FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE INTERVIEWS: Tom Jensen 919-744-6312

October 3, 2011

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West Virginia race looking too close to call

Raleigh, N.C. The race for Governor of West Virginia is looking more and more like a toss up, with Democrat Earl Ray Tomblin now leading Republican Bill Maloney only 4746. Tomblin's lead was 46-40 on a poll conducted at the beginning of September and he had led by as large a margin as 33 points earlier in the year. A lot of money has been spent on attacking Tomblin in the closing weeks of the campaign and that appears to be taking its toll on the Governor's image. His net approval has dropped 13 points in the last four weeks from +25 (50/25) to just +12 (44/32). Attempts to saddle Tomblin with the burden of Barack Obama might be having an impact as well- the President's approval in the state is just 28%, with 63% of voters disapproving of him. When we polled West Virginia a month ago Maloney led by 65 points with Republicans and 5 points with independents. He currently leads by 65 points with Republicans and 4 points with independents. So there's basically been no change with those voting groups. The shift that's occurred has been with Democrats. Maloney's share of their vote has increased from 17% to 24%, while Tomblin has remained in place at 69%. Maloney has particularly made in roads with conservative Democrats- they now support Tomblin by only a 49-43 margin. Maloney has proven to be a pretty appealing candidate. 44% of voters have a favorable opinion of him to 33% with a negative one. This race is pretty unusual for the current political climate in that the electorate has a positive opinion of both candidates. But the momentum has been exclusively on Maloney's side over the course of the last 5 months. Bill Maloneys biggest enemy at this point is time, said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. With the way this race has been headed you have to think Maloney would win if he had another month. But since he only has another day Tomblin may be able to narrowly hold on. PPP surveyed 932 likely voters from September 30th to October 2nd.. The margin of error for the survey is +/-3.2%. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or political organization. PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews. PPP is a Democratic polling company, but polling expert Nate Silver of the New York Times found that its surveys in 2010 actually exhibited a slight bias toward Republican candidates.
Public Policy Polling 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 Phone: 888 621-6988 Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com Email: information@publicpolicypolling.com

Public Policy Polling 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604

Phone: 888 621-6988 Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com Email: information@publicpolicypolling.com

West Virginia Survey Results

Q1 The candidates for Governor are Republican Bill Maloney and Democrat Earl Ray Tomblin. If the election was today, who would you vote for?
Bill Maloney........... 46% Undecided ............. 7% Earl Ray Tomblin ... 47%

Q8

Would you describe yourself as very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, or very conservative?
Very liberal ...................................................... 11% Somewhat liberal ............................................ 14% Moderate......................................................... 25% Somewhat conservative.................................. 26% Very conservative ........................................... 23%

Q2

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Bill Maloney?

Favorable........................................................ 44% Unfavorable .................................................... 33% Not sure .......................................................... 23%

Q9

If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

Woman ........................................................... 52% Man................................................................. 48%

Q3

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Earl Ray Tomblins job performance?

Approve................. 44% Not sure ................ 23% Disapprove ............ 32%

Q10 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican, press 2. If you are an independent or identify with another party, press 3.
Democrat ........................................................ 55% Republican...................................................... 35% Independent/Other .......................................... 9%

Q4

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obamas job performance?

Approve .......................................................... 28% Disapprove...................................................... 63% Not sure .......................................................... 9%

Q11 If you are white, press 1. If other, press 2.

White .............................................................. 94% Other............................................................... 6%

Q5

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Joe Manchin's job performance?

Approve ..................61% Not sure ..................15% Disapprove..............23%

Q12 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to 45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are older than 65, press 4.
18 to 29........................................................... 16% 30 to 45........................................................... 18% 46 to 65........................................................... 38% Older than 65 .................................................. 28%

Q6

If the candidates for Senate next year were Democrat Joe Manchin and Republican Bill Maloney, who would you vote for?
Joe Manchin.......... 60% Undecided ............. 11% Bill Maloney........... 29%

Q7

Who did you vote for President in 2008?

John McCain................................................... 51% Barack Obama................................................ 36% Someone else/Don't remember ...................... 13%

September 30-October 2, 2011

Survey of 932 likely voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2008 Vote John Barack Som eone else/Don't Base McCain Obam a rem em ber Maloney/Tom blin Bill Maloney 46% Earl Ray Tom blin 47% Undecided 7% 74% 20% 6% 12% 84% 3% 31% 46% 22% Maloney Favorability Favorable 44% Unfavorable 33% Not sure 23%

2008 Vote John Barack Som eone else/Don't Base McCain Obam a rem em ber

65% 15% 20%

19% 59% 22%

32% 29% 40%

2008 Vote John Barack Som eone else/Don't Base McCain Obam a rem em ber Tom blin Approval Approve 44% Disapprove 32% Not sure 23% 26% 49% 25% 70% 13% 18% 45% 22% 32% Obam a Approval Approve 28% Disapprove 63% Not sure 9%

2008 Vote John Barack Som eone else/Don't Base McCain Obam a rem em ber

3% 94% 2%

68% 20% 12%

14% 59% 27%

September 30-October 2, 2011

survey of 932 likely voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2008 Vote John Barack Som eone else/Don't Base McCain Obam a rem em ber Manchin Approval Approve 61% Disapprove 23% Not sure 15% 57% 27% 16% 68% 19% 13% 61% 18% 21% Manchin/Maloney Joe Manchin 60% Bill Maloney 29% Undecided 11%

