Kitty Weldon
Principal Analyst,
Enterprise Mobility
Contents
Introduction
What is the Revenue Opportunity for M2M services,
and How Do Operators Participate?
Vertical Markets
All M2M Connections are Not Created Equal
Cost Model for M2M
Cost Model for Wireless Data Services
Best Practices Examples
Conclusions
be connecting over 20 million “machines” in 2011, including both consumer and industrial
devices, citing 1.1 million new activations in Q1 2010, for a base of 5.8 million connections.
Verizon Wireless claims about 7.3 million connections (a high percentage of which comes
from its GM OnStar service, and T-Mobile claims it has had 100% growth in M2M connec-
tions every year for the last four years. In Europe, Orange is on target to reach 2 million this
year, and saw 40% growth in M2M connections in 2009, Vodafone provides approximately
5 million M2M connections, and Telenor cited 1.4 million in 2009. In Asia, NTT DoComo
has stated that they have approximately 1.6 million SIMs in service. While this is only a
representative sample (many providers such as Sprint, T-Mobile, Telefonica and KPN have not
disclosed their connections) it provides a glimpse into the size of the installed base.
Beyond data connection revenues, operators can also generate M2M revenues from provid-
ing end-to-end systems integration for key applications such as smart grid deployments and
asset/fleet management, from offering managed/hosted M2M services at their data centers,
or from data mining - i.e. the collection and analysis of data that can be turned into useful
information for utilities, manufacturing companies, auto insurance companies etc., that want
to offer value-added services to their end customers. The possibility of offering tiered services
for different device types, at different speeds, or with unique classes of service and prioritiza-
tion schemes, or for bundling multiple devices associated with a single subscription are other
options to grow revenues.
Operators differ in their strategies to offer “beyond-data” value-added services; large opera-
tors tend to offer project definition, design, deployment and support to enterprises looking
to deploy M2M applications, becoming a kind of aggregation point for third party solutions
vendors. They do not necessarily provide end to end integration, but they bring together
the often fragmented M2M ecosystem participants through alliance partnerships. Their role
also includes empowering companies such as auto manufacturers, and consumer electronics
providers to become de facto service providers. Many large operators such as AT&T, Sprint,
Orange Business Services, Telefonica and Vodafone have formed dedicated M2M organiza-
tions, which may be further segmented by industry vertical. Some operators have separated
out consumer from business M2M, reflecting the difference in the B2B and B2C segments’
distribution, support, revenue realization, and reporting requirements.
Forecasts for the revenue opportunity vary but most operators and analysts expect that
compound growth rates over the next five years will be in the 25%+ range, with estimates of
the numbers of devices to be connected ranging from 200 million to 1 billion world-wide by
the end of 2014. There are some regional differences. U.S. operators are already seeing high
demand from connected consumer electronics such as PNDs, netbooks/tablets and e-readers,
while European operators note that the majority of connected devices tend to be in industrial
segments such as equipment monitoring, fleet management and supply chain optimization,
with consumer (B2B2C) opportunities such as home health care, automotive telematics, home
energy/security, and consumer electronics representing the next wave of growth opportunity.
Many operators are participating in RFPs from large utilities that have either been mandated
to implement smart grid/metering programs (as they have in EU countries) or who see smart
energy usage as a key component of “green” initiatives for conservation or for eligibility for US
federal stimulus money.
Vertical Markets
While most operators are targeting the same verticals today including fleet management, au-
tomotive telematics, remote equipment/asset monitoring, home health monitoring, consumer
electronics, and smart energy/meter reading, the opportunities for future M2M applications
are much more extensive. The build-out of 4G networks will also provide new opportunities
for applications such as high-definition telemedicine and video surveillance. The following
table depicts current and future opportunities in M2M with examples of customers that have
deployed solutions.
Table 1
Vertical Markets for M2M
Verticals M2M Apps Today M2M Apps Future Customer Examples
Manufacturing Machine Diagnostics and Telemetry Industrial Automation and Control Konica Minolta
RFID Real-time Monitoring USA Technologies
Asset, Container and Cargo Mgmt/ e.l.m. leblanc
Tracking SNCB
Inventory Control Michelin
ONAsset
Financial/Retail POS Terminals Lottery Machines CCV
ATMs/Kiosks Loyalty/Coupon programs Parkeon,
Vending Machines Smart payment cards Selecta
WAN Back-up Parking and transportation ticketing VeriFone
Axalto
Banksys
Automotive Concierge Services Intelligent Grid/connected car OnStar
Industrial fleet Mgmt InCar Entertainment BMW
Remote engine diagnostics Personalized Insurance Daimler Chrysler
Hertz
Progressive Insurance
Drivecam
GuidePoint
Transics
Ctrack/Digicore
Taxameter Centrale
Energy and Security Meter Reading Pilots Comprehensive smart energy/ Alarm.com
Home/Industrial security monitor- smart Grid initiatives Lok8U
ing/alarms Next gen video-enhanced home Securitas Direct
Automatic Vehicle security and industrial security and energy Union Fenosa
services Primagaz
Video Surveillance AMS
Pendum
DTE Entergy
Healthcare Home Healthcare Monitoring Hospital patient and equipment BL Healthcare
monitoring Vitality
Remote telemedicine Cardionet
Omnilink
Sorin Group
St Jude Medical
Consumer PNDS, e-Reader, pet collars, Cameras, gaming devices, con- Garmin
Electronics netbooks nected home electronics, tablets/ TomTom
MIDs, Amazon Kindle
Electronic Billboards/digital signage Pandigital
Apple iPad
In addition to cost reductions from automated service management, operators offering M2M
services do not generally have to subsidize the cost of the end-device, which in the handset
world historically lowers operating margins by several percentage points each quarter. On the
consumer side operators are also sharing the burden of marketing and advertising M2M solu-
tions with the device OEM and/or the retailer or other distribution channel partner. With
both lack of subsidy and shared marketing, some portion of customer acquisition costs can
therefore be eliminated, providing even higher margins for M2M services. The churn rate as-
sociated with M2M services is also very low. On the industrial side, a SIM in a meter reader or
other telemetry device tends to be in the field for many more years than within a handset; on
the consumer side a device OEM such as an e-reader or PND manufacturer is likely to remain
with the same operator for a long time, although the consumer may swap out devices every 1-
2 years. The integration with the operator of the customer’s back-end information systems, the
volume discounts they enjoy and the co-marketing relationships make these partnerships quite
“sticky”. M2M providers get the benefit of low churn and simultaneous lack of device subsidy,
which in the traditional wireless world are mutually exclusive.
