Chapter 8
Statistical Inference: Estimation for Single
Populations
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
CHAPTER OUTLINE
The t Distribution
Robustness
KEY WORDS
8.1 a) x = 25 σ = 3.5 n = 60
σ 3.5
x + z = 25 + 1.96 = 25 + 0.89 = 24.11 < µ < 25.89
n 60
b) x = 119.6 s = 23.89 n = 75
98% Confidence z.01 = 2.33
s 2.89
x + z = 119.6 + 2.33 75 = 119.6 ± 6.43 = 113.17 < µ < 126.03
n
c) x = 3.419 s = 0.974 n = 32
90% C.I. z.05 = 1.645
s 0.974
x + z = 3.419 + 1.645 = 3.419 ± .283 = 3.136 < µ < 3.702
n 32
σ N −n 12 .1 500 − 47
x ±z = 56.7 + 1.28 =
n N −1 47 500 −1
8.2 n = 36 x = 211 σ = 23
95% C.I. z.025 = 1.96
σ 2
x ± z = 211 ± 1.96 = 211 ± 7.51 = 203.49 < µ < 218.51
n 36
8.3 n = 81 x = 47 s = 5.89
90% C.I. z.05=1.645
s 5.89
x ± z = 47 ± 1.645 = 47 ± 1.08 = 45.92 < µ < 48.08
n 81
8.4 n = 70 σ 2 = 49 x = 90.4
σ 49
x + z n
= 90.4 ± 1.88 = 90.4 ± 1.57 = 88.83 < µ < 91.97
70
8.5 n = 39 N = 200 x = 66 s = 11
96% C.I. z.02 = 2.05
s N −n 11 200 − 39
x ± z = 66 ± 2.05 =
n N −1 9 200 −1
x = 66 Point Estimate
s 0.8735
x + z = 18.72 ± 2.575 120 = 8.72 ± .21 = 18.51 < µ < 18.93
n
s 3.229
x ± z = 5.656 ± 1.645 = 5.656 ± .939 = 4.717 < µ < 6.595
n 32
s 1.167
x ± z = 3.306 ± 2.33 = 3.306 ± .453 = 2.853 < µ < 3.759
n 36
Chapter 8: Statistical Inference: Estimation for Single Populations 8
s (. 113 )
x ± z = 2.139 ± 1.645 = 2.139 ± .03 = 2.109 < µ < 2.169
n 36
x = 24.533 s = 5.1239
z = + 1.96
s 5.1239
Confidence interval: x + z = 24.533 + 1.96 =
n 45
t.025,12 = 2.179
s 5.694
x ±t = 45.62 ± 2.179 = 45.62 ± 3.44 = 42.18 < µ < 49.06
n 13
s 9.104
x ±t = 319.17 ± (1.796) = 319.17 ± 4.72 = 314.45 < µ <
n 12
323.89
t.01,26 = 2.479
s 20 .6
x ±t = 128.4 ± 2.479 = 128.4 ± 9.83 = 118.57 < µ < 138.23
n 27
t.05,14 = 1.761
s 0.81
x ±t = 2.364 ± 1.761 = 2.364 ± .409 = 1.955 < µ < 2.773
n 15
α /2=.005
t.005,24 = 2.797
s .817
x ±t = 16.088 ± 2.797 = 16.088 ± .457 = 15.631 < µ < 16.545
n 25
s 279
x ±t = 1,192 + (2.518) = 1,192 + 149.78 = 1,042.22 < µ <
n 22
1,341.78
Chapter 8: Statistical Inference: Estimation for Single Populations 11
x = 2.36116 s = 0.19721
0.1972
2.36116 + 2.093 = 2.36116 + 0.0923 = 2.26886 < µ < 2.45346
20
Error = 0.0923
t.05,27 = 1.703
s 2.016
x ±t = 5.335 ± 1.703 = 5.335 + .649 = 4.686 < µ < 5.984
n 28
s 18 .22
x ±t = 49.8 ± 2.262 = 49.8 + 13.03 = 36.77 < µ < 62.83
n 10
Chapter 8: Statistical Inference: Estimation for Single Populations 12
t.01,13 = 2.650
s 14 .42
confidence interval: x ±t = 152.16 + 2.65 =
n 14
pˆ ⋅ qˆ (. 51 )(. 49 )
pˆ ± z = .51 ± 2.575 = .51 ± .194 = .316 < p< .704
n 44
pˆ ⋅ qˆ (. 82 )(. 18 )
