You Gov Tracking Report, 11.1.11

Interviewing: October 29-November 1, 2011
Sample: 1000 Adults nationwide online

711 registered voters nationwide online
806 D Street, SE
Washington, DC 20003
Contact:
Thomas Riehle
Ph: (202) 544-2550
The Economist/YouGov Poll

2011 Weekly Tracking
For immediate release

October 29-November 1, 2011
1. Approval of Obama as President Historical
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
All Adults

October 22-25, 2011
October 15-18, 2011
October 8-11, 2011
October 1-4, 2011
September 24-27, 2011
September 3-6, 2011
August 27-30, 2011
July 23-26, 2011
One Year Ago
Total
Approve
Total
Disapprove
Strongly
Approve
Somewhat
Approve
Somewhat
Disapprove
Strongly
Disapprove
Not
Sure
41%
42%
38%
39%
39%
39%
36%
40%
39%
38%
42%
42%
52%
49%
53%
53%
53%
53%
56%
53%
53%
54%
48%
53%
16%
16%
14%
14%
14%
14%
14%
14%
12%
13%
16%
17%
25%
26%
24%
25%
25%
25%
22%
26%
27%
25%
26%
25%
15%
14%
15%
12%
17%
15%
16%
15%
17%
16%
14%
13%
37%
35%
38%
41%
36%
38%
40%
38%
36%
38%
34%
40%
8%
9%
8%
8%
8%
8%
9%
7%
8%
7%
10%
6%
Registered Voters

October 22-25, 2011
October 15-18, 2011
October 8-11, 2011
October 1-4, 2011
September 3-6, 2011
August 27-30, 2011
July 23-26, 2011
One Year Ago
Total
Approve
Total
Disapprove
Strongly
Approve
Somewhat
Approve
Somewhat
Disapprove
Strongly
Disapprove
Not
Sure
44%
44%
42%
44%
43%
41%
38%
42%
41%
40%
44%
44%
52%
53%
54%
53%
53%
57%
58%
56%
56%
55%
52%
54%
19%
18%
17%
18%
17%
15%
16%
16%
15%
14%
17%
20%
25%
26%
25%
26%
26%
26%
22%
26%
26%
26%
27%
24%
13%
12%
11%
10%
14%
15%
14%
13%
15%
14%
12%
11%
39%
41%
43%
43%
39%
42%
44%
43%
41%
41%
40%
43%
4%
3%
4%
4%
4%
2%
3%
3%
3%
4%
4%
2%

Obama Approval
"Do you approve or disapprove of the way

Barack Obama is handling his job as President?"
70
Disapprove: 52%
Percent of Respondents
60
50
40
30
Approve: 41%
20
10
2009
2010
2011
Figure 1: Obama Approval All Adults

Obama Approval
"Do you approve or disapprove of the way

Barack Obama is handling his job as President?"
70
Percent of Registered Voters
Disapprove: 52%
60
50
40
Approve: 44%
30
20
10
2009
2010
2011
Figure 2: Obama Approval Registered Voters

2. Approval of Obama as President This Week

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
Age
Total
Strongly Approve
Somewhat
Approve
Somewhat
Disapprove
Strongly
Disapprove
Not Sure
Totals
(Unweighted)
18-29
30-64
Race
65+
White
Totals
(Unweighted)
Black
Hispanic
Male
Education
Female
HS or Less
Some College
College Grad
16.2%
11.2%
16.5%
21.3%
13.8%
41.9%
6.5%
13.4%
18.6%
14.5%
14.8%
20.5%
24.7%
32.9%
23.6%
18.2%
22.5%
29.9%
39.7%
25.3%
24.2%
21.8%
24.6%
29.8%
14.5%
18.7%
14.3%
9.9%
15.6%
8.8%
11.2%
13.3%
15.6%
16.2%
13.3%
13.0%
37.0%
7.6%
22.3%
14.8%
38.7%
6.9%
49.7%
0.9%
41.6%
6.5%
2.1%
17.3%
36.5%
6.1%
42.7%
5.3%
32.0%
9.6%
37.5%
9.9%
39.1%
8.1%
33.7%
3.0%
100.0%
(999)
100.0%
(153)
100.0%
(688)
100.0%
(158)
100.0%
(808)
100.0%
(111)
100.0%
(80)
100.0%
(449)
100.0%
(550)
100.0%
(402)
100.0%
(333)
100.0%
(264)
Party ID
Strongly Approve
Somewhat
Approve
Somewhat
Disapprove
Strongly
Disapprove
Not Sure
Gender
Total
Dem
16.2%
Ideology
Lib
Mod
Region
Con
Northeast
Midwest
Family Income
Rep
Ind
South
West
Under 40
40-100
100+
37.4%
1.1%
11.7%
32.1%
19.6%
7.5%
18.0%
21.4%
12.5%
15.4%
14.7%
15.8%
17.9%
24.7%
41.3%
4.5%
26.4%
49.2%
33.9%
6.7%
31.1%
22.5%
25.0%
21.1%
25.6%
25.3%
26.6%
14.5%
8.9%
14.5%
21.1%
11.2%
17.8%
12.7%
9.9%
14.3%
14.8%
18.1%
18.0%
14.2%
6.8%
37.0%
7.6%
7.8%
4.5%
77.4%
2.5%
34.2%
6.6%
4.1%
3.4%
21.8%
6.9%
70.8%
2.3%
35.0%
6.0%
36.8%
5.1%
37.6%
10.1%
38.0%
7.3%
32.8%
9.0%
39.4%
5.2%
43.7%
5.0%
100.0%
(999)
100.0%
(365)
100.0%
(259)
100.0%
(282)
100.0%
(197)
100.0%
(370)
100.0%
(317)
100.0%
(176)
100.0%
(227)
100.0%
(370)
100.0%
(226)
100.0%
(411)
100.0%
(368)
100.0%
(126)

