The Treasury Select Committee (TSC) wants Mervyn King to agree to tighter supervision of the Bank of England Picture: REUTERS
MPs WILL today ramp up their push
for greater scrutiny of the Bank of
England by publishing a stinging cri-
tique of the Banks own suggestions
for reform.
The Treasury Select Committee
(TSC) says the Bank needs a powerful
supervisory board and should hand
over more influence to the chancel-
lor in the run up to a potential finan-
cial crisis.
In a response to the Banks propos-
als, the Committee says they fall
well short of what is required.
A lot is at stake, commented
Conservative MP Andrew Tyrie,
chairman of the TSC. The Banks
authority can be greatly enhanced if
we get this right.
It is understandable that people
dont rush to embrace more mean-
ingful and intrusive supervision of
their activities, Tyrie added. But in
a public body with these powers, it is
essential.
Tyrie and fellow MPs jousted with
Bank governor Sir Mervyn King in
Westminster last week, after King
accused politicians of wanting
another group of unelected offi-
cials... to second guess the decisions
of the first group.
Liberal Democrat MP John Thurso
mocked the Banks proposal for a
watered down oversight committee,
describing it as a committee [to]
determine whether all the wrong
MPS: BANK OF ENGLAND
NEEDS RADICAL REFORM
BY JULIAN HARRIS
REGULATION
EDITORS LETTER
ALLISTER HEATH
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self-regulation overseen by the Press Complaints
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Editorial
Editor Allister Heath
Deputy Editor David Hellier
News Editor David Crow
Acting Night Editor Marion Dakers
Business Features Editor Marc Sidwell
Lifestyle Editor Zoe Strimpel
Sports Editor Frank Dalleres
Art Director Gavin Billenness
Pictures Alice Hepple
Commercial
Sales Director Jeremy Slattery
Commercial Director Harry Owen
Head of Distribution Nick Owen
Cable to tone
down pay plan
Ed Miliband has said the RBS boss shouldnt get a bonus this year Picture: REUTERS
Labour: no Hester bonus
IAN POWELL is expected to be re-elect-
ed unopposed as chairman of PwC for
a second term, as no rival candidates
have emerged nine days before the
deadline for candidacies.
At this stage, it is not expected
that a challenger will come forward,
a source close to PwC told City A.M.,
although any of the Big Four firms
873 partners can theoretically still
submit a challenge to be considered
alongside Powell by 31 January.
Powell, 55, was elected as chair-
man and senior partner of the UK
firm of PwC in April 2008, before
starting the four-year term on 1 July
that year, months before PwC was
appointed as administrator to
Lehman Brothers in September.
His background in restructuring,
notably acting as the administrator
to MG Rover in 2005, is understood
to have created the view that Powell
has been the right man for the job at
a difficult time for City firms.
Powell stated that he intends to
run to lead the firm for a second and
final term earlier this month,
describing the job as fascinating.
If he remains the only candidate
under consideration by the firms
supervisory board, Powell will still
have to submit a manifesto detailing
his plans for the business, as PwC
comes under regulatory and politi-
cal pressures.
He will also still have to go
through an election process, man-
aged independently by the Electoral
Reform Society. PwC will announce
its new UK chairman, who will start
on 1 July, in the spring.
The one-horse leadership race at
PwC is in contrast to the open battle
to succeed UK chairman John
Griffith-Jones at rival auditor KPMG.
As many as 10 names are under-
stood to be in the frame to take over
from Griffith-Jones when he steps
down in September the latest of
which to emerge is Richard Reid, the
London chairman of KPMG who is
known for his work with Business in
the Community.
Reid joins Richard Bennison, Oliver
Tant and Alan Buckle on a list of
KPMG names tipped to be in the run-
ning for the chairmans role by City
sources although KPMG declined to
comment before the expected short-
list announcement in the spring.
Ian Powell set
to renew PwC
chairmanship
BY HARRIET DENNYS
PROFESSIONAL SERVICES
News
5 CITYA.M. 23 JANUARY 2012
Ian Powell is looking forward to another term as PwC chairman Picture: REX
Greek debt talks could fail on new demands
NEGOTIATIONS between financial
authorities and bondholders may be
derailed this week by the increasing
demands of the European
Commission, ECB and IMF.
However, Charles Dallara, head of
the Institute for International Finance
(IIF), which represents investors hold-
ing around 200bn (165.7bn) of Greek
government debt, yesterday
announced he remains hopeful that
a deal will be reached soon though it
is unlikely that he will hit todays
deadline, set by finance minister
Evangelos Venizelos.
Meanwhile Italian Prime Minister
Mario Monti stepped up his campaign
to boost the euros rescue fund.
It is thought that private investors
in Greece were close to finalising a
deal on Friday, under which they
would take a 50 per cent haircut on
their bonds, which would be swapped
for new notes yielding four per cent.
Officials are believed to have
demanded investors accept yields of
3.5 per cent or even less on that new
debt a further concession to the
bankrupt Greek government, which
could potentially de-rail the deal.
If the deal is not completed by
March, Greece is expected to default
on the 14.5bn of repayments due.
Looking to the stability of the
Eurozone as a whole, Monti wants the
European Stability Mechanism to be
doubled to 1 trillion.
Italy is currently undergoing a size-
able fiscal and economic adjustment,
and Monti hopes the safety net of a
larger bailout fund will calm the
investors who fear Italy cannot pay its
debts, and so make the reforms easier.
EUROZONE
Debt negotiator
Charles Dallara
remains hopeful a
deal can be made.
Pic: REUTERS
PRIVATE EQUITY firms and buy-out
groups are poised to make a bid for
Peacocks, the discount clothing chain,
which collapsed into administration
last week.
Its administrators KPMG will open
the data room to Peacocks today,
which will allow potential bidders to
browse financial and other relevant
data on the firm. KMPG expects to
receive the first round of bids by
Monday 31 January.
As many as 50 bidders are said to
have expressed an interest in the belea-
guered retailer, which owns 611 stores
and employs 9,000 people either as a
going concern or for parts of its estate
and its stock.
They include Edinburgh Woollen
Mills, which bought a third of retailer
Jane Normans stores out of adminis-
tration last June, and private equity
firm Sun European Partners which is
thought to be considering a bid for the
entire business. OpCapita, currently
buying Comet from electricals firm
Kesa, is also said to be interested.
A judge is today expected to give the
go-ahead for Peacocks sister chain
Bonmarche to be bought by Sun
European via a pre-pack administra-
tion, in a deal that would safeguard
some 380 stores and 3,600 staff.
The administration of Peacocks is
one of the biggest since Woolworths
went down in 2008 and strikes yet
another blow to the UK high street,
which has seen La Senza, Past Times
and Barratts Priceless fall victim to
tough conditions and a weak con-
sumer environment.
Last week, Chris Laverty, joint
administrator and restructuring part-
ner at KPMG, said: Like many retailers
Peacocks has suffered from tough eco-
nomic conditions, which have seen its
customers reduce their spending on
the high street.
A total of 249 staff, almost half of
Peacocks head office workforce in
Cardiff, were made redundant last
Thursday. However, strong interest in
the firm has raised hopes that KPMG
may indeed find a buyer to rescue the
remaining jobs.
The chain collapsed after rescue
plans, including injecting fresh equity
and a debt-for-equity swap, ultimately
failed. The company has borrowings
of 700m while it made sales of only
720m in the year to April 2010.
Peacocks still
searching for
white knight
BY KASMIRA JEFFORD
RETAIL
Up to 50 bidders
are said to have
expressed interest
in discount cloth-
ing chain Peacocks,
led by Richard Kirk
(inset picture). The
company opens its
data room today
after going into
administration last
week, despite sever-
al designer collabo-
rations including a
range of dresses
designed by Pearl
Lowe (pictured)
Picture: PA
News
6 CITYA.M. 23 JANUARY 2012
TIME LINE | THE RISE AND FALL OF PEACOCKS
1884
Peacocks Penny Bazaar was founded in
Warrington by Albert Peacock as a family-
run business selling a range of cheap goods.
1996
Robert Peacock, the founders grandson,
appoints Richard Kirk formerly managing
director at frozen food chain Iceland as
chief executive to help prepare the business
for a sale or float.
1997
Peacocks is sold to Cinven, the private equity
firm, netting Robert Peacock and his busi-
ness partner, Hugh Child, who together own
an 80 per cent stake, 36m.
1999
The 280-store firm lists in London with a
market value of 155m and 20m debt. Kirk
makes 3.4m while Cinven triples its money.
2005
Richard Kirk leads a 400m management
buy-out, supported by Goldman Sachs and
hedge funds including Och-Ziff and Perry
Capital, who together put up 160m in debt
in exchange for a 55 per cent of the new
holding company. Kirk lands a windfall of
26m, but leaves half in the business.
2010
Investors attempt to restructure Peacocks
complicated finances. The firm then puts
itself up for sale with a price tag of around
500m but calls off the sale after bidders
were not prepared to meet the asking price.
2012
Peacocks goes into administration, after the
company and its syndicate of debt and equi-
ty lenders fail to restructure its 700m debt.
Richard Kirk is set to lose his 13m invest-
ment.
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THE protesters entered quickly and qui-
etly in trademark style. They left with
similar speed, however, when they
realised their takeover of a City office
block owned by Berkeley Homes
risked adding to the ranks of the poor,
rather than helping them.
The takeover of Roman House in the
Barbican was the shortest of the five
occupations so far.
Activists entered the building on
Saturday morning, highlighting the
significant stakes in Berkeley held by
taxpayer-funded Lloyds and hedge fund
Egerton Capital. Barely 24 hours later,
however, they had gone, after contrac-
tors told them they feared the loss of
their jobs if a planned renovation of
the building was cancelled because of
the Occupy Everywhere demonstra-
tion.
The developer had called on activists
to end the misguided protest because
of safety concerns and threat to 90
much-needed new homes... [and] a sig-
nificant number of key construction
jobs during an economic crisis.
Now Occupy supporters plan to
stand in the elections for Mayor of
London and the London Assembly.
They will not form an Occupy political
party but plan to stand as independ-
ents on 3 May. Last night activists said:
We need to seize the state not flee it.
This is direct action at the ballot box.
Their chances of success would appear
very low, however, given the way Boris
Johnson and Ken Livingstone dominate
Londons electoral landscape.
The move comes at a time when the
activists are under increased pressure.
They are fighting a possession order
granted to Sun Street Properties, a sub-
sidiary of UBS, after they took over a
disused office block, near Liverpool
Street station, in November. Last week
the City of London Corporation won a
High Court bid to evict protesters from
outside St Pauls Cathedral, although
members of the group will appeal.
The activists have repeatedly called
on the Corporation to publish full
details of its accounts. They are due to
hold a teach out in the open areas of
the Barbican this morning.
Jobs fear cuts
short protest
Protesters entered Roman House in the early hours of Saturday Picture: REUTERS
BY PETER EDWARDS
POLITICS
News
8
REPUBLICAN presidential candidate
Mitt Romney pledged yesterday to
release his tax returns this week,
bowing to pressure from critics and
hoping to make up for a misstep that
helped rival Newt Gingrich win
South Carolinas primary race.
Long considered the frontrunner,
Romney stumbled badly in debates
last week on his delay in disclosing
his tax returns and then lost his air
of being the inevitable Republican
nominee after a resurrected
Gingrich defeated him in the third
contest.
Gingrich, the former speaker of the
House of Representatives, pounced
on Romneys surprising weakness
and rode it to victory on Saturday,
trouncing the former governor of
Massachusetts by 40 per cent to 28
per cent in South Carolina.
Trying to regain his momentum
as the race heads to Florida, Romney
sought to draw a line under the bad
week and fix his error. He said he
would release his 2010 returns and
an estimate for 2011 tomorrow.
We made a mistake holding off as
long as we did and it just was a dis-
traction, Romney said on Fox News.
Last week, Romney said he pays a
tax rate of around 15 per cent, a low
rate compared to many American
wage earners but in line with what
wealthy individuals pay on income
that largely comes from investments.
One of the wealthiest US presiden-
tial candidates in history, Romney
emphasised he was releasing two
years of returns after Gingrich post-
ed his taxes for 2010 last Thursday.
Gingrich, who has see-sawed in
national polls and must prove to
Republicans that he is the most
electable candidate despite politi-
cal and personal baggage, praised
Romney and said the issue would be
moot once the taxes were out.
I think thats a very good thing
hes doing and I commend him for
it, Gingrich said on NBCs Meet the
Press.
Romney vows
transparency
after defeat
US REPRESENTATIVE Gabrielle
Giffords, who was shot in the head
during a shooting spree in Tucson
a year ago, said yesterday that she
will step down this week from the
US Congress to focus on her recov-
ery.
I have more work to do on my
recovery, so to do what is best for
Arizona I will step down this
week, Giffords said, posting the
announcement on social media
such as Twitter and YouTube.
Im getting better. Every day my
spirit is high. I will return and we
will work together for Arizona and
this great country. Thank you very
much, she added.
Giffords, a Democrat represent-
ing Arizonas District 8, is serving
her third term.
She was shot through the head
on 8 January last year when a gun-
man opened fire on her first con-
gressional outreach meeting of the
year in Tucson, killing six people
and wounding 12 others.
A 23-year-old college dropout
named Jared Loughner was arrest-
ed and charged with the crimes,
including attempting to assassi-
nate Giffords.
He pleaded not guilty, and was
found unfit to stand trial.
Giffords to step
down to focus
on her recovery
Mitt Romney has vowed to release his tax returns tomorrow Picture: REUTERS
Republican Newt Gingrich has won South Carolinas primary race Picture: REUTERS
BY HARRY BANKS
US ELECTIONS
US POLITICS
News
9 CITYA.M. 23 JANUARY 2012
GYM giant Fitness First is restructur-
ing its 550m debt pile just months
after global market turmoil forced it
to put off a float in Singapore.
The chain, which is owned by pri-
vate equity house BC Partners, is set
to meet its lenders over the coming
months because of an expectation it
will breach the terms of its loans.
Several other buyout groups have
approached BC Partners about a
takeover but ultimately they could
not raise the money needed because
of the dire state of the debt market.
Fitness Firsts lending facility will
not expire until next year but, like
many firms which were bought at the
height of the buyout boom, it is hav-
ing to cope with tougher market con-
ditions. It is believed that directors
are happy with recent trading, howev-
er, and they are working with consul-
tancy Alix Partners on cost-cutting.
BC Partners, which declined to
comment, began to look around at
other ways for an exit after shelving
plans for a listing last October. It was
one of many UK and US companies,
such as Groupon and Facebook, to
postpone because of the swings in
global markets.
BC Partners had been expected to
raise around 500m in a listing valu-
ing Fitness First at between 1bn and
1.2bn. The gym operator has built a
strong presence in the Far East,
including in Singapore, Hong Kong,
Thailand, and Malaysia, and has more
than 1.4m members in 17 countries
in total.
Its origins go back to 1992 when
entrepreneurs Mike Balfour and
Christopher Pearce set up their first
club in Bournemouth.
Fitness First
faces 550m
restructure
EMPTY government office spaces are
to be made available to small busi-
nesses for low rents, David Cameron
will announce today.
Around 300 state-owned buildings
are currently unused, and while the
priority is to sell off unused assets, in
the meantime they will be let out as
part of the campaign to help small
firms.
The Prime Minister believes the
extra office space will help companies
grow, boosting the economy.
The Federation of Small Businesses
gave a cautious welcome to the plans.
Rent is one of the highest over-
heads a small enterprise faces, and it
is important that there is affordable
property out there, said Andrew
Cave from the industry body.
However, as the government is
planning to sell much of the space, it
describes the planned leases as flexi-
ble, short-term arrangements.
Small firms crave certainty, said
Cave.
The government will need to pro-
vide some degree of certainty on how
long companies can use the offices,
and some may be put off renting the
space if that cannot be given.
The plans are not yet ready to be
put in place, with areas that will ben-
efit the most still to be identified.
PROFIT warnings soared in the final
quarter of 2011, with Ernst and Young
claiming yesterday that the growing
gap between star performers and
zombie companies points to more
this year.
The three-month period saw a 70
per cent jump in warnings the high-
est quarterly rise since early 2001.
Quoted companies issued 88 profit
warnings last quarter, up 51 on the
previous three-month period.
Those 88 took 2011s total to 278,
compared with 196 in 2010.
Companies in the general retail sec-
tor were worst hit, issuing 39 warn-
ings last year more than the whole
of 2009 and 2010 combined.
Ernst and Young believes the weak
economic outlook means the trend
will continue into this year firms
like Tesco have already issued profit
warnings this month.
Unused state
offices to be let
to small firms
Ernst and Young: expect
a jump in profit warnings
Tesco cut its profit forecasts earlier this month Picture: REUTERS
BY PETER EDWARDS
PRIVATE EQUITY
UK ECONOMY
Increasing numbers are trying to save more, despite high inflation hitting incomes Picture: GETTY
News
12 CITYA.M. 23 JANUARY 2012
ANALYSIS l Spending power growth
%
Income
growth,
after inflation
Discretionary
spending power
growth, before
inflation
Discretionary
spending power
growth, after inflation
Jun
2010
Sep
2010
Dec
2010
Mar
2011
Jun
2011
Sep
2011
Dec
2011
6.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0
-1.0
-2.0
-3.0
-4.0
-5.0
News
13 CITYA.M. 23 JANUARY 2012
THE UK is one of only two major
world economies set to become less
connected to the global economy, a
report reveals this morning.
