PortCom Risk Analysis

Selling Price per unit 275

Administrative Cost 400000
Advetisement Cost 600000

Direct Labor Cost Parts Cost (Uniforma Distribution)

Lower Upper Smallest Value 80
Random No Random No. Cost Per unit Largest Value 100
0.0 0.1 $43.00
0.1 0.3 $44.00
0.3 0.7 $45.00 Demand (Normal Distributribution)
0.7 0.9 $46.00 Mean 15000
0.9 1.0 $47.00 SD 4500

Simulation

Direct Labor Parts First _ Year

Trail Cost /Unit Cost/unit Demand Profit
1 45 94 15865 1152141 BIN
2 43 97 16047 1166139 -1000000
3 45 86 20535 1953219 -500000
4 47 80 21314 2148641 0
5 45 83 21334 2133425 500000
6 46 99 12120 579199 1000000
7 45 84 4713 -310508 1500000
8 44 91 14706 1058064 2000000
9 45 97 14735 954923 2500000
10 45 96 17322 1319195 3000000
11 46 82 15489 1273116 3500000
12 45 91 19003 1646331
13 43 91 15489 1184770
14 43 96 16311 1210833 Bin
15 46 91 18830 1603219 -1000000
16 44 94 16616 1268291 -500000
17 45 86 19478 1799817 0
18 45 83 13704 1017588 500000
19 47 93 12165 644312 1000000
20 46 97 15760 1078608 1500000
21 45 94 25851 2510436 2000000
22 45 81 15404 1292689 2500000
23 46 83 20677 2021017 3000000
24 45 87 15746 1255418 3500000
25 44 88 19071 1722259 More
26 45 89 15723 1212058
27 45 85 7982 160879
28 45 85 10760 560868
29 45 93 20717 1847375
30 45 88 6148 -127892
31 45 80 14951 1239081
32 45 100 23145 2010589
33 45 89 16207 1291014
34 44 94 9446 290467
35 46 95 6850 -84241
36 46 80 20135 1998541
37 46 84 13479 958523
38 46 81 10894 613541
39 45 89 15655 1205694
40 44 98 26452 2505144
41 45 88 15444 1194235
42 47 99 22312 1871721
43 45 84 14657 1138772
44 46 97 15777 1081624
45 43 84 14704 1170279
46 45 95 15998 1160370
47 46 96 12529 663028
48 43 90 9835 393253
49 45 89 15393 1168697
50 46 97 18581 1444521
51 46 81 11969 775196
52 45 90 12655 776740
53 44 92 20288 1826579
54 44 87 13336 916332
55 45 94 11264 532457
56 43 86 17014 1486062
57 43 84 18676 1755955
58 44 80 13684 1065012
59 45 90 10299 441739
60 45 89 17500 1459356
61 44 82 8552 271778
62 45 98 17940 1367928
63 45 93 15850 1167470
64 47 87 15655 1203317
65 47 98 17285 1250223
66 43 84 12864 909286
67 46 99 9328 211473
68 47 97 15099 972388
69 45 80 18136 1714411
70 46 97 14890 960668
71 44 82 13141 956313
72 44 95 24316 2316871
73 47 94 16830 1252618
74 45 85 16694 1412597
75 44 96 8971 208854
76 45 99 11020 439443
77 46 93 16256 1209891
78 44 90 11457 614517
79 44 89 20296 1887817
80 46 92 14592 992665
81 47 83 18172 1637254
 82 45 83 17899 1633027
83 46 90 13416 861437
84 47 82 8874 299572
85 43 94 17304 1389956
86 45 85 14240 1058650
87 45 100 18060 1348568
88 44 90 -236 -1033198
89 44 80 16710 1517511
90 45 98 19175 1524233
91 45 84 14021 1050513
92 45 97 18456 1447702
93 45 84 9072 324257
94 47 93 16136 1184955
95 45 87 19185 1749936
96 45 91 19287 1681789
97 45 89 25791 2647315
98 45 91 18538 1583126
99 45 87 12835 838581
100 45 96 17025 1284177
101 45 94 13887 885221
102 45 98 11624 537229
103 45 86 7143 26012
104 44 95 18889 1560275
105 44 96 22876 2092321
106 45 94 6491 -120179
107 44 98 14144 876567
108 46 83 14130 1063301
109 47 99 20681 1669990
110 46 84 12754 853614
111 46 98 11243 476936
112 45 92 19272 1657501
113 43 84 11619 716724