3. Approval of U.S. Congress Historical
Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way that the United States Congress is handling its job?
All Adults

October 22-25, 2011
October 15-18, 2011
October 8-11, 2011
October 1-4, 2011
September 3-6, 2011
August 27-30, 2011
July 23-26, 2011
One Year Ago
Total
Approve
Total
Disapprove
Strongly
Approve
Somewhat
Approve
Neutral
Somewhat
Disapprove
Strongly
Disapprove
Not
Sure
9%
8%
7%
7%
8%
7%
11%
9%
9%
8%
13%
10%
68%
67%
68%
71%
69%
70%
65%
69%
69%
70%
63%
70%
2%
1%
1%
2%
1%
1%
2%
1%
2%
2%
3%
1%
7%
7%
6%
5%
7%
6%
9%
8%
7%
6%
10%
9%
11%
14%
16%
11%
16%
13%
16%
12%
15%
14%
14%
12%
22%
24%
24%
22%
24%
23%
21%
22%
24%
24%
26%
23%
46%
43%
44%
49%
45%
47%
44%
47%
45%
46%
37%
47%
12%
10%
9%
11%
8%
9%
9%
10%
8%
9%
9%
8%
Registered Voters

October 22-25, 2011
October 15-18, 2011
October 8-11, 2011
October 1-4, 2011
September 3-6, 2011
August 27-30, 2011
July 23-26, 2011
One Year Ago
Total
Approve
Total
Disapprove
Strongly
Approve
Somewhat
Approve
Neutral
Somewhat
Disapprove
Strongly
Disapprove
Not
Sure
8%
10%
8%
8%
9%
10%
12%
10%
8%
8%
12%
11%
76%
75%
75%
79%
74%
75%
71%
77%
76%
76%
70%
74%
2%
1%
1%
3%
1%
2%
2%
1%
2%
2%
1%
1%
6%
9%
7%
5%
8%
8%
10%
9%
6%
6%
11%
10%
10%
10%
11%
8%
12%
11%
12%
10%
12%
12%
14%
10%
24%
24%
26%
25%
23%
24%
22%
23%
25%
25%
29%
23%
52%
51%
49%
54%
51%
51%
49%
54%
51%
51%
41%
51%
6%
5%
5%
6%
4%
4%
5%
4%
5%
4%
5%
5%

Congress Approval
"Do you approve of the way the

U.S. Congress is handling its job?"
Disapprove: 68%
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
Approve: 9%
0
2009
2010
2011
Figure 3: Congress Approval All Adults

Congress Approval
"Do you approve of the way the

U.S. Congress is handling its job?"
90
Disapprove: 76%
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
Approve: 8%
0
2009
2010
2011
Figure 4: Congress Approval Registered Voters

