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Financial Planning &

Solutions
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The Next “BIG” Thing!!! It’s the same with Investments.

Have you ever watched any of the There is a constant search for the next big
programmes on the Shopping Channels where investment idea, the next small company with
everything from exercise equipment to the potential to be an Apple or a Microsoft.
cooking utensils to make-up to jewellery is Get in on the ground floor and watch the
sold? These programmes run for about 20 value of your investment soar to limitless
minutes and are glorified commercials. They amounts.
all run to pretty much the same format and if
you have seen them you’ll know what I’m
talking about but for those who haven’t, let How many next big things
me explain how these programmes work. actually turn out to be the Real
They normally are set up with two presenters. McCoy? How many investors
The first presenter acts as the host and the end up with useless share
second presenter is the person trying to flog
the product. The second presenter goes
certificates after a company
through all the features of the product and spectacularly fails?
the host has several epiphany moments when
he/she realises what a difference the product
is going to make to their lives (all for the low While there is no doubt that individuals have
low price of €19.99). made huge gains by finding these nuggets,
there are also countless stories of investors
Where these programmes are really clever who ended up being burned as their
however is in the “ad” portion of the investments tanked.
programme. The life you live before you
purchase the product on offer is filmed in Think back to the Dotcom bubble. All rational
Black & White. Everything is dreary and life is investment reasoning went out the window as
just so hard. Purchase the product however companies with no genuine chance of long
and suddenly your life goes back to full colour term existence were suddenly worth billions.
and everyday is a carnival. The product is Investors kept ploughing funds into these
going to have that much of an effect on your companies because they saw the huge gains
life. Before you know it, you are the proud that were being made by others.
owner of another dust gatherer that sits in Unfortunately and predictably, the wheels
your shed, closet, under the bed. came off and those who were last in to the
party suffered the most.
What is it about these programmes that make
people buy the products on offer? Simply put, This investment story has been played out on
it’s the fear that you are missing out on numerous occasions in the past and it is not
something. That the purchase of this product just the less informed investor who gets
will knock all of 30 seconds of your usual caught. Sir Isaac Newton was famously caught
routine and think of all the stuff you could get out by the South Seas bubble in 1720 and is
done in those 30 seconds. quoted as saying “I can calculate the

Justin O’Gorman trading as Financial Planning & Solutions is an Authorised Adviser regulated by
the Central Bank of Ireland.
No. 57452

19 Clonlea, Woodpark, Ballinteer, Dublin 16. Tel: 01 2981817 Mobile: 087 2670223

Email: justin@fpands.ie Website: www.fpands.ie Registered Business Name No. 402457


Financial Planning &
Solutions
We Point You In The Right Direction
movement of stars but not the madness of Can Bubbles be avoided?
men”.
On a personal basis I believe that Markets will
We in Ireland have just experienced our own always experience Investment Bubbles. It is
Investment Bubble in the Property Market just their nature.
and the country is paying for our madness.
On an individual basis, it is possible to avoid
The Causes of Investment Bubbles? Investment Bubbles. All the people who didn’t
buy into the property boom avoided that
All investment bubbles are driven by a crash. These
number of factors: individuals were
able to ignore
1. The belief that “this time it’s the noise that
different”. was being
2. The taking for granted of returns that created by the
are seen originally as exceptional and rest of the world
are now seen as the base expectation at that time.
3. The willingness of investors to put However, in their
aside all reasonable analysis of the avoidance of the
market because of fear of losing out Property Bubble,
on something the returns their
4. Greed. When an Investment Bubble investment
begins to form, investments in other portfolio earned
areas are snubbed because the over the last few
returns appear poor in relative terms. years may have
Investors are unwilling to accept been less than Tulip Mania in Holland in the early
these relatively poorer returns and anticipated. 1600’s is commonly regarded as
continue to plough into the Bubble to the very first Investment Bubble.
chase the higher returns. This Therefore, the Single Tulip bulbs were selling for
continues to feed the Bubble. question all extraordinary prices. A tulip,
5. Borrowing. When Investors believe investors need an known as "the Viceroy", displayed
that the returns on an investment are answer to is in a 1637 Dutch catalog, cost
between 3000 and 4200 florins
such that not only is it worth investing “how can I get
depending on size. A skilled
existing money but it is also worth my investment
craftsman at the time earned
borrowing to invest, then a classic portfolio to
about 300 florins a year.
Bubble is forming. produce a
consistent return
If one looks back through history, every without ending
Bubble starts, continues and ends the same up taking Risk I am not happy with?”
way and the 5 elements mentioned above will
have been adhered to. Investment Diversification