pˆ ± z = .82 ± 1.96 = .82 ± .043 = .777 < p < .863
n 300
pˆ ⋅ qˆ (. 48 )(. 52 )
pˆ ± z = .48 ± 1.645 = .48 ± .024 = .456 < p < .504
n 1150
pˆ ⋅ qˆ (. 32 )(. 68 )
pˆ ± z = .32 ± 1.555 = .32 ± .074 = .246 < p < .394
n 95
Chapter 8: Statistical Inference: Estimation for Single Populations 13
p̂ = x = 57 = .49
n 116
pˆ ⋅ qˆ (. 49 )(. 51 )
pˆ ± z = .49 ± 2.575 = .49 ± .12 = .37 < p < .61
n 116
x 479
p̂ = = = .60
n 800
pˆ ⋅ qˆ (. 60 )(. 40 )
pˆ ± z = .60 ± 2.17 = .60 ± .038 = .562 < p < .638
n 800
x 106
p̂ = = = .44
n 240
pˆ ⋅ qˆ (. 44 )(. 56 )
pˆ ± z = .44 ± 1.44 = .44 ± .046 = .394 < p < .486
n 240
x 21
p̂ = = = .35
n 60
pˆ ⋅ qˆ (. 35 )(. 65 )
pˆ ± z = .35 ± 1.645 = .35 ± .10 = .25 < p < .45
n 60
Chapter 8: Statistical Inference: Estimation for Single Populations 14
p̂ = x = 40 = .47
n 85
pˆ ⋅ qˆ (. 47 )(. 53 )
pˆ ± z = .47 ± 1.645 = .47 ± .09 = .38 < p < .56
n 85
pˆ ⋅ qˆ (. 47 )(. 53 )
pˆ ± z = .47 ± 1.96 = .47 ± .106 = .364 < p < .576
n 85
pˆ ⋅ qˆ (. 47 )(. 53 )
pˆ ± z = .47 ± 2.575 = .47 ± .14 = .33 < p < .61
n 85
All things being constant, as the confidence increased, the width of the interval
increased.
pˆ ⋅ qˆ (. 47 )(. 53 )
pˆ ± z = .47 + 1.96 = .47 + .0413 = .4287 < p < .5113
n 560
pˆ ⋅ qˆ (. 28 )(. 72 )
pˆ ± z = .28 + 1.645 = .28 + .0312 = .2488 < p < .3112
n 560
x 997
p̂ = = = .80
n 1250
pˆ ⋅ qˆ (. 80 )(. 20 )
pˆ ± z = .80 ± 2.33 = .80 ± .026 = .774 < p < .826
n 1250
x 927
p̂ = = = .266
n 3481
x 48
p̂ = = = .54
n 89
pˆ ⋅ qˆ (. 54 )(. 46 )
pˆ ± z = .54 ± 1.44 = .54 ± .076 = .464 < p < .616
n 89
pˆ ⋅ qˆ (. 63 )(. 37 )
pˆ ± z = .63 + 1.96 = .63 + .0365 = .5935 < p < .6665
n 672
χ 2
.995,11 = 2.60321 χ 2
.005,11 = 26.7569
18.46 < σ 2
< 189.73
χ 2
.975,6 = 1.237347 χ 2
.025,6 = 14.4494
(7 −1)(1.5376 ) (7 −1)(1.5376 )
< σ 2
<
14 .4494 1.237347
0.64 < σ 2
< 7.46
c) n = 20 x = 105 s = 32 s2 = 1024
90% C.I. df = 20 – 1 = 19
χ 2
.95,19 = 10.117 χ 2
.05,19 = 30.1435
( 20 −1)(1024 ) ( 20 −1)(1024 )
< σ 2
<
30 .1435 10 .117
Chapter 8: Statistical Inference: Estimation for Single Populations 17
645.45 < σ 2
< 1923.10
χ 2
.90,16 = 9.31223 χ 2
.10,16 = 23.5418
12.61 < σ 2
< 31.89
χ 2
.99,15 = 5.22935 χ 2
.01,15 = 30.5779
18.24 < σ 2
< 106.66
χ 2
.99,19 = 7.63273 χ 2
.01,19 = 36.1980
9.71 < σ 2
< 46.03
χ 2
.995,14 = 4.07468 χ 2
.005,14 = 31.3193
1.37 < σ 2
< 10.54
Chapter 8: Statistical Inference: Estimation for Single Populations 18
χ 2
.975,13 = 5.00874 χ 2
.025,13 = 24.7356
(14 −1)( 26 ,798 ,241 .76 ) (14 −1)( 26 ,798 ,241 .76 )
< σ 2
<
24 .7356 5.00874
14,084,038.51 < σ 2
< 69,553,848.45
z 2σ 2 (1.96) 2 (36 ) 2
n= = = 199.15
E2 52
Sample 200
z 2σ 2 (2.575 ) 2 (4.13) 2