Globalisation will continue to
advance in the next three years,
according to the Ernst and Young
report, with medium-sized emerging
markets expected to become notably
more connected with other coun-
tries.
But immigration restraints in the
UK and the US are likely to cause both
states to slip down the groups
Globalisation Index.
Since before the last general elec-
tion, the Conservatives have pledged
to reduce net immigration to tens of
thousands per year, while figures in
recent years have exceeded 100,000.
New laws in the US and the UK
will impact on the hiring of foreign
nationals, Ernst and Young expects.
Overall, however, the report reveals
that governments in the worlds 60
largest economies have so far avoided
reacting to the economic slowdown
with more protectionist measures.
Yet nine in 10 business executives
still fear the rise of trade barriers if a
double dip recession strikes.
While globalisation continues
apace regardless of weaker growth
around the world, the spectre of pro-
tectionism remains a threat, com-
mented James S. Turley, chairman
and CEO of Ernst and Young.
Businesses and governments have
to continue to make the case for glob-
alisation as a positive force.
Its not just tariffs and quotas
anymore, said Simon Evenett of
Global Trade Alert. Measures to
stimulate the economy have also had
unintended protectionist conse-
quences US quantitative easing, for
example, has provided a cover for a
lot of countries to react, both in
terms of international finance policy
as well as trade policy.
UKs global
connections
set to decline
Hungarians resent Brussels...
GOVERNMENT supporters rallied over
the weekend to support PM Viktor
Orban after the European
Commission began legal action
against his constitutional reforms.
More than 100,000 people gathered
on Saturday to support the ruling
Fidesz party as it prepares to compro-
mise in a bitter row with the EU to
secure a vital loan.
Critics say the new constitution
threatens the independence of the
media, judiciary and central bank
which is not allowed under EU rules.
However, the government has
announced it is prepared to make
legal changes to placate the
Commission, as it needs a loan if it is
to keep access to financial markets.
Orban will travel to Brussels tomor-
row in an effort to negotiate a political
agreement with EC president Barroso,
which he hopes will open the way for
loan talks with the EU and IMF.
At the start of the month, 70,000
protesters rallied against the govern-
ment and its constitution, and opin-
ion polls suggest Fidesz which won a
large majority in parliament in 2010
now has the support of just 1.5m vot-
ers in a country of 10m.
However, the most recent rally is
intended to push the government to
stand up to the EU.
We wont be a dominion, we dont
want to be a colony, rally organiser
and news editor Andras Bencsik told
the crowd. This is our message to
those abroad. The other message is we
fully support Viktor Orban, and we are
proud of what we achieved at the 2010
elections.
BY JULIAN HARRIS
WORLD ECONOMY
BY HARRY BANKS
EUROPEAN ECONOMY
News
17 CITYA.M. 23 JANUARY 2012
NEWS | IN BRIEF
Costa and captain trade blame
The operators of the Costa Concordia
faced questions over their share of the
blame for the shipwreck, as divers recov-
ered another body from the stricken liner
yesterday, bringing the known death toll
to 13. Captain Francesco Schettino, who
is charged with multiple manslaughter
and abandoning ship, told prosecutors he
had been instructed to perform the
manoeuvre by operator Costa Cruises.
France moots no tax for bonds
Europe's proposal for a tax on financial
transactions would not apply to bonds
issues by governments because states
need to be able to finance themselves,
said Frances finance minister Francois
Baroin yesterday. France plans to plow
ahead with its own transaction tax even
as other European nations are taking
longer to agree on how to implement the
measure.
@
@
@
MORE NEWS
ONLINE
www.cityam.com
THE BOARDROOM drama continues at
pub group Mitchells & Butlers this
week, with all five directors up for re-
election at its AGM in Birmingham on
Thursday.
The AGM follows renewed criticism
of the board by Pirc and the
Association of British Insurers, which
last week raised concerns that M&B is
the only FTSE 350 firm with no inde-
pendent non-executive directors, as
required under corporate governance
guidelines. Non-executive directors
Douglas McMahon and Ron Robson
are representatives of Piedmont, the
vehicle owned by Joe Lewis that has a
25.6 per cent stake in the company
and last September launched an abort-
ed takeover for the company.
Pirc has advised shareholders not to
re-elect the two directors, who are
joined on the M&B board by executive
chairman Bob Ivell, finance director
Tim Jones and company secretary
Doug Evans. Ivell has been leading the
search for a new chief executive to
replace Jeremy Blood, who left in
October, as well as two additional inde-
pendent non-executive directors.
A list of candidates has now been
drawn up, with an announcement to
follow the AGM.
A spokesperson for the pub group
said it did not anticipate any excite-
ment, with the firms board expected
to remain unchanged.
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of Risk Professionals (GARP) at garp.org/frm.
Sparks to fly at Mitchells
& Butlers annual meeting
BY HARRIET DENNYS
LEISURE
News
18 CITYA.M. 23 JANUARY 2012
JURY SELECTION BEGINS FOR STANFORD TRIAL
THE long-awaited trial of Allen Stanford, the Texan financier accused of orchestrating a
$7.2bn (4.6bn) Ponzi scheme, begins today with the selection of the jury. While Stanford
was charged in 2009 for Antigua-based fraud operations, he has since remained in cus-
tody throughout several postponements of the trial on claims that, due to a prison brawl
in 2009, he is mentally incapable of standing trial. Picture: REUTERS
REDEMPTION requests by hedge fund
clients have fallen to the lowest
monthly level on record as improving
market sentiment combined with a
typical seasonal lull in asset re-alloca-
tion, data shows.
The GlobeOp Forward Redemption
Indicator, a monthly snapshot of
clients giving notice to withdraw
their cash as a percentage of
GlobeOps assets under administra-
tion, measured 1.85 per cent in the
January report, down from 4.58 per
cent in the December report, which
shows requests to redeem funds in
January, which is typically a period of
heavy re-allocation.
That is the lowest recorded since
the January report in 2008, when
GlobeOp began compiling the index.
January report notifications were
also substantially lower than the
same time last year, when requests
stood at 2.79 per cent.
GlobeOps data covers around eight
to 10 per cent of the global hedge
fund industry. The GlobeOp Forward
Redemption Indicator hit an all-time
high of 19.27 per cent in November
2008 in the wake of the collapse of US
investment bank Lehman Brothers.
Its previous all-time low of 2.08 per
cent was recorded in July 2011.
Hope for hedge funds as client
redemptions fall to a new low
BY HARRY BANKS
ASSET MANAGEMENT
News
19 CITYA.M. 23 JANUARY 2012
HERONS PEAK SIGNS UP TWO NEW TENANTS
PROPERTY tycoon Gerald Ronsons Heron International has leased the first and third floor
of its Peak office development in Victoria to Reed Executive, the recruitment firm and David
Sainsburys Gatsby Charitable Foundation, for 65 per square foot.
BA Olympic mentions by category
Regional News
Topicals
Twitter
Blogs
Other
National News
%
2
40
10
15
5
13
Brought to you by
IN ASSOCIATION with Repskan.com,
the media monitoring and analytics
platform, City A.M. is measuring the rel-
ative Olympic media buzz around the
partners for the London 2012 Olympic
and Paralympic Games, week by week.
The leaderboard, right, reflects their
ranking over the past week, in this case
from Wednesday 11 January to
Wednesday 18 January.
British Airways has
seen a surge in
Olympic-related
media activity with
the announcement that it is about to change
the livery of its aeroplanes to include a
design of a dove. The design, by Pascal
Anson, was developed and created under the
guidance of Tracey Emin. British Airways is
taking advantage of its Olympic sponsorship
to build goodwill within the travel industry
by offering agents the chance to win tickets
to the Olympics. With agents only needing to
make a BA booking to enter the competition,
it is a strategy that could potentially provide
a direct return and recoup some of the
money spent on sponsorship.
Olympic Media Buzz
LONDON 2012 PARTNERS
TOP TEN PARTNERS BY MENTIONS
Brand Position change
Visa 5
Samsung 0
BMW 1
Panasonic 9
British Airways 14
Lloyds TSB 3
BT 2
Coca-Cola 4
Adecco 12
Acer 12
=
THE outgoing owner of Reading FC
has warned against hopes of a spend-
ing spree once he has completed a deal
to sell the club to a Russian tycoon.
Sir John Madejski is locked in due
diligence and expects to finalise a
deal with Thames Sports Investment
(TSI) by the end of March. Yesterday
he claimed the club will retain its
ideology and principles.
There will be a possibility to
strengthen, but only in a sensible
way. It wont be a situation of just
throwing money at something.
Everything we do must be prudent,
he wrote in an open letter to fans.
Madejski refused to name the peo-
ple behind TSI, which is set buy a 51
per cent stake, leaving him as a
minority shareholder, but the group
is widely believed to be led by Anton
Zingarevich, 29, who came close to
investing in Everton in 2004. His
father, Boris, is co-owner of Ilim Pulp,
Russias largest paper producer.
Reading published a statement
from the buyer, which said: TSI aims
to allow the club to retain its best
players and acquire additional players
as the football management team see
fit. It will also enable the club to
expand and further improve its suc-
cessful Academy and scouting opera-
tions.
Madejski will remain as chairman
for at least two years before becoming
life president, TSI added.
DEFENCE giant BAE Systems admitted
yesterday it was considering the
future of its Portsmouth-based war-
ship business, after reports suggested
the dockyard could be closed.
BAE also owns yards where war-
ships are built at Scotstoun and
Govan, both on the river Clyde in
Scotland.
The Portsmouth site employs
around 1,500 workers and the same
again in support roles. Current con-
tracts being fulfilled at the docks
include building parts for two new
British aircraft calendars, named after
the Queen and the Prince of Wales.
A spokesperson said: As part of our
business planning activity, we are
reviewing how best to retain the capa-
bility to deliver and support complex
warships in the UK in the future.
This work is ongoing and we will
keep our employees and trade union
representatives fully informed, as it
progresses.
BAE Systems mulling future of warship
business as part of a strategic review
THE United Arab Emirates cabinet
said yesterday it would liberalise
trade in 12 commodities, saying this
would help market stability.
The 12 items that are being liber-
alised include livestock and dairy
products, fats and oils, honey, eggs,
fruit juices, salt, yeast, animal feed,
detergents and hygiene products,
UAE Economy Minister Sultan bin
Saeed al-Mansouri said.
He said the move would strengthen
the competitiveness of the UAE econ-
omy by curbing monopolistic prac-
tices and avoiding unjustified price
rises.
UAE to liberalise trading
in 12 core commodities
DEFENCE
COMMODITIES
Reading will
stay prudent,
Madejski says
BY PETER EDWARDS
M&A
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AND SAVE
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RENT YOUR SKIS
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News
20 CITYA.M. 23 JANUARY 2012
UNTIL the last few days, Anton
Zingarevich had barely been heard of
in Reading. The Russian is better-
known on Merseyside, however, after
he came close to taking a 40 per cent
stake in Everton in 2004. The deal,
through Fortress Sports Fund, never
materialised, despite Toffees chair-
man Bill Kenwright hailing
Zingarevichs encyclopaedic foot-
ball knowledge. Reading chairman
Sir John Madejski been more
restrained about Zingarevich,
whose father, the Ilim Pulp magnate
Boris, is an associate of Dmitry
Medvedev, the one-term president
widely seen as the puppet of prime
minister Vladimir Putin.
Zingarevich: from
paper millionaire
to new Royal blue
BY PETER EDWARDS
M&A
News
22 CITYA.M. 23 JANUARY 2012
NEWS | IN BRIEF
Anti-Davos protesters charged
Swiss police will charge more than 100
demonstrators with breaching the peace
after they rallied in Bern to protest
against the World Economic Forum that
holds its annual meeting in Davos this
week. The protesters, some wearing
masks, began an unauthorised demon-
stration but were stopped by police in
Bern, 270 km west of the Davos ski
resort.
EU to propose tough web rules
The European Union will propose tough
new rules in the coming days on how
corporations handle internet users per-
sonal data, a long-awaited move that
could have far-reaching implications for
web giants such as Google and
Facebook. Viviane Reding, vice president
of the European Commission, said yes-
terday that the new data-protection leg-
islation was needed to protect users and
cut red tape for businesses in Europe.
"Only if consumers trust that their data
is protected will they entrust companies
with it ... We need individuals to be in
control of their information," Reding said
at the DLD conference of tech industry
leaders in Munich. But Reding also
emphasised a need to simplify Europes
approach to online data protection,
arguing that the current system was too
cumbersome and costly for business.
Europes new data-protection rules are
expected to be issued on 25 January.
Volvo CEO Stefan Jacoby (l), pictured with Zheijiang Geely chairman Li Shufu and Volvo
China chairman Freeman Shen(r), wants a development partner Picture: REUTERS
VOLVO Cars is hunting for a partner to
share in the development of its com-
pact models.
Chief executive Stefan Jacoby, who
took the helm at the Swedish brand
when Volvo was bought by Chinas
Zhejiang Geely for $1.8bn (1.16bn) in
2010, said a partnership would make
sense for the relatively small carmak-
er to find economies of scale.
Volvo has already entered into a
deal with Germanys Siemens elec-
tronics to cooperate on electric car
technology.
But Jacoby, who aims to increase
global sales from the current level of
450,000 a year to 800,000 by 2020,
said further collaboration would be a
boost for the company.
Volvo spokesman Duncan Forrester
told City A.M.: No decision has been
made but we are open for partners.
The firms current C30 small car is
based on technology developed by its
former owner Ford Motor.
Volvo is set to launch a new com-
pact car, the V40, at the Geneva Motor
Show in March. The new car will
replace the Volvo S40 and V50 models
but Volvo has not yet said where or
how it would make it.
Volvo is not the only brand looking
to pair up with other carmakers in a
bid to economise.
Daimler is working with Renault
and Nissan in areas including small
cars.
Jacoby, who is also president of the
carmaker, has vowed to cut costs by
simplifying Volvos operations,
including cutting the number of
engine types from 10 to two, with one
version each in petrol and diesel.
Volvo hunting for
partner to develop
compact vehicles
BY JENNY FORSYTH
MOTORING
Bank of Ireland
Patrick Haren and Kent Atkinson have
been appointed as non-executive direc-
tors of Bank of Ireland. Atkinson was
group finance director of Lloyds TSB
Group for eight years between 1994
and 2002. Haren is a former chief exec-
utive of the Viridian Group, and led the
privatisation of Northern Ireland
Electricity in 1993.
Oriel Securities
Oriel Securities has strengthened its
retail team by appointing Harry Philips
as an industrials analyst, Rob Ellis as
industrials specialist salesman and Guy
Brown as an aerospace and defence
analyst. The team will move across from
Evolution in February.
Kingsley Napley
The City law firm has appointed
Caroline DeLaney as a partner in the dis-
pute resolution department, focusing on
real estate disputes. She has spent the
last 20 years of her career at CMS
Cameron McKenna, where she spe-
cialised in real estate.
Eversheds
Former HSBC banker Victoria Read has
joined Eversheds as a banking partner in
its London office. Read originally trained
as a solicitor at Linklaters before joining
RBS as a banker and then HSBC as a
director in loans syndicate.
Salans
The law firm has promoted Smeetesh
Kakkad to London office managing part-
ner. Kakkad joined Salans in 2000 and
became a partner in the firms dispute
resolution group in 2005, specialising in
commercial litigation and arbitration.
Pictet Asset Management
Pictet asset management business has
hired Alain Caffort as a senior invest-
ment manager in the small cap equity
team, based in Geneva. Caffort joins
from Groupama Asset Management,
where he was responsible for small and
mid-cap European equity portfolios.
Hawkpoint
Peter Kiernan has been appointed as a
vice chairman at Hawkpoint. Kiernan
was most recently a managing director
and head of UK investment banking at
Lazard. Prior to that, he was a manag-
ing director at both Goldman Sachs
and UBS Warburg.
CITY MOVES | WHOS SWITCHING JOBS Edited by Harriet Dennys
+44 (0)20 7092 0053
morganmckinley.com
To appear in CITYMOVES please email your career
updates and pictures to citymoves@cityam.com SPECIALISTS IN GLOBAL PROFESSIONAL RECRUITMENT
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ANALYSIS l Petrofac
1,550
1,500
1,450
1,400
1,350
1,300
Nov Dec Jan
p
1,440.00
20 Jan
PETROFAC
JP Morgan downgrades the oil services group to neutral with a target price
of 1,699p, despite seeing good potential for a margin upside to balance any
shortfall in revenue from its order intake and project progress. The broker
says the $8bn (5.14bn) of orders it has estimated as necessary to meet
consensus forecasts for next year now look aggressive, and so sees a risk of
valuation compression in the stock over the next few months.
ANALYSIS l Bankinter SA
5.25
5.00
4.75
4.50
4.25
4.00
3.75
Nov Dec Jan
5.20
20 Jan
BANKINTER SA
Citigroup rates the Spanish bank as sell/high risk but increases its target
price from 3 to 3.40 after its quarterly profits last week. Though net profit
of 34m was three per cent below consensus and down 27 per cent quarter-
on-quarter, the company delivered on its full-year target of growing profits by
20 per cent over 2011. The broker updates its estimates to account for higher
specific provisions, higher net interest income and other costs.