You cannot protect your investment 100%


from Risk. It is simply not possible. However,

Justin O’Gorman trading as Financial Planning & Solutions is an Authorised Adviser regulated by
the Central Bank of Ireland.
No. 57452

19 Clonlea, Woodpark, Ballinteer, Dublin 16. Tel: 01 2981817 Mobile: 087 2670223

Email: justin@fpands.ie Website: www.fpands.ie Registered Business Name No. 402457


Financial Planning &
Solutions
We Point You In The Right Direction
you can reduce the risk your portfolio is Investments have acted as protection on the
exposed to by careful investment planning. portfolio so he ends up with a smaller loss
than Investor A.
A well crafted investment plan will have as its
core principle, asset diversification. The counter argument to a Diversified
Diversifying the assets held within a portfolio Portfolio is that if the shares in Investor A’s
is like adding layers of protection to the portfolio had increased in value then his
overall portfolio. If one section of the return would have been greater than Investor
portfolio is performing poorly, the other B. This is true. However, in my personal
sections should act as a counterbalance. experience and despite how savvy investors
Depending on the weighting invested in each think they are, losses on a portfolio are
section, the portfolio may still sustain a loss greeted with greater dismay than gains are
but the loss should not be as bad as a greeted with joy.
portfolio with no diversification at all.
In the market today, an investor has a much
For example, Investor A decides to buy shares greater choice as to what to invest their funds
in 4 companies and invests 25% of his cash in in. Asset classes available include the
each company. Investor B decides to invest his traditional Shares, Property, Bonds
cash in those same 4 companies but he also (Corporate, Sovereign and Indexing) and Cash.
decides to spread his investment to include Investors can also invest in Currency,
some Bonds and some Commodities. Commodities, Alternatives including Waste
Management, Water Management and
Renewable Energy as well as Absolute Return
Fund Strategies and Exchange Traded Funds.

With such a wide range of investment options


on offer, an investor has the ability to build a
well balanced and diversified portfolio which
should protect them from the risk of ending
up in a future Bubble.

And finally.....Returns

Going back to the point I made at the start of


this article and again in relation to Investment
Bubbles, if an investor believes that returns of
20/30/100% per annum are the norm, then
they are creating the environment for further
Which series would you prefer to have your money invested in?
Bubbles.
The next week Stock Markets fall by 20% and
However, if an investor accepts, that by
even though Investor A has invested in 4
adapting a well balanced investment strategy
different companies, his investment is all held
the extremes of highs and lows can be
in Shares and his portfolio is down 20%.
Investor B has also experienced a fall of 20% eradicated for more stable returns, then the
investment markets do provide investors with
on his shares but his Bond and Commodity
Justin O’Gorman trading as Financial Planning & Solutions is an Authorised Adviser regulated by
the Central Bank of Ireland.
No. 57452

19 Clonlea, Woodpark, Ballinteer, Dublin 16. Tel: 01 2981817 Mobile: 087 2670223

Email: justin@fpands.ie Website: www.fpands.ie Registered Business Name No. 402457


Financial Planning &
Solutions
We Point You In The Right Direction
the ability to increase the size of their
portfolios within acceptable risk parameters.

Financial Planning & Solutions would be


delighted to discuss the investment strategies
that best suit your circumstances. Please
contact us for further information.

Disclaimer
This report has been prepared by Financial Planning & reasonable efforts are made to present accurate
Solutions for information purposes only to assist information
investors to be more informed about their investment
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for any evaluation of the investment options discussed. the correctness, completeness, timeliness or accuracy of
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Not all recommendations are necessarily suitable for all of any use of, or reliance upon, the information. Any
investors and Financial Planning & Solutions person acting on the information contained in this
recommends that specific advice should always be report does so entirely at his or her own risk.
sought prior to investment, based on the particular
circumstances of the investor. The information in this Past performance is not a reliable guide to future
report has been obtained from sources, which Financial performance. The value of your investment may go
Planning & Solutions believes to be reliable and all down as well as up. Investors should be aware that
forwarding looking statements and forecasts may not be
realised. This report may not be reproduced (in whole or
in part) altered, transmitted or made available to any
other person without the prior written permission of
Financial Planning & Solutions.

Justin O’Gorman trading as Financial Planning & Solutions is an Authorised Adviser regulated by
the Central Bank of Ireland.
No. 57452

19 Clonlea, Woodpark, Ballinteer, Dublin 16. Tel: 01 2981817 Mobile: 087 2670223

Email: justin@fpands.ie Website: www.fpands.ie Registered Business Name No. 402457

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