n= = = 113.1
E2 12
Sample 114
z 2σ 2 (1.645 ) 2 (105 ) 2
n = = = 298.3
E2 10 2
Sample 299
d) E = 3 Range = 108 - 50 = 58
Sample 57
z 2 p ⋅ q ( 2.05 ) 2 (. 40 )(. 60 )
n = = = 2521.5
E2 (. 02 ) 2
Sample 2522
z 2 p ⋅ q (1.96 ) 2 (. 50 )(. 50 )
n = = = 600.25
E2 (. 04 ) 2
Sample 601
z 2 p ⋅ q (1.645 ) 2 (. 55 )(. 45 )
n = = = 267.9
E2 (. 05 ) 2
Sample 268
Chapter 8: Statistical Inference: Estimation for Single Populations 20
z 2 p ⋅ q (2.575 ) 2 (. 50 )(. 50 )
n = = = 16,576.6
E2 (. 01) 2
Sample 16,577
z 2σ 2 (2.575) 2 (1000 ) 2
n = = = 165.77
E2 200 2
Sample 166
Sample 106
z 2σ 2 (1.645) 2 ( 475) 2
n = = = 61.05
E2 100 2
Sample 62
Chapter 8: Statistical Inference: Estimation for Single Populations 21
z 2 p ⋅ q (1.645 ) 2 (. 20 )(. 80 )
n = = = 1082.41
E2 (. 02 ) 2
Sample 1083
z 2 p ⋅ q (1.96 ) 2 (. 50 )(. 50 )
n = = = 384.16
E2 (. 05 ) 2
Sample 385
z 2 p ⋅ q (1.96 ) 2 (. 50 )(. 50 )
n = = = 96.04
E2 (. 10 ) 2
Sample 97
Chapter 8: Statistical Inference: Estimation for Single Populations 22
s 7.7467
x ±z = 45 .6 ±1.28 = 45.6 + 1.676
n 35
s 7.7467
x ±z = 45 .6 ±1.88 = 45.6 + 2.462
n 35
s 7.7467
x±z = 45 .6 ± 2.33 = 45.6 + 3.051
n 35
s .4373
x ±t = 12 .03 ±1.833 = 12.03 + .25
n 10
s .4373
x ±t = 12 .03 ± 2.262 = 12.03 + .31
n 10
s (. 4373 )
x ±t = 12 .03 ± 3.25 = 12.03 + .45
n 10
329
pˆ = = .46
715
pˆ ⋅ qˆ (. 46 )(. 54 )
pˆ ± z = .46 ±1.96 = .46 + .0365
n 715
ˆ ⋅ qˆ
p (. 71)(. 29 )
ˆ ±z
p = .71 ±1.645 = .71 + .0443
n 284
pˆ ⋅ qˆ (. 48 )(. 52 )
pˆ ± z = .48 ±1.96 = .48 + .0277
n 1250
270
pˆ = = .591
457
χ 2
.95,9 = 3.32511 χ 2
.05,9 = 16.919
29.133 < σ 2
< 148.236
χ 2
.975,9 = 2.70039 χ 2
.025,9 = 19.0228
4.258 < σ 2
< 182.529
Chapter 8: Statistical Inference: Estimation for Single Populations 25
z 2σ 2 (1.96 ) 2 (44) 2
n = = = 826.4
E2 32
Sample 827
b) E = 2 Range = 88 - 20 = 68
z 2σ 2 (1.645 ) 2 (17 ) 2
= = 195.5
E2 22
Sample 196
z 2 p ⋅ q ( 2.33 ) 2 (. 50 )(. 50 )
= = 848.3
E2 (. 04 ) 2
Sample 849
z2 p ⋅q 4(1.96 ) 2 (. 70 )(. 30 )
= = 896.4
E2 (. 03 ) 2
Sample 897
Chapter 8: Statistical Inference: Estimation for Single Populations 26
s 2.223
x ±t = 10 .765 ± 2.921 = 10.765 + 1.575
n 17
z 2 p ⋅ q (1.645 ) 2 (. 40 )(. 60 )
n = = = 721.61
E2 (. 03 ) 2
Sample 722
χ 2
.995,16 = 5.14224 χ 2
.005,16 = 34.2672
2.307 < σ 2
< 15.374
8.53 n = 45 x = 213 s = 48
s 48
x±z = 213 ± 2.33 = 213 ± 16.67
n 45
s 3.891
x ±z = 37 .256 ±1.645 = 37.256 ± 1.025
n 39
z 2σ 2 ( 2.33) 2 (6) 2
n = = = 195.44
E2 12
Sample 196
714
pˆ = = .569
1255
ˆ ⋅ qˆ
p (. 569 )(. 431 )
ˆ ±z
p = .569 ±1.96 = .569 ± .027
n 1,255
t.01,24 = 2.492
s 21
x ±t = 128 ± 2.492 = 128 + 10.466
