To: Interested Parties From: Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee RE: State of play in Pennsylvania DEMOCRATS REMAIN IN STRONG

POSITION TO PICK UP PENNSYLVANIA SEATS IN 2012 As Pennsylvania Democrats look ahead to 2012, they remain in a strong position to win back seats across the Commonwealth. Despite a closed-door process full of backroom deals and no public input and slammed by community leaders, editorial boards, and ordinary Pennsylvanians Democrats remain competitive in Republican-held seats from Bucks County to Butler County. In 2002, Pennsylvania Republicans overreached in their effort to expand their majority, which backfired badly and resulted in Republicans losing even more seats because of it. Republicans have once again overpromised and under-delivered. This map ensures competitive races across the state for the next decade. KEY POINTS: Sen. Bob Casey won 15 of 18 seats in 2006, and his presence on the ticket in 2012 will bring voters out and help boost downballot races. Only 13 of the old 19 seats were carried by Sen. Casey. President Barack Obama won five seats currently held by Republican members of Congress. His re-election campaign will run a massive turnout operation in 2012 which will help congressional candidates, particularly in key suburban districts. President Obama and Sen. John Kerry carried PA-08, in 2008 and 2004, respectively. Prior to redistricting in states across the

country, only 14 Republicans represented districts that both the President and Sen. Kerry won. The new PA-06, PA-07, PA-08, and PA-15 are all more Democratic than the districts currently represented in Congress by Democratic Rep. Jason Altmire (PA-04) and Democratic Rep. Tim Holden (PA-17). Both Reps. Altmire and Holden won in 2010. Republican incumbents will have to introduce themselves to new voters, and many of those voters will only be familiar with Republicans recent votes to end Medicare as we know it and block a middle class tax cut for 160 million middle income taxpayers. The party is well-positioned to maintain all six seats currently represented by Democratic incumbents under the new map.

THE LIST: PA-08: Rep. Mike Fitzpatrick President Obama 54% Sen. Kerry 50.7% Sen. Casey 57.8%

PA-06: Rep. Jim Gerlach President Obama 53.5% Sen. Casey 54.8% Rep. Gerlach in particular has to introduce himself to a large swath of new voters who are unfamiliar with him and will judge him on his record of voting to end Medicare as we know it and

restricting a womans right to choose. PA-07: Rep. Pat Meehan President Obama 51.9% Sen. Casey 55.4%

PA-15: Rep. Charlie Dent President Obama 52.8% Sen. Casey 53.8% Rep. Dent in particular has to introduce himself to a large swath of new voters who are unfamiliar with him and will judge him on his record of voting to end Medicare as we know it and restricting a womans right to choose.

PA-03: Rep. Mike Kelly Sen. Casey 53% PA-18: Rep. Tim Murphy Sen. Casey 55.2% Rep. Murphy faces what is expected to be a strong Republican primary challenge.

PA-11: Rep. Lou Barletta Sen. Casey 51.5% Sen. Casey is from northeastern Pennsylvania, and his presence on the ticket will help turnout voters.

Rep. Barletta in particular has to introduce himself to a large swath of new voters who are unfamiliar with him and will judge him on his record of voting to end Medicare as we know it.

PA-16: Rep. Joe Pitts President Obama 50.6% PA-09: Rep. Bill Shuster Sen. Casey 51.9%

### For Immediate Release, December 22, 2011, 2011