ANALYSIS l L'Oreal SA
82
80
78
76
Nov Dec Jan
81.06
20 Jan
LOREAL
Morgan Stanley downgrades the French cosmetics group to equal-weight
with a target price of 87 (72), seeing an acceleration in earnings growth
at the company as unlikely over the coming year. The broker says LOreal
faces another year of modest top- and bottom-line growth with tough mar-
kets and high investment. Though it sees the valuation as attractive versus
its peers, Morgan Stanley sees few catalysts to re-rate the stock.
Kentz Corporation
The FTSE 250 engineering group has
announced that Christian Brown (pictured)
will replace Hugh ODonnell as chief executive
on 1 February. Brown steps up from the role of
group chief operating officer, while ODonnell,
who has led Kentz since 2000, will continue as
an exclusive adviser to the group for the next
three years. Additionally, Rory ODonnell, for-
merly group head of development, takes up a
new job as group officer strategy and M&A,
responsible for strategy and acquisitions.
News
23 CITYA.M. 23 JANUARY 2012
WALL STREET WEEK AHEAD
S
TOCKS rising, bulls rampant are
motifs you might pick if design-
ing a coat of arms for Wall Street
at the moment. But the motto
should read: Caveat emptor. Yes,
buyer beware.
The S&P 500, a broad measure of
the market valuation of the biggest
US publicly traded companies, is up
20 per cent from its October closing
low. It keeps climbing on fourth-quar-
ter earnings, improving US economic
data, and easing credit conditions in
Europe. It now stands at its highest
level since early last August.
We have already seen what is prob-
ably the first upgrade of a target level
for the index this year courtesy of
Credit Suisse.
The CBOE Volatility Index , or VIX, a
measure of what investors are paying
to protect themselves against the risk
of losses, is at its lowest level in seven
months.
So it raises the question: Is this
another Jackson Hole moment for
risk assets? At the Wyoming retreat in
late August 2010, Federal Reserve
Chairman Ben Bernanke sparked the
second major leg of the stock mar-
kets rally from bear market lows the
year before. Is this the start of the
third?
For Andrew Garthwaite, the Credit
Suisse analyst behind the firms more
bullish stance (it raised its year-end
S&P 500 target to 1,400 from 1,340)
there are big changes afoot. First, the
European Central Banks long-term
repo operations are succeeding in
reducing stresses in the regions
banking sector. Last week, three-
month dollar Libor, the cost at which
European banks can borrow dollars,
marked its ninth day of declines.
Analysts say heavy cash infusions
from the European Central Bank
since late last year and signs of
revived willingness to lend by US
investors in the new year show the
banking system is flush with cash.
The US economy is looking
stronger than thought, with notable
movement in the housing market,
where sales of previously owned
homes just rose to an 11-month high.
A blitz of earnings and economic
indicators this week will provide an
important gauge of the economys
health. The Federal Reserves policy-
makers will convene their first meet-
ing of the year with a two-day session
starting tomorrow. The Federal Open
Market Committee, the Feds rate-set-
ting panel, will release its policy state-
ment on Wednesday. No fireworks are
expected, but a decision to release
individual policymakers interest-rate
forecasts could alter expectations for
rates on the margins.
GERMAN airline Lufthansa has moved
a step closer to selling its bmi Regional
and bmibaby brands, the parts of the
business that were not included in the
sale of their parent company to IAG
last year.
Lufthansa has found a buyer for
bmi Regional, which operates from
airports including Aberdeen,
Edinburgh, Glasgow, Leeds Bradford
and Manchester, and is close to nam-
ing a preferred bidder for bmibaby,
the discount unit that flies across
Europe.
With bmi Regional we have con-
cluded an agreement with a UK based
investor group which is subject to cer-
tain pre-conditions which are to be
fulfilled, a bmi group spokesperson
said in a statement.
With respect to bmibaby there are
several interested parties and we are
in the process of identifying the pre-
ferred buyer and aim to conclude a
purchase agreement as soon as possi-
ble, the spokesperson added. The
company declined to name any of the
interested parties.
British Airways owner IAG agreed
to buy bmi from Lufthansa in a
172.5m deal last December, but said
at the time it had no interest in the
regional brands.
It warned at the time that the price
could be significantly reduced if a sale
was not agreed before the completion
of the deal, which should go through
before the end of this quarter.
The progress will be welcome news
to Lufthansa investors, with analysts
previously admitting they were scepti-
cal that a buyer for the businesses
could be found.
At the time of the deal in late
December, IAG chief executive Willie
Walsh put Lufthansaa chances of sell-
ing bmibaby at just 50/50.
Lufthansa closer to
sale of BMI Regional
BY MARION DAKERS AND ELIZABETH
FOURNIER
AVIATION
Lufthansa has moved closer to selling its bmi brands Picture: REUTERS
T
HERE is no downside to the wonderful
reality that human beings are now living
longer than ever before. While many
assume that societys economic burden
radically increases with greater longevity, the
reality is the opposite. Everyone is better off
because of longer life expectancies.
For example, in 1850, life expectancy in the
United States was 43 years. Today it is close to
eighty. Thats almost a doubling of lifetime,
but its not just life that has extended, there
has also been an extension of health spans. Yes,
there have always been people who made it
past 65 years in the past, but the difference
today is that there are many more of them and
they are in much better shape than ever before.
In the United States, a National Long-Term
Care Survey found that chronic disability
among older Americans has dropped dramati-
cally, and the rate of decline has accelerated
during the past two decades. Clearly, the old
are no longer quite so old and new technolo-
gies will accelerate that trend. Biology has now
become an engineering project. Just as com-
puter programs consist of 1s and 0s, the
human body also has a code which is made up
of the A,C,T, and Gs of DNA. Human genome
sequencing is becoming exponentially cheaper
each year, and top-notch scientists are working
on reverse engineering the human body
through gene therapy and other techniques.
One of the most promising methods to
extend health today goes by the name of tissue
engineering, which offers the ability to build
new organs for those that have worn down,
using a patients own adult stem cells. Already,
scientists have grown and successfully trans-
planted human organs, such as bladders and
windpipes, for patients in need. Human hearts
and lungs have not been completed yet, but
promising work in lab animals suggests it will
be possible in the near term. Once there exists
a large enough parts list, doctors will be able to
keep patients healthy by replacing parts as
they wear down, somewhat similar to how vin-
tage cars are kept in tip top shape well past
their expected lifetimes.
But how will greater health spans impact the
economy? The answer is that we will be richer
as we live longer. That is because as health
spans extend, each individual can be produc-
tive for a longer period of time. Detailed eco-
nomic research shows this to be true.
For instance, University of Chicago econo-
mists Kevin Murphy and Robert Topel have cal-
culated that, for Americans, gains in life
expectancy over the century were worth over
$1.2m per person to the current population.
They also found that from 1970 to 2000, gains
in life expectancy added about $3.2 trillion per
year to national wealth. These enormous num-
bers represent a spectacular accomplishment
in terms of benefits. But aside from what life is
valued at, it is also the case that real income
grows with greater longevity.
Harvard economist David Bloom and
Queens University economist David Canning
show that if there are two countries that are
identical in all respects, except that one has a 5
year advantage in life expectancy, then the
real income per capita in the healthier coun-
try will grow 0.3-0.5 per cent per year faster
than in its less healthy counterpart. While
these percentages might look small, they are
actually quite significant, especially when one
considers that between the years of 1965 to
1990, countries experienced an average per
capita income growth of 2 per cent per year.
When countries only have an average growth
of 2 per cent, an advantage of 0.5 per cent is
quite the boost.
Now, those numbers are based only on a five
year longevity advantage. What if a country
had a 10, 20, or 30 year advantage? The growth
may not continue on a linear basis, but if the
general rule holds a jump in life expectancy
causes an increase in economic growth per
capita then having a longer-lived population
would facilitate enormous differences in eco-
nomic prosperity. This helps to explain why
there is a movement among some academics
and activists to urge the US Congress to spend
more on anti-ageing research in order to create
what they call a longevity dividend.
Regenerative technologies such as tissue
engineering, personalised medicine, nanotech-
nology, and gene therapy hold the potential for
ushering in much longer and healthier lives,
making it imperative that we press ahead with
these innovations and the sooner, the better.
Longer lives allow for more education, more
careers, more ambition, and importantly, more
productivity. The benefits of greater health are
not only measured in greater happiness, but
also on the bottom line. Businesses should be
doing everything in their power to make the
longevity revolution happen faster they cant
afford not to.
Sonia Arrison is author of 100 Plus: How the
Coming Age of Longevity Will Change Everything,
From Careers and Relationships to Family and Faith.
She is also a Trustee at the California-Based
Singularity University.
24
The Forum
CITYA.M. 23 JANUARY 2012
Biology has now become a
major engineering project
with revolutionary potential
New technologies that will
allow us to live even longer
will pay economic dividends
cityam.com/forum
SONIA ARRISON
Agree? Disagree? Got a sharp comment?
The Forum wants you to join the debate.
COMMENT NOW ON
Twitter: @cityamforum;
on the web: cityam.com/forum;
or by email: theforum@cityam.com.
Top responses will be reprinted in The Forum.
25
Fair competition
is the only way to
sharpen up the
rating market
Ratings agencies
wont be trusted
without a fight
T
HE Big Three rating agencies hardly
seem to be out of the news with their
ability to move markets. Following
Standard & Poors (S&P) decision to
reduce its assessment of the health of Frances
sovereign debt by one notch to AA+ from AAA
status, top German politicians like Michael
Fuchs and others have jumped on the agency-
bashing bandwagon berating them for
inconsistent ratings.
The big agencies were heavily criticised in
the wake of the credit crisis for giving vehicles
like collateralised debt obligations (CDO) triple
A ratings, largely based on the strength of the
underlying financial institution issuing the
debt. Olli Rehn, an EU commissioner, slammed
S&Ps recent move to downgrade the EFSF
bailout fund by one notch, branding the agen-
cies as being the tools of American financial
capitalism. Strong stuff.
How big a deal was the downgrade? AA+ and
AAA-rated securities differ very little in their
yields, usually by only 10 basis points (0.1 per
cent) on average. But its all about perception.
According to Moodys, another of the Big
Three, the average cumulative issuer-weighted
global default rates from 1920-2009 (excluding
Asset-Backed Securities and muni/local govern-
ment bonds) indicated that over a one year
period AAA rated debt exhibited a 0.00 per
cent rate of default, versus a 0.07 per cent rate
of default for AA rated debt. Over five and 10-
year periods the historical default rate increas-
es to 0.72 per cent and 2.22 per cent,
respectively.
More concerning is whether the market,
investors and subscribers can rely on the agen-
cies ratings. Various examples over recent
years illustrate just how far behind the curve
S&P, Moodys and Fitch were.
Collectively, the three agencies control 97-98
per cent of the entire ratings market and 90
per cent of all revenues. Other agencies do
exist: nine firms are now registered with the
US SEC as nationally-recognised statistical rat-
ing organisations (NRSRO).
Unsurprisingly, the dominant players resist
changes to their business model, based on an
issuer-pays model. By contrast, some rivals
such as Rapid Ratings, an agency headquar-
tered in New York, espouse a subscriber-pays
model. They are also not remunerated by the
issuer of the debt/entity they are rating.
Rapid was the first agency to signal prob-
lems with MF Global, the now defunct US bro-
ker, as far back as May 2009. This was some 30
months before the broker filed for bankruptcy
late and years before the big boys noticed. It
appears not to be a fluke. Rapid made early
calls on US housebuilders, an early signal of
the sub-prime crisis, and provided forward-
looking alerts on Bear Stearns, Enron,
Parmalat, Ford and US Steel.
Silly proposals made recently by the EUs
financial market watchdog Esma to ban rat-
ings on a state or nation at certain critical
times would restrict the analysis available
and would merely fuel any crisis of confidence.
The real issue is that the market needs insight-
ful and actionable ratings and that means a
level playing field for all agencies to encourage
real, genuine competition.
Roger Aitken is an associate analyst with bench-
marking firm BISS Research and a former RNS editor
at the London Stock Exchange. www.bissresearch.com
Informal channels
Dionysios Demetis makes a
good point [Tracking Money
Laundering Matters,
Wednesday] very little terror-
ist funding goes through the
conventional banking system.
Most of the cross-border
financing is via the hawala or
informal money transfer sys-
tem, especially to and from the
Indian sub-continent. The UK
authorities are well aware of
this but do almost nothing to
crack down on the trade for
fear of being accused of cutting
off a cheap remittance chan-
nel, especially to Pakistan.
Estimates from the UK alone
are of 3bn each year in remit-
tances through travel agents
and similar high street shops.
Closing this channel and
encouraging legal channels
whose pricing is undercut by
these operators might do a
great deal to halt gun-running,
drugs and terrorist financing.
Martin Jaskel
Speak your mind
The Forum is open for you to
take part. Got a sharp comment
on one of todays columns or
rapid response topics? Do you
have another subject relating to
business and the economy you
want to share your opinion on?
We want to hear your views.
Readers are invited to comment
on the web: cityam.com/forum;
by email: theforum@cityam.com;
and on Twitter: @cityamforum.
The best responses will be
reprinted in The Forum.
RAPID RESPONSES
ROGER AITKEN
BY DAVID WOOTTON
CITYA.M. 23 JANUARY 2012
The Forum
H
AVING just
returned to
this country
after leading a
senior City delega-
tion to Turkey, I am
currently on an
equally important
business visit to six
of our own major cities across the United
Kingdom.
At first glance, it may seem to some that
promoting the City in my hometown of
Bradford where I am today and in Istanbul
last week appear to be completely different
jobs.
That could not, however, be further from
the case. The audiences are, of course, differ-
ent but the messages and key objectives
remain the same, in Bradford and Istanbul.
We can after all only promote UK business
overseas if we have a strong domestic base
from which to do so.
A wide range of UK firms joined me for my
visit to Turkey, and this included a number of
Welsh representatives, which involvement fol-
lowed my visit to Cardiff late last year. It
should not be forgotten that the City brand
encompasses the whole spectrum of locations
and businesses.
One of the key objectives of my year in
office is to reaffirm and strengthen the con-
nections that tie the capital to other parts of
the country and the City to other parts of the
economy.
As both a Yorkshireman and the Lord Mayor
of the City of London, I know that the success
of different regions and sectors is interde-
pendent even if this is not always how it is
perceived by others.
Critics often argue that London is treated as
a special case but it seems to me that in the
current economic environment we should
cherish its success story output per head
now standing at 171 per cent of the national
average rather than as a stick to beat us
with. If London does well, the UK benefits and
vice versa.
The argument that Londons success some-
how perpetuates differences around the coun-
try fails to take into account the volume of
business that flows from London across the
UK.
A job in London is not at the expense of a
worker in Liverpool or Llandaff or Livingston.
It is far more likely to leave an economic foot-
print that benefits the whole supply chain
right across the country.
The City accounts for 1.7m jobs across the
UK more than two thirds of which are out-
side of Greater London. Manchester where I
will be travelling to tomorrow is home to
210,000 alone. Jobs and growth in both cities
and many others beyond are inextricably
linked.
The recent debate on how to rebalance the
economy is a vital one but it should not degen-
erate into an argument about how to hobble a
particular region or industry for the sake of
equality. To do so would mean we are all
equally poorer an outcome we can all agree
is undesirable.
David Wootton is Lord Mayor of the City of
London.
Londons success is the
whole countrys gain
Email: theforum@cityam.com
Twitter: @cityamforum
In association with
A
MONG the many gloomy predictions
for the coming year, what really
catches the eye is the one that says
the world will end on 21 December
2012. This is, debatably, the prognosis of the
Mayan calendar of eschatology. If the world
were really to end on that date, one suspects
it would come as a relief to some. I, for exam-
ple, would not then be required to write an
outlook for 2013. Theres comfort in small
mercies.
For starters, then, I am going to go out on
a limb here and predict that the world will
not actually end in 2012. Not because I have
any particular insight into the likelihood of
this happening or not happening. Only
because its a no downside bet or, should I
say, a no further downside bet. If Im wrong,
at least I wont be mocked on the trading
floor on 22 December 2012.
Before you write this off as too optimistic,
let us say that the list of risks for risky assets
this year is almost endless. It ranges across
political risk, repression risk, debasement
risk, liquidation risk, valuation risk, defla-
tion risk, inflation riskyou fill in the
blanks.
Against this catalogue of misery, though,
are several positives that should not be over-
looked, and it is upon these that this article
will focus. As an old mentor used to say, if
you have a contrarian bone in your body, you
have to be smelling blood for the consensus
view today, so pervasive has it become.
So, what could possibly go right for risky
assets over the next year? We would list the
following positives, potential or real:
US EXPANSION
The US economy could gain traction
and enter an expansion. This would be led
by the labour market, which has been show-
ing signs of life lately. If private sector job cre-
ation gathered steam, banks may not have to
shrink their loan books as much as the con-
sensus expects.
CHINA BUOYANT
China may not have a hard landing.
