"- AF1T/DS/PH/83-3
ID
In &0(O7~Z7
FALLOUT FRACTIONJATION IN
SILICATE SOILS
DISSERTATION
S 0Reproduced Copy
Best Available From S
LUJ
Io
!.6
i ii i i ii i II
SECUGRTY CL.ASSIVICATION OF THIS PAGE (P.sn Duoe piter.ed_
REPORT DOCUMENTATION PAGE READ INSTRUCTIONS
BEFORE COMPLETING FORM
I. REPORT NUMBER li. GOVT ACCESSION NO. 3. RIECIPIENT'S CATALOG NUMBER
f AFIV/DS/PH/83-3.)
TITLi •and ".11 S. TYPE OF REPORT & PERIOD COVERED
PhD dissertation
FASLLOUCFATEIONAI N Aug 80 - Jul 83
IN SILICATE SOILS ,. PERFORMINGO*Pt.M.
REPORT NUMBER
Charles R. Martih
1
S. PEP rOXMING ORGANIZATION NAME ANO AGORIESS 10. PROGRAM E.ENIENT. PROJECT, TASK
UNCLASSIFIED
14L. OECL, ASSIFICATI"ON/OOWNGRAOING
SC¢19EDU
11E
: 7. DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT (of dMe abstret entered in 91.k "0, II oflfs.aI ftm Resp•")
LYNN E. WOLAFVER
D*au 101 Resoulcb and Prole bltonal flrot94me%
ArFOr Instit~te CI 1ecbhn.;O j J,.O)
VOLAVýR
lot •I .•lch
Ic• !
ottd PtoIqeglonftI 4 40f r
DsV*IopUl.ut
S*c Poe. nce)t~tt•. ol Technol., 0 7
(*SC "'
Fractionation
Fallout
I .
-0:,-•
l 141.
t1 .- c .._
l '•-•: !'"'• I
Itop
UNCLASSIFIED
AFIT/DS/PH/B3-3
FALLOUT FRACTIONATION IN
SILICATE SOILS
DISSERTATION
Doctor of Philosophy
by
Captain USAF
•5 09 17 (•21.
AFIT/DS/PH/83-3
FALLOUT FRACTIONATION IN
SILICATE SOILS
by
Charles R. Martin, B.S.N.E., M.S.N.E.
Captain USAF
Approved:
ErneSt A. Uorko
Accepted:
ii
CON"ENTS
PMg
Preface .igures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. ... .. .
List of Figures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . v
List of Tables .... . . . .. . . ... 0 x
Abstract . . . . . . . . .. . . .. x
1. Introduction . . . . .
Background . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . I-I
Problem Statement . . . . a 00 1-4
Scope ............ . . . 1-4
II. Historical Development ................ II -1
Introduction .. . . . . . .
I- . ..
Miller's Thermodynamic Model . . . . . . . . . . . . II-I
.C Radial Power Law . .......... 114-5
Modified Radial Power a oe .... ....... 11-30
Diffusion Model . . . . . 11-36
III. T he G-X Oiffusion Model ....... . .. . . .III-I
Introduction . .. . .i- ... . . ...
Method Overview . . . . . . . . . 111-6
Method . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .* . .. . . .,. 111-7
Particle Size Distribution . . . .1.........1!I-21
Partition of Soil ......... . . ..I-?23
Crystal-Glass Distribution; . . ........ ... 111-26
Bias in the Data . . . . . . 0 . . . . . 0.0. . . .111-27
Determination of Diffusion Coefficients . . . . . . .111-30
Determination of Henry's Law Constants . ...... 111-31
Theoretical Considerations .111-31
IV. Results and Discussion . . . . . . . . . . IV-1
V. Conclusions and Recommendations .. .. . . .... V-1
Bibliography . . . . . BB-1
tii
-I
rJ
CONTENTS Corntinued)
Page
Appendix A: The S..V Model
Appendix B: Ri.6jPlots for Small
Boy.. . . . . . B-
Appendix C: Rjtj Plots for Johnny Boy
C-1
Appendix D. Specific Activity Plots for
Small Boy . . .. . D-_
Iv
_ _ __ _ ____ _ _ _ __ _ _
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure Page
I Schematic of Early Cloud Near the Time of Soil
Solidification . . . . . . .
0. . . a 0 1-3
v
LIST OF FIGURES (Continued)
Figure 'Page
16 Strontium 90 Concentration as a Function of
Particle Size for Crystalline Particles, Glassj
Particles, and the Weighted Average . . . . . . .. IV-8
...................
. . o' .. .. . .,
.|
.Niii
(. LIST OF FIGURES (Continued)
Figure Page
55. Small Boy Specific Activity for Mast Chain 144 . . . r-12
&(
vi i
• •* p'-. . . . . -. o. . m .¢ o%, . *
LIST OF F. iURES (Continued)
Figure
Page
56. Small Boy Specific Activity for I-ass Chain 99 . . . D-13
37. Small Boy Specific Activity for Mass Chain 95 . . . D-14
58. Small Boy Specific ActIvity for Mass Chain 90 . . . D-15
/-I
Zw(
viii
Itr LIST OF FIGURES (Continued)
I Figure Page
56. Small Boy Specific Activity for Mlass Chain 99 . . . D-.13
viii
~ LIST OF TABLES
Table Page
.ix
(~) ABSTRACT
extends the existing theory for the case of surface bursts over
*: products can be adsorbed onto any available surfaces. Any soil which
"entered the fireball at the soil solidification time or later will
also adsorb fission products. Test data and other evidence indicate
- x
In additiflnthe distribution of
too little in the smaller particles.
refractory reference
volatile fission prodrct nuclides relative to a
many
modeled by the new method. Since
nuclide is In general better
of fits to DELFIC actltty size
other falloout modeling codes make use
to reflect these new
distributions, these codes might be modified
findings.
S.