114 43 96 22734 2088968
115 45 93 14174 945859
116 46 84 15664 1266773
117 45 88 14150 1010250
118 45 98 10741 415139
119 44 98 6058 -195506
120 44 94 14004 917122
121 45 88 22503 2197022
122 45 98 10983 446600
123 44 85 12660 852352
124 45 86 17016 1454147
125 45 98 17601 1327291
126 45 83 14501 1128997
127 44 96 12560 701401
128 45 94 18149 1466040
129 47 86 20832 1949395
130 45 98 16679 1209523
131 46 92 22544 2077953
132 43 81 22876 2454645
133 44 98 15641 1082405
134 46 90 12605 746519
135 47 86 18185 1589264
136 45 99 7594 -5778
137 45 86 21431 2093769
138 47 95 13331 779399
139 45 95 17292 1332810
140 45 96 6558 -123961
141 46 97 15183 1003314
142 45 86 7283 48016
143 43 99 17408 1318940
144 45 97 16072 1142794
145 44 98 19791 1638632
146 47 94 8646 157917
147 46 87 11982 703690
148 44 98 24106 2202199
149 45 97 19519 1587934
150 46 85 17022 1444467
151 46 84 17722 1560962
152 46 91 4428 -388569
153 43 89 18733 1686283
154 47 86 16166 1291993
155 44 83 15068 1235099
156 44 90 6690 -58313
157 47 92 19765 1686123
158 43 95 9298 275156
159 46 99 12742 653293
160 46 90 9886 376975
161 45 80 17447 1613216
162 44 86 17742 1572807
163 46 89 15913 1228957
164 46 96 18104 1399130
165 45 85 12267 783858
166 44 82 9096 358682
167 45 89 20170 1837621
168 45 96 3021 -595227
169 44 100 20581 1704466
170 45 85 12356 791686
171 45 83 19223 1816834
172 45 85 9124 327415
173 45 97 19780 1634180
174 43 83 14793 1203885
175 45 89 9839 382798
176 44 84 16260 1392831
177 45 84 15412 1248431
178 43 96 13430 822562
179 45 94 17433 1367083
180 45 83 12402 816997
181 45 92 21147 1924468
182 46 86 13240 896165
183 45 98 18342 1423176
184 46 93 16913 1294443
185 45 92 19572 1697780
186 47 84 14655 1113171
187 47 94 15628 1097712
188 44 98 18485 1458863
189 46 91 10386 428863
190 47 83 15590 1266977
191 45 98 22400 1966334
192 47 86 14531 1061434
193 45 97 18992 1526958
194 46 86 6993 3358
195 44 83 7828 161084
196 45 99 20015 1613086
197 46 83 11617 701637
198 47 94 13445 807242
199 44 89 13990 980581
200 47 98 22147 1877251
201 45 99 15879 1081299
202 45 85 20102 1924152
203 45 91 14446 1005790
204 47 80 16308 1408225
205 46 96 6024 -201834
206 44 81 19015 1853290
207 44 85 17355 1542303
208 43 97 19173 1593920
209 44 94 13436 839131
210 46 97 7450 -16362
211 43 98 21405 1874963
212 45 80 20028 1995370
213 45 90 13904 949384
214 45 90 21281 1985823
215 47 85 15230 1175768
216 44 92 25700 2582198
217 45 88 16298 1316627
218 45 87 16021 1293335
219 47 99 15074 943572
220 45 81 17426 1592496
221 47 94 8406 127034
222 46 86 7405 56645
223 45 94 21170 1873059
224 44 83 13826 1043870
225 46 87 21952 2111596
226 45 93 11596 590518
227 47 99 9227 185937
228 46 93 18161 1465011
229 46 88 16899 1379302
230 45 92 15879 1187818
231 44 98 23364 2117012
232 45 86 22970 2311401
233 43 84 15168 1240363
234 44 80 13908 1096612
235 44 99 11882 567034
236 47 95 14912 988939
237 44 98 11952 584264
238 45 100 18287 1380865
239 45 83 20062 1944280
240 46 93 11930 624065
241 46 92 9337 278122
242 45 85 20761 2016048
243 45 87 13243 888742
244 43 94 5203 -281686
245 47 87 5961 -156998
246 47 88 13634 904876
247 45 89 19704 1771431
248 47 95 17351 1308508
249 45 87 13755 965632
