2004
2005
602
741
877
363,702
479,139
640,275
210,822
54,967
18,304
31,502
315,595
288,706
65,627
25,298
38,735
418,366
399,760
75,036
33,011
50,240
558,047
48,107
60,773
82,228
Gasto de interes
48
18
50
Utilidad antes de impuestos
48,059
60,755
82,178
Impuestos
17,629
22,175
29,995
Utilidad neta
30,430
38,580
52,183
Tasa Impuestos
36.7%
36.5%
36.5%
(a) incluye tanto los cafes-panaderias de la compaa como las franquicias
(b) Incluye gastos preoperativos y otros gastos
Las cifras de 2007 son estimativos del escritor del caso con base en los resultados del tercer trime
Margen neto
EBIT
EBITDA
ROA
ROE
Rot de Activos
CFO
RONA
ROE DUPONT
ROS
Rot activos
Apalancam (act total / patrimonio)
ROE
Apalancamiento
Deuda / Ebidta
Das de Cartera
Das de Inventario
Dias de Proveedores
Das de Caja
Ciclo de Conversin de Efectivo
Razn Corriente
Prueba Acida
8.37%
48,059
66,363
11.85%
15.40%
1.42
66,411
12.23%
8.05%
60,755
86,053
11.88%
15.98%
1.48
86,071
12.10%
8.15%
82,178
115,189
11.92%
16.46%
1.46
115,239
12.04%
8.37%
1.42
1.30
8.05%
1.48
1.35
8.15%
1.46
1.38
15.40%
15.98%
16.46%
1.30
12
8
14
596
6
1.58
1.48
1.35
13
7
7
547
13
1.52
1.42
1.38
14
7
4
441
17
1.18
1.10
NOF
FM
Exceso / Falta Liquidez
Activo fijo neto
SUPUESTOS PROYECCIONES.
8,672
26,409
17,737
256,835
16,814
28,908
12,094
29,812
28,094
15,909
(12,185)
-272,008
2008
PROYECCIONES
2009
2010
2006
1,027
2007
1,230
Horiz
20%
828,971
1,050,000
27%
1,329,962
1,684,571
2,133,729
542,916
85,618
44,166
63,502
736,202
738,000
86,000
60,000
78,000
962,000
36%
0%
36%
23%
31%
934,773
108,930
75,998
98,797
1,218,499
1,499,706
174,763
121,927
158,506
1,954,902
92,769
88,000
-5%
111,463
1,184,012
137,974
96,261
125,140
1,543,388
0
141,183
92
92,677
33,827
58,850
36.5%
150
87,850
31,500
56,350
35.9%
63%
-5%
-7%
-4%
111,463
39,967
71,497
141,183
50,623
90,560
178,827
64,121
114,706
7.10%
1.53
1.36
5.37% Margen
1.52 Rotacin
1.34 Apalancamiento
14.80%
10.94%
1.36
14
6
4
415
16
1.16
1.08
1.34
13
5
3
397
14
1.15
1.08
178,827
33,833
18,008
(15,825)
-662,151
39,705
20,000
(19,705) Como lo han hecho?? Si no creci la deuda creci el Equity
-1,152,151
94
NES
2011
2,702,646
1,899,574
221,360
154,437
200,768
2,476,138
226,507
226,507
81,218
145,290
Balances Historicos
2003
146,362
38,421
256,835
8,072
37,571
45,643
13,616
59,259
Patrimonio
197,576
256,835
FLUJO DE CAJA
Variacin NOF
Variacin Activo Fijo
Partidas no son efectivo
Depreciacin
2003
8,672
256,835
247,203
Se ha debilitado el margen.
Rotacin constante.
18,304
da creci el Equity
2005
2006
2007(a)
58,054
17,256
5,398
3,905
84,613
60,651
25,158
7,358
9,607
102,774
72,122
30,919
8,714
15,863
127,618
84,771
36,342
10,242
18,645
150,000
201,725
38,334
324,672
268,809
66,084
437,667
345,977
69,014
542,609
430,000
110,000
690,000
5,840
49,865
55,705
4,422
82,443
86,865
5,800
103,810
109,610
6,879
123,121
130,000
27,604
83,309
33,824
120,689
35,333
144,943
45,000
175,000
27%
21%
241,363
324,672
316,978
437,667
397,666
542,609
515,000
690,000
30%
27%
2004
8,142
29,812
2005
11,280
-272,008
2006
5,739
-662,151
2007(a)
5,872
-1,152,151
25,298
33,011
44,166
60,000
12,656
-293,739
-700,578 -1,206,279
57%
24%
7%
12%
100%
18%
18%
18%
18%
18%
24%
59%
27%
5%
95%
100%
19%
19%
19%
2008
2009
2010
2011
46,031
12,973
21,915
80,920
58,305
16,432
25,759
100,496
73,851
20,814
30,276
124,941
93,542
26,363
663,530,578
663,650,483
430,000
430,000
430,000
430,000
1,965
2,691
3,726
5,061
2003
51,421
12,394
4,350
3,887
72,052
146,362
38,421
256,835
8,072
37,571
45,643
13,616
59,259
Patrimonio
197,576
256,835
2004
2005
2006
58,054
17,256
5,398
3,905
84,613
60,651
25,158
7,358
9,607
102,774
72,122
30,919
8,714
15,863
127,618
150,000
201,725
38,334
324,672
268,809
66,084
437,667
345,977
69,014
542,609
430,000
110,000
690,000
5,840
49,865
55,705
4,422
82,443
86,865
5,800
103,810
109,610
130,000
27,604
83,309
33,824
120,689
35,333
144,943
45,000
175,000
241,363
324,672
316,978
437,667
397,666
542,609
515,000
690,000
el tercer trimestre
2007(a)