4KI
Zt
M
I. Introduction
Background
broken up, while some is melted and some is even vaporized. Part of
this debris is tiken into the fireball and is carried with it as the
fireball rises. Part of this material will come into intimate contact
soil and debris from the device will condense and scavenge the
uniformly distributed throughout the particles. After that time, the "
, I-I
1
surfaces. These particles, because they show no evidence of'having
been melted, must have been introduced into the active region of the
fireball after the gas temperature had dropped to near or below the'
cross section the dose rates along the hot line for a one Mt yield (50
percent fission) weapon. In this case, the 450 R contour for the
.purely volume distributed activity extends for about 65 miles past
that for the purely surface distributed case. This illustrates that
when one is trying to determine the expected number of casualties in-a
could not penetrate the fallout particles. The difficulty with the
1-2
UPDRAF. THROUGH
CEOTER OF CLOUD
FISSION4
.1 1 AT CRE
•
DUST AN•DDUSTAIJOCOOL AIR
'
PULVERIZED SOIL
Time of
Figure 1. Schematic of Early Cloud Hear the
Soil Solidification
1-3
qfl-
AJW
06 C3 C
C ~E34
0. U...........
IL
-U.
0 J
Or:
ZI
1-6
closing of the U.S. Naval Radiological Defense Laboratory), research
on particle formation was largely stalled.
Problem Statement
computation3l model was produced even though that was not one of the
Scope
The problem of fractionation includes many aspects which will not
1-7
based soils. The restriction to surface bursts is made because the
1-8
*a- *7 4. *...- .. * J-
/,
.II. Historical Development
Introduction
The early attempts to model fractionation were made difficult by
a general lack of data. The collection of weapons test data which
would be of use to fallout researchers was a low priority. In
addition, early Investigators were not sure what types of data were
needed. Oa;a collection for fallout studies was often an -.
lI-i
Miller's model required rather a great deal to be known about the
data for the fission products viere not available, it was of limited
value as a computational mode1. It did in its original form, however,
the way for the collection of the data that would be necessary to
implement a more conplete theoretical model at some later date. It
was because of the lack of data for Miller's model that Freiling's
condensation mathematics.
Miller divides the condensation process into twn more or less
distinct time perhods. The major feature of the first period is the
11-2
fission product elements condense at lower temperatures on the
ends completely except for those particles which leave the volume of
space containing the residual gases. In fact, the process can reverse
for a fission product element that later decays to a more volatile
"* element. For example, elements like iodine and the rare gases could
sublime as fast as they form from non-volatile precursors which
"11-3
a -7.
257.14
214.2g
171.4OBSERVED
LU
4286
05.00.0.1 .6E1RY A
11I-4
result In no appreciable change in the Gibbs free energy of the liquid
carrier. Thus, the free energy of each element in the solution should
range over which the liquid carrier exists exceeds 200 or 300 degrees
"forthe larger particles of which some may not be melted in the center
when the air or gas temperature about the particle falls below the
dvia RT d~lnfi)(1
1-5
where fi is the fugacity of component 1. Fugacity is an effective
"I
(pressure fcr the component. It accounts for deviations from ideal
behavior. The defining equation for fugacity for state I a 1 going to
where G is the Gibbs free energy for state I. When dX1 moles of
..
,;M
1-• de ap '.;
~)T.Xe ( ). dX-
4 at )PX; ( T d i
"." 1(3)
or equivalently
solution is
11-6
J.
,alnf alnf alnf
dvi RT(- p-)dp RT (-97.)dT RT(7 4--,v)
dXi
T,Xi PXt I T,P (5)
f _X f*
1 /P,T
3X x; (")
fi. X k1 (8)
-- 7
te wvrature a.nd
(in which ki is the H~enry s Law constant at a given
total pressure; hence
with respect
Adamson gives the change in the chemical potential
to pressure and temperature as
(1ai)RT
and
Ia)p x
dXj
d~1 7dg;d dT +RT--(2
Xf
11-8
)-and Equation ('5) becomes
dX1
do,1 "Vi -Ti dT + T (3
(14)
Trw T, v, 17,
I dP dT d InX° V - T
1 -" 11-9
p..
ol' Oiiuxe
J T isthe temperature in degrees Kelvin. In the case
solutions (Miller. 1960: 10)
~l~ AH (16)
element 1.
where ANis the heat of vaparizatiof. of the condensing
for the
Miller points out that ANHv is the heat of reaction
as a different
vaporization of-the gas from solution. If it exists
compoun~d is
compound in solution, the heat of formation of this
ANi is just
i ncluded in the value of AN .. For an ideal solution,
the heat of vaporization. Since
Vi
)V then W~jr (17)
dP W
d~nx) -p' dT d(l n Xi) (8
11-10
1nP+lnX;.! +lnX 1 4+nk ~ (20)
or
and finally
ke /R (23)
6; 0;(4
n; * air nair
and
U1-11
Ii
nt nt
nt/nsot I- 'I
ni/nair
(27)
i) where nsoil is
the number of moles of liquid soil. Finally (from
Equation 27), the number of moles of the ith element, nt, in the
liquid is related to the total number of moles Yi in both phases by
the relation
Y1 RT
nRT (k v slnso)
i 1(28)
/111
/ I I-12
computational values from such a process will reflect the relative
's * r (9
the gas phase at the start of the second period, and nr is the
*Q) residual amount in the vapor phase. All three quantities depend on
perfect gas
r PS v
n (30)
aSs/R -aHs/RT
e (31)
11-13
in which ASs is the entropy of sublimation and AHs is te neat of
sublimation at the temperature, T. If mixing in the fireball volume
el e.nent i is
Yin n| ns + nt 32
Y
.n1 1 1 (32)
so that, Equation (29), with Equations (27), (28), (30), and (32),
becomes
kiv s
Q
~~n I"oIT,
0-i-.
Q71 + i IKV
5 ;-
TP (3,3)
none of the necessary Henry's Law constants were available when Miller
wrote his report, many are now. In those cases where data is still
11-14
....................
.r-- -- .
be easily modified for use with fast running "smear codes" such as
that developed by Bridgman and Bigelow (Bridgman, 1982).
Radial Power Law rather than the modification used in DELFIC. "
Law has some limitations, which will be discussed after the model has
been presented.
The model Itself is simple and does to a degree incorporate the
which would exist in the hot fireball must be identified. The boiling
point of this compound is then taken as the boiling point of that
11-15
radioactivity. Without the presence of a large mass of this carrier
fuel, fission yield, the particle size distribution, and the fission
yields of each radionuclide for each of several fuel types and neutron
energy spectra. In additicn, the model needs all of the decay chain
well. These include how much soil , vaporized or melted and carried
particles.
