Tugas Praktikum 11

Lengkapi Tabel berikut!

No Metode Model Regresi Linear Sederhana Sum (Y_est - Y_bar)^2

1 Free Hand Y = 80,233 - 1,278X 463.87

2 Setengah Rata-rata Y = 80,162 - 1,183X 343.66

3 Ordinary Least Square Y = 82,079 - 1,238X 314.62

Evaluasi:
1. Metode mana yang mengahasilkan Koefisien Determinasi paling besar ?
2. Metode mana yang menghasilkan jumlah kuadrat error paling kecil ?
 Koefisien
Sum error2 =
Determinasi
Sum (Y_est - Y)^2
R2

0.8 394.12

0.592 322.57

0.542 265.17

Free Hand
Ordinary Least Square
Tabel Persentase Penduduk Miskin dan Indeks Pembangunan Manusia Provinsi Jawa Barat Tahun 2020

X Y Ycap
Wilayah Jawa Barat Persentase Penduduk Miskin Indeks Pembangunan Manusia
Provinsi Jawa Barat 7.88 72.09
Bogor 7.69 70.40 70.4
Sukabumi 7.09 66.88 71.16725
Cianjur 10.36 65.36 66.98575
Bandung 6.91 72.39 71.39742
Garut 9.98 66.12 67.47167
Tasikmalaya 10.34 65.67 67.01132
Ciamis 7.62 70.49 70.48951
Kuningan 12.82 69.38 63.84003
Cirebon 11.24 68.75 65.86045
Majalengka 11.43 67.59 65.61749
Sumedang 10.26 71.64 67.11362
Indramayu 12.70 67.29 63.99348
Subang 9.31 68.95 68.32843
Purwakarta 8.27 70.82 69.65833
Karawang 8.26 70.66 69.67111
Bekasi 4.82 74.07 74.07
Bandung Barat 10.49 68.08 66.81951
Pangandaran 8.99 68.06 68.73763
Kota Bogor 6.68 76.11 71.69153
Kota Sukabumi 7.70 74.21 70.38721
Kota Bandung 3.99 81.51 75.13136
Kota Cirebon 9.52 74.89 68.0599
Kota Bekasi 4.38 81.50 74.63265
Kota Depok 2.45 80.97 77.10063
Kota Cimahi 5.11 77.83 73.69916
Kota Tasikmalaya 12.97 73.04 63.64822
Kota Banjar 6.09 71.70 72.44599

71.64
a Barat Tahun 2020

(Ycap-Ybar)^2 (Ycap-Yi)^2 (Yi-Ybar)^2

Metode Free Hand

1.54 0.00 1.54 Bogor 7.69 70.40

0.23 18.38 22.69 Bekasi 4.82 74.07
21.69 2.64 39.48
0.06 0.99 0.56 70,4 = a + 7,69b
17.40 1.83 30.50 74,07 = a + 4,82b
21.45 1.80 35.68
1.33 0.00 1.33 -3.67 2.87
60.89 30.69 5.12 b -1.278746
33.44 8.35 8.37 a 80.23355 80.23355
36.31 3.89 16.43
20.51 20.49 0.00 Persamaan
58.51 10.87 18.95
10.99 0.39 7.25 Y = 80,233 - 1,278X
3.94 1.35 0.68
3.89 0.98 0.97 0.800067
5.89 0.00 5.89
23.27 1.59 12.69
8.44 0.46 12.84
0.00 19.52 19.95
1.58 14.61 6.59
12.17 40.69 97.36
12.84 46.65 10.54
8.94 47.16 97.16
29.79 14.97 86.99
4.23 17.06 38.28
63.92 88.21 1.95
0.64 0.56 0.00
463.87 394.12 579.79
 X Y Ycap
Wilayah Jawa Barat Persentase Penduduk Miskin Indeks Pembangunan Manusia
Provinsi Jawa Barat 7.88 72.09
Kota Tasikmalaya 12.97 73.04 64.8141
Kuningan 12.82 69.38 64.99162
Indramayu 12.70 67.29 65.13362
Majalengka 11.43 67.59 66.63655
Cirebon 11.24 68.75 66.8614
Bandung Barat 10.49 68.08 67.74895
Cianjur 10.36 65.36 67.90279
Tasikmalaya 10.34 65.67 67.92646
Sumedang 10.26 71.64 68.02114
Garut 9.98 66.12 68.35249
Kota Cirebon 9.52 74.89 68.89686
Subang 9.31 68.95 69.14537
Pangandaran 8.99 68.06 69.52406
Rata-Rata 10.80 68.83

Purwakarta 8.27 70.82 70.37611

Karawang 8.26 70.66 70.38795
Kota Sukabumi 7.70 74.21 71.05066
Bogor 7.69 70.40 71.06249
Ciamis 7.62 70.49 71.14533
Sukabumi 7.09 66.88 71.77253
Bandung 6.91 72.39 71.98555
Kota Bogor 6.68 76.11 72.25773
Kota Banjar 6.09 71.70 72.95594
Kota Cimahi 5.11 77.83 74.11568
Bekasi 4.82 74.07 74.45886
Kota Bekasi 4.38 81.50 74.97956
Kota Bandung 3.99 81.51 75.44109
Kota Depok 2.45 80.97 77.26354
Rata-Rata 6.22 74.25