250 45 90 15297 1139667
251 47 98 18706 1433569
252 46 94 13931 877241
253 45 99 11176 459270
254 44 83 16031 1379063
255 44 97 21325 1855515
256 44 90 13329 877139
257 44 85 19206 1810661
258 44 88 11750 678903
259 44 83 13880 1059981
260 45 82 15606 1307919
261 46 99 17202 1230995
262 45 81 15168 1255349
263 45 81 10241 523998
264 44 94 15838 1167910
265 45 94 9602 307628
266 46 87 17990 1551481
267 44 83 16030 1368825
268 44 89 18157 1577756
269 46 89 12807 786516
270 45 82 13137 949416
271 45 92 8666 199655
272 46 89 8273 154928
273 47 94 22374 1998387
274 45 89 18476 1597130
275 45 83 8437 237059
276 45 94 24809 2368509
277 46 96 18093 1411152
278 43 93 16988 1354281
279 46 94 11125 498436
280 45 100 19230 1506227
281 46 87 7201 23807
282 46 99 16114 1089945
283 45 89 9317 309154
284 45 89 3607 -490529
285 44 93 12568 737256
286 47 93 9724 308496
287 43 81 23011 2479978
288 45 87 19096 1736933
289 45 91 9446 314579
290 44 84 10056 478475
291 47 92 13371 818593
292 45 98 16456 1169233
293 45 86 12087 738495
294 44 92 21691 2008596
295 47 99 14279 841891
296 46 83 13771 1005433
297 47 99 19422 1499352
298 46 82 17588 1593813
299 45 93 14236 954336
300 45 85 15910 1306977
301 44 99 12552 658466
302 47 95 15376 1044131
303 43 92 12995 818722
304 43 99 4869 -353709
305 45 91 8811 222943
306 45 97 13943 848321
307 47 86 14466 1050447
308 43 82 12823 924017
309 45 93 16893 1310248
310 43 86 16158 1357909
311 44 93 18825 1592662
312 47 98 16138 1102006
313 45 93 16752 1297692
314 46 81 14314 1122454
315 45 81 23635 2511995
316 46 100 14960 934260
317 46 81 22210 2278498
318 46 89 9100 270920
319 44 85 11493 682476
320 46 99 26086 2399648
321 43 96 18987 1574192
322 45 95 14067 894638
323 45 84 15001 1188995
324 44 83 3617 -466177
325 45 86 15989 1301887
326 43 90 12991 842620
327 45 83 11767 733497
328 44 97 18016 1413602
329 46 87 10191 449168
330 44 96 11648 577899
331 44 93 18269 1512946
332 45 92 18831 1602692
333 46 91 19145 1634100
334 44 97 11052 478192
335 47 99 11252 456075
336 46 86 9784 401494
337 45 100 11943 555305
338 45 100 22169 1889060
339 44 96 15930 1151860
340 43 99 17570 1341525
341 46 84 15288 1212069
342 44 93 13742 899749
343 45 99 13237 728112
344 45 86 10505 514356
345 43 85 11162 642684
346 45 83 12307 806860
347 45 80 11320 693190
348 47 89 5515 -232876
349 46 84 17695 1569054
350 46 95 18180 1431925
351 46 96 11818 569146
352 44 91 15736 1208982
353 44 86 16701 1413769
354 44 100 16668 1187290
355 44 88 17633 1515687
356 44 93 12535 729792
357 44 80 10888 642062
358 46 98 10290 350392
359 44 93 12752 764332
360 44 90 10414 468805
361 44 85 11844 728926
362 46 96 17037 1259714
363 45 80 12890 927582
364 45 91 8299 152811
365 45 85 18816 1732172
366 45 83 16041 1359823
367 45 83 13616 997602
368 45 92 15079 1079695
369 45 97 12831 702621
370 47 86 19602 1792472
371 46 97 16996 1239656
372 45 89 14522 1045240
373 45 85 12015 742596
374 45 94 16984 1304927
375 45 84 17444 1541898
376 45 98 21420 1833637
377 45 90 14386 1016607
378 45 87 19012 1720881
379 45 80 15981 1390648
380 46 85 9505 370665
381 45 86 13369 923199
382 47 99 14425 863211
383 46 83 16190 1362032
384 44 87 20216 1902444
385 44 98 14418 915776
