CONTENTS :
. 1 . 6
. 10
.... .... 17 27
2
Menasa regions is emerging as a powerful economic bloc with tremendous growth potential, combining the sovereign wealth funds (SWFs) of the Mena region to the economic growth story of, say, India, hence, the economic paradigm shift towards this region from other emerging markets.
1.7 x
33%
0.8 x 0.1 x 1.1 x
38
MENASA GCC
158
15%
17% 1%
99
103
Iran SOUTH ASIA
MENASA North America Oil Reserves
8%
9%
8%
South America
4,248
1,073 542
1,371 836
2.6
426
SOUTH ASIA
1.4
1.5
2.0
6.9 2.2
1.5
1.2
2.7 0.9
MENASA
GCC
MENASA
GCC
North Africa
Levant
GDP
Iran
Population
South Asia
US
UK
Source: IMF, Global Insight, World Bank, World Market Monitor McKinsey, the World Fact Book and Abraaj Capital.
UAE : MACROECONOMICS
The UAEs strong fundamentals lessened the impact of the global financial crisis
The UAE, the second biggest Arab economy, is set to record 3.4% growth in GDP this year, led by a focus on adopting industrial policies that will drive sustainable development across the UAE.
-IMF 2011 Forecast
UAE is leading venue for FDI in MENA after Saudi Arabia UAE is ranked 22nd globally for Value of Imports and 21st for Exports The UAE ranked 3rd in the world for quality of infrastructure
$30
$Saudi Arabia UAE Egypt Qatar
5
Key Contributors to Growth
Oil / Gas as % of GDP (2009) Recovery in oil prices Strong growth in the nonhydrocarbon sector UAEs service driven economy benefitting from the global trade USD 50 billion worth of infrastructural projects still under construction in UAE UAE Trade Projections
BAHRAIN OMAN SAUDI ARABIA UAE QATAR 21% 41% 41% 45% 61%
DUBAI
Well diversified economy based on international trade, banking and finance, tourism, information technology and real estate
Strengths
Highly sophisticated financial centre
Reasoning
Dubai is ranked 7th as per International Financial Centres Competitive Assessment Report , a competitive study of 15 key global and regional financial centres done by KPMG Dubai has been rated very high in ease of doing business ranking 33rd globally. -World Bank Index Trade capacity in UAE has tremendously improved over the years with free-zones like JAFZA. Hotel occupancy rates remained high throughout 2010, benefitting both tourism and trade activities. - DSC, 2010 Report
Favorable business environment Strategic location with a strong logistics infrastructure to bolster trade Solid tourism sector
Source : Dubai Chamber of Commerce
Seems like the stars are aligning for Dubai once again
Organizational restructuring of government departments & related entities Successful debt restructuring across all sectors with zero defaults GDP is projected to grow at 4% and above going forward, as per IMF, way above the average GDP growth of western counterparts
While challenges remain, the Dubai economy is on a much sounder footing especially as much of the excesses and speculative elements of the economy have been weeded out. What Dubai is now left with is an unparalleled logistics, commercial, retail, communications and transportation infrastructure in the region - and ready for business in a region that is sitting in a fresh pile of cash thanks to high oil prices.
8
Globally faster growing sectors
Financial services
Communication
Manufacturing
Electricity/ Water
Agriculture
Government services
Very weak
Average
Strong
CAPITAL MARKETS
UNITED ARAB EMIRATES
10
Istanbul Stock Exchange Damascus Stock Exchange Beirut Stock Exchange Iraq Stock Exchange Amman Stock Exchange Tehran Stock Kuwait Stock Exchange Exchange Qatar Exchange Karachi Stock Exchange
Tadawul
Only UAE offer a wide array of trade exchanges/products in the entire MENA region
11
DFMs performance is in line with other GCC counterparts with combined market capitalization of USD 70.4Bn
114.6
138.7
84.6
15.1
37.2
86.9
83.4
70.5
2002
Source : DFM/ND Analytics
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
72.2
9.9
12
Thin trading is recorded across all GCC markets in 2010 with average v drop of 40% in trade values as compared to 2009
TRADE VALUES :
DFM PERFORMANCE
GCC Exchanges 5 Year Comparative & Trend Analysis 2006 - 2010
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
110.4
103.4
13.9
94.8
83.8
48.1
2002
2003
1.1
0.8
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
20.3
13
109.1% 100.5%
74.5% 62.5%
37.3%
28.0% 7.7% 7.2%
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
15
Regulatory Authorities Stock Exchanges
ADX
DFM
NASDAQ Dubai
Ownership Structure
33.33%
19.9%
1%
19.38%
66.67%
Public Stake
16
Opening doors to a list of world class products and services to both local and foreign investors
Issuers have the option to list on DFM or NASDAQ Dubai based on capital raising and regulatory needs.
Listing
Dubai Listing
SCA
DFM DFM Members OR
Common Members
DFSA
NASDAQ Dubai ND Members
Common Members use the same trading systems and can view DFM stocks and ND stocks on one screen.
Trading
More than half a million retail investors brought together with worldwide institutional investors.