11-16
data. The data from continental United States tests suggest that
"simple empirical correlations are not sufficient to predict
fractionation behavior in the case of ground bursts over silicate
soils.
Freiling makes the following analysis: In a sample of fallout,
*f a1iY 1 (34)
rj fi/f (35)
its parents would have lower boiling points than the soil carrier.
11-17
to be volume distributed. The ratio ri,j would then have an
)'i,
"extremum since we are measuring the greatest possible difference in
behavior of two nuclides.
reference rj
Now we take rrref'
v ref
where vref Is the reference volume distributed,
to he our
for 9 SZr for our reference nuclides). These ratios can best be
correlated logarithmically for the high yield coral and water surface
11-18
II
latter had the smaller variance In the data fit (Note: r and
n Znr
5 3 In r,
kk k4 (39)
or
k3 -k4 /ln(rvs)
-
" ~(41)
- II-19
In summary, logarithmic correlations seem to work well for high yield
' coral surface bursts. They do not; however, for low yield silicate
"given mass chain goes as some power of the radius of the fallout
* particles, where the exponent lies between 2 and 3 (Tompkins, 1968:
Sthe data for coral and water high yield surface bursts best fit
Equation (37) with k4 = 0 and k3 equal to the square root of the
4 3
fraction of the decay chain i which exists in refractory form at the
purely volume distributed and some nuclides which were purely surface
-.. distributed, then the superposition of these two distributions would
"11-20
I
I
particle size distribution (which was itself a lognormal
I distribution). It rather is the sum of two different lognormal
distributions, which its not lognormal.
I and the data, consider the following points: First, the data used by
bursts.
Second, when the soil carrier Is in the liquid phase, the degree
to which the radioactive nuclides collect on and diffuse into the soil
the liquid phase and determine to what degree it had diffused into the
each fission product element that do not react with the liquid carrier
K.
FRACTIONATION SLOPES
FOR SHOT
JOHNNY SOY VS THE
1.10 FREILIMO RATIO
//
.9
'W,
.5 /
o /
,, /
L 'i
o w / /
U, /
24-
0 /
010
.9/
FR
.5,
°* 0
I LIj
":1 .41
0
a 0
030
00
.'.2
Olt
.0 0
S,."0.00 .20 .4, ,1"•
• ," %'-,' ~F SUBII-2
R._.
especially for the larger particles of which some r,• not have been
left the cloud. Some nuclides will have especially small sticking
d a particle diameter
N(d) . particle size distribution
11- 24
While Freiling used a volatile chain for his reference chain, a
refractory chain is the more natural choice since it will be more or
3
Fd FT N(d)d
f N(d)ddd (43)
11-25
or
(r (rrid) (frrr rd 1
(1-f
' 1, d )'td d di
(45)
f3 (d)N(d) d
......
......
...... (46)
r +(+ (1-fr)d) di
d(
'r r
U ~ 3 cd
t(d) Vd
(r ,)(d) , I(1-f
c (fr + (1-fr)/;)d d r " r (48)
lI- 26
t-
) )Now notice in Equation, (48) the expression
(rv,r)(d) Cv (50)
Solving Equation (50) for d and substituting into Equation (51) yields
(rir)(d) Cifr
C ('d)
(52)
11-27
"..........................
. '''•'''•b.•.•... •••,.,., ,•1.%
(d
(rv, r)(d) Cv 1 (53)
and
':: ~ ~(r (rld)
-Ct d p' "
r
(54)
Eliminating d between these last two, and taking the logarithm of both
sides of the result, gives
SCv In C (55)
11-28
FREILING RATIO /.
o] 0.0
S0..2
S0.4 /
+ 7
x 0.6
0.8,/ /
40 1.0 /./'
co.
0 /0
I .- 1 *
C1-
-----
II-S
03 45678910 3 S C
R SUJe IV,R
have shown, however, that in the case of sillcate soil surfaco: ,ursts,
that Fre iling has observed should depend on weapon yield, and the type
correlations involved only high yield data for coral and water surface
carrier r,•aterial, the Radial Power Law disregards these effects. His
\)
general trends in behavior. A single set of correlations cannot be
silicate soils.
the Radial Power Law into better agreement with specific activity
observations.
11-30
made the observation that there is a tendency for specific activity
"large particles carrying too much activity while the smaller particles
"will carry too little.
Model Description. In Freiling 's Radial Power Law model, the
particle size distribution was assumed to be log-normal. Tompkins
modification generalized the particle size distribution to allow for
"N
a number of atoms in mass chain I in size class k,
11-31
~0
* and
r index for a refractory chain.
where
b +2 n b +2
fi(dk) Nkd n d
k.1 (57)
* )
where-
II
is the mass fraction in the kth size class. The fractionation ratio
is then
11-32
S(ri,r)k "Yrfl (dk) (60)
or
ii .k
(ri,r,)k 1kl n ku Di1 +2
qr (61)
Yr kdk
I
:: l,/'i d (fM(dk)dk ) (62
kal /kk
and defining
(f(dkk (63)
E = 1/
k=l
(64)
:11-33
It then follows fromEquations (56), (60), and (64) that
.: (d fM(d
(65)
obeys the Radial Power Law, but the other part has a constant specific
* activity. Let
Si
1 fractior of atoms in ith mass chain that exhibits
The crossover point between the Radial Power Law and .the constant
distribution yields
Kt t~cross -
S1
Ri~icros (67)
1-
"11-34
t'"
j• bUt since
.'-' (68)
Ri Si .1
Sor
SR
1• c
EIUcross) (69)
then
Ru 1
(70)
,.-
and
EDb-1
Ei cross
oD
I + E Icross (71)
FTYIEi d b- 1 bi1 d
VN1* "IDlCl'"
1 + EDcs
k (72)
11- 35
The model described above Is termed the F-T model for purposes of
comparison with the G-X model to be developed in the next chapter.
Diffusion Model
SIn
1966, Korts and Norman at General atomic reconsidered Miller's
r 11-36
2-
Just above their *freezing temperatures" are generally v'scous liquids
"" II1-37
o.
