mendokumentasikan hubungan positif antara perataan laba dan kredit peringkat, konsisten dengan dominasi
menandakan pandangan smoothing (misalnya, Gu & Zhao, 2006; Jung, Soderstrom, & Yang, 2013).
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halus pada tingkat yang sama? Setidaknya ada dua alasan. Kami berharap variasi cross-sectional di tingkat smoothing antara
peminjam di ancaman rendah lingkungan hanya karena tidak semua peminjam memiliki kemampuan yang sama untuk
kelancaran, atau karena peminjam yang dapat memperlancar tetapi tidak memiliki penghasilan ekonomi yang halus akan
mengorbankan smoothing untuk melaporkan jujur, karena tidak melakukannya adalah mahal.
Pertanyaan kedua yang muncul adalah, jika perusahaan perlu berkomunikasi dengan pemberi pinjaman tentang risiko
perusahaan, mengapa mereka perlu menggunakan smoothing, daripada saluran informasi pribadi yang tersedia antara peminjam
dan pemberi pinjaman swasta? Memang benar bahwa peminjam memiliki saluran informasi pribadi dengan pemberi pinjaman,
dan oleh karena itu jika peminjam memiliki pendapatan ekonomi halus, dapat berkomunikasi yang secara pribadi kepada pemberi
pinjaman. Namun, jika seperti peminjam hipotetis memang memiliki pendapatan ekonomi halus, mereka akan cenderung untuk
mengatakan kebenaran dan mencerminkan bahwa dalam laporan keuangan publik, yaitu, mereka akan halus pendapatan, jika
tidak ada alasan lain selain untuk berkomunikasi kenyataan bahwa pasar modal lainnya peserta dengan siapa peminjam tidak
memiliki saluran informasi pribadi (misalnya, equityholders).
Pertanyaan ketiga adalah, jika smoothing dikaitkan dengan biaya yang lebih tinggi dari utang dalam lingkungan dengan
ancaman tinggi dari pri konsumsi manfaat vate, mengapa setiap perusahaan halus - yaitu, akan perlindungan harga pemberi
pinjaman tidak menghapus insentif smoothing? Singkatnya, jawabannya adalah tidak. Ada dua kategori utilitas-memberikan
manfaat pribadi yang manajer dapat mengkonsumsi - mereka yang mengambil nilai perusahaan (misalnya, kelebihan kompensasi,
tunneling), dan mereka yang tidak (misalnya, status menjalankan perusahaan, sosial dan profesional koneksi) (Aghion & Bolton,
1992). Pemberi pinjaman akan hanya harga melindungi terhadap konsumsi manfaat pribadi yang tegas-nilai ekstraktif. Oleh
karena itu, selama setiap non manfaat pribadi nilai-ekstraktif ada, manajer akan memiliki insentif untuk kelancaran, bahkan jika
pemberi pinjaman harga sepenuhnya melindungi terhadap konsumsi manfaat pribadi yang tegas-nilai extractive.10 Kemungkinan
lain termasuk pajak atau manfaat lindung nilai dari smoothing, atau hanya perlindungan harga parsial untuk konsumsi keuntungan
pribadi nilai-ekstraktif. Dalam hal apapun itu adalah keteraturan empiris bahwa smoothing dikaitkan dengan konsumsi manfaat
pribadi (misalnya, Leuz et al., 2003).
Dalam Lampiran B, kami menyajikan kerangka kerja yang sangat bergaya yang imbeds dinamika kita bahas di atas, yang
menyajikan satu kemungkinan di mana keseimbangan kami jelaskan bisa eksis dalam realitas. Artinya, kita menganggap sebuah
perusahaan yang manajer memiliki informasi pribadi tentang kelancaran pendapatan ekonomi, dan tidak dapat diamati (untuk
luar) kemampuan untuk baik halus atau tidak laba mulus. Lingkungan di mana manajer beroperasi ditandai sebagai memiliki
biaya tinggi atau rendah tertangkap mengkonsumsi manfaat pribadi, dan biaya tinggi atau rendah dikaitkan dengan salah
melaporkan laba ekonomi yang benar (misalnya, Desai, Hogan, & Wilkins, 2006). Manajer kemudian memilih apakah akan
mengkonsumsi manfaat pribadi dan apakah untuk kelancaran laba (jika mampu). Kami juga mencirikan potensi manfaat pribadi
dari dua bentuk: manfaat pribadi yang mengekstrak nilai perusahaan (dan karena itu akan harga dilindungi oleh penyedia modal),
dan mereka yang tidak (dan karena itu tidak akan harga dilindungi). Perusahaan kemudian mencari pinjaman pribadi. Pemberi
pinjaman dapat mengamati ancaman konsumsi manfaat swasta di lingkungan, dan apakah pendapatan halus. Kami menunjukkan
bahwa dalam suatu lingkungan dengan ancaman konsumsi yang tinggi, smoothing dikaitkan dengan biaya yang lebih tinggi dari
utang dalam (parsial) ekuilibrium - memang, pemberi pinjaman sepenuhnya harga melindungi terhadap konsumsi imbalan pribadi
nilai-mengurangi, tetapi keberadaan nilai non mengurangi manfaat pribadi masih membuatnya optimal dari perspektif manajer
untuk kelancaran pendapatan. Selanjutnya, kami menunjukkan bahwa dalam lingkungan dengan ancaman konsumsi rendah,
smoothing dikaitkan dengan biaya yang lebih rendah dari utang dalam (parsial) ekuilibrium, karena smoothing mengungkapkan
informasi tentang risiko perusahaan dengan kemungkinan rendah manfaat pribadi consumption.11
10 Perhatikan contoh memotivasi berikut, yang kita lebih formal mengembangkan dalam Lampiran B. Jika manajer memilih
untuk kelancaran mengkonsumsi non-nilai-ekstraktif manfaat pribadi (misalnya, untuk menghindari intervensi dan
mempertahankan pekerjaannya), pemberi pinjaman akan mengamati laba halus dan tidak akan dapat membedakan apakah
manusia- belasan mengkonsumsi nilai-ekstraktif atau non-nilai-ekstraktif manfaat pribadi. Dengan demikian, pemberi pinjaman
akan harga melindungi terhadap nilai-ekstraktif potensi ponent com-. Manajer tahu ini, sehingga manajer akan pergi ke depan dan
mengkonsumsi mereka nilai-ekstraktif manfaat pribadi, bersama dengan menikmati non-ekstraktif manfaat pribadi. Meskipun
perlindungan harga offset manfaat nilai-ekstraktif dikonsumsi oleh manajer, manajer tetap lebih baik dari manfaat pribadi
non-ekstraktif, yang hanya dapat dicapai melalui smoothing.