4. Approval of U.S. Congress This Week

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way that the United States Congress is handling its job?
Age
Total
Strongly approve
Somewhat
approve
Neither approve
nor disapprove
Somewhat
disapprove
Strongly
disapprove
Not sure
Totals
(Unweighted)
18-29
30-64
Race
65+
White
Totals
(Unweighted)
Black
Hispanic
Male
Education
Female
HS or Less
Some College
College Grad
2.0%
0.8%
2.2%
2.5%
2.0%
2.6%
0.7%
2.7%
1.3%
2.3%
1.7%
1.6%
6.9%
6.5%
7.2%
6.4%
7.2%
7.9%
3.3%
5.6%
8.1%
7.9%
7.8%
4.1%
10.6%
8.3%
12.6%
5.4%
7.8%
18.3%
27.2%
11.9%
9.3%
11.4%
10.6%
9.0%
22.0%
25.1%
20.4%
24.1%
23.0%
13.4%
24.0%
22.9%
21.2%
19.1%
25.1%
23.4%
46.2%
12.4%
33.9%
25.4%
47.6%
10.0%
56.6%
4.9%
49.3%
10.8%
33.5%
24.4%
32.7%
12.1%
49.9%
7.0%
42.8%
17.3%
41.2%
18.1%
42.1%
12.7%
59.4%
2.3%
100.0%
(995)
100.0%
(151)
100.0%
(687)
100.0%
(157)
100.0%
(804)
100.0%
(111)
100.0%
(80)
100.0%
(450)
100.0%
(545)
100.0%
(400)
100.0%
(332)
100.0%
(263)
Party ID
Strongly approve
Somewhat
approve
Neither approve
nor disapprove
Somewhat
disapprove
Strongly
disapprove
Not sure
Gender
Ideology
Ind
Lib
Mod
Region
Con
Northeast
Midwest
Family Income
Total
Dem
Rep
South
West
Under 40
40-100
100+
2.0%
3.0%
1.7%
1.6%
0.9%
0.6%
5.2%
3.0%
1.9%
1.0%
2.7%
1.7%
1.8%
4.9%
6.9%
6.5%
10.1%
5.3%
4.7%
6.4%
10.5%
7.1%
3.4%
10.7%
4.0%
8.1%
7.0%
4.6%
10.6%
11.0%
12.6%
9.1%
4.1%
14.6%
10.3%
14.7%
9.1%
10.7%
8.3%
12.4%
12.0%
4.6%
22.0%
19.1%
35.9%
19.4%
20.2%
19.7%
31.8%
15.8%
26.4%
23.6%
20.1%
18.4%
25.4%
30.0%
46.2%
12.4%
52.7%
7.7%
33.9%
5.8%
58.4%
6.1%
66.6%
3.6%
51.1%
7.5%
37.3%
5.0%
49.2%
10.2%
49.2%
9.9%
38.2%
15.8%
53.7%
11.2%
43.1%
16.3%
46.6%
7.2%
54.1%
1.8%
100.0%
(995)
100.0%
(365)
100.0%
(257)
100.0%
(282)
100.0%
(196)
100.0%
(368)
100.0%
(317)
100.0%
(175)
100.0%
(226)
100.0%
(369)
100.0%
(225)
100.0%
(406)
100.0%
(368)
100.0%
(126)

7. Direction of country Historical
Would you say things in this country today are...
All Adults

October 22-25, 2011
October 15-18, 2011
October 8-11, 2011
October 1-4, 2011
September 3-6, 2011
August 27-30, 2011
July 23-26, 2011
One Year Ago
Right
Track
Wrong
Direction
Not
Sure
13%
17%
14%
13%
15%
12%
14%
12%
15%
14%
16%
29%
71%
68%
72%
72%
70%
72%
72%
73%
70%
70%
70%
58%
16%
15%
14%
15%
14%
15%
15%
15%
15%
15%
15%
12%
Registered Voters

October 22-25, 2011
October 15-18, 2011
October 8-11, 2011
October 1-4, 2011
September 3-6, 2011
August 27-30, 2011
July 23-26, 2011
One Year Ago
Right
Track
Wrong
Direction
Not
Sure
16%
18%
16%
15%
16%
12%
14%
13%
15%
15%
14%
30%
73%
70%
72%
72%
73%
76%
76%
77%
73%
73%
73%
60%
11%
12%
12%
13%
10%
12%
10%
10%
12%
12%
13%
9%
10

Direction of Country
"Would you say things in this country today are

generally headed in the right direction
or off on the wrong track?"
Wrong: 71%
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
Right: 13%
0
2009
2010
2011
Figure 5: Direction of Country All Adults
11

Direction of Country
"Would you say things in this country today are

generally headed in the right direction
or off on the wrong track?"
90
Wrong: 73%
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
Right: 16%
0
2009
2010
2011
Figure 6: Direction of Country Registered Voters
12