Concentration-independent diffusion in spherical particles as
presented by Carslaw and Jaeger (Carslaw, 1959) is assumed to govern
the diffusion of the condensed fission products into the carrier
following equation:
0 T n=l (73)
0 4
z 3 x 1011 w .3
(74)
11-38
. . . . . . . .
a mass balance equation relating the total amount of a nuclide in the
cloud to the amounts of this nuclide in the gas phase and in the
1966: 21).
Norman achieved some promising results with this model (Noman,
1968). According to Woman, the method was going to be tested for use
In the official DoD fallout code, DELFIC, but apparently this was
was chosen as a basis for the G-X model developed in the next chapter.
1 -
i'
- II-39
x -, III. The G-X Diffusion Model
Introduction
There is a considerable amount of data to suggest that the
within them are created. Many of these coalesce with other larger
melted and unmelted particles along with the vapors of the more
unmelted particles enter the fireball at later times and leave the
heating and consequently the fission products they contain are fused
into the outer layer or attached to the surfaces only (Miller, 1967:
3, Heft, 1970: 255-256, Tompkins, 1970: 388, Norment, 1966: 23-28).
,; III- 1
..................................
exhibit very distinct behavior with respect to specific activity. The
switch used by Freiling and Miller is not, correct. This was the -
111-2
- .7. -, -.. -¾ .--. -. ..- .-..-. • .•".'-.-.'•' "- ' .-. '•-'.',-
. • . .'.,' ,,'..• '* . ..-... , - . ,.- . -
N
.4.*i/r/4.
/a
'*A • . . ' e
.., * .. *- . I. * ., *... • * ,\ I
e•. • *. ..
g..e
.. 8.'Radiog.. o" a." a"lou" Partice wi
•
Activity Ditrbued..fol • . " Thougou
S• lie e•'it Volumre Miller, 1963)*e-".•
• ~•o*
• * :
• . . .. .* •• •,. .. •
• *. °. , .
• • •. • ~~~*
- p.:. . °•* .*• . ° *
":.,5 .
... :........ .... ......:;..." .. *.;
.- -:. .'.."
*%t: : .'. ..
... , ~* *i . iii-
.......
-. ~*>:v*:
. . . P... ~:~-: '*-*: ; *~* ,,:>-1:X
ii)
d. p
*-. * .'*.
.z.
j:: :'*
I.
,Nd) *'
..
I
One important question in developing the diffusion model is
whether gas-phase diffusion of fission products to the surfaces of
particles, surface attachment coefficients, or diffusion within the
* particles is the rate controlling mechanism. In a working group at
*the April 1966 Fallout Phenomena Symposium (Proceedings, 1966: 456),
Freiling reported that work done by U.S. Naval Radiological Defense
Laboratory (NRDL) on calcium ferrite, :40-Al2 O-i 2 cly0n
Method Overview
For the G-X model, the particles are assumed to be
non-agglomerating, non-convecti ng, spherical silicate glassy particles-
of various sizes which are distributed uniformly throughout a cloud
* which is at a uniform temperature and has a uniform concentration of
fission products and air. Calculations proceed on one decay chain at
a time-.beginning at the highest temperature at which diffusion is
considered to be rate determining. At this point the isotopes are
assumed to surface condense according to Henry's Law and then to
diffuse into the fallout particles. Then, the isotopes are allowed to
decay, and the time and temperature are incremented. The process is
repeated until the temperature is close to the solidification
temperature for the glass. At this point, the distribution of glassy
particles-is augmented with the distribution of crystalline
111I-6
process has
particles. The process is continued until the diffusion
applied in the particle
essentially terminated. The techniques
by the work of Korts and Norman.
activity module here were influenced
is
Force Institute of Technology and
The program is on file at the Air
be run .ith 450,000 60-bit words
fully commented. It is designed ti
CDC Cyber 750.
of memory in three overlays on a
Method
presented. This section
An overview of the method has been
equations used in the G-X model.
presents a derivation of the important
vapor pressure of fission
Foran assumed ideal solution, the
soil particle is given by
product i in the gas around a liquid
Raoult's Law as
Xi p; (75)
.. Pi.
where
111-7
"pressure of the substance in pure form, P1 (the proportionality
constant), with a different constant. This is called the Henry's Law
constant. The Henry's Law constant is the slope of a line tangent to
Figure 4).
P1 X kI (76),
n1 -RT XI kI (77)
where
R = gas constant
T = absolute temperature
YV= volume
or
m; n; Mi Xi k1 (78)
where
111-8
*mass of fission product i in the gas phase
£i molecular weight of i
Xi 0 11lms+Mim (79)
where
xi ii 4sA
(80)
-kk
(81)
111-9
Thus the amount of fission product I In the gas phase at equilibrium is
I
-RT (82)
the bulk phase of the particles. In this case, the rates of uptake of
fission products are controlled by the diffusion rates in the bulk
YI Cf kl V Mi
where
Ill-I0
*1 I
temperature
particles
Th. first tern on the right of Equation (83) is the amount of fission
product I in the gas phase. The second term on the right must be
•%p-P (S)
m w
s=1 (84)
.I ,
where f is the average concentration in the particles during time
period one. The diffusion equation for spheres with only radial
* diffusion is
ac = (a Ci + 2 i)
ar (85)
HII
°S
On I etti ng
u- C1 r, (86)
auu
(87)
't-
U-O, r.O0 t 0
u , t O, r <a
(88)
:: t
2
kgsin(-j)f exp(Dik wXda )(~
111-12
3%
time period, the surface concentratiorn is held constant, and the
au D •2u
lar (89)
u.O, r O, t>O
u a C,,, r a, t > 0
-a C
r-2a (_l)kstnlkwr)exp('Dlk rw tA.
(90)
or
C(r,t) il Ail
k6
1 exp(-Dk 212t/a 21
.:k-l (91)
1i1-13
Later time periods are treated independently, and the results are
YI RT1 C il Ms
yi .- n'--------
, 11 i~s Es(92)
+C12 CV
V -2 1 C exp(at 1 ats) PI
22
S(i-l11,1,1;1,2,2 s (93)
s-1
The first term on the right side is the amount of fission product i
i'L 111-14
coefficients will differ for the two periods). The third term is the
amount of the immediate precursor of isotope I which decayed into I
and was diffusing as isotope i-i during time interval at, and as
which has diffused during the second period as a result of the surface
perturbation.