11
Atau, misalnya, kita bisa mencirikan suatu kerangka di mana perusahaan dibiayai dengan ekuitas, dan manajer membuat
smoothing keputusan dalam konteks itu. Kemudian, dalam periode masa depan ada peningkatan eksogen dalam peluang
pertumbuhan yang menyebabkan perusahaan untuk mencari pembiayaan utang. Hal ini mudah untuk menunjukkan bahwa
prediksi yang sama kami akan mengikuti dalam situasi ini di mana pilihan smoothing adalah eksogen terhadap keputusan
pinjaman.
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4 PENELITIAN DESAIN
4.1 Penghasilansmoothing
Labakelancaran terdiri dari kehalusan yang didorong oleh proses alam bisnis dan siklus operasi perusahaan dan penerapan
peraturan akuntansi non-discretionary untuk proses-proses (yaitu, kelancaran tal fundamentalisme ), serta kehalusan yang
didorong oleh kebijaksanaan manajerial (yaitu, diskresioner smoothing). Tantangan empiris kunci menguraikan kelancaran
diamati dalam ini komponen--komponen fundamental dan diskresioner (Dechow et al., 2010) .12 Untuk melakukannya, kita erat
mengikuti pendekatan di Lang & Maffett (2011b) dan Lang et al. (2012) .13
Setelah Lang et al. (2012) pendekatan pertama kita menghitung dua langkah alternatif pendapatan keseluruhan polos ness
untuk perusahaan iin periodt, yang kita denoteSmooth1
i, t
andSmooth2
i, t
.Smooth1is negatif dari rasio standar deviasi dari laba operasi
dengan standar deviasi arus kas operasi, di mana laba dan arus kas ditingkatkan oleh total aset tertinggal sebelum perhitungan
standar deviations.14 nilai-nilai yang lebih besar dari Smooth1 menunjukkan lebih perataan laba. Smooth2 adalah negatif korelasi
antara akrual dan arus kas operasi (baik skala dengan total aset tertinggal) selama periode tahun tiga sampai lima berakhir pada
tahun t, di mana nilai-nilai yang lebih tinggi dari Smooth2 puncak-cate pendapatan yang lebih halus. Kedua, kita mundur
Smooth1 dan Smooth2 pada satu set Sisa-kegigihan mendasar yang diusulkan pendapatan kelancaran menggunakan estimasi
pooled berikut:
Smooth1
i, t
=φ
0
+
9Σ
f=1
φ
f
Z
i, tf
+ industri + tahun + ε
i,t
(1)
Smooth2
i,t
=φ
0
+
9∑
f=1
φ
f
Z
i,tf
+ industry + year + ε
i,t
(2)
where Z
fi,t
is the following vector of nine fundamental smoothness determinants (Lang et al., 2012): natural log of total assets
(LSize), a measure of firm size; leverage (Leverage), to capture differences in financing choices; book-to-market ratio (BTM), to
capture asset tangibility and expected earnings growth; standard deviation of firm i's annual sales (StdSales) over the three-to-five
year period ending in year t, to capture underlying operating volatility; percentage of years firm i experienced negative operating
earnings in the three-to-five year period ending in year t (%Loss), to cap- ture differences in accrual properties of loss
observations; operating cycle (OpCycle); average annual sales growth over the three-to-five year period ending in year t
(AvgSalesGrowth), to capture growth opportunities; operating leverage (OpLev), to capture capital intensity; and average annual
cash flow from operations over the three-to-five year period ending in year t (AvgOpCash), to capture general profitability
level.15 When estimating Equations (1) and (2), we fur- ther include industry and year fixed effects to capture different accrual
properties across industries, and to control for macro-economic cycles. We define discretionary smoothing (fundamental
smoothness) as the residual (predicted value) from Equations (1) and (2), denoted DiscSmooth1
i,t
and DiscSmooth2
i,t
(FundSmooth1
i,t
and FundSmooth2
i,t
), respectively.
12
We note that, although lenders may attempt to estimate the extent of a borrower's discretionary smoothing in an attempt to
unravel the manager's inter- vention relative to the unsmoothed earnings stream, this may not be strictly necessary to generate our
predictions. In other words, it is possible that if lenders are unable to do this unraveling and simply use the extent of observed
smoothness as a proxy for discretionary smoothing (together with their assessment of whether the threat of private benefits
consumption is low or high), cost of debt will be higher (lower) in high (low) threat environments when the borrower has a
relatively smooth income stream, on average.
13
We appreciate the difficulties and concerns inherent in performing this decomposition. However, Lang et al. (2012, pp.
768–770) conduct and report exten- sive construct validity tests on this measure in their appendix. Moreover, this measure has
been used frequently in recent literature (eg, Friedman, 2017; Hamm, Jung, & Lee, 2017; Lang & Stice-Lawrence, 2015).
14
We compute operating cash flow as net income before extraordinary items minus accruals. We compute accruals as the change
in current assets less the change in current liabilities less the change in cash plus the change in current debt less depreciation and
amortization. The standard deviations are estimated using no fewer than three and no more than five annual observations ending
in year t.
15 Detailed variable definitions are presented in Appendix A.
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Next, we construct the firm-year measure of income smoothing, DiscSmooth
i,t
, as the average of firm i's within- country
percentile rank values of DiscSmooth1 and DiscSmooth2:
DiscSmooth
i,t
=
(PcntileDiscSmooth1
i,t
+2
PcntileDiscSmooth2
i,t
)
. (3)
By construction, PcntileDiscSmooth1, PcntileDiscSmooth2 and DiscSmooth each ranges from 0 to 99. We similarly con- struct a
firm-year measure of fundamental smoothness, FundSmooth
i,t
, as the average of firm i's within-country per- centile rank
values of FundSmooth1 and FundSmooth2.
6 EMPIRICAL RESULTS
6.1 Country-level threat of private benefits consumption
Table 4 presents results from estimation of Equation (4). Column (3) presents results from our primary specification, which tests
our two key predictions. As predicted, β
2
is significantly negative (coefficient estimate –0.145; t-statistic –2.38), which
documents a negative association between income smoothing and cost of debt for firms within countries characterized by a low
threat of private benefits consumption. This is consistent with our prediction that, on aver- age, lenders perceive smoothing to
reflect signaling in such environments. In stark contrast, the interaction between smoothing and the high threat indicator (β
3
) is significantly positive (coefficient estimate 0.410; t-statistic 2.86), result- ing in a
significantly positive total coefficient on firm-level smoothing in high threat countries of 0.265 (β
2
+β
3
). As predicted, this
provides evidence of a positive association between smoothing and cost of debt for firms within coun- tries characterized by a
high threat of private benefits consumption, consistent with lenders on-average perceiving smoothing to reflect garbling in high
threat countries.