8. Direction of Country This Week

Would you say things in this country today are...
Age
Total
Generally
headed in the
right direction
Off on the wrong
track
Not sure
Totals
(Unweighted)
18-29
30-64
Race
65+
White
Totals
(Unweighted)
Black
Hispanic
Male
Education
Female
HS or Less
Some College
College Grad
13.0%
12.6%
12.7%
15.1%
10.3%
32.9%
13.8%
9.9%
15.8%
12.6%
13.2%
13.7%
70.5%
16.4%
61.5%
25.9%
72.8%
14.5%
73.4%
11.5%
75.1%
14.6%
35.0%
32.1%
72.6%
13.5%
76.3%
13.8%
65.4%
18.8%
69.9%
17.5%
68.1%
18.7%
74.3%
12.0%
100.0%
(998)
100.0%
(151)
100.0%
(689)
100.0%
(158)
100.0%
(806)
100.0%
(112)
100.0%
(80)
100.0%
(450)
100.0%
(548)
100.0%
(401)
100.0%
(333)
100.0%
(264)
Party ID
Generally
headed in the
right direction
Off on the wrong
track
Not sure
Gender
Total
Dem
13.0%
Ideology
Lib
Mod
Region
Con
Northeast
Midwest
Family Income
Rep
Ind
South
West
Under 40
40-100
100+
27.6%
2.9%
10.5%
20.5%
19.2%
5.1%
18.2%
16.6%
10.3%
9.7%
13.5%
13.5%
12.7%
70.5%
16.4%
54.9%
17.4%
89.4%
7.7%
78.9%
10.5%
61.1%
18.4%
67.5%
13.2%
84.9%
10.1%
61.4%
20.3%
74.4%
9.0%
70.8%
18.9%
73.9%
16.3%
69.9%
16.6%
70.6%
16.0%
77.7%
9.7%
100.0%
(998)
100.0%
(366)
100.0%
(259)
100.0%
(282)
100.0%
(197)
100.0%
(369)
100.0%
(318)
100.0%
(176)
100.0%
(226)
100.0%
(370)
100.0%
(226)
100.0%
(409)
100.0%
(368)
100.0%
(126)
13

7. Congressional Vote Intention Historical
If an election for U.S. Congress were being held today, who would you vote for in the district where you live?
Registered Voters

October 22-25, 2011
October 15-18, 2011
October 8-11, 2011
October 1-4, 2011
September 3-6, 2011
August 27-30, 2011
The Democratic
Party candidate
The Republican
Party candidate
Other
Not sure
I would not vote
39%
40%
41%
40%
40%
38%
40%
41%
45%
40%
36%
39%
37%
38%
38%
39%
41%
38%
36%
37%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
4%
3%
2%
2%
0%
19%
17%
17%
17%
18%
16%
13%
18%
15%
20%
4%
3%
3%
2%
2%
3%
3%
1%
3%
3%
14

2012 Congressional Vote Intention
"If an election for U.S. Congress were being held today,

who would you vote for in the district where you live?"
50
Democratic candidate: 39%
40
Republican candidate: 36%

30
August
2011
September
2011
October
2011
November
2011
Figure 7: Congressional Vote Intention Registered Voters
15

10. Congressional Vote Intention This Week

If an election for U.S. Congress were being held today, who would you vote for in the district where you live?
Asked of registered voters
Age
Total
The Democratic
Party candidate
The Republican
Party candidate
Other
Not sure
I would not vote
Totals
(Unweighted)
18-29
30-64
Race
65+
White
Totals
(Unweighted)
Black
Hispanic
Male
Education
Female
HS or Less
Some College
College Grad
38.7%
48.1%
37.3%
36.3%
32.6%
77.6%
46.2%
36.4%
40.7%
34.0%
39.0%
44.1%
35.6%
2.1%
19.5%
4.1%
21.9%
0.7%
25.8%
3.4%
35.8%
2.8%
19.1%
5.0%
45.3%
0.6%
16.0%
1.9%
40.7%
2.4%
21.1%
3.2%
4.5%
0.7%
8.9%
8.3%
27.3%
17.7%
8.7%
41.4%
3.1%
14.7%
4.3%
30.8%
1.2%
23.4%
4.0%
28.0%
1.2%
27.4%
9.4%
40.9%
2.2%
16.8%
1.2%
38.9%
3.0%
12.9%
1.1%
100.0%
(850)
100.0%
(110)
100.0%
(593)
100.0%
(147)
100.0%
(685)
100.0%
(101)
100.0%
(64)
100.0%
(401)
100.0%
(449)
100.0%
(311)
100.0%
(296)
100.0%
(243)
Party ID
The Democratic
Party candidate
The Republican
Party candidate
Other
Not sure
I would not vote
Gender
Total
Dem
38.7%
Ideology
Lib
Mod
Region
Con
Northeast
Midwest
Family Income
Rep
Ind
South
West
Under 40
40-100
100+
83.2%
1.0%
27.4%
81.2%
47.9%
9.6%
43.6%
40.7%
36.8%
35.5%
43.9%
35.6%
33.4%
35.6%
2.1%
19.5%
4.1%
1.8%
0.2%
12.6%
2.2%
87.6%
0.9%
9.9%
0.5%
31.2%
5.3%
31.2%
5.0%
2.6%
1.4%
11.6%
3.2%
17.8%
2.6%
29.1%
2.6%
77.1%
1.0%
9.9%
2.4%
28.6%
0.9%
25.3%
1.5%
33.8%
1.3%
19.2%
5.0%
39.7%
2.9%
16.8%
3.8%
36.8%
2.4%
19.4%
5.9%
25.6%
0.5%
23.5%
6.5%
41.3%
1.9%
18.1%
3.1%
46.5%
3.6%
16.5%
100.0%
(850)
100.0%
(329)
100.0%
(234)
100.0%
(242)
100.0%
(177)
100.0%
(320)
100.0%
(290)
100.0%
(144)
100.0%
(203)
100.0%
(310)
100.0%
(193)
100.0%
(321)
100.0%
(332)
100.0%
(121)
16