Since the equations at succeeding times become rather involved,
These restrictions will make the general case more tractable. In this
or
where
III-15
---------- .-.---
V
1 N
or
N
I (Ck'Ck.l)bkN (100)
Y C1 GN + ClAIN +
k=2
or
N-1
Y CN(GN+aNN) + • Ck(AkNk+lN)
k= 1 (101')
SIII1-16
crystalline particles 4re Introduced, the expression for the N~th time
step is
The mass balance at the time step in which crystal particles are
Introduced Is
(S)•I)
+C YCXGxCx ((s)xx)(s )W
""x ksIkx k+l,xx
s9lass ka1 glass (103)-
+ CX • X(S)w
x Axx WS
Sxtal
x
~
-~
x
(S) X-1
x +1 kkx
4s:
-(Si,)w (04
"k+1l'x Ws '(104)
als kal gl91ass
For later time steps (after crystal particle entry), the expression
becomes
I
7UIGM4M CMX MM WS
all s
M-1 (Ais) A(S) )
+ ckI (Mk k+1,M)Ws
kal (Sglass
M-1 S) (S) (105)
+ j' . k .",Ak+,M)w1
kUx Sxtal
or upon rearrangement
+ 5. kj kM -Ak+1,M)ws
('k(X
kx all s
Each tern in the last two sums in Equation (106) contains a surface
concentration expression times the difference of two diffusion terms.
Each of these must be modified by a decay term. In order te
illustrate how decay is handled, take the case of an isotope with
three precursors at the jth time step. Figure 11 shows the ways in
which growth and decay can occur in the instance of mass chain 89. In
the case of 8 9 Kr, there are three possible paths for it to
contribute to production of 8 gRb after three time increments. The
decay coefficients for these three paths are
11l-18
time
Increm ent Att, dtj ",t 4
time
stme I 2 3 4 5
-step
89
Rb OF.-' -- *
8 9 Kr
----
89 8r
0-
Kr 1 (109)b"'
S~exp[- xKr(atl+A&t2 ) ] 1-exp( -xKrat3) } (109)
0
as Kr during time step I and as Rb from t 2 to t4" The appropriate
can also be
Expressions analogous to Equations (103) and (104)
similarly derived.
1lxa2 .(112)
kf exp(-i4- ) dx
Fm(d) -
where
IIi-?L
FS . cumulative mass fractior
K a a normalization constant
a In (median diameter)
a
III-22
0:
lognormal distribution and the truncated power law were
Sparticles which obtained their activity from the fireball (as opposed
compared primarily with shots Small Boy and Johnny Boy ,-,hich were of
Partition of Soil
of the soil burden of the cloud into the various phases at early
111-23
:.,
principles and follow the numerous complex processes from shot time to
bounds can be placed on the problem. The total soil burden of the
back extrapolation, (5) specific activity, (6) crater volume, and (7)
fireball volume. Norment and others studied and evaluated all of
- these and chose methods 4-7. The scaling functions they developed
S
were calibrated with data from the Teapot Ess shot which was a 1 kt
ef the toroidal ring about which dust and debris are being
* any soil which had been initially vaporized located here. As the
fireball rises, it expands and thus heats and contaminates additional
111-24
F
I
. I
rapidly. A strong updraft is produced in the wake of the cloud, and
soil dust suspended in the air is sucked upward in the stem toward the
United States soils, the characteristic soil types are the common
sandy and clay soils. In the case of sand, the chemical composition
is nearly 100 percent silicon dioxide (S10 2 ). For tOe more abundant
clay soils, the major component is still silicon dioxide, but there-is
other mixes were studied too Otlorman, 1970, tlorman, 1966, ?Iorman,
19C7, Winchell, 19M7). Since it was determined that this mix wias
appropriate for Small Boy calculations (Norman', 1968: 1), this is the
p soil mix which was selected for this study. The major constituents of
*I the amount of soil material which is in the vapor phase, the following
inside of the vortex toroid. (2) This region contains most of the
* fission products. (3) In surface bursts, much of the fallout is
Fror.n these it follows that the amount of soil vapor in the cloud w.ill
* be less than the mass of active fallout. In shots Johnny Boy and
S.'
111-25
9 Small Boy, about 38 percent of the gross fallout mass is associated
with active material. Therefore, it follows that at least for these
radiated by air and surface bursts and found that 1.5 percent of the
soil burden is vaporized per 100 degree excess of the temperature over
the soil boiling point at a time shortly after the second temperature
maximum (Norment, 1966: 28). Tompkins, et al. have inferred from. the
Crystal-Glass Distributions
In examining samples of Small Boy fallout which w-re not sieved,
this are Pascual, 1967,' and Mackin, 1958. Pascual provides the most
"relevent data since it uses Small Boy data'. Unfortunately, only the
111-26
Table 1 gives the raw data used to determine the fraction of each size
distribution for shot Small Boy were in error cue to the sieving
technique used. The concern wei that in the process of separating the
and thus bias the analysis. Also the larger particles in some cases
looked into this source of potential error and concluded that while
there was measurable loss of activity from the larger size fractions,
the gamma ray spectra were not noticeably altered (Pascual, 1967).
", III1-27
I:-
Tabl e 1.
Specific
Particl ' Particle Percent Activity
Size Type in Class CPI/mg
(Pascual, 1967)
JI1-28
Cr cc
.0-
4Ir. h
E. 4 .,
C,.-
AON~nO38
Figure ~~ ~ ~ ~ ~
fteMasFeunyDsrbto ~ ~
12-eopsto ~ ~ ~ -
into~~ ~~
n ~
lsyCmoetCrsaln
Irl-29
Miller and Yu accounted for this effect when determining the total
may be written as
D O e"E*/RT (114)
use the ionic radius, r, of the diffusing ionic species. This applies
111-30
/'
p 1.59 r (116)
where r is the ionic radius for the most probable oxidation state in
the silicate mt high temperature. Table 2 lists the constants as
determined using these procedures for all of the significant diffusing
species. The data on ionic radii are taken from Wieast (Weast, 1974).