Chinese bank stocks and other cyclicals are
trading at valuations that suggest that a
hard landing is close to inevitable. In our
opinion, this is more to do with capital
flight out of China than with any reasonable
assessment of likely near-term economic
conditions. Domestic investors might get
interested in Chinese equities again if the
authorities were to lower the very high
reserve requirement for the big five banks,
and this process has already started.
GLOBAL EASING
Every major central bank in the world
could buy sovereign bonds; a sort of global
quantitative easing (QE). This is not as far-
fetched as it may sound. The UK is already
engaged in QE2. Arguably the three year
long term refinancing operation (LTRO) was
backdoor QE from the European Central
Bank. We expect an even larger LTRO at the
end of February, and outright QE some time
in the second quarter, on the assumption
that growth forecasts fall during the first
quarter. Most people expect the Federal
Reserve to initiate QE3 sometime in the sec-
ond quarter. Plus, if the Chinese economy
slows much more it can only be a matter of
time before a transition-focussed political
elite authorises the monetary authorities to
ease substantially.
Wealth Management | Personal Finance
26 CITYA.M. 23 JANUARY 2012
At least world wont end in 2012
INVESTMENT COMMENT
BEN FUNNELL
European financials equity
should continue to struggle.
A consensus view, but given
the amount of recapitalisation that we
expect, existing equity holders should
suffer substantial further dilutions as
banking systems are increasingly
nationalised across Europe, much as
many UK listed banks were after
2008.
Against this, one would
expect European financial
credit to get attractive, on
exactly the same basis. As equity is
diluted and re-capped, credit starts to
look much more appealing.
Value stocks should start to
be rewarded, as many equi-
ties offer substantially better
credit risk than government bonds.
Value stocks have hugely underper-
formed (by 11 per cent last year on
our measure) and recently hit new
post-2008 crisis lows.
Equally, structural growth
stocks should re-rate. That
sounds like having your cake
and eating it, but its really a barbell,
being long extreme value (outside
financials) and stable, structural
growth. As Morgan Stanley strategists
have pointed out, true growth stocks
With the right wind,
China might even stay
afloat
THE YEAR AHEAD
But are risky assets really cheap enough?
Sadly, the short answer is no. If you will only
buy risky equities when they offer a margin
of safety sufficient to tempt the likes of
Benjamin Graham (the first proponent of
value investing), then you wouldnt dream of
buying the S&P today. Equally, I cant imagine
that Graham would begin to countenance
most risk-free assets at this juncture. And if
we had to guess which assets he would be
inclined towards, Id bet a lot that hed lean a
long way towards risk, and away from safety.
On the best long-term measure of value
for equity markets, the Shiller price-earnings
(PE) ratio, the S&P 500 trades on a multiple of
21 times, far above the very long run average
of 16.5 times. The great equity bull markets
have started from a PE of 5-8 times. So the US
is far from cheap. Elsewhere, though, value is
emerging. Europe now trades on a Shiller PE
of 12 times. So at least we can say that if
European equities were to fall another 33 per
cent to a Shiller PE of 8 times, they would be
extremely, once in a lifetime, cheap.
But while we are some way from those
mouth-wateringly cheap levels that excite
pure value investors at the index level, there
is no shortage of very cheap stocks. One
measure we watch closely is valuation disper-
sion how widely dispersed are single stock
valuations which is a kind of fear gauge.
The gap between the 25th and 75th per-
centile stock ranked on price/book in Europe
has narrowed from close to a record in the
last quarter of 2011, but is still much wider
than average. In other words, the premium
that is being paid for safety is wide compared
to the discount that is demanded for cyclical-
ity and leverage.
Ben Funnell is chief equity strategist at Man GLG.
1
1
2
3
should do very well in what could be
an extended range-bound stock mar-
ket, just as the so-called Nifty Fifty
did in the late 60s and early 70s in
the US.
Avoid certain defensives,
notably telecoms, utilities
and (currently) pharma. All look
cheap, but all in our view, have struc-
tural issues that will continue to
depress earnings.
Finally, trying to guess the
level of an equity index
twelve months hence seems a more
than usually unproductive exercise,
so I wont try. Simply, it is unlikely
that we are starting a new breakout
into a bull market, but markets will
likely follow the direction of growth
expectations and growth mini-cycles,
while generally remaining range-
bound.
It is also highly likely that at some
point in the first half of the year it
becomes apparent that most, or all
major, central banks in the world are
about to engage in another round of
quantitative easing, and that should
promote a rally in risk assets that is
not to be missed. Whether it works
for the longer term is another
matter.
Ben Funnell
2
3
4
5
6
EU SHARES
AIR LIQUIDE...............98.06 -0.81 100.65 80.90
ALLIANZ .....................83.95 0.61 108.85 56.16
ANHEUS-BUSCH INBEV47.90-0.20 48.63 33.85
ARCELORMITTAL......16.25 -0.12 28.55 10.47
AXA .............................11.92 0.25 16.16 7.88
BANCOSANTANDER ..5.91 0.02 9.00 4.94
BASF SE .....................58.39 -0.62 70.22 42.19
BAYER.........................53.52 -0.68 59.44 35.36
BBVA.............................6.76 0.01 9.17 4.94
BMW............................63.59 0.63 73.85 43.49
BNP PARIBAS ............35.33 0.63 59.93 22.72
CARREFOUR..............17.00 -0.27 31.98 14.66
CRH PLC.....................16.10 -0.10 17.40 10.28
DAIMLER ....................41.96 0.52 58.55 29.02
DANONE .....................47.50 0.55 53.16 41.92
DEU.BOERSE OFFRE42.02 -0.45 55.75 35.46
DEUTSCHE BANK......32.51 0.03 48.70 20.79
DEUTSCHE TELEKOM 8.82 -0.12 11.38 7.88
E.ON............................16.23 -0.06 25.54 12.50
ENEL .............................3.06 -0.02 4.86 2.78
ENI ...............................17.17 -0.03 18.66 11.83
FRANCE TELECOM ...11.47 -0.08 16.65 11.12
GDF SUEZ...................21.13 -0.27 30.05 17.65
GENERALIASS. .........12.12 -0.21 17.05 10.34
IBERDROLA .................4.56 -0.07 6.10 4.16
INDITEX.......................66.93 0.76 69.40 50.92
INGGROEP CVA..........6.98 -0.20 9.50 4.21
INTESA SANPAOLO.....1.38 0.02 2.47 0.85
KON.PHILIPS ELECTR15.21 0.24 25.28 12.01
L'OREAL .....................81.06 -1.29 91.24 68.83
LVMH.........................120.55 0.35 132.65 94.16
MUNICH RE ................98.57 0.52 126.00 77.80
NOKIA...........................4.35 -0.04 8.49 3.33
REPSOL YPF ..............21.65 -0.49 24.90 17.31
RWE.............................26.94 -0.73 55.69 21.15
SAINT-GOBAIN...........33.89 -0.69 47.64 26.07
SANOFI .......................55.52 -0.45 57.42 42.85
SAP .............................44.00 -0.04 46.15 32.88
SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC48.20 -0.37 61.83 35.00
SIEMENS.....................78.05 -0.30 99.39 62.13
SOCIETE GENERALE21.01 0.91 52.70 14.32
TELECOMITALIA.........0.83 0.00 1.16 0.70
TELEFONICA..............13.36 -0.13 18.75 12.50
TOTAL .........................39.85 -0.59 44.55 29.40
UNIBAIL-RODAMCOSE146.502.60 162.95 123.30
UNICREDIT ...................3.31 -0.05 12.06 2.20
UNILEVER CVA ..........25.26 0.06 27.16 20.90
VINCI ...........................36.77 -0.07 45.48 28.46
VIVENDI ......................16.09 0.01 22.07 14.10
VOLKSWAGEN VORZ134.50 -1.05 152.20 86.40
Price Chg High Low Price Chg High Low
WORLDINDICES
US SHARES
3M.................................85.65 -0.15 98.19 68.63
ABBOTT LABS............55.76 0.33 56.84 45.07
ALCOA.........................10.17 -0.01 18.47 8.45
ALTRIA GROUP...........28.70 0.09 30.40 23.20
AMAZON.COM...........190.93 -3.52 246.71 160.59
AMERICAN EXPRESS 50.04 -0.91 53.80 41.30
AMGEN INC.................69.57 0.43 69.63 47.66
APPLE........................420.30 -7.45 431.37 310.50
AT&T.............................30.51 0.09 31.94 27.20
BANK OFAMERICA......7.07 0.11 14.95 4.92
BERKSHIRE HATAWB79.91 0.32 87.65 65.35
BOEING CO.................75.52 -0.04 80.65 56.01
BRISTOL MYERS SQUI32.65 -0.06 35.44 20.05
CATERPILLAR...........105.64 -0.11 116.55 67.54
CHEVRON..................106.89 -0.04 110.99 86.68
CISCOSYSTEMS ........19.92 0.13 22.34 13.30
CITIGROUP..................29.64 0.31 49.60 21.40
COCA-COLA................68.09 0.64 71.77 61.29
COLGATE PALMOLIVE89.00 -0.97 94.89 74.86
CONOCOPHILLIPS .....71.20 -0.07 81.80 58.65
CVS/CAREMARK ........42.77 -0.11 43.17 31.30
DU PONT(EI)DE NMR.49.42 0.02 57.00 37.10
EXXON MOBIL.............87.49 0.46 88.23 63.47
GENERAL ELECTRIC .19.15 0.00 21.65 14.02
GOOGLE A.................585.99 -53.58 670.25 473.02
HEWLETTPACKARD..28.13 0.98 49.39 19.92
HOME DEPOT..............44.51 -0.90 45.50 28.13
IBM.............................188.52 8.00 194.90 151.71
INTEL CORP................26.38 0.75 26.78 19.16
J.P.MORGAN CHASE..37.36 0.43 48.36 27.85
JOHNSON & JOHNSON65.27 0.08 68.05 57.50
KRAFTFOODS A ........38.67 -0.03 38.84 24.30
MC DONALD'S CORP101.74 0.48 102.22 72.89
MERCK AND CO.NEW39.20 -0.06 39.43 29.47
MICROSOFT ................29.71 1.59 29.74 23.65
OCCID.PETROLEUM100.37 0.51 117.89 66.36
ORACLE CORP ...........28.71 0.15 36.50 24.72
PEPSICO......................66.28 0.37 71.89 58.50
PFIZER.........................21.90 0.06 22.17 16.63
PHILIP MORRIS INTL..74.52 0.74 79.96 56.16
PROCTER AND GAMBLE66.230.15 67.72 56.57
QUALCOMMINC.........57.73 -0.27 59.84 45.98
SCHLUMBERGER.......73.80 0.94 95.64 54.79
TRAVELERS CIES.......61.59 1.29 64.17 45.97
UNITED TECHNOLOGIE76.69-0.50 91.83 66.87
UNITEDHEALTH GROUP52.27-0.05 54.18 39.37
VERIZON COMMS.......38.97 -0.03 40.48 32.28
WAL-MARTSTORES...61.01 0.40 61.25 48.31
WALTDISNEY CO.......39.31 -0.13 44.34 28.19
WELLS FARGO& CO .30.54 0.39 34.25 22.58
Price Chg High Low Price Chg High Low
FTSE 100 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5728.55 -12.60 -0.22
FTSE 250 INDEX . . . . . . . 10825.93 17.63 0.16
FTSE UK ALL SHARE ....2954.79 -4.61 -0.16
FTSE AIMALL SH . . . . . . . . 754.29 1.00 0.13
DOWJONES INDUS 30 ..12720.48 96.50 0.76
S&P 500 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1315.38 0.88 0.07
NASDAQCOMPOSITE ...2786.70 -1.63 -0.06
FTSEUROFIRST300 .....1043.06 -3.24 -0.31
NIKKEI 225 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8766.36 126.68 1.47
DAX 30PERFORMANCE..6404.39 -11.87 -0.18
CAC 40 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3321.50 -7.44 -0.22
SHANGHAISE INDEX ....2319.12 23.04 1.00
HANG SENG. . . . . . . . . . . 20110.37 167.42 0.84
S&P/ASX 20INDEX ......2542.80 9.10 0.36
ASX ALL ORDINARIES ...4303.00 24.40 0.57
BOVESPA SAOPAOLO..62312.13 385.44 0.62
ISEQOVERALL INDEX ...3005.69 -31.38 -1.03
STRAITS TIMES . . . . . . . . . 2849.38 38.18 1.36
IGBM. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 874.79 1.65 0.19
SWISS MARKETINDEX...6122.67 -71.78 -1.16
Price Chg %chg Price Chg %chg Price Chg %chg
LONGDONCEFIXAM.............................................1646.00 -18.00
SILVERLDNFIXAM ....................................................31.02 0.47
MAPLELEAF1OZ ......................................................34.73 1.61
LONPLATINUMAM .................................................1507.00 -30.00
LONPALLADIUMAM.................................................668.00 -2.50
ALUMINIUMCASH...................................................2180.50 6.50
COPPERCASH........................................................8350.00 194.50
LEADCASH.............................................................2131.00 39.50
NICKELCASH........................................................19670.00 215.00
TINCASH ..............................................................21975.00 425.00
ZINCCASH ..............................................................2011.00 14.00
BRENTSPOTINDEX..................................................111.40 0.10
SOYA .......................................................................1197.00 13.50
COCOA....................................................................2320.00 55.00
COFFEE ....................................................................226.65 1.80
KRUG ......................................................................1719.10 -2.00
WHEAT ......................................................................158.12 0.38
COMMODITIES CREDIT&RATES
BoE IR Overnight......................................................................0.500 0.00
BoE IR 7 days ..........................................................................0.500 0.00
BoE IR 1 month........................................................................0.500 0.00
BoE IR 3 months......................................................................0.500 0.00
BoE IR 6 months......................................................................0.500 0.00
LIBOR Euro - overnight ...........................................................0.284 0.00
LIBOR Euro - 12 months..........................................................1.777 -0.01
LIBOR USD - overnight ............................................................0.144 0.00
LIBOR USD - 12 months ..........................................................1.109 0.00
HaIifax mortgage rate...............................................................3.990 0.00
Euro Base Rate.........................................................................1.500 0.00
Finance house base rate .........................................................1.500 0.00
US Fed funds ............................................................................0.250 0.00
US Iong bond yieId...................................................................3.100 0.04
European repo rate ..................................................................0.208 0.00