Although statistically insignificant, there is a negative sign on the association between non-discretionary earnings smoothness
(FundSmooth) and loan spread, which is consistent with such smoothness being reflective of lower risk. More importantly,
consistent with our intuition there is no difference in the association between non-discretionary smoothness and spread across
consumption threat regimes, as reflected by the insignificant FundSmooth*PBThreat interaction (coefficient estimate –0.035;
t-statistic –0.11). For parsimony, hereafter we omit this interaction from our (country-level) empirical tests.
The results for the firm-level control variables are generally consistent with our expectations. Market-to-book has been used by
numerous studies as a proxy for conservatism (eg, Roychowdhury & Watts, 2007). Because book- to-market (its reciprocal) is
decreasing in conservatism, the positive coefficient on book-to-market (BTM) is consis- tent with literature that documents that
ex-ante conservatism lowers cost of debt (eg, Zhang, 2008). Larger (LSize) firms have lower cost of debt. Firms with more
leverage (Leverage) and volatility (StdRet) have higher cost of debt.
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TABLE4 Country-level threat of private benefits consumption
Column: (1) (2) (3) (4)
DiscSmooth −0.038 −0.145** −0.145** −0.131*
(−0.39) (−2.14) (−2.38) (−1.93)
DiscSmooth *PBThreat 0.410*** 0.410*** 0.433**
(2.64) (2.86) (2.46)
FundSmooth −0.184 −0.166 −0.166 −0.368**
(−1.16) (−1.38) (−1.37) (−2.38)
FundSmooth *PBThreat −0.035 −0.035 −0.101
(−0.11) (−0.11) (−0.36)
LSize −14.238*** −14.086*** −14.086*** −12.240***
(−5.91) (−5.65) (−6.11) (−5.84)
BTM 22.867*** 22.941*** 22.941*** 20.040***
(4.37) (3.95) (3.74) (3.13)
Leverage 46.003*** 43.602*** 43.602*** 35.640***
(4.30) (3.79) (4.07) (2.70)
ROA −3.530 −0.809 −0.809 −1.346
(−0.07) (−0.02) (−0.02) (−0.03)
Tangible 1.156 2.970 2.970 −5.908
(0.10) (0.27) (0.26) (−0.58)
StdRet 213.822** 225.143** 225.143** 213.077*
(1.98) (2.07) (1.98) (1.94)
NCov 4.030 4.253 4.253 4.271
(1.16) (1.23) (1.30) (1.23)
LFacility −10.831*** � ��10.725*** −10.725*** −11.197***
(−3.09) (−3.03) (−3.02) (−3.28)
LMaturity 70.433*** 70.278*** 70.278*** 68.224***
(3.36) (3.36) (3.34) (3.14)
Secure 64.170*** 63.676*** 63.676*** 63.475***
(2.98) (3.00) (2.99) (2.97)
DiscSmooth+ DiscSmooth*PBThreat 0.265* 0.265* 0.302*
Included Fixed Effects C, YC, YC, YC, Y, I
Standard Error Clustering C, MC, MC, PC, P
N 1,817 1,817 1,817 1,817
Adj. R2 0.437 0.438 0.438 0.442
Table 4 presents results of OLS estimation of Equation (4):
Spread
i,l
=β
0
+β
1
PBThreat i
+β
2
DiscSmooth
i,t
+β
3
DiscSmooth ∗ PBThreat + β
4
FundSmooth
i,t + β
5
FundSmooth ∗ PBThreat + αX
i,t
+ αY
i,l
+ country + year + ε
i,l
.
Spread is the loan interest rate over LIBOR in basis points. PBThreat is an indicator that equals one (zero) if a firm is in a coun-
try with high (low) threat of private benefits consumption. DiscSmooth is a rank variable increasing in firm-level discretionary
smoothing.FundSmooth is a rank variable increasing in firm-level fundamental smoothness. All variables are further defined in
Appendix A. Country, year, and industry fixed effects (including the intercept and main effect of PBThreat) are included where
indicated but not reported. Robustt-statistics based on two-way clustered standard errors are reported in parentheses, where C, M,
and P indicate clustering by country, calendar month-year, and loan package, respectively. *, **, and *** indicate significance
(two-sided) at the 10%, 5% and 1% levels, respectively.
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Consistent with Bharath et al. (2008) and Costello & Wittenberg-Moerman (2011), there is a negative relationship between loan
amount (LFacility) and spread, and a positive association between maturity (LMaturity) and spread. Fur- ther consistent with
Bharath et al. (2008) and Berger & Udell (1990), there is a strong positive relationship between collateral requirement (Secure)
and spread. These relations reflect a complex set of unobservable tradeoffs in the loan contracting process.
In terms of economic significance, there is a material difference in the effects of smoothing on cost of debt across low and high
private benefit consumption threat environments. In low threat countries, movement across the interquartile range of
DiscSmoothresults in an approximate 7 basis point decrease in loan spread (ie, interquartile range of 45 times the coefficient
estimate of –0.15), which represents a 7% decrease in spread relative to the median sample spread. In high threat countries,
movement across the interquartile range of DiscSmooth results in an approximate 12 basis point increase in loan spread (ie,
interquartile range of 45 times the total coefficient estimate of 0.265), which represents a 12% increase in loan spread relative to
the median spread.22
Column (1) reports results from a more naive specification of the relationship between smoothing and cost of debt, where we
do not partition based on the private benefits consumption threat, which indicates an insignificant rela- tionship between
smoothing and cost of debt. However, we now know from column (3) that this insignificance simply reflects the contrasting
negative and positive relationships across environments. Accordingly, without considering the forces we reveal, researchers may
make inappropriate conclusions concerning the relationship between smoothing and cost of private debt.
Although our sample includes only a limited number of firms that receive loans more than once during our sample period (ie,
271 firms), we repeat our main test with firm fixed effects. This design is extremely strict, in that all of the variation in the effect
of smoothing on cost of debt comes from within-firm time series variation in smoothing using a very small number of firms with
multiple observations. Untabulated findings are nonetheless consistent with our main inferences. That is, within firm there is a
significant negative (positive) relationship between the extent of smoothing and cost of debt if that firm is operating in a low
(high) threat environment. This design further mitigates concern that our primary inferences are driven by correlated omitted
variables.