Theoretical Considerations
While many phenomena remain to be incorporated into any
fractionation model, one which should be given attention is the
apparent decrease in mixing efficiency between the hot gases in the'
fireball and the toil as yield increases. A hydrodynamic calculation
would be required to determine the extent of this effect. Fractional
condensation does not appear to be nearly as important in ground
surface bursts as it is i~n air or tower bursts.
111-31
Table 2. Diffusion Coefficients.
111-32
Table 3. Henry's Law Coefficients.
111-33
-IV. Resultsand Discussion
/
generate more detailed data on mass chains 89 and 95 were made with a
modification of the G-X code. The output data at the time of interest
included number densities for the nuclides of interest as a fmnction
distribution, and the dose size distribution. These raw data were
them to Small Boy and Johnny Boy data respectively (Freiling, 1968,
crocker, 1965: 78)). In most cases the agreement between the G-X
Method and the data is as good as the other methods. In the case of
,''V-1
<Nr
0 ,- 10
3.- 2- LaJLhJ IX
x"
0
CrW I--
L
=
= I"CD
- m.
C~U~LL 0.
~ CCD
"N Z"
b°if
,-I
89 1 1 1
S90 .73 .83 -
99 .04 -. 07 .0
1 I.
"I
°°
Table 5. Logarithmic Correlation Slopes - Johnny Boy
89 1 1 1
90
3 95 10 .0 .0
% Y-
IV-
chains 131 and 13? there is considerable improvement over Zhe
Freiling-Tompkins model. The log-log plots for both Small Boy and
14 shows *the total specific activity for the various methods along
itwth th• measured specific activity data for shot Small Boy (Miller,
1967:33). Only the G-X Model follows the drop in specific activity
available, only the tendency in the data. Figure 15 shows the dose
* included, in Apopendix .O. They show clearly the effect of treating the
-"S-5
t-
U
f06
C cc
- °'
E3 +
Iu 0.0 9qi,.
f T * 40, Z.101c
tH
.°4
,IV-6
E3 A
00
so00L 01
'U--
rF
go• Z
. -
~~of
SU.)
LZ~
I,
/ I
"/ I
.- 0
C 0
0 01
a rz
a fl
0 V) 0
..
ifI In I I 7 f I
/j Uj (rr
,•. / >_
- -
e -Q
IW
_O
I' *' ' ' 6-0' " ' ,!"
,-'o il' ' '' ",_' O1, '' z .i
TV-9
"particle sizes. The effects of diffusion are evident at both ends of
size), while the glassy particles are surface distributed for small
calculated slopes for Small Boy and Johnny Boy respectively. The
For shot Small Boy the average error for the G-X method was .245
versus .265 for the F-T method. For shot Johnny Boy the average error
was .276 for the G-X method versus .341 for the F-T method. Thus in
IV-10
Di
3~
4 COL
cc j 0
CL. &6 cc
V) j- (n(f
ccr
00
CY
SfZI
Oil I iii C I I Ei)ul~ilI ICD
IV-ll
0
TV-li
.................................. ..............
OBSERVEO VS CALC.
Fr.ACTIONAT:ON PLOT
A F-T METHOD
1. 2-r G-X METHOD
CALCULATED
* OBSERVED
uJ '.8t'
0
a:
-j
01
-. .17 .4
A C
Figure 19. Observed versus Calculated Fractionation Plot
S.... "Slopes for Shot Small Bny
TV-12
OBSERVED VS CALC.
FRACTIONATION PLOT
SLOPES FOR SHOT
JOHNNY BOY
%A
A F-T METHOD
1.27 G-X METHOD
1.0
CALCU!.AED
: OBSERVED
.36
* W
* 0.
C A
-..-
00A
, A
OBSERVED SLOPE
Figure 20. Observed versus Calculated Fractionation Plot
Slopes for Shot Johnny Boy
IV-13
V
-jU,
ccr
V2 -j 0IL ( a:
F-J
," 6
.~j
TY-1-
"_______ •I•
.OiNO~W
Figure 21. I'ractionatton Plot Slope Errors for Shot Small Boy:
•""Solid Bare, are the G-X Model, Open Bars are the F-T Model
. !V-14
cr- 0
== to
00
L 0C
0 00 u
CCCT
;C-"
,ý 9
/6
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ I
Figure 22. Fractionation Plot Slope Errors for Shot Johnny Boy:
Solid Bars are the G-X MIodel, Open Bars are the F-T Mio4el
," 'v-15
V. Conclusions and Reconmmendations
* Conclusions
Wihile the ap~plication of these models is restricted to ground
surface bursts over silicate soils, they still have a wide range of
* applications. The assumptions male in developing the models are
considered to be satisfactory in view of the many sources of error.
As it is, the assumptions male here are somewhat less restrictive than
those for the previous models, although there is still room for
imsprovement. The success of the S-X Model for the two shots
considered is very encouraging, however. While the S-V model (see
Appendix A) shows promise for faster operational type codes, the G-X
- ~Model, because a"' the overall better performance, is the preferred one
for work requiring more rigor, especially if concentrations of
specific isotopes are required. The G'-X Model certainly has the
advantage of being based on physics rather than being an empirical fit
as is the radial power model.
* ~Recomhmendat.ions
There are a number of areas which need further work in the
fallout area. If one were intent on doing the problem correctly,-all
of the following things would need to be done:
(1) The particle size distri'bution needs to be determined
dynamically from early time in the fireball to include the partition
between solid, 1iquiid, and gas. Emphasis should be placec on
(2) The degree of mixing of the fis' ion products with the soil
determin'-ed.
need to be measured.
. '(6) An investigation of fall rates for different particle types
needs to be done.
be .investigated.
(8) More information is needed on the themal stability of the
If, on the other hand, one is more concerned with Improving the
V-2
i'j0
(surface activity and volume activity). Alternatively, one ctuld
follw only those chains which rake the largest contribution to the
activity using the S-V Model. Then the result could be normalized so
that the combined total activity agrees with that which would be
yield and fuel type (and perhaps other parameters) to determine a new
set of activity size distributions for SEER, LASEER, PROFET, and KDFOC
which are all derived from DELFI. calculations. These codes do not do
explicit particle activity calculations but rather rely on Hts oi
DELFIC calculations.