Sponsorship
The Economist
Fieldwork
YouGov
Interviewing Dates
Target population
U.S. citizens, aged 18 and over.
Sampling method
Respondents were selected from YouGovs PollingPoint panel using

sample matching. A random sample (stratified by age, gender, race,
education, and region) was selected from the 20052007 American
Community Study. Voter registration, turnout, religion, news interest,
minor party identification, and non-placement on an ideology scale,
were imputed from the 2008 Current Population Survey Registration
and Voting Supplement and the Pew Religion in American Life Survey.
Matching respondents were selected from the PollingPoint panel, an
opt-in Internet panel.
Weighting
The sample was weighted using propensity scores based on age,

gender, race, education, news interest, voter registration, and nonplacement on an ideology scale. The weights range from 0.46 to 4.17,
with a mean of one and a standard deviation of 0.7.
Number of respondents
1,000
Margin of error
3.9% (adjusted for weighting)
Margin of error (Registered Voters)
4.2% (adjusted for weighting)
Survey mode
Web-based interviews
Full results
Available online at
http://today.yougov.com/news/categories/economist/.
17

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Interviewing: October 29-November 1, 2011

Sample: 1000 Adults nationwide online

The Economist/YouGov Poll

The Economist/YouGov Poll

October 29-November 1, 2011

October 29-November 1, 2011

The Economist/YouGov Poll

"Do you approve or disapprove of the way

Figure 1: Obama Approval All Adults

The Economist/YouGov Poll

"Do you approve or disapprove of the way

Figure 2: Obama Approval Registered Voters

The Economist/YouGov Poll

2. Approval of Obama as President This Week

The Economist/YouGov Poll

October 29-November 1, 2011

October 29-November 1, 2011

The Economist/YouGov Poll

"Do you approve of the way the

Figure 3: Congress Approval All Adults

The Economist/YouGov Poll

"Do you approve of the way the

Percent of Registered Voters

Figure 4: Congress Approval Registered Voters

The Economist/YouGov Poll

4. Approval of U.S. Congress This Week

The Economist/YouGov Poll

October 29-November 1, 2011

October 29-November 1, 2011

The Economist/YouGov Poll

"Would you say things in this country today are

Figure 5: Direction of Country All Adults

The Economist/YouGov Poll

"Would you say things in this country today are

Percent of Registered Voters

Figure 6: Direction of Country Registered Voters

The Economist/YouGov Poll

8. Direction of Country This Week

The Economist/YouGov Poll

October 29-November 1, 2011

I would not vote

The Economist/YouGov Poll

2012 Congressional Vote Intention

"If an election for U.S. Congress were being held today,

Percent of Registered Voters

Republican candidate: 36%

Figure 7: Congressional Vote Intention Registered Voters

The Economist/YouGov Poll

10. Congressional Vote Intention This Week

The Economist/YouGov Poll

October 29-November 1, 2011

U.S. citizens, aged 18 and over.

Respondents were selected from YouGovs PollingPoint panel using

The sample was weighted using propensity scores based on age,

3.9% (adjusted for weighting)

Margin of error (Registered Voters)

4.2% (adjusted for weighting)

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