1 For Private Circular Only |September 8, 2010| IASL Research
India Adv
vantage Sec
curities Lim
mited
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o NSE. BS SE.MCX, DP. D CDSL
w w w . i n d i a a d v a n t a g e . c o . i n
Finan
ncial Perform
mance of the Company::
FY
Y2008 FY2009 FY
Y2010 FY2011E FY2012EE
Net Sales (Rs in mn)) 17,,665.15 26,370.60 22,3
355.44 27,528.82 30,765.33
EBIDTTA Margin 7
7.44% 2.46% 6..97% 7.67% 7.38%
Net P
Profit (Rs in mn
n) 914.60 (53.22) 24
43.62 1,139.46 1,198.15
5
EPS 2
28.28 (1.65) 7
7.53 35.24 37.05
P/E 7.00 (120.30) 26.28 5.62 5.34
P/BV 2.25 2.29 2
2.26 1.68 1.32
EV/EB
BITDA 2.12 3.79 2
2.29 1.21 1.03
EV/Saales 0
0.14 0.07 0
0.13 0.08 0.06
Sourcce: IASL Research
Compan
ny Backgrou
und
Key Management P
Personnel Incorporaated in 1958, Apar Industries (Apar) is a a leading manufacturer of p power
transmisssion conductors, transformeer oils and otther specialityy oils in Indiaa. The
N D Dessai Chairman
n
manufactturing facilitiess are located in
i Rabale, Silvvassa and Nalaagarh. The com mpany
Kushal N Desai Managing Director has a stro
ong presence in both domeestic and interrnational markkets with expo orts to
more thaan 30 countriees. Apar, founded in 1958, derives 75perrcent of its revvenue
Joint Managing from pow wer sector (exx polymer bussiness) and reest from speciiality oils. In p
power
C N Dessai
Director sector the company enjoys relation nships with cu ustomers that are leaders iin the
industry like Power Grid d (PGCIL), Reliaance Energy, A ABB, BHEL, EMC CO etc. Recenttly the
V A Gorre Director
company entered into a joint venture with ENI, a leading inttegrated petro oleum
H N Shaah Director company globally, to produce
p and market autom motive lubrican nts under the AGIP
Compan
ny Businesss
Bussiness A
Area
Transform
mer Oil & Speciiality Oil segment Conductors segment
Other segmeent
(
(Revenue contribu
ution 51%) (Revenue contrib
bution 28.9%) (Revenue 20.11%)
Other SSpeciality Oil
Trransformer Oil Spl Grade White Oil, Rubber AAC Aluminum Ro
ods
(U
Used as coolant in Pharma OOil Processing Oil, Ink
AAA
AC ACSSR & AACSR
(Distribution of (RM for Alumin
nium
Power and Dist (Used in cosmetics dustrial Oil
Oil, Ind (T&D of eleectricity) (T&D
D of electricity)
Transformers) electricity) Conductors))
and medical purrposes)
and LLubricants
So
ource: Company, IA
ASL Research
2 For Private Circular Onlyy |Septemberr 8, 2010| IASSL Research
India Advantage Securities Limited
Member of NSE. BSE.MCX, DP. CDSL
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1. Conductors Segments:
• Apar’s conductor division was started in 1958 with technical know how from Alcan, Canada and Properzi, Italy. Today, Apar
contributes half of India’s total export of aluminium power conductors and a significant portion of its domestic consumption.
• Types of Conductors: The division manufactures all types of bare overhead aluminium conductors such as All Aluminium
Conductors (AAC), Aluminium Alloy Conductor (AAAC), Aluminium Conductors Steel Reinforced (ACSR), All Aluminium Steel
Reinforced Conductors (AASRC), Galvanized Steel Earth Wires and value added alloy based conductors.
• AAC are made up of one or more strands of aluminum wire depending on the required current carrying capacity. These
conductors are used for distribution of electricity specially at substations. AAC conductors have very high degree of corrosion
resistance.