71.64
(Ycap-Ybar)^2 (Yi-Ybar)^2 (Ycap-Yi)^2
Setengah Rata-Rata

46.59 1.96 67.67 68,83 = a + 10,8b

44.20 5.11 19.26 74,25 = a + 6,22b
42.33 18.92 4.65
25.03 16.40 0.91 -5.42 4.58
22.84 8.35 3.57
15.14 12.67 0.11 b -1.183406
13.97 39.44 6.47 a 80.16288 82.95585
13.79 35.64 5.09
13.10 0.00 13.10 Persamaan
10.81 30.47 4.98
7.52 10.56 35.92 Y = 90,293 - 2,214X
6.22 7.24 0.04
4.48 12.82 2.14
0.592736

1.60 0.67 0.20

1.57 0.96 0.07
0.35 6.60 9.98
0.33 1.54 0.44
0.24 1.32 0.43
0.02 22.66 23.94
0.12 0.56 0.16
0.38 19.98 14.84
1.73 0.00 1.58
6.13 38.32 13.80
7.95 5.90 0.15
11.15 97.22 42.52
14.45 97.42 36.83
31.62 87.05 13.74

343.66 579.79 322.57

 X Y XiYi
Wilayah Jawa Barat Persentase Penduduk Miskin Indeks Pembangunan Manusia
Provinsi Jawa Barat 7.88 72.09
Bogor 7.69 70.40 541.376
Sukabumi 7.09 66.88 474.1792
Cianjur 10.36 65.36 677.1296
Bandung 6.91 72.39 500.2149
Garut 9.98 66.12 659.8776
Tasikmalaya 10.34 65.67 679.0278
Ciamis 7.62 70.49 537.1338
Kuningan 12.82 69.38 889.4516
Cirebon 11.24 68.75 772.75
Majalengka 11.43 67.59 772.5537
Sumedang 10.26 71.64 735.0264
Indramayu 12.70 67.29 854.583
Subang 9.31 68.95 641.9245
Purwakarta 8.27 70.82 585.6814
Karawang 8.26 70.66 583.6516
Bekasi 4.82 74.07 357.0174
Bandung Barat 10.49 68.08 714.1592
Pangandaran 8.99 68.06 611.8594
Kota Bogor 6.68 76.11 508.4148
Kota Sukabumi 7.70 74.21 571.417
Kota Bandung 3.99 81.51 325.2249
Kota Cirebon 9.52 74.89 712.9528
Kota Bekasi 4.38 81.50 356.97
Kota Depok 2.45 80.97 198.3765
Kota Cimahi 5.11 77.83 397.7113
Kota Tasikmalaya 12.97 73.04 947.3288
Kota Banjar 6.09 71.70 436.653

27 227.47 1934.36 16042.65

8.42 71.64
Xi^2 Ycap (Ycap-Ybar)^2 Ycap-Ybar (Yi-Ybar)^2 (Ycap-Yi)^2

59.14 72.55324 0.83 0.83 1.54 4.64

50.27 73.29651 2.73 2.73 22.69 41.17
107.33 69.24568 5.75 5.75 39.48 15.10
47.75 73.51949 3.52 3.52 0.56 1.28
99.60 69.71642 3.71 3.71 30.50 12.93
106.92 69.27046 5.63 5.63 35.68 12.96
58.06 72.63996 0.99 0.99 1.33 4.62
164.35 66.19827 29.64 29.64 5.12 10.12
126.34 68.15555 12.16 12.16 8.37 0.35
130.64 67.92018 13.86 13.86 16.43 0.11
105.27 69.36956 5.17 5.17 0.00 5.15
161.29 66.34693 28.05 28.05 18.95 0.89
86.68 70.54641 1.20 1.20 7.25 2.55
68.39 71.83475 0.04 0.04 0.68 1.03
68.23 71.84713 0.04 0.04 0.97 1.41
23.23 76.10855 19.94 19.94 5.89 4.16
110.04 69.08464 6.55 6.55 12.69 1.01
80.82 70.94282 0.49 0.49 12.84 8.31
44.62 73.80441 4.67 4.67 19.95 5.32
59.29 72.54085 0.81 0.81 6.59 2.79
15.92 77.13675 30.18 30.18 97.36 19.13
90.63 70.28626 1.84 1.84 10.54 21.19
19.18 76.65362 25.11 25.11 97.16 23.49
6.00 79.04448 54.78 54.78 86.99 3.71
26.11 75.74931 16.86 16.86 38.28 4.33
168.22 66.01245 31.70 31.70 1.95 49.39
37.09 74.5353 8.37 8.37 0.00 8.04

2121.41 314.62 314.62 579.79 265.17

b -1.238785
a 82.0795

Y = 82,0795 -1,238X

0.542652
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.736649
R Square 0.542652
Adjusted R 0.524358
Standard E 1.936663
Observatio 27

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 111.2557 111.2557 29.66295 1.18E-05
Residual 25 93.76656 3.750663
Total 26 205.0223

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Lower 95,0%
Upper 95,0%
Intercept 39.80812 5.774284 6.894036 3.16E-07 27.91576 51.70049 27.91576 51.70049
X Variable -0.438052 0.08043 -5.44637 1.18E-05 -0.6037 -0.272403 -0.6037 -0.272403
pper 95,0%