7 CONCLUSION
Income smoothing by managers is a pervasive phenomenon that has been widely researched. Despite the fact that pri- vate debt
markets provide a major source of financing used by most corporations, we have incomplete evidence on how smoothing is
associated with cost of debt in the private loan market. The institutional factors associated with private loan contracts, combined
with the theoretical motivations for smoothing, make it unclear ex ante whether smoothing will be positively, negatively, or not
associated with loan spread. In this study, we fill this gap in the literature. Extant evidence regarding smoothing in the credit
markets is incomplete, and presents a one-sided inference that income smoothing lowers cost of debt. This state of the literature is
puzzling, given that there are two coexisting views of smoothing that theoretically suggest opposite signs in the association
between smoothing and cost of debt. That is, the information signaling view of smoothing suggests a negative association, and the
information garbling view of smooth- ing suggests a positive association.
Our conjecture is that lenders' view of smoothing is a function of the extent of the threat of managerial private benefits
consumption in the contracting environment. In high (low) threat environments, we predict that lenders are more likely to take the
information garbling (signaling) view of smoothing. Consistent with our predictions, we provide evidence that smoothing is
associated with lower cost of debt when the threat of private benefits consumption by man- agers is low, and is associated with
higher cost of debt when the threat of private benefits consumption by managers is high. In so doing, our study is the first to
document a positive association between smoothing and cost of debt, and we are the first to identify a feature of the contracting
environment that empirically reveals the sign reversal in the association.
We use an international sample of private loans so that we can obtain plausibly exogenous variation in the threat of private
benefits consumption in the contracting environment. Accordingly, our study is subject to the typical small sample concerns that
plague international debt research, which leads to concerns about generalizability of our findings. However, we find consistent
inferences using both country-level and firm-level threat measures in our primary non-US sample, as well as using firm-level
measures in a much larger US-only sample. The consistency in inference using these multiple approaches and samples provides
some comfort with regard to these concerns. In summary, notwithstanding the study's natural limitations, we contribute important
new evidence both to the debt contracting literature and to the literature that examines the effects of income smoothing in
international capital markets.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
The authors thank Peter Pope (Editor), an anonymous referee, Edwige Cheynel, Peter Demerjian, Ilia Dichev, Shane Dikolli, Ron
Dye, Ted Goodman (AAA discussant), Trevor Harris, Alon Kalay, Mark Lang, Yun Lou, Mark Maffett, Nahum Melumad, Grace
Pownall, Gil Sadka, Cliff Smith, Jason Wei, Chris Williams, Regina Wittenberg-Moerman (Colorado conference discussant),
Joanna Wu, Paul Zarowin, Jerry Zimmerman, and workshop participants at the 2011 Inter- national Conference on Credit
Analysis and Risk Management, the 2011 American Accounting Association Annual
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Meeting, the 2011 Columbia University Burton Workshop, 2012 Colorado Summer Accounting Conference, Emory University,
National University of Singapore, Northwestern University, and Temple University for helpful comments and suggestions. We are
grateful to Ryan Ball and Florin Vasvari for providing a matching table between Dealscan and Worldscope. (Paper received July
2017, revised revision accepted October 2017)
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APPENDIX A
Variable definitions
Variables prefixed by DS-, WS- and DL- are the mnemonic identifiers of the raw data items obtained from Datas- tream Advance,
Worldscope, and Dealscan, respectively. Subscripts i, t, and l refer to firm, fiscal year, and loan facility, respectively.
Accruals
,i,t
change in current assets (WS-WC02201) minus change in cash (WS-WC02001) minus change in
current liabilities (WS-WC03101) plus change in short-term debt (WS-WC03051) minus depreciation and amortization
(WS-WC01151)
AccrualsS
,i,t
Accruals
,i,t
scaled by lagged total assets (TA
i,t–1
)
AQ
i,t
'accrual quality', measured as negative one times the standard deviation of firm i's residuals from a
regression more than five of AccrualsS
residuals. ,i,t
on OpCash
i,t–1
, OpCash
i,t
and OpCash
i,t+1
using no fewer than three nor
AvgOpCash
i,t
average operating cash flow (OpCash) over the three-to-five year horizon ending in yeart
AvgSalesGrowth
i,t
average sales growth (SalesGrowth) over the three-to-five years ending in year t
BTM
i,t
book-to-market, measured as total assets (WS-WC02999) minus total liabilities (WS-WC03351),
divided by market value of equity (WS-MV)
CloseHeldShares
i,t
firm-level indicator of the threat of private benefits consumption; an indicator that equals one if
firmi's percentage of closely held shares in yeart is in the top quartile of sample observations (ie, greater than 45.75%), and zero
otherwise
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66 AMIRAM
AND
composite DiscSmooth
i,t
measure of discretionary income smoothing, calculated as the average percentile ranking (by country) ofDiscSmooth1
and DiscSmooth2
DiscSmooth1
i,t
on industry (two-digit WS-ICB) and fiscal year fixed effects and the following variables
for fiscal year t: LSize, Leverage, BTM,StdSales, %Loss, OpCycle, OpLev, AvgSalesGrowthand AvgOpCash
DiscSmooth2
i,t
residual from the panel regression of Smooth1
i,t
on industry (two-digit WS-ICB) and fiscal year fixed effects and the following
variables for fiscal yeart: LSize, Leverage, BTM,StdSales, %Loss, OpCycle, OpLev,AvgSalesGrowth and AvgOpCash
Facility
il
the residual from the panel regression ofSmooth2
i,t
face amount of loan facility l (DL-facilityamt), in millions of US dollars
FundSmooth
i,t
composite measure of fundament al earnings smoothness, calculated as the average percentile
ranking (by country) of FundSmooth1 and FundSmooth2
FundSmooth1
i,t
on industry (two-digit WS-ICB) and fiscal year fixed effects and the following
variables for fiscal yeart: LSize, Leverage, BTM,StdSales, %Loss, OpCycle, OpLev,AvgSalesGrowth and AvgOpCash
FundSmooth2
i,t
predicted value from the panel regression of SMTH1
i,t
on industry (two-digit WS-ICB) and fiscal year fixed effects and the following
variables for fiscal yeart: LSize, Leverage, BTM,StdSales, %Loss, OpCycle, OpLev,AvgSalesGrowth and AvgOpCash
Leverage
i,t
predicted value from the panel regression of SMTH2
i,t
leverage, measured as total liabilities (WS-WC03351) divided by total assets (WS-WC02999)
LFacility
i,l
natural logarithm of Facility
LMaturity
i,l
natural logarithm of Maturity
LSize
i,t
natural log of total assets (WS-WC02999) in US dollars
Maturity
i,l
the term in months of loan facility l (DL-maturity)
MgrEntrench
i,t
firm-level measure of the thre at of private benefits consumption; an indicator that equals one if firm i's Bebchuk et al. (2009)
entrenchment index in year t is greater than three, and zero otherwise.