• AAAC conductors are manufactured consisting of one or more of high strength aluminium ‐ magnesium – silicon alloy wires.
These conductors are widely used in overhead transmission lines for primary and secondary distribution of power. It provides
very high strength than AAC. Aluminium alloy conductors by Apar were first in India through its own R&D activities. It
contributes more than 60‐65percent revenue to the conductor segment.
• AACSR conductors are of one or more aluminium strands as outer wire and wire stranded with zinc coated high steel core
wire. These are also used for transmission and distribution of current. These conductors provide excellent mechanical and
tensile strength, thus, are best suited for extra long spans, river crossing etc. It contributes more than 60‐65percent revenue
to the conductor segment.
• Clients: PGCIL is the largest client of Apar for conductors. It also sells conductors to BOOT contractors such as Adani Power,
Reliance Infrastructures, JP Power, Jindal Power etc.
• Approval from all Indian and global utilities: Apar enjoys approvals from all Indian and overseas utilities in strategic markets
like Iran, Iraq, the Middle East and Africa. The company enjoys preferred supplier status with them.
2. Speciality Oil:
• The company ventured in to speciality oil business in 1969 with technical know‐how from US based Sun Oil Company. The
division have four products viz transformer oil, white oils, rubber processing oils and Industrial oils. Brief description of the
products are as follows:
Product % sub‐seg Application Purpose Prospects
Industry is expected to grow with
Transformer Used as coolant and
50% Power & Distribution Transformers the CAGR of 15‐20% with the rising
Oils insulation medium
demand for transformers
Robust growth in health care
Pharmaceuticals products, cosmetics Serves as base
White Oils 12% product, cosmetics and polymer
and food related applications material
industries.
Rubber products such as automobile
Helps in blending
Rubber Process tyres and tubes, bicycle tyres, tyre Growing demand from the tyres
13% rubber with other
Oil retreading material, battery and automobile industries
chemicals
containers etc
Evolution in print media with black
Used in manufacture of ink for Serves as base
Ink Oil ink getting replaced with coloured
coloured news print material
ink in many printed materials
25% Increasing number of OEM
Industrial & Provides lubrication
Used in compressors, refrigerators projects; rising demand from
Automotive between moving
and automobile engines automobile industry; increasing
Lubricants machine parts
industrialization.
Source: Company, IASL Research
3 For Private Circular Only |September 8, 2010| IASL Research
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• Largest m
manufacturer o of transformerr oil: Apar is thhe biggest man nufacturer of transformer oil in India with tthe market share of
50percent. Apar is the ffifth largest transformer oil mmanufacturer, gglobally.
• Second mmajor Contributor to the reve enues: This divvision is the seecond major coontributor to the revenues of the companyy after
conductor division. It co
ontributed 28.9 9 percent to th
he revenues in FY10.
• Clients: B
BHEL, Bharat Bijlee, ABB, Emco, Voltamp TTransformers, C Crompton Greeaves, IMP Pow
wers, Transform
mers and Recttifiers,
Areva T&D etc are some e of the esteem
med clients of tthe company.
Com
mpany Struccture
Quantum Apar Specciality Oils Pty Lttd.
Petroleum Specialities Pte
e. Ltd, Singapore
e (100% S)
Australia (65% S)
(Trad
ding in petroleum based produccts)
(Marketing of SSpeciality Oils)
Poweroil Specialities Pro
oduct FZE, UAE (100% S)
(General TTrading)
Ap
par Industries Lttd.