Euro Euribor .............................................................................0.433 0.00
The vix index.............................................................................18.28 -1.52
The baItic dry index..................................................................862.0 -64.0
Markit iBoxx............................................................................241.76 -2.27
Markit iTraxx ...........................................................................149.89 -11.65
BAE Systems . . . . . .313.7 0.0 356.5 248.1
Chemring Group. . . .448.7 -11.3 736.5 368.8
Cobham . . . . . . . . . . .194.4 2.2 236.5 165.9
Meggitt . . . . . . . . . . . .370.6 -3.7 397.6 304.9
QinetiQ Group. . . . . .135.0 0.8 137.4 101.5
RoIIs-Royce Group. .735.5 0.5 769.0 557.5
Senior. . . . . . . . . . . . .185.3 4.5 190.6 132.6
UItra EIectronics . . .1535.0 -34.0 1830.0 1305.0
GKN . . . . . . . . . . . . . .211.7 -1.4 245.0 157.0
BarcIays. . . . . . . . . . .222.7 1.3 333.6 138.9
HSBC HoIdings. . . . .542.3 5.9 730.9 463.5
LIoyds Banking Gr . . .32.7 0.4 69.3 21.8
RoyaI Bank of Sco . . .27.4 0.4 49.0 17.3
Standard Chartere .1565.0 6.0 1712.5 1169.5
AG Barr . . . . . . . . . .1244.0 15.0 1395.0 1031.0
Britvic. . . . . . . . . . . . .345.3 4.2 465.0 289.9
Diageo . . . . . . . . . . .1393.0 12.0 1428.0 1112.0
SABMiIIer. . . . . . . . .2329.5 36.5 2354.5 1979.0
AZ EIectronic Mat . . .285.6 -8.1 338.1 206.1
Croda Internation . .1937.0 -7.0 2081.0 1456.0
EIementis. . . . . . . . . .150.4 0.4 187.4 107.5
Johnson Matthey . .2066.0 -24.0 2119.0 1523.0
Victrex . . . . . . . . . . .1252.0 -2.0 1590.0 1025.0
YuIe Catto & Co. . . . .200.0 0.0 253.0 148.0
C/$ 1.2934 0.0033
C/ 0.8304 0.0069
C/ 99.634 0.3664
/C 1.2043 0.0099
/$ 1.5576 0.0089
/ 119.98 0.5481
FTSE100
5728.55
12.60
FTSE250
10825.93
17.63
FTSEALL SHARE
2954.79
4.61
DOW
12720.48
96.50
NASDAQ
2786.70
1.63
S&P500
1315.38
0.88
RPC Group . . . . . . . .388.3 8.3 388.3 231.5
Smiths Group . . . . . .989.5 -9.0 1429.0 869.5
Brown (N.) Group . . .230.8 -1.2 304.5 227.0
Carpetright . . . . . . . . .560.5 12.5 801.0 375.0
Debenhams . . . . . . . . .65.9 1.9 74.8 51.2
Dignity . . . . . . . . . . . .823.5 6.0 854.5 648.5
Dixons RetaiI . . . . . . .13.5 -0.1 22.3 9.4
DuneImGroup. . . . . .457.8 -0.3 524.5 383.9
HaIfords Group . . . . .313.0 1.8 416.0 268.6
Home RetaiI Group. .100.5 -1.5 235.0 72.5
Inchcape . . . . . . . . . .344.0 -0.7 425.4 268.1
JD Sports Fashion . .707.0 -7.5 1030.0 570.0
Kesa EIectricaIs . . . . .71.5 -1.5 151.4 60.2
Kingfisher . . . . . . . . .260.3 2.2 287.1 217.0
Marks & Spencer G. .334.7 7.7 402.2 301.8
Next . . . . . . . . . . . . .2657.0 28.0 2810.0 1868.0
Sports Direct Int . . . .235.0 1.0 266.2 159.0
WH Smith. . . . . . . . . .536.0 1.5 558.0 433.8
Smith & Nephew. . . .608.5 9.0 742.0 521.0
Synergy HeaIth . . . . .874.0 0.5 981.0 808.0
Barratt DeveIopme . .111.6 -1.7 119.0 67.5
BeIIway. . . . . . . . . . . .747.0 3.0 776.5 540.5
BerkeIey Group Ho.1280.0 -16.0 1360.0 884.5
BaIfour Beatty . . . . . .287.4 -0.8 357.3 214.6
CRH . . . . . . . . . . . . .1332.0 -8.0 1700.0 1053.0
GaIIiford Try. . . . . . . .476.5 -8.8 530.0 307.5
Kier Group. . . . . . . .1364.0 -16.0 1458.0 1097.0
Drax Group . . . . . . . .532.0 1.5 581.5 371.9
SSE. . . . . . . . . . . . . .1251.0 6.0 1423.0 1159.0
Domino Printing S . .580.0 30.0 705.0 434.3
HaIma . . . . . . . . . . . . .355.4 1.2 429.6 306.3
Laird . . . . . . . . . . . . . .163.5 1.0 207.0 127.9
Morgan CrucibIe C . .303.8 1.4 357.1 224.0
Oxford Instrument . .922.0 -12.0 1010.0 600.5
Renishaw. . . . . . . . .1092.0 -16.0 1886.0 800.0
Spectris . . . . . . . . . .1522.0 -35.0 1679.0 1039.0
Aberforth SmaIIer . . .549.0 5.5 714.0 494.0
AIIiance Trust . . . . . .358.5 -1.7 392.7 310.2
Bankers Inv Trust . . .413.8 -3.2 428.0 346.5
BH GIobaI Ltd. GB .1180.0 -10.0 1212.0 1058.0
BH GIobaI Ltd. US. . . .11.8 -0.1 12.2 10.4
BH Macro Ltd. EUR. . .19.9 -0.1 20.2 16.3
BH Macro Ltd. GBP 2052.0 -3.0 2084.0 1661.0
BH Macro Ltd. USD. . .20.0 0.0 20.2 16.2
BIackRock WorId M .696.0 -4.0 815.5 574.5
BIueCrest AIIBIue . . .166.3 -0.1 176.2 162.4
British Assets Tr . . . .122.6 -0.4 139.5 109.0
British Empire Se . . .437.3 -2.2 533.0 404.0
CaIedonia Investm .1463.0 12.0 1872.0 1337.0
City of London In . . .288.1 -2.1 306.9 257.0
Dexion AbsoIute L . .139.4 0.6 151.0 130.0
Edinburgh Dragon . .236.0 0.6 252.0 201.4
Edinburgh Inv Tru. . .482.8 -5.0 492.2 414.9
EIectra Private E . . .1458.0 -29.0 1755.0 1287.0
F&C Inv Trust . . . . . .300.1 0.3 327.9 261.5
FideIity China Sp. . . . .79.4 -0.2 114.3 70.0
FideIity European . .1058.0 3.0 1287.0 912.0
HeraId Inv Trust. . . . .483.8 0.4 545.5 419.0
HICL Infrastructu. . . .117.5 -0.2 121.3 112.7
Impax Environment .100.2 0.7 125.9 88.5
John Laing Infras . . .109.4 -0.1 109.5 103.4
JPMorgan American.913.0 -1.0 916.0 721.5
JPMorgan Asian In . .198.5 0.7 244.0 170.1
JPMorgan Emerging.553.5 -5.0 610.5 480.1
JPMorgan European.700.0 3.5 983.5 624.0
JPMorgan Indian I. . .364.0 -2.5 459.0 313.1
JPMorgan Russian .519.0 -6.0 741.0 415.1
Law Debenture Cor. .350.0 -1.3 385.0 321.0
MercantiIe Inv Tr . . . .938.0 3.0 1137.0 823.0
Merchants Trust . . . .375.2 -1.9 431.8 341.5
Monks Inv Trust . . . .316.5 -3.0 367.9 298.1
Murray Income Tru . .634.5 -2.0 673.0 568.0
Murray Internatio . . .953.0 -4.5 991.5 818.5
PerpetuaI Income . . .262.4 -1.4 276.0 236.5
PersonaI Assets T .33960.0-130.0 34100.030210.0
PoIar Cap TechnoI . .338.5 0.7 391.2 299.5
RIT CapitaI Partn. . .1241.0 2.0 1360.0 1173.0
Scottish Inv Trus. . . .479.3 -0.9 524.0 417.0
Scottish Mortgage . .650.0 -5.0 781.0 565.0
SVG CapitaI . . . . . . . .223.0 3.0 279.8 165.1
TempIe Bar Inv Tr . . .892.0 8.0 952.0 791.0
TempIeton Emergin .594.0 0.0 684.5 497.0
TR Property Inv T . . .152.1 -1.5 206.1 136.2
TR Property Inv T . . . .64.5 0.3 94.0 59.8
Witan Inv Trust . . . . .468.0 2.9 533.0 401.5
3i Group. . . . . . . . . . .186.4 4.9 319.7 166.9
3i Infrastructure . . . .120.2 0.0 124.0 113.1
Aberdeen Asset Ma .233.8 7.7 240.0 167.8
Ashmore Group . . . .359.1 2.2 420.0 301.5
Brewin DoIphin Ho . .146.0 -0.5 185.4 113.7
CameIIia. . . . . . . . . .9525.0 -76.010950.0 8800.0
CharIes TayIor Co. . .140.9 2.4 165.0 115.6
City of London Gr . . . .64.5 0.0 93.6 61.3
City of London In . . .347.9 15.9 450.0 304.3
CIose Brothers Gr. . .670.0 11.5 875.0 590.0
CoIIins Stewart H . . . .94.0 1.0 94.5 48.5
F&C Asset Managem .65.5 0.0 91.5 56.1
Hargreaves Lansdo .443.5 -5.3 646.5 402.5
HeIphire Group . . . . . . .1.8 -0.0 17.4 1.4
Henderson Group . . .116.2 2.6 173.1 95.1
Highway CapitaI . . . . .12.0 0.0 21.0 6.5
ICAP . . . . . . . . . . . . . .335.7 13.1 559.0 311.6
IG Group HoIdings . .480.9 2.4 502.5 393.6
Intermediate Capi . . .278.6 5.1 354.7 197.9
InternationaI Per . . . .194.0 7.0 388.8 148.5
InternationaI Pub. . . .118.9 0.0 121.5 108.6
Investec . . . . . . . . . . .380.0 5.4 522.0 318.4
IP Group. . . . . . . . . . . .77.8 1.8 82.8 32.7
Jupiter Fund Mana . .221.8 4.6 337.3 184.9
Liontrust Asset M . . . .76.6 0.0 87.5 57.9
LMS CapitaI . . . . . . . . .57.0 0.0 64.8 51.0
London Finance & . . .23.5 0.0 23.5 19.0
London Stock Exch .880.0 -3.5 1076.0 756.5
Lonrho . . . . . . . . . . . . .11.3 -0.3 19.8 8.9
Man Group. . . . . . . . .121.2 1.7 311.0 104.5
Paragon Group Of . .179.4 1.4 206.1 134.6
Provident Financi . . .999.0 -19.0 1124.0 915.0
Rathbone Brothers .1122.0 -38.0 1257.0 977.0
Record . . . . . . . . . . . . .12.3 -0.3 35.8 12.1
RSM Tenon Group . . . .8.3 0.4 66.3 7.6
Schroders . . . . . . . .1461.0 24.0 1906.0 1183.0
Schroders (Non-Vo.1202.0 10.0 1554.0 970.0
TuIIett Prebon . . . . . .302.4 2.5 428.6 262.3
WaIker Crips Grou . . .45.0 0.0 51.5 43.5
BT Group . . . . . . . . . .205.5 2.4 207.6 161.0
CabIe & WireIess . . . .40.7 -0.1 51.2 31.3
CabIe & WireIess . . . .17.9 1.1 76.9 14.2
COLT Group SA . . . . .93.1 -0.5 156.2 84.1
KCOM Group. . . . . . . .67.8 -1.3 84.0 57.5
TaIkTaIk TeIecom . . .123.9 0.5 161.5 119.8
TeIecomPIus. . . . . . .685.0 -10.0 802.0 440.0
Booker Group . . . . . . .74.0 1.7 80.0 54.5
Greggs . . . . . . . . . . . .511.0 1.5 550.5 445.0
Morrison (Wm) Sup .293.8 2.7 328.0 262.7
Ocado Group. . . . . . . .87.7 7.6 285.0 52.9
Sainsbury (J) . . . . . . .290.6 2.7 391.2 263.5
Tesco . . . . . . . . . . . . .329.0 2.0 420.1 312.4
Associated Britis. . .1154.0 -5.0 1183.0 940.0
Cranswick . . . . . . . . .748.0 17.5 862.0 588.5
Dairy Crest Group. . .321.8 -1.0 409.7 315.0
Devro . . . . . . . . . . . . .264.5 0.5 296.9 223.5
Tate & LyIe. . . . . . . . .675.0 -7.0 720.5 520.0
UniIever . . . . . . . . . .2047.0 6.0 2189.0 1793.0
Mondi . . . . . . . . . . . . .504.5 -4.5 664.0 413.5
Centrica . . . . . . . . . . .283.3 -0.1 345.8 278.8
InternationaI Pow . . .319.1 -8.7 436.6 279.4
NationaI Grid . . . . . . .618.5 1.0 649.5 539.0
Pennon Group. . . . . .693.0 1.0 737.5 584.5
Severn Trent . . . . . .1532.0 3.0 1600.0 1368.0
United UtiIities . . . . .599.5 -1.0 637.0 543.5
Cookson Group . . . . .570.5 4.5 724.5 395.8
DS Smith . . . . . . . . . .233.7 3.7 266.2 164.4
Rexam . . . . . . . . . . . .378.5 3.6 400.0 299.8
Price Chg High Low
Bovis Homes Group.466.5 -2.1 499.6 326.5
Persimmon . . . . . . . .521.0 -0.5 534.0 374.0
Reckitt Benckiser . .3410.0 11.0 3578.0 3015.0
Redrow. . . . . . . . . . . .120.8 -1.9 136.2 103.5
TayIor Wimpey . . . . . . .42.0 -1.8 44.0 28.7
Bodycote . . . . . . . . . .304.4 0.8 397.7 225.6
Fenner . . . . . . . . . . . .444.0 -5.7 462.0 280.0
IMI . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .877.5 2.5 1119.0 636.5
MeIrose . . . . . . . . . . .369.6 2.6 372.6 268.0
Northgate. . . . . . . . . .217.0 4.5 346.7 190.9
Rotork . . . . . . . . . . .1908.0 -37.0 1979.0 1501.0
Spirax-Sarco Engi. .1962.0 16.0 2063.0 1649.0
Weir Group . . . . . . .1954.0-125.0 2218.0 1375.0
Evraz . . . . . . . . . . . . .431.6 -3.9 435.5 315.0
Ferrexpo. . . . . . . . . . .331.0 -9.0 499.0 238.7
TaIvivaara Mining . . .357.0 -1.3 622.0 195.2
BBAAviation . . . . . . .192.0 0.9 240.8 156.0
Stobart Group Ltd. . .120.6 0.6 163.6 112.0
AdmiraI Group. . . . . .888.5 9.5 1754.0 787.0
AmIin . . . . . . . . . . . . .350.5 3.1 427.0 270.6
BeazIey. . . . . . . . . . . .138.9 1.7 139.9 109.6
Informa. . . . . . . . . . . .388.8 2.5 461.1 313.9
ITE Group. . . . . . . . . .216.9 0.7 258.2 157.7
ITV. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .75.5 1.5 93.5 51.7
Johnston Press. . . . . . .5.9 -0.3 12.8 4.1
MecomGroup . . . . . .223.8 2.5 310.0 134.5
Moneysupermarket. .115.8 1.1 120.4 84.8
Pearson . . . . . . . . . .1233.0 3.0 1255.0 1013.0
PerformGroup . . . . .250.0 0.0 250.0 150.0
Reed EIsevier . . . . . .531.0 3.5 590.5 461.3
Rightmove . . . . . . . .1298.0 -5.0 1408.0 785.0
STV Group. . . . . . . . .102.0 3.9 168.0 76.3
Tarsus Group . . . . . .139.0 0.0 165.0 119.5
Trinity Mirror . . . . . . . .46.5 -0.8 89.5 37.5
UBM . . . . . . . . . . . . . .542.5 8.5 725.0 416.0
UTV Media . . . . . . . . .108.8 4.8 150.0 92.5
WiImington Group . . .84.0 0.0 183.0 81.8
WPP . . . . . . . . . . . . . .745.0 -3.0 846.5 578.0
YeII Group . . . . . . . . . . .5.2 -0.2 12.3 3.4
African Barrick G . . .469.5 5.4 616.5 393.5
AIIied GoId Minin . . .159.0 -1.7 281.3 34.4
AngIo American . . .2660.0 12.5 3437.0 2138.5
AngIo Pacific Gro . . .282.4 -5.6 369.3 237.9
Antofagasta. . . . . . .1338.0 -26.0 1524.0 900.5
Aquarius PIatinum . .182.0 -2.3 419.0 149.0
BHP BiIIiton. . . . . . .2125.5 -33.0 2631.5 1667.0
CatIin Group Ltd.. . . .411.3 -5.7 421.4 334.0
Hiscox Ltd. . . . . . . . . .390.1 0.2 424.7 340.5
Jardine LIoyd Tho. . .695.5 5.0 764.5 576.0
Lancashire HoIdin . . .700.5 -18.5 774.5 532.5
RSA Insurance Gro. .108.2 0.0 143.5 99.6
Aviva. . . . . . . . . . . . . .350.9 8.9 477.9 275.3
LegaI & GeneraI G. . .116.9 1.4 123.8 89.8
OId MutuaI . . . . . . . . .147.1 0.4 147.6 98.1
Phoenix Group HoI . .558.0 0.5 688.0 451.1
PrudentiaI . . . . . . . . .694.0 -6.0 777.0 509.0
ResoIution Ltd. . . . . .270.8 -0.1 316.1 229.5
St James's PIace. . . .350.2 2.2 376.0 281.0
Standard Life. . . . . . .213.7 4.4 244.7 172.0
4Imprint Group . . . . .264.0 2.5 295.0 200.0
Aegis Group . . . . . . .152.0 -0.8 158.5 115.7
BIoomsbury PubIis. .105.3 2.3 138.0 91.3
British Sky Broad . . .671.5 5.0 850.0 618.5
Centaur Media. . . . . . .34.6 0.6 73.0 32.5
Chime Communicati.185.5 -0.5 298.5 163.0
Creston . . . . . . . . . . . .66.9 -1.3 121.0 65.5
DaiIy MaiI and Ge . . .435.1 6.5 594.5 343.4
Euromoney Institu . .689.5 4.5 736.0 522.5
Future. . . . . . . . . . . . . .10.0 0.9 30.0 8.3
Haynes PubIishing . .220.0 0.0 257.0 210.0
Huntsworth . . . . . . . . .33.0 0.3 83.0 32.3
Bumi . . . . . . . . . . . . . .881.0 0.00 921.0 871.0
Centamin (DI) . . . . . . . .92.0 -1.0 154.2 78.5
Eurasian NaturaI . . .738.5 -11.0 1076.0 522.0
FresniIIo. . . . . . . . . .1725.0 -43.0 2150.0 1296.0
GemDiamonds Ltd. .201.0 -1.5 306.0 179.8
GIencore Internat . . .423.1 -7.0 531.1 348.0
HochschiId Mining . .500.0 6.1 680.0 365.9
Kazakhmys . . . . . . .1123.0 10.0 1631.0 730.0
Kenmare Resources. .48.0 -1.6 59.9 31.0
Lonmin. . . . . . . . . . .1032.0 3.0 1880.0 941.0
New WorId Resourc .475.0 2.5 1060.0 409.4
PetropavIovsk . . . . . .689.5 -8.5 1090.0 543.5
PoIymetaI Interna . .1096.0 -6.0 1154.0 877.0
RandgoId Resource 7055.0-120.0 7555.0 4425.0
Rio Tinto . . . . . . . . .3684.5 -43.5 4712.0 2712.5
Vedanta Resources.1146.0 51.0 2518.0 928.0
Xstrata . . . . . . . . . . .1078.0 -11.5 1550.0 764.0
Inmarsat . . . . . . . . . . .403.6 -3.3 719.5 389.3
Vodafone Group . . . .177.1 2.6 182.8 155.1
Genesis Emerging . .489.4 0.2 548.5 424.0
Afren. . . . . . . . . . . . . .124.6 -2.2 171.2 73.6
BG Group. . . . . . . . .1457.0 -33.0 1564.5 1144.0
BP. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .467.5 -15.0 497.5 363.2
Cairn Energy . . . . . . .290.6 -1.9 469.7 257.8
EnQuest . . . . . . . . . . .105.0 -2.4 158.5 85.7
Essar Energy . . . . . .122.5 2.5 543.0 114.0
ExiIIon Energy. . . . . .256.7 -1.8 469.7 184.2
Heritage OiI . . . . . . . .187.2 -4.8 439.6 160.0
Ophir Energy. . . . . . .294.6 -5.5 318.8 184.5
Premier OiI. . . . . . . . .430.1 4.7 535.0 310.0
RoyaI Dutch SheII . .2253.5 -29.0 2402.0 1883.5