-V-3
BIBLIOGRAPHY
i!! , BIB-i
----- , F. K. Kawahara, E. C. Freiling. "Radiochemical Data
Correlations on Debris from Silicate Bursts," Radioactive
Fallout
Conference, Nuclear Weapons
from Germantown, Tests,November
Maryland, Proceedings
1965. of (CONF-765).
the Second
. ."Fractionation
------ -- II. On Defining the Surface Density of
Contamination." USNRDL-TR-631. San Francisco: U.S. Naval
Radiological Defense Laboratory, 13 March 1963. (AD 402 293).
.S
I.
*• I
-. .
------ Calculation of Fractionation Effects in Atmospheric
Nuclear Bursts," Obrazovanie Radioakktivnykh Chastits Pri
Yadernykh v Troposfere. Moskow: "Mir.", 1968 b.
p'
"BIB-3
on Selected Samples," USNRDL-TR-67-90. San Francisco: U.S.
Naval Radiological Defense Laboratory, 3 July 1967. (AD 820
627).
BIB-4
Malonel, J., Ballistic Research Laboratories, U.S. Army, Aberdeen
Research and Development Center, Aberdeen, Maryland, private
communication to J. McGahan of Science Applications, Inc.,
McLean, Virginia, 1974.
BIB-S
Nethaway, D. R., and G. W. Barton. "A Compilation of Fission
Product Yields in Use at the Lawrence Livermore National
Laboratory." UCRL-51458. Livermore, California: Lawrence
Livermore National Laboratory, 3 October 1973.
and P. Winchell.
-----. "Cloud Chemistry of Fallout Formation,
Final Report." GA-7597 (OCD Work Unit 3111A). San Diego,
California: 13 January 1967. (AD 814 721).
and H. G. Staley.
-----. "Cloud Chemistry of Fallout Formation,
Final Report." GA-8472 (OCD Work No. 3111A). San Diego,
California: Gulf General Atomic, 31 January 1968. (AD 832 727).
al. "Clojd
-et Chemistry of Fallout Formation, Final
Report." GA-9180 (OCD Work'No. 3111A. T.O. No. 3110(68)). San
Diego, California: Gulf General Atomic, 15 January 1970. -(AD
707 427).
et al. -..
"Spheres: Diffusion-Controlled Fission Product
Release and Absorption," Radionuclides in the Environment,
Advances in Chemistry Series No. 93. Washington, D.C., American
Chemical Society, 1970.
BIB-6
.. DELFIC: Department of Defense Fallout Prediction System,
Volume 11 - User's Manual." DNA5159F-2. Bedford,
Massachusetts: Atmospheric Science Associ&tes, 31 December 1979
b. (AD A088 512).
Pascual, J. N. "Bias in Fallout Data from Nuclear Surface Shot
Small Boy: An Evaluation of Sample Perturbation by Sieve
Sizing." USNRDL-TR-67-88. San Francisco: U.S. Naval
Radiological Defense Laboratory, 26 June 1967. (AD 820 147).
-and
E. C. Freiling. "Fractionation Versus Particle Type in
Nuclear Surface Shot Small Boy. Differences in Radiochemical
Composition Between Fritter and Spheroidal Particles."
USgRDL-TR-67-116. San Francisco: U.S. Naval Radiological
D fense Laboratory, 2 July 1967. (AD 660 655).
SIB-7
,
----------- "A Comparison Between
I. 3. Russell, and M. W. Nathans.
Cloud Samples and Close-In Ground Fallout Samples from Nuclear
Ground Bursts," Radionuclides in the Environment, Advances in
Chemistry Series No. 93, Washington, D.C.: American Chemical
Society, 1970.
BIB-8
m ~~ m ~
. .•. . .• . . . . .. .
Appendix A,
Introduction
Because of the ease and speeJ with which a model developed by the
"AirForce Institute of' Technology (Bridgman, 1982) can be used, and
because the Air Force Institute of Technology (AFIT) model has the
first model developed as part of this research was one which would
allow direct adaptation for use with the AFIT model. The new model
described here will' be termed the S-V model because it .eparates the
Model Description
The S-V model is a modification of Miller's method. The method
with cloud volume. Next, the amount of material which will dissolve
into a bulk liquid soil at that temperature is computed using Henry's
"A-i
portion of the fission product inventory is then saved temporarily in
* a large array. Those fission products which remained in the gas phase
are also saved in another array. The Bateman equations are solved
again to compute the decay of the solid phase fission products in the
first array to the time of interest, taken here to be H + 1 hour.
Those decay products, regardless af their volatility, are assumed to
be locked into a solid matrix and are distributed uniformly throughout
the volume of the fallout particles.
Next the second array, representing the gas phase, at soil
solidification, is ailowed to decay to H + 1. These fission products
* are then distributed according to the distribution of surface area for
the fallout particles. The assumption here is that the particles are
now solid and will not absorb any more fission products but may adsorb
them. A further assumption is that no particles leave the cloud until
all fission products have been absorbed. A refinement of the method
*allows the last assumption to be relaxed and is discussed in the
recoummendations.
* Discussion
The model, while it is very simplistic, does account in a direct
*way for the major processes involved in particle formation. Its major
drawbacks are that It does not account for the presence of crystalline
particles nor for the fact that larger particles will leave the active
region of the cloud earlier due to centrifugal or gravitational
forces. But because the model divides the fission product inventory
A-2
into a surface distributed component and a volume distributed
or
d, where
standard deviation s
A-3'
and
an go0 82
is the median for the n-th moment of the particle size distribution.
Since the two parts of the distribution have their activity computed
separately, this allows for two K-factor constants (these are used to
Convert from activity to dose rate) to be computed at the time of
interest. The effect of this is to allow for differences in the
average energy of emission for the two groups. In addition, the decay
is usually computed with the Way-Wigner formula which is approximately
correct for fission products taken as a whole, but when the debris is
fractionated, this method is no longer applicable. Freiling has shown
that at late time there is considerable difference between the rates
"of decay for the two groups (Freiling, 1964: 7-10). This formulation
allows for separate approximate rates of decay (perhaps curve fits
from a parametric study) to be used for each group.