Uniflex Cabless Ltd (65% S) Marine Cables &
M & Wires Pvt Ltd
(Manuffacturing of PVC
C/ Elastomeric Caables) (65%% S)
Aparr Chematek Lubbricants Ltd (50% % A)
(50:50 JV witth Chematek SpA
A, Italy, for the m
marketing of
Agip braand of automotivve Oil of ENI SpA
A. Italy)
So
ource: Company, IA
ASL Research
4 For Private Circular Onlyy |Septemberr 8, 2010| IASSL Research
India Adv
vantage Sec
curities Lim
mited
Member of
o NSE. BS SE.MCX, DP. D CDSL
w w w . i n d i a a d v a n t a g e . c o . i n
Revenue Composition
R
Apar has two
A o main busineess segments: Transformer and speciality oils segmen
nt and
C
Conductor seg ment. Power aand telecom caables business is operated through its subsidiary ‐
U
Uniflex Cables.
.
B
Break – Up of
f Consolidate
ed Gross Reve
enue in FY10
Powerr &
Teleco
om
Cable
es
8%
Condu
uctors
43
3%
Transformer
Oil &
S
Speciality Oils
49%
Sourcce: Company, IASL Research
Apar derivess 28 per cent o of its total reveenue from thee export markeet. Apar contributes
half of India’s total exportt of aluminium power conductors and a siggnificant propo ortion
of its domestic consumptio on.
Segment Pro oduct Domestic Market Export Markeet
Conductors 755% 25%
Transformerrs & Speciality Oils 699% 31%
Power/Teleccom Cables 788% 22%
Total 72
2% 28%
Source: Compan
ny, IASL Research
5 For Private Circular Onlyy |Septemberr 8, 2010| IASSL Research
India Advantage Securities Limited
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INVESTMENT RATIONALE
Key highlights of Q1 FY2011 Result
• Net Sales increased from Rs. 5032.50 Million to Rs 6172.91 Million; representing a growth of Rs 1140.41 Million up by 22.7
percent over corresponding period of previous year.
• EBIDTA increased from Rs.328.60 Million to Rs. 368.75 Million; representing a growth of Rs. 40.15 Million (12.2%) over
corresponding period of previous year.
• PBT increased from Rs. 266.17 Million to Rs. 339.77 Million; representing a growth of Rs. 73.60 Million (27.7%) over
corresponding period of previous year.
• PAT decreased from Rs. 244.79 Million to Rs. 240.15 Million; down marginally by 1.9 percent over corresponding period of
previous year. This was due to increase in average tax incidence by 21.29 percent since tax exemption status for Silvassa plant
of Oil division got over in the last quarter (Q4FY10) and the division contributed more to company’s profit than Nalagarh plant
of Conductor, which continues to enjoy tax exemption, has earned lower profit in this quarter.
Segment Revenue
Conductor:
• Sales revenue in Q1 FY1 1 was up 3.6 percent over the corresponding period of previous year from Rs. 2841.19 Million to Rs.
2943.07 Million representing a growth of Rs 101.88 Million. The corresponding volume growth was 10.3 percent.
• Segment Level profit was down by 15.1 percent from Rs 169.81 Million to Rs 144.12 Million.
• The Q1FY11 had an improved level of operations with a good overall capacity utilization compared to the previous few quarters.
The business with domestic & export customers has picked up, and the execution of orders in this quarter was smooth. This
resulted in an improved quantum of production & sales.
• The orders on hand as of 31st July 2010 stood at Rs 12,258.9 Million.
Transformer and Specialty Oils:
• Sales revenue increased from Rs 2197.96 Million to Rs 3295.36 Million, representing a growth of Rs 1097.40 Million (49.9%)
over the corresponding period of previous year. The corresponding volume was up 12.3 percent as volume increased from
59,232 KL to 66,511 KL.
• Segment Level profit increased from Rs 186.24 Million to Rs 244.58 Million; representing a growth of Rs 58.34 Million (31.3 %)
over the corresponding period of previous year.
• Sales volumes across all the 5 sub segments of the oil division have shown growth both in the domestic market and in exports.
Volume growth has been the highest in Transformer oils.
• Further, in the case of transformer oils, the sales mix has further improved for high performance oils targeted at EHV customers
of 220 KV to 765 KV power transformers both in domestic and overseas markets. This has led to better profitability of the
business.