RoyaI Dutch SheII . .2329.5 -38.0 2489.0 1890.5
SaIamander Energy .248.3 5.2 317.6 182.3
Soco Internationa . . .294.8 -0.1 400.0 278.0
TuIIow OiI . . . . . . . . .1361.0 -22.0 1493.0 945.5
Amec . . . . . . . . . . . . .990.0 -7.0 1251.0 740.5
Hunting . . . . . . . . . . .822.5 -10.5 838.0 530.0
Kentz Corporation . .440.0 -20.0 508.0 347.0
LampreII . . . . . . . . . . .292.6 0.6 395.2 220.7
Petrofac Ltd. . . . . . .1440.0 -64.0 1612.0 1108.0
Wood Group (John) .658.5 -26.5 715.8 469.9
Burberry Group. . . .1355.0 3.0 1600.0 1030.0
PZ Cussons. . . . . . . .316.0 -3.0 387.9 308.7
Supergroup . . . . . . . .644.0 -31.5 1820.0 435.2
AstraZeneca . . . . . .3037.5 -32.5 3194.0 2543.5
BTG . . . . . . . . . . . . . .317.6 2.0 331.3 210.1
Genus. . . . . . . . . . . .1050.0 -4.0 1111.0 853.5
GIaxoSmithKIine. . .1438.5 1.0 1497.0 1127.5
Hikma Pharmaceuti .731.0 6.0 895.0 555.5
Shire PIc. . . . . . . . . .2121.0 -44.0 2243.0 1634.0
CapitaI & Countie . . .189.4 -0.1 203.7 142.8
Daejan HoIdings . . .2800.0 25.0 2954.0 2282.0
F&C CommerciaI Pr .103.5 -0.1 108.0 92.6
Grainger . . . . . . . . . . .103.9 -0.2 133.2 77.3
London & Stamford .108.0 -0.1 140.0 103.9
SaviIIs. . . . . . . . . . . . .322.9 -3.1 427.1 256.2
UK CommerciaI Pro . .74.8 -0.5 85.5 65.1
Unite Group. . . . . . . .177.6 3.6 224.1 152.9
Big YeIIow Group . . .276.8 7.5 344.4 218.0
British Land Co. . . . .495.9 5.9 629.5 444.0
CapitaI Shopping . . .330.1 5.9 408.6 288.7
Derwent London . . .1699.0 24.0 1880.0 1400.0
Great PortIand Es . . .359.4 -13.5 445.0 312.9
Hammerson. . . . . . . .390.4 6.1 490.9 345.2
Hansteen HoIdings. . .76.2 0.3 89.5 68.0
Land Securities G. . .691.0 11.5 885.0 612.0
SEGRO. . . . . . . . . . . .219.4 7.2 331.3 195.0
Shaftesbury. . . . . . . .507.0 8.8 539.0 436.8
Aveva Group . . . . . .1589.0 18.0 1799.0 1298.0
Computacenter . . . . .379.3 -5.4 490.0 324.7
Fidessa Group. . . . .1678.0 -2.0 2109.0 1444.0
Invensys. . . . . . . . . . .200.6 0.6 357.8 180.9
Logica . . . . . . . . . . . . .79.6 0.4 147.2 59.0
Micro Focus Inter . . .455.0 18.0 458.7 242.9
Misys . . . . . . . . . . . . .310.0 17.9 420.2 214.9
Sage Group . . . . . . . .304.8 -1.2 307.8 231.7
SDL. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .692.0 0.0 711.5 586.0
TeIecity Group. . . . . .655.0 16.0 672.0 433.0
Aggreko . . . . . . . . . .2089.0 4.0 2131.0 1394.5
Ashtead Group . . . . .225.7 -4.5 232.5 99.4
Atkins (WS) . . . . . . . .683.5 2.5 820.0 490.2
Babcock Internati . . .753.0 -5.0 766.0 542.0
Berendsen . . . . . . . . .450.0 18.4 568.0 402.7
BunzI . . . . . . . . . . . . .865.5 0.0 906.5 676.5
Cape . . . . . . . . . . . . . .386.0 1.5 591.5 295.0
Capita. . . . . . . . . . . . .649.0 12.0 786.5 611.5
CariIIion . . . . . . . . . . .328.0 3.4 403.2 281.0
De La Rue . . . . . . . . .954.0 -3.5 965.0 667.0
DipIoma . . . . . . . . . . .395.0 11.4 414.3 263.5
EIectrocomponents .216.0 -2.1 294.9 182.2
Experian. . . . . . . . . . .890.5 -12.0 909.0 665.0
FiItrona PLC . . . . . . . .391.6 -3.0 404.5 273.1
G4S. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .271.4 1.8 291.0 219.9
Hays . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .72.2 2.4 130.0 58.9
Homeserve . . . . . . . .310.0 1.9 532.0 218.5
Howden Joinery Gr. .108.8 0.7 127.5 93.1
Interserve. . . . . . . . . .310.0 -1.8 341.3 239.8
Intertek Group. . . . .2135.0 -10.0 2162.0 1715.0
MichaeI Page Inte . . .401.9 7.3 567.0 323.0
Mitie Group . . . . . . . .265.5 1.5 271.0 195.9
PayPoint. . . . . . . . . . .576.5 -8.5 586.5 327.3
Premier FarneII . . . . .205.9 2.1 308.8 144.5
Regus. . . . . . . . . . . . . .89.2 0.5 119.0 64.0
RentokiI InitiaI . . . . . . .75.0 0.8 104.7 58.2
RPS Group. . . . . . . . .205.8 -0.7 253.0 156.6
Serco Group . . . . . . .514.0 -2.0 618.5 458.0
Shanks Group. . . . . . .99.5 1.0 130.9 90.8
SIG . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .105.1 5.6 153.5 77.0
Travis Perkins . . . . . .883.5 7.5 1090.0 715.0
WoIseIey . . . . . . . . .2238.0 -12.0 2269.0 1404.0
ARM HoIdings . . . . . .575.5 -5.0 651.0 464.0
CSR . . . . . . . . . . . . . .226.0 1.5 447.0 154.1
Imagination Techn . .571.0 4.5 575.5 296.9
Spirent Communica .125.4 0.4 160.0 105.8
British American . .2922.0 24.5 3079.0 2282.5
ImperiaI Tobacco . .2253.0 32.0 2444.0 1784.0
Betfair Group. . . . . . .845.0 10.0 1030.0 567.0
Bwin.party Digita . . .159.3 -5.3 205.9 100.6
CarnivaI . . . . . . . . . .1989.0 -28.0 3000.0 1742.0
Compass Group . . . .613.5 0.5 619.5 512.5
Domino's Pizza UK. .460.0 6.2 549.0 377.0
easyJet. . . . . . . . . . . .422.5 1.0 422.6 301.0
FirstGroup . . . . . . . . .303.6 -2.7 391.2 301.8
Go-Ahead Group. . .1320.0 12.0 1598.0 1190.0
Greene King . . . . . . .512.0 -8.5 521.0 410.0
InterContinentaI . . .1317.0 10.0 1435.0 955.0
InternationaI Con . . .167.6 2.1 285.0 132.0
JD Wetherspoon. . . .414.8 6.9 468.3 380.5
Ladbrokes . . . . . . . . .139.9 2.0 155.3 114.0
Marston's. . . . . . . . . . .94.6 0.9 112.0 84.6
MiIIennium& Copt . .438.8 16.3 600.5 371.2
MitcheIIs & ButIe. . . .270.5 9.4 357.0 215.6
NationaI Express . . .224.2 -2.6 270.2 201.6
Rank Group . . . . . . . .128.0 -2.0 153.7 109.5
Restaurant Group. . .297.1 2.4 335.0 254.9
Spirit Pub Compan . . .48.0 1.5 55.0 35.3
Stagecoach Group . .278.5 0.8 281.2 200.0
TUI TraveI. . . . . . . . . .196.8 6.8 271.9 136.7
Whitbread . . . . . . . .1663.0 0.0 1863.0 1409.0
WiIIiamHiII. . . . . . . . .225.0 2.0 244.1 176.8
Abcam . . . . . . . . . . . .343.0 1.0 460.0 316.0
Advanced MedicaI . . .90.0 -0.3 96.0 64.8
AIbemarIe & Bond . .347.6 -0.4 400.1 272.0
Amerisur Resource . .18.8 -0.5 29.0 9.5
Andor TechnoIogy . .574.0 -25.0 685.0 387.1
ArchipeIago Resou. . .70.0 0.0 79.0 55.5
ASOS . . . . . . . . . . . .1772.0 12.0 2468.0 1142.0
AureIian OiI & Ga . . . .16.8 0.5 92.0 16.0
Avanti Communicat .289.0 1.5 628.0 248.5
BIinkx . . . . . . . . . . . . . .71.0 -0.5 158.0 50.5
Borders & Souther . . .71.3 0.8 72.3 43.5
BowLeven . . . . . . . . . .82.0 -0.8 382.3 62.0
Brooks MacdonaId .1130.0 -5.0 1372.5 940.0
Cove Energy . . . . . . .135.0 -1.8 138.8 61.0
Daisy Group . . . . . . .101.5 -0.3 127.0 88.0
EMIS Group . . . . . . . .437.5 11.5 580.0 425.3
Faroe PetroIeum. . . .161.8 -2.3 210.0 130.0
GuIfsands PetroIe. . .176.5 0.5 361.5 142.5
GWPharmaceuticaI . .93.3 4.8 130.0 78.5
H&T Group. . . . . . . . .345.0 1.0 395.0 277.0
Hamworthy . . . . . . . .825.0 2.0 833.5 406.3
Hargreaves Servic .1146.0 1.0 1180.0 818.0
HeaIthcare Locums . . . .3.4 -0.1 3.4 3.3
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Wealth Management | Markets
28 CITYA.M. 23 JANUARY 2012
0.0129
0.0250
0.0002
J
OHN, Jeremy and Joan had a plan. A
good plan. A plan to start a business.
They were so sure that the business
would succeed that each used
100,000 of their own money to fund the
start-up costs and take the inevitable losses
until they turned the corner into profit.
Their hunch was right, and with time and
hard work the business did succeed. So
Philip Salter talks to
Will Dean, a Harvard
MBA with a difference
THE BEST LAID
PLANS OF SOME
ENTREPRENEURS
CLAIRE
MADDEN
M
OST students dont even consider
setting up a business, but at uni-
versity Will Dean founded an
alternative graduation t-shirt
company to compete with UK universities
offerings. He later took near-monopolistic
control of the global supply of antique
Bollywood posters. But this was small fry
compared to his current company: Tough
Mudder.
After finishing university he worked on
counterterrorism for the Foreign Office,
but realised he saw his future self owning
and running his own business. His next
step was to take an MBA at Harvard. Despite
reaching the final 10 of Harvards presti-
gious Business Plan Contest, Dean didnt
get the experience he wanted: Business
school is basically
finance school 99
per cent of people
dont come out of
Harvard and start
their own business,
which surprised me.
Being in the US
was useful for devel-
oping his ideas,
though: As a Brit in
the states, I was
uniquely posi-
tioned to find
things that were
working in Europe
and bring them to
the US. He notes, upon observing the
Europeanisation of lifestyles in the US for
example, cycling, cafes and fashion that
arbitrage isnt just in one direction. A
stongman run, put on by Fishermans
Friend in Germany, attracted his attention.
Although this event wasnt put on for prof-
it, he thought it could be. Harvards final
judging panel in the Business Plan Contest
werent as convinced, but Dean knew he
had found the Holy Grail: You get paid in
advance, you have no capital risk and it is
scalable. Upon graduating he called Guy
Livingstone, a friend from school and then
a bored corporate lawyer, who flew out to
the US to help set up the business.
Business school wasnt totally wasted; he
learnt two things. Firstly, always figure
out your minimum viable product a very
small experiment can test your assump-
tions. And secondly: Marketing is the true
core competency of all small businesses.
The first Tough Mudder event was in
May 2010. They were hoping for 500 people
to break even, but in 5 weeks they had sold
all 5,000 tickets. Dean and Livingstone had
gone from investing $20,000, to having
$500,000 sitting in the bank now they
just had to put on the event. It didnt run
entirely smoothly with cars backed up in
parking lots and bottlenecks at obstacles
but they learned from this. Last year there
were 14 Tough Mudder events in the US,
Business Features| Entrepreneurs
29
CITYA.M. 23 JANUARY 2012
Turnover: $25m (2011); est. $75m (2012)
Number of staff: 55 (full-time)
Age: 31
Born: Sheffield, UK
Lives: Brooklyn, New York, US
Drinking: Brooklyn Lager/London Pride
(depending on location)
Talents:
Simplifying things, persevering with kitesurf-
ing, generally understanding Americans
Favourite business book:
The Effective Executive by Peter Drucker a
truly timeless classic
Motto: 95 per cent of business is execution,
95 per cent of execution is marketing and 95
per cent of marketing is empathy. (Harvard
Marketing Professor)
First ambition:
To be secretly recruited for MI5 and to grow
taller than his father
A Brit in New York who
is truly getting stuck in
much so, in fact, that after 10 years, and
now employing 100 people, they were in a
position to acquire their largest competi-
tor. But to do so, they needed money, and
lots of it.
The bank said no. A private equity firm
said yes; but they wanted a substantial
stake in the enlarged business. The team
thought about it long and hard. It would
mean a big dilution of their equity. On the
other hand, they all agreed theyd rather
have a smaller piece of a bigger pie, so they
said yes and the deal was done.
Five years later, after more hard work,
they were approached by a US multination-
al who wanted to buy their business, but
there was a problem: HMRC said that since
John and Jeremy now had individual stakes
of less than 5 per cent they werent really
entrepreneurs and so they would not be
entitled to Entrepreneurs Relief their
capital gains would be charged at 28 per
cent, not 10 per cent.
They felt hard done by, as they had paid
the same rate of capital gains tax as Johns
neighbour, Neville, who had recently sold
the house his recently deceased maiden
aunt had left him in her will. They felt that
by creating a business, and employing all
those people, their contribution to the UK
economy had been rather more than
Nevilles who had simply sold a second
home.
Joan felt angry too. She was older than
the others and due to sudden ill health had
decided, a year prior to the approach by the
US multinational, to step down as a direc-
tor. Although her stake was a little higher
than the others, at 7 per cent, HMRC said
that since she was no longer a director, she
wasnt really an entrepreneur either.
The same was true of three others, Steve,
Sally and Stuart. They had been early
employees but were now in senior manage-
ment positions although not directors.
They had joined a fledgling company and
had invested in the business as it grew,
using whatever excess income they had.
HMRC said they too werent really entre-
preneurs, as their stakes were less than 1
per cent and they werent directors.
As the original management team
mulled their options, Steve, Sally and
Stuart offered to buy the business, with
help from a buy-out firm. All three knew
the business well and had previously
invested substantial sums to build up their,
admittedly, small stakes. Their intention
was to re-mortgage in order to increase
their stakes as part of the buy-out. They
too, however, had a problem. Although
they were risking substantial sums of their
own money to buy relatively small stakes
in what was now a large business, HMRC
would, in time, tell them too, that they still
werent really entrepreneurs.
The moral of this story? Surely, its that
there are lots of different types of entrepre-
neurs. They dont have to be inventors, and
they dont have to be lone wolves.
Sometimes they buy businesses and they
often work in teams. The sooner the gov-
ernment recognises this, the better.
Claire Madden is a Partner at private client
investment firm Connection Capital LLP.
We should embrace
and foster success
not disincentivise it
I
T IS good news that Sir Richard
Branson, still the UKs most famous
self-made businessman, will be speak-
ing at this years Global
Entrepreneurship Congress (GEC) in
Liverpool the first ever to be held in
Europe. Taking place from 9 to 16 March,
this is the worlds largest gathering of
startup champions.
Branson says: A strong economy needs
to encourage entrepreneurs to create and
grow their businesses, adding, its great
to see the Kauffman Foundation backing
Britain by bringing the GEC, a showcase of
entrepreneurial talent, to Liverpool this
March. Bransons praise of the Kauffman
Foundation is spot on. Its an invaluable
resource for entrepreneurs, the largest
such organisation in the world.
However, as good as Kauffman is and
it really is outstanding it focuses on the
US. It would be great to see a similar
organisation for the UK. A centre for entre-
preneurship, not tied to any particular
political ideology, could be transformative.