386 46 93 13805 872087
387 44 92 16059 1224617
388 45 100 14277 862620
389 45 81 17576 1612725
390 47 96 15942 1108056
391 44 83 14331 1124916
392 47 98 15201 981754
393 45 81 21778 2234117
394 43 84 5642 -164468
395 47 88 25382 2554125
396 44 93 9145 262480
397 47 99 12762 650645
398 45 90 18934 1645827
399 46 95 20286 1726386
400 44 81 18225 1735648
401 46 87 8866 261524
402 44 85 15192 1218785
403 46 83 8770 280049
404 46 97 13738 809474
405 45 81 20554 2068642
406 46 93 12596 716127
407 46 92 11499 570008
408 46 80 7987 189797
409 47 84 10256 473544
410 47 90 23048 2184892
411 44 89 12649 799679
412 45 91 20027 1775393
413 46 89 16465 1306735
414 44 86 14208 1058755
415 44 83 9070 345160
416 45 97 13077 741577
417 43 85 13428 978932
418 44 93 15433 1133981
419 44 95 16594 1261597
420 43 87 26435 2823876
421 45 91 11712 627010
422 46 96 13129 740273
423 45 85 17907 1599194
424 46 93 13735 868364
425 45 92 21645 1977213
426 44 98 11844 571092
427 45 90 11242 576595
428 45 83 10602 554853
429 46 96 12601 674717
430 44 85 20366 1980397
431 45 97 17674 1356154
432 47 81 21498 2161693
433 43 80 16157 1450087
434 45 91 17008 1369456
435 45 99 20766 1720236
436 47 85 11234 601168
437 44 90 11541 628443
438 43 82 12872 928864
439 43 97 19707 1665782
440 44 86 17444 1533396
441 45 93 16879 1307104
442 45 88 12254 734541
443 44 84 9102 336866
444 45 83 15929 1337824
445 44 86 15021 1179382
446 46 93 13884 884375
447 47 91 9148 249102
448 43 87 10064 459599
449 43 95 14384 966725
450 44 81 10078 510516
451 45 84 18477 1688896
452 47 95 13433 781856
453 46 88 12226 722105
454 45 96 17413 1335222
455 44 92 19680 1743435
456 47 88 19610 1748399
457 45 86 20082 1883695
458 43 83 15981 1381084
459 44 99 18325 1414173
460 44 82 8154 214297
461 47 85 15141 1171767
462 45 99 19961 1618111
463 45 96 8418 131003
464 44 98 15819 1097835
465 44 85 15951 1331417
466 45 95 19527 1629656
467 44 96 9905 340019
468 46 89 14869 1078466
469 45 95 18986 1563601
470 47 97 16949 1225391
471 46 94 14906 1010383
472 46 98 10312 353201
473 47 88 13752 922496
474 45 80 11018 650548
475 45 83 14225 1084056
476 45 87 15407 1198422
477 45 89 25466 2588873
478 47 100 11419 463253
479 43 84 10688 586790
480 47 82 17573 1570574
481 45 80 13806 1067371
482 46 87 1030 -853798
483 46 88 25402 2588344
484 46 90 15352 1129330
485 44 93 10684 477474
486 45 96 13515 808395
487 44 93 14932 1056870
488 45 98 21487 1827937
489 45 82 15993 1371543
490 45 82 12054 778763
491 47 96 5801 -234074
492 46 83 12538 836021
493 44 84 9980 471281
494 47 84 10521 518474
495 46 98 17512 1286186
496 46 82 12869 887845
497 46 100 3602 -535240
498 44 91 21966 2068349
499 45 95 12575 696279
500 45 90 17563 1463114

SUMMARY STATISTICS
MEAN PROFIT 1094252
SD 632309.1
MINIMUM -1033198
MAXIMUM 2823876
NUMBER OF LO 23
PROBIBILITY O 0.046
 180

160 Histogram
140

120
Frequency Frequency

100

80

Frequency 60
0 Histogram
2 40
150
17
63 020
121 0- - 0 50 10 15 20 25 30 35 Mo Frequency
10- 50 -00 00 00 00
0 00500000
00 00 100000
re 150000 200000 250000 300000 350000 More
159
00100000
00 00 00 00
500000 00 00 00 00 0 0 0 0 0 0
97 000 00 0 0 0 0 0 0
39 0 Bin
1 Bin
1
0
0 300000 350000 More
0 0