• The company expects continued growth of at least 15 percent in the transformer oil segment for the next 3‐4 years based on
the ongoing expansions in the power sector in India. More specifically, the growth in the EHV segment as the transmission
networks are built is expected to be strong, where the company has a clear leadership position with approvals from major
transformer OEM’s and Utilities like Power Grid Corporation Ltd.
6 For Private Circular Only |September 8, 2010| IASL Research
India Advantage Securities Limited
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Q1 FY2011 Result Q1FY2010 Q1FY2009 Var %
Net Sales 6,172.91 5,032.50 23%
Operating Income 76.08 12.79 495%
Total Income 6,248.99 5,045.29 24%
(Increase)/Decrease in stock (49.89) (26.17) 91%
Consumption of Raw Materials 4,985.46 3,855.52 29%
Purchase of traded goods 56.86 118.83 ‐52%
Employee cost 61.70 56.57 9%
Other Expenditure 826.45 711.98 16%
Total Expenditure 5,880.58 4,716.73 25%
PBDIT (Ops) 368.41 328.56 12%
(% of Total Net Sales) 6% 6.5%
Interest & Fin. Charges (1.54) 30.80 ‐105%
PBDT (Ops) 369.95 297.76 24%
Depreciation 30.52 28.74 6%
PBT (Ops) 339.43 269.02 26%
Other Income 0.34 0.04 750%
PBT (Before Ext. Items) 339.77 269.06 26%
Exceptional items ‐ 2.89 ‐100%
PBT 339.77 266.17 28%
Tax Provisions 99.62 21.38 366%
Profit after Tax 240.15 244.79 ‐2%
Source: Company, IASL Research
Source: Company, IASL Research
7 For Private Circular Only |September 8, 2010| IASL Research
India Advantage Securities Limited
Member of NSE. BSE.MCX, DP. CDSL
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1
Largest Manufacturer of transformer oil with around 50% market share
Apar is the market leader in transformer oils with over 50 percent market share in India under the brand POWEROIL. Transformer oils are
used in power generation and transmission transformers. Apar is the dominant supplier in power transformer sector (132 kV to 800 kV)
meeting the special requirements of OEMs, Utilities and Power Transmission & Distribution Companies.. It exports transformer oils to over
35 countries including Middle East, Malaysia, Brazil, Kenya, South Africa, Australia and New Zealand. Apar is the fifth largest transformer
oil producer worldwide.
Other specialty oils
Apart from manufacturing transformer oils, Apar also manufactures liquid paraffin’s, white oils, rubber processing oils, ink oils, industrial
oils & lubricants.
70 120
Transformer Oil Volume Realisations
60 100
60
50
80
40
43 60
30 39 40
34
40
20
20
10
0 0
FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010
Source: Company, IASL Research
STRONG DEMAND FOR COMPANY’S PRODUCTS
The government plans to spend Rs1.73tn on power transmission and distribution in the Eleventh Five‐Year Plan (FY08‐12). This translates
into ~8x growth in demand for the company’s products. Management expects demand for conductors to increase from 0.25mtpa at
present to 2.1mtpa by FY12. The company is poised to take advantage of this multifold growth, having undertaken ~25 percent expansion
in installed capacity. Management has increased capacity to 337351MT from 269881MT. As for transformer oils, the demand is expected
to reach 900mn litres pa as compared to 110mn litres pa currently.
Focus on the value added products
Apar is focusing on the development of high value a product which is a high margin business. The Transformer oil segment has received
significant orders for its high oxidation stability grade products meeting special application requirements of Extra High Voltage
transformers, with ratings of 400 KV to 800 KV from several global transformer majors. This segment is expected to have a much higher
demand in the years to come as the BRIC countries, including India build high voltage transmission networks. Apar, is so far the only Indian
company to have this approval from global transformer OEM’s.