Investing
ND
13 22 32
LISTINGS
80 7
17
Index movement remained flat between 2010-2011
1800
1700
1600
1500
1,431.71
1400
1300
Source : Reuters
18
Trading Activity : Client type Mix
14.60%
22.40%
20.90%
22.40%
Growth movement is seen among institutional investors with 2011 YTD recording 28% market share
Source : DFM / ND Analytics
29.30%
28.30%
85.40%
77.60%
79.10%
2006
2007
2008
70.70%
2009
2010
YTD 2011
19
UAE VS. NON UAE TRADING ACTIVITY
31%
30%
37%
40%
44%
50%
69%
70%
63%
60%
56%
50%
2006
2007
2008 UAE
2009 Non-UAE
2010
2011
5%
12% 17%
18%
12%
15%
23%
12% 9% 2006
22% 6% 2009
23%
21% 6% 2011
6%
2007
6%
2010 OTHERS
OTHER ARABS
20
Trade Activity By Sector 2010
2% 2% 11% 5% 14% Banks Financial Services Real Estate and Construction Telecommunicatiion Transportation Others * 66%
21
Distribution of Share Ownership in 2010 2011
DFM : OWNERSHIP
BY TYPE OF INVESTOR
BY NATIONALITY
2.59% 4.16% 4.47%
Retail 36.36%
Institutions 63.64%
88.78%
UAE
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Foreign Ownership
22
0.2 2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
AED
AED 1.09
3/10/2010 10/10/2010 17/10/2010 24/10/2010 31/10/2010 7/11/2010 14/11/2010 25/11/2010 6/12/2010 13/12/2010 20/12/2010 27/12/2010 3/1/2011 10/1/2011 17/01/2011 24/01/2011 31/01/2011 7/2/2011 14/02/2011 22/02/2011 1/3/2011 8/3/2011 15/03/2011 22/03/2011 29/03/2011 5/4/2011 12/4/2011 19/04/2011 26/04/2011 3/5/2011 10/5/2011 17/05/2011 24/05/2011 31/05/2011 7/6/2011 14/06/2011 21/06/2011 28/06/2011 6/7/2011 13/07/2011 20/07/2011 27/07/2011 3/8/2011 10/8/2011 17/08/2011 24/08/2011 5/9/2011 12/9/2011 19/09/2011 26/09/2011
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Revenue Breakdown 2008-2010
4.8%
6.3%
11.3%
18.4%
32.0% 28.5%
DFM is actively moving towards revenue diversificati on with 2010 witnessing 40% revenue from diversified portfolio
75.3% 63.2%
60.2%
2008
2009
Investment Income
24
DFM : INVESTOR-CENTRIC
Easy accessibility No income and capital gains tax Non-restricted repatriation of capital Minimal foreign exchange risk
CORPORATE STRATEGY
DFM - ND
26
27
Key criteria's for Emerging market status
CRITERIA
A. ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT A.1 Sustainability of economic development
Emerging
No requirement
DFM / ND
Strong economic fundamentals with expected GDP growth of 4% for 2011
B. SIZE AND LIQUIDITY REQUIREMENTS B.1 Number of companies meeting the following standard index criteria 3 USD 873 Mn USD 436 Mn 15% ATVR 12 USD 71 Bn USD 17 Bn
DFM is ready and meets all eligibitly criteria's for MSCI upgrade to Emerging market status
i) Company size ( Full market cap ) ii) Security size ( Float market cap ) iii) Security liquidity C. MARKET ACCESSIBILITY CRITERIA C.1 Openness to foreign ownership C.2 Ease of capital inflows/outflows C.3 Efficiency of operational framework C.4 Stability of the institutional framework
33.5%
49%
28
Delivery Vs. Payment : Implementation
UNCHANGED
1. T+2 cycle; settlement
CHANGED
1. Permitting Local Custodians ability to reject cash and securities settlement of sell trades back to executing Broker for settlement if Local Custodians do not receive (matched) settlement instructions from clients Local Custodians now have full control of assets [unnecessary to operate dual accounts]. 2. Enhancing current rejection process for settlement of purchase trades; 3. 4. a. b. c. Introduction of a Late Confirmation Period of T+4 Securities fails handling mechanisms which comprises: Optional buy-in [between T+2 and T+3] Mandatory buy-in by DFM on T+4. Cash close out against the Local Custodian client [if mandatory buy-in against selling Broker by DFM fails on T+4]. Penalties for Late Confirmation.
2. Pre-validation of sell orders will be maintained. This means a sellers agent trading account with local custodian must have securities balances for prevalidation before a sell order can become a valid order.
5.
1. Reduce risk in Local Brokers having unlimited access to the Local Custodian Client Agent Trading Account. 2. Eliminate the requirement to use a dual account structure. 3. Progression in meeting international best practices under a pre-validation of sale market infrastructure. 4. Facilitate the achievement of Emerging Market status under the MSCI market classification.
29
New organizational structure
DFM
Financial Services
Business Development
DSX
ND
CSD
EXCHANGES
Trading Enhancements Margin Trading Equity Swaps Warrants Enhanced Brokerage Services
30
DFM has commissioned Independent Research Consultants for intensive IPO study
Tap into the IPO market and research over 500 companies in the UAE
Publication of the Guide to going public Event hosted by DFM for the launch of the Guide to going public for top financial & legal advisors IPO Market Study and meetings arranged with potential IPO candidates (E&Y) DFM hosted high profile event for the 10th anniversary of the exchange to support IPO initiative
31
ii
CONTACTS :
Soheib Ghizali
Areej Al Saeed
P.O.Box: 9700, Dubai, UAE Tel: +971 4 305 5226 Fax: +971 4 331 4924 sghizali@dfm.ae