140
122.8
120
100
82.8
80
60 57.3
51.4
39.7 52.7
40
21.5
20 13.8
4.1
11.6
0
M15 M27 M28 M29 M30 M31 A1 A2 A3 A4 A5 A6 A7 A8 A9 A10 A11 A12 A13
Stephen Harper Michael Ignatieff Jack Layton Gilles Duceppe Elizabeth May
Stephen Harper 29.2 34.7 35.2 48.1 30.5 40.0 94.9 122.8
Jack Layton 21.7 21.3 13.3 15.9 22.1 20.1 57.1 57.3
Michael Ignatieff 14.1 15.8 17.9 18.0 17.6 18.9 49.6 52.7
Gilles Duceppe 5.6 6.0 6.4 4.5 2.4 3.3 14.4 13.8
Elizabeth May 2.2 2.5 2.0 0.7 2.7 0.9 6.9 4.1
Media inquiries should be directed to: Nik Nanos at nnanos@nanosresearch.com or (613) 234-4666 x237. Visit the Nanos website
to sign up for instant email updates at www.nanosresearch.com.
www.nanosresearch.com
April 14, 2011
40%
33.8%
35%
29.2%
30%
25%
21.8%
20% 18.1%
15%
8.8%
10%
6.7%
7.5% 5.8%
5%
4.9% 4.5%
0%
M15 M29 M30 M31 A1 A2 A3 A4 A5 A6 A7 A8 A9 A10 A11 A12 A13
% %
Media inquiries should be directed to: Nik Nanos at nnanos@nanosresearch.com or (613) 234-4666 x237. Visit the Nanos website to
sign up for instant email updates at www.nanosresearch.com.
www.nanosresearch.com
Nanos Methodology
CTV News/Globe/Nanos Poll Questions
AM Release – Ballot and Vote Driver
1. If a FEDERAL election were held today, could you please rank your top two current local voting preferences? (committed voters only – first preference)
2. Which of the following factors are most important to you today in influencing your vote? [ROTATE]
As you may know, [ROTATE all five federal leaders with name and party]. Which of the federal leaders would you best describe as:
4. The most trustworthy
5. The most competent
6. Has the best vision for Canada's future
Methodology
A national random telephone survey is conducted nightly by Nanos Research throughout the campaign. Each evening a new group of 400 eligible voters are interviewed. The daily
tracking figures are based on a three-day rolling sample comprised of 1,200 interviews. To update the tracking a new day of interviewing is added and the oldest day dropped.
The margin of error for a survey of 1,200 respondents is ±2.8%, 19 times out of 20.
The respondent sample is stratified geographically and by gender. The data may be weighted by age according to data from the 2006 Canadian Census administered by Statistics
Canada. Percentages reported may not add up to 100 due to rounding. The research has been registered with the Marketing Research and Intelligence Association of which
Nanos is a member.
The Leadership Index score will be tracked daily with updated results from the previous night of polling. Unlike the other measures tracked by Nanos, the leadership index score
will not be based on a three-day rolling sample. It will be reported from results from the evening before. This will allow Nanos to measure the performance of the federal party
leaders and the key factors driving performance on a daily basis.
About Nanos
Established in 1987, Nanos Research is a full service public opinion research and management consulting firm. For more information on our full range of services please visit our
website www.nanosresearch.com.
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The Nanos Approach
At Nanos Research, we are experts at helping public-facing companies and organizations connect with
the “hearts and minds” of customers or the general public. Our advantage comes from over 20 years
experience in understanding the numbers and building upon them to provide strategic insight and
intelligence in support of our clients’ business, marketing, public affairs and communications needs.
Getting Started
At Nanos, we believe that small steps can lead to large insights. We are regularly in the field with a
national omnibus surveys. We’ll sit down with you to learn about your challenges and work on your
challenge together. The results can be used to conduct a strategic assessment of your current
challenge or can be the basis of a broader mission plan for you to achieve your market or mind share
objectives.
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A Trusted Source
Our team is headed by Nik Nanos, a leader in the market and public opinion research industry
recognized for the quality of his work, the insightfulness of his counsel and his professional
integrity. Media organizations regularly call upon Nik Nanos and Nanos Research to capture
the public pulse and analyze complex issues.
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