Apar is focusing on developing high temperature conductors which can carry a higher amount of current. The capacity to carry more
current is being increased by 25 per cent, 50 per cent and up to 100 per cent. At the moment, in India, there is no significant demand for
the conductors. With the government's focus on high‐voltage transmission grid, the demand for high voltage conductors is expected to
witness a major push in the coming years.
8 For Private Circular Only |September 8, 2010| IASL Research
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Power Con
nductors
India demand d for Power is eexpected to grrow at the average rate of 8 percent up to 2017,
the country’ss demand for power
p will soaar over 300 GW
W from curren nt of approxim mately
120 GW. The Power sector is likely to req quire US $ 600 0 bn investmen nt by 2017, of which
US $110 mn w will be needed for Transmission and US $ 1 190 mn for disttribution. As per the
11th five year plan India wo ould invest Rs.. 8370 bn in Po ower Sector, o of which Rs. 14 400 bn
would be inveested in transm mission and Rs. 2870 bn would be invested in distribution n. This
Rs 31
15 billion opp
portunity for the means an op pportunity of Rs.
R 315 bn alo one for Power conductors. There
T are at leeast 5
condductor busineess conductors in case of HV VAC and 3 in case of HVD DC. The averaage weight/ kkm of
transmission conductors raange from 1.8 8MT/km‐2.1MTT/km and in case c of distribbution
me ranges fro
lines the sam om 90kgs/km‐1 120 kgs/km. This
T implies that an increm mental
transmission line demand o of 1 ckm p.a. wwould translatee into conducto or demand of 9 MT,
while on the d distribution sid
de, an incremeental network aaddition of 1 Ckm works out to 0.5
MT. Based on
o this, there would be a requirement of approximattely 2.1 mn M MT of
conductors leeading to a aveerage demand of ~ 300,000 M MT per year over five years.
`8370 bn
1th 5 year plan
As per the 11 n
Power
Opportunityy
`4109 bn `4270 bn
`910
0 bn Tran
nsmission
Substation Meters Cables
LV EPC
Line Equipment Project
T
Tower Co
onductor In
nsulator T
Transformers Substation Insulator
`5
550 bn `3
315 bn `45 bn
Source: SSterlite Technologyy Annual Report 20
009, IASL Research
h
9 For Private Circular Onlyy |Septemberr 8, 2010| IASSL Research
India Advantage Securities Limited
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Global presence – accessing opportunities overseas
• Apar contributes half of India’s total export of aluminium power conductors. The
company exports across more than 30 countries.
• The Company enjoys approvals from all Indian and overseas utilities in strategic
markets like Iran, Iraq, the Middle East and Africa.
• It has approvals from major global EPC contractors who build projects in the
Middle East, South East Asia and Africa. The company enjoys preferred supplier
status with them.
• Apar also export its speciality oil through joint ventures in Australia, South Africa
and Turkey.
Maintaining a stable order book
As on 1st April, 2010, Apar Industries had an order book position of Rs. 108.3mn in
confirmed orders and Rs 28.6mn in the sales pipeline. Approximately 75 per cent of these
orders (confirmed and prospect pipeline) will be executed in FY11. Power Grid Corporation
is the largest domestic customer with a Rs 50.0mn order book (confirmed and orders in
pipelines), while Adani Power is the other significant client, with an order book of approx.
Rs 300 crores. 2HFY10 had lower order execution as there were delays/ re‐schedulement
of several orders that had been booked. However, the postponement of the execution of
these orders will result in a substantially higher volume in FY11.
Note: 3QFY2010 pipeline order information is not available
10 For Private Circular Only |September 8, 2010| IASL Research
India Advantage Securities Limited
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FINANCIAL OVERVIEW
TOP LINE GROWTH
Revenue (Top line) is growing at CAGR of 14 percent over the period of 2006‐10. For the
FY10, Top line decline (‐15.23%) to `22355.44mn in the year ended March 2010 as against
`26370.60mn during the previous year ended March 2009. mainly due to reduction in raw
material prices of base oils and crude oil as well as reduction in the prices of aluminium
resulting in the consequent reduction in sale prices. Part of the decline was also due to the
lower sales volume of conductors in FY10.