NCov
i,l
number of distinct financial and net worth covenants attached to the loan facility l's loan package
NIEXS
i,t
)
σNIEXS
i,t
net income before extraordinary items (WS-WC01551) scaled by lagged total assets (TA
i,t–1 standard deviation of NIEXS computed over
the three-to-five year horizon ending in yeart
OpCash
i,t
operating cash flow, measured as net income before extraordinary items (WS-WC01551) minus
Accruals, scaled by lagged total assets (TA
i,t–1
)
OpCycle
i,t
operating cycle, measured as the natural logarithm of ((average accounts receivable/sales)*360 +
(average inventory/cost of goods sold)*360); accounts receivable (WS-WC02051), sales (WS-WC01001), inventory
(WS-WC02101), cost of goods sold (WS-WC01051)
OpLev
i,t
operating leverage, measured as property, plant and equipment (WS-WC02501), divided by total
assets (TA)
PBThreat i
country-level indicator of the threat of private benefits consumption; an indicator that equals one if
the Djankov et al. (2008) anti-self-d ealing index of firm i's country is below the sample observation median, and zero otherwise
%Loss
i,t
percentage of years where net income before extraordinary items (WS-WC01551) is less than zero
over the three-to-five year horizon ending in year t
PD
i,m
firm i's one-year ahead probability of default as of month m, obtained from the Credit Risk Institute of the National University of
Singapore (NUS CRI). The default probabilities are estimates using a forward intensity model, as outlined in Duan et al. (2012).
ROA
i,t
earnings before interest and taxes divided by total assets (WS-WC02999)
Secure
i,l
an indicator variable that equals one if loan facility l requires collateral, and zero otherwise
(DL-secured)
SalesGrowth
i,t
sales growth, measured as percentage change in sales (WS-WC01001) from yeart–1 to t
Smooth1
i,t
(standard deviation of NIEXS divided by the standard deviation of OpCash) multiplied by –1, where
the standard deviations are computed over the three-to-five year horizon ending in year t
Smooth2
i,t
correlation between OpCashand AccrualsS multiplied by –1, where the correlation is computed over
the three-to-five year horizon ending in year t
Spread
i,l
interest rate on loan facilityl in excess of LIBOR, in basis points (DL-allindrawn)
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AND
StdRet
i,l
standard deviation of monthly return (computed from DS-ret_index) for firmi over the 12-month
horizon immediately preceding loan facility l
StdSales
i,t
standard deviation of sales (WS-WC01001) over the three-to-f ive year horizon ending in year t
TA
i,t
total assets (WS-WC02999)
Tangible
i,t
asset tangibility, measured as property, plant and equipment (WS-WC02501), scaled by total assets,
TA
WeakCredRights i
country-level measure of creditor rights given default, based on the country-level creditor rights
index developed in La Porta et al. (1998) and Djankov et al. (2007), which ranges from 0 to 4; our variable is an indicator that
equals one if firm i's country-level creditor rights index is 0 or 1, and zero otherwise.
APPENDIX B
Stylized framework that illustrates our key predictions
In this Appendix we describe a partial equilibrium framework that provides one example of how the forces we describe in this
paper interact to yield our predictions under a set of plausible assumptions.28 We are not attempting to create a complete
analytical model of a private lending interaction. For example, the framework does not include features such as private
information flows, financial covenants, etc. Rather, we use this framework to simply demonstrate key forces that can plausibly
lead to our predictions concerning the sign reversal in the association between smoothing and loan spread. As discussed in the
paper, these institutional features of the private debt setting provide some tension concerning our predicted associations.
Setup
Consider an existing all-equity firm with a self-interested manager/owner, ie, the manager has an incentive to maxi- mize her own
utility, where the firm has no minority shareholders (although this framework can easily generalize to a case where there are
minority shareholders). At time t = 0, the manager knows that at time t = 1, the firm will require additional financing in the
amount $K to fund a project, which we assume will be obtained in the form of debt with interest rate I.29 At time t = 2, the
project outcome is realized, with probability of failure (success) PD (1 − PD). If suc- cessful, the project has a gross percentage
return R greater than the risk-free rate (which we normalize to zero for convenience), the lender is repaid, and the firm continues.
If the project fails, the firm defaults and the lender receives gross recovery rate V as a percentage of K.
At time t = 0, nature endows the manager with two key things that are unobservable to external capital suppli- ers. First, with
probability Pα ∈ (0,1) the manager receives private information that the firm's economic earnings are less volatile than reported
cash flows suggest (thus, setting up the possibility that the manager can signal using income smoothing, assuming she has the
ability to smooth). Without loss of generality, we characterize firms in binary fashion as either having smooth economic earnings
(denoted as α
1
) or not (denoted as α
0
). Further, we assume that smooth
economic earnings lowers probability of default, ie, 0 < PD
α1
< PD
α0
< 1 (Merton, 1974). Second, with prob- ability Pλ ∈
(0, 1) nature endows the manager with the ability to smooth reported income.30 This ability could relate to either managerial
skill, or innate smoothness of underlying cash flows (ie, if cash flows are innately smooth, there will
28 For example, an alternative framework could consider a relationship between minority and controlling shareholders, where
smoothing is done for the same reasons that are described below. The lending decision could then come later, and exogenously to
the smoothing decision by the borrower (ie, the lender observes smoothing that is the result of the interactions between
controlling shareholders and minority shareholders and responds to the observed smoothing). The predictions of this alternative
framework regarding the sign reversal in the relationship between smoothing and cost of debt will be identical to those we present
below.
29 Debt can be the optimal financing source for a variety of reasons, eg, tax benefits.
30
Under certain values of other parameters that can be characterized, the introduction of this 'ability' parameter is not necessary.
However, it makes the intuition of the framework easier to follow.
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68 AMIRAM
AND
naturally be very little a manager can do to further smooth earnings by applying discretion). Without loss of general- ity, we
simply characterize managers in binary fashion as either able to smooth (denoted as λ
1
) or unable to smooth (denoted as λ
0
) (eg, Trueman & Titman, 1988).31 Accordingly, there are four types of managers across these two unobservable
dimensions, which we denote as follows: θ
αλ
= {α
1
λ
1
;α
1
λ
0
;α
0
λ
1
;α
0
λ
0
}. For example, type θ
αλ
=α
1
λ
0 refers to a
manager that knows economic earnings are relatively smooth, but is unable to smooth reported income to signal that information.
