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Technical Research | April 04, 2012

Daily Technical Report Sensex (17597) / NIFTY (5359)


Yesterday, we witnessed a gap up opening in-line with other global bourses and subsequently managed to hold their early gains throughout the session. Eventually, indices closed marginally above 5350 mark. On sectoral front, Consumer Durables, Capital Goods and Oil & Gas counters were among the major gainers, whereas Health Care and Auto sectors ended with a nominal loss. The advance to decline ratio was strongly in favor of advancing counters (A=1796 D=1022) (Source www.bseindia.com)

Exhibit 1: Nifty Daily Chart

Formation:
The 200-day SMA (Simple Moving Average) and 20day EMA (Exponential Moving Average) have now shifted to 17100 / 5150 and 17380 / 5284, respectively. The 20-Week EMA is placed at 17200 / 5200 level. We are witnessing a Downward Sloping Trend Line

resistance around 17630 / 5380 level. The daily RSI-Smoothened momentum oscillator has
Source: Falcon

given a positive crossover.

Trading strategy:
Yesterday, after a gap up opening our indices traded with positive bias in the first half of the trading session. As expected, the Indices faced resistance near the Downward Sloping Trend Line mentioned in our previous reports near 5380 level. At this juncture, the placement of 5 & 20 EMA on the Daily chart suggests that positive momentum is likely to continue once indices trade convincingly above the Downward Sloping Trend Line which coincides with Yesterdays high of 17664 / 5379. In such scenario, indices are likely to rally further towards 17700 17836 / 5400 5430 levels. Since the momentum oscillators on the hourly chart are in overbought zone, a consolidation or a minor pullback cannot be ruled out. On the downside, 17500 17420 / 5325 5300 levels can act as a decent support for the markets in coming trading session.

Actionable points:
View Resistance Levels Support Levels Neutral 5380 5430 5325 5300

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Technical Research | April 04, 2012

Bank Nifty Outlook - (10433)


Yesterday, Bank Nifty opened with an upside gap in line with our benchmark indices and traded in a narrow range throughput the session. The positive crossover in RSI and Stochastic momentum oscillator on the daily chart mentioned in our previous report is still intact. However, the momentum oscillators on the hourly chart are negatively poised hence possibility of a minor pullback cannot be ruled out. On the downside, a fall below 10376 will confirm the pullback and index may drift towards 10251 10174. On the upside, 10503 10580 are likely to act as resistance in coming trading session. Exhibit 2: Bank Nifty Daily Chart

Actionable points:
View Resistance Levels Support Levels Neutral 10503 10580 10376 10251 - 10174
Source: Falcon

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Technical Research | April 04, 2012

Positive Bias:
Positive Above 58 Expected Target 65

Stock Name NCC

CMP 56.3

5 Day EMA 53.8

20 Day EMA 53.6

Remarks View will change below 53

Negative Bias:
Negative Below 585 Expected Target 570

Stock Name Havells

CMP 588.6

5 Day EMA 580.4

20 Day EMA 568

Remarks View will change above 606

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Technical Research | April 04, 2012

Daily Pivot Levels for Nifty 50 Stocks


SCRIPS SENSEX NIFTY BANKNIFTY ACC AMBUJACEM AXISBANK BAJAJ-AUTO BHARTIARTL BHEL BPCL CAIRN CIPLA COALINDIA DLF DRREDDY GAIL HCLTECH HDFC HDFCBANK HEROMOTOCO HINDALCO HINDUNILVR ICICIBANK IDFC INFY ITC JINDALSTEL JPASSOCIAT KOTAKBANK LT M&M MARUTI NTPC ONGC PNB POWERGRID RANBAXY RCOM RELIANCE RELINFRA RPOWER SAIL SBIN SESAGOA SIEMENS STER SUNPHARMA SUZLON TATAMOTORS TATAPOWER TATASTEEL TCS WIPRO S2 17,516 5,326 10,310 1,341 167 1,147 1,621 330 256 673 338 308 337 203 1,643 376 495 679 523 1,965 128 398 888 134 2,824 226 533 85 551 1,332 696 1,275 165 268 918 108 453 85 735 602 118 96 2,125 192 763 109 561 25 273 100 470 1,155 438 S1 17,557 5,342 10,372 1,353 169 1,162 1,634 334 260 689 347 310 340 205 1,668 380 500 683 527 1,987 130 401 898 136 2,841 226 538 87 555 1,347 701 1,292 166 271 925 109 460 86 744 608 120 97 2,149 195 776 111 565 25 277 101 474 1,166 442 PIVOT 17,611 5,361 10,437 1,363 172 1,173 1,652 339 265 699 353 312 344 208 1,711 383 503 686 532 2,027 131 405 908 137 2,860 227 544 88 560 1,357 708 1,321 168 273 932 110 464 87 753 615 122 98 2,166 197 785 112 571 26 280 101 478 1,187 446 R1 17,651 5,377 10,498 1,375 173 1,188 1,665 342 269 715 363 314 347 210 1,736 386 509 690 535 2,049 133 408 919 139 2,877 228 549 90 564 1,372 714 1,338 169 276 939 111 470 88 762 620 123 100 2,190 201 798 114 575 26 284 102 482 1,198 450 R2 17,705 5,395 10,564 1,385 176 1,199 1,683 347 274 725 369 316 350 213 1,779 389 512 693 540 2,089 135 412 929 141 2,895 229 555 91 568 1,382 721 1,367 170 278 947 112 474 89 772 628 125 101 2,207 203 807 115 581 27 286 103 486 1,219 453

Technical Research Team


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Technical Research | April 04, 2012 Technical Report

RESEARCH TEAM
Shardul Kulkarni Sameet Chavan Sacchitanand Uttekar Mehul Kothari Ankur Lakhotia Head - Technicals Technical Analyst Technical Analyst Technical Analyst Technical Analyst

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