30,000.00
25,000.00
20,000.00
15,000.00
Net Sales
10,000.00
5,000.00
‐
FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010
Source: Company, IASL Research
Margins improved in FY10 on back of economic recovery
Apar EBIDTA margins have been in the vicinity of 7 per cent during FY06 ‐10
except FY09 where the margins dropped due to the global crisis. Similarly EBIT
margins are in the range of 6 – 6.5 per cent. In FY10, Conductors EBIT margins
were at 6.1 per cent and Transformer Oil & Speciality Oils EBIT margins were at
around 10 per cent. In the case of transformer oils, the sales mix improved, with
high performance oils targeted at EHV customers of 220 KV to 765 KV power
transformers both in domestic and overseas markets; this has led to better
margins.
11 For Private Circular Only |September 8, 2010| IASL Research
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FINANCIAL CHARTS
EPS Trend Debt/Equity Trend
Source: IASL Research
50% 80
40% 60
30%
40
20%
20
10%
0% ‐
FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E
Source: IASL Research Source: IASL Research
12 For Private Circular Only |September 8, 2010| IASL Research
India Advantage Securities Limited
Member of NSE. BSE.MCX, DP. CDSL
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Competitor Analysis
Apar is the second largest player in the conductor business after Sterlite Technologies and
is the largest Transformer Oil manufacturer in the country. During FY10, Apar recorded a
non‐cash charge of Rs 55.5 crores for impairment in equity investment of Uniflex Cables.
Excluding the expense, Apar has reported an EPS of Rs 26.64 translating into a P/E of 8.5x
which is at discount to its competitors.
Source: Company, Capitaline, IASL Research
Key Concerns
• Highly volatile raw material prices: Aluminium and base oils are the two major
raw materials of the company. Prices of base oils are directly related to crude oil
prices, any significant volatility in the price of crude oil and aluminium can affect
the profitability of the company.
• Foreign exchange fluctuation: Around 30 per cent of the business comes from
the export markets; any significant change in currency valuation could affect the
profitability.
• Delay in the orders / postponement of the order booked from key clients like
Power Grid will adversely affect the company’s sales.
VALUATIONS
We expect 18% revenue CAGR over FY10‐12E for Apar Industries ltd. Apar Industries is
the dominant player in all its businesses namely Power Conductors and Specialty Oil. The
Company has guided for a volume growth of 30 percent in Conductors and 15 percent
for transformer & specialty oil based on the growth in the Power sector and in the EHV
segment (in transmission) in particular wherein the company has a clear leadership
position with approvals from major transformer OEM’s and Utilities like Power Grid
Corporation Ltd. We recommend the stock to ACCUMULATE with a target price of `243
per share.