2008 Vote John Barack Som eone else/Don't Base McCain Obam a rem em ber

43% 46% 12%

86% 8% 6%

56% 20% 23%

Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very liberal Moderate conservative conservative Base liberal Maloney/Tom blin Bill Maloney 46% Earl Ray Tom blin 47% Undecided 7% 28% 61% 11% 17% 82% 1% 28% 65% 8% 57% 35% 8% 79% 14% 7% Maloney Favorability Favorable 44% Unfavorable 33% Not sure 23%

Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very liberal Moderate conservative conservative Base liberal

31% 46% 23%

24% 57% 20%

27% 45% 28%

52% 22% 25%

70% 11% 19%

September 30-October 2, 2011

survey of 932 likely voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very liberal Moderate conservative conservative Base liberal Tom blin Approval Approve 44% Disapprove 32% Not sure 23% 57% 22% 21% 64% 16% 20% 60% 17% 23% 38% 38% 24% 16% 59% 25% Obam a Approval Approve 28% Disapprove 63% Not sure 9%

Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very liberal Moderate conservative conservative Base liberal

57% 40% 3%

60% 33% 7%

36% 44% 20%

13% 81% 6%

5% 92% 3%

Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very liberal Moderate conservative conservative Base liberal Manchin Approval Approve 61% Disapprove 23% Not sure 15% 64% 27% 9% 66% 18% 16% 66% 18% 15% 65% 20% 15% 48% 33% 19% Manchin/Maloney Joe Manchin 60% Bill Maloney 29% Undecided 11%

Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very liberal Moderate conservative conservative Base liberal

78% 17% 5%

81% 15% 4%

75% 15% 11%

56% 32% 11%

27% 54% 19%

September 30-October 2, 2011

survey of 932 likely voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Gender Base Wom an Maloney/Tom blin Bill Maloney 46% Earl Ray Tom blin 47% Undecided 7% 44% 48% 8% 48% 46% 6% Man Maloney Favorability Favorable 44% Unfavorable 33% Not sure 23%

Gender Base Wom an Man

42% 29% 28%

45% 37% 18%

Gender Base Wom an Tom blin Approval Approve 44% Disapprove 32% Not sure 23% 45% 27% 28% 44% 38% 18% Man Obam a Approval Approve 28% Disapprove 63% Not sure 9%

Gender Base Wom an Man

30% 60% 10%

27% 66% 7%

September 30-October 2, 2011

survey of 932 likely voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Gender Base Wom an Manchin Approval Approve 61% Disapprove 23% Not sure 15% 61% 21% 18% 62% 25% 12% Man Manchin/Maloney Joe Manchin 60% Bill Maloney 29% Undecided 11%

Gender Base Wom an Man

58% 27% 14%

62% 30% 8%

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Maloney/Tom blin Bill Maloney 46% Earl Ray Tom blin 47% Undecided 7% 24% 69% 6% 80% 15% 4% 41% 37% 21% Maloney Favorability Favorable 44% Unfavorable 33% Not sure 23%

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other

29% 48% 23%

68% 11% 22%

39% 29% 32%

September 30-October 2, 2011

survey of 932 likely voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Tom blin Approval Approve 44% Disapprove 32% Not sure 23% 61% 20% 19% 21% 50% 29% 35% 40% 25% Obam a Approval Approve 28% Disapprove 63% Not sure 9%

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other

45% 44% 11%

5% 91% 4%

16% 69% 14%

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Manchin Approval Approve 61% Disapprove 23% Not sure 15% 68% 19% 13% 52% 30% 18% 54% 24% 22% Manchin/Maloney Joe Manchin 60% Bill Maloney 29% Undecided 11%

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other

78% 15% 7%

34% 52% 14%

53% 25% 22%

September 30-October 2, 2011

survey of 932 likely voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Race Base White Other Maloney/Tom blin Bill Maloney 46% Earl Ray Tom blin 47% Undecided 7% 47% 47% 6% 31% 50% 19% Maloney Favorability Favorable 44% Unfavorable 33% Not sure 23%

Race Base White Other

44% 33% 23%

42% 34% 24%

Race Base White Other Tom blin Approval Approve 44% Disapprove 32% Not sure 23% 44% 32% 23% 43% 34% 23% Obam a Approval Approve 28% Disapprove 63% Not sure 9%

Race Base White Other

28% 63% 9%

35% 57% 8%

September 30-October 2, 2011

survey of 932 likely voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Race Base White Other Manchin Approval Approve 61% Disapprove 23% Not sure 15% 62% 23% 15% 53% 30% 17% Manchin/Maloney Joe Manchin 60% Bill Maloney 29% Undecided 11%

Race Base White Other

61% 29% 11%

54% 31% 15%

Age Base Maloney/Tom blin Bill Maloney 46% Earl Ray Tom blin 47% Undecided 7% 42% 45% 13% 49% 39% 12% 46% 50% 4% 45% 50% 5% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65 Maloney Favorability Favorable 44% Unfavorable 33% Not sure 23% Base

Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

42% 28% 30%

47% 30% 23%

43% 34% 23%

43% 36% 21%

September 30-October 2, 2011

survey of 932 likely voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Age Base Tom blin Approval Approve 44% Disapprove 32% Not sure 23% 43% 31% 26% 43% 39% 19% 45% 32% 23% 45% 30% 25% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65 Obam a Approval Approve 28% Disapprove 63% Not sure 9% Base

Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

39% 52% 9%

18% 74% 8%

28% 66% 6%

31% 57% 12%

Age Base Manchin Approval Approve 61% Disapprove 23% Not sure 15% 58% 27% 15% 55% 28% 17% 64% 23% 14% 64% 19% 17% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65 Manchin/Maloney Joe Manchin 60% Bill Maloney 29% Undecided 11% Base

Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

59% 31% 10%

52% 35% 13%

63% 26% 10%

62% 27% 11%

September 30-October 2, 2011

survey of 932 likely voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988