At a time between t = 0 and t = 1 (for simplicity we will call it t = 0.5), the manager chooses whether or not to consume private
benefits, and whether or not to smooth earnings, and then externally reports financial results (ie, earnings, cash flows and
accruals). These choices are made with the understanding that she will pursue a loan at t = 1, and that lenders will price protect
against any anticipated private benefits consumption that extracts firm value. With- out loss of generality, we assume if private
benefits are consumed, they are consumed as a percentage of firm value that translates into a percentage B ∈ (0, 1) of the loan K
(ie, $B ⋅ K). Further, assume that the choice to smooth earn- ings can provide the manager with private benefits that do not
extract firm wealth from external capital providers and are therefore not price protected, for example, power, respect, credibility
and connections (eg, Aghion & Bolton, 1992; Demsetz & Lehn, 1985).32 That is, importantly, these additional benefits will leave
an incentive to smooth even if capital providers fully price protect against the anticipated private benefits which the manager
consumes to their potential detriment. We denote these additional benefits as φ, and for simplicity hereafter will refer to them
simply as 'non-value-extractive' private benefits.
For notational convenience we denote the choice to consume private benefits as B
1
and the choice to not consume private benefits
as B
0
. We characterize the firm's environment as having either low threat (LT) or high threat (HT) of private
benefits consumption (which is observable to capital providers), where low (high) threat of consumption is an environment where
there are heavy (light) penalties if 'caught' (we denote the probability of being caught as PC). We capture this threat with a
punishment parameter γ ∈ {γ
LT
,γ
HT
} that reflects the cost to the manager of being caught, which without
loss of generality we express as a percentage of the amount consumed, where 1 < γ
HT
<γ
LT
< ∞. That is, the expected
cost to the manager of consuming private benefits is $(γ ⋅ B ⋅ K ⋅ PC). We assume that the minimum punishment if caught is
repayment of the amount consumed plus a slap on the wrist, ie, γ
HT
= 1 + ε, where ε → 0. Heavier
penalties that characterize low threat environments include more substantial fines, reputational costs, crimi- nal penalties, etc.
Although we could characterize the point above which the punishment is 'high enough', for simplicity we assume that if the
manager gets caught consuming private benefits in a low threat environment, γ
LT
→ ∞. If the manager has the
ability to smooth income (ie, typeλ
1
), the manager chooses to smooth income (S =1, denoted S
1
) or not (S = 0, denoted S
0
) at time t = 0.5. This choice is made with the manager's understanding that there is a pos- itive
probability at t = 2 that both α and λ will be revealed, and that there will be an associated cost of lying (L > 0) if the manager had
the ability to smooth (λ
1
) but lied about her true type α (ie, α
1
andS
0
, or α
0
andS
1
) (Desai et al., 2006). Consistent
with our characterization of costs of private benefits consumption, we assume that L
HT
<L
LT
.33 Although we could
characterize the point below (above) which the cost is low (high) enough, for simplicity we set L
HT
= ε → 0 (L
LT
→ ∞). We assume that if the manager chooses to consume private benefits, income smoothing reduces the prob- ability of
being caught (Fudenberg & Tirole, 1995). Further, for simplicity we assume that if the manager consumes private benefits but
does not smooth, she will be caught. That is, 0 < PC
S1
< PC
S0
= 1. After the manager chooses B and S at t = 0.5,
she reports financials.
31 Alternatively, we could assume differences in smoothing ability across a continuum, or differences in manager-specific costs of
smoothing.
32
Alternatively, smoothing can provide managers with other pecuniary benefits that are not price protected by external capital
providers, for example, smoothing can lower the firm's total tax obligations, which increases the size of the pie for the manager
and capital suppliers (eg, Graham & Smith, 1999; Hepworth, 1953).
33 Alternatively, to reduce the number of parameters we could have used the punishment parameter to describe the misreporting
costs.
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AMIRAM
AND
The manager's choice of private benefits consumption and smoothing
Based on our binary exposition, there are four BS choice combinations, which we denote θ
BS
= {B
0
S
1
;B
0
S
0
;B
1
S
1
;B
1
S
0
}. For example, type θ
BS
=B
0
S
1
refers to a manager that smooths income and does not consume
value-extractive private benefits. At time t = 0.5, the manager chooses θ
BS
to maximize her payoff, subject to her endowed
(unobservable) type θ
αλ
}. Table A1 outlines the payoff
structures to the manager under each scenario. Note that the manager's general payoff equals the sum of five terms:
(1 − PD) ⋅ K ⋅ (R − I)+(PD ⋅ B ⋅ K)−(γ ⋅ B ⋅ K ⋅ PC) − L + φ. (A1)
The first term, (1 − PD) ⋅ K ⋅ (R − I), is the expected payoff if the project succeeds. The second term, (PD ⋅ B ⋅ K), is the
expected payoff if the project fails (ie, the manager receives the amount of private benefits consumed). The third term, (γ ⋅ B ⋅ K
⋅ PC), is the expected cost of consuming private benefits. The fourth term, L, is the expected cost of lying about whether the
manager has smooth economic earnings (eg, Desai et al., 2006). The fifth term, φ, is the additional non-value-extractive private
benefits obtained from smoothing.
Consider a manager operating in a high threat of consumption environment, as depicted in Panel A of Table A1. For
endowment θ
αλ
= {α
1
λ
1
;α
1
λ
0
;α
0
λ
1
;α
0
λ
0
} and (observable) γ ∈ {γ
LT
,γ
HT
=α
1
λ
1
, choice 2 dominates choice 4 (because the sum of terms two and three is zero in choice 2 and negative in
choice 4), choice 3 dominates choice 1 (because the sum of terms two and three is positive in choice 3 and zero in choice 1). The
determination of whether choice 2 or 3 is optimal depends on the net benefit of private benefits consumption (the sum of terms
two, three and five in choice 3) relative to the interest rate differential reflected in the first term in both choices. It is
straightforward to show (as outlined below) that in setting interest rates, the lender will fully price protect against anticipated
private benefits consumption, and the borrower will be indifferent between choices 2 and 3 before considering additional
non-value-extractive private benefits, φ. Therefore, it follows directly that for any positive φ, the borrower will choose to smooth
and consume, even in the face of full lender price protection against private benefits consumption. Specifically, setting the
borrower's choice 2 and 3 payoff functions equal, the borrower will choose choice 3 (smooth and consume) if I
S1
PD⋅B 1−PD
φ 1−PD
. As we show in the section below, based on full lender
price protection, I
S1
−I
S0
<
+−I
S0
=
PD⋅B 1−PD
. Thus, the borrower will find choice 3 optimal for any positive φ. Continuing across the
other endowment possibilities, it follows that the optimal choice for θ
αλ
=α
0
=α
1
λ
0
is 2, for θ
αλ λ
1
is 2 or 3, and for θ
αλ
=α
0
λ
0
is 2. As depicted in Panel B, following the same approach in analyzing the manager's choice in
the low consumption threat environment, the optimal choice for θ
αλ
λ
1 is 2, and for θ
αλ
=α
1
λ
1
is 1,θ
αλ
=α
1
λ
0
is 2, for θ
αλ
=α
0=α
0
λ
0
is 2. This structure is understood by the lender, who will use these insights when choosing the interest rate
I.