"A.4
'Appendix B
137 CS
89 Sr
132 Te
"106 Ru
131 1
136 Cs'
140 Ba
103 Ru
91 V
"141 Ce
" 144 Ce
99 Mo
95 Zr
90 Sr
Least squares fits to the test data are shown on the plots as the.
solid straight lines. Mass chains 89 and 95 are reference chains,
B-1
A. 4
zz LLZLLJ
c,'
- 0.
c I.
U, -
E3 40L
• '3
l 'I
Dcc
ioo
i..S6 'Lei
A-
•. B-2
U) -
9CD
tow
iL 1. -
UC 00
°°'I I
U) I I
- B-3
\ .9
,% B-3
,* e+a
0
*C1
3. -L u
0 0 0M
too ( .
U. 6~
,P £
,€r
., -
0 r
IIiC
I( I
9%
;'
B0
-p.d
0*o
,.-96 '901 I
! Figure 25. Sniall Boy Fractionation Plots: Mass, Chain 106
•o-'
S:\
C)
I
1 0 - C
"LL.
-J 0 E3° -
J
-- gz 40 .
* (*)
I.°
6 "S Lg £ ,o
,; V"9L9S '
96 'Ie1
F,
,/ Figure 26. Small Boy Fracttonatton Plots: Mass Chain 131
8-
p"
i
0
I, ~0
-- ia~J
00
j
0
..
-l
15
0 0~
LU L
CL
E0 z 6 t
I S6I
-B-
•4. *1
"- B-
,p
. . .
'• ... •C...
I0'
cM
. 0
- r
-8-7
0 ,
o- O .
' I0I I
96 'Ofr1 8
B-7
pi
a/
I~
W /L
A. -- - ,
-aD
0 z
( SC
"IC- U E
II . 84
E ..
, 0
S6 '1OI 8
B-8
w
0-iaz U
CD I
=z z
*0 -L. 0
O~CO.
- 00
I-
S6 "16 8
B-9
CY
0
0- -
LLJ L&J
0 z- 3 0
-J- z
rUx
E 4
SC)
cJ
-. l'
I o
•n **'* .*.-
-----------------------
II
Figure 31A. Small Boy Fraction'ationl Plots: Mass Ch'ain 141
i.
- C3
,e,-ý jI ---
j
0 jz 9M CM•
4" 0 a z2.
"- a 00
,I I
ZO O
,...
C
BX-
V -F I I
,':" S6 " 1, 8
-** * B-11
%1 %
©
0
a.-
.1 CDa
0w
-j~
x0EC 0 0
Cr
bN
* .,.*..
S6 '66 8
Figure ?3. Small Boy Fractionation Plots: Mass Chain 99)
B-i
C CO
oz 2
-L 0 0
CD
i "j
-8-0
D F-I I - ..
2--4
!•-: 8-13
I ,
0 Appendix C
137 Cs
"89 Sr
132 Te
131 I
90 Sr
136 Cs
140 Ba
"91 Y
141 Ce
144 Ce
99 Mo
95 Zr
Least squares fits to the test data are shown on the plots as solid
C-i
-i
U. -
==- 0,0.;
La CCia
• •8,
%C
"F
z6a LE
,o.o
""- L't
"- •C-2
I !N
i N
ij m
a. - ~ Lz,L-3C
I :0 zCC
z ) C) 0-
.•,... -
€[ 0
E3
I I
~00
OCD
CD
[.7
C-3
//
*- J° , .. I
S0 -
o S*
z M-
LaD LA-
!X . I
- 0
E)
- 00
i r
Op
-. A
*0
?oo 0
96 le
i .%
I"*
C-4
'., 96 't•I 8
z.1
%*• -C-4
IL,
Z c
Cl 1°
,ot
a-oo
-L
II
t-
-- 6 L .
38. SFigure
Johnny Boy Fractionation Plots: Mass C;hain 90
-5 -
J
C•C
t•J IUi.
0
z z
0 9
, \-
Lz
ZO
--- 0
'961.8
0- /
S0C-6
o o -j-
0 c2
me -
LLA
22
El 4
0 m U0
-. * LI)1
o C)
X~S 01 I•:<l,
C-7
B6 '0•1 d
IFtgure ' 40. Johnny Boy Fractionati~on Plots•: Ma~ss Chain 140
C.-7
.11
C -w
a,-
-JJ U1
o z z 0CD
€
OZ Z 0
z z c.c
Uzz
Z~ LI
G6 '16'
C-8
/ ¾ \
C
IL. -
o -
zz
.Z 4
CrC
LVL.
•IS9L • I I I? L
SLr
0 T,
0' E
C-9
4† .. † † .
CD
Lj.j
Z wZ
0 00
0-o
cc4
a- ai . .. I '
LI K . 1C•I
cc-
C-)O
CD/
•' - .,,--.
' . , , , . ., .-' .''
T.-,"•k '" . .. ? .- .- . , ,,,. , . ,' -, ... - .. ,.,.I ,.,.• .. ..
°N
(I-
•L
mc- c
(J -
rCD
- SI
C-1
96 '66 ýi:
C-11
01
i 16L'
.",
Appendix D
D-1
.................-
. . . . . . . .. . . . .
CC
X X
La.J
W ~El 4
4L
Jz
,ES
•T 00
K'
it-I
| •• m • m • •0
Figure 45. Small Boy Specific Activity for Mass Chain 137
P-2
UjLai
00
,C :,
SU 00• i-
o ~ IZ
~ I SCJ
E --4Z
•C
I
B..
, r -,
,c°I
"C-
%0
00-
- I.
r.r
*... D-3
L, .J • o e :li
WLLI
aI x 00c
0)0
0 EI40
,c ,-
-i-
,-.~~X, WUZIdS3•I
b'÷ •
•; E- D-4-I
Figure 47. Snall Boy Specific Activity for Mass Chain 132
D-4
000
3- 00(
C -j
ONJ
30c
;~ M( z
i U
06. wu0cc
tjIJ 1.
cc4
w V))
060
A
W El
C:
0X7
0-5I
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