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SUMMARY PENENTUAN TINGKAT KETIMPANGAN PENDAPATAN DI INDONESIA DENGAN PENDEKATAN MULTIVARIATE ADAPTIVE REGRESSION SPLINE
DETERMINING INCOME SPREAD LEVEL IN INDONESIA BY MULTIVARIATE ADAPTIVE REGRESSION SPLINE APPROACH Created by Ratnaningrum, Adi Subject Subject Alt Keyword : : Analisis regresi : Regression analysis : indeks gini ; ketimpangan sosial ekonomi ; multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) ; pemerataan pendapatan

Description :
Kenyataan adanya perbedaan kapasitas daerah untuk berkembang, baik potensi sumberdaya alam ataupun sumberdaya manusia, maka tidak dapat dipungkiri bahwa proses pembangunan telah menghasilkan perbedaan-perbedaan antara satu wilayah dengan wilayah lainnya seperti pendapatan perkapita. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui seberapa besar variabel sosial ekonomi mempengaruhi pendapatan perkapita suatu wilayah dan bertujuan untuk mengetahui batas tingkat ketimpangan pemerataan pendapatan menggunakan Multivariate Adaptive Regression Spline (MARS). Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa distribusi pendapatan tahun 2007 mencapai tingkat ketidakmerataan maksimal pada kondisi pendapatan perkapita dibawah 16.699.500 rupiah dan hal ini didasarkan pada indeks gini. Sedangkan jumlah variabel prediktor yang berkontribusi dalam model pendapatan perkapita ada sebanyak 9 variabel. Kesembilan variabel tersebut memberikan kontribusi terhadap model pendapatan perkapita secara berturut-turut adalah kepadatan penduduk (X1) sebesar 100%, kontribusi sekttor tersier (X9) sebesar 38,93%, kontribusi PMTB (X5) sebesar 26,44%, rasio ketergantungan (X4) sebesar 21,6%, kontribusi sektor primer (X7) sebesar 19,72%, kontribusi konsumsi rumahtangga (X6) sebesar 11,75%, inflasi (X10) sebesar 9,76%, pendidikan (X3) sebesar 7,37%, dan kontribusi sektor sekunder (X8) sebesar 6,68%. Meskipun ketepatan klasifikasi model MARS secara keseluruhan hanya sebesar 35,48 persen, namun ketepatan penentuan klasifikasi provinsi yang timpang tepat sebesar 100 persen.

Description Alt:
The fact that there are differences in a regions capacity to developt in either the natural resources or human resources makes awareness that the development process has produce many differences among one region to another. The aim of this research is to know how much does the social economic variable influence a regions income per capita as well as to discover the boundary of income spread level by using the Multivariate Adaptive Regression Spline (MARS) aproach. Results show that the income distribution reach the maximal imbalance when the income percapita is under 16.699.500 rupiahs based on Gini Index. Number of predictor variables which have contributions in the model of income percapita are 9 variables. Those nine variables contributions in to the model in order are population density (X1) 100 %; tertiery sector (X9) for 38,93%; PMTB (investment) (X5) for 26,44%; dependancy ratio (X4) for 21,6%; primary sector (X7) for 19,72%; household consumption (X6) for 11,75%; inflation (X10) for 9,76%; education (X3) for 7,37%; and secundary sector (X8) for 6,68%. Although the overall accuracy of MARS clasification model is just 35,48%, the accuracy of province clasification imbalance reach exactly 100%.

Contributor

: Dr. Bambang Widjanarko Otok, M.Si.

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Date Create Type Format Language Identifier Collection Call Number Source COverage Right

: 28/08/2009 : Text : pdf. : Indonesian : ITS-Master-3100009035139 : 3100009035139 : RTSt 519.536 Adi p : Master Theses of Statistic, RTSt 519.536 Adi p, 2009 : ITS Community Only : Copyright @2009 by ITS Library. This publication is protected by copyright and permission should be obtained from the ITS Library prior to any prohibited reproduction, storage in a retrievel system, or transmission in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or likewise. For information regarding permission(s), write to ITS Library

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