This weeks page features a profile of
Will Dean (right), the co-founder of Tough
Mudder, which runs events designed by the
Special Forces to test participants
strength, stamina, mental grit, and cama-
raderie. This Englishman in New York is
now expanding his business into the UK.
The topic of Branson came up in discus-
sion with Dean. He thinks his treatment in
the UK has a lot to say about our cultural
reaction to entrepreneurs. Dean said that
when he tries to explain that a lot of people
in the UK think Branson a little gauche and
a show-off, some Americans are genuinely
offended. We in the UK could learn a lot
from Americans broad reaction to success.
Dean epitomises the vision and values of
the model modern entrepreneur. Its inspir-
ing, but as Claire Madden argues (below),
entrepreneurs are many and varied and at
present the tax system penalises those that
deviate from the standard model. These
technical details are not going to make
front page news, but if schemes are going
to be designed to try to incentivise entre-
preneurs, then we shouldnt let any slip
through the cracks.
PHILIP
SALTER
FEATURES WRITER
CITY A.M.
this year there will be over 25, with even
more in Australia, Canada and the UK.
Dean is plugged in and switched on he
even claims Tough Mudder is one of
Facebooks biggest advertisers, remarkable
for a company going only two years. He
likes the fact that it can target extremely
focused adverts in real time, running tests
for as little as $0.80.
Staff are offered $2,000 to leave in the
first month, while Tough Mudder Ventures
provides seed financing for former employ-
ees. He has big plans for his company and
certainly seems as dedicated to it as the
1,000 Tough Mudder competitors who have
had the blazing logo tattooed on them.
It doesnt get
much tougher
or muddier
CV | WILL DEAN
Lifestyle | Travel
30 CITYA.M. 23 JANUARY 2012
The American satirist PJ ORourke had
little time for snow sports. As he put
it: Skiing consists of wearing $3,000
worth of clothes and equipment and
driving 200 miles in the snow in order
to stand around at a bar and drink.
That might not have been so bad for
ORourke he is famous for his love of
bars.
But for a band of explosively enthu-
siastic lunatics, it was not enough.
Thanks to them, freeride skiing is now
a sport, it is much more thrilling than
the spandex-clad ice-skating of alpine
racing, and it is about to make you
think differently about ski holidays.
Let me explain: Freeride skiing is to
ordinary skiing what cocaine and
hookers are to a glass of sherry in
front of Question Time. The premise is
simple instead of taking a chairlift
you take a helicopter. It drops you on
the top of a mountain face so steep
the uninitiated would forgive you for
packing a parachute.
Then you ski down it as quickly,
smoothly and originally as you can.
Ideally leaping off a few cliffs on the
way. Back-flips help. A panel of griz-
zled looking men in their 30s then
ranks you, while crowds whoop and
the helicopter carries up the next
batch of competitors.
The event is the Freeride World
Tour, and it has now been going for 16
years. This year, it will start in
Revelstoke, Canadas most exciting
new freeride resort, before moving
through older terrain of the Swiss and
French Alps. I joined some of the rid-
ers at the final of last years event in
Verbier, Switzerland.
The atmosphere was electric. After
two wet, cloudy days, and a great deal
of handwringing by the organisers,
the spring weather had delivered a
solid foot of fresh snow. Out of the
mist, the sun had emerged and the
spectators were massed at the bottom
of the world-famous Bec des Rosses
(pictured), munching on croissants
and waiting out the action.
A MENTAL SPORT
Before it begins, Aurlien Ducroz, a 29
year old skier originally from
Chamonix the original freeride
resort explains the appeal of freeride
competitions over conventional pro-
fessional skiing: I was on a ski-jump-
ing team for five years. You have to
train, do everything, according to a
system. As a freerider, you have total
freedom. You can be very creative. I
The Freeride World
Tour, now in the
Alps, puts skiing in a
whole new light, says
Daniel Knowles
When skiing becomes
like that.
The key to success, he says, is prima-
rily planning: Its actually very men-
tal, you have to focus on your line.
When Im skiing, all Im thinking
about is the next thing the next
turn, or where the next big cliff is.
The competitors spend much of the
morning of the competition plan-
ning. While guides check the snow
conditions for avalanche risk, riders
look at photos of the mountain from
different angles, working out the
obstacles they have to overcome and
how to recognise them from above.
Turns are planned long before they
are made, as are the bigger drops. But
Ducroz insist he doesnt let the techni-
cal side suck out the fun: Mostly I like
to go fast, he enthuses, I dont do a
lot of jumps I want to be as smooth
as I can.
Later Ducroz won the mens ski
event, not least thanks to an outra-
geous and brilliantly smooth cliff
drop. From my perch I watched him
punch the air as he landed before
smoothly ducking into the next turn,
still travelling at a gobsmacking clip.
His verdict afterwards neatly sums up
the entire sport: Everything went
perfect for me today I jumped two
big cliffs!
MAKING IT WORK
The sport is the invention of Nicolas
Hale-Woods, a Swiss snowboarder and
entrepreneur. In 1994, Hale-Woods
was filming snowboard movies in
Verbier and looking for an interesting
new project. We were riding the Bec
des Rosses he says, And suddenly we
noticed about 150 people were just sit-
ting around and watching.
We had heard about some skiers in
Alaska judging each other, and we
realised that there was potential
there. Spotting his opportunity, Hale-
Woods decided to start a competition.
The idea was to bring the most outra-
geous, off-piste skiing back into
resorts where ordinary skiers could
watch it.
But hosting a ski tournament is not
exactly cheap. How did Hale-Woods
get financing? We were lucky
enough to send one of our partner-
ship proposals to the agency that was
launching Red Bull in Switzerland,
he says, And they said, do you want
100,000 Swiss Francs? Well give you
two-thirds, and youll get the rest by
selling Red Bull. So we were lucky.
The first tournament, there was
good snow, sunny weather, and it just
worked.
Now the tournament is heavily
sponsored by Swatch, Nissan and oth-
ers, as well as by the resorts hosting
the tournament such as Verbier.
Verbier will always want to be associ-
ated with free-ride skiing says Hale-
Woods. The tournament has now
expanded much further: last summer,
they even hosted a competition in
Chile.
WHATS NEXT?
The real key to its success has been the
explosion of freeride skiing among
ordinary skiers. Back in the 1990s, off-
piste skiing meant learning to use fid-
dly, analogue avalanche transceivers
and two-metre long skis and walking
a lot. Now, thanks to banana shaped
fat skis, designed specifically to
make it easier to ski in deep powder
snow, it is much easier to get off the
marked runs.
And the riders are determined to
make the Freeride World Tour some-
thing that even the ordinary 2-weeks-
a-year skier can enjoy. While most
people might not be up for the Bec des
Rosses, punters can, for a fee, ski with
the pros and a guide on their training.
TOP GEAR
1) Swatch Snowpass Watch
Do you find lift passes annoying?
Hate having to shuffle around
trying to get the right pocket
up to the scanner? The
Swatch Snowpass is
designed to help it
includes a RFID chip rather
like the ones in most lift
passes. The idea is that
when you buy your pass,
you get it scanned into
your watch so you can
just fly through the scan-
ners. Pointless? Undoubtedly.
Cool? Yes.
www.swatch.com
/zz_en/snowpass
2) Zeal Optics GPS goggles
If theres one problem with skiing, its that you
cant tell how fast you are going. Thats clearly
what Zeal think anyway these goggles include
an actual GPS based speedometer. Theres a tiny
screen mounted in
the bottom right
corner which,
at any
moment, you
can just
glance down
at and see
not only your
exact speed, but also the temperature, altitude,
record speed and any thing else you might want
to know. Crazy but brilliant.
www.zealoptics.com/transcend
3) Wipe-out piste map
A piste-map thats also a goggle wipe. The
genius is that it doesnt fall to pieces in the
snow, or crumple up in your pocket, so you
wont be forced to replace it every day.
Also, you can keep your goggles clean. Or
use it as a face wipe after a particularly
gnarly run.
www.wipe-out.eu
4) Avalanche airbag system
Venturing out into the backcountry?
The first thing you need is an ava-
lanche transceiver, a
probe and a shovel.
But lots of pros are
also taking these
trendy backpacks.
As well as carrying
all your gear, it also
includes a gas canis-
ter and a giant airbag.
Pull a cord and
instantly it expands
around your head, help-
ing to pull you to the
top in an avalanche.
www.snowpulse.com/en
Freeriding at
Verbier, one of
the major resorts
involved in the
tour. Fabulous
snow and wild
peaks make it
ideal.
31 CITYA.M. 23 JANUARY 2012
more like snow-flying
1) Stay: Chalet Bella Coola, named for
the famously snowy valley in British
Columbia Canada, is one of the most chic
places you can stay in Verbier.
As well as all the usual amenities of a
luxury chalet (a personal driver, mouth-
watering food, the softest sheets), its
worth staying here just for the swim-
ming pool. Hidden behind enormous
Indian doors, the panoramic views of the
mountains cannot be bettered.
www.ckverbier.com/bella- coola-
accommodation.htm
2) EAT: Le Table dAdrian, the Michelin
starred restaurant of the luxury Chalet
dAdrian, is not easily bettered, in Verbier
or anywhere. The Italian inspired food,
served up by head chef Marco Bassi,
looks as exotic as you would expect of a
restaurant with such credentials think
steak mounted artfully on the bone. But
these are not pointless dainties you will
come away well fed and satisfied. Just
ready to hit the bars.
3) DRINK: Though no St Anton, Verbier
doesnt lack for decent watering holes.
For the best aprs, try Le Carrefore, hid-
den away on skiers right on the way back
to the resort, catches the late sun and is
a decent place for a pint. Later, the com-
pulsory Irish bar Murphys is a popular
hangout for British season workers
find one to buy your drinks and youll
save a packet. Then finish up at the
Casbah for classically European dance
music and people jumping about in their
ski jackets.
NEED TO KNOW
Verbier is one the greatest ski resorts
in the world and theres plenty of
powder to be had; this winter there
has been lots of fresh now fall. If
youre not up for walking, check out
the Tortan and the Gentianes, but the
real fun it at the 3,330m peak of Mont
Fort, where Mont Blanc and the
Matterhorn dominate the horizon.
So even if youve never thought to
leave the piste, now is maybe the time.
Gloriously (though not for those who
compete for fresh snow) freeride has
than 15 seconds from top to bottom,
but youve just got to be on it, feel it,
let her buck. Its like flying. Its the
best feeling in the world.
But if you still think PJ ORourkes
version was more accurate, well, at
least thanks to the men and women
on the tour, theres a hell of a view
from the bar.
The Freeride World Tour 2012 will be at
Verbier from 24 March-1 April. For all event
details and locations, see
freerideworldtour.com.
gone mainstream.
The sort of runs once only profes-
sionals could ski try Googling The
Blizzard of Aahs to get a sense of
where this sport started are now
available to anyone able to ski a black
run competently.
And there is nothing more satisfy-
ing than cutting your own line down
the mountain while children stare,
goggled eyed, from the lifts: thats
what skiing is about. As one competi-
tor, puts it: It might be no longer
T
E
R
R
E
S
T
R
I
A
L
MRS BROWNS BOYS
BBC1, 9.30PM
Agnes goes on a diet after her familys
comments about her weight, but soon
realises how difficult it will be to lay
off the fish and chips.
ABOVE SUSPICION: SILENT
SCREAMITV1, 9PM
Travis follows her instincts
independently from the team, but her
devotion to the force begins to lead
her down a dangerous path.
HOME AND AWAY
CHANNEL5, 6PM
Romeos sister Mink arrives in Summer
Bay and it soon becomes apparent she
has money troubles, and April tells Dex
their relationship is over.
BBC1
SKY SPORTS 1
7pmSky Sports News at Seven
7.30pmLive Football League
10pmPremier League Review
11pmNetbusters 11.30pmSPL
Round-Up 11.55pm-6amLive
Test Cricket
SKY SPORTS 2
7pmEuropean Rugby Special
8pmNFL 10pmWarren Miller
Skiing Films 11.30pmSoccer AM:
The Best Bits 12.30amFootball
League 2amWarren Miller Skiing
Films 3.30amWatersports World
4.30amMax Power
5.30am-6amFIFA Futbol
Mundial
SKY SPORTS 3
7pmWarren Miller Skiing Films
8.30pmKings of the Snow9pm
Spirit of Yachting 9.30pmFishing
Gurus 10pmWWE: Late Night
Bottom Line 11pmWWE: Late
Night Afterburn 12amWWE:
NXT 1amWWE Vintage
Collection 2amLive WWE: Late
Night Raw4.15am-5.45am
Football League
BRITISH EUROSPORT
6.45pmLive Africa Cup of
Nations 9pmWATTS 9.15pm
Australian Open Tennis 11.30pm
Game, Set and Mats
12am-6.15amTennis: Australian
Open
ESPN
7pmESPN Game of the Week: A
football match from the past
week on ESPN. 7.30pmCaribbean
Twenty20 Cricket 10.30pm
Premier League Review11.30pm
Press Pass 2012 12amESPN
Kicks: Scottish Premier League
12.15amESPN Kicks: Extra
12.30amLive NBA Basketball
3amBundesliga Review Show
4.15amESPN Kicks: Scottish
Premier League 4.30amESPN
Game of the Week 5am-6am
Premier League Review
SKY LIVING
7pmCriminal Minds 8pmBigger
than Britney 9pmAmericas Next
Top Model: All-Stars 10pm
Criminal Minds 11pmBones
12amCSI 1.50amCriminal
Minds 2.40amMy Wife and Kids
3.30amBones 4.20amNothing
to Declare 5.10am-6amJerry
Springer
BBC THREE
7pmPops Greatest Dance Crazes
8pmDont Tell the Bride 9pm
How Sex Works 10pm
EastEnders 10.30pmBizarre
Crime 11pmFamily Guy 11.45pm
American Dad! 12.30amHow Sex
Works 1.30amBizarre Crime
2amDont Tell the Bride 3amThe
Career Crashers 4am-5amTable
Dancing Diaries
E4
7pmHollyoaks 7.35pmHow I
Met Your Mother 8pmMy Name
Is Earl 9pmPlaying It Straight
10pmSkins 11.10pmFresh Meat
12amThe Big Bang Theory 1am
Scrubs 1.55amHow I Met Your
Mother 2.20amRules of
Engagement 2.40amFresh Meat
3.25amGreek 4.10amWildfire
5am-6amSwitched
HISTORY
7pmStorage Wars 7.30pmPawn
Stars 8pmStorage Wars 9pm
Pawn Stars 10pmAmerican
Pickers 12amPawn Stars 1am
American Pickers 3amClash of
the Gods 4amDeep Wreck
Mysteries 5am-6amAmerican
Pickers
DISCOVERY
7pmMythbusters 8pmApollo 13:
The True Story 9pmBear Grylls:
Born Survivor 10pmSons of Guns
11pmDeadliest Catch 12amBear
Grylls: Born Survivor 2amApollo
13: The True Story 3amWheeler
Dealers 3.50amMythbusters
4.40amChris Barries Massive
Engines 5.30am-6amDestroyed
in Seconds
DISCOVERY HOME &
HEALTH
7pmSupernanny USA 8pmJon
and Kate Plus 8 9pmCritical
Condition 10pmTrauma Team
11pmHospital Emergency 12am
Critical Condition 1amTrauma
Team2amHospital Emergency
3amSupernanny USA 4amA
Baby Story 5am-6amBringing
Home Baby
SKY1
8pmGadget Geeks 9pm
Obese: A Year to Save My Life
10pmAn Idiot Abroad 2 11pm
A League of Their Own 12amDog
the Bounty Hunter 1amMy
Holiday Hostage Hell 1.50am
Fringe 3.40amThe Top Ten Show
3.50amRoad Wars 4.20am
Project Catwalk 5.10am-6am
Dont Forget the Lyrics
BBC2 ITV1 CHANNEL4 CHANNEL5
S
A
T
E
L
L
I
T
E
&
C
A
B
L
E
TVPICK
6pmBBC News
6.30pmBBC London News
7pmThe One Show
7.30pmInside Out: BBC News
8pmEastEnders 8.30pmTrain
Fares: Taken for a Ride? Panorama
9pmThe Royal Bodyguard 9.30pm
CHOICE Mrs Browns Boys 10pm
BBC News 10.25pmRegional News
10.35pmA Question of Sport
11.05pmLate Kick Off 11.35pm
The Graham Norton Show12.20am
Weatherview12.25amSign Zone:
Who Do You Think You Are?
1.25amMasterChef: The
Professionals 1.55amYouve Been
Scammed 2.40amCelebrity
Antiques Road Trip 3.40am-6am
BBC News
6pmEggheads
6.30pmGreat British Railway
Journeys
7pmBaking Made Easy
7.30pmA Question of Taste
8pmUniversity Challenge
8.30pmAn Island Parish
9pmThe Real Magnificent
Men in Their Flying Machines:
A Wonderland Film: The Round
Britain Rally.