n 25
s N −n 3.059 300 − 60
x±z = 6.717 ± 2.33 =
n N −1 60 300 −1
6.717 ± 0.824 =
Sample 196
Chapter 8: Statistical Inference: Estimation for Single Populations 29
x 189
pˆ = = = .77
n 245
pˆ ⋅ qˆ (. 77 )(. 23 )
pˆ ± z = .77 ±1.645 = .77 ± .044
n 245
x 30
pˆ = =
n 90 = .33
pˆ ⋅ qˆ (. 33 )(. 67 )
pˆ ± z = .33 ±1.96 = .33 ± .097
n 90
t.025,11 = 2.201
s 228
x ±t = 43 .7 ± 2.201 = 43.7 + 9.59
n 12
χ 2
.975,11 = 3.81575 χ 2
.025,11 = 21.92
114.42 < σ 2
< 657.28
Chapter 8: Statistical Inference: Estimation for Single Populations 30
s 0.37
x ±t = 4.82 ± 2.056 = 4.82 + .1464
n 27
8.64 n = 77 x = 2.48 s = 12
s 12
x±z = 2.48 ±1.96 = 2.48 ± 2.68
n 77
The interval is inconclusive. It says that we are 95% confident that the average
arrival time is somewhere between .20 of a minute (12 seconds) early and 5.16
minutes late. Since zero is in the interval, there is a possibility that on average the
flights are on time.
pˆ ⋅ qˆ (. 33 )(. 67 )
pˆ ± z = .33 ± 2.575 = .33 ± (2.575) = .33 ± .05
n 560
z 2 p ⋅ q ( 2.33 ) 2 (. 50 )(. 50 )
= = 542.89
E2 (. 05 ) 2
Sample 543
s 0.86
x ±t = 2.10 ± 2.479 = 2.10 ± (2.479) = 2.10 ± 0.41
n 27
χ 2
.95,22 = 12.338 χ 2
.05,22 = 33.9244
.0026 < σ 2
< .0071
s 0.205
x ±z = 1.294 ± 2.575 = 1.294 ± (2.575) = 1.294 ± .085
n 39
8.70 The sample mean fill for the 58 cans is 11.9788 oz. with a standard deviation of
.0556 oz. The 99% confidence interval for the population fill is 11.9607 oz. to
11.9970 oz. which does not include 12 oz. We are 99% confident that the
population mean is not 12 oz. indicating an underfill from the machine.
8.71 The point estimate for the average length of burn of the new bulb is 2198.217
hours. Eighty-four bulbs were included in this study. A 90% confidence interval
can be constructed from the information given. The error of the confidence
interval is + 27.76691. Combining this with the point estimate yields the 90%
confidence interval of 2198.217 + 27.76691 = 2170.450 < µ < 2225.984.
8.72 The point estimate for the average age of a first time buyer is 27.63 years. The
sample of 21 buyers produces a standard deviation of 6.54 years. We are 98%
confident that the actual population mean age of a first-time home buyer is
between 24.02 years and 31.24 years.
8.73 A poll of 781 American workers was taken. Of these, 506 drive their cars to
work. Thus, the point estimate for the population proportion is 506/781 = .648. A
95% confidence interval to estimate the population proportion shows that we are
95% confident that the actual value lies between .613 and .681. The error of this
interval is + .034.