AT&T
Organization
After over a decade of participating in the M2M market, but often going to customers
indirectly through aggregators, AT&T revved up its activities in late 2008, seeing the
potential to tap a larger opportunity. It launched a dedicated business unit, the Emerging
Devices Organization, devoted to bringing to market a wide range of wirelessly connected
devices, focused in particular on consumer electronics and embedded computing devices.
While industrial M2M initiatives are managed separately, under the AT&T Business Solu-
tions (ABS) group, in May 2010, the Advanced Enterprise Mobility Solutions group was
launched by ABS to drive growth and innovation in enterprise mobility, including the B2B
M2M segment. AT&T is ensuring that it has the right organization in place to focus on
both B2C and B2B M2M opportunities and both groups have dedicated product market-
ing, pricing, support, sales and operations teams under them that can respond quickly to
changing market dynamics.
tronics. Named AT&T M2M customers include BMW, Hertz, USA Technologies, a major
security alarm monitoring provider, several utility customers, and on the consumer side, the
Amazon Kindle (which AT&T took over from Sprint), and a number of home health care
monitoring devices announced in March. The operator is focused on expanding to global
customers and sees container, solar and remote patient monitoring as future vertical focus
areas. AT&T brands its solutions as M2M 360, suggesting that its network assets, experi-
ence and eco-system, innovative service platforms, and a decade of proven achievements
provide it with a complete (i.e. 360 degree) set of capabilities. As of Q1, AT&T disclosed
that its connected devices subscriptions had grown 58% from the previous quarter, with 1.1
million net additions, for a total base of 5.8 million connections. The growth rates in Q4
2009 and Q1 2010 suggest that the operator’s organization, service delivery approach, and
vertical focus are paying off.
Chart 1
AT&T M2M Connected Devices Growth Q2 2008 – Q1 2010
Vodafone
Organization
Vodafone has been on a focused M2M path since 2009 when it launched an ultra-compact
SIM chip, touted attractive tariffs for international roaming, and demoed a web-based cus-
tomer portal at CEBIT. Later in the year it announced it had formed a 100 person team to
focus on M2M. Its position as the largest wireless network operator in Europe has made it a
likely go-to-provider of M2M services for European enterprises with pan-European facili-
ties or customers. Its global compact SIM (as well as traditional M2M SIM form factors)
can be mounted in the factory and works anywhere within the EU 27 countries as well as
some countries in AP and Africa, offering in-country local pricing, which is very competi-
tive compared to tariffs associated with roaming agreements. In February 2010, Vodafone
announced that it had joined the nPhase JV, which will allow it and offspring Verizon
Wireless to theoretically provide cost-competitive global connectivity in both the US and
Europe, although currently the two operators’ service delivery platforms remain separate.
Qualcomm’s Gobi chip will be used to bridge the CDMA to GSM network disparity that
has made it difficult for the two operators to provide seamless global roaming.
KPN
Organization
KPN began to focus on M2M in 2009 when it partnered with Jasper Wireless for its con-
nected device platform and operator go-to-market advisory and implementation services.
It initially deployed its M2M service (branded as the KPN M2M Corporate Service) in
the Netherlands, while in May 2010 it formed a dedicated business unit for M2M and
expanded the service to its German and Belgium operations.
Conclusions
So while operators differ in their approach to the market, those that have launched dedicated
M2M business units, have focused on verticals which stand to gain the most from wireless
connectivity, and have invested in a connected device platform are clearly getting traction. Hot
markets include: automotive (both for telematics and fleet management), consumer electron-
ics, and manufacturing/asset management, with ehealth solutions, smart grid and meter
reading deployments in early deployments with tremendous upside potential.
It is also clear that ARPUs may well be higher than $3-4 per line, especially for operators
that provide value-added services or are planning to offer high bandwidth real-time, location-
enabled or video-enhanced applications. Even with low ARPUs assumed, profit margins can
also stand up to those associated with handset-oriented wireless services, as device subsidies are
largely absent and churn is likely to be much lower for many M2M solutions.