13 For Private Circular Only |September 8, 2010| IASL Research
India Advantage Securities Limited
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CONSOLIDATED FINANCIALS
Profit & Loss Statement (Rs in mn) FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E
Net Sales 17,665.15 26,370.60 22,355.44 27,528.82 30,765.33
Total Income 17,739.25 26,432.86 22,515.44 27,688.82 30,925.33
‐ Raw Materials & Components Consumed 14,132.53 22,177.31 16,776.97 21,527.53 24,150.78
‐ (Increase)/Decrease in Stocks (186.20) (104.52) (238.65) ‐ ‐
‐ Power, Fuel & Electricity 291.19 316.68 255.26 386.14 415.57
‐ Packing Material 485.72 741.04 756.80 825.86 876.28
‐ Employee Cost 184.52 255.80 338.44 320.77 353.68
‐ Administration & Selling Exp 1,582.50 2,481.55 3,093.87 2,587.71 2,953.47
Total Expenditure 16,490.25 25,867.85 20,982.69 25,648.01 28,749.78
PBDIT (Ops) 1,174.90 502.75 1,372.75 1,880.80 2,015.54
Interest & Fin. Charges 370.51 412.50 331.99 437.40 475.73
Depreciation 139.88 147.15 185.13 229.41 255.31
PBT (Ops) 664.50 (56.90) 855.63 1,213.99 1,284.49
Other Income 74.10 62.26 160.00 160.00 160.00
PBT (Before Ext. Items) 738.60 5.37 1,015.63 1,373.99 1,444.49
Exceptional items 347.87 (17.40) (11.56) ‐ ‐
PBT 1,086.48 (12.03) 1,004.07 1,373.99 1,444.49
Tax Provisions 180.86 23.41 223.86 288.54 303.34
Profit after Tax 905.61 (35.44) 780.21 1,085.46 1,141.15
Share of Associate's loss 12.99 (57.90) ‐ ‐
Minority Interest 4.00 40.12 67.21 54.00 57.00
Adj PAT before Extraordinary item for the year 914.60 (53.22) 847.42 1,139.46 1,198.15
Extra ordinary Item ‐ ‐ 603.80 ‐ ‐
Adj. Profit after Extraordinary item 914.60 (53.22) 243.62 1,139.46 1,198.15
14 For Private Circular Only |September 8, 2010| IASL Research
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Cash flow statement (Rs in mn) FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E
PBT 1,069.48 5.37 1,015.64 1,373.99 1,444.49
Cash generated from operations 4,620.31 2,489.75 (477.88) 2,250.89 799.26
Net cash from operating activities 4,378.64 2,250.66 (658.76) 1,962.35 1,025.46
Cash used in investing activities 598.86 (123.17) 55.70 (472.83) (171.74)
Net Cash used in financing activity (919.45) (1,053.78) (623.86) (252.47) (437.14)
Net increase in cash & cash equivalent 4,058.04 1,073.72 (1,226.92) 1,237.05 416.59
Cash & Cash equivalents (Op Bal) 865.83 5,039.38 6,113.09 4,886.17 6,123.22
Closing Cash balance 4,923.88 6,113.09 4,886.17 6,123.22 6,539.81
Ratio Analysis FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E
Liquidity Ratios
Current Ratio 1.23 1.15 1.22 1.26 1.33
Acid Test Ratio 0.96 0.90 0.87 0.96 0.98
Cash Ratio 0.46 0.42 0.39 0.45 0.47
Leverage Ratios
Debt : Asset 0.26 0.35 0.36 0.34 0.31
Interest Coverage Ratio 2.99 1.01 4.06 4.14 4.04
Dupont Analysis‐ROE Decomposition
PAT/PBT (Tax Efficiency) 0.84 4.42 0.84 0.83 0.83
PBT/EBIT (Interest Burden) 0.92 (0.02) 0.73 0.73 0.72
EBIT/Sales (OPM) 0.07 0.02 0.06 0.07 0.07
Sales/Total Assets (Asset Turnover) 4.51 5.79 4.94 4.69 4.31
TA/NW (Financial Leverage) 1.38 1.63 1.60 1.54 1.47
ROE 32% ‐2% 30% 30% 25%
Valuation Parameter
EPS 28.28 (1.65) 7.53 35.24 37.05
PER 7.00 (120.30) 26.28 5.62 5.34
P/CEPS 6.07 68.16 14.93 4.68 4.41
P/B (X) 2.25 2.29 2.26 1.68 1.32
EV/EBIDTA 2.12 3.79 2.29 1.21 1.03
EV/Sales 0.14 0.07 0.13 0.08 0.06
M‐Cap/EBIDTA 5.45 12.73 4.66 3.40 3.18
M‐Cap/sales 0.36 0.22 0.26 0.21 0.19
Source: Company, IASL Research Estimate
Source: IASL Research
15 For Private Circular Only |September 8, 2010| IASL Research
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16 For Private Circular Only |September 8, 2010| IASL Research