The lender's pricing decision
At time t =1, the lender chooses the interest rate I on the loan amount $K. Theoretically,I will be increasing in expected cost of
default, ie, (probability of default)*(loss given default). Literature has established that smoother economic earnings imply lower
probability of default (eg, Merton, 1974). That is, PD
α1
. Further, it is straightforward that managerial
consumption of private benefits from capital providers increases loss given default, ie, decreases the recovery rate in the event of
default (V = RB). That is, V
B1
< PD
α0
. Accordingly, the lender would like to base I on the
smoothness of economic earnings and the extent of managerial private benefit consumption, but neither fac- tor is directly
observable at the contracting date. Therefore, the lender will base I on the observable private ben- efits consumption threat (γ) and
the smoothness of earnings (S), where smooth earnings may reflect either signal- ing or garbling. Based on our binary
characterizations, there are four possible interest rates, which we denote as I
γS
<V
B0
= {I
γ
HT
S0
;I
γ
HT
S1
;I
γ
LT
S0
;I
γ
LT
S1
}. Consider the high consumption threat environment. It follows from the analysis outlined in Panel A
of Table A1 that if the manager smooths income (S
1
), the lender knows that the manager consumed private
OWENS 69
70 AMIRAM
AND
TABLE A1 Framework-based predictions of managerial private benefits consumption and smoothing choice
Panel A: Payoffs to manager in high threat of private benefits consumption
γ
HT
= 1 + ε; L
HT
= ε; PC
S1
= ε;PC
S0
=1
Endowment: θ
αλ
=α
1
λ
1
(has smooth economic earnings and can smooth reported income)
Choice 1:θ
BS
=B
0
S
1
(1 − PD) ⋅ K ⋅ (R − I
HT,S1
)+0−0−0+φ
Choice 2:θ
BS
=B
0
S
0
* (1 − PD) ⋅ K ⋅ (R − I
HT,S0
)+0−0−ε
Choice 3:θ
BS
=B
1
S
1
* (1 − PD) ⋅ K ⋅ (R − I
HT,S1
) + PD ⋅ B ⋅ K − (1 + ε) ⋅ B ⋅ K ⋅ ε − 0 + φ
Choice 4:θ
BS
=B
1
S
0
(1 − PD) ⋅ K ⋅ (R − I
HT,S0
) + PD ⋅ B ⋅ K − (1 + ε) ⋅ B ⋅ K ⋅ 1 − ε
Endowment: θ
αλ
=α
1
λ
0
(has smooth economic earnings but cannot smooth reported income)
Choice 1:θ
BS
=B
0
S
1
N/A (cannot have S
1
for type λ
0
)
Choice 2:θ
BS
=B
0
S
0
* (1 − PD) ⋅ K ⋅ (R − I
HT,S0
)+0−0−0
Choice 3:θ
BS
=B
1
S
1
N/A (cannot have S
1
for type λ
0
)
Choice 4:θ
BS
=B
1
S
0
(1 − PD) ⋅ K ⋅ (R − I
HT,S0
) + PD ⋅ B ⋅ K − (1 + ε) ⋅ B ⋅ K ⋅ 1 − 0
Endowment: θ
αλ
=α
0
λ
1
(does not have smooth econom ic earnings but can smooth reported income)
Choice 1:θ
BS
=B
0
S
1
(1 − PD) ⋅ K ⋅ (R − I
HT,S1
)+0−0−ε+φ
Choice 2:θ
BS
=B
0
S
0
* (1 − PD) ⋅ K ⋅ (R − I
HT,S0
)+0−0−0
Choice 3:θ
BS
=B
1
S
1
* (1 − PD) ⋅ K ⋅ (R − I
HT,S1
) + PD ⋅ B ⋅ K − (1 + ε) ⋅ B ⋅ K ⋅ ε − ε + φ
Choice 4:θ
BS
=B
1
S
0
(1 − PD) ⋅ K ⋅ (R − I
HT,S0
) + PD ⋅ B ⋅ K − (1 + ε) ⋅ B ⋅ K ⋅ 1 − 0
Endowment: θ
αλ
=α
0
λ
0
(does not have smooth economic earnings and cannot smooth reported income)
Choice 1:θ
BS
=B
0
S
1
N/A (cannot have S
1
for type λ
0
)
Choice 2:θ
BS
=B
0
S
0
* (1 − PD) ⋅ K ⋅ (R − I
HT,S0
)+0−0−0
Choice 3:θ
BS
=B
1
S
1
N/A (cannot have S
1
for type λ
0
)
Choice 4:θ
BS
=B
1
S
0
(1 − PD) ⋅ K ⋅ (R − I
HT,S0
) + PD ⋅ B ⋅ K − (1 + ε) ⋅ B ⋅ K ⋅ 1 − 0
Panel B: Payoffs to manager in low threat of private benefits consumption
γ
LT
= ∞;L
LT
= ∞; PC
S1
= ε;PC
S0
=1
Endowment: θ
αλ
=α
1
λ
1
(has smooth economic earnings and can smooth reported income)
Choice 1:θ
BS
=B
0
S
1
* (1 − PD
α1
) ⋅ K ⋅ (R − I
LT,S1
)+0−0−0+φ
Choice 2:θ
BS
=B
0
S
0
(1 − PD
α0
) ⋅ K ⋅ (R − I
LT,S0
)+0−0−∞
Choice 3:θ
BS
=B
1
S
1
(1 − PD
α1
) ⋅ K ⋅ (R − I
LT,S1
) + PD
α1
⋅B⋅K−∞⋅B⋅K⋅ε−0+φ
Choice 4:θ
BS
=B
1
S
0
(1 − PD
α0
) ⋅ K ⋅ (R − I
LT,S0
) + PD
α1
⋅B⋅K−∞⋅B⋅K⋅1−∞
Endowment: θ
αλ
=α
1
λ
0
(has smooth economic earnings but cannot smooth reported income)
Choice 1:θ
BS
=B
0
S
1
N/A (cannot have S
1
for type λ
0
)
Choice 2:θ
BS
=B
0
S
0
* (1 − PD
α0
) ⋅ K ⋅ (R − I
LT,S0
)+0−0−0
Choice 3:θ
BS
=B
1
S
1
N/A (cannot have S
1
for type λ
0
)
Choice 4:θ
BS
=B
1
S
0
(1 − PD
α0
) ⋅ K ⋅ (R − I
LT,S0
) + PD
α1
⋅B⋅K−∞⋅B⋅K⋅1−0
Endowment: θ
αλ
=α
0
λ
1
( does not have smooth economic earnings but can smooth reported income)
Choice 1:θ
BS
=B
0
S
1
(1 − PD
α1
) ⋅ K ⋅ (R − I
LT,S1
) + 0 − 0 −∞+ φ
Choice 2:θ
BS
=B
0
S
0
* (1 − PD
α0
) ⋅ K ⋅ (R − I
LT,S0
)+0−0−0
Choice 3:θ
BS
=B
1
S
1
(1 − PD
α1
) ⋅ K ⋅ (R − I
LT,S1
) + PD
α1
⋅ B ⋅ K − ∞ ⋅ B ⋅ K ⋅ ε −∞+ φ
Choice 4:θ
BS
=B
1
S
0
(1 − PD
α0
) ⋅ K ⋅ (R − I