10pmMock the Week Again
10.30pmNewsnight: Weather
11.20pmAmerican Football
12.20amBowls
1.20amBBC News 3.40amClose
4am-6amBBC Learning Zone
6pmLondon Tonight
6.30pmITV News
7pmEmmerdale
7.30pmCoronation Street
8pmCornwall with Caroline
Quentin
8.30pmCoronation Street
9pmCHOICE Above Suspicion:
Silent Scream
10pmITV News at Ten
10.30pmLondon News
10.35pmThat Sunday Night Show
11.10pmLaw & Order: UK 12.05am
River Monsters 12.30amThe Zone;
ITV News Headlines 2.35amThe
Jeremy Kyle Show3.30amITV
Nightscreen 4.35am-5.30amThe
Jeremy Kyle Show
6pmThe Simpsons
6.30pmHollyoaks
7pmChannel 4 News
7.55pm4thought.tv
8pmSuperScrimpers
9pmCoppers:
10pmParty Paramedics
11.05pmRandom Acts
11.10pmShameless
12.15amThe Joy of Teen Sex
1.10amEmbarrassing Bodies
2.05amUndressing My Mother
2.10amBrain Damage 2.15amSt
Elsewhere 3.05am90210 3.45am
Designers Under Pressure 4am
Rome: The Model Empire
4.55am-5.55amLost Buildings of
Britain
6pmCHOICE Home and Away
6.30pm5 News at 6.30
7pmWorlds Toughest Trucker:
5 News Update
8pmPolice Interceptors: 5
News at 9
9pmCelebrity Big Brother
10pmCelebrity Wedding
Planner
11pmCelebrity Big Brothers
Bit on the Side
12amKate Thornton
Anorexic: My Secret Past
1amSuperCasino 4amAnimal
Rescue Squad 4.10amGreys
Anatomy 5amCounty Secrets
5.10am-6amHouse Doctor
1 2 3 4 5
6 7
8
9
10 11 12
13 14 15 16 17
18 19
20 21
22
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11 12 4
9 24
28 23
15 6
25 12
45
15 24
11 35
7 12
22 16
14 22 17
13
18
12
27
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10
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42
8
17
34
9
9
41
13
11
23
27
6
20
29
Fill the grid so that each block
adds up to the total in the box
above or to the left of it.
You can only use the digits 1-9
and you must not use the
same digit twice in a block.
The same digit may occur
more than once in a row or
column, but it must be in a
separate block.
COFFEE BREAK
Copyright Puzzle Press Ltd, www.puzzlepress.co.uk
KAKURO
QUICK CROSSWORD
LAST ISSUES
SOLUTIONS
KAKURO
WORDWHEEL
Using only the letters in the Wordwheel, you have
ten minutes to nd as many words as possible,
none of which may be plurals, foreign words or
proper nouns. Each word must be of three letters
or more, all must contain the central letter and
letters can only be used once in every word. There
is at least one nine-letter word in the wheel.
SUDOKU
Place the numbers from 1 to 9 in each empty cell so that each
row, each column and each 3x3 block contains all the numbers
from 1 to 9 to solve this tricky Sudoku puzzle.
SUDOKU
QUICK CROSSWORD
ACROSS
3 Covered with hair (7)
6 Long raised strip (5)
8 Arm of the
Mediterranean between
Greece and Italy (6,3)
9 Communion table (5)
10 Distant but within
sight (6)
13 Nil (4)
16 Framework that holds
the panes of a window
in the frame (4)
18 Express agreement (6)
20 Helicopter propeller (5)
22 Very small in scale (9)
23 Scour (5)
24 Predatory black-and-
white whale (7)
DOWN
1 Inferior substitute
or imitation (6)
2 Newspaper chiefs (7)
3 Name of eight kings
of England (5)
4 Church councils (6)
5 Belonging to those
people (6)
7 Indian state, capital
Panaji (3)
11 Be in possession of (3)
12 From the Orient (7)
14 Less difcult (6)
15 Hard, brittle element; the
heaviest known metal (6)
17 As a result of this (6)
19 Bind (5)
21 Imaginary monster
or ogre (3)
E
N
N
E
S I
T
X
O
4
E G O G G L E B O X
X U I A E
T R I E D S T A R S
R L A D D E R S H
E N T R Y R A T I O
M L M R
I N G O T S M E L T
T A B A S H E D E
Y E M E N A L I G N
U G D C E
I N T R O V E R T D
4 2 6 1 1 3 2 8
9 4 8 7 5 6 3 9
3 9 9 8 7 5 6
9 5 1 3 2 1 3
5 1 2 4 6 3 7
8 7 6 9 4 9 2 1
1 6 4 7 8 3 2
9 3 8 1 6 7 9
8 4 6 7 9 1 4
5 1 4 2 8 4 6 9
7 2 1 5 3 2 1 8
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
WORDWHEEL
The nine-letter word was
IMPULSIVE
Lifestyle | TV&Games
CITYA.M. 23 JANUARY 2012 32
Sport
33 CITYA.M. 23 JANUARY 2012
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email sport@cityam.com
SPORT | IN BRIEF
Narraway handed England chance
RUGBY UNION: Gloucester No8 Luke
Narraway has been drafted into the
England squad ahead of the Six Nations
as a replacement for injured Northampton
back-rower Tom Wood. Narraway, 28, has
seven caps, the most recent against
Ireland at Croke Park two years ago.
Wood, who had been touted as a potential
successor to Lewis Moody as England
captain, has been ruled out of the tourna-
ments first two matches with a damaged
toe. England begin their Six Nations
defence on 4 February against Scotland
at Murrayfield in what will be interim
coach Stuart Lancasters first game in
charge.
Drogba on target for Ivory Coast
FOOTBALL: Chelsea striker Didier Drogba
ensured Ivory Coast got their Africa Cup
of Nations campaign off to a winning
start by scoring the only goal of their
opening Group B clash against Sudan. It
took the Elephants 39 minutes to break
down Sudan, with Drogba heading home
Salomon Kalous cross. Ivory Coast face
Burkina Faso in their second game on
Thursday.
Olazabal rolls back the years
GOLF: Europes Ryder Cup captain Jose
Maria Olazabal defied his world ranking of
596 to secure an impressive sixth placed
finish at the Volvo Golf Champions at
Fancourt Links in Western Cape. The
Spaniard, 45, who hasnt won a tourna-
ment for seven years, finished on eight
under, four shots behind winner Branden
Grace, who beat Ernie Els and Retief
Goosen in a three-way South African
play-off. The only weak part was my
driver. The rest of the game has been
pretty good, said Olazabal. At certain
moments in the round it looked a little bit
like the old days. Home favourite Grace,
meanwhile, secured his second win in a
row after his success at the Joburg Open.
BRITISH pole-vault sensation Holly
Bleasdale announced her arrival as
one of the best home medal hopes for
London 2012 by recording the second
highest indoor jump of all time yes-
terday.
Bleasdale, who only took up the
sport four years ago, beat her own
British indoor record three times as
she won in Lyon with a mammoth
leap of 4.87m.
The 20-year-old failed in an attempt
to beat Yelena Isinbayevas all-time
best mark of 5m but was delighted
with a performance good enough to
win all but one of the womens world
titles in history. I just lay still in
astonishment. The crowd was
absolutely electric and this was an
amazing boost, Bleasdale said.
Everyone was on their feet shout-
ing, and when I attempted 5.01m the
atmosphere was just out of this
world. Ive never experienced it like
that before.
Bleasdales success comes after she
switched to longer poles in order to
keep up with her rapid improvement
last season. The upgrade was funded
by sports philanthropist Barrie Wells,
whose foundation helps Bleasdale
and other Team GB hopefuls such as
Jessica Ennis, Jenny Meadows, Dai
Greene and Jodie Williams.
Pole vaulter Bleasdales
joy at triple record feat
OLYMPICS
Mens Singles
A Murray (GBR) [4] v M Kukushkin (Kaz)
N Djokovic (Ser) [1] v L Hewitt (Aus)
K Nishikori (Jap) [24] v JW Tsonga (Fra) [6]
R Gasquet (Fra) [17] v D Ferrer (Spa) [5]
Womens Singles
A Ivanovic (Ser) [21] v P Kvitova (Cze) [2]
E Makarova (Rus) v S Williams (US) [12]
S Lisicki (Ger) [14] v M Sharapova (Rus) [4]
S Errani (Ita) v J Zheng (Chi)
Tournament Schedule
Today: Mens/Womens last 16
Tue: 2 mens, 2 womens quarter-finals
Wed: 2 mens, 2 womens quarter-finals
Thu: 2 womens semi-finals, 1 mens
Fri: 1 mens semi-final
Sat: Womens final
Sun: Mens final
HIGHLIGHTS | MONDAYS ACTION
Clijsters sweats on injury
after reaching last eight
REIGNING champion Kim Clijsters
admits her title defence hangs in
the balance after aggravating an
ankle injury in a gutsy three-set
defeat of fifth seed Li Na.
Clijsters (inset), seeded
11th, fought back from a
set down to defeat the
Chinese French Open win-
ner 4-6, 7-6 (8-6), 6-4 and
reach the Australian Open
quarter-finals.
But the Belgian, who meets
top seed Carline Wozniacki
next, needed an ice bath and heavy
strapping immediately afterwards
and addressed media with her foot
elevated to relieve swelling.
Clijsters said: I have the best peo-
ple around me to take care of
me and to make sure
that this is hopefully
not going to get any
worse.
W o z n i a c k i
smothered a late
comeback from
13th seed Jelena
Jankovic. Meanwhile,
Victoria Azarenka will
face Agnieszka
Radwanska.
TENNIS
MANCHESTER 2
BY FRANK DALLERES
FOOTBALL
3
2
MANCHESTER CITY
TOTTENHAM
KEY MOMENT
How costly could Jermain Defoes late miss
prove for Tottenhams season? When
Gareth Bale launched a last-ditch counter-
attack by charging purposefully from the
half-way line, skinning Joleon Lescott and
delivering a low ball across goal Defoe
looked certain to score. But, with echoes of
Paul Gascoigne in Euro 96, he could not
make up enough ground to get the contact
he needed and instead slid his effort wide.
TALKING POINT
Mario Balotellis tangle with Scott Parker
left Spurs boss Harry Redknapp and pun-
dits in little doubt that the Italian had
deliberately made contact with the
England midfielder. The question for the
Football Association, should referee
Howard Webb confirm he missed it, is
whether it can be similarly confident and
issue the walking headline generator with
a retrospective punishment. Webb seemed
to notice the clash but his report, submit-
ted to the FA, will be crucial.
GAME STATS
MAN CITY 3-2 SPURS
4 ATTEMPTS ON TARGET 3
12 ATTEMPTS OFF TARGET 11
9 CORNERS 4
53% POSSESSION 47%
2 YELLOW CARDS 1
0 RED CARDS 0
1 OFFSIDES 2
DUGOUT VIEW
I havent seen the video [of the
Balotelli incident]. Until I have, I cant
comment. I dont think there was any
kind of reaction from the players. But if
someone has seen something, I will be
able to comment once I have seen some-
thing from a different angle. The gaffer
is delighted with the victory but hes
made it very clear that we cant give silly
goals away when weve more or less put
the game to bed if we are to achieve
what we want to this season.
Man City assistant David Platt
MATCH ANALYSIS
BY FRANK DALLERES
Redknapp rages after Balotelli escapes red
card for clash with Parker and then crushes
Tottenham comeback with penalty winner
Balotelli won and
converted a last
minute penalty
Pictures: ACTION
IMAGES / SKY
SPORTS
35
FEDERER ON COURSE FOR NADAL
CLASH IN AUSTRALIA
GRAND SLAM RIVALS PROGRESS TO LAST
EIGHT IN MELBOURNE: PAGE 33
PROUDLY SUPPORTED BY
Break
the cycle
of poverty
Get on your bike for
the CARE Olympic Cycle
Challenge and pedal the
poorest communities
out of poverty.
CYCLE CHALLENGE
OLYMPIC
CARE
SATURDAY
23 JUNE 2012
REGISTERED CHARITY NO. 292506
E R A C
OLYMPIC
CYCLE CHALLENGE
2 1 0 2 E N U J 3 2
Y AAY D R U T A S
est communities
e p d n a Challenge
c i p m y l O E R A C the
e k i b r u o y n o t e G
est communities
e h t l a d e
e l c y C c
r o f
. ertyy. v f po out o
est communities poor
est communities
Y ORTED B PP Y SU PROUDL LY
. 292506 O STERED CHARITY N REGI
ARSENAL manager Arsene Wenger
confessed he was at fault for the bun-
gled substitution that contributed to a
third consecutive Premier League
defeat which by his own admission
left his side facing an uphill struggle
to finish in the top four.
Robin van Persies 19th league goal
of the season cancelled out Antonio
Valencias first half header for
Manchester United and seemed des-
tined to earn his side at least point
against the champions.
But the decision to withdraw 18-
year-old Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain,
who was outstanding on his first
Premier League start, stunted
Arsenals momentum and was met
with disbelief from the stands and
appeared to be greeted with equal dis-
dain by club captain Van Persie.
The discontent boiled over soon
after when Chamberlains replace-
ment, Andrey Arshavin, made a half-
hearted attempt to prevent Valencias
run that led to Danny Welbecks 81st
minute winner.
Asked whether the fans were right
to question his judgement, Wenger
said: I can understand that the sup-
porters are upset about the substitu-
tion, especially when it doesnt work.
A 1-1 it looked like we would win
but in the end one tactical mistake
lost us the game. I do not want to
dwell too much on that now but one
second of inattention can cost you.
Arsenals frustrated fans might con-
tend their side were guilty of more
than one moment of inattention
with Uniteds willingness to attack
makeshift right-back Johan Djourou
looking like it would yield success
long before Valencia powered home a
Ryan Giggs cross in the second minute
of first half injury time.
The hapless Swiss defender was
hauled off at the interval with anoth-
er 18-year-old, Nico Yennaris, handed
his top flight debut and the change
appeared to galvanise Arsenal.
Van Persie, Aaron Ramsey and
Chamberlain all went close before the
skipper finally restored parity in the
71st minute, capping a flowing move
with a typically precise finish.
Arshavins lack of defensive inclina-
tion, however, paved the way for
Valencia and substitute Ji-Sung Park to
tee up Welbeck for a goal which kept
United within three points of leaders
Manchester City and left Arsenal five
points adrift of fourth placed Chelsea.
It leaves us in a very difficult posi-
tion because we couldnt afford to
lose, admitted Wenger. But the way
we responded in the second half is a
positive thing. Its difficult to have a
reaction like that and come out with
no points at all.
SARACENS boss Mark McCall
hailed loan signing Peter Stringer
after the Premiership champions
fought back to become the only
English side to reach the Heineken
Cup quarter-finals.
England stars David Strettle and
Mauritz Botha notched tries and
Owen Farrell landed six vital kicks
as Sarries confirmed their status
as Pool Five winners and set up a
home tie against Clermont
Auvergne.
Their Italian opponents made
them battle, however, and Ireland
scrum-half Stringer typified a grit-
ty team performance with one try-
saving tackle on Treviso lock
Antonio Pavanello.
Peter has been a great signing
for our club, McCall said. He was
one of the better players today. His
work-rate and his aggression on
our line was brilliant.
Stringer, signed as cover for
injured No9s Richard
Wigglesworth and Neil de Kock, is
two months into a three-month
loan from Munster and it remains
unclear whether he will still be at
Vicarage Road come the quarter-
finals. Saracens trailed 17-13 at
half-time and McCall added: In
the second half we dug in, and I
have nothing but admiration for
the way we got the job done.
Premiership rivals Harlequins
and Northampton failed to
progress from their groups.
Saracens into quarters
LONDON 0
BY FRANK DALLERES
RUGBY UNION
20
26
TREVISO
SARACENS
Munster v Ulster
Leinster v Cardiff Blues
Edinburgh v Toulouse
Saracens v Clermont Auvergne
Ties to be played 6/7/8 April
LAST EIGHT | HEINEKEN CUP
ASCOT chiefs have apologised and
offered a five-figure sum in refunds after
branding racegoers who fell short of
their new, tougher dress code with
orange stickers.
Visitors to the premier enclosure who
did not meet revised standards men
without jacket and tie, for example
were admitted for Saturdays meeting
but tagged with labels as a reminder.
It is clear that we let down many of
our premier enclosure customers yester-
day with a well intentioned but misguid-
ed policy, said Ascot chief executive
Charles Barnett.
No customer should be expected to
pay for such an experience and we have
taken the view that all premier enclosure
visitors yesterday will receive a full
refund. We have worked very hard for
many years to establish ourselves as a
benchmark for customer service and are
making this statement today to reinforce
that we will not allow our reputation as a
welcoming sports venue to be tarnished
by an isolated lack of judgment on our
part.
Ascots stricter dress code follows criti-
cism that standards had slipped at the
racecourse, home to one of the calendars
most prestigious occasions in Royal
Ascot. It states men must wear a jacket
and tie, smart trousers or smart jeans
and forbids sports shoes. On hot days
guests are permitted to remove jackets,
but only once an official announcement
has been made. Women are advised to
dress for a smart occasion, with hats
encouraged but not compulsory.
A spokesman for Ascot said the stickers
were meant for staff to identify which
guests had been spoken to about their
dress. He added: It was clearly the wrong
thing to do and there will not be orange
tags next time.
Ascot sorry after visitors
tagged for casual outfits
BY FRANK DALLERES
HORSE RACING
1
2
ARSENAL
MANCHESTER UNITED
Welbecks winner
ensured United
remained within
three points of
leaders Man City.
Picture: PA
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