LT,S0
) + PD
α0
⋅B⋅K−∞⋅B⋅K⋅1−0
Endowment: θ
αλ
=α
0
λ
0
(does not have smooth economic earnings and cannot smooth reported income)
Choice 1:θ
BS
=B
0
S
1
N/A (cannot have S
1
for type λ
0
)
Choice 2:θ
BS
=B
0
S
0
* (1 − PD
α0
) ⋅ K ⋅ (R − I
LT,S0
)+0−0−0
(Continues)
OWENS
AMIRAM
AND
TABLE A1 (Continued)
Panel B: Payoffs to manager in low threat of private benefits consumption
Choice 3:θ
BS
)
Choice 4:θ
BS
=B
1
S
1
N/A (cannot have S
1=B
1
S
0
(1 − PD
α0
) ⋅ K ⋅ (R − I
LT,S0
) + PD
α0
⋅B⋅K−∞⋅B⋅K⋅1−0
This table outlines payoffs to a manager who chooses whether to consume private benefits and smooth reported income prior to
obtaining a loan to undertake a project.B
0
(B
1
) denotes her choice to not consume (consume) private benefits.S
0
(S
1
) denotes her choice to
not smooth (smooth) reported income. α
0
(α
1
) denotes her endowment of private information that economic earnings are
not smooth (smooth).λ
0
(λ
1
) denotes her endowment of the inability (ability) to smooth reported income. The gen- eral
structure of her payoff is(1 − PD) ⋅ K ⋅ (R − I)+(PD ⋅ B ⋅ K)−(γ ⋅ B ⋅ K ⋅ PC) − L + φ.PDis the probability of project default. K
is the dollar amount borrowed. R is the project's gross percentage return. I is the interest rate charged by the lender. B is the
amount of private benefits she consumes. γ is the punishment parameter for consuming private benefits. PC is the probability of
getting caught consuming private benefits. L is the cost of lying about her type α. φ is an additional smoothing benefit that
accrues to the firm. * denotes non-dominated strategies under each possible threat/endowment combination. General structure of
manager's payoff: (1 − PD) ⋅ K ⋅ (R − I)+(PD ⋅ B ⋅ K)−(γ ⋅ B ⋅ K ⋅ PC) − L + φ.
benefits.34 Further, if the manager does not smooth income (S
0
), the lender knows the manager did not consume pri- vate benefits.
In either case (S
1
or S
0
), the lender will assess that the firm has smooth economic earnings (α
1
) with probability Pα
and that the firm does not have smooth economic earnings (α
0
) with probability (1 − Pα). It is straight- forward to
then show that I
γ
HT
,S1
>I
γ
HT
,S0
because V
B1
<V
B0
. Our prediction that smoothing is positively associated with loan
spread in countries with high threat of private benefits consumption follows immediately. More formally, we can solve for the
interest rate differential I
γ
HT
−I
γ
HT
. Consider again endowment θ
αλ
=α
1
λ
1
. The lender will set rates to
equalize expected profit across choices 2 and 3, where the general form of the lender's profit equals (1 − PD) ⋅ K ⋅ (1 + I) + PD ⋅
K ⋅ (R − B) − K. Setting this lender profit function equal across choice 2 and 3, it is straight- forward to show that I
γ
HT
,S1
,S0
,S1
−I
γ
HT
,S0
=
PD⋅B 1−PD
> 0. Next, consider the low consumption threat environment. It follows from the analysis
outlined in Panel B of Table A1 that the manager will never consume private benefits. If the manager smooths income (S
1
), the lender knows the firm has smooth
economic earnings (α
1
) with probability 1.0. If the manager does not smooth income (S
0
), the lender does not know
whether the firm has smooth economic earnings or not, and assesses the probability of smooth eco- nomic earnings at less than
1.0. It is then straightforward to show that I
γ
LT
,S1
<I
γ
LT
,S0
, because PD
α1
< PD
α0
. Our prediction that
smoothing is negatively associated with loan spread in countries with low threat of private benefits consumption follows
immediately. More formally, in the low threat environment, setting the lender's profit function equal across borrower smoothing
choices yields the following expression: (1 − PD
α1
) ⋅ K ⋅ (1 + I
S1
) + PD
α1
(K ⋅ R) − K = (1 − PD
α0 PD
α1
) ⋅ K ⋅ (1 + I
S0
) + PD
α0
(K ⋅ R) − K. After algebraic simplification:I
S1 < PD
α0
, the term on the right-hand side is negative, and the ratio multiplier − I
S0
⋅ attached ( 1−PD 1−PD
α0 α1
)=
(1−R)(PD
to I
S0
on 1−PD
the α1 α1 −PD
left-hand α0 )
. Because side is less than one. Therefore, if I
S1
−I
S0
⋅(
1−PD 1−PD
α0 α1
) < 0, it must be the case that I
S1
−I
S0
< 0, thus I
S1
<I
S0
.
34
We make an implicit assumption that lenders will have the expectation that if managers consumed private benefits before loan
initiation, they will continue to do so after receiving the loan at t= 1.
OWENS 71
for type λ
0